RMRS Relation to Severity and Forest Structure The Results Theresa B. Jain Russell T. Graham 2003 National Silviculture Workshop in Granby, Colorado Introduced this study, its design, data collection methods, challenges we were facing, preliminary results Today Background information for context No detailed methods Concentrate on “real” results Trust Me Identify a Simple Relationship Within a Broad Scope Under Extreme Fire Events As a Function of Pre-Fire Forest Structure Predict Burn Severity Unique Feature: Sampling Design For a Particular Fire Physical Setting Weather Forest Structure Randomized Stands Pre-fire forest structure Slope: Physical setting Burning index (weather) Probability sampling # ## # # # ### # ## ## # # # # Fire Behavior # # # # ### # ## # # #### # ## # # # ## ## # # # ### # ### # ## # # # # # ### ## ### # # ## ## # # ## ## ## # # # # ## # # ## # #### ### ## # # # #### # ## # # ## ## # # ## # # ## Burn Severity # # # # # # # # # ## ## # # # # # # # # # ## # ## # # # # # # ## ## # # ## # # # # ## # # # Bitterroot Fires Forests as Vegetation and Fuel Crown fires A. Canopy Plants B. Ladder C. Shrub Surface fires D. Low vegetation Soils E. Woody fuel F. Ground fuels Dead Smoldering fires E. Woody Wood F. Ground A A B C D E E F D Scope and Applicability • 78 fire events 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003 Montana, Idaho, Colorado, Utah, Oregon, Arizona • Data sources Retrospective study Collaboration FIA Wilderness Institute David Pilliod Results As a Function of Pre-Fire Forest Structure Burn Severity Quantifying Burn Severity Classification Issues: • Intensity, fire severity, burn severity definitions are inconsistent • Lumpers, splitters, selectors • No rational for a severity classification • No precedence is set for a consistent way to communicate severity Revisiting and Revising Severity Definitions Severity classes to: • Applicable to management • Synthesize the science • Lumped, split, or selected • Simple to quantify and describe • Visualize Fire Disturbance Continuum Similar to a Silviculture System Pre-Fire Environment Environmental characteristics before the fire Current Condition Fire Environment Post-Fire Response Environment Environmental characteristics during the fire Environmental characteristics after the fire “Fire Intensity” (Fire characteristics) “Burn Severity” What is left “Fire Severity” (Direct effects from combustion process) “First-order fire effects” Disturbance Desired Future Condition The biological and physical response to the environment “Second-order fire effects” Response Soil Burn Severity Pre-Fire Environment Physical setting PVT Soils Surface dead Climate Productivity Erosion potential Time of year Fire Environment Post-Fire Environment Heat Pulse 0 C C O N 0 - 100 S 0 - 177 U M P 50 - 177 T 177 - 400 I O N > 400 CHAR Response Microbes Proportion CHAR Erosion Soil Burn Severity Definition and Classification Levels 1 > 85 surface organic, all char classes 2 40-85% surface organic, all char classes 3 < 40% surface organic, black soil 4 < 40% surface organic, gray/orange soil 5 No surface organic, black soil Dry Forest (PP/DF) 100% 6 No surface organic, Cover 80% gray to orange 60% 40% 20% 0% 1 Rock Mineral Black Humus Unburned 2 3 4 Severity Levels Mineral Orange Mineral Unburned Litter Charred 5 6 Mineral Gray/white Humus Charred Litter Unburned Tree Burn Severity Pre-Fire Environment Tree species Crown ratio Size Surface fuels Live Dead Physical setting PVT Time of year Climate Fire Environment Flame Length Feet 0-2 2-4 4-8 S C O R C H 8 - 12 Crown Bole > 12 Dead Post-Fire Environment Response Green crown Bole alive Vertical Horizontal Harvest Mortality Beetle Needle input Habitat Hydrologic Beetle Tree Burn Severity and Classification • Green: needles present and green • Mixed: