The 2013 Survey of Access and Funding
Issues in Public Higher Education:
Preliminary Results from 36 states
National Council of State
Directors of Community Colleges
by
Janice Nahra Friedel, Associate Professor,
Iowa State University
Stephen G. Katsinas, Professor & Director, Education
Policy Center,
The University of Alabama
s
s
Mark M. D'Amico, Assistant Professor, University of
North Carolina-Charlotte
Big Sky, Montana
July 28, 2013
What we'll talk about today
2013 Survey of Access and Finance Issues
in Public Higher Education (preliminary)
1
FUTURE OPTIONS FOR THE SURVEY
2
3
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
2013 Survey Data Sources/Dedication
THANKS to National Council of State Directors of Community
Colleges members who have responded to our surveys since 2003.
Co-authors: Steve Katsinas is Director of the Education Policy Center
at the University of Alabama. Steve has visited over 400 community
colleges in 40 states. A Consulting Scholar to the Carnegie
Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching, he has worked with
programs of the Ford, W.K. Kellogg, and Jack Kent Cooke Fdns.
Jan Friedel is Associate Professor at Iowa State University. A
former community college president, Friedel was state director of
Iowa and former chair of NCSDCC. Mark D'Amico of the University
of North Carolina-Charlotte, formerly served as Executive Assistant
to the President for Policy & Administration in the South Carolina
Technical College System office under Dr. Barry Russell.
Thanks to EPC Research Associates Lucas Adair and Jonathan Koh
for their assistance in collecting and tabulating the data.
DEDICATION FOR 2013: The late Bob Pedersen for his guidance,
The Education
and Ed Franklin, retiring Arkansas Association of
Policy Center
Two-Year Colleges CEO, for his support
The University of Alabama
About the survey
• Authors: Katsinas, Tollefson, Palmer (2003-4); Katsinas &
Tollefson (2007-10); Katsinas, Friedel & D'Amico (2011-).
• Advisory Committee includes NCSDCC members
• Good response rates: 46 in '03; 49 in '07 & '08;
50 in '04, '09 & '12; 51 in '10 & '11.
• Special Sections started with 2007 survey. Topics include:
Facilities ('07)
State Student Aid ('08)
For-Profit Issues ('10)
College Completion ('11)
Performance Funding ('12)
Pell Grants ('09,'11, ''13)
Workforce ('09,'10,'11,'12 & '13) ARRA ('10)
• Survey Administration: 2004 to 2011, July 5 to Aug 20;
starting in 2012 & 2013, June to July.
• Format Change: in 2011, from single 80-page report to
Issue Briefs, as suggested by NCSDCC members.
Key Findings since our first survey in 2003
• TOP BUDGET DRIVERS are Medicaid, followed by K-12, except in
recession years.
• TUITION INCREASES, often 2-3 times inflation rate, are the
predominant method for states to meet budget shortfalls
• States increasingly TREAT ALL HIGHER EDUCATION SECTORS THE
SAME in terms of state operating budget increases or decreases,
and tuition increases.
• From "Hang in there with us" to "DEAL WITH IT"
• HIGH TUITION/HIGH AID DOES NOT WORK. States don't invest in
state student aid as tuition rises (the key precondition for HT/HA)
• In 25 states WITH NO local funding: More tuition increases
• In 25 states WITH local funding: Deeper state cuts, and rising
intra-state inequity (as is well known by K-12 experts).
• RURAL COLLEGES ARE HURTING THE MOST
Mid-Yr Budget Cuts by Public Education Sector
K-12
Community Colleges
Regional Us
Flagship Us
40
35
# of respondents
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2003
2004
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Fiscal Year Just Ending
*Note: 2004 was first year we asked about sectors other than community colleges
Just 4 of 36 responses indicate Mid-Year cuts for community colleges in
the year just ending (2012-13), just 1 of 34 for K-12,
3 of 33 for Regional Us, and 4 of 34 for Research Us.
in 2013, of 36 responses, ranking SA & A was as follows:
#1--Tie-Medicaid & K-12 (27); #3--Recession (23);
#4--Unfunded State Pensions; #5 Unfunded State Health Increases
Chart 4: Top Budget Drivers in Session Just Concluded
K-12
Medicaid
Recession
ARRA (starting in 2009)
Respondents indicating "Strongly Agree" or "Agree"
50
45
# of respondents
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2003
2004
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
in 2013, of 36 responses, 27 rank Medicaid & K-12 #1(T); 23 recession
Chart 5: Selected State Priorities
Corrections
Higher Education
Tax Cuts (2006 forward)
35
# of States
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2003
2004
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
in 2013, of 36 responses, 21 indicated HIED, 15 Corrections & Tax Cuts.
