AN ASSESSMENT OF FOREIGN INVESTORS IN THE WASHINGTON, D.C. REAL ESTATE MARKET by S. JOHN HODGE B.A., Accounting (1977) Finance (1979) M.B.A., University of Texas - Austin and S. KENT ROBERTS B.S., Engineering Management (1969) Missouri School of Mines - Rolla Submitted to the Schools of Urban Studies and Planning & Architecture in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology September 1987 S. John Hodge & S. Kent Roberts - 1987 The authors hereby grant to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. Signatures of the authors S. John odge Department of Urban Sjdies and Planning l)31, 1987 //.A S. Kent Roberts Department of Architecture 1987 /'--)July 31, Certified by Lawrence S. Bacow Associate Professor, Urban Studies and Planning Thesis Supervisor Accepted by Michael Wheeler Chairman Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development S AC EINSTUE ECNftOLOGY QF 1JUL 2 * LIBRARIES ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This thesis is the effort of experience in international two students who had real Washington, D.C. market place. search was limited to two estate investment or in the The time allotted for our reDuring this time months. Washington, D.C. but we only made field trips to pleted an exhaustive study real no prior of the international estate investment and capital we not also comaspects of flows. Given these limitations, interviews were of critical import- ance. than 50 We wish shared their special to thank time and the more knowledge with us. thanks to the National individuals who We wish to give Association of Realtors (NAR) who sponsored our thesis as part of a broader study examining foreign investment ticular national we want patterns in to thank Operations Mariam of the Economic Research and Sean the United States. NAR, for providing us while we our were in work would conclude thanks to these with Flick, Director of Our special gratitude goes Director of Bear Saint Properties an office and secretarial Washington, D.C. have been Inter- Burns, Economist for the personal time and assistance they gave us. to Rusty Lindner, Managing Manager - Meyer, Fred In par- much more acknowledgments Professor Lawrence S. been a guiding light. 2 Without this assistance difficult. without giving Bacow, M.I.T. services We a cannot special He has truly AN ASSESSMENT OF FOREIGN INVESTORS IN THE WASHINGTON, D.C. REAL ESTATE MARKET by S. JOHN HODGE and S. KENT ROBERTS Submitted to the School of Urban Studies and Planning and to the School of Architecture in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development ABSTRACT of a _ joint study by the one part research represents Our the Massachusetts Realtors and of Association National Estate Development. Technology Center For Real Institute of foreign investment was to examine of the study The purpose patterns in U.S. real estate by analyzing investment activity Angeles, and Chicago. cities: Washington D.C., Los in three Many of our conWashington, D.C. This thesis is focused on other findings in by the supplemented have been clusions parts of the joint study. (See Notes [183 & [193) Central to our research is the question "Do foreign investors counterAmerican their estate differ from U.S. real in following: include the findings significant Our parts?" "capital estate as a real United States view foreigners haven"; foreigners are "long-term" investors in U.S. real esaccept lower returns under certate; foreign investors will interested in very high qualtain conditions (they are only ity well located properties); exchange rates are important in the investment decision (favorable rates are a buy signal but hold signal); foreign investors have unfavorable rates are a foreigners are "predisposed" to strong location preferences; investors are relationship estate; foreign in real invest as foreign ininvestors are cash buyers; oriented; foreign they act more familiar with the U.S. market, vestors become U.S. investors. more like In conclusion we believe that an increasing foreign presence present great opportunities for in the U.S. marketplace will all kinds of U.S. real estate players. Thesis Supervisor: Lawrence S. Title: Bacow Associate Professor, Urban Studies and Planning 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgments ............................................ 2 Abstract ................................................... 3 CHAPTER 1 - Foreign Investment in the United States ........ 5 CHAPTER 2 - The Washington, D.C. Market: CHAPTER 3 - Foreign Investment and the Washington, D.C. Real Estate Market ............... ........ An Overview ...... 12 27 CHAPTER 4 - Profiles of Investors ......................... 35 CHAPTER 5 - The Foreign Investor's Strategy for Investing in United States Real Estate ........ CHAPTER 6 - APPENDIX A - Notes [ 40 Significant Findings and Implications ......... 44 Washington, D.C. Properties Involving Foreign Investors .......... ........ 51 3 ...................................................... 60 4 CHAPTER 1 FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN THE UNITED STATES INTRODUCTION to the recent surge of foreign Much publicity has been given in the investment in U.S. securities, 13.4% increased to total foreign and real estate For 1986, United States. investment businesses $209 billion. [1] Approximately $21 billion of this amount was invested in developed real estate. On average over the last introduced $10 billion eight years, foreign investors have annually. [2] (See Figure 1-1.) The appeal of the United U.S. market factors. U.S. has shifted deficit in the The balance of trade the economy from a net supplier net importer of capital. to a the States as a destination for foreign capital has been attributed to several * to new money of of investment capital The United States [5 is currently the largest debtor nation in the world and seems to have an insatiable appetite for money. [63 * The as being U.S. is perceived country and one of a politically stable the strongest remaining bastions of free enterprise. [7] & [83 * Recent depreciation currencies has of the dollar produced what seem like to foreign buyers of U.S. assets. 5 [6) vis-a-vis other great bargains 1-1. FIGURE FIGURE 1-1. TOTAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INTHE UNITED STATES SHOWS %INVSTED INREAL ESTATE EACH YR 260 24-0 IL 220 0 200 z 180 0 160 140 ix 120 4 100 80 60 z 40 20 0 1980 1981 1983 1982 K] NON R.E. SOURCE: Real Estate Review [3] 6 1984- REAL ESTATE 1985 1986E * interest Nominal foreign some the U.S. than in rates are higher in countries; from investors accordingly, these countries can obtain higher current returns here. dollar denominated significant if is especially This investments are financed with the foreign currency. E63 * The Japanese government has recently relaxed limits on foreign investment. [93 foreign in increases further predict observers Many investment in the U.S. as: (1) investment in opportunities the U.S. remain attractive relative to other investments; (2) pressure for reinvestment in the U.S. continues to in Japan, build surplus; to the due one of the most active the Japanese have been investors in the U.S. for the past several (3) foreign investors become export growing Japanese years; more knowledgeable [103 and comfortable with U.S. markets, and; (4) the number of participants in the market continues to increase. E113 Indeed, foreigners and the establishment of manufacturing and acquisitions, and the purchase of real is the foreign Especially interesting invested estate. Since large amounts be foreign investment in the U.S. in- strong interest in direct to U.S. real continues to additionally, there corporate stocks; cluding U.S. Treasury bonds buyers of are heavy of plants, mergers estate. investor's attraction the late 1970's, foreigners have capital 7 into U.S. properties. While current the total foreign ownership represents only- about value of developed real estate in the U.S., 1% of it is noteworthy that in the few markets in which foreigners have a presence, their activity has had a significant impact on values. [63 U.S. real estate is appealing foreign real investment low very to relative inflation comparable yields reduced countries are in competition inexpensive. from U.S. sell local is perceived to Third, U.S. tax the - investors typically do not liquid, and be accessible, the Second, current yields In contrast, U.S. real estate real estate. rekindle, thereby reducing hedge, buildings in many grade office Additionally, foreign has a portfolio. volatility of the overall on investment Should portfolio. would provide estate for several diversification benefits to the First, it provides reasons. to the foreigner tax reform shelter oriented investors. [123 The majority of foreign equity investment in U.S. real estate has come from pension real estate erence for cities companies. invest These high quality such as Angeles. funds, and insurance, construction and investors have shown office buildings in New York, in stable and downtown office large American Washington, D.C., This can be explained a pref- Boston and Los by the foreigner's desire to familiar markets. The interest in locations reflects properties over suburban the foreigner's lack of familiarity with large-scale suburban office development. tend to be Shopping centers and multifamily housing avoided, largely due to more a intensive management requirements. [133 Many questions are currently circulating about the future of foreign investment in U.S. real to pour in? If so, how will 8 estate. Will the deals be money continue structured? How sensitive are foreigners to fluctuations in What property type and geographic preferences exhibit? Do the foreigners pay their American than exchange rates? more for counterparts? And, do foreigners U.S. real estate what opportunities are