Water Services Development Plan Chapter 4 Water Balance, Resource Planning and Management of City of Cape Town Status: Comprehensive WSDP www.capetown.gov.za/water/wsdp December 2001 Table of Contents TABLE OF CONTENTS ...........................................................2 LIST OF TABLES .................................................................3 LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................4 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ......................................................5 CHAPTER 4 ........................................................................6 4 WATER BALANCE, RESOURCE PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT ........7 4.1 WATER BALANCE ....................................................................................................... 7 4.2 INTEGRATED WATER RESOURCE PLANNING ........................................................ 13 4.3 4.4 4.5 WATER DEMAND MANAGEMENT (WDM) ............................................................. 17 WATER RESTRICTIONS .......................................................................................... 18 RE-USE OF TREATED WASTEWATER EFFLUENT................................................... 19 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.1.4 4.1.5 4.1.6 4.1.7 Water Resources ............................................................................................. 7 Groundwater ..................................................................................................... 7 Surface Water................................................................................................. 8 The Skuifraam Scheme and Other Future Water Resource Schemes9 Current and Future Water Demands .......................................................... 9 Effluent Returned to Source...................................................................... 10 Unaccounted-for-water (UAW) Analysis ................................................. 10 4.2.1 4.2.2 Background...................................................................................................... 13 Discussion and results of the IWRP Study ............................................. 13 GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP List of Tables Table 4.1 Groundwater Resources ..................................................................................... 7 GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP List of Figures Figure 4.1 Existing Water Demand Distribution........................................................... 11 Figure 4.2 Future Water Demand Projection based on Historic Trend .................. 11 Figure 4.3 Existing Water Supply Resources and Location of Potential Future Schemes ........................................................................................................................ 12 Figure 4.4 Impact of Packages 1+2 on Future Water Demand ................................. 15 Figure 4.5 Impact of Packages 1+2 on Future Water Demand (Overall) ............... 16 Figure 4.6 Impact of Package 1-3 on Water Demand of Total Supply Area ......... 16 GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP List of Abbreviations AADD AFU CCT CFA CMA CMC DM DWAF EIA GLS I&AP IDP IMEP IWRP MCDA MNF MLC PNE PDG UAW URV WC VIP WDM WSDP WTW WWTW Annual Average daily demand Automatic Flushing Urinal City of Cape Town Cape Flats Aquifer Cape Metropolitan Area Cape Metropolitan Council Demand Management Department of Water Affairs and Forestry Environmental Impact Assessment Geustyn Loubser Streicher Inc Interested and Affected Party Integrated Development Plan Integrated Metropolitan Environmental Policy Integrated Water Resource Planning Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Minimum Night Flow Metropolitan Local Council Protected Natural Environment Palmer Development Group Unaccounted For Water Unit Reference Value Water Conservation Ventilated Improved Pit Latrine Water Demand Management Water Services Development Plan Water Treatment Works Wastewater Treatment Works GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP Chapter 4 Water Balance, Resource Planning and Management GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP 4 Water Balance, Resource Planning and Management Issues: • Development of additional water resources; • Importance of implementing a water demand and conservation management strategy to optimise the use of existing water resources and reduce high unaccounted-for-water; • Unaccounted-for-water needs to be monitored on a distribution zone basis; • High stormwater infiltration in sewers to be addressed. 4.1 Water Balance 4.1.1 Water Resources One of the major issues facing Water Services in the CCT is the limited water resources. The current shortage of raw water storage capacity has markedly increased the risk of water shortages occurring in the Cape Metropolitan Area from the year 2001 onwards. The lack of storage capacity coupled with 3 years of below average rainfall between 1998 and 2000 led to DWAF imposing low level (10% reduction in water demand required) water restrictions upon the users of water from the Western Cape Water Supply System. In order to understand the limitations of existing water resources a description of the existing water resources are herewith provided, where after details on future schemes/options will be discussed. For a more detailed description of the available existing water resources, possible future water resources as well as water resource planning issues, GO TO the document entitled “Water Resources and Water Resource Planning”. 