Pothole Microwatershed Modeling and Data Management GIS Certificate Ligia de Oliveira Serrano MS Student – Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering MS Adviser: Amy Kaleita April, 2015 Potholes What is the problem? Introduction • Potholes Why to study/ model? Hydrological impacts of potholes Generate more information • Enclosed depressions; • Formed in recent glaciated landscapes • Common in Iowa / flat terrain • Potential Impacts: • Flood Control; water quality improvement • Pothole Classification: • Land cover – prairie vegetation • Soil properties - hydric • Topography - depression How to study? Watershed Models Introduction -Watershed Models • Watershed Models: Attempt to replicate environment phenomenon’s • Evapotranspiration, runoff, infiltration, etc • AnnAGNPS – Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Model • Able to model potholes • Requires different GIS Datasets – landcover, soil, Elevation (Digital Elevation Model), weather,…; • Watershed characterization • Generates the drainage areas associated with an outlet; • For potholes: microwatersheds • Create hydrological units; • Response units – specific landcover, soil, runoff pattern; • Estimates Hydrology, Nutrient, Sediment loads This project: Pothole Hydrology - Water balance (Volume variation) Introduction - Hydrology • Hydroperiod – number of days of flood per year / growing season • Water regime – frequency, duration, and depth of flooding • Impacts • Downstream flood control - can act like a sponge for incoming flow • Potential source of groundwater recharge • Water Quality - treatment & filtering system for polluted water Hydrology of individual potholes Effect in watershed scale? Objective • Assess prairie potholes in two different scales • Watershed scale: Pothole area and volume in Walnut Creek watershed • Pothole scale: • Microwatershed characterization • Estimation of pothole volume and area, as well as their • Hydrology, with AnnAGNPS before and after land cover correction • Infer the impacts of the hydrology of the watershed by the assessed of an individual feature. • Determine differences in AnnAGNPS results before and after land cover correction for retired condition for the total simulation (1992 – 2014). Spatial Question • What are potential impacts of small depressions (potholes) in the hydrology of a watershed with high pothole density? • What are the impacts of GIS data correction in hydrological models and the impact in a larger scale? Methods • How can we identify potholes? • Bare and Filled DEM High x Low Resolution DEM • Fills sinks in the surface Guarantee flow • Differences Depressions • Pothole Criteria Land cover + Soil Modified • Depressions • With at least ¼ of an acre (~1012 m) • Max Depth: 5 ft (~1.5 m) • Volume Storage: • High Resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) generation Terrain Generation Lidar • 1-meter resolution • Surface Volume each 0.1 m Low High Process Lidar Points – LAS (Source) LAS to Multipoint Build Terrain (3D Analyst) Terrain to Raster (DEM) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) – Bare DEM Fill (Spatial Analist) Filled DEM Minus(Filled DEM – Bare DEM) + Reclassification (Spatial Analyst) Depressions (Raster) Raster to Polygon (Spatial Analyst) Depressions (Vector) Extract by Mask from BareDEM (Spatial Analyst) Large Scale study Single Depressions (Raster) Volume and Area Calculator (3D Analyst) Model Validation – 1992 to 2014 Nash Surclife Index (Not GIS) – 2010 and 2011 (Logsdon, 2015) Model Input Modification Clip + Erase + Merge (Analysis and Data Management ) Small Scale study What are the impacts? Terrain Generation Lidar • Lidar : Light Detection and Ranging • Remote Sensing method that uses light in the form of a pulsed laser to measure ranges (variable distances) to the Earth • measurements of the ground, vegetation, and buildings • Benefits: • Store and manage vector-based terrain information in the geodatabase Boundary • Collections can reach into the billions of points. • Terrain pyramids enable appropriate subsets, based on area of interest and accuracy requirements Area information • High-quality interpolation designed to handle a wide variety of input data types. • Etc... Watershed Scale – Walnut Creek Watershed Results • Number of Potholes • Criteria: ¼ acre (1012 sq-m) and depth 0.33 – 5 ft (0.1 – 1.5 m) • Number of Potholes: 1030 • Depressions: Volume and area for all depressions • 259 to 321.9 m in elevation • Total area: ~ 3 thousand acres (13*10^6 m2) • Volume: ~ 160 thousand ac-ft (2*10^8 m3) • Individual Depressions • Area • Max: 90 acres (365 thousand m2 ) • Min: 1/4 acres (1012 m2) • Volume • Max: 312.14 to 313.44 m elevation ~ 4.3 ft (1.3 m depth) • Vol: 162 ac-ft (200 *10^3 m3) • Min: insignificant volume • Potholes Located in watershed boundaries • Walnut Pothole: • Area: 7 acres • Volume: ~9 acre-ft (11 thousand m3) • 110 features larger (~10%) • 920 features smaller Pothole Scale: • Worrell Pothole: Case • Area: 14 acres Study • Volume: ~25 acre-ft (30 thousand m3) • 48 features larger (~5%) • 982 features smaller Correction of geographical inputs • Land Use • Compare current and conserved conditions Change in land cover • Management