available for U.S. real estate professionals to establish relationships with foreign investors? the above questions is that The common assumption underlying foreign real this. the U.S. real investor, the nature understanding By better to corroborate has been done little research But erparts. count- differ from their U.S. estate investors estate foreign of the professional will be more effective in serving this important segment of the market. RESEARCH OBJECTIVE AND METHODOLOGY The purpose of between this paper is investors foreign American counterparts. explore the to in U.S. real The research estate differences and their addresses this issue by analyzing foreign real estate investment in Washington, D.C. This paper represents one part of a joint study conducted by Realtors and the National Association of Institute of Technology Center For Real the Massachusetts Estate Development. was to examine foreign investment patterns in U.S. real estate by analyzing investment activity The purpose of the study in three cities; These cities dispersion and Los were Angeles, Chicago, and Washington, D.C. selected based on their their popularity as destinations geographical for foreign investment. The research was literature search in organized three was performed to gain stages. First, a an understanding of the overall context of foreign investment and the Washington, 9 universe of foreign owned real our knew. To We started by done. already investors we and lawyers the brokers, contacting estate in Washington, D.C. never been has knowledge, this determine the was made to an attempt Second, D.C. market. We asked them to give us the names of others they felt were key local hand knowledge of other contacts and about fifty searching only acquired. We At turned up same the deals. of specifics the get when continued names we already had on interviewing the We focused on obtaining and the Lastly, the transaction the various parties of the to began reached the point then began to concentrate into motivations we point this key players in foreign owned insight we had the network expanded until is, we That convergence. Each contact led foreign investment. us to names. had first D.C. market place and/or players in the involved. data was organized and analyzed. LIMITATIONS It is important that the reader understand the limitations of nature of the real estate business is such The this study. that research can cess. The often be a difficult and frustrating pro- business is transaction oriented and information about specific deals is proprietary and difficult to come by. This is compounded by the fact that foreign investors tend to be secretive about their activities. While identify the Washington is data endeavored we have universe of to accurate, foreign owned our attempt to estate in real error of omission. subject to the is subject interviewed a to be the extent bias to "representative" sample of that Also, our we have foreign investors. No attempt was made to statistically verify our work. 10 not ORGANIZATION Chapters 1, of context 2, and 3 of this paper describe foreign real estate in the involved in the Washington market and de- scribes how they differ from the American investor. Chapter 6 provides a summary United Chapters 4 and 5 profiles the States and in Washington, D.C. foreign investors investment the historical of our findings the implications. 11 Finally, and evaluates CHAPTER 2 THE WASHINGTON, D.C. MARKET: consists of Area) counties and the District five Virginia investment eign (Metropolitan Statistical Washington, D.C. MSA The official The majority in concentrated employment of the MSA: five of forthese of the population and comprise over 80% of jurisdictions which five Maryland of Colombia, counties. been has AN OVERVIEW the District, and Arlington, Fairfax, These five markets Montgomery, and Prince George's counties. provide the focus for this chapter. (See Figure 2-1.) HISTORICAL CONTEXT French architect and engineer Pierre L'Enfant. 1790 city plan calls for long diagonal usual blocks and 90 appearance to the Columbia owes much of its The District of degree angle rotaries to provide vistas. The avenues, which were scheme reference extended planned to even to be vistas cut across the streets, points L'Enfant's and circular within the diagonal the width 160 to of 400 feet the wide. Although the Capitol is the center of the historic plan, most of and the Northwest commercial quadrant counties. The residential of the Capitol District, Hill area activity and is in the consists in the adjacent mostly of government and institutional uses. E143 Unlike most primarily of major markets, low-rise (8-12 Washington, story) buildings. D.C. consists Strict height limitations have been set in the District to preserve the 12 FIGURE 2-1. WASHINGTON, D.C. MSA (METROPOLITIAN STATISTICAL AREA) MONTGOMERY, MD FAIRFAX, VA PRINCE GEORGE'S, MD SOURCE: Rand McNally, Inc. 13 visibility of Building. the Washington These restrictions limit penthouse) of most buildings to small area (less than FAR's certain (floor the Capitol (exclusive of within a relatively miles) structures of 130 buildings along Pennsylvania Avenue, circumstances, area ratios) from 6.5 trict range and the height 90 feet; two square feet are allowed, while under Monument reach 160 feet. within the central Applicable business dis- These restrictions to 10. force de- velopers to build to the lot line and straight-up in order to Clearly, these zoning restrictions maximize square footage. limit future development L'Enfant's layout Europeans in combination with the gives the strictions, find iniscent of in the District. [153 District many of the the international and human scale older European capitals, Japanese identify with its appeal. much architectural ambiance the city's city's-zoning re- low-rise scale. while the This, along with the for- recognition of Washington, gives eigner a better understanding of rem- the city, relative to other U.S. cities. THE ECONOMY Growth: Historical Prior to ington the first half of more closely town, than the 20th century, life resembled a stately capital. nation, there The District and there was was a general was surrounded that of in Wash- a Western frontier Beyond the governing lack of activity in by small farms little commerce or industry. of the the city. and plantations Any growth that occurred was usually the result of government spending. [143 Policies evolving from the Depression and World War 14 II marked a major surge in federal employment and created a large, permanent bureaucracy of lobbyists, associations, and support The groups. majority of occurred in bureaucracy frequently the new District, but the the employment growth chose to live in the adjacent suburbs. [143 Beginning in the 1960's, another increase in federal spending had a significant impact on expansion. curred 33 percent of metropolitan creased from 52 percent in and Maryland; the however, with the growth spilled into areas of Montgomery, Fairfax and Prince George's of the Capital This and employment growth. city's overall growth corridors. pattern was consistent with the plan to decentralize government employment and transportation suburban major toward [133 The 1970's and early 1980's characterized the area's economy. and occurred in The District saw a sustained decline in population counties. pand; in- Beltway, 1964 completion direct of employment in 1960, Growth initially 1970. close-in suburbs of Virginia much wider the development Suburban employment centers. suburban business major to which fostered suburbs, in the This time, growth oc- Government employment continued however, the largest "high technology" growth occurred in sectors. growing rapidly, and there was a ness formation this growth another change in the "services" Existing businesses began very high rate of new busi- and corporate in-migration. occurred in to ex- the Maryland and The majority of Virginia suburban markets. E163 Recent Trends: Population and Income The Washington MSA population has grown by 1980 to almost 3.5 million today. 15 about 1.4% since While the growth rate has FIGURE 2-2. WASHINGTON, D.C. NSA DEMOGRAPHICS, 1980-1986 COUNTY D.C. POPULATION CHANGE 1980-85 POPULATION 1985 COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH 1980-85 1986 PER CAPITA INCOME 626,000 (12,432) -0.47 $18,600 678,100 643,400 126,800 84,400 40,900 13,029 64,347 12,008 11,649 6,262 0.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% $15,500 23,600 14,400 13,900 14,500 1,573,600 107,295 1.4% $18,611 687,800 169,000 157,600 63,600 48,300 92,046 24,364 5,001 6,173 7,830 2.9% 3.2% 0.6% 2.1% 3.6% $21,800 15,400 24,900 18,100 14,200 1,126,300 135,414 2.6% $20,739 MARYLAND COUNTIES PRINCE GEORGE'S MONTGOMERY FREDERICK CHARLES CALVERT MARYLAND COUNTY TOTALS VIRGINIA COUNTIES FAIRFAX PRINCE WILLIAM ARLINGTON LOUDOUN STAFFORD VIRGINIA COUNTY TOTALS VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX CITY MANASSAS FALLS CHURCH MANASSAS PARK INDEPENDENT CITIES TOTALS TOTAL NSA UNITED STATES 107,500 20,300 19,500 9,500 6,900 4,283 (237) 3,995 (15) 376 0.8% -0.27 4.7% 0.0% 1.1% $24,700 23,400 17,500 27,700 13,900 163,700 8,402 1.1% $23,400 3,489,600 238,679 1.4% $19,500 239,283,000 12,222,000 1.05% $14,400 SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [131 16 to decline, it still recently begun (See Figure 2-2.) rate by 40%. [133 growth Population Since 1970, has uneven been lost District has the ulation, compared to 25% in 1970. jurisdictions. across approximately 120,000 the metropolitan pop- 18% of currently comprises it people; exceeds the U.S. growth This decline has been more than offset by an increase in the suburban population of over The most populous counties are Fairfax, 320,000 people. [133 Prince George's, and Montgomery, each comprising about 20% of the population. total metropolitan had Counties the [143 1980-1965. largest absolute almost Figure 2-2.) 