DECISION MAKING FOR SALES OF URBANIZED NATURAL RESOURCE LANDS by LISA SUSAN VERNER Bachelor of Arts University of Redlands (1974) Master of Urban Planning California State University, San Jose (1979) SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF ARCHITECTURE IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT at the INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY MASSACHUSETTS 1987 July, ) Lisa Susan Verner 1987 The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. Signature of Author Certified by . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . - - - - - - Lisa Susan Verner Department of Architecture July 31, 1987 . - . . . . . . . - - -..-Gloria Schuck Lecturer Management of School Sloan Thesis Supervisor - - - - - - - - -........ Michael Wheeler Chairman Development Estate Real in Program Degree Interdepartmental Accepted by. . . .. . . - - - - - it's-. 1 AI31 U 1 8 DECISION MAKING FOR SALES OF URBANIZED NATURAL RESOURCE LANDS by LISA SUSAN VERNER Submitted to the Department of Architecture on July 31, 1987 in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development ABSTRACT This thesis examines the decision making process It hypothesizes sale of urban real estate. concerning the that a structured decision process captures the value of urban real estate. It utilizes examples from the Washington State For DNR, urban lands are Department of Natural Resources. those in transition from principal forest or agricultural uses urban environment such as of an to uses more characteristic residential, commercial, and industrial applications. income has a history of concern for The Department administers. The past benefit the trusts it production to timber production and sales has shifted in recent reliance on years to include an appreciation of income producing potential While the Department does not see itself on non-timber lands. land developer, it does realize that urbanized lands are as a to be developed and sold than as as properties more valuable timber producing resources. By structuring the decision process, property evaluations continuity. have and comprehensive will be and decisions reviewed to determine usage of any of studies are Three case The thesis will the decision process. steps in three basic as commonly guidelines, such other general examine whether accepted financial tools, were part of the decision process. process allows it to be the decision Standardization of It ensures that all property. property to transferred from must also The process are considered. important factors to take makers to allow decision enough remain flexible still but as they arise, new opportunities advantage of package and sell an how to in determining provide guidance urban property. DNR towards could help making guidelines Decision The thesis proposes a model consistently successful outcomes. process that will help agencies such as DNR decide how to best market them and deal with prospective buyers. prepare lands, structured decision making approach to using a It recommends recommends strategic alternatives for It also capture value. to be used can which contracts the construction of sale capture additional portions of a property's value. Gloria Schuck Thesis Supervisor: Lecturer, Sloan School of Management Title: 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to acknowledge and thank the their contributions to this thesis: following people for 1. Don Vogt, Manager, Project Development of the Real Estate Division, and Rod Hilden, Manager of the Real Estate Division, for giving me the opportunity to undertake this examination of DNR's sales of urban land and for their pioneering efforts to gain public benefit through land development; 2. Gloria Schuck, for her guidance and commitment of time in the shaping and production of this thesis and for her generous support over the long distances involved; 3. The Center for Real Estate Development, collectively and individually, for giving me the opportunity to spend one year of my life in a most enjoyable, enlightening and challenging program; 4. Heather McCartney, for her friendship, support throughout this whole year; and wisdom, and 5. Shinko Mondori, for discovering the CRED program and encouraging me to expand my horizons and for his loving support of my efforts. 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS . . . . . . . . . 10 . . . . . 14 POLICY DEVELOPMENT. .. . . . 15 . . . . 17 I. INTRODUCTION. . . . II. DECISION MAKING FRAMEWORK . . III. HISTORY . . . . . . . . . . URBAN LANDS IV. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 . . . . . . . . . . . 20 CONCLUSION...... . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 . . . . . 24 . . . . . . BUCKLIN RIDGE. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 PROPERTY VALUATION. . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 .. . . . . . . . . 36 . . . . . . . . . . 43 . . . . . . . . . . 46 . . SITE IMPROVEMENTS . PUBLIC OFFERINGS. C. . . HISTORY B. . LEGAL AUTHORITY CASE STUDIES. A. . CONCLUSION. . . .. REDMOND HEIGHTS. . . .. . . 27 HISTORY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 OPTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 PROPERTY VALUATION. . . . . . . . . . . . 52 PUBLIC OFFERINGS. . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 CONCLUSION. . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 . . . . . . . . . . 64 . . . . . . . . . . 67 .. . . . . . . . 68 . . . . . . . . 70 CANTERBURY COURT HISTORY . . . . . . . OPTIONS . . . . . . . PROPERTY VALUATION. PUBLIC OFFERINGS. 4 . . . . . CONCLUSION. V. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 . . . . . . . . 73 DESCRIPTION OF DNR. . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS. . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT. . . . . . . . . . . . 80 REAL ESTATE MARKETING . . . . . . . . . . . 85 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 REAL ESTATE AND FINANCIAL LITERATURE. CONCLUSION. VI. ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . COMPARING CASE STUDIES WITH EACH OTHER. . . 89 89 COMPARING CASE STUDIES WITH DECISION PROCESS 91 CONCLUSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . VII. RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . STRUCTURING THE DECISION. . . . . . . . . . PARTICIPATING IN THE UPSIDE . . . . . . . . 94 95 95 98 CONCLUSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 VIII.SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 5 LIST OF EXHIBITS EXHIBIT 1 - BUCKLIN RIDGE TIMELINE EXHIBIT 2 - REDMOND HEIGHTS TIMELINE EXHIBIT 3 - CANTERBURY COURT TIMELINE. . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 . . . . . . . . . . . 60 . . . . . . . . . . 72 LIST OF MAPS MAP 1 - PUGET SOUND REGION: CASE STUDY LOCATIONS MAP 2 - BUCKLIN RIDGE: MAP 3 - REDMOND HEIGHTS: MAP 4 - CANTERBURY COURT: . . . . . 25 . . . . . . . . . . . 28 VICINITY MAP. . . . . . . . . . . 47 VICINITY MAP . . . . . . . . . . 63 VICINITY MAP. 6 I. INTRODUCTION This thesis examines the sale of urban real estate by the Department of Natural Resources Washington State just sold but is marketed to a specific group of estate is not and preparations maximize the buyers will for those the sale structuring of astute Therefore, buyers. potential Real (DNR). seller's profit. The Department of Natural Resources has the fiduciary responsibility to produce income for the state's public school trusts by managing the state trust system and lands. several other It oversees almost three million acres of uplands and two million acres of aquatic lands. Forestry is employees know the heart and soul and understand the farming of trees. the income for schools is generated however, have Some lands, become selling this its Usually, through timber harvesting. urban due This presents increases and location shifts. opportunity of Department; of the land for to population the DNR with the urban development and realizing a greater gain. The lands proximity to in question urban are development. valuable because While these currently not profitable from a forest management of lands their are perspective, they can produce considerable revenue if sold for residential, commercial, industrial, or other urban uses. 7 In other words, value surpassed their land has as urban their value as a timber producing resource. in impacted or years, the last several portfolio of Department has While these lands are of urban lands. a portfolio small percentage of the total DNR holdings, special attention and expertise. to the a its expertise in forestry has not prepared it recognized that to manage as areas urbanized by In the properties. only a view its real estate holdings that are begun to DNR has forming a challenge by they demand The Department has responded Real Estate Division to deal with these and other non-forestry issues. The Real Estate Division reviews urban lands and those in determine what can be done to create or capture transition to the higher urban value. exchanges and purchases. creates and manages a the Department One way to sell It sold. retained or should be It determines whether the properties In essence, also property evaluates the Real Estate Division portfolio of investment properties for from the existing, urbanizing parcels. to capture the increased value of these lands the property. is A professional, consistent approach to the sale of property will help the seller achieve the greatest A potential profit. identify the comprehensive process is needed to steps that must be taken for each property to be sold. This thesis surveys real estate and financial literature to identify tools that may be useful structuring a sale. in valuing a property and presents three case studies as It also 8 and the decision process survey have tools described Conclusions used. been whether to determine then examined studies are The case are analyzed and compared. case studies The resource land. sale of urbanized natural to the DNR's approach examples of a literature in the drawn are and recommendations are made. A matrix which or checklist can be at reviewed the beginning of a project will help develop a systematic decision applicable to should be It making process. both large and be transferable should also to privately small sites. It owned lands. This is particularly needed in Washington where tracts of forested land are surrounded by urban areas. strategic alternatives considered because always respond government agencies to market private development structuring of a for the such as Also, sale must be DNR can not opportunities as fast or as well as They need to rely additional companies. mechanisms to capture value. The decisions to the on what to sell and how to present parcels The next chapter will discuss a market are important. framework for making these decisions. 9 II. DECISION MAKING FRAMEWORK The hypothesis decision making continuity. of of this will process The variables organized into a framework. can be identified and listed. comes first? becomes that structuring the consistency ensure and to be considered and the sequence to be made can by systematically analyzed and the decisions appraisal, and paper is The parts of the decision to sell For example, a market study, an development permit approvals are needed; An organized pattern a essentially checklist of decisions to review which to be made each for new property to be sold. in a comprehensive manner ensure that all Decisions made aspects of the question Piecemeal, incremental are reviewed and off-target and considered. decisions are avoided when an organization begins with a comprehensive perspective. There are three basic steps involved in making a decision to sell urban land. The steps are as follows: 1. Define the objectives; 2. Determine a strategy for meeting the objectives; 3. Develop an implementation plan to guide those who carry out the strategy. (Braun, 1975, p. Defining objectives provides goals to be identifies the met. For example, 10 and 126) important issues and DNR, as a public agency, a has variety wide to overseers of satisfy. Accordingly, its objectives must include the following areas: 1. Financial returns and value enhancement; 2. Community and political acceptance; 3. Agency efficiency and productivity; and 4. Trust land retention and income enhancement. A strategy must then be developed to achieve the specific objectives. is a set of instructions a strategy "Very simply, taken in to be the action clearly define that so response to every chance event that a third party or behalf." decision maker's on a act agent could (Raiffa and Thompson, 1985, p. 1) will also address how much risk the decision maker A strategy Reward is governed by the amount of risk that is should take. taken. agency Because it sees itself in a to wants maximize profit; fiduciary role, DNR as an therefore, it must be prepared to take some risks. The risks activities. moves along increase as As the one takes on more development property is further improved, the seller a continuum from "small Development activities include the following: 1. Sell land as is; 2. Seek development approvals; 3. Undertake construction; 11 risk" to "large risk." involved in marketing/leasing; 4. Get 5. Assume operational management. from undertaking and benefits The rewards these risks include the following and accumulate as more risks are taken: Tax 1. Cash flow (revenue); 2. Fees for activities managed; 3. Residuals 4. Credit/publicity for doing the deal. (future sales value); (shields) benefits but were development deal another are not listed (Bacow, 1987) reward/benefit here because in a DNR is a non-taxed, government agency. The final rewards is risks and will strategy step after to determine how those implementing the proceed. carefully thinking defining objectives and evaluating A good, plan requires through the sequence of events in order to is going to occur. anticipate what workable Successful developers are those who anticipate changes and respond to them in the course of completing vehicle for a project. Using identifying options a decision tree, at various or similar crossroads, will provide guidance. Decision making For example, the US Tax Code is a set of decision processes. making rules. outcome. rules are different than decision making Rules govern and determine that decision making However, Washington's State Environmental Policy Act 12 SEPA making process. a decision (SEPA) defines provides a the environmental impacts caused by a proposal. review of an writes then proponent A impact. significant is there if determines Environmental Impact It project Statement. There is a public hearing and court review, as needed. The Department of Natural Resources could use a set order of events or process for managing its portfolio of urban land. An alternative lands outright. and then sell on-site some One possibility is to sell the urban four options. It faces A second alternative is to undertake the lands. development portfolio lands within the greater than sale of obtaining (i.e., third alternative A installing utilities). is to obtain land use permits the developed and hold the is to financial the when permits return is or undeveloped land. DNR needs a structured way of approaching these options. Structured decision making involves a framework which can be applied to many decisions. requiring consideration of the It allows for flexibility by options and consequences. It is a disciplined approach to achieving desired results. The next three case chapter discusses studies will disciplined approach objectives, develop plans. These case process used by one the history to determine be reviewed to decision organize examples demonstrate government agency 13 Then if such a making was used to identify strategies, and urban lands. of DNR. implementation the decision making charged with selling III. to production income for the benefit history of trusts it The past reliance on timber production and sales administers. in recent has shifted include an years to lands as and transition an appreciation lands. income producing potential on non-timber on urban a Resources has of Natural The Department concern HISTORY of The new focus additional source of income recognizes the population and urban area expansion that has occurred in Washington. ability to persuade state It also reflects the Department's adopt legislation to lawmakers to allow the new directions. The