Paleobiology, 30(1), 2004, pp. 44–81 The live, the dead, and the very dead: taphonomic calibration of the recent record of paleoecological change in Lake Tanganyika, East Africa Simone R. Alin and Andrew S. Cohen Abstract.—High-resolution (annual to decadal) paleoecological records of community composition can contribute a long-term perspective to conservation biology on baseline ecological variability and the response of communities to environmental change. We present here a detailed comparison of species assemblage characteristics (species richness, abundance, composition, and occurrence frequency) in live, dead, and recent fossil ostracode samples from Lake Tanganyika, East Africa. This study calibrates the fidelity of paleoecological samples (i.e., both death and fossil assemblages) to live diversity patterns for the purpose of reconstructing community dynamics through time. Both life and death assemblages were collected from rocky sites in a mixed substrate habitat (total of ten sampling visits over 22-month period) over spatial scales of less than a meter to about 3–12 meters. Fossil assemblages were derived from sediment cores collected in sandy substrates adjacent to the rocky sites. Species richness in paleoecological assemblages is comparable to that in a year’s accumulation of life assemblages sampled approximately monthly. The temporal resolution of the fossil samples in Lake Tanganyika could thus be as short as one year. Species abundance distributions were statistically indistinguishable among data sets. Rank abundance tests demonstrated that death and fossil assemblages were quite similar, although life assemblages differed substantially in the composition of their dominant species. Species composition differences between life and paleoecological assemblages appear to reflect the area of spatial integration represented by an assemblage—i.e., death and fossil assemblages are integrated over multiple habitat types, whereas life assemblages dominantly represent the rocky habitats where they were collected. Species occurrence frequencies in paleoecological data identified ecologically persistent species and may be useful for delimiting local species pools. Analysis of sampling efficiency indicates that approximately 28% of species in each paleoecological assemblage are ‘‘unique’’; i.e., they are not likely to be present in an additional subsample from the same sample. Ordination reveals that life assemblages of ostracodes are characterized by high spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Variability in species composition was lower in paleoecological assemblages, presumably as a result of spatial and temporal averaging. Death and fossil assemblages of Lake Tanganyika appear to preserve many characteristics of living benthic ostracode assemblages with high fidelity. Spatiotemporal averaging allows paleoecological assemblages to render information about the average composition of ostracode communities over short timescales, at spatial scales of several meters, and across habitat types. Sampling shell assemblages in surficial sediments thus represents a more efficient way of assessing the average ecological conditions at a locality than repeated live sampling. Furthermore, paleoecological analyses can generate novel insights into long-term community variability and membership with direct relevance to conservation. Simone R. Alin* and Andrew S. Cohen. Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721 *Present address: School of Oceanography, Box 355351, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195. E-mail: simone.alin@stanfordalumni.org Accepted: 23 July 2003 Introduction Paleoecological reconstruction is playing an increasingly important role in addressing conservation biological problems (e.g., Binford et al. 1987; Steadman 1995; Pandolfi 1996; Brenner et al. 1999; MacPhee 1999; Miller et al. 1999; Davis et al. 2000; Finney et al. 2000; Jackson et al. 2001; Rodriguez et al. 2001). One of the perennial problems encountered in paleoq 2004 The Paleontological Society. All rights reserved. ecological reconstruction and interpretation is assessing whether the sedimentary archive of ecological and environmental change faithfully records the conditions that existed at the time of deposition. Two transitions are inherent to the formation of the fossil record: transition from life to death assemblage and from death to fossil assemblage. Copious studies on the fidelity of death assemblages to living communities have been performed (references 0094-8373/04/3001-0000/$1.00 THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD in Kidwell and Bosence 1991; Kidwell and Flessa 1995; Kidwell 2001a,b). Other permutations on live–dead–fossil comparisons include Valentine’s (1989) classic study on live and fossil molluscan faunas in the California Province, comparisons of death assemblages with recent fossil assemblages formed in the same environment (e.g., Russell 1991, also in the California Province), and the occasional comparison among life, death, and fossil assemblages (e.g., Fürsich and Flessa 1987; Wolfe 1996). Paleoecological baseline studies are increasingly being used for conservation purposes to reconstruct environmental conditions before human intervention (Brenner et al. 1993; Kowalewski et al. 2000; Rodriguez et al. 2001). Microfossils like ostracodes allow investigators to collect statistically robust sample sizes for analysis at low cost. However, the taphonomy of lacustrine microfossils has received less attention than marine taphonomy (cf. Wolfe 1996). Because of their small size and susceptibility to transport, microfossil distributions within a locality may not map their life habitat with the same fidelity seen in marine molluscs, which is quite high (Kidwell and Bosence 1991; Kidwell 2001a,b). Although high habitat fidelity has been observed in marine foraminiferal assemblages (Martin and Liddell 1988), Wolfe (1996) observed low spatial fidelity in lacustrine diatom assemblages. Kidwell (2001b) also reported poorer preservation of species rank order in marine molluscan death assemblages including small specimens (#1 mm) than among those with exclusively large-bodied specimens (.1 mm). Such studies raise the question of how representative microfossil assemblages are of the onceliving communities that contributed to them in terms of species richness, abundance, composition, and occurrence frequency. Also, differences in the spatial and temporal scales of analyses in ecology and paleoecology may affect the conclusions that can be drawn from life versus death or fossil assemblages with respect to conservation (cf. Levin 1992; Anderson 1993; Pandolfi 1996; Cohen 2000). Lake basins can provide extensive and highly resolved paleorecords for reconstructing past environmental and ecological changes in 45 terrestrial milieus. Lakes are also excellent settings for studying the responses of ecosystems to natural and anthropogenic environmental change on human timescales. High lacustrine sedimentation rates often result in sedimentary records of annual to decadal resolution, allowing high-resolution reconstruction of environmental and ecological change. Lakewide average sedimentation rates in large lakes are typically on the order of 1.0 mm/yr when measured over tens to thousands of years (Johnson 1984; Cohen 2000). Furthermore, many lakes contain annually laminated sediments, reflecting seasonal cycles of productivity and/or stratification. Using highresolution dating techniques (210Pb, 14C), it is possible to estimate the temporal resolution of the sedimentary record on the basis of sediment accumulation rates, sampling resolution, presence or absence of laminae, and the depth of the taphonomically active zone (TAZ: the post-burial zone through which biotic and physicochemical processes continue to alter death assemblages prior to their ascension to the fossil record [Davies et al. 1989]). Maximum depths of bioturbation and the TAZ tend to be shallower in lakes (2–5 cm in Lake Tanganyika [Cohen 2000]) than in nearshore marine settings (up to about 1.4 m in rare cases [Kidwell and Bosence 1991]), as a result of the lower densities and burrowing depths of lacustrine bioturbators. These factors combine to make lacustrine sediments amenable to very high-resolution paleoenvironmental and paleoecological reconstruction. In this study, we compared assemblage structure and composition of ostracode life, death, and fossil assemblages from Lake Tanganyika in order to calibrate the sedimentary record of community composition with respect to living communities. Lake Tanganyika is a tropical rift lake housing extensive radiations of fish and invertebrate species. Because of the evolutionary and economic significance of its fauna, much attention has been focused on the conservation of the Tanganyikan ecosystem (e.g., Cohen et al. 1993; Alin et al. 1999). Using paleoecological reconstruction, Wells et al. (1999) showed that areas of the lake that had experienced intensive watershed deforestation were also characterized by sub- 46 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN stantial declines in the diversity of their ostracode faunas in recent decades or centuries. To place these observations in a long-term, natural context, it is necessary to calibrate the fidelity of the fossil record to living communities and to estimate the resolution of lake sediment record. Working in an extant ecosystem with a continuously accumulating sedimentary record allows us to simultaneously examine the biases in the transition from life to death assemblage and those intrinsic to the translation from death assemblages into the fossil record. The quality of preservation of species richness and abundance patterns