35% was estimated to be $19,500 higher than of the ten average. (See wealthiest counties in (see Figure 2-3.), largest metropolitan the fifth York, the United policy, especially diversified and Philadelphia. growth has been shaped the employment base Direct government employment employment in 1970 to 28% by Government location decisions; less reliant on Government increased from 21% the U.S. behind and federal spending and since 1970, Washington, D.C. is employer in Chicago, Angeles, Los Historically, economic growth. national Employment With two million jobs however, the in [133 Recent Trends: New from Consistent with its relative affluence, the MSA includes five States. gains population (See Figure 2-2.) Per capita income for the MSA 1986, and Montgomery Fairfax fell has become spending for more its from 38% of total in 1985, while services employment to 31%. [133 17 (See Figure 2-4.) FIGURE 2-3. WASHINGTON, D.C. MSA EMPLOYMENT AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, 1985-1986 1980 1985 1986 ACTUAL % OF EMPLOYMENT TOTAL ACTUAL %OF EMPLOYMENT TOTAL ACTUAL % OF EMPLOYMENT TOTAL 1975 X OF ACTUAL EMPLOYMENT TOTAL SUB AREAS D.C. 577,000 42% 616,000 38% 631,000 33% 641,000 32% MONTGOMERY COUNTY PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY OTHER 3 MARYLAND COUNTIES 149,000 111,000 171,000 11% 8% 12% 275,000 213,000 72,000 17% 13% 4% 339,000 239,000 85,000 18% 13. 4% 350,000 251,000 89,000 18% 13% 4% MARYLAND SUB TOTAL 431,000 317. 560,000 34% 663,000 35% 690,000 35% FAIRFAX COUNTY ARLINGTON COUNTY OTHER 3 VIRGINIA COUNTIES 109,000 97,000 156,000 8% 7% 11% 195,000 118,000 149,000 12% 7% 9% 282,000 142,000 191,000 15% 7% 10% 305,000 146,000 204,000 15% 7% 10% VIRGINIA SUB TOTAL 362,000 26% 462,000 28% 615,000 32% 655,000 33% 1,370,000 100% 1,638,000 100% 1,909,000 100% 1,986,000 100% TOTAL D.C. MSA AREA UNITED STATES 76,945,000 97,614,000 90,406,000 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 100,167,000 BY COUNTY 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1 .5 1.4 1.3 1.2 C -2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 TOTAL MSA D.C. 1975 MONTGONERYPRINCE E= 1980 GRG'S E \\1985 SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [13] 18 FAIRFAX ARLINGTON 1986 OTHER COS FIGURE 2-4. FIGURE 2-4. 1985 EMPLOYMENT MIX IN INMAJOR MSA COUNTIES COUNTIES D.C. NSA WASHINGTON D.C. MAJOR WASHINGTON 1985 EMPLOYMENT MIX CONSTRUCTION MANUFACTURING TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS & UTILITIES WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADE FINANCIAL, INSURANCE & REAL ESTATE SERVICES GOVERNMENT: FEDERAL STATE/LOCAL TOTAL PRINCE GEORGE'S MSA D.C. ARLINGTON FAIRFAX MONTGOMERY 6.1% 4.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 7.9% 6.0% 7.1% 5.1% 9.1% 4.9% 4.7% 3.4% 11.3% 5.8% 1.8% 4.3% 3.7% 16.5% 1.5% 8.8% 5.2% 9.2% 4.6% 20.3% 4.6% 19.2% 5.4% 25.1% 5.8% 31.0% 5.5% 33.5% 5.0% 31.5% 6.9% 29.9% 6.8% 33.6% 3.8% 21.0% 18.0% 10.0% 35.4% 7.2% 28.8% 4.7% 6.2% 12.3% 13.5% 8.3% 9.5% 16.7% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% GOVERNMENT & SERVICE EMPLOYMENT 100% 90% 80% 70% 0 60% Li 0 40% 30% L) 20% 10% 0% MSA FEDERAL GOVMT ARUNGTON D.C. ST/LOC GOVMT SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [131 19 FAJRFAX MONTGOMERY =I PRINCE GRG'S SERVICES Approximately 80% of the area's employment is centered in the District, and in Fairfax, total. the major Prince Montgomery, Fairfax, lington comprise respectively. George's, Arlington 18%, 15%, 13% (See and District employment comprises about 32% Montgomery Counties. of the Prince and 7% of Figure 2-3.) employer in George's and Artotal employment, The Federal the District, Government is while services other four counties. [133 dominant sector in the is the (See Figure 2-4.) While not of "recession jobs government employment manufacturing from national economic a slow down in has experienced the area While during national growth of and lack to insulate the area should continue downturns. proof", Washington's high concentration recessions, no absolute losses in total employment have occurred in the postwar era, except for a 0.4% decline in 1982 decline was met with a And the 1982. strong recovery in 1983. (See Figure 2-5.) [14] expected to continue to grow The Washington, D.C. economy is faster than the nation's, albeit the rate of growth factors. First, the high makes it difficult for local employers from out of the cannot be rate shifts slow growth. without spending could sectors. economy. employment growth in-migration. affect employment Third, has diversified, the area the national to attract employees Washington's high defense and ployment base cost of housing and transportation sustained in Federal government to area. by several adversely affected could be However, at a slower rate. because in the the em- is more susceptible recession could A Second, significantly Notwithstanding the above, most experts predict the Washington economy will remain healthy for come. E133 20 some time to FIGURE 2-5. EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATES - WASHINGTON, D.C. versus THE UNITED STATES D.C. METRO AREA vs. THE UNITED STATES 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -3% -4% -5% 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87E88E 0 D.C. METRO AREA X THE UNITED STATES SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [13] 21 THE REAL ESTATE MARKETS in the Washington MSA has The majority of foreign investment been concentrated in office buildings located in the D.C. CBD Smith Braedon Company, suggests Sherburne, of wide, is foreign "Golden Triangle" in such vestment which have as Los U.S. cities square 10.8 million we believe ownership of foreign inChicago, million square feet and 9.3 [183 & In [19) footage basis, a square that on Washington Angeles and feet, respectively, under foreign ownership. fact, million square This exceeds Figure 4-1.) (See City- [173 of the total feet, representing approximately 12% office market. owned. own 15.9 that foreigners we estimate that at least foreign ownership, while over 35% of 26% of the CBD is under the famous Mary by article recent A District). Business (Central foreign market is second in the nation, the D.C. office only to New York City. To de- purchased and/or foreigners have extent, a lesser veloped office and retail properties in Arlington and Fairfax Little foreign Counties. counties shown little interest in Washington real properties, office have prop- and residential foreign investors are Because downtown in industrial our the noted in foreigners Also, jurisdictions. and other erties. has been activity primarily interested discussion of the estate markets will be confined to this area. The shift toward services employment in the 1970's, in tandem with increased 1979, created an space. absorbed In other government defense and explosive spending after demand for increase in office Over the past five years, the metropolitan market has (net) over 1986, the 50 million square feet area led response, developers the nation in have added feet over the same period. net absorption. close to 55 (See Figure 2-6.) 22 of office space. In million square The area's FIGURE 2-6. ANNUAL ADDITIONS TO WASHINGTON. D.C. AREA OFFICE INVENTORY & NET ABSORPTION ANNUAL ADDITIONS D.C. & ABSORPTION 22 20 18 10 14 12 10 1979 1980 1 901 SUBURBAN 1982 ANNUAL 1984 1983 ADDITIONS 1 98 & 190 197E ABSORPTION 22 20 18 1 6 1.4 12 I = 2 0 NASA ANNUAL ADDITIONS &f- ABSORPTION 22 20 1 15 10 I 10 1979 1980 EO 1 901 1 982 1 983 1 94 1 988 02OAISORPTION ADDITIONS SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [131 & Jones Lang Wootton Investment Research [14] 23 1 980 1 987E to 125 million square speculative office inventory increased fourth in the nation behind 1986, ranking Washington feet in New York, Chicago, and Houston. 16.4% The current vacancy rate of suburbs) at the end of [133 (11.7% in District, 20% in 1986 is high based on historical stan- however, compared to the national vacancy rate of 21%, the in the strongest markets of remains one Washington dards; country. Vacancy years eral the next sev- levels should increase over continues as supply to than (more expand 22 million square feet are currently under construction) and absorption moderates. [133 the MSA appreciated until Real rents in and building prices continue Land tinue. over the should con- pressure on rents years, downward next several and have been 1985, levels rise As vacancy since. down ever flat to (See Figure 2-7.) to rise, however, due to demand for investment properties. the current Despite D.C.) MIT's Center For Real Estate D.C. area, there the that in velopable sites. to (especially Washington is supply constrained due to its stringent zoning laws. A report by mates high vacancies, Development esti- demand will increases in de- less susceptible Accordingly, the city is overbuilding and only 120 remains more readily translate into increased rents. (15) FUTURE PROSPECTS Washington's bility will the growth record, continue to attract most sought Foreign economic after real investors perceive global attention as estate markets the presence of in the the ernment as a stabilizing factor and consider an 24 visi- stability, and one of nation. U.S. gov- investment in the area safe from the political uncertainties of the rest of the world. The next section discuss specific real eigners investing in derstand the nature of this paper will estate transactions that Washington in an attempt of foreign investment identify and involve forto better un- and the tunities it creates for U.S. real estate professionals. 25 oppor- FIGURE 2-7,. WASHINGTON. D.C. AREA TOTAL OCCUPANCY & VACANCY RATES D.C. OCCUPANCY & VACANCY RATE 18o 1 4O 130 120 110 00 80 70 1 .7C .0 12 1v 1 0. 00 ~ 12 2~ 0.0w 00 10 1 0. _vM 0. 