approximately came from the Department counties and acres of land managed by five million the federal gifts to the state. government, Washington Approximately three million The income generated acres are managed as upland trust lands. supports the various state is to trust assets) The largest of trusts while be preserved for future (seen as beneficiaries. is the public school trust and 11 trusts the the land supports the construction of new schools. DNR has to act Its a keen on behalf fiduciary litigation. sense of being a trustee and is required of both current and responsibilities In United States v. have future beneficiaries. been defined through 111.2 Acres of Land in Ferry County, Washington, the United States District Court declared: "Section 10 of the Enabling Act and Article XVI, section 1 of 14 trust, the Washington Constitution constitute a declaration of (or schools common beneficiary; lands became 21) management agency for the trust the lands within the of aquatic million acres for responsible also is It accepted. public trust lands also but are beyond the These are state. (Marcus-Jones, 1985, p. and land forest approximately two the was established in 1957 after the concept The Department single is the (or proceeds from its sale) the granted land and beneficiary) designated other is the corpus of trust." of a Department is the trustee; through the Washington acting the State of the trust; of the grantor States is the United this paper because they do not have a requirement to scope of produce income for a trust. Department. The Board six the member with establishing is charged and enacting the necessary the Department policies governing Resources, a of Natural appointed body, designated and oversees Lands Public Commissioner of An elected regulations to allow DNR to carry out its duties. Policy Development A demonstrates changes majority of harvesting or lands were its The areas; In the last 15 that timber Few of were its were few years more land has been now Department For the viewed purpose. those Department years. Department its primary urbanizing considered problems. urbanized. the existence, the by over the in philosophy farming as in development policy of review sees these sites as While it does not view itself as being in the opportunities. land development from solely forest Department's view does see business, it of The management. its role as expanded evolution in the its duties is explained by the author of a thesis on the Department's urban and transition lands: 1968 the Department virtually "Prior to transitory in lands with problems performed management activities on these they were the same as any other forested (p. 43) ignored the and areas lands as if land area." the Department attempted to project future "In 1968 This its trust lands on a statewide basis. uses of some DNR recognition that first official was the forest a 'typical' neatly into not fit lands did predicting for policies The management scheme. these uses were adopted by DNR in August 1968 in the In ensuing years Plan (RAP). Resource Allocation and substantially revised would be this document Management Land Forest by the finally supplanted Progam (FLMP)." (p. 44) of 'The primary measures FLMP "states, The 1979 and goal achieved its Department has whether the an be responsibility must trust its fulfilled of the overriding purposes of in view economic one the to trusts' ... Income to the maximizing income trusts was primarily expected to be derived from the FLMP The of timber. subsequent harvest sale and states that the Department manages its forest lands, optimum and maintain site utilize the 'to fully growth and productivity which will maximize income from these lands at the time of harvest.'" (p. 31) Legal challenges of administration Land Management first FLMP in 1979 and a change to the DNR in 1980 of the Plan in 1984. two documents represents a to management of its led to a revised Forest The differences between these dramatic change in DNR's approach trust lands, quotation: 16 as shown in the following "Unlike the 1979 FLMP, the (1984) ...program intended 1984-1993, ten years, to guide the DNR for only The (new) FLMP stressed a 120 years. rather than conservative approach to the management of the trust Two themes were established as the focus of lands. forest lands should be the document:...a) the managed as a whole, taking care to not only produce non-timber revenue, but also protect timber for resources as well...(and) b) to take a cautious view management by diversifying of the economic future practices and tree growing investments." (p. 35) Urban Lands Urban lands forest or are those lands in transition from principal agricultural uses to uses more characteristic of an urban environment. residential, These commercial, and populated DNR lands were being surrounded by and industrial development as cities county areas federal land grants gave school trust land. expanded. two sections The scattered One of the of each location of original township these as sites increased their sus ceptibility to urbanization. its In the 1960's the urban lands Department exchanged 500,000 acres of with private natural resource based development compani es for the same amount of forested acreage. for the A windfall private companies, the Department did not recognize the value of these land then and tried to get rid of forestry values. migration occured, and the them at increased, it its urban the population public's environmental became difficult lands. late 1970's. As for DNR These problems increased, awareness to harvest timber on steadily increased in the In 1976, DNR established a separate Urban Lands 17 An inventory Program. designated approximately 10,000 acres as urban. practice traditional forestry operations "Unable to from the experiencing pressure lands and on these general public and local governments for other uses, a as these lands typically regarded DNR managers Urban Lands Program of the The creation problem. and an active that recognition DNR's reflected specific management program (for these lands) was in the agency's best interests." (p. 49) In 1981 land were the inventory was updated and three categories of Rural, 10, Urban designated: Urban 10, shown as acres were Approximately 16,300 Uses. Special and of which Urban 10 acres were in active forest production. about 1,600 meant lands which would convert to urban uses within 10 years. In the 1984 FLMP, the Department said it would remove Urban 10 meant this really harvest base; its sustainable from lands only the 1,600 acres would be removed from active harvest. House Bill Bill/Second Substitute increased to allow bill also urban and to acquire income resource producing property. The required the Department to not deplete the publicly owned land forest base. comply Department the producing as well as natural of the bill amended the Land Bank "Primarily transition lands. 181) was passed to give DNR management the in flexibility legislation (Urban-Transition the Transition Lands Act In March 1984, with base nor In local reduce the addition the land management principles." publicly department plans use (DNR, 1986, p. 18 and 11) owned was commercial directed applicable to growth In July 1984, the Board of Natural Resources formally designated 7,700 acres of from the designated acreage was reduced The as "Urban." trust lands acres previously number of after considered urban public hearings and consultation with local governments. In 1985 the Department was to The purpose (TLPP). Policy Plan began writing a Transition Lands define the role of (urban) lands in the trust portfolio, to identify a transition management process to accomplish a change from lower to higher valued uses, environmental maintain and to The quality. document identifies changes in land use patterns as a means of The TLPP has not yet capturing value for the urban DNR sites. been adopted. In late 1985 the Department reorganized Division. Real Estate intradepartmental "Urban Its successful completion "bring to assigned to Division gave it." (McElroy, selling lands no longer producing property was an Group" which was to specific urban land projects 1985) formal recognition requirements for urban lands. predecessor immediate Lands Working and formed the The formation of the to the different management The Division is responsible for profitable for and managing DNR, buying the urban lands. income It also is shepharding the draft Transition Lands Policy Plan through the approvals process. The TLPP comments on the benefits of urban lands: trust the scattered.. .holdings of "Viewing the producing income potential as portfolios opportunities results in two direct benefits: 19 or vacant of underutilized value 1. The productive more into redeployed be property can situations; 2. Purposefully diversifying the location and to Department allow the acquisition will type of generate greater income less subject to the cyclical agricultural and from forest income fluctuations lands." (DNR, 1986, p. 12) Legal Authority The Department has five with dealing options for its urban lands and these are supported by several portions of the Revised Code (RCW) (the of Washington state laws). These include the following: Sale of 1. city. an incorporated Previously, there was no mechanism for proceeds of a sale Also, replacement property. purchase of be The land has to be platted if it is within auction. sold at land could Public Public Lands: The interest from went into the Permanent Common School Fund. the proceeds goes into the Common School Construction Fund. awarded Public Lands: Leasing of 2. public auction. through market acceptance family residential for ground Ground leases can be However, there was a lack of with single- leases associated The maximum return was not usually uses. obtained. 3. funds to could only follows: Resource Management resource lands. newly purchased land is DNR can borrow DNR Originally, producing land. purchase income buy natural Land Bank: The held in process is the Land as Bank, trust land which is deemed unproductive or not suitable is put 20 into the Land Bank and stripped of is placed trust designation its trust designation, earlier, land purchased on the the land is removed from the Land Bank and added to DNR inventory, and funds used to reimburse former trust land is sold and the the Land This is There is a $3 Million limit per transaction. Bank. an awkward an Attorney mechanism, although It is suitable for finds land can be sold first. opinion now General small parcels, not large urban parcels. exchanged for restrictions on for the of land other equal are to be exchanged and land land of There value. There is also concern reasons for exchanges. appreciation value State land can be Exchange: Simultaneous Land 4. received. Deferred Land 5. on DNR's a buyer exchange authority. in return a for Exchange: This mechanism relies It includes sale of DNR land to promise exchange to land and establishment of an escrow account for the dollar value of the DNR property. buyer purchases to DNR. The After DNR has identified property it wants, the it with Title is transfered escrowed funds. new property should produce revenue for the trusts immediately. DNR's original authority was to lease lands. This was the basis for its preference for structuring deals with ground leases. As ground leases were found to be awkward disposal of urban lands, new options were developed. 21 for found in RCW authority to lease is "The principal lease terms for up to 55 year provides 79.01 and or recreational business commercial, industrial, residential 99 years for up to uses and commerical, authorize which uses... 'Leases on state lands may or residential uses industrial, be entered into by negotiation. ...At the option of these leases may be placed for bid the Department, at public auction." (DNR, 1986, p. 33) of state sales 1966 the proceeds from "Prior to Fund (the placed in the Permanent lands were In 1977 and not reinvested in land). principal was 1984, statutory changes were made recognizing the need of the Department to sell lands that could not be managed effectively. The legislature also recognized the importance of replacing those lands The 'land to maintain the publicly owned land base. bank' (RCW 79.66) facilitates sale of trust land and purchase of replacement property with natural resource or income producing potential" (p. 34) by establishing a mechanism to buy and sell land. In 1984 the Transition it allowed significant because income producing industrial existing long-term to Department the Income leases. to purchase resource property Department producing or office It was was adopted. addition to property in (asset redeployment). commercial, Lands Act property property, could preferably be with The legislation also allowed the enter into leases after one-on-one negotiations rather than through the public auction process. Sales of lands are also affected by two additional provisions: to be at lands are of trust "All sales 1. public auction.. .When lands have not sold at public by real or cash for by brokers, auction, sales estate contract, may be authorized (RCW 79.01); lands shall ever by disposed of No public 2. unless the full market value.. .be paid to the state. State Washington 2, 1 and sec XVI, Article Constitution." (p. 34) 22 All purchases and sales approved by must be the Board of Natural Resources, acting as the State Board of Appraisers. of sections Other authorize the of importance state law and 79.08 (RCW exchange state land. Department to 79.66) Provisions include: may exchange property held 1. The department for property of equal or greater in the land bank for natural greater potential value.. .which has resource or income production...; 2. Exchange of urban land for land bank land. County, city, town, or certain state agencies.. .are given the opportunity to acquire state-owned designated urban land at fair market value.. .prior to such land being proposed for exchange to private parties..." (p. 34) Conclusion history The the of of Department Natural Resources demonstrates the changes in philosophy that have occurred over regarding administration the years has income can be lands. Washington State changes include the view that urban land These trust lands. the of producing potential and that income for the trusts produced by urban lands as well as natural resource Two documents, a thesis by Diane Marcus-Jones for the University of Washington College of Forest Resources and DNR's draft Transition succinctly and important to Land Policy Plan, describe are the basis for much of this this chapter. history It is overall mission and the manner understand DNR's in which disposal of urban property is viewed. The next chapter will discuss the sales of urban lands. 23 specific examples of IV. of The Department CASE STUDIES Its decision making selling urban real estate. newcomer to It is educational not always clear. processes are relative a is Resources Natural to study them to learn where improvements can be made. studies are Three case the three location of shows the sites. Real Estate before the three began on page Map 1 reviewed. occurred has for Timelines the since the third formation. Division's are presented specific events formed. was However, most of the activity on Canterbury Court, study, all Activity in Division 25 at the end of each casse study. is the first case study examined. Bucklin Ridge of a an example piecemeal approach The desire years. over the a contributing possible was Department's portfolio occur changes to to the development and Several sales opportunities were lost a property. sale of It is until make to obtain as high a return as factor. area site the It will land and remain in the values its or other accompanying utilities assessment charges attractive. Redmond Heights public offerings, After four April, 1987. the years is the second case a sale study finally discussed. resulted in Uneven application of Department efforts over and lack of a comprehensive approach combine to demonstrate some pitfalls of urban real estate sales. 