Detroit Free Press 03-25-07 National political digest A weekly review of news from the world of politics Candidates aim to bank a victory Presidential candidates have been frantically raising money this month. Hillary Rodham Clinton, for instance, has been holding as many as four and five fundraisers a day. Why the big rush? Candidates have to file quarterly reports with the Federal Election Commission, showing how much they raised and how it was spent. The year's first quarter ends Saturday, and candidates hope to get big numbers that will give them a psychological edge and scare off rivals. The reports will become public by April 15. "This first-quarter report will be the most important event to happen in the campaign cycle," said Scott Reed, a veteran Republican strategist. "And April could be the shakeout month for some of the campaigns and some of the campaign teams." The numbers may be particularly important for candidates like Republican Mitt Romney, who has been running third in polls behind Rudy Giuliani and John McCain. "What he's trying to do is establish himself as a leading candidate by being able to compete financially," said Anthony Corrado, a professor at Colby College in Maine who specializes in presidential campaign finance. "If he were to beat one of those guys, that would be a news story." Can cancer aid campaign? Will Elizabeth Edwards' recurrence of cancer have any impact on husband John Edwards' attempt to win the Democratic nomination? He's continuing his campaign. Some reactions: • "It's sad and tragic and very unusual," said Steffen Schmidt, a political scientist at Iowa State University. "Some people are saying it is kind of a cold move, kind of out of character for a man so family-oriented. Others are saying it's a very bold move, one that shows a lot of courage. I suppose it could go either way." • Diane Bystrom, the author of 11 books on politics, said Elizabeth Edwards' illness could result in key constituency groups in the Democratic Party "being drawn to and identifying with" the Edwards campaign, at the expense of Hillary Rodham Clinton. • "If there is any upside out of a serious illness, it is that Edwards will have unique credibility to discuss health care in America," said Darrell West, a political science professor at Brown University. Random comments • Republican candidate Sam Brownback said he supports a flat federal income tax, with no deductions or credits. The current tax code, he said, "should be taken behind the barn and killed with a dull ax." • Tom DeLay, the Republican former House majority leader, opines in his justpublished memoirs (title: "No Retreat, No Surrender") about the party's 2006 losses: "Republicans were, as they long have been, right on the issues and terrible at communication." Chewing, not smoking So how's Barack Obama doing with kicking cigarettes? He told interviewer Larry King that he's now on nicotine gum instead. "It's working so far," Obama said. Late last year, Obama said he had quit smoking before. Waiting it out As many states (Michigan included) consider moving up the dates of their 2008 presidential primaries, Bill Gardner just waits for them to decide. He's New Hampshire's secretary of state, and state law requires him to hold his state's primary on a Tuesday a week or more before any "similar election." He can make it as early as he wants. And he's in no hurry to set a date. "His office can do an election in three weeks, as long as they have the ballot prepared," said state Rep. Jim Splaine. Since 1920, New Hampshire has held the nation's earliest primary. And people there take it seriously: In 2004, 80% of registered voters cast ballots. Last word "The dirtier it gets in Washington, the better off you are as a governor." -- Samuel Popkin, a political science professor at the University of California at San Diego, speaking about the prospect of an anti-Washington backlash on presidential candidates in Congress.