Costs of Landscape Silviculture for Fire and Habitat Management

advertisement
Costs of Landscape
Silviculture for Fire and
Habitat Management
Issue
Understanding how silvicultural
treatments affect various
landscape objectives in fireadapted ecosystems.
? Landscape Silviculture ?
Treatments applied to a stand but
evaluated collectively for many stands
over an entire area (aka a landscape)
Study Location
WA
MT
O
R
ID
W
Y
N
V UT
CO
CA
AZ
NM
ND
SD
National Silviculture Workshop
2001
Landscape Description
Fslscape.shp
10ofms
10secc
10seoc
10si
10ur
10yfms
11secc
11ur
11yfms
13secc
13seoc
13si
13ur
13yfms
18secc
(1:12,000 photo interpretation 1995)
N
Methods
•Simulate forest structure with FVS over 30 years
with and without treatments
•Optimize treatment schedules to evaluate
tradeoffs in FTR and LSF structure
0
•Evaluate effects of financial constraints on the two
landscape objectives
•Evaluate how wood removals contribute to
covering treatment costs
Stand Types
0.05%
cool/moist
TSHE
Ø
Ø
Vegetation
type
(0.07%)
(2.3%)
(1.83%)
Ø
Ø
(21%)
(0.25%)
Ø
cool/moist
ABLA
cool/moist
PSME/ABGR
warm/dry
PSME/ABGR
Ø
(2.3%)
Ø
(4.3%)
(0.3%)
Ø
Ø
(7.4%)
(2.3%)
(4.6 %)
(50%)
(2.3%)
SI
SEOC
SECC
UR
YFMS
Structure class
(3.4%)
OFMS
Data
Strata = 15
Simulation units = 330
Sample plots = 327
Owl sites = 6
(6070 hectares)
Landscape Trends- no Rx
90
80
% Gotchen reserve
70
LSF
highfire
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001
2011
year
2021
Simulation (3 Rx, 30 yr)
ProtectRx
RestoreRx
ReduceRx
Optimization
1500 ac; mixed Rx,
some LSF
Tradeoffs
All ac; mixed Rx
FTR
FTR
1500 ac; mixed Rx
750 ac; mixed Rx
+
750 ha; 10” dbh Rx
No ac or Rx
+
LSF
LSF
17000
Finances
No LSF
Constraint
Total FTR
16500LSF
Constraint
16700 LSF
Constraint
17000 LSF
Constraint
Strict LSF
Constraint
None
$0
$0.5M
$1.0M
$1.45M
$1.5
+
Total LSF
+
Treatment Mixtures
no$ no null values
1600
1400
1200
unconstrained NPV
acres treated
1000
RestoreRx
800
ProtectRx
ReduceRx
600
Restore Rx
400
200
0
Decade1
Decade2
Decade3
time
0$ no null
700
Protect Rx
600
breakeven NPV
hectares treated
500
400
RestoreRx
ProtectRx
ReduceRx
300
200
100
0
Decade1
Decade2
Decade3
time
1.5M constraint no null values
1600
1400
1200
1000
RestoreRx
acres treated
$1.5 million NPV
ProtectRx
ReduceRx
800
600
400
200
0
Decade1
Decade2
time
Decade3
Reduce Rx
Trees “cut” (Breakeven NPV)
Diameter distribution (breakeven)
Number of trees cu
DF
GF
PP
LP
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
<7"
7-16"
2001
16-22"
<7"
7-16"
2011
16-22"
<7"
7-16"
2021
16-22"
Volume “harvested”
Volume by diameter class (breakeven)
breakeven
Thousand cubic fee
<7"
7-16"
16-22"
80
60
40
20
0
2001
2011
2021
Volume by diameter class (1M)
<7"
Thousand cubic fee
earn $1M
7-16"
16-22"
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001
2011
2021
Tree diameter x age
DBH = -0.212 + 0.194 AGE
R2 = 0.66, MSE= 5.88, p < 0.0001
n= 579 (Abies grandis)
District Decision (ROD 2004)
Integrated Resource Contract
• Timber Sale + Stewardship Contract
Appraised timber value (lump-sum)
-haul costs, logging and road maintenance
-brush disposal (per/acre)
-K-V
=net value (minimum bid)
Implementation Headaches
•Bidder risk aversion
•Marking guidelines
•Per acre treatment costs
•Newness of contract and
appraisal process
•Stewardship projects tied to
appraisal value
Summary
•
Fire threat (FT) increased over 30 years
without treatment
•
Fire threat reduction (FTR) was more a
function of the number of acres treated
than it was a function of treating LSF
•
Increasing NPV requirements imposed
increasing costs on the reserve objectives
of FTR and LSF
•
In landscape treatments that generated
revenue to offset implementation costs
wood volume came mainly from 7-16”
grand fir
Summary
•
The potential conflict between owl habitat and fire
management in the Gotchen LSR was related to the
acreage goal for LSF structure (ca. 40%).
•
Approach could be used for other non-market objectives
that can be defined structurally
For more information:
Susan Stevens Hummel shummel@fs.fed.us
Cooperators: Drs. Jim Agee, Jamie Barbour, David
Calkin and the USDA Forest Service Gifford Pinchot
National Forest and Mt. Adams Ranger District
Landscape Planning
Download