determines the extent to which paleoecological insights can be applied to problems in conservation biology. Here we examine changes in variability associated with sampling at different temporal and spatial scales. We further show how some paleoecological data may be better suited for some conservation applications than data based on live collections alone. Methods Sampling. Ostracode life and death assemblages were derived from surface sediment samples collected from rock surfaces offshore from Mwamgongo, Tanzania, in Lake Tanganyika (Fig. 1). Fossil ostracode assemblages came from short sediment cores collected in the silty sand adjacent to the rocky habitat sampling sites for life and death assemblages. The shallow benthic habitat at this locality is dominantly composed of silty sands with patches of rocky habitat, a common habitat type in the nearshore zone of Lake Tanganyika. Rocky habitats are particularly noted for their high biodiversity; hence it is desirable to understand the reliability of the soft-substrate paleoecological record in representing community composition patterns across a mosaic of habitat types. This locality was chosen as part of a disturbance comparison between this small, deforested watershed and the adjacent, protected watersheds in Gombe Stream National Park (Alin et al. 2002). Although the shallow-water ostracode fauna at this locality has undergone changes in the composition of dominant species over the last few hundred years, there is no evidence that the watershed FIGURE 1. Location of study area (Mwamgongo, Tanzania), with inset map of Africa showing Lake Tanganyika. disturbance near the study sites has affected species richness, abundance, or composition patterns substantially over the time period represented by this study (a roughly 30-yr sediment record). Other regions of the lake basin have experienced much more extensive sedimentation impacts related to deforestation. Thus, the results presented here are relevant to the reliability of the sediment record under moderate-to-low disturbance conditions and may hold for higher-disturbance situations as well. Sampling locations were chosen at two depths (5 m, 10 m) because the rocks sampled had different aspects (horizontal surfaces dominated at 10 m, with steeper-sided, more exposed rocks at 5 m) and were thus likely to retain different amounts of sediment on their surfaces (Fig. 2A). Also, ostracode diversity varies with depth in Lake Tanganyika (Alin et al. 1999). Sites at both depths were sufficiently shallow to be affected by wave activity. Colored bolts were affixed with underwater epoxy to four rocks, two each at 5 m and 10 m water depth, to identify sampling locations. A THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD 47 FIGURE 2. A, Schematic diagram of spatial sampling layout. Rocks sampled are depicted by black shapes, with regular quadrat sampling locations indicated by white squares. White asterisks denote the approximate location of permanent, colored bolts that marked each sampling site. Quadrat numbers in squares show the sampling pattern. Rocks at 10 m depth are flat and crop out from the surrounding sand horizontally. Rocks at 5 m depth stand relatively high above the sand and are steeper sided. Core collection locations (in silty-sand substrate, indicated by background pattern) are shown with solid circles. Note: figure not drawn to scale. B, Water-depth curve for quadrat series 1A–2A throughout the sampling period. Sampling dates are indicated by asterisks under the water-depth curve. Water depths for other quadrat series are 0.6 m deeper for series 3A–4A and 5.3 m shallower for series 5A– 8A. Periods of high rainfall, lake-level rise, and sample-site deepening are shaded in light gray. quadrat (25 3 25 cm) was used to collect surface sediments from two patches adjacent to the marker bolts on each rock. Each month, eight surface sediment samples were collected (i.e., two sites at each of two depths, and two samples per site per visit) using a diver-operated suction sampler modified from Gulliksen and Derås (1975). The suction sampler allowed for semiquantitative collection of all surface sediment within the quadrat on the rock surface. Collected sediments thus represent a constant area of substrate surface, but not a constant sediment volume. Both life and death assemblages originated in the surface sediment collected from these rocky habitat sites. Quadrat series were numbered 1A–4A (10 m) and 5A–8A (5 m). Rocks sampled at each depth were located a few to several (ø 3– 12) meters apart. Sediment samples were collected monthly during the October–December 1997 and February–July 1998 intervals and once in July 1999 (i.e., ten visits total per site during a 22month study period; eight samples per visit for a total of 80 total samples of live and dead fauna) (Fig. 2B). Sediments were transferred immediately to 95% ethanol for storage and soft-part preservation. This period spanned the transition from a very dry year (1997) to a very wet, El Niño year (1998). During the sampling interval, lake level rose rapidly by nearly 2.5 m and then declined again by 1.0–1.5 m (Birkett et al. 1999). Water depth data were recorded on a dive computer and were calibrated by using NASA satellite altimetry data (C. Birkett personal communication 2000). Ostracode fossil assemblages were obtained from two short sediment cores collected with a hand-coring device in July 1999. Cores were sectioned into 1-cm intervals in the field. Core MWA-1 (16 cm total length, of which top 8 cm discussed here) was collected at 10 m between the two sampling sites, and core MWA-2 (11 cm) was taken adjacent to one of the 5-mdepth sampling sites (Fig. 2A). Dead and fossil faunas were collected from different habitat types for logistical reasons—i.e., it was too difficult to permanently mark and reliably return to soft-sediment sites, whereas cores were necessarily collected from soft substrates. However, we note that comparing death and fossil assemblages from different substrate types has allowed us to assess the spatial averaging of lacustrine microfossils across habitat types. Six radiocarbon dates were obtained for core MWA-1 through the National Science Foundation Accelerator Mass Spectrometer 48 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Facility at the University of Arizona. All dates were derived from single terrestrial leaf fragments to avoid the dual problems of mixing carbon sources of varying ages and the 14C reservoir effect of Lake Tanganyika. By using global atmospheric post-bomb 14C decay curves, single-leaf fragments allow the assignment of calendar ages to within a few years of leaf production (based on data in Nydal and Lövseth 1983; Levin and Kromer 1997). Prebomb radiocarbon dates were assigned using CALIB 4.3 (Stuiver et al. 1998a,b). No Southern Hemisphere correction was applied because the study location is equatorial. All surface sediments and core intervals were sieved with 1-mm, 106-mm, and 63-mm sieves, dried at 608C, and weighed. All ostracode individuals in the sediment fractions of .1 mm and 106 mm–1 mm that remained articulated and retained soft parts and coloration typical of live specimens were included in life assemblages and were identified to the species level. The 106-mm sieve retains both adults and advanced instars of Tanganyikan ostracodes (podocopid ostracodes have nine instars: eight juvenile, one adult). All 80 surface sediment samples were tallied for live diversity. For death and fossil assemblages, we added ostracodes from the .1 mm size fraction to the 106-mm–1-mm size fraction before removing subsamples for counting and identification of individuals. Standard sample sizes of 500 were used for death and fossil assemblages. Both adults and advanced instars of ostracode species were tallied, as it is difficult to differentiate advanced juveniles (many of which have heavily calcified valves) from adults in the Tanganyikan fauna, introducing the possibility that multiple valves from the same individual have been included in the sampling. However, given the immense number of ostracode valves available in surface and buried sediments (hundreds to thousands per gram dry sediment) and the apparent efficiency of wave-mixing and mobilization of surface sediments, it is unlikely that resampling of individuals occurs on a frequent enough basis to introduce significant bias to the results. Thirty-seven of the 80 possible death assem- blages were counted. Samples from November 1997, July 1998, and July 1999 were counted for all quadrat series (1A–8A) in order to sample changes in death assemblages at the beginning, middle, and end of the collection period. In addition, all remaining monthly samples were counted for two (3A, 7A) of the eight samples taken to examine higher-frequency changes in death assemblages at both depths. For cores, all 1-cm intervals were counted. In addition, we made multiple ostracode counts for one core interval (0–1 cm of core MWA-1) in order to assess the reliability of a given sample in representing the full fossil ostracode assemblage present in that interval. To identify ostracodes, we followed Rome (1962), Martens (1985), Wouters (1988), Wouters and Martens (1992, 1994, 1999, 2001), DuCasse and Carbonel (1994), and Park and Martens (2001). For the many Tanganyikan ostracode species not yet described, we used extensive reference collections at the University of Arizona to identify individuals to the level of genus, using a numbered species designation. Data Analysis. Ranges of species richness values in live, dead, and fossil samples were compared in box plots. Individual samples of the life assemblage were successively pooled both across space (all quadrats in a given sampling visit) and