That 21 indicated unfunded pensions & 20 unfunded health care cost increases
likely indicates increased competition for state funding as state revenues recover
2012
In the Fiscal Year just ending (FY2012-2013),
Pell Grant Lifetime Eligibility restrictions that
lowered from 18 to 12 full-time semesters
approved by Congress in June 2012 and
implemented in Fall 2012 resulted in
enrollment declined at most community
colleges in my state that were
Strongly
Disagree/
Respo
Not
Agree/
Strongly
nding
Sure
Agree
Disagree
Rural
Are some
community
colleges in your
state turning
away students?
36 responding
35
13
15
7
Yes
5
Suburban 34
12
15
7
No
27
12
15
7
Not Sure
4
Urban
34
2
PART TWO: Predictions
for Next Year (FY2010-11)
A. The Demographic Challenge
Southeastern Community College (NC)
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Chart 6: Predicted Changes in Next Year's State Operating Support by Public Higher
Education Sector, 2007-2012
Community Colleges
Regional Us
Flagship Us
10
8
Percentage Change
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Chart 7: Median Percentage Increases in Tuition for the Next Fiscal
Year
Community Colleges
Regional Us
Flagship Us
7
6
Median # (%)
5
4
3
2
1
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Changes in
State Operating
Budget Support
Community Regional
K-12
Colleges
Us
Responding 27
Flagship
Us
Changes in Tuition
Community Regional Flagship
Colleges
Us
Us
35
29
33
36
33
32
Number
12
increasing
Mean
4.2
25
18
21
26
21
19
4.0
3.6
3.8
3.2
3.3
3.5
Median 3.0
2.6
3.4
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
Chart 8: Did state investment in need-based student aid keep up with tuition?
Strongly Agree/Agree
Strongly Disagree/Disagree
40
# of respondents
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
Fiscal Year
2011
Estimates for 2013-14 Mid-Year Budget Cuts,
Enrollment Changes, & State Student Aid
The likelihood of midyear budget cuts in
Next Year's
state operating funds Enrollment Change at
for community colleges community colleges
next year is...
in your state will be...
(n = 36)
(n = 34)
Very High/
Increasing
11
2
High
Neutral/
Decreasing
12
7
Unsure
Stay the
Very Low/
11
27
Same
Low
Mean
The percentage change
in total state-funded
direct student grant aid
(need- & merit-based)
in my state is....
(n = 29)
Increasing
14
Decreasing
3
Stay the
Same
-0.18 Mean
12
3.8
Chart 9: Type of Community Colleges Predicted to
Experience the Greatest Fiscal Strain Next Year
number indicating "Strongly Agree" or "Agree"
40
Rural
Suburban
Urban
35
# of respondents
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Which type of community college faces the
greatest fiscal stress in your state next year?
n=36
SA
A
N
D
SD
Rural
Suburban
Urban
17
11
4
1
4
11
11
4
6
14
7
4
The Challenge of Capacity: Actual and Projected Traditional
College Age Youth (18 to 24), 1996 through 2025
26,000,000
25,000,000
24,000,000
Since 2000,
nearly 3 million
MORE 18-24
year olds
Projections STAY high; they DO NOT
include undocumented students
1 million
MORE 18-24
year olds from
2009 to 2012
23,000,000
22,000,000
ACTUAL
numbers of
18-24 year
olds
21,000,000
20,000,000
19,000,000
PROJECTED
estimates of
18 - 24 year
olds
18,000,000
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
The numbers seeking access will rise whether or not public
higher education institutions are funded to serve them!
Data are based upon live births and deaths from USDHHS and not education statistics
2020
2022
2024
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
The Challenge of Capacity: Actual and Projected
Young Adults (25 to 34) in the US Population, 2008 - 2025
44,000,000
42,000,000
These projections DO NOT include undocumented students
3 million MORE young
adults ages 25 to 34
from 2009 to 2012
40,000,000
38,000,000
PROJECTED INCREASE of
6 million MORE young adults
over next 16 years
36,000,000
34,000,000
32,000,000
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
The numbers seeking access will rise whether or not public
higher education institutions are funded to serve them!