24 MAP 1 PUGET SOUND REGION: CASE STUDY LOCATIONS 2 * DMOND couft 25 Canterbury Court Because it is the is the third case reviewed. smallest site, the scope of the decision the exception flowed smoothly. The first With making process was less complicated. of the study time involved, it has public offering should be made this year. The methodology consisted used write to review a interviews, of the case of studies historical documentation, site visits, and discussions with various DNR staff members. Interviewees representatives from included former based resource natural private consultants, development companies and several Massachusetts Institute of DNR files yielded much information, Technology professors. Estate Division personnel were very cooperative in and Real discussing the cases. Overall, the sell its urban always been Department has lands, it but has committed to floundered in application and implementation of disposal mechanisms. is due to the governing it, backwardness and to of the lack some of a of This legislation clear decision making process to determine which mechanism to use. 26 the its CASE STUDIES IV. BUCKLIN RIDGE A. DNR's Bucklin Ridge property near the unincorporated community of Silverdale on is located the Kitsap Peninsula. site is located Three US Navy installations are is across Peninsula, which The DNR in the case study The approximately 64 acre property disposition of urban land. on the is one Puget Sound from Seattle. by currently forested but split in two in DNR ownership although a highway bypass. Bucklin Ridge effort to is still improvements, and plan, install (likely has been it It has been designated going on for over seven years. 10" sell the "Urban- to come under urban development within 10 years). In 1982, (Probst, 1982) a DNR official described the property to the Kitsap County Board of County Commissioners: can no longer manage the Bucklin Hill site "The DNR is area Silverdale The production. for timber the abutting homes existing The urbanizing. rapidly (adjacent) residential proposed the and south no longer viable. production timber make development as urban property designated been has site DNR The (Cahill, Legislature." to the recent report in a 1982) The Bucklin Bucklin Ridge Ridge site is within the area covered by the Community Plan (BRCP). The BRCP is a planning document identifying approved land uses and densities that was developed by the property owners 27 in conjunction with the MAP 2 BUCKLIN RIDGE: VICINITY MAP BANGOR NAVA 28 It allows 4,000 dwelling units in a 655 acre area. County. DNR the for brochure draft describes property what A is permitted on the site: Unit Planned Community Plan Bucklin Ridge "The 'semiof designation an overall Development has plan allows 382 total units, The approved urban.' Also or about 5.9 units per acre (on the DNR site). a mix of single-family and multi-family provided is builder's at the be separated units. These may and 124 38 single-family follows: discretion as north of Waaga Way (the highway multi-family units the DNR site) and 86 single-family and that divides the south.. .The site 144 multi-family units on supports superior access. It is located at the Top Waaga Way and the Ridge intersection of primary northBoulevard Road... (which forms) the south connector on the Bucklin Ridgetop." (DNR, November, 1985) Local Districts Improvement Districts to systems, for the planning would be Improvement Road network area. These some and efforts In per acre. site but backed payment for responsible the systems, water road investigated the potential buyer he the approximately $10,000 assessments of learning the and several formed owners (LIDs) finance and install sanitary sewer drainage adopted, the BRCP was After the storm led to 1985, a out of upon the assessments. DNR decided it could the enhance value of the site through community planning efforts and installation of on-site improvements. personnel whose At this was site primary background and forest management. estate sales. time the was in managed by DNR timber production The DNR was unfamiliar with urban real Development and sale 29 of the site was not (The Real Estate Division, which high priority. considered a future, had not yet been in the the expertise would provide formed.) There were during this several points process of value enhancement at which the property could, or maybe should, have in the identifying the Little, if any, time increases in chose without The decision making was segmented. similar partners in writing the were DNR's though even path sector private The value. property a so was spent evaluating the costs and real landowners/developers who BRCP did product or defining what its end market for by thing" landowners and the it process, planning product would be. the end right "the do with adjacent cooperatively participating County staff to DNR tried While been sold. they were more experienced in the development field. The Reagan area's Navy to the all Administration has the facilities. assigned Trident continued to funnel money The Bangor base has received The base at Bremerton submarines. did go through a recession in the shipyards. 1987, 1500 new hires aircraft carrier with lower involved in until the are expected The USS Nimitz. cost land The situation improves in late due to the arrival of the market has been saturated for development the BRCP. However, by property owners not Real Estate Division is waiting before attempting to sell the site, according to the current project manager. The following paragraphs present a history of the Bucklin Ridge property. Exhibit 1, page 44, 30 is a project timeline. History In 1977, the Kitsap County Board of Commissioners adopted They basis. more detailed Ridgetop" was "Bucklin Hill special care and creativity takes place." (Palmer, 1979) identified must be A this process. as where place "a applied as development to the the property owners gathered to week later "a unique opportunity whereby property owners within a defined planning area would pool a The early January, 1980 to begin area in in the property owners hire citizen The County initiated a meeting between all be developed. discuss for called specific plan for the area was this, a To accomplish also of plans for these areas. the formation particpation in the document, this areas where further study was needed Commissioners identified on a In Comprehensive Plan. a County-wide Environmental develop to consultant owners endorsed a Master and Plan (Probst, January, 1980) Statement." Impact major property their financial resources and the project and it an The began in Spring 1980. The planning owners. owners group The BRCP The property by a representative of one of the three products landholders. staff approximately 650 was led major landholders, County to particpate. Several owners did not want eventually covered forest area started with 757 acres and 25 property Pope Resources firm). DNR acres. (part of Pope and Talbot, a was another of the major The property owners, their consultants, and the worked on the 31 Community Plan and the Environmental Impact Statement over the next two years. The owners property group (both public and private a remarkable willingness to work together entities) displayed Self-interest played a part, as did knowing over the years. that the County was more likely to adopt a plan worked out by the Also, owners. property they understood that the Commissioners wanted a plan before allowing any development. One DNR representative listed the following points as a rationale for participating in the joint planning process: "It is a joint, unified effort of, hopefully, 25 property owners that has endorsement from Kitsap County Planning staff. This effort follows the direction of the Kitsap County Board of County Commissioners for a site specific planning effort. 1. 2. To go individually would be very difficult for DNR 3. in light of our other planning efforts in Kitsap County. This effort is a bargain compared to an individual effort (monetarily). The oppportunity exists whereby our land can be integrated into a total land use effort." (Probst, January, 1980) 4. 5. 1982, April, In recommended approval Board of May, the June. County's the Plan. of the Planning Commission After a public hearing in County Commissioners approved the Plan in By November, though, the political winds seemed to have At the hearing to recommend zoning to implement the shifted. Bucklin Ridge the County Community Plan, staff proposed a zoning designation which allowed only half the density called for in the BRCP. protested. DNR, along with the other property owners, Eventually the higher zoning 32 was adopted. Even with the development plan a designation, zoning appropriate more detailed (conceptual and final PUD) was needed before actual building could start. one point where DNR could have sold the property This is the downturn Defense spending at Bangor the base It because sold was not of Sound. Puget was receiving more The area was growing and housing nuclear-powered submarines. was needed. economic this area missed rosy; rest the Government money was directed to was high. bases and the much of which hit 1982 In County was Central Kitsap picture in the Navy in value. an increase and realized the Department was expecting greater returns later. The current project manager suggests needed to determine if the sales price have been study would been obtained development investment. Because have could that without improvements, been created would have justified the the site was still raw land the increased land value might not have The project manager noted DNR was at that time. still optimistic in retrospect that a its land and believed was first in line to absorb future growth. Site Improvements The property needed plan for to provide the the site served by the area utilities to possible. among them, owners, DNR decided that they on an overall basis and then to the site in order to make a sale of the Bucklin Ridge area was not In 1980, sanitary sewers, water, or adequate roads. 33 "It was best way be the improvement district would that a utility local the consensus for the to pay sewer, water, and road." (Probst, August, 1980) costs were Assessments for divided among the property owners for the road improvements was approximately $312,414. 1983) During this of its land to the BRCP for In May, 1983 DNR's initial assessment basis. per acre on a each the road network. service and service, water sanitary sewer one formed, were districts utility Three (Probst, time, the Department sold about two acres the County right-of-way in for use as street This brought approximately $30,000 in revenue area. and showed a land value of $13,000 per acre. The the sell was small and could not handle water district local In order to financial requirements for the LID by itself. improvements, a total as a $52,540. "This money payment." or of $300,000 plus could (Monell, would be be 1983) two years interest on DNR's share was approximately reserve fund. the bonds bond period system water district required the property owners the to contribute water the finance to necessary bonds the refundable at applied The to property the the end of the last owners assessment spent many meetings trying to arrive at a proposal acceptable to both the water district and them. DNR's $158,500. assessment for costs the water system It also had to pay $1,502 as its share of costs a drainage study. were for The sewer assessment charges were $165,800. In mid-1983, "current property values with the proposed sewer, 34 roads appear to be $20,000 - water and $25,000 per acre a recent appraisal for a school site). sewer and If all costs of roads, (for the DNR property) it added together water are (from comes to approximately $10,000 per acre." (Monell, 1983) Property Valuation In February, completed for 1984 per acre. and agreed with the had appraisal The appraiser developed a value "It valuation numbers. is $13,000/acre as of The costs. is important to January 14, purchaser to also be responsible for $10,000/acre ULID an DNR's own appraiser reviewed the report the value with the the approximate benefit overall 1984, to us is (Hoefer, 1984) $23,000/acre." property before Selling the started to the assessments but after the utilities were in, would have shifted come due, This the buyer. risks to the payment is another point at could have sold the land with a satisfactory return which DNR to the Department the property. of $13,000 note that the at this point would have allowed the A sale trusts. ultimate developer in while the project momentum was to step still going. DNR did begin an effort, which was not sustained, to sell the property in July, 1984. completed. Schools, local entities were land, as By Fall notified of required by 1984, the A brochure was drafted but not governments the opportunity and to other public purchase the state law, but no offers were received. Department 35 was discussing selling the site to Bucklin Ridge the highest bidder through a Land Bank exchange. Several timetables mid-1985. It was were laid out showing sales by anticipated that the utilities would be in place by the time a sale occurred. In 1985 March, consultant found for the sales process was initiated; in early winning bid the an update appraisal. The update found the 64.05 acres - $15,000 who advisor was Another timeline it projected awarding the Due to the interest in the site, July. obtained Department fund Ridge property. the Bucklin interested in pension Florida a engineering owners' property the per acre." on its January, 1984 "market value indication for However, (Benchmark, 1985) the appraiser also added: is a that there it appears "At the present time, single-family lots and of developed greater supply new and used single-family homes available in Kitsap County and around the Silverdale/Bremerton area than the market can absorb." (Benchmark, 1985) was beginning The Department assessment costs to be concerned by the large in light of the perceived shrinking property values. Public Offerings In April submitted an 1985, a potential buyer, a Florida pension fund, "Application property at a public auction. asked for the minimum Purchase" to the Bucklin Ridge In May the pension fund advisor price DNR 36 would accept. He had not realized the $10,000 acre the advisor assessments would be his was $970,500 based on $15,000 DNR's minimum responsibility. per acre; per was not in interested meeting this figure. Those managing the property at of people small. Million for pay $1 willing to They realized that time found the number the market the property and it was soft was would be difficult to sell the property. Department representatives existing timber asking price. site and on the One discussed how to valuation of the include it in the representative discussed private timber company resource people. the issue with He noted in a memo to other department personnel: company pays the timber "The (private) real estate resource company for the timber on the land they are managing before it is sold or developed, or else the suggest that we are This would logged. parcel is 15 10 perhaps thoughts that in our not alone the with value is amenity the timber percent of the rest should be a separate part of the land, but it is a source of ready cash After all appraisal. developer while plans are going through the for the With this in mind we should process. long approval $1,070,000 to on Bucklin initial price raise the total or $100,000 for timber." (Monell, 1985) In September, concerning disposal another developer 1985, of there was more department discussion the Bucklin had expressed Sell through the Land Bank; 37 property interest in the site. options were reviewed: 1. Ridge because Three 2. Lease multi-family portions and sell single-family portions; 3. Lease both multi- and single-family portions with option to purchase at a later date. Arguments for and against the second and third plans show what DNR thought was important. 