4.1.2 Groundwater The 4 groundwater resources in the City of Cape Town (CCT) are summarised in Table 4.1 below. The volume of groundwater abstracted by consumers residing in the urban peripheral areas that do not have access to bulk water services is unknown. Table 4.1 Groundwater Resources Aquifer Albion Spring Atlantis Cape Flats Newlands Total No. of Boreholes Not applicable 44 Not yet developed Not yet developed Firm Yield (1:50 yr) Mm3/year <1 4.4 18 10 Approx: 33.4 GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP % of Total Requirements 1.8% of total resources 4.1.3 Surface Water Most of the water resources serving the CCT are stored in dams during the wet winter months in order to ensure a continuous water supply during the dry summer months. The CCT utilises water from various dams within the CMA and also from dams outside the CMA. Some of the dams are operated and controlled by the CCT, whilst the other dams are operated and controlled by the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry (DWAF). The CCT currently obtains approximately 70 to 75% of its raw water requirements from DWAF and the remainder from its own sources. Approximately 15% of the raw water requirements are obtained from sources within the CMA. The following dams and rivers are utilised as shown on Figure 4.3. DAMS/RIVERS OWNED AND OPERATED BY APPROXIMATE% OF TOTAL SUPPLY REQUIREMENTS FIRM YIELD (1:50 YEAR) M m3 Theewaterskloof Dam/ Kleinplaas Dam DWAF DWAF 43% 219 Voëlvlei Dam DWAF 20% 105 Palmiet River DWAF 7% 22,5 Wemmershoek Dam CMC 15% 54 Steenbras Upper and Steenbras Lower Dam TOTAL CMC 10,7% 40 Major Sources 440.5 Minor Sources Simon’s Town: Lewis Gay Dam Kleinplaas Land en Zeezicht Dam (From Lourens River) Table Mountain: Woodhead Hely-Hutchinson De Villiers Dam Victoria Dam Alexandra Dam GRAND TOTAL CMC 0,4% 1,85 CMC 0,6% 0,5 CMC 1,5% 5** 98.2%* 447.85 *The balance of the total supply requirements is made up from the Atlantis Aquifer (1,5%) and Albion Springs (0,3%). ** This figure includes Albion Spring. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP 4.1.4 The Skuifraam Scheme and Other Future Water Resource Schemes The Skuifraam Dam and the Skuifraam Supplement Scheme are the next major water resource schemes to be constructed in the Western Cape. DWAF is responsible for the implementation of the two schemes. The Department of Water Affairs and Forestry have stated that they are satisfied that sufficient progress has been made by the CCT with respect to the implementation of water demand management and that the implementation of the Skuifraam Dam should proceed as a parallel process. Further water augmentation schemes that could possibly be implemented in the short to medium term include the Voëlvlei/Augmentation Scheme Phase I, the Table Mountain Group Aquifer, the Cape Flats Aquifer, the Lourens River Diversion Scheme and the Eerste River Diversion Scheme. 4.1.5 Current and Future Water Demands The water demand of the CCT for the hydrological year ending October 2000 was 851 Ml/day (including UAW and bulk losses in bulk pipelines) with a distribution as indicated in Figure 4.1. These figures will be updated as soon as the latest water demand readings have been verified. The City is also responsible for the supply of a further 59 Ml/d to Paarl and Wellington situated in the Drakenstein Municipality. The total bulk water supplied by CCT in within and outside the Cape Metropolitan Area (CMA) for the hydrological year ending October 2000 was 910 Ml/d as also indicated on in Figure 4.1. The historic trend of the total bulk water supplied by the CCT between 1973 and 1997 is shown in Figure 4.2. Based on this graph the estimated water demand would increase to between 1020 and 1200 Ml/d by 2006 by assuming the historic trend of 4%. The Integrated Water Resource Planning Study assumed that the future unconstrained growth rate for water demand would be 3%. This would translate to an estimated water demand of 1100 Ml/d by 2006. The implementation of the recommendations contained in the Integrated Water Resource Planning (IWRP) study, which include interalia pressure management, user education, elimination of automatic flushing urinals, leakage repair, tariffs, metering and credit control, could reduce this water demand to an estimated 940 Ml/d. The IWRP study is further discussed in section 4.2 of this report. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP 4.1.6 Effluent Returned to Source The total wastewater flow generated within the CCT amounted to 528 Ml/d, including stormwater infiltration, for the year ending June 2000 or approximately 66% of the total bulk water demand. Other statistics concerning wastewater are: Approximately 33.5 Ml/d (6.5%) of wastewater is discharged directly via marine outfall sewers; • 52 992 tonnes/annum of dry sludge is produced; • Approximately 9% of treated effluent is re-used. As for water demand, the same factors mentioned would also impact on the future wastewater flow but also the provision of on-site sanitation, which would result in a reduction of the future sewer flows, and maintenance to reduce stormwater infiltration. • 4.1.7 Unaccounted-for-water (UAW) Analysis UAW is the total amount of water losses or unmetered water. It varies geographically with the highest UAW figures generally recorded in the lowincome areas. The UAW is dependent on the following indirect and direct factors: Indirectly: Pressure in the distribution system, Age of the distribution system, Density of connections and length of pipelines, Management and operation of the system, Infrastructure Land use % service connections metered Directly: Mains leaks Service connection leaks Reservoir overflows Metering inaccuracies Illegal connections Unbilled consumption Limited information was available to accurately calculate the UAW. The Integrated Water Resource Planning Study estimated that the CCT UAW is approximately 198 Ml/d or 23% of the total bulk water consumption. Further investigation is required to accurately determine the UAW which can only be performed on a suburb or bulk distribution zone basis. This entails the comparison of bulk water meter records with the water sales in each zone based on individual meter records. Such detailed investigations have been performed for the Blaauwberg, Helderberg, Oostenberg, Tygerberg (Central, West and South) and South Peninsula, but need to be expanded to the other areas, i.e Cape Town and Tygerberg Coastal, North and East. The UAW for all areas per distribution zone needs to be monitored on a continuous basis. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP Figure 4.1 Existing Water Demand Distribution Current Water Demand of the CCT Current Water Demand of the CMA Total = 851 Ml/d Total = 910 Ml/d Paarl 5.1% (47 UAW Ml/d) Wellington Rural & Other 1.2% (11 Ml/d) 0.5% (0.5 Ml/d) 23% (198 Ml/d) Large Users 14% (123 Ml/d) CCT Total Other 5% (41 Ml/d) Industrial incl. Bulk Residential Bus./Comm. 4% (38 Ml/d) 5% (41 Ml/d) Losses 49% (410 Ml/d) 93% (851 Ml/d) Figure 4.2 Future Water Demand Projection based on Historic Trend Bulk Water Consumption Projection Based on Historical AADD* 1200 1100 1000 AADD (Ml/d) 900 800 700 600 500 Result of Water Restrictions 400 300 200 100 0 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Date Historical Linear Trend Current Trend at 4 % p.a. * This graph includes the bulk water supplied to areas outside the CMA GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP IWRP Study Figure 4.3 Existing Water Supply Resources and Location of Potential Future Schemes GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP 4.2 Integrated Water Resource Planning 4.2.1 Background Towards the end of 1999 the former Cape Metropolitan Council (CMC) identified to the need to adopt an integrated water resource planning approach to manage the future water demand in the Cape Metropolitan Area (CMA). In order to achieve this objective, the CMC appointed a consortium of Ninham Shand and Arcus Gibb in December 1999 to carry out an “ Integrated Water Resource Planning” (IWRP) study GO TO. The aim of the IWRP Study was to investigate at pre-feasibility level various water demand management initiatives along with 3 small water supply augmentation schemes. The study considered the technical, institutional, socio-economic, environmental and financial aspects of the options using a multi-criteria decision making analysis. Recommendations to the CMC on where to focus their resources and attentions with the aim of meeting and managing the water demand within the CMA were made. During the course of the IWRP Study it became apparent that further planning integration should take place with potential water supply schemes outside the CMA. The schemes considered that were outside the CMA are: the Voëlvlei Augmentation Scheme and the Table Mountain Group Aquifer. A study of these schemes together with the potential for desalination paints a more holistic picture of the water resources which could potentially be available to the CMA over the medium term. 4.2.2 Discussion and results of the IWRP Study The total water demand of the CCT, West Coast Municipality and Agriculture is currently in excess of the available supply by approximately 8 %. This situation would progressively deteriorate if the growth in water demand were allowed to continue unabated. Water restrictions of increasing severity would become the norm and the restrictions would eventually detrimentally affect the economy of the Western Cape. There exists three ways to balance the water demand figure to the water supply figures, namely to implement measures to: 1) 2) 3) reduce the demand over a period of time; increase the water supply available; reduce the demand and increase the supply simultaneously. The long term planning and implementation of water demand management initiatives and water supply schemes should be based on achieving a balance between projected growth in water demand and the available supply in order to ensure a 98 % level of supply assurance in the long term. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP The option of imposing restrictions is a short-term management tool and would be unacceptable in the long term. Given the current level of risk, restrictions may however have to be implemented prior to the completion of Skuifraam Dam, dependent on the amount of winter rainfall received. The results of the IWRP study indicate that a significant saving in water demand could be achieved through the implementation of water demand management initiatives. In comparison to the water supply options, the water demand management initiatives would have a significantly lower implementation cost, could be implemented in a shorter time frame and were generally more environmentally and socially acceptable. Based on the IWRP Study, three “packages” have been identified for implementation, namely: • • • water demand management options that can be implemented by the CCT (Package 1); water demand management options to be implemented by individual consumers (Package 2); and supply augmentation options to be implemented by the CCT (Package 3). Package 1 comprises of the following initiatives: • Pressure Management • User Education • The elimination of all Automatic Flushing Urinals • Leakage repair and • Tariffs, Metering and Credit Control Package 2 consists of the following initiatives: • Promotion of Private Boreholes • Introduction of Water Efficient Fittings • Promotion of