95P 20) 10 140 1 979 1 oa0 1 901 SUBURBAN 1 982 OCCUPANCY & 1 900 1 95 1 904 1 90.3 VACANCY 1 987E RATE 90 1 40 1 30 120 110 1 00 e~o 2 1..1M 20.0% 70 90 ds.1 .40 916.O0|: 013.9% w o 20 1 0 1 979 1 901 1 980 1 982 1 903 1 9404 1 90 1 906 1 907E 10 MSA OCCUPANCY .MO & VACANCY RATE 1 .40 1 20 110 1 .3.2 1 00 1 O.2 950 1 0. 6 00 a 30 40 30 20 1 0 03 1979 1 1 901 90 OCCLUPIEO 1 982 194 VACANT SPACE SOURCE: Salomon Brothers, Inc. [131 1993 190 SPACE & Jones Lang Wootton Investment Research [141 26 190 97E CHAPTER 3 FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND THE WASHINGTON, D.C. REAL ESTATE MARKET and cons of foreign investment ongoing debate about the pros in They worry citizens and creating national security problems. about the United as the recent emergence States' are from American taking jobs country" thereby up the "buying that foreigners experts claim Some assets. U.S. in an are involved and financiers Economists, politicians, world's largest debtor nation and argue that a reversal of this trend Others satiate has investment for partly responsible been that and capital for U.S. appetite the necessary is investment foreign that believe economic repercussions. have severe flight) could (capital to such U.S. economic expansion and the decline in interest rates. above predictions, it is Notwithstanding the an understanding flows, and how of effect they is because This investors in Washington, values and foreign large the D.C. has a development addresses the issue of capital a discussion economics international country. property estate market have of the Washington, D.C. real the student of foreign and investment presence of capital in This this foreign significant impact patterns. on chapter flows, and then proceeds with interest in specifically, Washington, D.C. real 27 important that real estate. estate and, more INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS AND THE UNITED STATES The decade of the 80's has seen a significant increase in international capital flows. attributes the tional capital trend to recent Salomon Brothers report A economies into a single worldwide markets and the prosperity of As a result, economy. capital market and na- of separate integration the the U.S. is heavily influenced by the rest of the world. [63 Several world wide integration are important aspects of this First, international to the U.S. of risk. for a On this basis, certain U.S. investments adjusted returns than similar in- appear to have higher risk Second, as this international vestments in other countries. arbitrage continues, real disappear. will flow into mar- best real returns which provide the kets (countries) given level capital differentials will begin to return Obviously, there are numerous factors which could affect this equilibrium process including currency rate flucworld political inflation rates, tuations, Nevertheless, certain exactly this reason. participation. stand that it declined have to be For ex- grade office buildings in sev- ample, yields on institutional U.S. cities seem of U.S. assets classes attracting foreign capital for eral stability, etc. a as result of foreign (Note: It is important that the reader underadjusted real is differences in risk returns, not nominal returns, that would cause this international ar- bitrage process to occur). E133 flows continue, the U.S. will As these international capital capture a amount of disproportionate foreign investment. Attractive yields are only one reason; other reasons include: * The recent trade deficit U.S. balance of has flooded the world with dollars and resulted in a decline of the U.S. dollar in the world 28 currency markets. Accordingly, market. Also, the drop in global the in cheap look U.S. assets value of the dollar reduces the risk of further declines in the dollar's value. the dollar relative to Most significant is the value of the Japanese yen, attracting an onslaught investment. This is temporary, prove to likely of Japanese however, as nations act to correct the imbalance. * The U.S. is perceived to be politically represent a "safe haven" * The is U.S. market country for foreign investment. wealthy large, a is considered with Overseas less and limited seem opportunities investment market market". a "growth [203 Additionally, the investment opportunities. numerous stable and to desirable in this context. * The investment. encourages system enterprise U.S. free foreign The market is accessible to foreigners and places little regulation on private property. * The U.S. market appears relative because to many * with returns, subject inflation rates. provide superior markets. Additionally, in some are lower returns countries leveraged yields on U.S. investments foreign financed Some foreign borrowing costs than in the U.S., to to foreign nations, funds might exchange especially recently relaxed restrictions rates enhance and relative the Japanese, have on foreign investment by their institutions and other major investors. allowed for greater participation in the U.S. 29 overall This has WHY REAL ESTATE? Many of the similar reasons foreigners to those vestors. which For one, diversify the invest in real estate are motivate American real estate in- real estate provides an effective way to investment portfolio against inflation. This is especially appealing to the foreigner as many nations have historically suffered much higher inflation rates than in the their assets in real to 3OX of most U.S. 3% for to less than estate compared funds. for two especially appealing estate is U.S. real For foreign pension funds to invest up is common for example, it mandate. and regulatory investment policy invest a as a result capital into real estate significant portion of of in-house "predisposed" to foreigners are Also, many U.S. reasons. First, it provides a greater degree of liquidity than foreign real estate. tries occurs Turnover of real infrequently. estate in some foreign counvery active, The U.S. market is however, making it fairly easy to buy or sell a property. any time, there are numerous vailable for purchase. tend to be higher than pan and 6%-B% high quality U.S. properties a- Second, yields on U.S. properties similar properties elsewhere. Great Britain, for example, quality investments At In Ja- yields on institutional are currently less than 3%, compared to in the U.S. [213 WHY WASHINGTON, D.C. REAL ESTATE? The interest of market was foreign investors once newsworthy, but no decade, foreigners have arrived amounts first of prime in the longer. Washington, D.C. Over the last in force and purchased large investment property. The Europeans were (primarily Dutch and British pension funds) and, in the 30 late 70's and early 80's, began buying existing buildings and land. They were cently, the followed by Japanese. Also Turkey, and typically entered and, most represented are West Germany, the Mid-East, Lebanon, the Canadians re- investors from Greece, Belgium, France, Cyprus, other countries. several through the market the Foreigners purchase of an existing property or through a joint venture with an American foreigners have Recently, some investor. become more ag- developing property for their own gressive and are currently account. investors regard Washington as A wide range of international their primary According to one target. expert, Washington, D.C. is the number one destination for the European investor, and number three and New Angeles for the Japanese York. [223 Japanese insurance company Why Washington, D.C.? third largest feet has gone as far One reason space) in Los a to claim "today, [153 is that Washington has the Central Business District of office behind representative of A senior our next target." Washington is investor, the country. (in terms of square This provides the foreigner with numerous investment properties to select from. More important, however, Kong Factor": is what one broker the notion that the is running out of developable square feet of developable feet the year, exhausted in about to the supply of 11 years. [223 of 54 million square feet. rate of 2.9 million square developable land will be (See Figure 2-6.) stability of the local economy, along with relatively low vacancy rates are also attractive The strength and the area's The CBD has 30 million (floor area ratio) remaining, FAR the current absorption per central business district space. compared to an existing inventory Based on calls the "Hong foreign investor. As 31 described in Chapter 2, Wash- ington is experiencing rapid growth in employment, population come. Also, the presence stabilizing effect from a national of the federal on the local economy economic Washington, D.C. area time to to continue for some which is expected and income, downturn. government has a insulating the city Vacancy rates in are currently among the the lowest in the country. Another reason appealing is Washington is is con- of foreign leased Class A downtown office For example, fully interest. to other cities expensive relative sidered less that it space in Los Angeles, with comparable effective rents, is $20 to $70 per square foot more expensive than the lower cost of in Washington, D.C. [18] Also appealing is presence in acquiring an D.C. compared to other cities. buildings tend deal to be a good bulk restrictions. initial This is because smaller due to height and [233 Finally, Washington, D.C. is a city well known to foreigners. This is partly due to the City's international recognition as the Capitol of the United States, and partly due to the "European look" of the city. LOOKING TO THE FUTURE Foreigners did U.S. real estate market high a few years ago. near-term, foreign when the dollar was foreign eigners are from the at its all-time And most observers believe that in the in U.S. real estate investment tinue, as the dollar remains U.S. and