through time (each quadrat through 22-month sampling period) to estimate the minimum amount of spatial and temporal averaging represented by death and fossil assemblage data. We used Kruskal-Wallis nonparametric analysis of variance to test for significant differences in species richness among data sets, because the Shapiro-Wilk test of normality rejected the hypothesis that the live data were normally distributed (Sall and Lehman 1996). To localize the difference among samples, we used Dunn’s test for multiple comparisons with samples of different sizes (Zar 1984). Average abundance values were calculated for each species across all samples in each data set. We compared species abundance distributions among data sets by using paired Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests for goodness-of-fit (Zar 1984). Occurrence frequencies were computed for THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD all species in each data set. Live, dead, and fossil data sets contained different numbers of samples (80, 37, and 19, respectively). Occurrence frequency bins varied in size such that each bin represented 10% of samples in a data set (resulting in bin sizes of eight, four, and two samples for live, dead, and fossil data, respectively). To compare species occurrencefrequency distributions for live, dead, and fossil data sets, we used paired KolmogorovSmirnov tests, using one data set for expected values, the other for observed values. For rank abundance tests, we ordered species in all data sets on the basis of their abundance in the total live data set, followed by dead-only and then fossil-only species, in rank-order. Rank abundance data were compared by using Spearman’s coefficient of rank correlation (Sall and Lehman 1996). We used the Bonferroni correction to avoid obtaining spuriously significant results. Spearman’s rank-abundance test is influenced by the number of species and individuals in the comparison. To test the effects of the number of species included and of truncating rare live species from the list, we calculated p-values and r-values for Spearman’s coefficients for various subsets of the ranked species-abundance data. For example, in the ten-species comparison, only the first ten species in order of live rank were retained; in the 20-species comparison, the first 20 live species were retained; and so on. We used a variety of methods to compare fidelity of species composition among live, dead, and fossil data sets. Percentages of live species found dead and vice versa were used as fidelity metrics (following Kidwell and Bosence 1991; Kidwell 2001a). Comparisons of species composition were also extended to assess the fidelity of the fossil data to both life and death assemblages. We also determined percentages of dead individuals from species found alive as a means of gauging spatial fidelity (Kidwell and Bosence 1991). Additional sediment subsamples tallied for ostracodes from the 0–1-cm interval of core MWA-1 were used to generate a species sampling curve for the uppermost core interval. Six subsamples of 100 individuals each, three subsamples of 500, and an additional subsam- 49 ple of 610 were counted. For one of the subsamples of 100, a running tally was kept of each new species occurrence. A logarithmic curve was fitted to the sampling curve in order to determine whether our standard sample size of 500 was sufficient to pass the inflection point of the diversity curve. In addition, we tallied numbers of occurrences for all species in four subsamples of 500 (five of six subsamples of 100 were pooled for this comparison) and calculated detection probabilities for species in different average abundance classes. Another means of judging the adequacy of sample sizes is to calculate the predicted percentage of unique species in each sample, where ‘‘unique’’ species are those unlikely to be resampled in an additional subsample, based on the value of Fisher’s a for the observed species distribution from the same core interval (following Koch 1987). To estimate the values of Fisher’s a and x needed to generate the expected number of species in each occurrence category, code from Rosenzweig (1995: p. 194, modified by M. Rosenzweig) was used. The expected number of species in an additional sample of 500 was calculated as a x, a x2/2, a x3/3, 43.3-Saxn/n, with 43.3 6 1.5 being the average species richness for four counted samples, in four observed occurrence categories (Koch 1987; Magurran 1988). Probabilities of occurrence (pn) for four samples of 500 were then used to calculate the predicted similarity in species composition for one additional sample of 500 (Koch 1987: Table 3, Appendix). To explore the combined live, dead, and fossil database for differences in community structure among sample types, detrended correspondence analysis (DCA) was performed with CANOCO 4 software (ter Braak and Smilauer 1998). In order to avoid some of the gradient distortions reported for DCA (Pielou 1984; Minchin 1987), detrending was executed by using polynomials rather than segments (ter Braak and Prentice 1988). Species relativeabundance data failed the Shapiro-Wilk test of normality; hence all data were log-transformed. In addition, the CANOCO option to downweight rare species was used in the DCA analysis. 50 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN TABLE 1. Radiocarbon dates for core MWA-1 from 10 m water depth at Mwamgongo, Tanzania. Calendar ages reported for pre-bomb dates include all 2s age ranges with .0.1 relative probability. Post-bomb dates were estimated by using atmospheric decay curves for 14C from Nydal and Lövseth (1983) and Levin and Kromer (1997). Sample number Depth in core (cm) Fraction modern 14C AA-38063 AA-38064 AA-41870 AA-41871 AA-38065 2–3 4–5 7–8 8–9 10–11 1.0934 1.1254 1.1729 1.5133 0.9689 post-bomb post-bomb post-bomb post-bomb 254 6 39 AA-38066 12–13 0.9590 336 6 41 To examine the effects of spatial averaging across substrate types, we defined an ostracode substrate index (OSI) for ostracode species assemblages based on the output of a canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) of a database of live ostracode species abundance data from various locations, substrate types, and water depths around Lake Tanganyika (Cohen unpublished data). CCA Axis 1 was significantly and strongly correlated (r 5 0.67) with substrate type (rocks, sand, mud). OSI was defined by using Axis 1 species scores to assign species to rocky, sandy, or muddy categories. Separation of samples along Axis 1 with respect to substrate type was good although not complete, as many species are commonly collected alive in more than one habitat type. OSI is defined as (Nsandy 1 Nmuddy) N21rocky, where N is the number of individuals in each category, such that smaller values correspond to a greater proportion of individuals from rocky species, and larger values to more individuals belonging to sandy or muddy species. Results Sedimentological and Radiocarbon Data for Cores. Visual inspection revealed three zones differing in organic content and particle size in core MWA-1. A transition occurred between 3.5 cm and 7.5 cm from reddish brown silty sand at the core top (0–3.5 cm) to darkerbrown silty sand with organic fragments and some pebbles in the lower core (ø 8–16 cm). Grain-size data showed a slight fining of particles upwards of 9 cm in the core, with average weight percentages of particles #106 mm 14 C age Estimated calendar age range (A.D.) 1997 1992 1987 1971–1972 1632–1670 1527–1553 1780–1797 1466–1644 increasing from 19.9 6 4.0% below 9 cm to 31.4 6 5.3% above 9 cm. Visual inspection of core MWA-2 suggested a possibility of finer sediments above 5 cm and higher organic content below, with reddish brown sand throughout, although granulometry of the core revealed no overall trend in grain size. Mean weight percents of particles #106 mm were comparable to those at the top of core MWA-1 at 31.3 6 4.9%. Granulometric data for surface sediments showed dramatic month-to-month fluctuations in quantity and particle-size distribution. The amount of sediment in each quadrat varied substantially from month to month (range: 0.30–41.71 g, overall average 5 11.15 6 10.01 g), with the average sediment per quadrat being higher at 10 m depth (16.98 6 8.73 g) than at 5 m (5.33 6 7.56 g). Variations in sediment particle size were not correlated with fluctuations in ostracode species richness and abundance. Mean weight percentages of particles #106 mm were 38.4 6 14.3% and 65.0 6 9.3% at 5 m and 10 m, respectively. Radiocarbon dates obtained from singleleaf fragments in core MWA-1 are shown in Table 1 and suggest a midcore depositional hiatus of about 300 years. Judging from the jump in radiocarbon ages, the hiatus probably lies between 9 cm and 10 cm. In this paper, we present ostracode data only from the upper 9 cm of core MWA-1, because our aim was to calibrate the currently accumulating paleoecological record with the extant living and death assemblages. Post-bomb radiocarbon dates indicate that the upper 9 cm of core MWA-1 represents approximately the last THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD three decades of deposition (Table 1). Material from core MWA-2 suitable for radiocarbon dating was not available. For the purpose of this paper, we assume that sediment accumulation rates, and thus sample resolution, were comparable for both cores. Estimated ages in upper MWA-1 suggest recent sediment accumulation rates between 0.6 mm/yr and .4 mm/yr in the nearshore zone. Characteristics of Ostracode Assemblages. The live data set, composed of 80 samples, consisted of 15,765 individuals and 64 species (Appendix). Life assemblages contained from 26 to 1229 individuals (median 5 139). Total death assemblage individuals tallied were 18,175 in 37 samples, comprising 87 species (Appendix). Death assemblages contained 1290–11,805 individuals per gram dry sediment (median 5 5915). Fossil assemblages contained 9639 individuals and 79 species in 19 samples (Appendix). Fossil assemblages contained 816–6974 individuals per gram dry sediment (median 5 1641). Ranges of values in species richness data are shown for ostracode life, death, and fossil assemblages in Figure 3A. Kruskal-Wallis tests for analysis of variance soundly rejected the hypothesis that the live, dead, and fossil data sets shared a common range of species richness values (HC 5 99.2, p K 0.001). Dunn’s multiple comparison test showed significant differences between live species richness data and both death and fossil assemblage data (Qlive–dead 5 9.103, p , 0.001; Qlive–fossil 5 6.158, p , 0.001), with no difference between species richness values of death and fossil assemblage data (Qdead–fossil 5 0.793, p . 