Data are based upon live births and deaths from USDHHS and not education statistics
2022
2024
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
(2012) Capacity is an Issue
Community colleges in my state presently have the capacity to meet
current & projected numbers of…
high school graduates
older students returning
SA
A
(10)
(10)
AL, GA-UGS, IL, IA, KS, MI, MS, NE, AL, GA-UGS, IL, IA, KS, MI, NE, SC,
SC, WY
WY
(23)
(24)
AK, AZ, CO, CT, FL, KY, LA, MD, MO, AK, AZ, CO, CT, FL, ID, KY, LA, MD,
MT, NV, NH, NM, ND, OH, OK, PA, RI, MS, MO, MT, NV, NH, NM, ND, OH,
SD, TN, TX, VT
OK, PA, RI, SD, TN, TX, VT,
N
D
SD
(9)
AR, CA, GA-TCS, NJ, OR, UT, VA, WA,
WI
(1)
DE
(8)
AR, CA, NJ, OR, UT, VA, WA, WI
(1)
DE
(2013) Capacity is still the Issue
Community colleges in my
state presently have the
capacity to meet current &
projected numbers of…
SA
A
N
high school
graduates
5
older students
returning
6
21
20
3
3
D
5
AL, IN, LA,
VA, WA
6
SD
1
ME
0
In the most
Policies for
recently approved appropriatio
budget, state
ns, tuition,
funded need-based and state
and merit-based
student
student aid has financial aid
kept pace with are closely
tuition increases in aligned in
my state.
my state.
1
1
7
8
2
3
AL, IN, LA,
OR,VA, WA
16
18
7
3
2010: Public University Enrollment Caps
"push" students to community colleges
•
Public flagship universities have capped
enrollment in my state. (n=50)
`
Strongly
Disagree
16 states
32%
Strongly
Agree/
Agree
11 states
22%
Neutral
5 states
10%
Disagree
• Public regional universities have
capped enrollment in my state. (n=48)
Strongly
Disagree
18 states
38%
Strongly
Agree/Agree
7 states
14%
Neutral
6 states
Disagree
17 states
35%
18 states
36%
SA+A = 22%
Public Flagship caps (11 states): CA, CT, DE, FL, GA-USG, IL, IN, MD, NY, WA, WI
Public Regional University caps (7 states): CA, CT, FL, IL, MD, WA, WI
SA+A = 14%
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
2011: Public University Enrollment Caps
"push" students to community colleges
•
Some or all public flagship universities
have capped enrollment in my state.
(n=22)
`
SD
1
Agree
4 states
•
Some or all public regional universities
have capped enrollment in my state.
(n=22)
SD Agree
1 2 states
Neutral
6 states
Neutral
Disagree
4 states
Disagree
14 states
13 states
SA+A = %
In 2010:
Public Flagship caps (11 states): CA, CT, DE, FL, GA-USG, IL, IN, MD, NY, WA, WI
Public Regional University caps (7 states): CA, CT, FL, IL, MD, WA, WI
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Funding for facilities (new construction and
renovation) is a major need in my state.
2013 (n = 33)
2010 (n=49)
`
Neutral
4 states
8%
Agree
Strongly Agree
12 States
Strongly
Agree
23 states
47%
22 states
45%
Agree
17 States
SA+A = 92%
In the past two enrollment booms (post-WWII & 1960s "Baby Boom"),
the federal government invested funds for facilities to build capacity.
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Coordination and Governance of Community Colleges
Community
There is no state-
Community Colleges
as the Universities
State
Universities
5
3
Type of Community Colleges are under Separate State- level Community
have same
the same
level Community
College
coordinating board as
College
coordinating board College board coordination in my K-12, separate from
Coordination
No. of States
15
Local Boards of
Type of Community Trustees govern
Community
College
Colleges in my
Governance
State
12
A single stateThe same Board
level Board
that governs
The same Board that
governs
Community Colleges coordinates K-12
Community
governs some or all governs Community
Colleges in my Universities in my Colleges in my State
State
State
No. of States
19
10
7
2
In the past 5 years,
how has deferred
maintenance at
your state's
community college
changed?
Increased
Significantly
Increased
Stayed the Same
Decreased
Decreased
Significantly
No. of States
2
18
2
11
1
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Developing the Workforce
SA
A
N
D
SD
Formal Responsibility to administer
programs funded by the WIA is assigned to
CC’s
2
2
5
16
11
Unemployed workers can attend CC
tuition-free for retraining purposes
3
2
8
19
4
Increased numbers of
unemployed/displaced workers have
exhausted available workforce training
dollars via WIA and other sources.
