Economic Impacts of Mechanisation and InHouse Renewable Energy Generation and Integration in African CPO Mills R.K. Padi Promoters: Dr. A.F.A Chimphango Prof. J.F. Görgens Fakulteit Ingenieurswese Faculty of Engineering Overview Background Problem Statement Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Conclusion Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa 2 2 Background Oil Palm value chain Study focus area Background Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Conclusions 3 Background African rural CPO processing Dominating traditional Processing (>80 % ) Inherent setbacks of traditional technologies • Lower production capacities • Labour Intensive • Poor product quality Overall low productivity- Mechanisation addresses aforementioned challenges Background Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Conclusions 4 Problem Statement Reasons for less adoption of mechanised units? • Perceived risk on profit margins • Lack of diverse energy • Social acceptance Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 5 Objectives Develop process models for various levels of mechanization in the CPO process Determine the potential contribution of the process biomass residue to its energy demands. To establish the economic impact of mechanization and in-house energy integration in the CPO process Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 6 Modelling Approach • • • • Degree of Mechanisation Organisational level Base-Case Improved Case Energy Integration Schemes Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 7 Simplified CPO process flow diagram Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 8 Process configurations investigated Traditional • • Household scale 110 liters CPO/day Background Semi-Mechanised • • Small-scale 1193 liters of CPO/day Mechanised • • Industrial scale 49287 liters CPO/day Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 9 In-house Energy Generation & Integration Traditional and semi-mechanised • Thermal energies by combusting solid residues in Improved cook stoves Mechanised (steam, hot water & electricity) • Cogeneration of heat and power (CHP) from solid residues (MF, PKS, EFB) • Cogeneration of heat and power from Biogas (POME) Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 10 Cogeneration (CHP) from solid residues • EFB has high moisture (65%) & less combustible • Two scenarios investigated: 1: No EFB addition Background 2: Shredding & drying EFB + conventional fuel Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 11 Cogeneration (CHP) from solid residues • Steam turbine power-to-heat ratio between 0.1 – 0.3 (US EPA, 2007) • Process model developed in Aspen Plus® simulation software • Economic assessment based on Ghana’s year 2014 conditions (Interest rate -24%; Inflation rate -15%) Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 12 Cogeneration (CHP) from solid residues Results Technical Performance Annual rate of generation Scenario 1 Scenario 2 MF (tons/yr) 13141.44 13141.44 PKS (tons/yr) 6836.47 6836.47 EFB (tons/yr) - 45576.46 CPO Process steam (tons/yr) 40884.48(100)* 40884.48(100)* CPO Process hot water (tons/yr) 31074.86(100)* 31074.86(100)* - 161840.62 1654.85(100)* 1654.85(100)* 4705.64 17040.79 EFB drying steam (tons/yr) CPO process electricity (MW/yr) Export electricity (MW/yr) * Values in parenthesis represents percentage of energy demand of the 13 ton FFB/hr CPO mill attained Economic Performance Electricity s.p. of $0.207/kWh Parameters Electricity s.p. of $0.348/kWh Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 -27.96 -55. 91 -22.03 -38.85 0.10 1.42 9.94 12.93 24.8 23.2 15.5 13 NPV (million $) IRR (%) Payback period (yrs) Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 13 Cogeneration (CHP) from solid residues Conclusions • Both Scenarios investigated CAN MEET in-house energy demand with excess electricity for export. • Scenario 1 and 2 did NOT achieve expected IRR of 40%. Scenario 2 (EFB addition) improved the economics from IRR of 9.94% to 12.93% • Realistic electric price at $1.132/kWh and $0.842/kWh for Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 respectively (for IRR of 40%). • Scenarios 1 and 2 attained NPVs of $2.145 million and $1.774 million at grant contributions of 80 and 65% respectively at prevailing power price of $0.348/kWh. Thus both are viable under grant funding. Background Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Conclusions 14 Cogeneration (CHP) from Biogas (POME) • Palm oil mill Effluent (POME) biogas yield of 2.65 - 4.96 m3m-3 day-1 (Yeoh, 2004). • Scenarios investigated: Steam-turbine and Gas-engine routes • CHP process modelled in Aspen Plus® simulation software • Economic assessment based on Ghana’s year 2014 economic conditions (Interest rate -24%; Inflation rate -15%) Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 15 Cogeneration (CHP) from Biogas (POME) • Steam turbine process- similar to solid residue CHP • Gas-engine process Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 16 Cogeneration (CHP) from Biogas (POME) Results Technical Performance Annual rate of generation Gas-engine route Steam turbine route 2073.326 2073.326 2308.198 (5.65)* 11742.602 (28.72)* CPO