1985 and a reply to it, advantages and In a memo dated September 20, two Department personnel discussed the disadvantages of options 2 and 3. Plan 2 advantages were described as: 1. Site specific plan is completed with market analysis; 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Immediate income stream is possible; Land base is retained on multi-family areas; No upfront capital is needed to buy land; Site plan is reviewed by DNR so best sites are not all multi-family; Single-family value land is put in Land Bank. The disadvantages to leasing were listed as follows: LID payments are made by DNR for single-family 1. portion until disposal; dwelling Single-family land disposal timetable is unknown; 2. Quality of construction and buildout time could 3. result in potential default by lessee; builder would build to low market due to military influence; Absorption of units is expected to take a long time; 4. lots of substitute land is available in direct competition. purchase) also had advantages. option to (lease with Plan 3 They included the following: 1. Combined multi- and single-family plan will be developed; 2. Advantages of later purchase could increase competitive bidding; Site is attractive to lenders; No large upfront capital is needed to buy land; Lessee is responsible for all LID payments; Land value will increase due to development. 3. 4. 5. 6. 38 The DNR managers listed the disadvantages of this option: 1. Ability to sell at later date without public auction is under legal cloud; 2. Lessee may not take option to buy when due; DNR would be left with half finished improvements; 3. Market is speculative; there are lots of substitutes. (Probst, 1985) The decision was to proceed with a sale of 1) before the end of the calendar year. by the Assistant (Lands) the site (Plan The decision was made Division Manager. Notes by the new project manager indicate the price of the timber was added to the site price. It was to be listed as $1,070,000. During 1985, the County multi-family residential master planned supplement the BRCP the completed for developments area. Silverdale and County's the area. began to approve commercial and It outside allowed area even of development though a Comprehensive site, a commercial/retail between Plan had not to been Examples included the Crestwood PUD Unit Developments Costco discount BRCP master plan (half retirement center, half multi-family project), multi-family Planned the two other southwest of the DNR warehouse store, and small satellite facilities around the 600,000 sq ft Kitsap Mall. These actions were significant to DNR for high density residential and located adjacent to the DNR's site south of medium and pocket of low two reasons: commercial development south portion of DNR's a) was now property. the Waaga Way highway bypass was zoned for density residential uses. An incompatible residential uses was created on DNR property; 39 and b) DNR and the other the obtaining improvements could All applicable). property owners operated in Bucklin Ridge plan master the installing and or circumvented be the rules under which saying that was implicitly the County on-site longer (no avoided the adjacent property became developable at a much lower price because there was no investment in planning or and utilities the on other in improvement per acre approximately $10,000 investments in DNR, roads. costs plus the Thus, the process to recapture. the planning had hand, DNR property became less desirable and less valuable. Summer 1985 the water district attempted to Also, during services built extend water property to owners developments outside other for by not be Bucklin Ridge residential and commercial the assessment it might announced that and paid district boundaries. It able to provide water to the Bucklin Ridge property owners when they developed due to over extending the water supply Third, it boundaries. months interest the LID outside users to the plus the $300,000 advised that district two payments paid by the property owners to start would not to secure be used but would be returned other water district projects. further evidence that the rules had changed for This was this part of Kitsap County. in development been encouraged "hoops." but now DNR was it was caught in being the middle Growth had always achieved with fewer of the loosening of restrictions. In late 1985 another attempt 40 to produce a brochure advertising the property was made. By now the per assessments had increased to slightly over $11,000. draft brochure options the offered to acre The three bidders prospective included the following: 1. Land exchange with leaseback; 2. Land exchange with leaseback and "boot" if the exchange did not equal the value of the Bucklin Ridge site; All 3. cash. all cash option, the Department would independently Under the find suitable The bidder would participate replacement land. This the Department. funds to paying the only by and process the Land Bank to remove and reinstitute the "trust" would use (DNR, designation. 1985) November, The was brochure not finalized and the public offering was never made. contacts in Investigations through Department considered realistic that showed personnel raise. options these market by were of parties small number by the market for a parcel of this price. required, and the local not in the Too much up front cash was the hardest funding for a developer to this is now DNR realized its property no was position to receive the future growth first. longer in It could not get "fair market value" for the land as required by state law. According to right thing" project manager, the current from a community 41 planning DNR "did the perspective by Residential densities appropriate private and public sectors. to an urbanizing area, selling the site: a) five to six units per acre, three factors adversely the $19,000 the over period), payment b) economic the outside the the whereby other developments master plan and could be sold more (Harper, 1987) The Department and the other members of group ($11,000 per acre assessments political changes consequences of were approved affected which the market closed somewhat, and c) recession during cheaply. such as However, were achieved. plus interest planning effort between the the cooperative participating in development rules ensure to tried established. were the BRCP planning requiring County Kitsap before planning Commissioners adopted resolutions calling for planning and site improvements before development in the region but then later violated them. The Commissioners to appear not do be recognizing the consequences of their actions and allowing changes to the BRCP to compensate development. for land use changes created by the According Commissioners believe new commercial the to the Plan project has a "unplanned" manager, 20 year life. the Allowing uses in the portion of DNR's property south of the Waaga Way highway bypass would recognize the new, existing land use 1987) patterns and encourage compatible uses. (Harper, It would also create a higher land value from which DNR could recover more of its front property more marketable. 42 end costs and make the Conclusions DNR representatives have spent years of effort preparing for sale. The sale might have been appropriate this property points along of several at any all the wait until It seems planning and It did not have to improvements were complete. found personnel Department that the way. developing more interesting than the end result of a sale and got caught up in the process. were not The decisions changing circumstances. the The plans for without contingency moving ahead Department kept that made on a structured basis. value of the However, the project manager believes site has been enhanced and the Department will obtain a good return which is far in excess of forestry values. The next study in (Harper, 1987) section of the disposition this chapter presents another case of urban property. This effort did result in a sale of property although the decision process was similar to the Bucklin Ridge example. 43 EXHIBIT 1 BUCKLIN RIDGE TIMELINE Prior to 1980 January, 1980 . . . . . . . . March, 1980 . . . . August, 1980 . . . . June, 1982 . . . . November, 1982 * . . . December, 1982 * . . . May, 1983 June, 1983 . . . . . . . . 1983 . . . . Summer, 1983 July, 1983 . . . . December, 1983 . . . . January, 1984 . . . . January, 1984 . . . . Spring, 1984 . . . . July, 1984 . . . . October, October, 1984 1984 . . . . . . . . 1985 . . . . March, 1985 April, 1985 . . . . . . . . Summer, Site designated "Urban 10" by DNR. DNR joined adjacent property owners, County to discuss planning efforts. Bucklin Ridge Community Plan started, group hired engineering consultants. Consensus of BRCP property owners to put in utilities, roads. Kitsap County Board of County Commissioners approves BRCP. Zoning hearings held for BRCP area, staff calls for low density zoning. Missed sale opportunity (had Comprehensive Plan approval, Preliminary PUD approval, and zoning). RID for road improvements formed. Approximately 2 acres sold for road right-of-way for $30,000 ($13,000 per acre). $300,000 deposit Water LID formed; and 2 year's interest. Sewer LID formed. DNR staff found current values of property with improvements to be $20,000 to $25,000 per acre (unofficial appraisal). Missed sale opportunity (utilities in but assessments not yet started). Appraisal for property; $13,000 per acre. Per acre assessments estimated at $10,000. State legislation change; DNR allowed to buy income producing land and land not adjacent to other DNR land. DNR began sales effort; not sustained. DNR staff reviewed options. Preferred alternative: Land Bank exchange. Kitsap County began approving development in area without planning, site improvements (Costco, Crestwood PUD, others). Pension fund interested in site. DNR began sales effort; not sustained. 44 April, 1985 * . . May, 1985 * . . July, 1985 * . . Summer, 1985 . . September, 1985 November, 1985 * . . . . November, 1985 December, 1985 July, 1987 * . . . . . . * . * . . Appraisal update; $15,000 per acre. Comment: glut of residential property on market. . Missed sale opportunity (pension fund withdraws; not able to structure better terms). . Price raised by $100,000 to $1,070,000; timber value added. .Water District gives water service outside assessment district boundaries. . DNR staff reviewed options. . DNR began sales effort; not sustained; draft marketing brochure. . Per acre assessments up to $11,000. . Real Estate Division formed. . DNR waiting until commercial zoning on site or better market for sales. 45 IV. REDMOND HEIGHTS B. Another example Education Hill the The Single family residences wooded and undeveloped. property is in School Washington. Redmond, of neighborhood acre site 160 This High Redmond east of north and and a senior high school surround urban densities of various of urban land by the DNR of disposition Division is Redmond Heights. Real Estate is located CASE STUDIES the site. April, 1987. Arizona in the City of Redmond Included with the land were Unit Development and (Planned approvals site. the of for development Preliminary Plat/Subdivision) including 100 Residential development of a total of 532 homes, units reserved of The purchasers paid $3.5 Million for ($21,875 per acre). the property Company Development to Kitchell was sold The site for senior citizens, a day care center, and an equestrian center, was approved by the City. Concentrated DNR the site started in Department was Zoning Code activity concerning 1979. City's revising the and combining City The them into of use of the future Redmond Planning Comprehensive Plan one document. and The City staff wanted to know what the Department was going to do with its property so that policies and zoning designations. the City could apply (Vogt, 1987) Heights property had been identified by DNR as 46 the appropriate The Redmond "urban" prior MAP 3 REDMOND HEIGHTS: VICINITY MAP ights (160 acr s) ....--..1 LAKE SAMMAMISH No Scale 47 to 1979 location in the middle of of its in recognition City of Redmond and the inability of the the Department to harvest the timber due to the encroaching urban uses. it was disjointed because incremental and site was regarding disposition decision process The DNR the of a large site and one of the first to be reviewed for disposition as an A plan was not developed "Urban" land. user or of advance in determined end-point nor was a target endany action. a step at a time, evaluated the results, and then took another step. The following paragraphs Rather, Department took the history of the present steps and identify the Exhibit 2, page 60, Heights property. the Redmond is a project timeline. History In 1979, its announcing pressure would of consistent with press release intention to develop the Redmond Heights site. mount to the retain unproductive land either the It had as site open fiduciary the Department's towards the trust lands. site to a that as more and more people moved into the area, It realized Retention published Department the open as space space. was not responsibilities initially offered to sell the City or County as a park but had received negative responses. In March, study of 1979, DNR the site assessment. The commissioned an initial feasibility which included a social and environmental Robert authors, 48 Butts & Associates, enhance approvals be obtained to development permit recommended that the value of the site prior to disposition. Another consultant, and in issued a market and development feasibility study March, 1980, a which included the firm year the later, summary financial economist for hired Department Inc.). and development submitted plans Redmond for to the a options. An One $3,850,000. third consultant This consultant prepared and to permit applications the property was initial proposal of land at valued the (Subdivision Management, City of was hired Jones Associates, ground in January, the lease the 1982. The to property a developer who would build and sell the homes with sub-leases. hiring The of purchaser was user or the sale to manage disjointed way not consultants different three of the property. and efforts identified was a An endwere not directed toward developing a specific package for that market. At time the this site was background was whose primary managed by Department personnel in forest management and timber production, not the sale of urban land. two years It took Two permit approvals. 11, 1984. City approvals became issued development official on January One was valid for one year with the possibility of approval extensions; was significant had no before the out of the other was valid for three years. that during It this time period DNR essentially pocket holding costs associated with the land. This fact distinguishes it from other 49 "developers." Options The possibilities outset of for disposing of the property at the this process were somewhat constrained by the State Constitution and the Revised Code of Washington (RCW). These legislative documents allowed the following options: 1. Sale of public lands; 2. Leasing of public lands; 3. Simultaneous exchange of 4. Use of Resource Management Land Bank. Traditionally, DNR which it did not disposition of newspaper issued ground harvest the lessee. initiated by timber; the leases for property on leases were usually Initially, DNR personnel thought of this property article land; in terms discussed DNR's of a ground lease. new transition A lands policies and used the Redmond Heights property as a example: for a firm look eventually will "The department developing the property according to interested in could be a master That developer plan. the site would lease the property from the state, lessee who long-term subthen sell homes, and build the "It's extremely editorialized: It also leases." for a financing to arrange though, difficult, leased land." development on single-family housing (Seattle Post-Intelligencer, 1982) Another management the land outright to a developer. quoted Commissioner as saying option for the Department was selling " 'But The same newspaper article of Public Lands Brian Boyle (head of DNR) if we sell the land, that land base is lost 50 At were placed in the proceeds from a sale Permanent Fund for securities investments reinvested in land. and not time the point in this forever.'" Reduction in the trust land base was not acceptable to the Department. the preferred alternative shifted from a ground In 1983, lease to an exchange of the Redmond site for another property of equal or greater three factors: value. This shift buyers to accept a ground lease; groups to 1983); and the leasing a the land of the City condition time second the Redmond Valley (Sammamish (DNR, July, 1986, p. Heights News, development 11). permit (1982), the could exchange school trust land only for land that Department adjoined existing state land ("block up" existing DNR land). however, the Transition Lands Act was enacted by the State Legislature. producing property It allowed for the acquisition of and property took the Department personnel further and developed deferred exchanges. Department use was added to the first exhange one 51 step A fifth option for four simultaneous exchange and land bank) and that is: Deferred Exchange. income not adjacent to exisitng DNR ownership. 