2
13
15
4
1
Concerns over high numbers of
unemployed workers are pushing CC’s to
offer or expand “quick” job training
programs in non-credit areas
4
18
4
8
1
Funding is needed to expand high cost
programs in areas such as health sciences,
engineering tech., and info. Technology.
18
13
4
0
0
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Developing the Workforce
SA
A
N
D
SD
Business leaders see CC’s as primary
workforce training providers
12
17
6
0
0
CC’s are a formal preferred provider of
WIA programs in my state.
4
14
7
8
3
Increasing attainment of Industry
Recognized Credentials is a priority in my
state.
11
15
7
2
0
In the recession, my state’s CC’s have
seen more enrollment growth in transfer
programs than in higher cost careerfocused for-credit programs.
3
14
7
10
1
In my state, funding is insufficient to hire
full-time faculty to staff programs in highwage careers/fields including nursing,
engineering technology, etc.
9
13
6
7
0
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Federal Programs that are important to Community Colleges in your state:
US Dept.
US Dept. of Labor
USDHHS
National National
Appalacian
Adult Ed Title III or
USDA
USDA of Labor
Trade
Nursing &
Perkins
Science Endowment
Regional Enterpris Enterprise
FIPSE
Act
Title V
Community Strikeforc Workforce Adjustmen
Allied
Act
Foundatio
for
Commissio e Zones Communities
Programs Programs
Facilities
e
Investment
t
Health
n
Humanities
n
Act
Assistanc
Programs
e Act
State
TRIO
Programs
No. of
Important
Programs
for CCs
31
12
22
27
35
4
2
32
34
21
6
13
9
8
4
No. of
Important
Programs
for RURAL
CCs
14
3
11
7
14
3
3
12
12
4
2
3
6
3
3
Top 5 Federal Programs Important to Community Colleges
Rank
All Community Colleges
Rural Community Colleges
One
Perkins Act
Perkins Act
Two
Three
US Dept. of
US Dept. of
Labor Trade
Labor
Adjustment
Workforce
Assistance
Investment Act
Act
TRIO
Programs
Four
Five
TRIO
Programs
Title III or
Title V
Programs
US Dept. of
US Dept. of
Labor Trade
Labor
Adult Ed Act
Adjustment
Workforce
Programs
Assistance Act Investment Act
Rural Community Colleges
Efforts to use community colleges as vehicles to address concerns in
persistently high poverty has ocurred in…
25 states responding
Rural areas
Suburban areas
Urban areas
24
16
19
Some of my State's rural community colleges are challenged due to the low
property tax wealth areas that they are assigned to serve.
33 states responding
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
8
10
6
5
4
My State's rural community colleges are as likely as urban and suburban
community colleges to participate in foundation-sponsored programs like
Achieving the Dream
33 states responding
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
2
19
4
5
3
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Pell Grants and Federal Issues
A relatively flat maximum Pell Grant next year of $5,645 will limit community college access for low-income students in my state
35 states responding
Strongly Agree
2
10
8
15
0
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
Maintaining scheduled Pell Grant increases by Congress over the next 10 years is vital to keeping open-door open-access at community
colleges in my State.
35 states responding
Strongly Disagree
9
23
1
2
0
Funding future Pell Grant shortfalls by Congress is vital to maintaining access
35 states responding
Strongly Agree
12
20
3
0
0
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
The occupational degrees and certificate community college students earn makes Pell Grants an important state economic development tool
in my State
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
35 states responding
12
22
0
1
0
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Pell Grants and Federal Issues
Implementing a maximum income cap for Pell Grant eligibility would be harmful
34 states responding
Strongly Disagree
6
15
13
0
0
Pell Grants should be made an entitlement to improve access and completion
33 states responding
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
Freezing the maximum Pell Grant for the next decade to address Federal deficits would negatively
impact college degree and certificate completion in my State.
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
Reducing Federal College Access Challenge Grant program funding, which provides formula aid to
states to bolster their access, persistence, and completion, will diminish my State's colleges from
meeting workforce and degree completion goals.