0.20). However, after species richness data were pooled across all samples either through time or across space (Fig. 3B), species richness values of live data were comparable to those of death and fossil assemblage data (Fig. 3C), although the numbers of individuals per pooled sample were consistently higher (Ntime range: 1101– 3210, median 5 1953; Nspace range: 783–3611, median 5 1349). Kruskal-Wallis tests detected no difference among pooled live, dead, and fossil data sets for species richness values (HC 5 5.804, p . 0.10). Interestingly, pooling samples either across space or through time resulted in equivalent numbers of species, al- 51 FIGURE 3. A, Box plots of species richness values for all samples in the live (median 5 15), dead (median 5 37), and fossil (median 5 36) data sets. B, Species accumulation curves resulting from pooling sequential life assemblage samples within each quadrat location through the duration of the sampling period (ten monthly samples over 22-month study; squares) and from pooling sequential quadrats within each month up to the total number (eight) of quadrats collected each month (circles, offset from squares on x-axis for clarity). C, Box plots of species richness for life assemblages pooled across space (median 5 36), life assemblages pooled over time (median 5 34.5), and death and fossil assemblages from 3A. though the spatial accumulation curve (circles in Fig. 3B) ascended more steeply initially, indicating greater spatial than temporal heterogeneity in ostracode life assemblages. Histograms of average species abundance (%) per sample are shown in Figure 4. All plots show a predominance of species represented by fewer than 1% of individuals (average) in a sample, with nearly half of the spe- 52 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN FIGURE 4. Histograms of species abundance per sample for life (A), death (B), and fossil (C) assemblage data. For all data sets, N 5 total number of individuals counted and S 5 total number of species encountered. Insets for each panel show the abundance distribution for species in the ,1% bin across finer bin-size intervals. cies in each data set represented by ,0.1% of individuals (Fig. 4 insets). Even below 0.1% average abundance (in 0.01% intervals), the species distributions were quite similar to each other and skewed toward the lowest average abundance bin (not shown). Paired Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests for goodness-of-fit indicated no difference in the species abundance structure of the live, dead, and fossil data sets with any of these bin sizes (p $ 0.20 in all comparisons). Occurrence frequencies tallied for species in all data sets are shown in Figure 5. Live species occurrence frequencies show a unimodal FIGURE 5. Species occurrence frequency histograms for life (A), death (B), and fossil (C) assemblage data. All inset plots have the same occurrence frequency bins as the large histograms, with different y-axis values. Life assemblage inset (A): Histograms show distribution of live species in the #10% bin across the dead (diagonal stripes) and fossil (white) data sets. Death (B) and fossil (C) assemblage insets: Histogram shows the distribution of dead and fossil species in the .90% bin across the live data set. distribution, with a prominent peak representing species that occurred in #10% of samples. In contrast, death and fossil assemblage occurrence frequencies are bimodally distributed, with large peaks at both ends of the distribution representing species present in #10% and .90% of samples. The distribution of species in the lowest live occurrence category across death and fossil assemblages (Fig. 5A, inset) shows that most species remain in the lowest occurrence categories, but several appear in the highest occurrence category, representing species that are rare in terms of abundance but persistent. In contrast, species constituting the .90% bins for both death and fossil assemblages are somewhat more evenly distributed across the live data set (insets in Fig. 5B,C), indicating that persistent species THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD 53 FIGURE 6. Species occurrence frequency histograms for life assemblage data pooled through time (A) and across space (B). occur in all live occurrence classes. Interestingly, when live data were pooled either through time or across space, a bimodal distribution similar to those for the death and fossil assemblages resulted (Fig. 6). Thus, pooled live data again display patterns comparable to death and fossil assemblages. Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests confirmed that the shapes of the dead and fossil occurrence frequency distributions were indistinguishable (dmax(10,79) 5 3.8, p . 0.50), whereas live data were distributed significantly differently from both (live–dead: dmax(10,64) 5 13.4, p , 0.01; live–fossil: dmax(10,64) 5 15.0, p , 0.005). One possible caveat for interpreting the shape of occurrence frequency histograms is that when values in the expected data set differ markedly from equality (as ours did), the robustness of this test may become unreliable (Pettitt and Stephens 1977). However, with regard to inequality of expected values and the strength of our results, the variability in test p-values reported by Pettitt and Stephens (1977) indicates that it is highly unlikely that this test has misidentified the direction of these relationships. In other words, the variability of p-values is smaller than the offset re- FIGURE 7. Rank-abundance histograms based on live species ranked abundance for life (A), death (B), and fossil (C) assemblage data. Labeled species in 7B and 7C correspond to: a 5 Romecytheridea ampla, b 5 Mesocyprideis irsacae, c 5 Mesocyprideis pila, d 5 Mecynocypria n.sp. 20, e 5 Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa, f 5 Mecynocypria emaciata, and g 5 Mesocyprideis n.sp. 4 (see text for discussion). quired to change the significance of our results. Ranked species-abundance data differ substantially between life assemblages and both death and fossil assemblages (Fig. 7). Spearman’s test of rank correlation (comparing full data sets) reveals significant correlation for all three comparisons, although only the correlation between death and fossil rank-orders is strong (rlive–dead 5 0.552, rlive–fossil 5 0.485, rdead–fossil 5 0.775; p , 0.0001 for all). Only the dead–fossil abundance correlation was consistently and highly significant across comparisons with various numbers of species included (r 5 0.7745–0.9515, p , 0.0001) (Fig. 8). Live– dead rank-abundance comparisons were not significant with up to 20 species included, but 54 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN with 40 or more species included, live–dead rank-order agreement was significant, with rvalues of 20.35 to 0.56. Similarly, live–fossil rank-order results were not significant until 60 species were included in the comparison, with r-values of 20.20 to 0.21 for 40 or fewer species and r-values of 0.44 to 0.48 for 60 or more species. The fact that live–dead and live– fossil rank-order agreement improves with more species included suggests that the rank order of the dominant live species is more mismatched with respect to paleoecological assemblages than the rank order of rarer species. Live–Dead–Fossil Agreement in Species Composition. Fidelity measures for species composition among data sets were generally high (Table 2; range: 53–90%, median: 78.5%). Agreement was closest in percentages of live species also found dead, live species also found as fossils, and fossil species also found dead (range: 77–90%, median: 88%). Appearance of much weaker compositional similarity in the percentages of dead species found also alive, dead species also found as fossils, and fossil species also found alive is largely an artifact of differences in species richness between samples being compared—i.e., when the more species-rich fauna is in the denominator, agreement will necessarily be lower. Interestingly, agreement among species lists decreased when the lists were truncated to include only the more abundant species, again indicating that some rare species belong to the persistent species pool at this location. Percentages of dead individuals that are from species also found alive at the same depth were 98% at 5 m and 87% at 10 m. When FIGURE 8. A, Distribution of p-values for Spearman’s rank-order correlations coefficients for comparisons including different subsets of ranked species (i.e., first ten live ranked species, first 20, etc., up to all 99 taxa). Dashed line across graph represents Bonferroni-corrected significance criterion (a 5 0.0167). B, Spearman’s correlation coefficient (r) values for comparisons of all subsets of data. Symbols: live vs. dead (squares, solid line), live vs. fossil (diamonds, coarse dashed line), dead vs. fossil (circles, fine dashed line). the percentage of dead individuals at 10 m that are only found alive at 5 m was added to the number of dead individuals found alive at 10 m, the agreement increased from 87% to TABLE 2. Fidelity of ostracode death and fossil assemblages to life assemblages, based on pooled samples. For life and death assemblages, all quadrats were pooled across the entire sampling interval (22 months) at each depth separately and with combined depths. For fossil assemblages, all core samples were pooled at each depth and across depths. 