Scheffé’s Method c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 1 / 37 Scheffé’s Method: Suppose y = Xβ + ε, where ε ∼ N(0, σ 2 I). Let c01 β, . . . , c0q β be q estimable functions, where c1 , . . . , cq are linearly independent. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 2 / 37 Let c01 . . C= . c0q and define θ1 c01 β . . . . θ= . = . = Cβ. θq c0q β c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 3 / 37 Let W = C(X0 X)− C0 with diagonal elements denoted w11 , . . . , wqq . Then Var(Cβ̂) = σ 2 W and Var(θ̂j ) = Var(c0j β̂) = σ 2 wjj c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) j = 1, . . . , q. Statistics 611 4 / 37 For any q × 1 vector u and any k ∈ R, let L(u, k) denote the interval √ √ [u0 θ̂ − k σ̂ 2 u0 Wu, u0 θ̂ + k σ̂ 2 u0 Wu]. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 5 / 37 We want to find k 3 P(u0 θ ∈ L(u, k) ∀ u ∈ Rq ) = 1 − α. Thus, we seek simultaneously coverage probability 1 − α for an infinite set of intervals. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 6 / 37 Show that u0 θ ∈ L(u, k) ∀ u ∈ Rq ⇐⇒ k2 (Cβ̂ − Cβ)0 (C(X0 X)− C0 )−1 (Cβ̂ − Cβ) ≤ . qσ̂ 2 q c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 7 / 37 Thus, we have P(u0 θ ∈ L(u, k) ∀ u ∈ Rq ) (Cβ̂ − Cβ)0 (C(X0 X)− C0 )−1 (Cβ̂ − Cβ) k2 =P ≤ . qσ̂ 2 q What shall we choose for k to make this probability equal to 1 − α? c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 12 / 37 Example: Suppose an experiment was conducted using a completely randomized design with 10 subjects in each of 4 treatment groups. The treatment groups were defined by the combinations of levels from 2 factors: diet (1 or 2) and exercise program (1 or 2). c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 14 / 37 The model yijk = µij + εijk was fit the response data yijk = measure of overall health for diet i, exercise program j, subject k (i = 1, 2; j = 1, 2; k = 1, . . . , 10). The parameter µij represents the mean response for diet i, exercise program j (i = 1, 2; j = 1, 2). c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 15 / 37 The εijk terms are assumed to be iid N(0, σ 2 ). A summary of the data is as follows: ȳ11· = 9 ȳ12· = 7 ȳ21· = 8 ȳ22· = 3 σ̂ 2 = 5. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 16 / 37 Suppose we want to construct a set of confidence intervals using a method that gives simultaneous coverage probability at least 95%. Suppose the confidence intervals will be used to address the following questions: c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 17 / 37 1. Diet main effect? 2. Exercise program main effect? 3. Diet-by-exercise program interaction? 4. Difference between diet 1 and diet 2 under exercise program 1? 5. Difference between exercise program 1 and 2 under diet 1? 6. Diet 1, exercise program 1 vs. mean of other treatments? c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 18 / 37 What estimable function of µ 11 µ 12 β= µ21 µ22 is of interest in each of the questions 1 through 6, respectively? c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 19 / 37 Compute an estimate and standard error for each estimable function of interest. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 21 / 37 Determine appropriate intervals to address questions 1 through 6. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 24 / 37 Each interval is of the form c0j β̂ ± ksej . How shall we choose k? c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 25 / 37 If we use the Bonferroni approach, then k = t40−4, 0.05 (2)(6) ≈ 2.79. This approach would be legitimate if we were interested in these 6 intervals, and only these 6 intervals, prior to observing the data. c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 26 / 37 Alternatively, we can consider Scheffé intervals, k = p qFq,40−4,0.05 . What is the value of q in our situation? c Copyright 2012 Dan Nettleton (Iowa State University) Statistics 611 27 / 37