Strongly Agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly Disagree
5
8
16
2
2
34 states responding
11
22
0
1
0
34 states responding
2
20
10
2
0
3
PART 3: Special Section-A. Serving Workers Impacted
by Recession
Southeastern Community College (NC)
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Fewer states allow unemployed workers to attend
community colleges tuition free this year (4) than last (11)
• In 2009 (2 years ago),
unemployed workers could attend
community colleges tuition-free in
11 states: DE, IN, MI, MS, MT, NC, ND,
• In 2010, unemployed workers
can attend community colleges
tuition-free in just 4 states:
•
MI, NJ, PA, RI
SA/A
4 states
8%
`
NH, NJ, PA, RI, SC, and WV
• In 2011 (preliminary),
unemployed workers can attend
community colleges tuition-free in
just X states:
•
MI, NJ, PA, RI
Also from the 2009 survey:
When asked "My state has assigned
responsibility for administering
workforce training funds to community
colleges," Just 4 indicated "Strongly
Agree" or "Agree“: DE, ID, RI, VA
Neutral
8 states
16%
Disagree
20 states
39%
Strongly
Disagree
19 states
That fewer states can afford to fund tuition-free attendance at
community colleges is a likely indicator of fiscal stress.
37%
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Increased unemployed/displaced workers have
exhausted available workforce training dollars via
WIA and other sources for colleges in my state
2012
2011
Strongly
Agree
Disagree 2
11
Agree
19
Neutral
19
State fiscal stress is impacting the ability of community
colleges to retrain workers impacted by the recession.
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
2010
SD
3
SA
3
Agree
14
Disagree
12
Concerns over addressing high
unemployment is causing some to push
new "quick" job training programs in
non-credit areas purporting to have
high completion rates.
Neutral
SA 6
17
SA+A = 35%
2011
Strongly
Agree
Disagree
5
10
Neutral
13
Agree
23
Disagree 6 AL, DE, IA,
CT, GA-TCS, MS, SC, TN
KS, MD, WA,
Neutral 11
Agree 20
AK, CO, GAUGS, MT, NE, AZ, AR, CA, FL,
NH, ND, OK, ID, IL, KY, LA, MI,
OR, RI, SD MO, NV, NJ, NM,
OH, PA, TX, UT,
VT, VA, WI
Fewer states allowed unemployed workers to attend community
= 62% than last year (11 states).
colleges this yearSA+A
(4 states)
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Developing the Workforce
Business leaders see
Community colleges
community colleges as
are a formal preferred
primary providers
of workforce training.
provider of WIA
SD
D2
programs
in4my state.
1 SA
GA-UGS, Strongly
VT
N2
CT, IL
Agree 9
FL, ID, IA,
NE, NH, ND,
SC, SD, WI
Agree 30
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, DE,
GA-TCS, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI,
MS, MO, MT, NV, NH, NM,
OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, TN,
TX, UT, VA, WA, WY
SA+A = %
.
D 11
TX DE, IA,
AK, CO, FL, GATCS, GA-USG,
MD, MI, OH, PA,
WI, WY
ND, TN
Agree 15
AL, AZ, AR, ID,
KY, LA, MS, NH,
N 12 NJ, NM, OR, SC,
CA, CT, IL, SD, UT, WA
KS, MO, MT,
NE, NV, OK,
RI, VT, VA
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Since the recession began, my
state’s community colleges
have seen more enrollment
growth in transfer programs
than in higher cost careerfocused for-credit programs.
D9
AL, DE, MI,
NE, RI, SD,
TN, WI, WY
• My state has a formal strategy or
policy encouraging enrollment and
completions in science,
technology, engineering, and
mathematics (STEM) programs
MS
SD
1
KS
D7
Agree 19
AK, CA, FL,
GA-TCS, ID,
IA, KY, LA,
MS, NH, NM,
Neutral 24 OH, OR, PA,
AZ, AR, CO, CT, SC, TX, UT,
GA-UGS, IL, MD,
MO, MT, NV, NJ,
ND, OK, VT
SA+A = %
.
SA 5
CA, MI, MO, DE, GA-UGS,
MT, OR, PA, NM, OH, WA
WY
N9
Agree 21
CO, IA, NE, AL, AK, AZ, AR,
NJ, ND, RI, CT, DE, FL, GASC, VT, WI TCS, ID, IL, KS,
KY, LA,
MD, NV, NH, SD,
TN, TX, UT, VA
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Developing the Workforce
Community College leaders
in my state are well
represented on state and
local Workforce Investment
Boards.
D5
AL, GASA 9
UGS, DE, FL, IL,
MI, UT, IA, NE, NJ,
N5
CT, MT, NV,
NM, WI
• Increasing attainment of Industry
Recognized Credentials is a
priority in my state.