5. third requiring sales of approval applications were submitted to the City of Redmond In 1984, and opposition by neighborhood b) instead of sub-leases for the lots At the the unwillingness of single family home consultants regarding c) by advice given a) of occured because (sale, lease At this point Department regarding time to again, this manager discussed time many discussions The preferred choice shifted a deferred exchange. and no sale would Second, "an under consideration. go over the $3 Million Land "blocking up" ownership would or buying narrow Third, a land the An exchange through adjacent range form of to of existing trade acceptable deferred exchange DNR called for bid a dollar amount, acquire a parcel designated by equal value, and then exchange it for Redmond Heights. The manager noted this bidding and including people trouble to market. Bank limit. overly complicated which will narrow exchange is of buyers and take more time." DNR of First, the sales price DNR would receive" the range buyers to Department One Heights into smaller pieces and selling them would "maximize properties. the in strategy. the options dividing Redmond over were there tie up a way this is Deferred exchange because it preferred option who may not otherwise go to the a parcel;" 1984) (Vogt, "enhancing the advantage of had the the to expand was chosen as the was the most likely to result in property desired by DNR. Property Valuation As the City review realized they DNR staffers fair market by the process began "needed a to wind down in 1983, plan to value of the property there... (It is) complicated fact that we are selling development raw land. establish the We need to be sure 52 that our rights as well as appraisal fully through to completion." the plan 1983, ... investments in reflects these (Vogt, 1983) to carry an appraisal the fair market value to be $4,600,000 which indicated 24, On October appraiser prepared Department's own the (the consultants) (first This was $28,750 per acre. appraisal). sell the expected to Department $4.5 least Boyle Brian Lands the basis, at property for Public Commissioner of a as this appraisal With only noted Million. the that appraised value of the site had climbed about 45 percent since "Planned The 1980. approved plan, the of the discounts because spent $160,000 estimated DNR bids for appraisal by the Department). $2,055,000 for on 137 of the power company DNR allow two years on the purchase are submitted." of the value To clarify (second large piece of land.' Webb of planning, (Daily Journal of No bids were received. Commerce, 1984) 1985 to and tests but will be repaid many times over permits, studies obtained an (third consultant risk and time involved in trying to for developing such a get permits when the (Doug) Webb buyer would have required substantial any private DNR) said, (DNR, 1984) value of this Redmond Heights site." enhanced the "'Without significantly plan Development Unit It the property, a third party was commissioned It presented appraisal). the property. 160 acres the Department (private firm outside and dated January 25, a market value of This was $15,000 per acre based (23 acres were subtracted due to the easement over them). This appraiser suggested the buyer the ability to revise the City permits 53 to sized lots rather than the approved clustered obtain standard interdepartmental One lots. memo offers the following analysis: has successfully improved the value "The Department property (by obtaining City permits)...(to of this acre (amount shown in second $15,000 per at least) in having shows a benefit This appraisal). as process. In permit acquisition completed the show that the extent of much as market indications costs for the parcel are in excess requirements and this sites, it would appear of those for similar that the fact to directly attributable could be directly with city state government was dealing decision was made to offer government.. .A conscious a high value principally the property initially at interest the high degree of because of that no bids were received at indicated... The fact market." end of the the high minimum identifies (Otto, March, 1985) Department The preliminary plat use use and best approvals within advice received does not be realized." existing property, as compared to other plat of the the same market area. interest of best "the provide for the reasonable highest that the Department's acceptance of in the that There is an inference (the) conditions (was) not the trust since highest value can not This caused a great deal of (Otto, March, 1985) concern in the Department as it prepared to offer the property a second time. Another September 6, 1985 an attempt and appraisals appraisal). per acre party" in a determine It indicated was $29,062. to reconcile value a value This was appraisal "third for the completed previous the site of $4,650,000. on (third The value appraisal also noted the County 54 1986 $2.75 (fourth appraisal). for the Million or $10,635 $1,701,700 per acre. appraisal was completed on October last outside Finally, the 15, at the site Assessor valued This report developed a value of at the land and the It looked site. permits and found a value of $17,188 per acre. Public Offerings were obtained, DNR tried three City approvals After the times to dispose of the property but was unsuccessful. in November, first offering 1984, the Department At the solicited exchange proposals for the property with a minimum bid of $4.6 on the in-house appraisal findings but received Million based those in consisted of assembling a long list of Marketing no offers. the local real estate industry and mailing out brochures advertising the property. In early 1985, the Department realized it was targeting a narrow market due to the following characteristics of the property: 1. High value; 2. State governmental process; 3. Large acreage; 4. High holding costs for a private developer because and of multi-year absorption period. 1985) 55 (Otto, November, options of Departmental several estimates During 1985, The following is a compilation of the options and were made. alternatives suggested: Reoffer the site at a value based on one or the first other of 1. of appraisal value $2,055,000, or the $4,600,000 b) figure (Hoefer, appraiser. the Department's recently re-endorsed by third-party the a) appraisals: two the September, 1984) Meet with City officials to achieve reduction in 2. plat requirements. restrictions low..." "The probability appears to of Redmond the City from of requesting fewer plat quite be (Otto, March, 1985) Redesign and resubmit the site plan for new City 3. The optimum plat could be designed as one with the approvals. best yield. This from the private 4. exchange for would result (buyers') perspective. Reoffer on a phased improved property involve renegotiating approvals to highest and best use in the with the for basis City and allow phased development. or This lease. with a cash an would the restructuring "The Department would be requesting some changes that would allow the property to be marketed on a phased basis which would reduce the holding cost to a purchaser. minimal this higher value." Since the would increase Department's holding probability (Otto, November, 1985) 56 of are costs disposal at a This would Let the City permit approvals lapse. 5. in the the site mean placing and selling land bank it in smaller parcels without approved plans and permits. the options, the Department obtained an After evaluating of extension the "on the basis solicited proposals 1985) property commercial lease..." the entertained accepting 'Request for Proposal' of a (and) all p. of without a it could Department believed deposit cash format, and existing ground this offering exchange" "deferred property (November, other Also, 11) possibility cash under property third the for exchange) (simultaneous July, 1986, (DNR, and approvals the property a second time It offered appraisal. permit City or The exchange. from a buyer into the Land Bank and then withdraw it to buy land it found later, a reversal of the previously described Land Bank process. This received; valued the approvals; These bidders one proposed a deferred exchange. no DNR site offered exchange Three of for exchanges of property were five proposals time at between four sites and valued $3.5 up to Million $5 and Million. were vacant land with development permit one was only they property $2.1 improved property. After extensive review of one bid, none of the proposals were accepted. Over the personnel met Summer 1986, "with various developers, and proposed exchange the Real Estate financial institutions, other interested or sale new investors to Division private negotiate a through the Land Bank mechanism of 57 the obtained. appraisal was 1986 October, a It established value of fourth $2.75 Sealed offers 1986 on a deferred exchange basis. in December, the The property was reoffered a third time Million for the site. with a In 11) (p. Department." minimum were $2.75 Million requested but none were received. market picked activity in March, 1987, Finally, in Several buyers up. the estate expressed interest in the wanted a conditional sale so that they could buy the site but if they were successful in obtaining amendments property only to the previously issued City of Redmond permits. DNR to assume the risk of obtaining the changes. property for the to negotiate ranging real from $1.8 When the were submitted They wanted Eight offers with values Million to $3.5 Million. buyers decided to known, some competition was and offered forego the conditional sale outright. Kitchell Development to buy the property Company was the successful had the highest net present value for bidder because its bid the Department; it offered all cash ($3.5 Million) and closing within 90 days. DNR agreed to deed the property to Kitchell in return for a promise to buy replacement property designated by the established which and then An escrow Department. account for $3.5 Million was Kitchell will use to buy property DNR wants transfer ownership provide replacement, to the Department. This will income producing property for the trusts. 58 Conclusion As was mentioned at the beginning of this case study, the Department's decision process incremental. It made the next results of the previous decision. attempts to was fairly disjointed and saw the decision after it This was one of DNR's first enhance the value and dispose of urban land. The efforts took several years and several tries but resulted in a successful sale. The next study shows section will DNR has present a third case study. learned some from its previous experiences. 59 This but not all of the lessons EXHIBIT 2 REDMOND HEIGHTS TIMELINE 1979 1979 . . . . . . . . March, 1979 . . . . November, 1979 . . . . March, 1980 . . . . March, 1981 Prior to . January, 1982 . . . . January, 1982 1983 . . . . . . . . 1983 * . . . January, 1984 January, 1984 Spring, 1984 * . . . . . . . . . . . May, May, 1984 1984 . . . . . . . . November, 1984 . . . . November, 1984 . . . . January, 1985 * . . . February, 1985 March, 1985 June, 1985 . . . . . . . . . . . September, 1985 * . . . November, December, 1985 1985 . . . . . . . . December, October, 1985 1986 . . . . . . . . December, 1986 . . . . October, * Site identified as "urban" by DNR. City began "Development Guide;" asked used of DNR site. First consultants hired; feasibility study (Robert Butts & Associates). Second consultants hired (Jones Associates). Market and development feasibility study issued by second consultants. Third consultants hired (Subdivision Management, Inc.) Plans, permit applications submitted to City of Redmond. Preferred alternative: ground lease. Preferred alternative changed: exchange of property. First appraisal; in-house by DNR; $4.6 Million value/$28,750 per acre. City approves permits. DNR staff reviews options. State legislation change; DNR allowed to buy income producing land and land not adjacent to other DNR land. DNR staff reviews options. Preferred alternative changed: deferred exchange. First public offering; property exchange; no bid received. City approves one year extension on permit approvals. Second appraisal; $2.055 Million/$15,000 per acre. DNR staff reviews options. DNR staff reviews options. Second public offering; simultaneous exchange/RFP; 5 proposals received; none accepted. Third appraisal; $4.65 Million/$29,062 per acre. Assessor's value shown as $1.7 Million. DNR staff reviews options. City approves one year extension on permit approvals. Real Estate Division formed. Fourth appraisal; $2.75 Million/$17,188 per acre. City approves one year extension on permit approvals. 60 December, 1986 . . . March, 1987 . . . 1987 . . . April, . Third public offering; deferred exchange; no sealed offers received. . Fourth public offering; negotiated RFP, deferred exchange; 8 offers received. . Sale to Kitchell Development Company for $3.5 Million. 61 CASE STUDIES IV. CANTERBURY COURT C. A third example of DNR's disposition of urbanized land is This approximately 38 acre site is located Canterbury Court. center of Redmond Washington. of Redmond, the City from the 3.5 miles and about King County in unincorporated is a suburb east of Seattle and Lake Washington. property is divided by a two-lane state highway, The DNR About one third of ownership. adjacent to school on two parts: City Road. and the rest is still in DNR the site The school district purchased 11 acres of the property. 22 It built an elementary Road. Redmond-Fall City Lake to sold been has site the District #414 Washington School There is a the portion of the paved county road abutting the east side of site north of Redmond-Fall transportation major county area. growing east the fast corridor for is a It City Road. the Redmond-Fall DNR's current ownership consists of acres north of the school district and west site and five acres south of the state highway. Prior development to the permit approvals Redmond-Fall City Road. residential lots district school on 22 for the sale, DNR property obtained north of King County approved 23 single-family acres and acres. 62 a school location on 11 MAP 4 CANTERBURY COURT: VICINITY MAP No Scale 63 initiated through a request DNR activity on this site was District in 1983 Washington School from Lake The District was preparing for of a school. for construction The population in this the growth of the district enrollment. was growing King County part of north east to buy property and expected to continue to grow through the year 2000. for this decision process The DNR more much site was it had been on the other two case than organized and logical study sites. A purchaser was identified for a portion of the DNR also decided it would determine what site at the outset. part of the site went to the school district after evaluating how it could use more proactive the remainder of than posture was the site. normally This was a much for used sites desired by school districts. A history of the site and DNR's decision presented in the following paragraphs. sequence Exhibit 3, page 72, is is a project timeline. History The property the remaining portion section of of a to the State of Washington at statehood. land given of is the section has The rest The in pieces over the years. been sold road connecting the City of Redmond and the rural town of Fall bisected the property since the 1920's. Farming was City has the predominant land use in the area before the 1970's. In 1967, Redmond-Fall the five City Road acre portion leased was 64 of the to site the south State of Parks for recreational uses and named Harry Osborne Park. Department the Recreation (IAC) to were used for Committee Interagency state's Funds from the improve site. Outdoor Picnic tables, nature trails, cooking shelters and parking areas were some of the improvements placed there. increased over ability to sell The whole of population migration and DNR wanted the the site and capture its increased value. Canterbury Court site was included in the list "urban" designation designation process of Department the agency, state The value of the site had lifestyles. for "rural" proposed for lands to due the years homeowners' desires to This restriction was lifted transferred. the park funded and limited years after alternative DNR property was last several in the years. for 55 recreational uses site was used, the funds were Because IAC Game, for fish Another recommended the property in order to for this be halted in 1984. and wildlife habitat. investigate fully its value Identification as significant fish and wildlife habitat would mean no development on the site. and the site was This advice was not followed designated as urban by the Board of Natural Resources. early 1980's, In the staff of King County the planning wrote a new county-wide development guide. It identified land uses which were appropriate for the unincorporated areas. also tried to promote adjacent to existing the philosophy activity 65 It that density should be centers, rather than in isolated, "encouraged for urban uses" by the The Plan on the zoning hearings that "G" or It allowed residential lots of at least General was assigned. (defined as 35,000 sq ft minimum). one acre in size District School Washington Lake as family single of the Plan, a zoning designation of followed adoption The for In the site. listed was 1985 Comprehensive Plan. called specifically residential uses site DNR The locations. new triggered DNR's review of the site and its future when it selected the site as the District wanted school in future elementary of a location to buy state surplus land 1983. in order The to accomodate the increasing school aged population. In 1984, DNR hired a consultant allow DNR which would to have the school remaining after to develop a site plan a useable portion of the site district purchased its 11 acres. 