profits and retreat not take their markets will con- weak, and yield spreads between remain substantial. generally long-term investors, they 32 Since for- tend to use exchange rates and yield differentials as "buy" signals only, not when For example, signals. "sell" early 1980's almost relation to high in was very the U.S. dollar during the real estate sales every other currency, there were very few by foreign investors. Based on this, it would seem that for- eign ownership of U.S. property will only increase in the future. will be constrained only Current investment over soft markets and longer term, Over the good product. scarcity of the deregulation of the and foreign institutional by apprehension global capital markets investors will continue, resulting in a further increase in U.S. real estate investment. What effects will foreign investment have on U.S. real estate and, specifically, Washington, D.C. real estate? are limited these effects foreign investment. the hoopla, foreign investcomprises just over 1% of ment in U.S. developed real estate the total market. is significant that foreign However, it focused on a very narrow market; class select cities, and buildings in resort properties. investment has been certain what "spill-over" effect, It is not activity will have in these and values have with U.S. markets, if any, foreign However, it would seem markets. investors gain increasing market yields decline and familiarity hotel certain types of markets, property In these office A downtown of foreign activity. risen as a result that as size of relatively small by the Despite all Nationally, foreign capital flow will spread into more cities and more property types. The impact clear. of First, foreign investment in Washington, the Washington, D.C. market will 33 D.C. is continue to capture a disproportionate amount of foreign its strong underlying fundamentals. for downtown and foreign activity. ment objectives American Last, certain suburban Second, the market price markets will be set by The foreigner's somewhat different invest- (see chapter 5) counterparts and the foreign capital due to enable them pay prices to outbid their that motivate long-term investment investor's sales. horizon forces them to focus on high quality properties and intensive increase values and also This will management. property place competitive pressures on other property owners to raise quality standards. Now that we estate, understand why we will take a foreigners invest closer look at who these investors are, and what they are investing in. 34 in U.S. real foreign CHAPTER 4 PROFILES OF INVESTORS So far, we have examined the explored the reasons foreigners of identifying and describing the all come in investors describing the vides a useful to the task various foreigners sizes, shapes characteristics of cur- Obviously, foreign the D.C. market. represented in rently and invest in U.S. and D.C. real now ready to turn our attention We are estate. Washington, D.C. market However, and forms. players pro- the various understanding of their modus operandi. Before proceeding, it is important that we reiterate the limitations of from our this study. efforts to foreign owned real deavored Data in this chapter was derived identify and describe the universe of estate in Washington. accurate, our to be we have en- While data gathering and interview process is subject to bias and error of omission. Appendix A presents a summary of our findings. WHO ARE THEY? There are many active in the vestor different categories D.C. market. is best divided of The typology of foreign investor the foreign in- into two classifications: nationality and business activity. 35 Nationality: the D.C. market. are represented in ten countries At least Canadians have been the most Historically, the Europeans and The British established a major presence in the late active. and were During the 1980's, Dutch the major became been involved in over since 1985 have Japanese who Germans and Canadians. the into the market has been the The most recent entry players. by followed immediately 1970's a dozen Also active have been Belgians, Germans, major transactions. Saudis, Scots, and Fins. [173 largest foreign Currently, the the by the British, followed In Figure 4-1) real U.S. (See Japanese have been has mod- favorable ex- result of more Japanese, relative to other foreigners. change rates for the denominated price the yen For example, Canadians. while European activity is probably the This erated. Japanese and the last two years, the active investors the most in D.C. are property owners foot of per square estate has declined by 41% since 1985. [12) Business Activity: The majority of the British and Dutch money has been provided by existing properties or through through outright purchases of development American insurance Other while and nationalities are investment foreign has or been large Japanese life and construction Canadian industry established Japanese developers. [213 placed primarily by the companies, with ventures joint placed either has been This money pension funds. [243 investment development from the companies. [9) & [253 has represented through funds and individuals. 36 come banks, pension FIGURE 4-1. FOREIGN INVESTOR INVOLVEMENT INTHE WASHINGTON, D.C. REAL ESTATE MARKET NATIONALITY OF INVESTOR CBD Belgium Canada Finland Germany Great Britain Japan Netherland Antilles Netherlands Saudia Arabia Scotland Unknown NUMBER OF INVESTORS NUMBER OF PROPERTIES SQUARE FEET OF BUILDING 1 4 1 3 22 12 2 4 2 1 4 56 2 6 1 3 22 12 2 7 3 1 5 64 421,000 1,556,000 140,000 1,403,000 3,137,737 3,654,497 192,000 485,000 437,655 101,000 1,464,000 12,991,889 53,000,000 Spring 1987 total inventory --- > SUBURBS Belgium Canada Finland Germany Great Britain Japan Netherland Antilles Netherlands Saudia Arabia Scotland Unknown TOTAL D.C. MSA Belgium Canada Finland Germany Great Britain Japan Netherland Antilles Netherlands Saudia Arabia Scotland Unknown E E E E E 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 11 7 Spring 1987 total inventory --- > 0 439,000 0 221,000 E 943,000 0 0 885,000 417,000 0 0 2,905,000 E 96,000,000 2 7 1 3 4 26 22 12 12 2 2 11 4 4 2 1 5 4 75 56 Spring 1987 total inventory 421,000 1,995,000 140,000 1,624,000 4,080,737 3,654,497 192,000 1,370,000 854,655 101,000 1,464,000 15,896,889 149,000,000 1 4 SOURCE: Blacks Office Leasing Guide [4] & Appendix A 37 --- ) (--- Foreign owned (--- Foreign owned E E E E E E (--- Foreign owned E = Partially estimated WHAT ARE THEY INVESTING IN? ers/developers of downtown are buyThe in D.C. buildings office investment might be an typical foreign investors majority of The vast similar. been remarkably preferences have their investment diverse, been very foreign investors have profiles of the While the 8 to 12 story office building district, preferably, in the "Golden in the central business Triangle" area of the CBD. Little interest has been shown for exception of a few retail and other property types, with the mixed-use projects. (See to be Purchases tend Appendix A) for all cash, and financial and ownership structures are typically not complex. To a lesser extent, the more aggressive foreigners have shown some interest close-in suburbs such in office properties in as Rosslyn and Alexandria. These investments are located in supply constrained markets and are typically developed by the investor. note that foreign interesting to It is seem to be changing over foreigners prefer to buy time. strategy, most As an entry with cash, office buildings, either alone, or fully leased, and building renovation, and also Canadians, to bear this behavior out. British and long histories in like to use counterparts. investors, but they are [273 have relatively behave very much Not only also heavily are they ag- involved in development, and in some instances, suburban development. 38 more For example, the of whom the D.C. market, tend to their American gressive Dutch, all and the local innovative financing and ownership structures. [263 & The data seems How- involved in de- more likely to become U.S. market, they are Class A in a joint venture. foreigners gain familiarity with ever, as the velopment investment patterns On the other have to the market, hand, the newcomers invested primarily existing in the Japanese, and buildings have adopted a very cautious approach. and their investments are very In summary, foreign investors diverse; however, there guide most foreigners' these biases in the certain biases are behavior. context strategy. 