Grey-water use It is anticipated that Package 3 would consist of the implementation of the Voelvlei Augmentation Scheme as the next water supply augmentation scheme. In parallel to this it is recommended that a further feasibility study be carried out on the Table Mountain Group Aquifer, including exploratory boreholes (a pilot Scheme) in order to determine the possible yield and environmental impacts associated with this potentially valuable water resource. Detailed monitoring and evaluation would have to be carried out to determine the effects of exploitation. In order to alleviate the pressure on the current available water supply sources and reduce the risk of imposing ever increasingly severe water restrictions, the implementation of all of the water demand management initiatives in both packages 1 and 2 will have to be accelerated/initiated. In addition to this, the planning and implementation of additional water supply schemes (Package 3) will have to commence. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP The implementation of Packages 1 & 2 have been accepted by Council as part of the Water Demand Management Strategy. Future Packages: Alternative Water Supply Schemes • The Table Mountain Group Aquifer (exploitation is dependent on both the potential yield and the environmental impacts indicated by the pilot study) • The Lourens River • use of Treated Wastewater for Local Urban Irrigation and Industrial; • the Cape Flats Aquifer; • the Eerste River Diversion; • use of Treated Wastewater for Commercial Irrigation Farmers; • Treated Wastewater Reclaimed to Potable Standard • Desalination of Sea Water The impact of Package 1 and 2 on the total water consumed within the CMA, as well as the areas supplied by the CCT outside the CMA, is indicated in Figure 4.4 below. Figure 4.4 Impact of Packages 1+2 on Future Water Demand Urban water demand for CCT - Package 1 + 2 550 Million m3/a 500 450 No savings scenario @ 3% 400 350 300 Packages 1 & 2 250 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Year Figure 4.5 shows the effect of implementing Packages 1 and 2 on the overall demand for water from both the urban and agricultural sectors against the water availability for supply at a 98% level of assurance. In this figure it has been assumed that the yield from the proposed Skuifraam Dam will be available from the year 2006. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP Figure 4.5 Impact of Packages 1+2 on Future Water Demand (Overall) Overall water demand - Package 1+2 650 No Savings Package 1+2 Yield 600 Million m3/a 550 500 450 400 350 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year Figure 4.6 Impact of Package 1-3 on Water Demand of Total Supply Area Overall demand - Package 1+2+3 850 No Savings Package 1+2+3 Yield Million m3/a 750 650 550 450 350 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Year Please note that all graphs reflect the supply and demand from major sources only and not from the minor sources. The growth rate in water demand assumed for West Coast District Municipality (WCDM) was 3% per annum. The latest demand projection obtained from WCDM indicates that their future growth rate in water demand could be as much as 10% per annum. This will impact on the abovementioned analysis and further increase the disparity between the water demand and the available supply at a 98% level of supply assurance. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP 2020 Figure 4.6 above shows the total water demand (urban and agriculture) from the main water resources supplying the Cape Metropolitan Area and the assured supply of those resources. The available supply before 2006 assumes that Skuifraam Dam and the Voëlvlei Augmentation schemes have been implemented. The graph shows that the actual water demand exceeded available supply (at a 98 % level of assurance) in 1999. Should water demand in the urban and agricultural sectors be allowed to grow unrestricted, it would not be possible to supply future water needs in an affordable and sustainable manner and water demand would far exceed assured supply (with no addition of augmentation schemes). With the implementation of effective Water Demand Management initiatives, it is anticipated that a significant reduction in water demand can be achieved. In order to alleviate the pressure on the current available water supply sources and reduce the risk of imposing ever increasingly severe water restrictions, it is crucial that the implementation of all of the water demand management initiatives be accelerated, whilst implementing construction of the Skuifraam Dam. 4.3 Water Demand Management (WDM) A WDM Policy GO TO and WDM Strategy GO TO have been accepted by the CCT, which has the main objective of reducing the projected demand for water by at least 20% by the year 2010. Some of the key objectives identified in the WDM Policy are: • Equity. Universal access to quality water supplies, with a guaranteed minimum level of service, through a metered connection. • Sustainability. To ensure an acceptable level of assured water supply for future generations. • Affordability. To ensure that water services remain affordable. • Reduce the projected demand for water by 20% (or more) by the year 2010. • Encourage, educate, promote and where appropriate, legislate the optimal use of water. • Maximise the use of alternative sources such as wastewater effluent, boreholes etc. • Minimise the loss of water. The Policy contained the following principles to inform the development of this policy and future implementation plans: • Water is a strategic, precious and scarce resource. • The waste of water shall not be tolerated. • All consumptive water use shall be measured and accounted for. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP Based on these principles the WDM Strategy was formulated which identified the following strategies: • Identify “Champions” for Water Demand Management amongst Politicians and define their role of promoting WDM within the community and within the Municipality; • Raise the profile and priority of WDM in the organization in order to achieve the objectives set out in the Policy and in this Strategy; • Prepare comprehensive Business Plans for each of the Water Divisions in respect of allocated Water Demand Management initiatives; • Draft a municipal policy to ensure wise water use within the Municipality; • Develop an appropriate Water Services Bylaw to legislate the optimal use of water, incorporating the essential water demand management requirements to limit the inefficient and wasteful use of water; • Leakage and waste minimization through the planning, design, construction, operation and monitoring of suitably located District Metering Areas and pressure management systems; • Promote the optimal use of water by consumers through education awareness programmes and projects; • The removal and prohibition of all Automatic Flushing Urinals (AFUs); • . Minimize water losses in low-income housing through targeted plumbing repairs and education programmes; • Continually optimise tariff structures, ensure universal metering and billing and a rate of payment that makes financial viability certain; • Maximize the use of alternative sources of water; • Make strong representations to the SABS to draft a National Performance Standard for water fittings, appliances and devices. For the Draft 5 year WDM Programme refer to the document entitled “WDM_Prog” GO TO. 4.4 Water Restrictions Water resources in the Western Cape are normally assessed at the end of the hydrological year, after the normal winter rainfall period (end October) and at the onset of the winter rainfall period (end May). The assessment is done by means of a sophisticated stochastic computer model, jointly set up by the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry and the City of Cape Town. The model assesses the total demand for water in the region i.e. urban and agriculture over a number of years against the expected inflow into the various dams during drought years at various risks of occurrence. On the basis of the planning model results informed decisions are made in order to optimise existing resources and on the need for water restrictions and the required severity thereof in order to avoid failure of supply for the next successive years. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP The need for water restrictions is determined not only by the level of the water in the dams, but also by factors such as the projected growth in water demand, and the implementation date of future water resource augmentation schemes. Level 1 water restrictions (10% saving required), such as the restrictions that were recently enforced, are applied earlier rather than later, in order to ensure that the City of Cape Town would have sufficient water to last through a drought cycle (a number of very dry winters). Level 2 restrictions that would require a 25% saving and also negative impact on industry, would only be applied if Level 1 restrictions were not having the desired affect or under severe draught conditions. It is better to introduce Level 1 restrictions at an early stage than reach a situation where it may be necessary to implement Level 2 water restriction which could negatively affect the economy of the Western Cape. The make up of the restrictions imposed from 1 November 2000 to 30 September 2001 was part punitive and part good water demand practice. The City of Cape Town has lifted the punitive portion of the restrictions (i.e. limited 1 hour watering on alternate days), but has maintained the restricted watering hours component (i.e. before 10:00 and after 16:00) as this is deemed to be good water practice. The fact that restrictions have been lifted, does not guarantee that water restrictions will not be imposed again at the end of next winter. The need for future restrictions will depend on both the amount of rainfall which falls next winter, the predicted water demand in both the urban and agricultural sectors as well as the impact of water demand management. One must not confuse water restrictions with water demand management. Water restrictions are punitive measures to reduce water demand and should be applied judiciously when circumstances such as droughts necessitate the implementation thereof. Water demand management on the other hand comprises good water demand practices and is the responsibility of all the authorities and water users. Good water demand practices, which will be contained in the proposed City of Cape Town Water By-laws, will also lead to a reduction in water consumption. 4.5 Re-use of Treated Wastewater Effluent At the Water and Waste Committee meeting of the former Cape Metropolitan Council, held in February 2000, the Committee resolved that "a principal policy objective to move towards the long-term goal of achieving zero effluent discharge during summer months for all wastewater treatment works in the CMA be adopted and actively supported". GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP The "Integrated Water Resource Planning Study" determined the potential for effluent re-use at a pre-feasibility level. The CCT has appointed consultants to refine the work carried out in the IWRP Study, focusing on potential treated effluent re-use from the Athlone WWTW, Borcherds Quarry WWTW and the Belville WWTW. GEUSTYN LOUBSER STREICHER & PALMER DEVELOPMENT GROUP