partial green crowns • Brown: Needles present but brown • Black: no needles left Plot Dist. 100% Black 80% Brown 60% Mixed 40% 20% Green 0% Dry Mixed Severity: most of the observations Fire and silviculture science > 30 % residual crown ratio alive < 30 % residual crown ratio alive Moist Forest Type Cold 5 Levels of Tree Burn Severity 40% 20% 0% Dry Green > 30% crown ratio Cold < 30% crown ratio < 30% crown ratio Brown 80 Green > 30% crown ratio < 30% crown ratio Brown Black 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Dry Moist Forest Type Cold Black Low Bole Scorch Height Height (feet) 100 > 30% crown ratio Moist Forest Type Post-Fire Crown Ratio Left Alive Green 80% 60% Green Mixed Green > 30% Mixed Brown < 30% Brown Black % Crown Ratio Plot Dist. 100% Dry Moist Forest Type Cold Results As a Function of Pre-Fire Forest Structure Burn Severity Components Used in Predicting Burn Severity as a Function of Forest Structure • Soil severity: lumped 6 levels into 3. 1: Levels 1 and 2 (litter cover > 40%) 2: levels 3 and 4 (litter cover < 40%) 3: levels 5 and 6 (no litter) • Tree Severity: 1: Green 2: Mixed green 3: Lumped mixed brown and brown 4: Black Forest Structure and Physical Setting • Forest Structure Summarize to a patch, stand, or plot level Readily available and supported - FFE-FVS Use tree list - FVS output Added canopy base height, cover • Physical setting All soil and tree burn severities occurred on all aspect, slope, elevation, etc. Particular fire - location Dry, moist, or cold forest type • Weather – simulation (not today) Classification Tree Interactions More Important Fire Canopy Base Ht Green Surface Mixed Green Brown Density Green Less Important Black Structure Characteristics Related to Burn Severity in Order of Importance 1) Place – Particular fire or fires Reflected vegetation classification (Potential vegetation type) 2) Relative stand age 3) Pre-fire crown ratio or crown base height 4) Surface fuels 5) Density Value of an Interaction Soil Burn Severity • Set of fires (Northern Rocky Mountains) • Crown ratio (>35 %) canopy base heights (15 to 23 feet) • Set of fires • Cover (> 96 %) > 40% organic horizons mineral soil dominated by black char “low soil burn severity” 0.61 probability of being correct Stem Exclusion Vegetation Structural Stage Soil Burn Severity No. of Obs. 30 > 40% litter 20 < 40 % litter No litter 10 0 Dry Moist Cold Forest Type Tree Burn Severity No. of Obs. 25 Green Mixed green Mixed brown Brown Black 20 15 Combination of Effects Soil Burn Severity 10 5 0 Dry Moist Forest Type Cold Soil Burn Severity – High No litter, gray mineral soils 0.70 probability of being correct • < 30 % cover • Large Trees (>70 ft) • Canopy Base Ht > 30 feet Douglas-fir/Ninebark Canopy Base Height Green Tree Burn Severity 0.79 probability of being correct • • • • Set of fires Canopy Base Height < 5.3 feet Had some tall trees Up to 450 to 2000 trees per acre GF PVT Kootenai NF, MT Density and Canopy Base Heights Black Tree Burn Severity 0.49 probability of being correct • Set of fires • Canopy Base Height > 3.8 feet 5.8 ft CBH 58% avg. cover • Some observations: Hayman Fire No. of Obs. - Open grown trees have low crown base heights - Grass or shrubs grow underneath 60 Green Mixed green Mixed brown Brown Black 50 40 30 20 10 0 Dry Moist Forest Type Cold Key Points • Not all fires burn the same • Fuels are live vegetation • Consider all forest characteristics Canopy base heights Surface fuels Density • Stand dynamics and development Silviculture System • Desired future condition – after a wildfire occurs, what do you want the forest to look like • PVT – growth and development • Integrate all vegetation – not just trees • Disciplines are equal • We can provide scientific results • But the ART of Silviculture will make the difference