39 of Chapter the which seem 5 will foreign to discuss investment CHAPTER 5 THE FOREIGN INVESTOR'S STRATEGY FOR INVESTING IN UNITED STATES REAL ESTATE Describing foreign an investment investors strategy trying is like question "How high is up?" which characterizes all age old There are many answers, depending in which the question on the context answer the to was asked. Foreigners differ across nationalities, investor profiles and individual based on their experience and preferences. They also differ understanding of the U.S. market, and of the specific city in which they desire Where a to invest. Japanese life company may be only interested in fully leased, triple-A buildings in downtown Washington, a Japanese trading company might be developing a speculative high-rise in Los Angeles. A British pension fund, on the other hand, might adopt an entirely different strategy. While these differences can be similarities. By studying these to understand, and learn from, investor relative to his numerous, there are also many similarities, one can begin the philosophy of the foreign American counterpart. Our inter- views reveal several characteristics which are common to most foreign real estate investment strategies, nationality, preferences, and the like. 1. Location preferences 2. Property characteristics 3. Holding period 4. Relationship orientation 40 irrespective of These include: Location Preferences: Foreign investors, market, are very lack of newcomers aware of the importance to the performance their especially of a real estate familiarity with focus on a few select to of the American "good" location investment. the country, Because of they tend to locations which can readily be studied Their definition of good location reflects their preference for safe, stable markets; they are less con- and understood. "home run" investments and, cerned with therefore, are less adventurous than their American counterparts. [28) As part of their strategy, foreigners tend to focus on supply markets. E213 constrained characterized by size Generally, restrictions which and zoning competition and make growth markets these are limit more predictable and structured. The central business districts of Washington, Boston, and San Francisco are examples of such markets are less Foreigners believe higher vacancies omic downturn. cities that meet this criterion. susceptible to the and reduced rents associated with an econ- They view real estate investments under these conditions as inflation protected annuities. C13) Foreigners are also concerned of a market. and with the economic fundamentals They prefer cities with strong growth histories good prospects for future prefer diversified markets which cycles of a single industry. tination for foreign capital in lure in favor of the more growth. Additionally, they are less susceptible to the The sunbelt, a popular des- the 1970's, has lost its al- stable markets in the Boston Wash- ington corridor. Finally, foreigner's recognition. prefer cities which have international One aspect of this is that it is easier to gain 41 the support of ies. to already have a large foreign Also, such cities tend foreign investor. for the information network as an which serves contingent in familiar cit- the "home office" to invest [213 Property Characteristics: The few exceptions have been hotel, buildings. in office investment has been majority of foreign The vast and to a les- ser extent, retail properties. Office buildings are prefer- First, they are the predominant form red for three reasons. of real estate investment overseas; greater management. Second, type. much greater attention properties require types of investment other be less management intensive; office buildings tend to site this with familiarity thus, the foreigner has a can be lease terms office tenant Third, and on- more easily structured to match investment criteria. Because foreigners longer holding periods tend to have much than their American counterparts, they focus on high quality, Emphasis is efficient structures. placed on quality of fin- state-of-the-art technology and design. ish and investment, foreigners believe it is may increase the initial more than While this operating costs and offset by reduced added com- petitive advantage in attracting tenants. Holding Period: Foreigners American haven" tend to have investors. This estate. Because holding periods is consistent in chapter philosophy discussed also a function of a real much longer cultural 3. "capital However, it is inclination to hold investment developable 42 with the than land is scarce in many countries, foreigners emotional attachments tend to develop only if they have a problem. to property and will sell Relationship Orientation: lack of proximity to the Because of their vestors often rely on foreign in- U.S. intermediaries for support. This U.S. real estate professionals the form of hiring can be in U.S., on a fee or commission basis, or forming a joint venture with Foreigners a U.S. partner. and reputation and they have an They these relationships. [293 tablishing demand that the intermediary/partner by countrymen who Equitable, or real by a a Gerald Hines or an already have a presence in market. the greatest estate action best met criteria are Typically, these large, prestigious U.S. company such as Probably stress integrity intimate understanding of their investment objectives and culture. the U.S. cautious in es- tend to be very complaint of that Americans are professionals is oriented; relationships. As foreigners toward U.S. too trans- spend enough time developing a result, many Americans have little un- they do not derstanding for the foreign investor and therefore do not always effectively serve their needs. [303 Now that we have provided a clear profile of the "who's", "how's", and "why's" of foreign investment, it is time to focus on the ramifications of marizes our findings and such investment. Chapter 6 sum- discusses the implications foreign investor on the domestic real estate industry. 43 of the CHAPTER 6 SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS AND IMPLICATIONS foreseeable future, foreigners will be professionals. said than these relationships is easier However, developing they do foreigners have an almost "patient" capital. unlimited supply of Foreigners access it, For- and intermediaries; need advisors continue to also, for those who can done. continue to purchase and available for U.S. real estate eigners will For the As a result, numerous opportunities develop U.S. properties. will fad. U.S. real estate is not a Foreign activity in selective about who are cautious and very business with. Accordingly, U.S. real estate pro- fessionals must understand the foreign mind-set and develop a marketing program which We among foreigners, exist as as between Americans and foreigners. believe syncrasies our research of foreign chapter is dedicated to and and the cultural sensitive to differences that philosophical well is explaining the provides investors. insight The into the remainder of idiothis summarizing our significant findings implications for fessionals. 44 U.S. real estate pro- SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS The following is a summary of the in this report. viously described ceptions to each item; however, significant findings prethere are ex- Obviously, these findings tend to re- flect the most likely behavior of the foreigner. Foreigners view U.S. real estate as a."capital haven". Safety may be the most compelling reason foreigners invest in moil overseas has made international portant part of the States is viewed of free diversification foreign investment strategy. in this Private property rights country, mitigating an im- The United the last bastion as politically stable and enterprise. sacrosanct and economic tur- A history of political estate. U.S. real are considered the fear of expro- priation. Additionally, an investment in real estate in a tangible asset, as opposed to a paper is an investment (financial) asset. This has an added emotional value to the foreigner. Foreigners are long-term investors in U.S. real estate. of the foreign investment strategy, The capital haven aspect along with the foreigner's real estate, results in cultural disinclination long holding periods. to sell Where an American investor will typically hold real estate for 7 to 10 years, a foreign investor will hold real estate for 25 years, or longer. Because of this long-term perspective, foreigners prefer high quality, state-of-the-art technology and 45 design in the prop- management of the physical Foreign Also, foreigners invest. which they erties in asset. returns under accept lower investors will stress good certain conditions. for First, foreigners of reasons. a variety their attention on made it reduced yields and This is analogous to to participate. is the the "winner" an auction where to pay; that is, the item Since foreign in- it the most. goes to the party who values market. thin markets has more expensive party with the highest willingness have focused the U.S. a very narrow slice of intense competition in these The resulting higher prices) (pay returns accept lower Foreign investors vestors place a higher value on certain downtown office properties, they such properties), foreigners that to many foreigners, atively cheap. will overseas even higher) on U.S. investments of a function is This other countries. The belief not compet- favorable are such exchange (making leveraged yields competing in- and lack of safe haven aspect Third, the foreign investment strategy suggests pay a premium for (i.e. U.S. looks rel- investment in the rates, low financing costs of the are generally types Second, global economic conditions itive bidders. vestments in property favored less On properties. suburban American counterparts for tend to outbid their that foreigners low risk, high quality properties. that foreigners pay too much for U.S. real estate may not be true.. Relative to other real estate investments, foreigners do pay more; however, in the constrained markets foreigners prefer, probably reasonable. And when very narrow, supply yields and prices are exchange rates and overseas financing are considered, returns for foreigners may even be 46 superior to those that can be achieved by American investors. holding period, it is conceivable Given the foreigner's long that yields may decline for these the appetite further as properties exceeds their availability. Exchange rates important are in foreign the investment decision. Favorable exchange rates allow the foreigner to buy more U.S. product for vest. the money, thereby into the U.S. of Japanese money explain the recent flow This helps As exchange rates change, however, eigner does not show an inclination to sell the purpose of capturing currency gains. belief that to in- providing an impetus foreigners are long term the for- U.S. property for This reinforces the investors, more inter- ested in protecting their investment than maximizing gain-opportunities. Foreign investors have strong location preferences. Foreigners are ognized cities. primarily interested in They properties located show a strong bias for in the central business generally avoid suburban properties due derstanding of the suburb; suburbs. internationally recClass A office district. They to their lack of un- most foreign countries do not have They are also very market conscious and prefer sup- ply constrained locations fundamentals. These with excellent underlying economic preferences are not surprising probably no different than those of an American investor go- ing into an unfamiliar domestic market. 