Natural and Social Engineering: Creating Community Resiliency through Land-use Decisions Center for Natural Hazards Research - Workshop Mark Holland Dec 8, 2011 Overview Natural hazards and sustainable communities Hazardous impacts and implications The 8 Pillars of a Sustainable Community Governance – the foundation Perspectives Conclusion 21st Century Perceptions Expectations Technology Change rate Reality Sustainable Development Risk managing the future Climate Change Peak Oil Resources, Waste and Toxins Water Ecosystem Degradation Food Individual and Community Health Local Economic Stability Challenges & Goals of Sustainability Key Challenges Climate Change / Air Quality Fossil Fuel & Energy Supply Waste / Resource Scarcity Water Quantity/Quality Supply Ecosystem Damage Food Supply / Quality / Security Economic Prosperity / Viability Social and Community Health Sustainability Goals Reduce Emissions Renewable Energy / Efficiency Reducing Waste / Recycling Better Water Management Ecological Design / Protection Organic / Local Food Supply Diverse / Local Economy Promote Individual and Community Health The New Horizon: 2050 Hazards in the 21st century Earthquakes Tsunamis Volcanos Floods Landslides Avalanches Droughts Fire Climate Change Pandemics Terrorism Geopolitical events Others Human impact on the planet Acts of God = …Acts of us Acts of us on us Scale of impact = us Resilience – the new sustainability Shock dominos Physical Economic Social Purpose Increase awareness of vulnerability to (natural) hazards Influence public policy to minimize losses and provide multiple benefits Framework Knowledge Addressing risk and tolerance Governance Development (political and market reality) Response-ability Location choices Retrofits Preparation for response Management Learning Terrain of Applied Science Research Credibility + timeline Communication to… Terrain of Economics Costs Real Avoided Mitigation Who pays A spreadsheet of falling dominos Terrain of Development Community identity Regulation Development market economics Culture of planning and development Terrain of Consciousness Politics Paradigms Interests Media The Imperative Multiple Objectives : Multiple ROI 1. Shock avoidance and response agenda 2. Sustainability agenda The global long term view 3. Daily health and prosperity Many considerations Resilience Applied 1. Development process 2. Development form and function 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Land Use Transportation Buildings Infrastructure Landscape Food systems Arts, Culture and Health Local Economy 3. Governance Planning and Design Process Vision and policy driven Integrated Design Process Abu Dhabi Community engagement process Accredited and experienced professionals with a mandate Integrated Team Process Owner Investor Contractor Architect Landscape Architect Engineer Hazards specialists (several) Bldg code expert Green development experts Approvals oversight Proforma oversight Development managers Users Community Others The 8 Pillars of a Resilient Community 1) Complete community land use Land use for a lasting community Regional and local location and layout Avoid high risk areas Retrofit strategy Access by proximity Self reliance - regionally and locally Economy (business) Lifestyle (family) Diversity Housing Retail Office / commercial Parks and trails integrated Strategic density – high or low Emergency response sheds 2) Low impact Secure Transportation Resilient transportation system Secure main routes Disaster routes Prioritize walking and accessibility Cycling supportive Public transit support Minimize parking impact Multi-modal streets Shared car systems Electric / future micro-mobility 3) High Performance Buildings 21st Century Buildings Emergency response capacity Disruption resistant High performance buildings Energy efficient Generate energy Water efficient Sustainable local materials Healthy place to be Durable, fixable, flexible Support sustainable lifestyle Formal Certification Built Green LEED Net Zero Living building Others – resilience? Building codes 4) Innovative Infrastructure 4.1) Energy Supply Systems 4.2) Water / Wastewater System 4.3) Stormwater System 4.4) Solid Waste Management 5) Multi-Tasked Landscapes A Resilient Landscape Program Resilient landscape planning Hazard avoidance Green web and protection of sensitive areas Urban food production Arts and culture support Recreation diversity 6) Sustainable Regional Food System Food System Elements Regional production diversity Processing, warehousing + distribution Easy access to food retail Restaurants Urban agriculture Celebration of food Food education Emergency food security “Agricultural Urbanism” 7) Individual and Community Health A Resilient Society Emergency preparedness Social capital Facilities and programs Community amenities Education Arts and culture Health care Community events Recreation 8) Local Diverse Economy Desirable elements Emergency preparedness Business associations Local commercial diversity Jobs diversity Eco-commercial networks Green business practices Governance The foundation of the pillars Governance structure and operation People Policies Process Participation Politics Regulations L and use – prov/reg/local – RGS; OCP; LAP; etc… Transportation policies and standards Building code Environmental regs Health regulations for infrastructure Agricultural / land policy Academic research - communication Inter/intra national trade agreements and local ec dev initiatives Development approvals Prior criteria setting Public policy (all levels of govt) Create application (Developer / consultant) Evaluate a development proposal (local govt) Data gathering on site and project Analysis Decision (recommendation) Post occupancy monitoring (?) Perspectives - Developer Added costs (time or things) Minor or crippling Cost of existing product Expertise and efficiency of regulator Unintended consequences! Be clear, efficient, required Perspectives - Economics Insurance Reality Paradigm Government resources Who (we all) will pay Perspectives – Culture and politics Growing awareness of 21st century reality Changing politics of “who is responsible” There is no “they” Local empowerment Conclusion 21st Century Shock resilience – a priority Sustainability = resilience Multiple objectives Need to formalize in policies and process Guide = key first step Stay optimistic Thank you mark.holland@newmonaco.ca