1984, another consultant was hired to assess the In December, disposal onsite sewage King County. submittal to and prepare capacities DNR personnel made a report a for conscious decision to plan the use of the site before agreeing to sell a This proactive approach portion of it to the school district. demonstrated a sophistication gained from the lessons learned in the other case studies. The lots plus first a Canterbury Court consultant determined that 23 cul-de-sac road retain optimized located on the 22 acres DNR would the use of the site. designed to fit the site and stay as 66 The lots and road were far from the Redmond-Fall They as possible. City Road were located in order to be compatible with the adjacent large-lot developments. Applications to subdivide the 22 acres, known as the plat obtain permission need to local water district, After a delay caused in early 1985. the County submitted to by the create the school district lot were Court, and of Canterbury for water service from the final approval to the County gave the development on February 18, 1986. Options residential lot large farms and were rural uses, small land uses The adjacent when subdivisions began DNR the Use of the DNR site for a school and for permitting process. single family residences was uncontested. In October, 1985, DNR to discuss the site. A deferred the options of selling while the suggested with permit approvals were finalized. of for disposal alternative mechanisms exchange was representatives began or selling after the approvals were pending One DNR manager said: attractive way to dispose of this the most "By far a to do would be of view marketing point from a We could conceivably for cash. 'deferred exchange' Or if we pending. final permit sell now with the no hurry we can await final action." (Vogt, are in 1985) In late Another review 1986. 1985 the of disposal The preferred Estate Real Division options occurred alternative 67 appeared was formed. in early March, to be disposal This meant that land would have through a Land Bank purchase. purchased through to be trust Bank, the Land designations exchanged, and the Canterbury Court site sold through the Land Bank. March, members In late look at disposition. options for method discussed. A member of again to Bank sale was A Land suggested that the it was that needed overlap with Division tried the mechanics of having to buy land first The process but slowed the the of by purchasers time could to arrange financing. the Department said: "Now that our plat is final,...we should think about The market is really hot right ASAP. selling this ...we need to buy something in the land bank now. My suggestion is that we this? can sell before we have one, and have to if we minimum bid, set our try to advertise for 60-90 days so people terms, as a one page I think financing.. .arranged. can get fact sheet and copy of the plat would suffice rather we have a date for a Do printed brochure. than a .Also we need to yet?.. close to purchase bank land reserve fund allocation or whatever is needed in the land bank." (Vogt, 1986) public hearing necessary to exchange the Department held the the Canterbury Court property equal value. It had In January, 1987, for almost one year. Nothing happened decided for to replacement sell the site property through of a deferred exchange. Property Valuation In September, property by 1985, an an outside appraisal was appraisal firm. 68 completed for the It found a value of the subdivision One of small portion dedicate a requirements called of land for DNR to right-of-way for the DNR needed to determine market value for the property so that it could be sold In early 1986, a DNR appraiser used the 1985 County. to King appraisal and determined a value of $11,000 per acre or $1,300 area needed for right-of-way. for the In July, 1986, to 10 percent of this figure, or be reduced the DNR that the value of the right-of-way should appraiser concluded of the as a district's new pipeline. local water fair in the Canterbury Court This equaled $10,984 per acre. subdivision. a acres contained the 22 for $240,000 right-of-way was only 10 $130, because use percent of the value of the property. In February, At outside firm. $278,000 for One section 1987 was hot." updated by the This was $12,723 per acre. the appraisal update noted the County Assessor $411,800, including This averaged $12,478 per acre. agreed with was the appraisers found a value of acre site. property at valued the appraisal this time the 22 of the The the school site. updated appraisal the Division members' assessment that the "market It stated: to development surrounding immediate "The demonstrates site) clearly the...(Canterbury Court bedroom developing a rapidly is area the that 405 the Bellevue/Redmond/(Interstate) community to (35,000 sq ft or horse lower densities corridor of acre lots) with homes ranging from the high $100,000 The Bear Creek area is range. low $300,000 to the State of in the growing areas the fastest one of population 1980 and 1970 Between Washington. (persons) 13,250 to 6,100 persons increased from report) growth The... (County's annual. average 69 of the rate at continue growth will indicates 1990." percent between 1980 and approximately 53 (Yates, Wood, and MacDonald, 1987) Division members $275,000 and had estimated $350,000 in a sale price of between the market was 1986 because "hot." The 1987 appraisal update's growth in value substantiated this estimate and promised the possibility of more. Public Offerings DNR has not had the appraisal It had a public offering for Canterbury Court. updated in current value which could minimum bid. It in flyer have early used been reflect a determine a to 1987 to has also developed a marketing notification the form of a postcard with an aerial photograph of the site on one side and information about the property on the be mailed to developers, banks, and other reverse. It will members of the real estate development community. A alternative for result, the sale of a marketing date for target effort and not been disposal have in Spring preferred determined. Department missed a window of Canterbury Court a As a opportunity for the 1987 when interest rates and the inventory of platted land were low. Conclusion The time is much period of DNR's involvement on Canterbury Court shorter than those involving the other case studies. The approach has been much simpler and less complicated. 70 This may be The market for the of the Real Estate Division's involvement. function a for this site is substantially different than that other two probably be a small small contractor. the buyer of Canterbury Court will homebuilder who him or other utilities disjointed. sites; her-self or However, puts in the streets and to subcontracts them the decision a structure is still The Department wants to sell the property but has too much time deciding on which method to use. spent The next chapter will use the examples presented in the found three case studies to discuss ideas on the sale of land in the several real estate and financial literature. ways to analyze property represent. 71 and the It will address value it may EXHIBIT 3 CANTERBURY COURT TIMELINE . . . . * . . . 1983 * . . . 1983 * . . . * Summer, 1984 1984 * . . . . . . December, 1984 . . . . 1985 . . . . January, 1985 . . . . 1985 . . . . October, 1985 December, 1985 December, 1985 . . . . . . . . . . . . 1986 . . . . * . . . . . . . Spring, 1986 July, 1986 * . . . January, 1987 . . . . February, 1987 . . . . February, 1987 Spring, 1987 * . . . . . . 1967 Early 1980's September, February, March, 1986 Spring, 1986 * 5 acres of the site designated Harry Osborne Park. County staff designate site for urban uses in draft Comprehensive Plan. Lake Washington School District asks to buy 11 acres for school site. Park designation transferred to another site. Site designated "urban" by DNR. First consultant hired (plans and permits); design useable site before school portion removed. Second consultant hired (on-site sewage report). County adopts new Comprehensive Plan; single family residential uses for site. Plans, permit applications submitted to King County. Appraisal; $240,000 for 22 acres/$10,984 per acre. DNR staff reviews options. Real Estate Division formed. Preferred alternative: Land Bank exchange. County approves permits for subdivision on site. DNR staff reviews options. Missed sales opportunity: DNR staff thought market was "hot." 11 acres sold to School District. DNR appraiser finds value of waterline right-of-way is 10 percent of value of one acre. DNR holds required public hearing for exchange of land. Appraisal updated: $278,000 for 22 acres/$12,723 per acre. DNR staff reviews options. Missed sales opportunity: DNR staff thought market was "hot." 72 V. This REAL ESTATE AND FINANCIAL LITERATURE chapter literature to the sale will survey identify ideas of property. The real estate appropriate to literature is and financial a discussion of limited and the majority of it deals with the purchase of property. However, the and ideas presented preparation. may be These ideas applied will identify incorporated into the decision process The limited means that based. literature on research A review on this of 2. Financial analysis 3. Portfolio management 4. Real estate marketing Other to be topics more broadly will provide research describes financial indicators provide evidence through a sale. of the profits which may be generated Also, real estate is a commodity which can be a portfolio real estate can be of natural resource based development companies is important. held in tools which its These include: Description of DNR that sale the sale of urban real estate related 1. A description a for selling urban land. topic has other, additional perspectives. to and managed as an investment. Fourth, is not just sold but marketed to a specific group of players. 73 Description of DNR agency acting as a natural studies in The case resource based development company. Chapter "urban" lands. uses of DNR's show that urban encroachment IV to transition/urban timber production move from triggered a of DNR is essentially a public Estate Division The Real For example, the Redmond Heights site is surrounded by suburban density residential uses within an incorporated to the The Bucklin Ridge property is adjacent city. commercial fastest growing area in Kitsap County. Canterbury Court abuts a state highway which acts as the major transportation corridor for east King County. as having development companies" to, used formerly lands Examples of "natural describes (1975) Braun for resource an inventory resource natural of, or access production. uses include forestry, grazing, or mining. attributes the rise in value of based Braun the natural resource lands to the urbanization of the area around them. long a for dormant lie "Typically, land values of rapid period a go through period of time and then factors external triggered by appreciation, often extension, utilities highway construction, such as also, or Appreciation may growth. and population investment, by capital stimulated be alternatively, a market for the property concerned." which creates (p. 128) A is a strategy obtain desired disciplined way results. objectives should "In short, to meet objectives and financial and strategic determine, via product/market analyses, the 74 use to which the land will be put (p. not the other way around." 133) Braun finds that utilizing a decision making strategy is Natural important. based resource development companies generally follow one of four basic strategies or approaches to the business. The single segment strategy (focus on one end product; build strong skills through specialization); The multi-product market strategy (capitalize on several profit opportunities at one time; requires strong management); The functionally based strategy (capitalize on one strength in key area and apply to all segments of market; sophisticated management); The vertical integration strategy (build on existing resource bases; go forward to where product starts as well as back to end-user; heavy demands on management). (p. 131) 1. 2. 3. 4. DNR as different aspects the cycle produce the for the agency address cycle of resource development. The properties no which longer can Other natural resource based companies resource. State follow the same strategy but use separate in Washington than rather Weyerhaeuser Company subsidiary real Real Estate within the Division, as one part of DNR, concentrates on the Real Estate companies of the fourth strategy, vertical the Separate divisions integration. end of follows an agency divisions. has several Pope partially companies: Corporation, and Company, Quadrant Columbia Company. wholly or estate development example, For and Talbot, 75 the owned Weyerhaeuser Cornerstone- another forest products company, has established Pope Resources as its development company. Braun also discusses the decision process in terms of three basic steps identified making process the decision appears to maker is based development sell urban in Chapter be the a public company. lands The decision same regardless of whether or private natural resources In either should II. address case, the decision to goals and objectives, strategies for achieving them, and an implementation plan. overall or comprehensive approach aspects are not left out the ensures that An significant or forgotten. Financial Analysis Financial project. indicators They should are be used important to understand a in conjunction with the other criteria listed in this document and not solely by themselves. Discounted cash flow (or value) is net present an accepted base indicator. Hodder and discounted cash framework for times. Riggs flow analysis, comparing cash Cash flow decsion to (1985) discuss hold or which flows comparisons are they occurring define at an integral estate. sell real the use and misuse of as a different part of the Hodder and Riggs cite three critical factors which must be taken into account in the cash flow uncertainty analysis: (risk) inflation, in different the phases management's ability to mitigate risk. 76 different of a levels project, of and DNR does levels of not appear to have risk associated development in each of recognized the different with the various stages of project the case studies. Also, it does not appear to have analyzed how it might mitigate some of the risk associated with each of the stages. Heights project has two stages: For example, the Redmond planning/permit approvals and marketing/sale to potential buyers. There is development risk with the first and marketing risk with the second. of risk is different the cash in any flow is with each. The degree The degree of riskiness of therefore different and should be reflected cash flow analysis completed for the project. Another example of the stages of a project are the three stages of the Bucklin Ridge Plan), installation of site the risks individual stage improvements, Discount independently. Ridge Community and sales The risk of each stage should be efforts/external influences. assessed (Bucklin planning project: should be rates which reflect the cash flow discounted cash flow used in analysis. Welter (1970) He analysis. also discusses that cautions main the calculating a discounted cash flow (i.e., and implementation data) the interpreting plan which are difficulties collecting, handling An organizational. identifies in how the project objectives and strategy will be carried out, such as suggested by Braun are (1975), realistic is and needed to ensure the cash flow estimates the calculations financial and growth objectives. 