The TRIFECTA THE TRIFECTA: otherwise known as METABOLIC SYNDROME The not-so winning combination of abnormal lipids, hypertension and obesity. The Long Term Care International Forum 2013 Our Presenters Dr. Bruce Margolis, Medical Director - Genworth Pam Jackson, LTC Underwriting Manager – New York Life Joe Furlong, Associate Director, Claims - RGA Our goal is to provide a comprehensive look at Metabolic Syndrome to include an in-depth medical review, underwriting concerns and what we see on the claims side. Metabolic Syndrome A Medical Perspective May 9, 2013 NOTICE: This document contains confidential, non-public company information. Further distribution of this document is strictly prohibited. Company Confidential ©2012 Genworth Financial, Inc. All rights reserved. Metabolic Syndrome – What Is It? “Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a multiplex risk factor that arises from insulin resistance accompanying abnormal adipose deposition and function. It is a risk factor for coronary heart disease, as well as for diabetes, fatty liver, and several cancers.” Downloaded 4/8/13 – http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/165124-overview metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 5 Metabolic Syndrome – Clinically Defined ATP III (Adult Treatment Panel) (3 or more of the following) – Waist circumference >40 inches in men; >35 inches in women – Serum triglycerides >150 mg/dl – Blood pressure >130/85 mmHg – HDL cholesterol <40 mg/dl in men and <50 mg/dl in women – Serum glucose >110 mg/dl WHO – Diabetes, IFG, IGT or insulin resistance and at least two of the following criteria: • Waist –to-hip ratio >0.90 in men or >0.85 in women and/or BMI >30 • Serum triglycerides >150 mg/dl or HDL cholesterol 35 mg/dl in men and 39 mg/dl in women • Blood pressure >140/90 mmHg • Urinary albumin excretion rate >20µg/min or albumin-to-creatinine ratio >30 mg/g Grundy SM, et al. Circulation. 2004;109:433) metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 6 Metabolic Syndrome – In Other Words Abdominal obesity Atherogenic dyslipidemia Raised blood pressure Insulin Resistance + glucose intolerance Proinflammatory state [elevated C-reactive protein (CRP)] Prothrombotic state [increased plasma plasminogen activator inhibitor (PA-1) and fibrinogen] Grundy SM, et al. Circulation. 2004;109:433) metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 7 Metabolic Syndrome Increased risk for: – Cardiovascular disease • Coronary artery disease • Cerebrovascular disease (stroke) • Peripheral artery disease – Diabetes – Polycystic ovarian syndrome – Fatty liver – Gallstones – Asthma – Sleep disturbance – Some cancers Grundy SM, et al. Circulation. 2004;109:433) metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 8 From: Prevalence of the Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults: Findings From the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey JAMA. 2002;287(3):356-359. doi:10.1001/jama.287.3.356 Figure Legend: Data are presented as percentage (SE). metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 9 From: Prevalence of the Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults: Findings From the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey JAMA. 2002;287(3):356-359. doi:10.1001/jama.287.3.356 Figure Legend: Data are presented as percentage (SE). metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 Est 47 million in US with Metabolic Syndrome 10 Cardiometabolic Risk Despres JP, Lemieux, I. Nature 2006;444:881 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 11 Obesity – Metabolic Syndrome Link Primary Metabolic Disturbance Intermediate Vascular Disease Risk Factor Intravascular Pathology Clinical Event Insulin Resistance Hypertension Dyslipidemia Overnutrition Atherosclerosis • Coronary arteries Hyperglycemia • Carotid arteries Hyperinsulinemia • Cerebral arteries • Aorta Inflammation Impaired Fibrinolysis • Peripheral arteries Hypercoagulability Endothelial Dysfunction Despres JP, Lemieux, I. Nature 2006;444:881 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 12 CVD Role of Adipose Tissue Goossens, GH. Phys & BehavI 2008;94:206 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 13 Adjusted relative risk Abdominal Obesity and CVD Risk Men Women <95 <87 95-103 87-98 >103 Waist circumference (cm) Dagenais GR et al, 2005 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 >98 14 From: The Metabolic Syndrome and Total and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in Middle-aged Men JAMA. 2002;288(21):2709-2716. doi:10.1001/jama.288.21.2709 Figure Legend: RR indicates relative risk; CI, confidence interval. Curves for men with vs without the metabolic syndrome based on factor analysis (men in the highest quarter of the distribution of the metabolic syndrome factor were considered to have the metabolic syndrome). Median follow-up (range) for survivors was 11.6 (9.1-13.7) years. Relative risks were determined by age-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 15 Metabolic Syndrome and CVD Mortality Malik S, et al. Circulation 2004;110:1245 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 16 Hazard Ratio CVD Mortality and MetS Risk Factors Malik S, et al. Circulation 2004;110:1245 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 