Process hot water (tons/yr) 29880 (96.16)* - CPO process electricity (MW/yr) 1654.85 (100)* 368.865 (22.29)* 1117 - Biogas (tons/yr) CPO Process steam (tons/yr) Export electricity (MW/yr) * Values in parenthesis represents percentage of actual energy demand by the 13 ton FFB/hr CPO mill attained Economic Performance Electricity s.p. of $0.207/kWh Parameters Electricity s.p. of $0.348/kWh Gas-engine Steam turbine Gas-engine Steam turbine NPV (million $) -6.38 -14.46 -4.71 -14.22 IRR (%) 7.80 -0.77 14.89 0.18 Payback period (yrs) 11.3 14.3 9 13.7 Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 17 Cogeneration (CHP) from Biogas (POME) Conclusions • Gas-engine and steam-turbine NOT meet all in-house energy demand. Gas-engine route attained all process electricity demand with excess for export. • Both routes investigated did NOT attain expected IRR of 40%. Gas-engine route more promising with IRR of 14.9% at $0.348/kWh. • Realistic electricity price at $0.753/kWh and $9.403/kWh for gas-engine route and steam-turbine route respectively (for IRR of 40%) • At power price of $0.348/kWh, Gas engine attained NPV of $158000 at 40% grant; steam turbine NPV of $1.834 million at 90% grant. At $0.207/kWh, gas-engine NPV of $234000 at 60% grant; steam turbine NPV of $576000 at 90% grant. Thus both viable under grant funding. Background Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Conclusions 18 Results of Energy Integration in CPO Processes Energy Intensity (MJ/kg CPO) 40 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 B/C I/C Traditional B/C I/C Semi-mechanised B/C Steam (Biomass residue) Hot water (Biomass residue) Electricity (biomass residue) Electricity (national grid) Diesel oil MF, EFB MF, EFB, residual oil I/C Mechanised Manual energy Wood • Mechanised I/C – adopted CHP solid residue (+EFB) (100% in-house energy attained & competitive power price of $0.842/kWh) • Substituting external energy firewood (traditional), and national grid power (mechanized) with available CPO process biomass residues is feasible. • The highest and least energy intensive processes: semi-mechanized B/C (37.058 MJ/kg CPO) and mechanized B/C or I/C (6.007 MJ/kg CPO) respectively. Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Conclusions 19 0.05 0.04 12 0.03 8 0.02 4 0.01 0 0 Fixed Capital Working Capital 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Utilities Fixed charges O&M Specific capital investment ($/kg) 1.5 1 0.5 0 Specific Production Cost ($/kg) 16 Millions 0.06 Total Production Cost ($/yr) 20 Specific Capital Investment ($/kg) Millions Total Capital Investment ($) Economic Results of CPO Process General expenses Feedstock (delivered) Specific Production Cost ($/kg) • Variation in TCI ranging $4464 - $17.746 million due to difference in capacities • SCI ranging $0.013/kg - $0.055/kg with semi-mechanised level having least range of $0.013 - 0.019/kg while mechanised level attained highest range of $0.053 - 0.055/kg • At B/C scenarios, traditional level’s SPC was higher than the semi- and mechanised level’s by 15.25% and 63.66% and by 31.90% and 42.73% at I/C scenarios respectively. Thus, suggesting a high benefit of economies of scale on the production cost. Background Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives NPV of $18,500,245 & $11,501,445 Conclusions 20 Economic Results of CPO Process 0 -10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 -20 Millions Semi-Mechanised CPO CCF CCF ($) Thousands CCF ($) Traditional CPO CCF 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -30 -0.5 0 -40 2 4 6 Plant life (yrs) 8 10 Plant life (yrs) Base Case Base Case Improved Case Improved Case NPV of -$109,334 & $301,643 NPV of - $ 16,212 & -$10,110 300 200 100 0 -50 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 -100 -150 NB: At minimum selling price of $710/ton CPO -200 -250 0 -100 Thousands 400 NPV ($) Millions CCF ($) Mechanised CPO CCF 0 5 Base Case 10 Plant life (yrs) 15 Improved Case NPV of $18,500,245 & $11,501,445 Background -300 Grant contribution to TCI (%) Semi-mechanised B/C Traditional B/C Traditional I/C Process Results Modelling Approach Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives NPV of $18,500,245 & $11,501,445 Key: CCF –Cumulative Cash Flow NPV- Net Present Value Conclusions 21 Conclusions • For (B/C), only the mechanized process is economically viable with an NPV of $18.5 million and IRR of 47.23%. • For I/C: semi-mechanized and mechanized processes are the economically viable options with IRR of 143% and 40.57% respectively. • Poor performances of traditional- B/C & -I/C and the semi-mechanized B/C mainly due to their unduly high SCI ranging $0.019 – 0.053/kg and SPC between $0.431 – 1.187/kg as they still remained unviable under 100% grant funding • Thus mechanization is economically beneficial in CPO processing • In-house energy from process residue is viable and most promising at semi-mechanized and mechanized levels. Background Problem Statement Scope of Study Objectives Process Modelling Approach Results Evans Chomba, Prof. J. Gorgens and Dr. F. Collard – Stellenbosch University – Stellenbosch, South Africa Conclusions 22 Thank You! Fakulteit Ingenieurswese Faculty of Engineering