5m % % % % % % % % Live species also found dead Live species also found as fossils Dead species also found live Dead species also found as fossils Fossil species also found live Fossil species also found dead Species found in all assemblages Dead individuals also found live 88% 77% 65% 74% 68% 88% 47% (50/57 (44/57 (50/77 (57/77 (44/65 (57/65 (41/88 98% 10 m spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) 80% 90% 53% 76% 68% 86% 44% (39/49 (44/49 (39/74 (56/74 (44/65 (56/65 (38/86 87% Depths pooled spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) 89% 89% 66% 83% 71% 90% 56% (57/64 (57/64 (57/87 (72/87 (57/80 (72/80 (55/99 94% spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) spp.) 55 THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD TABLE 3. Ten most abundant species in life, death, and fossil assemblages at both depths in order of abundance. Numbers in parentheses after species names in death and fossil assemblages represent species rank in life assemblages at the same depth. Asterisks indicate species that are absent alive. Live Dead Fossil 5 m: Allocypria mucronata Cypridopsis n.sp. 6C Cypridopsis n.sp. 18 Allocypria inclinata Cypridopsis n.sp. 6A Romecytheridea tenuisculpta Romecytheridea ampla Allocypria n.sp. 11 Cypridopsis colorata Cypridopsis n.sp. 25 Romecytheridea ampla (7) Mesocyprideis irsacae (15) Mecynocypria emaciata (46) Cypridopsis n.sp. 18 (3) Cypridopsis n.sp. 6A (5) Romecytheridea tenuisculpta (6) Mesocyprideis n.sp. 4 (*) Mesocyprideis pila (28) Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa (42) Cypridopsis n.sp. 23 (16) Mesocyprideis irsacae (15) Romecytheridea ampla (7) Cypridopsis n.sp. 6A (5) Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa (42) Mesocyprideis n.sp. 4 (*) Mesocyprideis pila (28) Gomphocythere curta (13) Cypridopsis n.sp. 18 (3) Mecynocypria emaciata (46) Gomphocythere alata (14) 10 m: Romecytheridea tenuisculpta Romecytheridea longior Allocypria n.sp. 11 Romecytheridea ampla Allocypria inclinata Allocypria mucronata Cypridopsis n.sp. 6C Tanganyikacythere burtonensis Tanganyikacypridopsis n.sp. 8 Cypridopsis n.sp. 25 Mesocyprideis irsacae (16) Romecytheridea ampla (4) Cypridopsis n.sp. 6A (12) Romecytheridea tenuisculpta (1) Cypridopsis n.sp. 18 (38) Mesocyprideis n.sp. 4 (*) Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa (*) Mecynocypria emaciata (*) Mesocyprideis pila (24) Mecynocypria n.sp. 20 (27) Mesocyprideis irsacae (16) Romecytheridea ampla (4) Mesocyprideis n.sp. 4 (*) Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa (*) Cypridopsis n.sp. 6A (12) Gomphocythere curta (30) Mecynocypria emaciata (*) Cyprideis spatula (10) Cypridopsis n.sp. 23 (11) Mesocyprideis pila (24) 99%. This implies a role for down-slope transport in determining the species composition of death and fossil assemblages, at least in shallow water. Fidelity can also be examined by comparing numbers of dominant taxa shared among data sets (Table 3) (Kidwell and Bosence 1991). Agreement among dominant taxa was highest between the dead and fossil data sets, with eight of ten dominant species in common at 5 m and seven of ten shared at 10 m. Live–dead FIGURE 9. Species accumulation curve for core MWA-1. Open squares represent species tallied in subsamples from core interval 0–1 cm. Solid squares indicate cumulative diversity from core interval 7–8 cm through interval 0–1 cm. The logarithmic curve is fitted only to data from the resampled core interval 0–1 cm. agreement was substantially lower, with only four of ten dominants shared at 5 m and only two of ten at 10 m. Finally, the fewest matches occurred between live and fossil species lists, with three of ten matching at 5 m and only one at 10 m. However, agreement between 5 m and 10 m within each data set was quite good. In the live data set, seven of ten dominant taxa were shared. Dead and fossil data sets had nine and eight species, respectively, of ten dominants in common between depths. Analysis of Core Interval Resampling. The species accumulation curve resulting from resampling a single core interval is shown in Figure 9. A total of 2710 individuals were counted, yielding 61 species. The order in which samples were added to the accumulation curve affected the regression equation minimally, and all r2-values were .0.95. Extrapolation of the logarithmic curve to 10,000 individuals yielded an estimate of approximately 66 species, suggesting that .90% of all species in this core interval had been sampled. However, if the curve is extrapolated to the total number of individuals contained in this core interval (ø88,000), the estimated total species richness for the sample is 85, suggest- 56 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN TABLE 4. Occurrence frequency of species in resampled core interval. No. of occurrences 4 3 2 1 No. of species 28/58 12/58 7/58 11/58 (48%) (21%) (12%) (19%) Abundance range Median abundance 0.30–21.0% 0.25–0.60% 0.10–0.25% 0.05–0.25% 2.00% 0.28% 0.20% 0.05% ing that, at our standard sample size of 500, our sampling could be as poor as ca. 50%. Eighty-five species is not an unreasonable number for this location, as 99 species were tallied in the live, dead, and fossil data sets together, although it is unclear that extrapolation to such sample sizes would be robust. In any case, our sample size of 500 was sufficient to have crossed the inflection point on the sampling curve. Total species richness of the resampled core interval is approximately 1.5 times as high as that observed in a similar analysis on another core from Lake Tanganyika (Wells et al. 1999) and can probably be explained by diversity differences between water depths of the cores (40 m in Wells et al. 1999 vs. 10 m here). Species composition comparisons for four samples containing 500 individuals revealed that almost half the species occurred in all four samples (Table 4). Another third of species appeared in two to three samples. Table 5 shows the observed probabilities of detection for species based on their average percent abundance in samples of 500. Except for the $0.65% category, groups contained species with varying numbers of occurrences, as they were grouped by abundance rather than occurrences. All species present in $0.65% abundance fell into the 100% detection probability category, and only species with ,0.21% TABLE 5. Average species abundance versus probability of detection based on resampling a fossil assemblage. Average abundance $0.65% 0.21–0.64% #0.21% No. of species Probability of detection 24/58 (41%) 19/58 (33%) 15/58 (26%) 100% 75% 33% abundance had a ,50% probability of detection. For estimating numbers of unique species, Fisher’s a and x were determined to be 11.2 and 0.994, respectively, for a total species richness of 58 in 2000 individuals (four subsamples of 500). The log-series distribution apparently fits our data well, as the values of a and x changed minimally when calculated with various subsets of the data. Table 6 shows the values for expected number of species in each category, probability of species in each category being present in one additional sample, and predicted number of species from that category to appear in the additional sample. Our results indicate that 28% of the species in each of our samples of 500 may be unique. This is essentially equivalent to the 26% of species present in #0.20% average abundance in Table 5. Comparison of these two results suggests that, on average, only those species represented by a single individual in a subsample of 500 are unlikely to be resampled in an additional tally from the same sample. Ordination. Ordination plots based on DCA of the live–dead–fossil database reveal fairly good separation of live species assemblages at 5 m and 10 m, although some overlap is apparent (Fig. 10A). In contrast, close association of death and fossil assemblages from both depths is evident (Fig. 10A,B), with dead and fossil samples offset from live samples. TABLE 6. Calculation of predicted overlap in species composition among subsamples from the interval 0–1 cm in core MWA-1. pn 5 probability of species in each category occurring in an additional subsample. Observed occurrences No. of species (expected) 1 2 3 4 11.1 5.4 3.5 23.2 Average total S: 43.3 (100%) pn 0.25 0.50 0.75 .0.99 No. of species in new subsample 2.8 2.7 2.6 23.2 Predicted shared S: 31.3 (72%) THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD 57 FIGURE 10. A, Ordination plot of life (solid circles, 10 m; solid squares, 5 m), death (open circles, 10 m; open squares, 5 m), and fossil (open diamonds, 10 m; crosses, 5 m) ostracode assemblages. Mean values for life assemblages at 5 m and 10 m indicated with enlarged gray square and circle, respectively. B, Enlarged view of death and fossil assemblage distribution in 10A. Mean death assemblage values for 5 m and 10 m indicated with enlarged gray square and circle, respectively. Core-top samples from 5 m and 10 m indicated by large gray triangle and diamond, respectively. Other symbols as in 10A. C, Temporal trajectory of monthly quadrat life assemblages at 10 m in ordination space (1A: 3 