77 are consistent with Hirschmann trends in and cash flows According to of options discuss projecting annual forecasts. making this allows exploration of a range (sensitivity) and identifies anticipated rates of various assumptions and conditions. pinpointed rate of return can be sale inflation, assumption in range of (1965) rather than the authors, return under economy, Brauweiler options allows affected by changes in the price the discounted A specific, or (residual), cash flow any analysis. to decision makers other Using understand judgments and uncertainites that are incorporated into it. array of cash flow trends will visually display a the An the information. The Real Estate Division should derive a discounted cash flow when it evaluates each project. to value raw land, "pro concerning identified. a likely what it (costs and anticipated give an added dimension to the project. revenues projection)s Assumptions formas" Although is is difficult value are made and explicitly The Division can use this mechanism to determine range of rates of return. It will better understand is selling and who will buy it. convince Division The results may even representatives to keep the property in the DNR portfolio. There are indicators beside other financial cash flow which can be utilized. look at the real financial perspective. price, future value Neidich and Steinberg versus sell estate hold They find the (property 78 discounted decision decision appreciation), and (1984) from depends a on investment alternatives. investment While the in authors real estate, address corporate equity the quantitative factors they use can be molded to apply to the Real Estate Division's actions. Neidich uses equity and Steinberg develop a dilution analysis determine whether financial model and present a corporation that value analysis to should sell or continue to hold real estate it method of quantifying earnings. Present value analysis is a way to examine the long now owns. the Equity dilution analysis is a impact of a property sale on term view of a sale's capital budgeting implications. The Real Estate Division decision to hold or sell two analyses can be add financial finds itself facing the its property as a corporation. modified to same These use DNR's variables and can data to the decision making process. While DNR does not have "earnings" as a private corporation does, it can still determine whether a or held and its present value particular property should be sold impact on analysis the overall could also help tradeoffs between retaining ownership necessary capital expenditures over protfolio. of a the DNR Use examine of the property and the expected life or holding period as compared to the returns from selling it now. The case analysis on Rather, were studies the part it appears that used processes. as guides The sophisticated ways generally of DNR or the reveal little financial Real Estate Division. "gut instinct" and previous experience through financial the tools development described and above sales are to view the project and may possibly "over 79 analyze" a situation. and do They are, however, important indicators provide a means for comparison and evaluation. Matrix V-1 identifies whether any financial tools were used. MATRIX V-1 Canterbury Court Bucklin Ridge Redmond Heights Factor/ Influence 1. Discounted cash flow on cost, revenues no no no 2. Range of of return determined no no no no no no no no no rate 3. Assumptions identified 4. Other financial indicators used Portfolio Management When a person or entity owns own a real estate of portfolio important factors. the items several types of real total a real estate management, risk and diversity With are Diversification reduces the variability of returns among commercial, Management of portfolio. similar to that of a securities portfolio. portfolio is both types two or more properties, they industrial in the portfolio because it combines estate holdings, such as residential, and office, within the portfolio. The return to the owner or owners is not based on the return from one single property, which can vary each year, but on the combined returns from many properties. 80 The total amount of more reliable. is generally combined returns a result, As risk is reduced overall. Diversification in the way real estate is held is one way a portfolio can be managed to mitigate risk. (1967) how investors investigate and residential participation can as development commercial instead of raw land looking at in can participate be applied to profit They use (ownership) particpation. equity potentials through Hayes and Harlan property, developed By examples. situations such equity those as presented by DNR. Retention of land ownership through a joint venture with is a a developer-partner potentials and could be the way to participate in profit The deal structured so that the developer-partner assumed all construction contributed or participate in leased the residuals if some of risk lease/marketing and land to the assumed the development/permits risk. At this land base. the trusts' not deplete the joint while DNR venture and As a partner, DNR could the "upside:" the future cash flows, the property is sold, and property appreciation. time, state law does not permit such partnerships but education of regarding the legislature the benefits could result in changes to the law. Several other ideas that can apply to DNR are seen in the following These quotation. profit/return, degree of completion process, and development risk. 81 maximization include of the of development development of commercial returns from "The profit and industrial property have generally been somewhat This is housing ventures. those from lower than against undertaken is often because construction for all or part of the space developed, firm leases that market risk of the that part thus removing revenue the variablity of the future involves that the be emphasized It should also stream. real estate returns from holding already-developed as those not been as large as an investment have where the real estate, developing accruing from uncertainty of because somewhat higher risks are and the of development the costs surrounding both the revenues flowing from the property once size of it is developed." (p. 9) on concentrated obtaining land go not is far a policy to the then has it date point selling of the end-user speculative industrial plants, than a legal constraint rather or homes. constraint, the kind of return DNR can expect. Another factor is the Generally, DNR public agency and building as it can the State Legislature it has told as offices, but it does affect assume. estate approvals use permit improvements such This real developing as To beneficiaries. The Department property. will trust the to possible profit in order to return as much as of property a sale realize on amount of maximize the is to DNR's goal and because risk DNR is willing to amount of will minimize it is a risk because fiduciary responsibilities it has the trust lands. Determining policies and constraints is part of the decision process. for These factors influence what DNR believes it can achieve with a particular site. affect the marketing of the site hold/sell decision. 82 as well as They also the basic and understanding Risk acknowledgement in (1979) discusses the importance Hertz portfolio management. are important of knowing the risks involved when making capital investments. of real to buyers was speaking Although he estate, sellers DNR, as a seller, should be aware should also identify risks. of the risks it is taking and those it is asking the buyer to take. DNR should development of than the future buyer agency. The buyer DNR approvals to would be least it with less risk and cost a site willing to pay DNR more for the As long as the cost of the return or in place. than less is price purchase the site because DNR is a government of a the approvals site with are For example, DNR may be able to obtain permit consequential. approvals for which risks those take additional the should it receives, take the of risk development/permit approvals risk. Hertz promotes which analysis a measures multitude combination with each other). the makes up the potential rate of statistic called occurance of combination specific As another variables. of sale. (risks in for values of each of return is Simulation estimates each a example, simulation probability of assess the and no of risks It shows that a specific rate of variables. the sale odds of method For example, each variable that a high level of uncertainty. subject to a financial a as using simulation combination of return depends on large can be number of used to several outcomes, such as the whole site, the sale of portions of the site, The outcomes depend 83 on the combination of variables that forces the make up influence them. user to identify and an outcome effects. Using and, in While a simulation techniques quantify the variables that the process, specific computer see the causes and program is needed, very little time is involved in the mechanics of Diversity of is also do show the type of real estate within the portfolio important. little risk A review assessment was sensitivity to differing sizes and road and of the case studies indicates undertaken. diversity (64 acres, potential markets builders), the operation. of However, the studies product. 160 acres, and 38 acres), (institutions, developers, differing degrees improvements). They of differing and small improvements The diversity appears have home (utilities to reflect the individual situation rather than a predetermined strategy. Matrix V-2 identifies whether portfolio management case studies the were addressed factors by DNR. involved A review of the indicates there were mixed results. MATRIX V-2 Factor/ Influence Redmond Heights Bucklin Ridge Canterbury Court 1. Diversity of projects, investments within site within BRCP recognize different size, mkts 2. Alternative ownerhsip structures used dropped orig. ground lease no no 3. Risk identified & measured no no no 4. Risk assignment no no no 84 in Real Estate Marketing The scope of these activities buyers. attractive to make it to property packaging the structures, and determining deal buyers, potential identifying of consists Marketing is determined at the beginning of a project. institutions, local doctors as such players, home Targeting a buyer at the beginning of a project dentists. to position determining how studies of other groups builders or scale small or large developers, and private investors "buyers" include Other urban sites. This is an opportunity for marketing and presents today still true key to holdings of real estate. increasing their which are investors as groups tax-exempt institutional corporations and held publicly identify (1967) Harlan and Hayes identified actively In most cases projects. outset of at the potential buyers is The case the property. not has DNR that indicate or this led to confusion about the product and who would buy it. Hayes and syndication of as a real estate an article also wrote Harlan (1972) means of sale. on The authors caution that there can be many pitfalls with syndication. amendment to the syndications which federal are based in code tax 1987 primarily on tax the has The affected benefits or shields. However, syndication is still an option which a purchaser of DNR property can appropriate because All property must be exercise. of the way DNR It may be is required particularly to operate. sold at a public auction with a minimum 85 bid. accept only DNR can reimbursement) may more potential to acceptable the make from syndication the property (in essence, a piece of return for investors in payments immediate to obtain The ability or a property exchange. all cash requirement pay to all cash Such immediate resale buyers. would lessen the incidental holding costs through syndication such as interest and fees. suggest ways such as syndication for a purchaser DNR can Obviously the buyer makes the decisions, to finance the deal. but DNR alternatives can present The potential purchasers. buyers suggested that were its in discussions disenchanted manager project Ridge Bucklin with with DNR's sales this is one way to offset it. structure; Jewett identifies seven steps to follow to market (1977) estate. surplus real Although he is specifically discussing marketing existing industrial buildings which a corporation no longer needs, of urban the principles are equally applicable to sales The author begins by advocating the seller lands. studying the potential of the site. spend time potential uses and users, projected rents, size by adaptability users, arrangements (lease to multiple The or sale). uses, This includes (space) needed and property should financial be made attractive to potential users/investors because: 1. 2. 3. It can be phased or subdivided if one user does not want all the space; It has a price justistified by identified and documented new users; and It has been merchandised to move quickly and profitably; 86 the biggest It has been packaged and sized for market. (p. 4) 4. The case studies in Chapter IV show the DNR has had mixed success in applying these ideas. was not Canterbury biggest market. appeal to are 1987 market. a broad pieces Court, and Also, the appraisal update. merchandised to move for packaged the sized to anticipated price of was however, was probably right for Canterbury Court early smaller broken into For example, Redmond Heights the market due to the However, none of the properties due quickly cumbersome the to mechanisms DNR must use as sales vehicles. The ideas with the presented by can be case studies described in Chapter IV. principles have actions. these articles compared The ideas and not generally been incorporated in DNR's past The following matrix (Matrix V-3) indicates the general status. MA TRIX V-3 Bucklin Ridge Factors/ Influences Redmond Heights 1. Target only on pur chasers 4th of fe rina Canterbury Court no no 2. Aid buyer with financial structuring no no no 3. Study site potential (uses, price, market) no no no 4. Marketing (brochure,etc) tools no limited 87 one, but not yet used Conclusion The literatures financial analysis, indicate there portfolio are many ways to address management and real estate marketing. These topics are incorporated during the decision process and become integral project. The principles The case land. applied them the Real DNR has develops a is beginning not consistently It appears, however, that as projects. Estate Division of a the evaluation can be applied to any sale of urban studies indicate to its credibility, it factors in track record to incorporate some and gains of these principles in its approach to urban land sales. The next chapter analyzes the case studies in detail and offers conclusions which apply to urban real estate sales. 