47 and are Foreigners are "predisposed" to invest in real estate. important component of has historically been an Real estate investment portfolio. the foreign Many foreign pension funds have up to a third of their assets in real estate compared to 3% less than Foreign investors funds. for American pension understand the product and are considered to be excellent asset managers. Foreign investors are relationship oriented. Probably are too transaction ori- that U.S. real estate professionals ented; and enough time developing relationships they don't spend seem to have little to build Foreigners prefer investor is the foreign complaint of the biggest understanding foreigner. of the relationships with "name brand" U.S. organizations or, alternatively, with countrymen who understand the U.S. market. Foreign investors are cash buyers. In general, cash buyers. foreign equity estate are Transactions and ownership structures complicated deal tend to However, examples were noted where more structures were used. It is not clear as to be straightforward. what investors in D.C. real extent U.S. cash purchases are funded with overseas borrowings. As foreign more investors become familiar with the U.S. market, they act more like U.S. investors. A review of the above list reveals 48 many differences between foreign strongest differences The investors. and American Japanese. market, most notably the However, for foreign invery few differences longer history in D.C., vestors with a profiles become Investment strategies and risk were noted. to the D.C. that are relatively new appear among foreigners For example, very similar to those of the American investor. certain is one exception: There icans. area, behave very much record in the long track cognizant of investors, all and Dutch Canadian, British their capital foreigners with a like Amer- remain extremely and therefore haven requirement continue to be long-term investors. As gain foreign investors American a greater understanding of how U.S. markets culture and operate, we they begin to act more like American investors. foreigners will become more inclined to property types, to make lines At believe Accordingly, invest in different greater use of U.S. capital markets, diversify into other geographic and to the markets and business (i.e. brokerage, construction, mortgage banking, etc.). the extreme, the foreign investor will become indis- tinguishable from the American investor. IMPLICATIONS Evidence suggests foreigners will continue to actively invest in D.C. real estate. The annual volume of such investment by a particular country or investor will be affected by exchange rates, economic conditions, and other exogenous factors; however, total ownership will continue term commitment to the market. will to grow due to the long- A strengthening of the dollar not cause foreigners to sell U.S. real Over time, established foreign activities into different investors will property types, 49 estate. expand their different geo- cess will accelerated if yields in be the preferred markets and other to other properties decline relative continue to This pro- and into suburban development.- graphical regions Foreign investors will become more and more "Ameri- canized" in their behavior, even to the extent of setting up markets. U.S. based real or purchasing staffed pri- estate companies marily by Americans. The foreign newcomers to the market will the more conservative strategy of continue to follow investing in Class A down- town office buildings; however, they may consider second tier cities attractive if Washington, New York, Los An- yields in geles, etc. are perceived to be too low. turnover of foreigners. periods for long holding haven" will "capital for a The desire reduce the This will reduce long properties which may foreign owned term commission to motivate continue Also, it opportunities for intermediaries. will strengthen the foreigner's and construction; this commitment to quality design increase the could number of for- eigners who develop for their own account. Finally, the foreign investor will continue to pay top dollar for properties that meet eigner's willingness allow them erties their stringent criteria. to accept lower yields on their American to out-bid The for- these propcounterparts. The implication of this is that certain U.S. real estate markets may be undervalued. markets before prices are ities those who can For identify these bid-up, substantial gain opportun- may exist. In conclusion we believe that an increasing foreign presence in the U.S. marketplace will present great opportunities for all kinds of U.S. real estate players. 50 APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SELLER page 1 of 9 SQ FT of BUILDING ? PRICE/COST ? Belgium Comafi Real Estate ? Ferris Building 1720 Eye Street Washington, D.C. Belgium Comofi Real Estate ? Chanin Building 815 Connecticut Ave NW Washington, D.C. 200,000 ? Canada Cadillac Fairview Land assembly Fariview ParkFalls Church, VA 439,000 ? Canada Cadillac Fairview Unicorp-Land sale One Franklin Square 1301 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 600,000 ? Canada Manufactures Life Insurance Company George Nolin Local partnership 1850 M Street Washington, D.C. 241,000 ? Canada Manufactures Life Insurance Company Trammel Crow Franklin Square 1350 Eye Street NW Washington, D.C. 335,000 39,000,000 Canada Manufactures Life Insurance Company Land assembly 750 17th Street NW Washington, D.C. 130,000 ? Canada Olympia & York ? The Investment Building 1511 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 250,000 ? Canada Unicorp ? Potomac Buildings Washington, D.C. * ? This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 51 ? While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER SELLER ? page 2 of 9 PRICE/COST PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SQ FT of BUILDING Foxhall Square 3301 New Mexico Avenue Washington, D.C. 140,000 ? Finland Republic of Finland Germany Deutschbank with Gerald Hines Land assembly Columbia Square 555 13th street NW Washington, D.C. 530,000 ? Germany KanAs with Western Devlpmnt Co Land assembly Washington Harbour 3000 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 564,000 ? Germany Lehndorf Group & Eupn Pn Fds Ted Lerner / Gedelski Tysons Corner Shpg Ctr Vienna, VA Germany Lehndorf Group & Eupn Pn Fds Ted Gould 1333 New Hampshire Av NW Washington, D.C. Great Britian Virginia Corporation ? Patrick Henry Building 601 D Street NW Washington, D.C. ? ? Great Britian British Coal Bd & 2nd Intercontinental Properties ? 122 C Street NW Washington, D.C. ? ? Great Britian British Coal Bd & PanAm Properties Watergate 600 Virginia NW Washington, D.C. ? ? Great Britian British Petroleum Pension Fund & PanAs Properties Mazza Galleria (Mall) Wisconsin Avenue MD - Bethesda ? ? * Manahoe ? ? 160,000,000 309,000 This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 52 ? While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER SELLER Great Britian Deansbank (Church of England) Great Britian Eagle Star Properties Great Britian Viking Group Eagle Star Properties (innegotiation) Great Britian EBW Inc. (Edward, Bennet & Williams) Great Britian ESN Great Britian Farragate Associates (Wingate/Divett) 6reat Britian page 3 of 9 PRICE/COST PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SQ FT of BUILDING Prudential (50% JV w/buyer) McPherson Building 901 15th Street NW Washington, D.C. 230,000 ? Land assembly 816 Connecticut Ave NW Washington, D.C. 24,000 ? Desonet Building 1155 Connecticut Ave NW Washington, D.C. 95,000 ? Otis Building 810 18th Street NW Washington, D.C. 27,487 ? Land assembly L'Enfant Plaza East 470-90 L'Enfant Plaza Washington, D.C. 400,000 Army navy Club Army Navy Club 1627 Eye Street NW Washington, D.C. 103,000 ? Graycoat & Grosvenor Trust (Duke of Windsor) Wilco Investments Longfellow Building 1201 Connecticut Ave NW Washington, D.C. 168,000 30,100,000 Great Britian Greycoat K & K Properties Colorado Building 1341 6 Street NW Washington, D.C. 130,000 ? Great Britian Grosvenor Trust (Duke of Windsor) USLICO (United States Life Ins. Co.) Olmsted Building 1701 Pennsylvania Ave NW Washington, D.C. 175,000 52,500,000 ? * This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there say be some inaccuracies inthe data. While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SELLER page 4 of 9 SQ FT of BUILDING PRICE/COST 1735 North Lynn Street Rosslyn, VA ? ? ? 1850 North Lynn Street Rosslyn, VA ? ? London and Leeds (Ladbroke Group) ? Commonwealth Building 1300 Wilson Street Rosslyn, VA 280,000 ? Great Britian Prudential of UK ? Board of Trade Bldg 1129 20th Street NW Washington, D.C. 122,000 ? Great Britian Rush & Tompkins Local Partnership 1229 Wisconsin Ave NW Washington, D.C. 15,000 7,000,000 Great Britian Solomon Freshwater Albert Small / Chatalin Trust 801 North Capitol St NE Washington, D.C. Great Britian UK America Property/ Easley McCaleb et al Great Britian Viking Group Great Britian Viking Group & Markborough Great Britian London and Leeds (Ladbroke Group) Great Britian London and Leeds (Ladbroke Group) Great Britian * Albert Ginsberg ? ? Walker Building 735 15th Street NW Washington, D.C. 72,000 ? Land assembly 1146 19th Street NW Washington, D.C. 45,000 ? Land assembly 2001 L Street NW Washington, D.C. 146,000 ? ? This list is not all inclusive and no doubt sose foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 54 While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER SELLER ? page 5 of 9 PRICE/COST PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SQ FT of BUILDING Commonwealth Building 1625 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 106,000 ? 