in the AnnAGNPS cells is determined according with the predominant condition. • Cell with 20% Corn, 20% Soybeans, and 60% Retire 100% RETIRE by AnnAGNPS, predominant condition. • Soils : In conserved conditions – wetland extension: Hydric soils • Challenge: Make sure the actual area is converted to retire • Why? Generation of robust results Volume Worrell Walnut Results – Volume Storage • Walnut Pothole: • Worrell Pothole: • Area: 7 acres • Volume: 11 thousand m3 (~9 acre-ft) • Area: 14 acres • Volume: 30 thousand m3 (~25 acre-ft) Walnut Volume Storage Worrell Total Volume Storage 311.0 312.2 312.1 310.8 312 310.6 311.8 311.7 Depth (m) Depth (m) 311.9 y = -4E-09x2 + 0.0001x + 311.44 R² = 0.9826 311.6 310.4 310.2 y = -6E-10x2 + 5E-05x + 309.89 R² = 0.9816 311.5 310.0 311.4 311.3 309.8 0 2000 4000 6000 Volume (m3) 8000 10000 12000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 Volume (m3) 25000 30000 35000 40000 Results - Hydrological Models AnnAGNPS generates consistent results Move to retire condition • Model Validation - 2010 and 2011: Current Condition • Nash & Sutcliffe index (NSE) - Model Performance • • • • Estimation of agreement between observed vs. simulated data Hydrology studies Pothole - year Value variation: -1 to 1 Walnut Reasonable values: NSE > 0 Worrell Worrell, total simulation 1.2 1.2 1 1 0.8 0.8 Water Depth (m) Water Depth (m) Walnut, total simulation 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 5/1/2010 NSE index 0.87 0.90 0.6 0.4 0.2 8/9/2010 11/17/2010 2/25/2011 6/5/2011 9/13/2011 0 5/1/2010 8/9/2010 11/17/2010 Dates Observed Simulated 2/25/2011 Dates Observed Simulated 6/5/2011 9/13/2011 Current Management: Conserved Management: CSCS:Corn-Soybeans Corn-SoybeansRotation Rotation CSCS: SCSC:Soybeans-Corn Soybeans-CornRotation Rotation SCSC: Retire/Grass: Conserved Areas How to Correct? • Divide the within pothole in different managements/soils • Update Number of cells • Update Soil type Hydric • Modify input cells and Run the AnnAGNPS BeforeXAfter GIS Correction • Cells in AnnAGNPS • Soil • Land Cover Before X After GIS Correction • Walnut • After interpolation: 4 out of 11 cells considered to retire • Pothole Area: ~7 acres (~3 hectares) • AnnAGNPS Retire Area: ~6 acres (~2.3 hectars) Less area • Worrell conversion • After interpolation: 12 out of 49 cells considered to retire • Pothole Area: ~14 acres (~5.5 hectares) • AnnAGNPS Retire Area: ~12 acres (~4.0 hectares) Less area conversion Does it correspond to observed condition? Results - Walnut 1 1 20000 0.8 0.8 Depth (m) 1.2 Volume (m3) Depth (m) 1.2 25000 0.6 15000 0.4 0.2 10000 0.2 0 Jan-92 Feb-95 Feb-98 Mar-01 Mar-04 Mar-07 Mar-10 0 Jan-92 Mar-13 Less water is being stored in Walnut pothole 0.6 0.4 0 Feb-92 5000 Walnut After Walnut water-balance volume Walnut Before Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-95 Jan-07 Feb-10 Feb-13 Date Date Depth (m) Jan-04 Depth (m) Overflow Height Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Jan-07 Overflow Feb-10 Feb-13 Date (Month-Year) Walnut Before Walnut After 168 less days producing runoff, smaller water accumulation in pothole. Results - Worrell Worrell water-balance difference volume Worrell Before 50000 1.2 1.2 45000 1 1 Worrell After Water Depth (m) 40000 Volume (m3) Water Depth (m) 0.8 35000 0.6 30000 25000 0.4 20000 0.2 15000 0 10000Jan-92 0.6 0.4 0.2 Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Jan-07 Feb-10 0 Jan-92 Feb-13 Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Depth (m) Jan-95 Jan-04 Jan-07 Feb-10 Feb-13 Date Date 5000 0 Jan-92 0.8 Depth (m) Overflow Height Jan-98 Jan-01 Overflow Jan-07 Feb-10 Feb-13 Less water is being stored in Worrell pothole Date (Month-Year) Jan-04 Worrell Before Fix Worrell After Fix 164 less events producing runoff, smaller water accumulation in pothole. Volume Storage Difference • Walnut: Events stored up to 4 thousand m3 (~3 acre-ft) more • Sum: 1.6 * 10^6 m3 (1.3*10^3 acre-ft) • Worrell: Events store up to 16 thousand m3 (~13 acre-ft) more • Sum: 4.7 * 10^6 m3 (3.8*10^3 acre-ft) Walnut Volume Difference Worrell Volume Difference 4000 18000 3500 16000 14000 12000 2500 Volume (m3) Volume (m3) 3000 2000 1500 8000 6000 1000 4000 500 0 Jan-92 10000 2000 Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Date Jan-07 Feb-10 Feb-13 0 Jan-92 Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Date Jan-07 Feb-10 Feb-13 Conclusions • What is the impact of small depressions (potholes) in the hydrology of a watersheds? • These can store up to 25 acre-ft (Worrell) • Can have an impact in flood control and water quality • What are the impacts of GIS data correction in hydrological models? • It is important to correct GIS data in a small scale • Up to 13 acre-ft difference of water volume generation per event (Worrell) • The assessed potholes do not consist of a good representation of the potholes in the watershed relatively big Further Improvement/ Research • Develop a more automated way to investigate individual features • AnnAGNPS considers the potholes to be flat • Linear relation between volume and water depth • Area increases with water depth • Calibrations needed Pothole Model Consideration Pothole Reality Thank you! • Questions??