17 Metabolic Syndrome - Treatment Weight Loss Blood pressure control Lipid control Exercise Medication? metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 18 Cumulative incidence (%) Prevention of Diabetes Placebo (n=1082) Metformin (n=1073) Lifestyle (n=1079) 40 30 Risk Reduction 31% by metformin 58% by lifestyle 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 Years from randomization The DPP Research Group. NEJM;2002:393 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 19 4 CVD and Long Term Care Claims Source: Society of Actuaries LTC Experience Committee Fifth Intercompany Report – November 2007 metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 20 The Bottom Line WHAT YOU CAN’T CHANGE Your Genes WHAT YOU CAN CHANGE Your Lifestyle Your Lifestyle Your Lifestyle metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 21 Summary Metabolic Syndrome is a group of risk factors that result from insulin resistance and excess adipose tissue This results in an environment if increased for diabetes and cardiovascular disease There is excess mortality and morbidity related to the metabolic syndrome The best treatment is prevention with a healthy lifestyle including a balanced healthy diet and regular exercise and no smoking Medication may be useful when lifestyle measures are inadequate metabolic syndrome_LTCIF_2013 22 Underwriting Concerns The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum 23 Underwriting Concerns What does this mean in terms of underwriting? What is the risk? How big is the risk? What has claims experience taught us? The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns What is required to determine eligibility? Full medical records, labs required Does the client require medication? Is he/she compliant ? Are there associated risk factors? Sedentary lifestyle? Does the client have other LTC policies? The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns Then what? Establish the risk by looking at the whole picture High Risk? Moderate Risk? Low Risk? Limit the benefits if necessary The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns- Case Study #1 Scenario: 56 year old female 5 ft 4 in, 192 lbs – BMI 33 Metabolic syndrome documented in the medical records BP 128/72 stable Lipids wnl for several years Stable HTN Compliant with all medications Nonsmoker Started working out 24 months ago No history of diabetes, stroke The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns Case Study #1 Risk=Moderate The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns- Case Study #2 Scenario 62 Female 5 ft 1, 210 lbs – BMI 39.7 Metabolic syndrome documented in the medical records Blood pressure stable on three meds Lipids harder to control, but near normal Insulin resistance, diet controlled Not always compliant Smoker Remote history of a TIA The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Underwriting Concerns Case Study #2 Risk=High The Trifecta 2013 Long-Term Care International Forum Claims Observations Claims Observations We don’t see claims with a diagnosis of Metabolic Syndrome. It does not normally cause a claimant to go on claim. Claims are the result of the acute events that are precipitated by Metabolic Syndrome. Mainly, Stroke, Myocardial Infarction and complications from Diabetes. Claims Observations Column1 Respiratory, 5.3 Digestive, 1.8 Alzheimer's, 20.7 Arthritis, 10.7 Stroke, 10.7 Cancer, 9.9 Circulatory, 9.8 Injury, 9.8 Mental, 5.6 Nervous system, 6.6 20.5% of claims due to Stroke and Circulatory Diagnoses Data from 2011 SOA LTC Experience Study #6 Claims Observations A little more than 20% of claims are due to Stroke and Circulatory System disorders. Combined, these causes are equal to the claim experience we see on Alzheimer’s claims. We cannot make a direct correlation between Stroke/Circulatory System disorders and Metabolic Syndrome in the data but we can infer that it played a role in a number of these claims. Claims Observations The window of opportunity for recovery from the after-effects of a stroke is limited. Proper rehabilitation is crucial. Once paralysis and/or cognitive deficits are stabilized, there is a small chance that ADL or Cognitive function will improve. Close monitoring during the early stages of rehabilitation is essential to ensure continued eligibility. Claims Observations Co-Morbidities Co-Morbidities are inherent with Metabolic Syndrome which adds another level of difficulty when assessing possible length of claim. Cardiovascular disease, along with diabetes, can lead to longer claims. Especially if diabetic neuropathy develops. Claims Observations Co-Morbidities Obesity and diabetes are also complicating co-morbidities when dealing with hip fractures and other musculoskeletal claims. Rehabilitation can be more challenging, can take longer and obesity and diabetes can have a negative effect on the ultimate functional capacity of the claimant. The Trifecta Summary As you can see… Metabolic Syndrome is a condition that is: • Difficult to manage for the physician • Challenging to evaluate from an underwriting perspective • Can be a costly contributing factor at claim time. And, as with horse racing, a favorable outcome on The Trifecta is a long shot. The Trifecta Questions? Thank you for your attention.