symbols, dashed lines; 3A: solid inverted triangles, solid lines). For 10C and 10D, the first sample in each quadrat series (i.e., Oct. 1997) is circled, with subsequent sampling months connected in order. Note that scale is enlarged with respect to 10A for clarity. D, Temporal trajectory of monthly quadrat life assemblages at 5 m in ordination space (5A: solid diamonds, solid line; 8A: crosses, dashed line). Indirect gradient analysis indicated that DCA Axis 1 was strongly correlated with the species richness of samples (more negative Axis 1 loadings 5 higher diversity) and with the abundance of dominant taxa (Mesocyprideis irsacae and Romecytheridea ampla for dead and fossil samples [negative loadings on Axis 1 5 higher abundance]; Allocypria mucronata for live samples at 5 m, and Romecytheridea tenuisculpta for 10 m live samples [positive loadings for both on Axis 1 5 higher abundance]). Abundance of these species varies with substrate, with A. mucronata being the only rockyhabitat species among them. These correlates 58 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN of Axis 1 indicate that death and fossil assemblages are offset from life assemblages by virtue of being richer in species and having species compositions reflecting a degree of spatial averaging across habitat type. We interpret Axis 1 to represent dominantly substrate texture/grain size (positive Axis 1 loadings corresponding to coarse-grained [rocky] habitats, negative loadings to fine-grained [sandy, muddy] substrate). DCA Axis 2 was correlated with both depth (higher Axis 2 loadings 5 greater depth) and abundance of dominant taxa. Ostracode substrate index (OSI) values support the interpretation of Axis 1 as related to substrate grain. Average OSI values for death and fossil assemblages (3.1 6 0.9 and 4.2 6 1.0, respectively) are both substantially higher than for life assemblage OSI values (1.7 6 1.6), confirming that fine-grained substrate species comprise a greater percentage of individuals in death and fossil assemblages. The pattern within the live ostracode data set was not simple to interpret. What overlap did occur may be somewhat attributable to lake-level fluctuations and depth preferences of the samples’ constituent ostracode species. Samples from 5 m and 10 m in closest proximity were those from the 5-m locations during high-water months (March–May 1998, Fig. 2B) and from 10-m quadrats in relatively lowwater months (October 1997, July 1999), although this pattern was not consistent throughout the remaining samples. Samples collected from adjacent quadrats (i.e., on the same rock) tended to plot closer together in ordination space, but samples collected from different rocks in the same month were sometimes more similar. Finally, sample series from single quadrat locations tended to follow complex trajectories that frequently ended at a point in ordination space closer to the origination point than many of the intervening samples (Fig. 10C,D). These patterns simply confirm the high degree of spatiotemporal heterogeneity in living ostracode assemblages reported by Cohen (1995, 2000). This heterogeneity is probably caused by numerous factors such as changes in lake level, species population levels in preceding months, and seasonal to inter-annual climate cycles. Dispersion in ordination space of death and fossil assemblages was substantially lower than among live samples. Samples were distributed along both axes, indicating the importance of at least two environmental gradients in determining their species composition (Fig. 10B). Many of the death assemblage samples are so similar to assemblages from core MWA-1 that they are superimposed in ordination space. In general, dead samples had slightly higher loadings on Axis 2 than fossil samples. In both data sets, samples from 10 m have higher loadings on Axis 2 than samples from 5 m, a pattern that matched the results for live samples. Thus, death and fossil assemblages retained relationships observed among the living assemblages with respect to water depth to some extent, although overall sample variability was muted in death and fossil assemblages relative to live samples. Discussion Preservation of Life Assemblage Attributes in Death and Fossil Assemblages. Numerous lines of evidence suggest that both death and fossil assemblages accurately preserve the community structure and composition attributes of the living ostracode fauna at high resolution, despite the fact that spatial and temporal averaging reduce the between-site variability that is characteristic of life assemblages. Species richness of death and fossil assemblages exceeds that of unpooled live richness in quadrats by two- to threefold, although comparable and statistically indistinguishable numbers of species were present alive when temporal replicates of live samples were pooled. According to the pooled live data, minimum estimates for time-averaging of death and fossil samples were on the order of one year. Alternatively, minimum spatial integration seen in death and fossil assemblages was roughly equivalent to several square meters of habitat area. Thus, it appears that death and fossil assemblages have potential to accurately represent the diversity of living ostracode assemblages at annual resolution and a spatial scale of several meters. Species abundance distributions are not significantly different among live, dead, and fossil data sets (Fig. 4). Thus, translation of os- THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD tracode life assemblages into death and fossil assemblages does not appear to introduce significant bias to species-abundance distributions. Ostracode rank-abundance histograms indicate substantial compositional differences between life assemblages and paleoecological assemblages (Fig. 7). Obvious outliers in death and fossil assemblages relative to life assemblages can be accounted for by considering habitat preference, and to a lesser extent, variation in preservation potential of species related to shell thickness. Results of the live ostracode CCA indicated that many of the outlying species in Figures 7B and 7C—Romecytheridea ampla (a), Mesocyprideis irsacae (b), Mesocyprideis pila (c), and Tanganyikacypridopsis depressa (e)—reach their highest abundance in sandy sediment. Mecynocypria emaciata (f) is most abundant in rocky habitats, although it is commonly collected in sandy habitats as well. Mecynocypria n.sp. 20 (d) is a rocky-habitat species but is never very abundant alive (0.064% average abundance in this study, 0.089% average abundance in a larger live database). All five taxa, with the possible exception of M. emaciata, have well-calcified valves relative to many of the cypridoidean ostracode species in Lake Tanganyika. Of the six most abundant live species (with depths pooled, in order [dead and fossil ranks in brackets]: Romecytheridea tenuisculpta [6, 13], Allocypria mucronata [18, 32], Allocypria inclinata [23, 46], Cypridopsis n.sp. 6C [17, 16], Romecytheridea ampla [2, 2], and Romecytheridea longior [16, 19]), the species R. tenuisculpta, A. mucronata, A. inclinata, and C. n.sp. 6C are known primarily from rocky habitats. R. longior is a shallow-water, sandy species, frequently observed as poorly calcified juvenile instars in sediment cores. R. ampla is a shallow-water species common in both rocky and sandy habitats. Of the six most abundant live species, only A. mucronata is relatively poorly calcified. It remains possible that there is some taxonomic bias against the most poorly calcified cypridoidean species. However, the surface waters of Lake Tanganyika are supersaturated with respect to carbonate and are alkaline (pH 8.7–9.2), so carbonate encrustation is a more 59 common phenomenon than dissolution in the well-oxygenated surface waters of the lake. Even thin-shelled ostracode valves are typically found in abundance in sediment cores, although carbonate dissolution is sometimes observed in cores with organic-rich sediments or those collected below the oxycline in Lake Tanganyika. Ordination analyses implicate spatial mixing across habitat types as a likely cause of the disagreement in rank order between life and paleoecological assemblages. Wave action at the depths of the sampling sites is sufficient to transport surface sediments, and thereby the ostracode valves contained in them, over centimeter-to-meter-scale distances (personal observation). The dominance of the rocky–sandy habitat species M. irsacae and R. ampla in both death and fossil assemblages suggests that these species are the dominant species across all habitat types at this locality. The dominant live species (R. tenuisculpta) registers as sixth most abundant dead species and 13th most abundant as a fossil, showing that rocky-habitat species are also well-represented in paleoecological samples from this locale. Although life and death assemblages for this study were collected only from rocky habitat patches at our locality, death assemblages clearly comprised individuals from both the rocky and sandy habitats, the latter of which are more areally extensive at this location. Cores were collected in the silty-sand facies, and ordination indicated that they contained assemblages very similar to the death assemblages. Thus, ostracode death assemblages appear to be spatially integrated to an extent that renders them more representative of the fauna at an entire locality than are individual live samples collected at discrete points in the locality. The similarity between death and recent fossil assemblages suggests that this fidelity is carried through to the paleoecological record as well. The fidelity of microinvertebrate death and fossil assemblages to life assemblages reported here differs in several respects