110,000 ? Great Britian Weir & Assoc Great Britian Wimpey Holdings Land assembly 1020 19th Street NW Washington, D.C. Great Britian ?? / GLM Corp Bruce Berger Embassy Building 1424 16th Street NW Washington, D.C. 50,000 2,000,000 Great Britian & Japan London and Leeds & Sumitomo Life JBG Associates The Brown Building 1200 19th Street NW Washington, D.C. 235,250 37,000,000 Japan Asahi Mutual Life Prudential (50y JV w/buyer) One Thomas Circle One Thomas Circle NW Washington, D.C. 225,000 24,700,000 Japan C. Itoh & Shaw & Rose Associates Land assembly Embassy Suites Hotel 1210 22nd Street NW Washington, D.C. Japan Dai-Ichi Seimei American Equitable (JV - kept 25Z) 2025 MStreet NW Washington, D.C. 173,715 Japan Individual investor Blue, Frank & Kaimons The Esplanade Building 1990 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 260,000 Japan Kokusai Kogyo & Epn Pn Fds(Lndrf) Cadillac Fairview (JV with Buyers) 1001 Pennsylvania Ave NW Washington, D.C. 758,000 ? This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 55 ? 55,000,000 ? While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER SELLER page 6 of 9 - PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SQ FT of BUILDING PRICE/COST 86,900,000 Japan Kondo Bosekei (Nagashami) Hall Financial (Dallas) Juduciary Center 555 4th Street NW Washington, D.C. 331,000 Japan Meiji Mutual Life (25% JV w/seller) Equitable or Jim Farragut 3 Lafayette Center 1155 21st Street NW Washington, D.C. 226,000 Japan Mitsubishi Bank & Tower Constr. (loan) Development deal Washington Square 1050 Connecticut Ave NW Washington, D.C. 680,000 Japan Mitsui 1401 New York Avenue NW Washington, D.C. 164,553 ? Japan Nissei Realty (Nippon Life) AMA Building 1101 Vermont Avenue NW Washington, D.C. 164,229 35,750,000 Japan Shuwa U.S. News Complex 2300 N Street NW Washington, D.C. 300,000 ? Japan Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. (La Solana) 1750 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 151,000 30,000,000 Netherland Antilles Lauriston Company NV ? 2555 M Street NW Washington, D.C. 32,000 ? Netherland Antilles Marigold Properties ? 2021 K Street NW Washington, D.C. 160,000 ? * ? AMA Boston Properties (under negotiation) Basilea, Inc. ? 200,000,000 This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 56 While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER Netherlands Bexley Properties Netherlands Buverso Properties Netherlands Buvermo Properties Netherlands Buvermo Properties Netherlands Buverso Properties (convertable mort.) Netherlands DIHC (Dutch Institutional Holding Co) Netherlands DIHC / Savage-Fogarty Netherlands DIHC / Savage-Fogarty Netherlands DIHC / Savage-Fogarty * PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SELLER page 7 of 9 SQ FT of BUILDING PRICE/COST ? 2021 L Street NW Washington, D.C. 54,000 The Jefferson Building 1225 19th Street NW Washington, D.C. 72,000 1815 North Lyrtn Street Rosslyn, VA 93,000 ? Raw Land ? 1099 30th Street NW Washington, D.C. 34,000 ? Land assembly TransPotomac Plaza North Fairfax Street Alexandria, VA 304,000 50,000,000 Land assembly 1023 15th Street NW Washington, D.C. 52,000 ? Flour Mill Building 1000 Potomac NW Washington, D.C. 121,000 ? 99 Canal Street Alexandria, VA 488,000 ? George Nolin Local partnership ? 14114 Lee Jackson Hiway Chantilly, VA Land assembly ? ? Land assembly 12,000,000 125,000,000 This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there say be some inaccuracies in the data. 57 While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER SELLER PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION page 8 of 9 SO FT of BUILDING PRICE/COST Netherlands DIHC with Western Devl & Trammel Crow Land assembly Hay Market Square Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, D.C. Raw Land 200,000,000 Netherlands Royal Dutch Shell Dr. Gerber Farragut Building 900 17th Street NW Washington, D.C. 152,000 34,000,000 Saudia Arabia 19 L Realty Company 1899 L Street NW Washington, D.C. 137,655 ? Saudia Arabia Hadid Invstmt Group Land assembly 1001 New York Avenue NW Washington, D.C. 180,000 40,000,000 Saudia Arabia Hadid Invstat Group Land assembly 1212 New York Avenue NW Washington, D.C. 120,000 25,000,000 Saudia Arabia Hadid Inystat Group ? Tysons Building 1300 North 17th Street Rosslyn, VA 417,000 ? Scotland Scottish Amicable Life Assurance Society ? 1015 18th Street Washington, D.C. 101,000 ? Unknown Banque Indosuez & Wilco Investments Prudential 1030 15th Street NW Washington, D.C. 179,000 29,300,000 Unknown CAG Associates ? BAB Building 1019 19th Street NW Washington, D.C. 93,000 ? * ? This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 58 While APPENDIX A WASHINGTON, D.C. PROPERTIES INVOLVING FOREIGN INVESTORS NATIONALITY of INVESTOR INVESTOR / BUYER page 9 of 9 SELLER PROPERTY NAME & LOCATION SQ FT of BUILDING PRICE/COST Bank of Nova Scotia DAON Building 1300 New York Avenue NW Washington, D.C. 750,000 145,000,000 Unknown Inter-American Development Bank Unknown Ivera Corporation (offshore tax shelter) ? 711 14th Street NW Washington, D.C. ? ? Unknown Ivera Corporation (offshore tax shelter) ? 1331 6 Street Washington, D.C, ? ? * This list is not all inclusive and no doubt some foreign owned property has been overlooked. every attempt was made to be accurate, there may be some inaccuracies in the data. 59 While NOTES 1. "Administration Blasts June 24, 1987. 2. "Real Estate Investment Outlook," Emerging Trends in Real Estate: 1987, Equitable Real Estate Investment Man agement, Inc, November 1986. 3. Position in "Foreign Direct Investment R. Peter DeWitt, the United States 1980 1985," Real Estate Review, Winter 1987. 4. "Office Directory," Hill, Spring 1987. 5. The Estate," Real U.S. and Institutions "Foreign Mortgage and Real Estate Executives Report, Warren, Gorham & Lamont, Inc, June 15, 1987. 6. in U.S. Real Estate MarAnthony Downs, "Foreign Capital kets," Bond Market Research Real Estate, Salomon Brothers, Inc, April 1987. 7. Investors Consider U.S. Property Ronald Derven, "Foreign Investment Is Expected To Be A Mega'Stable'; Japanese trend," National Real Estate Investor, July 1986. 8. Vice Preswith Lawrence J. White, Executive Interview in Washington, Companies, Development of Hadid ident D.C. (June 24, 1987). 9. L. Monahan, International Business Interview with Edward Massachusetts (June 11, 1987). Cambridge, Consultant, in Trade Measure," Washington Post, Blacks Office Leasing Guide, McGraw and the Small Estate Real III, "American Horton 10. Ted Japanese Investor - Opportunities in a Growing Market," a Harvard Business School, for the short paper prepared December, 1986. 11. Shulman, "A Look Behind Office David J. Kostin and David Vacancy Rates," Bond Market Research Real Estate, Salomon Brothers, Inc, June 25, 1987. 12. Bond Market Investment in U.S. Real Estate," "Japanese Research - Real Estate, Salomon Brothers, Inc, March 1987. 13. Mari Canton, Adele M. Hayutin and 60 David J. Kostin, "Washington, D.C. Real Estate Market," Bond Market Research - Real Estate, Salomon Brothers, Inc, April 1987. 14. Metropolitan Washington Office Markets: Bureaucracy and Technocracy in the "Information Age", Jones Lang Wootton Investment Research, 1986. 15. Russell C. Lindner and Edward L. Monahan, Japanese Investments in U.S. Real Estate: Status, Trends and outlook, M.I.T. Center for Real Estate Development, Cambridge, Mass, 1986. 16. Interview with Dianne Schachner, Business Development, (June 23, 1987). Daly, in Washington, D.C. Leo A. In the WashL. Sherburne, "The Foreign Investor 17. Mary ington, D.C. Market," Pipeline, District of Columbia Building Industry Association, August 1986. in "Foreign Investors Smith and Kevin Whalen, 18. Michael (A United States Real Estate: Are They Really Different? M.I.T. Angles Area)," The Los of Activity in Review Center for Real Estate Development Thesis, July 31, 1987. Chicago Investment in Nooney, "Foreign Direct 19. Deborah From DoReal Estate - Are Foreign Investors Different Real Estate Develfor mestic Investors?," M.I.T. Center opment Thesis, July 31, 1987. 20. Buvermo PropJohn Gardner, President of Interview with erties, in Washington, D.C. (June 26, 1987). 21. of Julian Josephs, President with Julian Interview Josephs Company, in Washington, D.C. (June 24, 1987). of Investment Warren Dahlstrom, Director 22. Interview with Ellis, in WashMcCall / Grubb & at Leggat Brokerage ington, D.C. (June 25, 1987). Director of Russell C. Lindner, Managing 23. Interview with D.C. (June 24, in Washington, Saint Properties, Bear 1987). 24. Interview with Jeffery A. Scott, Investment Associate and Lang Analyst with Jones Andrew McAllister, Investment (June 22, 1987). Wootton, in Washington, D.C. 25. Manager, Washington Bright III, with J. Paul Interview Insurance ComManufactures Life Office of Real Estate pany, in Washington, D.C. (June 23, 1987). 26. Partner in Larson, Ball Interview with M. Anthony Gould, & Gould, in Washington, D.C. (June 23, 1987). 61 27. U.S. Real Estate in Investment of European "Scope Changing," WG&L Real Estate OUTLOOK, Summer 1987. is in Partner Donald A. Brown, with interview 28. Telephone Washington, D.C. (June & Gillidonhorn, in Jacobs, Brown 23, 1987). 29. President at III, Vice William B. Alsup Interview with (June -26, D.C. in Washington, Gerald D. Hines Interests, 1987). Chairman - Executive Jul'ien G. Redele', with 30. Interview President with Jeffery H. Riddel, Vice and Committee in Washington, D.C. (June Savage/Fogarty Companies, Inc, 25, 1987). 62