Des Moines Register 09-02-06 Let's reshape debate about livestock production MARK IMERMAN As I follow the debate on confinement livestock production, I keep thinking that a different perspective might move us closer to a solution. This issue has been divisive to the point of polarization, and polarization does not often result in a sustainable resolution. How and where livestock is produced are very real issues with important implications that go far beyond farming. Clearly, producers need to acknowledge the public needs and expectations that arise from these implications. What is often unrecognized, however, is that the driving forces behind changes in agriculture that some find unsettling also extend far beyond agriculture. We must all recognize a stake in both the causes and consequences of livestock production. We should start by understanding that livestock is not raised for the sake of having lots of livestock. Livestock is raised because consumers will pay for meat and other livestock products. Issues of product quality, consistency and price are driven directly by the consumer. Many changes in livestock production are direct responses to signals the consumer sends through the grocery store. There are limits to what consumers will pay, however. Consumers will travel from store to store to save money on livestock products, just as they shop to save money on their other purchases. This price-driven commuting reduces the profit margins of grocers, who already operate in a low-margin industry. To remain profitable in the face of this price pressure, grocers must either lower costs or capture a larger share of the overall food-chain margin. Many in the grocery industry do this by merging to form larger chains of stores and by consolidating backward into the wholesale warehouse business. This gives them efficiencies of scale and increases their muscle in bargaining with food processors farther back in the food chain. As grocers succeed in garnering a larger share of the food-chain margin, they cut into profit margins in the food-processing industry. To survive, food processors must either lower costs or capture a larger share of the overall food-chain margin. They often do this by growing or merging to capture larger shares of the food production and processing markets. This gives them efficiencies of scale and increases their muscle in bargaining with food producers (farmers) farther back in the food chain. The food-processing industry's success cuts into profit margins on the farm. To remain profitable and feed their families, farmers must lower costs or find a way to capture a larger share of the overall food-chain margin. They do this by increasing the size of their farms, increasing land productivity and reducing labor and other input needs. Lowering costs on livestock production and increasing land productivity go handin-hand toward increasingly confined livestock production. This is a direct result of the price squeeze that starts with a consumer shopping for the best possible price on meat. There are no easily identifiable villains here. Everyone in the chain is doing exactly what the American consumer insists they do - improving the world's most efficient, plentiful and inexpensive food-delivery system. It is no wonder that livestock producers, caught in the middle, look in both directions and see the same faces. One thing is certain. As long as the consumer shops for the best prices on meat, more and more livestock will be produced in confinement. The question, from this perspective, is not whether to allow or ban confinement production. The more pertinent questions are: Where will production take place and how will it be owned? Recognizing that we all have a stake in the causes as well as the consequences of these issues might get us out of the us-versus-them mind-set that polarizes the discussion. It might move the questions from "Why?" to "How?" That would be a productive change in perspective. MARK IMERMAN is a staff economist in the Iowa State University Economics Department.