Incorporating System Properties into Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design Adam Ross, ESD PhD Candidate Contact: Adam Ross (adamross@mit.edu) Committee: Daniel Hastings (Chair), Deborah Nightingale, Olivier de Weck, Thomas Allen Motivation The “MATE” System Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration Tradespace Exploration enables ‘big picture’ understanding LCC committed 100% 80% Cost Incurred 66% Detail design/ development Production and/or construction Product use/ support/ phaseout/disposal Value 2 3 MATE as a communication path 4 Conceptual Design is high leverage phase in system development Architecture Exploration Architecture Evaluation “Value-centric Design” Need Identification Cost 1. 2. 3. 4. Point design “Optimized” designs “Optimized” sets Full tradespace Project 1 • • • Decision Theory Design Theory Lean Research … • • • • MATE as a process Parametric Models Dynamic Models Integrated Concurrent Design … Tradespace Analysis Techniques • • Similarity analysis Sensitivity analyses Portfolio Theory Real options … • • • MATE as a system Ex. MATE-CON ilities ResearchDiff*Q2 Priority (N=9) 6 5 4 FFRDC 3 Prime 2 Flexibility… (N=9) 7 • Visited FFRDC, Prime contractors • Survey and interview • Air Force/LAI System Engineering for Robustness Workshop 6 5 4 FFRDC 3 Prime 2 Utility Scalability Modularity Maintainability Agility Robustness Quality Reparability Safety Fail-safe Adaptability Flexibility Durability Reliability Sustainability Testability Operability Manufacturability ResearchDiff*Q2 Priority SBR Design Tradespace E D Robustness… To changes in policy: Modularity Reparability Maintainability Quality Safety Fail-safe Reliability Flexibility Durability Testability Sustainability Robustness Manufacturability Adaptability Agility Scalability Operability Ross, Adam M. "Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design as a Value-Centric Framework for Space System Architecture and Design." Dual-SM, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2003. C Δ$ Cost of flexibility? Project 2 Lifecycle Cost ($B) Knowledge Capture, Synthesis, Analysis: Develop MATE Matlab toolbox and reusable model library From Roberts, 2003 Related: • Adaptability (self-changing) X-TOS Focus on Robustness, Flexibility, Adaptability, Scalability… • Scalability (resizing) – Expanded generalized framework for Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design (MATE-CON) process – Analysis for incorporating and understanding tradeoffs of certain “ilities” in MATE-CON; impact assessment on quality of system and system-of-system design through tradespace perspective Ross, Adam M., Daniel E. Hastings, and Nathan P. Diller. "Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design for Space System Conceptual Design." In Aerospace Sciences Meeting, 14. Reno, NV: AIAA, January 2003. B A • Anticipated contribution (by end of 2005): Ross, Adam M., Nathan P. Diller, Daniel E. Hastings, and Joyce M. Warmkessel. "Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration in Space System Design." In World Space Congress, 1-14. Houston, TX: IAF, 2002. 1 0 – Extend the Multi-attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design process to include consideration of several of the ESD defined “ilities” system properties Publications 1 0 1. What are the relationships between flexibility, adaptability, robustness, and scalability/modularity for space systems? 2. How can these 3-4 ilities be quantified and/or used as decision metrics when exploring tradespaces? • Objective: Outputs Advanced Model/Sim System Design(s) 7 Conceptual Design Industry State of Practice: Applicability, Deployability, and Need • Design Exploration Design Evaluation Projects • Incorporate work from six prior MATE models • Standardize and collect functions Model/ Simulation Inputs 1 • Research Questions Context: “Engineering Systems Thinking” Design Ease of Change Conceptual/ preliminary Design Academic Pursuits From Weigel, 2002 Ross, Adam M., Nathan P. Diller, Daniel E. Hastings, and Joyce M. Warmkessel. "Multi-Attribute Tradespace Exploration with Concurrent Design as a Front-End for Effective Space System Design." Journal of Spacecraft and Rockets 41, no. 1 (2004): 20-28. To changes in desires: Original y t i l i t U Revised 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 y t i l i t U ΔReq. 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 Lifecycle Cost ($M) 54 56 58 60 Ross, Adam M., and Daniel E. Hastings. "The Tradespace Exploration Paradigm." Paper presented at the INCOSE 2005 International Symposium, Rochester, NY, July 10-15 2005 (Submitted). 0.6 0.2 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 Lifecycle Cost ($M) 54 56 58 60