88 ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS VI. studies have Three case Bucklin Ridge represents presents lessons in decision making. sales opportunities and evidence of the "greed several missed Redmond Heights factor." sale exemplifies a success with Canterbury timing. market coincidental on based a Each made and executed. property is sell urban decision to how examine to used been represents a less complex project that is still Court in the process of being sold. Comparing Case Studies With Each Other events in each case study. end of each case study page 90 the number The higher same process life of not They serve as as commonalities, left column in each when each a project. available should and 60, and 72). every as Matrix the category, the more times the event happens only once Maximum in the For example, a review of all the options beginning of the project take place few well occurs in each case study. has been repeated for a single project. efficiency occurs major the number of times each of demonstrates in the events listed (pages 44, the cases which can be quantified. differences, among VI-1 on the highlight The timelines are presented at the identifying for the foundation to been developed Timelines have months at the during 89 the project. Rather, milestones should progress to to demonstrate be established the desired result. MATRIX VI-1 Bucklin Ridge Event # Consultants (major) # Appraisals Canterbury Court Redmond Heights 1 2 official 1 unofficial 3 1 4 2 # Public offerings 0 4 0 # Tries to have offering 3 0 1 # Missed sale opportunities 3 0 2 0 3 1 # Marketing efforts .5 3 1 # DNR staff involved 11 10 5 7 8 4 # Preferred alternative changes # Years elapsed are also Qualitative factors case studies deal with The other. located in raw land development. Division, with each Department, recognized the important in comparing the All three of the case studies areas of later and increases in growth urban the value Real due location and tried to capture them through sales of Land use permits were obtained for in the increased value. 90 and Estate to the the sites. each site as a way to lock Each project is distinctly different in size. of each At the end project it has become apparent that each was designed for different markets and different groups of buyers. acre values are discrete. between markets This The per is evidence of the variance in which each site is located. The amount of effort expended by Department personnel and the portion of the development process completed for each project are also different. It is evident from qualitative comparisons in any of the timelines, that DNR these examples. projects is has not focused its efforts The time spent administering these fragmented, not concentrated. of the effort project is brought back into the spotlight. As a result, much wasted and has to be reworked each time the Even though large personnel have worked on each project, numbers of that one is Matrix VI-1, and the person has clear calendar to get not been it is clear given the responsibility and a it sold or otherwised disposed. Comparing Case Studies With The Decision Process The decision ordered so process can be reduced to generic parts and that it can be applied to many different projects. The process strategy, and has three basic parts: goals Each of implementation. and objectives, these is needed in a decision to make it a cohesive unit. Objectives, strategy, and implementation are discussed in Chapter II. The objectives provide goals to meet and identify areas that are important to the decision maker. 91 A strategy is regarding how the objectives will be achieved. then developed of the decision is narrowed and more specificity is The scope introduced about final step how objectives strategy will accomplished. The those people implementing the identify how is to will be The anticipated sequence of events is operate. "game plan" developed. determined and a These three basic parts of a decision provide a framework the examples for evaluating The Natural Resources. examples Department the describe two agency and individual project. decision making: intertwined, it two are provided by is the levels of of Although the individual project decision making process which is of interest here. literatures The following topics: and mechanisms to assess are components evaluate and are subsets of it, and when. will gather portfolio, and individual the the marketing tools The are the portions of each project and of the total package of data assembled for the maker uses The decision project. address implemenation plan, it is determined data, who financial, resulting V which is devised at the beginning of each As part of the gather the how to Chapter They marketing. implementation plan project. in financial management, portfolio management, estate real discussed choose a course of all the action information and to to develop contingency plans. Matrix VI-2 on page 93 compares the case studies with the basic parts tools from of a decision discussed earlier. the literatures which should 92 It incorporates be addressed in the Responses in the matrix cells process. identify what actions taken in the case studies, if any, correspond to the listed in the framework left column of the matrix. MATRIX VI-2 Decision structure Redmond Heights Bucklin 1. Goals & objectives general; needs t rust general;trust needs 2. work with community; not apa rk follow County desires for planning 3. Implementation plan (control mechanism) none; disjointed; a s time permi ts none; proceed none; led by County desires after each action A. Financial analysis little effort none;not real- none ize value drop, costs B. Portfolio management no risk assess-no risk assess-no risk assessment; recognize ment; tried ment; tried site, buyers within BRCP within site different C. Real estate marketing 4 offerings; disjointed effort Strategy The on each case concentration. not site strategy for and potential work on each make remaining area useable, saleable little effort that project administrators part-time and uneven their in Objectives and goals, if any, were general and specific; predominant. were property to school dist. little effort studies illustrate project Canterbury Court Ridge bringing in money for the Implementation plans were not trust funds was developed. A project, determining the market approaching the end-user, and timing was not decided before the project began. 93 Also, there was no risk assessment or was acknowledgement of the risks little use of standard financial involved. There indicators of value, such as discounted cash flow conclusion is that in most cases the decision process used by analysis on costs and revenues. DNR is not consistent with this framework or structure. is little evidence that The There a systematic process was used by the Department or Division. Conclusion The Department, and now the Division, has certain constraints on the actions it can take because it is a public agency. the project managers described the constraints One of as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. DNR's lack of a comprehensive business plan; Need for streamlined statutes, to provide product (real estate) in a timely fashion to private sector clients not accustomed to government requirements for public notice and hearings before disposition of property; Inability to negotiate for property; Public exposure to developers who are typically reclusive in nature; and Requirement for large up-front amount of cash by developer for purchase; private sector properties allow better terms. (Harper, 1987) These constraints distinguish a public agency natural resource based development company natural resource based development company. acting from a as a private They effect the way the public agency might operate or pursue a strategy, but they do not preclude it from using decision process. 94 a structured, defined VII. RECOMMENDATIONS This thesis explores the decision process with respect to selling urbanized real estate. The decision to sell property which has a higher urban value than timber producing value can be structured so as to capture that value. from the Three case studies Washington State Department of Natural Resources are used as examples. There are two recommendations to be made. The addresses structuring the decision making process. suggests ways for DNR more opportunities to structure to share in the sale the value first The second to incorporate gained from the urban land uses. Structuring The Decision The three at the basic parts of a decision should be undertaken beginning of throughout the determine life the a project, of goals a rather than at various project. and It is important objectives, implementation in conjunction with each other. parts interact with and times to strategy and How well these complement each other determines the effectiveness of the decision. A structured making pattern. another and applicable to approach allows It repetition of the decision is transferable promotes comprehensive the decisions to 95 from one decisions. sell urban property to It is equally lands made by private natural resource based development companies and to those made by public agencies. Completion evaluate a a framework of Matrix VII-1 by decision project before any action is begun. makers will The matrix is for viewing a project in order to determine goals and objectives, strategy, and implementation. MATRIX VII-1 Stages of Production Decision structure Conception (planning) Production (permits) Distribution (marketing; sales) Management (if hold property) 1. Goals & objectives 2. Strategy 3. Implementation plan (control mechanisms) A. Financial analysis B. Portfolio management C. Real estate marketing The complete beginning. approach to Flexibility is opportunities that the project retained present themselves 96 to is decided at the take after the advantage of project is started. The decision makers can evaluate whether or not a new opportunity which arises really contributes to the desired result because they have alternative ways determined the to accomplish it. position of grasping at a different The decision risks and risks are not in the "solution" or new method. risk profiles. Determination of what are willing to accept and what rewards are desired as compensation in the They and makers also identify and understand project their own they desired result is important. literature review The analytical tools discussed can assist with these assessments. The following checklist can be used: 1. Identification and occurance of risk a. probability b. simulation; Financial indicators a. discounted cash flow of revenues/costs b. appraisal c. market analysis d. equity dilution/present value analysis; Anticipated outcomes a. range of rates of return b. land use permits c. capital appreciation/residual value. 2. 3. Those directing the development on a a sale process to of urban land decide how much of complete. comprehensive understanding end-point is sale of level of set. the site When that should be This decision is based of the project. A limit or point or time is reached, the completed. Determination of the involvement ahead of time and the ability to sell at the predetermined time affects the level and received. 97 of return anticipated There is certain basic real estate. market, c) It includes: a) the external the risks. information needed to sell urban the value of decisions. information and The DNR pitfalls which the factors and possible effects, and d) Use of Matrix VII-1 will determine this the site, b) serve as the basis for making case studies can occur organize the approach to demonstrate and some of the some of the lessons that can be learned. Structuring the decision consistency and continuity. considered. process provides Decisions made in a comprehensive that all parts of manner ensure making the decision are reviewed and Piecemeal and incremental decisions are avoided. Consideration of all the elements captures the value inherent in the sale of urban real estate. Participating In The "Upside" The use of strategic alternatives use of an improved alternatives are decision deal making structuring is complementary to the process. options Strategic which various ways to particpate in the increased value of The constraints under which DNR, as a governmental provide the site. agency, operates do not always allow it to move as quickly in decision making as might be structured process. for this. appropriate even though it may have a It needs to establish ways to compensate The use of new and creative methods of constructing a sale of property can lock in additional value. 98 It is hard to value raw land. someone is over the willing to life of however, the buyer can pay for it. the project. structure of Ideally, value increases Because a deal with a value is uncertain, developer or other be written to allow participation in as many of the value creating steps as desired. when it The value seems to be what disposes of Not ony can it receive value the property, but DNR can participate in future value by retaining some ownership rights through a well negotiated contract maximized. The way determines how with the purchaser. a disposition much profit DNR's agreement is DNR receives. Three return is constructed strategic alternatives are suggested: 1. Through the Request For Proposal process, hire a real estate management company to sell the land. DNR receives a minimum amount of the "fair market value" determined by an appraisal. The amount of the sale price actually received that is above the appraisal figure is split on a predetermined proportional basis between DNR and the real estate management company. There is incentive for the company to obtain a high sales price and DNR participates in the increased values received. The company decides how much of the developmental process to undertake based on its knowledge of the market. If it has not sold the property within a certain' time period, the property returns to DNR and the company receives nothing. Risk is reduced to one factor: performance of the real estate company. Even with the Division's new attempts to negotiate bids for property, it still can not work the market as a private company can. 2. Capture the benefit of DNR's own positive externalities when it has large pieces of property It can develop and sell a portion of the for sale. site, wait for the value of surrounding property to rise due to the value created by the developed piece, and then sell the rest of the property at an The risk is in market timing and even higher value. property location. 99 A conceptual example is the location of a shopping center on 50 acres within a 150 acre site. The peripheral, satellite development on the 100 acres may generate more in profit than the shopping center because of its timing and location. A local example is the Alderwood Mall area north of Seattle. Use contingent sales whereby the property is sold to a developer for the appraised fair market value contingent on DNR receiving a percentage of the future sales price obtained by the developer when The percentage can be the property is resold. written with a minimum dollar amount to mitigate A competent developer is needed for downside risk. It allows DNR to recieve this alternative to work. money now and participate in the additional profit gained through property appreciation. 3. These be used in the joint venture and financing options discussed addition to in Chapter can alternatives strategic three V. partial ownership Imagination and creativity are also possible. situations are and ownership Retained The point is to develop a mechanism in each disposal needed. situation which maximizes the return DNR will receive. Conclusion aggressive in seeking deal created as the property changed as needed. first. sharing the future State laws in is developed. values can be be tested on small properties Ideas can Incentives can provide minimal structures which participation and risks yet it should be more Division matures, Real Estate As the be created to produce returns and value. As with the decision participation in making the "upside" process described while limiting 100 the above, "downside" exposure is transferable to situation. Creative use of strategic any urban real estate alternatives sales and organized decision process will return value and profit. 101 an VIII. SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY Bacow, Lawrence S., "Structuring Complex Real Estate Transactions," MIT Center for Real Estate Development, unpublished lecture notes, Spring, 1987. Bacow, Lawrence S., Professor and Director of Research at MIT Center for Real Estate Development, interview, July 27, 1987. 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