from results of comparable studies on marine macroinvertebrate death assemblages. Kidwell and Flessa (1995) concluded, on the basis of a review of published studies, that in level-bottom set- 60 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN tings, transport out of the immediate life habitat is rare. However, Kidwell (2001b) concludes that molluscs ,1 mm are more prone to postmortem transport out of the life habitat based on a meta-analysis of live–dead studies. We argue here that death and fossil ostracode assemblages are spatially integrated within localities across substrate types. For the purposes of paleoecological reconstruction, we deem this a positive outcome of taphonomic processes, in that it renders the averaged samples more representative of a larger habitat area. Kidwell and Flessa (1995) make a similar argument for the virtues of time-averaging. In marine molluscan assemblages, ‘‘most species with preservable hardparts are . . . represented in the local death assemblage, commonly in the correct rank order abundance’’ (Kidwell and Flessa 1995). Marine mollusc assemblages collected with coarsemesh sieves have reported r-values of 0.54 6 0.05, whereas those collected with fine-mesh sieves tend to show lower rank-order agreement, with r-values of 0.38 6 0.06 (Kidwell 2001b). Rank-order agreement of Tanganyikan ostracode assemblages compares quite favorably to these estimates (rlive–dead 5 0.552, rlive–fossil 5 0.485, rdead–fossil 5 0.775), despite the small size of ostracodes and the large disagreement in ranks of the dominant ostracode species between life and paleoecological assemblages. However, we note that the amount of variability accounted for by the correlation is quite low for live–dead and live–fossil comparisons (r2-values of 0.30 and 0.24, respectively) and is high only in the case of the dead–fossil comparison (r2 5 0.60). Rank-order differences among ostracode life, death, and fossil assemblages probably stem from transport within the locality and homogenization of spatially heterogeneous ostracode populations. Fidelity Metrics. Values obtained for the fidelity metrics of Kidwell and Bosence (1991: Table 1) lend further support to the interpretation that fidelity of ostracode death assemblages to contemporaneously collected life assemblages is quite high. Agreement ranged between 77% and 90% for all comparisons of percentage of live found dead, percentage of live found as fossils, and percentage of fossil species found dead. Agreement was weaker for the complementary comparisons (percentage of dead found alive, percentage of fossil species found alive, percentage of dead found as fossils), ranging between 53% and 83%, because of differences in the total species richness among the data sets. Applying the ‘‘maximum possible agreement’’ correction suggested by Kidwell (2001a) to account for this problem restores the agreement values to those obtained in the first set of comparisons (i.e., ranging between 77% and 90%). This is because the correction to ‘‘maximum possible agreement’’ values involves a conversion from values of ‘‘percentage dead found live’’ back to ‘‘percentage live found dead.’’ Thus, any comparison between data sets using the richness of the smaller fauna in the denominator will inherently be the metric of maximum possible agreement, which is also equivalent to Simpson’s index of similarity (number of species shared divided by the number of species in the smaller fauna [Simpson 1960]). In this case, Simpson’s index equals our values for percentage live found dead, percentage live found as fossils, and percentage fossil found dead. Any estimate of similarity will be influenced by the total species richness of one sample or the other. Using the larger fauna in the denominator only serves as an indirect indicator of the discrepancy of species richness between the two samples. Thus, it seems reasonable to report only the Simpson-equivalent (i.e., maximum) fidelity value in live–dead– fossil comparisons, as the disparity in species richness can be assessed more efficiently by simply comparing numbers of species between samples. Sampling Efficiency. Counting multiple samples from the same core interval allows assessment of the adequacy of sampling for our death and fossil assemblages. Analysis of the data from the resampled core interval indicated that approximately 28% of species in a sample of 500 can be expected to be unique. This corresponds closely with the percentage of species represented by fewer than 0.20% of individuals on average. Therefore, downweighting rare species in ordination analyses is appropriate on the basis of their inconsistent detection in death or fossil assemblages. However, predom- THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD inance of rare species is an important characteristic of Tanganyikan ostracode assemblages (Fig. 4). We would not want to exclude rare species entirely from paleoecological analyses on the basis of incomplete sampling. Indeed, previous studies have suggested that disappearance of rare species from ostracode assemblages can be an important indicator of severe anthropogenic disturbance in adjacent watersheds (Wells et al. 1999). Furthermore, ecological studies have demonstrated the importance of rare species in assessments of ecological integrity at localities (e.g., Cao et al. 1998), and it makes sense to extend this perspective to the paleoecological record wherever possible. Although inclusion of rare species is desirable, it would not serve to place much importance on the particular identities of the rarest species, as their exact composition is likely to change with additional sampling from the same core interval or surface sediment sample. Maximum similarity metrics such as Simpson’s should not surpass 72% on average if none of the predicted unique rare species were shared among samples from the same interval. Despite caveats about the unreliability of detecting rare taxa, observed agreement in pairwise comparisons of samples from interval 0–1 exceeds this value (79% on average), demonstrating greater actual species similarity than predicted. When cumulative species richness from core MWA-1 is superimposed on data from the uppermost core interval (0–1 cm), the trends are indistinguishable (Fig. 9). Rare species appeared at the same rate throughout the core as in the resampled interval, reflecting sampling intensity and the abundance distribution of rare species. This suggests continuity in numbers and abundance of rare taxa through the core. Scaling Issues and Comparability of Fish and Ostracode Community Dynamics. Levin (1992) discussed the importance of crossing scales in ecology to facilitate the prediction of the effects of global environmental change on communities and ecosystems. In this context, the two aspects of scale most frequently addressed are spatial and temporal scales of sampling and analysis. Levin (1992) emphasized that the scales inherent to the observer 61 of the environment are also important, with the observer here being an individual of any species in its environment. Thus, in addition to consideration of objective scales of time and space, investigators should also consider the scale perspective of the organisms under study, as each species’ response to environmental change will be influenced by its life history characteristics, resource requirements, and disturbance responses (Levin 1992). Ideally, ostracodes could be used as paleoecological indicators of the entire benthic community. However, body size differences between ostracodes, larger invertebrates, and fish suggest that organismal scaling issues must be considered. Cohen (2000) discussed the implications of the disparity between fish and ostracode community dynamics in Lake Tanganyika for the application of paleoecological insights to conservation. Nakai et al. (1994) demonstrated the stability of fish assemblages at several locations in Lake Tanganyika for over a decade and attributed this stability to deterministic and highly coevolved species interactions. In contrast, Cohen (2000) described ostracode community dynamics as highly patchy in space and time, at the scale of hundreds of meters, and invoked metapopulation dynamics as the mechanism for the maintenance of ostracode diversity. In our study, species richness rose more steeply when live diversity data were pooled across space than when pooled through time (Fig. 3B). This confirms that spatially heterogeneous patterns in ostracode life assemblages are also borne out at the scale of less than a meter to tens of meters. The shallower rise in the temporally pooled curve implies some degree of stability in the species pool, despite the patchiness of ostracode distributions, and may represent a seasonal succession of species. Cohen (2000) concluded that ‘‘the contrast between cichlid and ostracode diversity structure in space and time suggests that no one taxonomic group is likely to serve as a robust model for how diversity is maintained.’’ Thus, in order to use ostracode paleoecology as a general indicator of benthic community integrity, it is necessary to understand the relationship between fish and ostracode diversity dy- 62 SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN namics. Apparent differences in stability between fish and ostracode communities were equalized to some extent when ostracode death and fossil assemblages were studied instead of life assemblages. Our ordination results indicated that, although overall variability among live samples was quite high, death and fossil assemblage variability was far lower. Death assemblages, which we have shown to preserve spatiotemporally averaged characteristics of live communities with good fidelity, were thus better indicators of the summation of ecological conditions at our locality than single live-collected samples were. In addition, samples in sediment cores were compositionally very similar to death assemblages, suggesting minimal change in the ostracode species pool at this locality during the past few decades. Inter-sample relationships in ordination space were largely determined by the abundance of common taxa. Identity of rare species was less consistent among samples in all data sets, but rare taxa were downweighted and played relatively minor roles in the outcome of the ordination. The reduced variability seen in death and fossil assemblages is thus largely attributable to the influence of common taxa. Lower variation in death and fossil samples supports the notion of stability in the dominant component of the local species pool, despite high spatiotemporal heterogeneity of live populations and the instability of the large proportion of rare taxa in ostracode assemblages. When viewed through death and fossil assemblages, with their inherent spatiotemporal averaging, ostracode community dynamics no longer appear so disparate from those of fish. After thorough consideration of spatiotemporal scaling issues, the question again arises: can ostracodes safely be used as paleoecological indicators of the integrity and function of benthic communities as a whole? Dominant taxa in ostracode assemblages show similar stability to fish assemblages when viewed in time-averaged death or fossil assemblages. One caveat to the utility of ostracodes as indicator taxa for the entire benthos is that ostracodes may have a different response threshold than either fish or molluscs to sed- iment inundation, which is the dominant anthropogenic threat to Tanganyikan habitats and species (Alin et al. 1999). This makes sense, as small-scale influx of sediment may constitute a disruption of habitat or food quality for fish but may simply represent additional food supply to ostracodes. Larger-scale sedimentation changes may render habitat unsuitable for both taxa. Therefore, ostracodes effectively provide a conservative estimator of paleoecological change in the benthic community. For the purposes of ecological monitoring, an investigator would use taxa more susceptible to the environmental impact of interest (e.g., increased sedimentation), in order to detect species responses in a timely fashion. However, for the purposes of reconstructing biodiversity dynamics by using paleoecological assemblages, a conservative indicator decreases the likelihood of falsely interpreting anthropogenic impacts. Novel Contributions of Paleoecological Observations to Conservation Biology. Two observations suggest that sampling death and fossil assemblages provides a more efficient means of gauging the response of ecological communities to natural or anthropogenic environmental change than live sampling alone. First, ordination of live, dead, and fossil data sets showed lower variability among dead and fossil samples than among live samples. Postmortem mixing of ostracode assemblages leaves its signature on the species composition and richness of death and fossil assemblages by integrating assemblage membership across habitat types and through time. Spatiotemporal averaging allows death and fossil assemblages to retain high-resolution information about the ostracode life assemblages that contributed to them, while simultaneously rendering information about the average composition of these communities averaged over short timescales. Second, occurrence frequencies of species indicate which species are ecologically persistent. Some persistent species are rare and would not be identified as persistent on the basis of live sampling. Species occurrence frequencies give us a means of identifying species, using paleoecological data, that may be more likely to recolonize a habitat after a dis- THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD turbance, based on their tendency to recur through time. Wells et al. (1999) observed the disappearance of rare species at a highly disturbed study area following watershed deforestation. Examining the occurrence frequency of species in paleoecological assemblages may provide a predictive tool for identifying components of an invertebrate community that are relatively extinction-prone versus those that are extinction-resistant. Conclusions Death and fossil assemblages of ostracodes in Lake Tanganyika accurately record attributes of living ostracode communities, such as species richness, abundance, and composition. Spatial and temporal averaging of death and fossil assemblages, on scales of less than one to tens of meters and months to years, reduce between-sample variability in species diversity and composition compared with life assemblages. Because death and fossil assemblages represent communities integrated across habitat type and through the vicissitudes of fine-scale ostracode population dynamics, these assemblages are thus more representative of community dynamics at the whole habitat scale than individual live-collected samples can be. Paleoecological sampling of ostracode assemblages therefore should provide a high-resolution tool for analyzing benthic community dynamics through time. Furthermore, paleoecology can generate insights useful for conservation that are not amenable to analysis based on live sampling alone without costly, labor-intensive, and time-consuming effort. Paleoecological analyses can also generate insights into the ecological persistence of individual species whose abundance and stability may not be correlated. Ordination of ostracode fossil assemblage data shows promise as a reliable, informative means of assessing trends in the richness and composition of the benthic community through time. Overall, the sedimentary record of ostracode community dynamics reliably represents the live population at a locality through time. 63 Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge assistance with field collections by C. M. O’Reilly, K. Fadhili, J. Houser, R. Shapola, and A.B. Thompson. We thank the Tanzanian Commission for Science and Technology for research permits; the Tanzanian Fisheries Research Institute and the United Nations Development Program/Global Environmental Facility’s Lake Tanganyika Biodiversity Project for logistical assistance; the National Science Foundation (NSF)/University of Arizona AMS Facility for radiocarbon dates; D. L. Dettman and O. K. Davis for assistance in preparing radiocarbon samples; and C. Birkett at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration for satellite altimetry lake-level data used to calibrate sampling location water depths. We are particularly grateful to S. M. Kidwell, J. B. Bennington, K. W. Flessa, R. Robichaux, and P. N. 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Appendix Species Abundance Data for Life, Death, and Fossil Assemblages Samples identifications are abbreviated as follows: for life and death assemblages (e.g., 1LNo, 1DNo), quadrat number, L for life and D for death assemblage, and a two-letter code for collection month (except J8, July 1998; J9, July 1999); for sediment cores (e.g., MWA-1:0), core number:upper sample interval depth (0, 0–1 cm), lowercase letters denote multiple samples from the same core interval. Species, in columns, are indicated by numbers as follows: 1, Allocypria aberrans; 2, A. cf. aberrans; 3, A. claviformis; 4, A. humilis; 5, A. inclinata; 6, A. cf. inclinata; 7, A. mucronata; 8, A. n.sp. 5; 9, A. n.sp. 10; 10, A. n.sp. cf. 10; 11, A. n.sp. 11; 12, A. n.sp. 17; 13, A. n.sp. 18; 14, A. n.sp. 20; 15, Archaeocyprideis tuberculata; 16, A. n.sp. 2; 17, Cyprideis profunda; 18, C. spatula; 19, C. n.sp. 24; 20, Candonopsis depressa; 21, C. cf. depressa; 22, C. n.sp. 2; 23, C. n.sp. 7; 24, C. n.sp. 8; 25, C. n.sp. 9; 26, C. n.sp. 12; 27, C. n.sp. 15; 28, Cypridopsis bidentata; 29, C. colorata; 30, C. cf. lacustris; 31, C. obtusa; 32, C. serrata; 33, C. n.sp. 5; 34, C. n.sp. 6A; 35, C. n.sp. 6B; 36, C. n.sp. 6C; 37, C. n.sp. 15; 38, C. n.sp. 17; 39, C. n.sp. 18; 40, C. n.sp. 23; 41, C. n.sp. 25; 42, C. n.sp. ; 43, Darwinula stevensoni; 44, cf. Elpidium; 45, Gomphocythere alata; 46, G. coheni; 47, G. cristata; 48, G. curta; 49, G. wilsoni; 50, G. woutersi; 51, G. n.sp. 11; 52, Kavalacythereis braconensis; 53, Mecynocypria complanata; 54, M. cf. complanata; 55, M. connoidea; 56, M. declivis; 57, M. cf. declivis; 58, M. deflexa; 59, M. emaciata; 60, M. opaca; 61, M. parvula; 62, M. subangulata; 63, M. n.sp. 9; 64, M. n.sp. 17; 65, M. n.sp. 19; 66, M. n.sp. 20; 67, M. n.sp. cf 20; 68, M. n.sp. 21; 69, M. n.sp. 22; 70, M. n.sp. 29; 71, M. n.sp. 30; 72, M. n.sp. 31; 73, M. n.sp. cf 32; 74, M. n.sp. 33; 75, M. n.sp. cf 34; 76, M. n.sp. 36; 77, M. n.sp. 37; 78, M. n.sp. 39; 79, M. n.sp. 40; 80, Mesocyprideis irsacae; 81, M. nitida; 82, M. pila; 83, M. n.sp. 2B; 84, M. n.sp. 4; 85, Romecytheridea ampla; 86, R. longior; 87, R. tenuisculpta; 88, Tanganyikacypris matthesi; 89, T. n.sp. 1; 90, Tanganyikacypridopsis acanthodes; 91, T. calcarata; 92, T. depressa; 93, T. n.sp. 3; 94, T. n.sp. 4; 95, T. n.sp. 5; 96, T. n.sp. 8; 97, Tanganyikacythere burtonensis; 98, T. caljoni; 99, T. n.sp. 1. 66 APPENDIX FIGURE 1. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 67 68 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 69 70 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 71 72 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 73 74 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 75 76 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 77 78 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 79 80 Appendix. SIMONE R. ALIN AND ANDREW S. COHEN Extended. THE LIVE, THE DEAD, AND THE VERY DEAD Appendix. Extended. 81