D1
PA SA 11
MO, MT, NH, FL, IA, KS,
NM, RI, WA MD, MS, NV,
N6
ND, RI, TN
OH, SC, TN,
TX, VA
Agree 24
AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, GATCS, ID, KS, KY, LA, MD,
MS, MO, NH, OH, OK,
OR, PA, SC, SD, TX, VA,
WA, WY
SA+A = %
.
Agree 25
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT,
DE, GA-TCS, GA-UGS, ID, IL,
KY, LA, MI, NE, NJ, ND, OK,
OR, SD, UT, VT, WI, WY
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
In my state next year (FY2011-2012), increased unemployment...
•
• 2010…stresses existing
community college retraining
capacity. (n=50)
Strongly
Disagree/
Disagree:
8 states
16%
Neutral
7 states
14%
Strongly
Agree
Increased numbers of unemployed/
displaced workers have exhausted
available workforce training dollars via
WIA and other sources for colleges in
my state. (n=22)
Strongly
Disagree: Agree
3 states
2 states
13 states
26%
Agree
Agree
7 states
Neutral
10 states
22 states
44%
State fiscal stress is impacting the ability of community
colleges to retrain workers impacted by the recession.
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
In my state next year (FY2010-2011),
increased unemployment...
• …stresses existing community
college retraining capacity. (n=50)
Strongly
Disagree/
Disagree:
8 states
16%
Neutral
7 states
14%
Strongly
Agree
13 states
26%
Agree
22 states
44%
•
…has overwhelmed available workforce
training dollars (via WIA and other
sources) for community colleges.
(n=50)
Disagree/ Strongly
Strongly Agree
Disagree: 7 states
10 states
14%
20%
Neutral
16 states
32%
State fiscal stress is impacting the ability of community
colleges to retrain workers impacted by the recession.
Agree
17 states
34%
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
• Funding is needed to expand high cost programs in
areas such as health sciences, engineering technology,
and information technology in my state.
2010 (n=50)
SD
3
6%
Disagree
10 states
20%
Neutral
6 states
12%
2011 (n=22)
Neutral
Strongly
Agree
12 states
24%
2 states
Agree
Strongly
Agree
19 states
11 states
Agree
9 states
38%
SA+A = 62%
Fewer states allowed unemployed workers to attend community
colleges this year (4 states) than last year (11 states).
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Serving Workers Impacted by Recession
• Community colleges
are a formal preferred
provider of WIA
programs inSDmy state.
(n=22)
1
Disagree
5 states
SA
3
6%
Increasing attainment of
Industry Recognized Credentials
is a priority in my state. (n=22)
D
1
Neutral
4 states
Strongly
Agree
6 states
Agree
8 states
Agree
Neutral
11 states
5 states
SA+A = %
Fewer states allowed unemployed workers to attend community
colleges this year (4 states) than last year (11 states).
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Serving Workers Impacted by Recession
•
In the recession, my state’s community
colleges have seen more enrollment
growth in transfer programs than in
higher cost career-focused for-credit
programs
Disagree Strongly
2 states Agree
2 states
Agree
Neutral
8 states
10 states
SA+A = %
For those venturing an opinion, the margin was 5:1
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
In light of state funding cuts, achieving increases
in graduation rates will be difficult.
• 2010
Strongly
Disagree/
Disagree
10 states
20%
Neutral
10 states
20%
• 2011
(n=50)
Disagree
Strongly
Agree
3 states
6 states
12%
(n=22)
Strongly
Agree
4 states
Neutral
Agree
24 states
48%
SA+A = 60%
6 states
Agree
9 states
SA+A = %
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
5
ANALYSIS--WHAT DO
THESE DATA MEAN?
Are we at a "tipping point?"
Southeastern Community College (NC)
We believe the answer is YES!
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama
Uneven recovery; uncertainty in the states
1. Record enrollments AND state operating budget cuts.
2. Tuition increases at 5 to 10X inflation rate.
3. Cuts/flat funding of state student aid shows failure of high
tuition/high aid funding model to promote access.
4. Little long-term planning: Primary strategy as ARRA funds end
appears to be "pray and hope" for a state revenue rebound.
5. Budget gaps commonplace next year; K-12 not exempt.
6. Strategies to close gaps: Across-board cuts, furloughs, etc.
7. That fewer states fund free community college tuition for
unemployed workers this year (4) than last (11) is one indication
of great fiscal pressure most states face.
8. All community colleges will face fiscal strain, but rurals the most.
9. States increasingly treat all higher education sectors the same.
Access is threatened in many states.
The Education
Policy Center
The University of Alabama