Costs of Landscape Silviculture for Fire and Habitat Management Issue Understanding how silvicultural treatments affect various landscape objectives in fireadapted ecosystems. ? Landscape Silviculture ? Treatments applied to a stand but evaluated collectively for many stands over an entire area (aka a landscape) Study Location WA MT O R ID W Y N V UT CO CA AZ NM ND SD National Silviculture Workshop 2001 Landscape Description Fslscape.shp 10ofms 10secc 10seoc 10si 10ur 10yfms 11secc 11ur 11yfms 13secc 13seoc 13si 13ur 13yfms 18secc (1:12,000 photo interpretation 1995) N Methods •Simulate forest structure with FVS over 30 years with and without treatments •Optimize treatment schedules to evaluate tradeoffs in FTR and LSF structure 0 •Evaluate effects of financial constraints on the two landscape objectives •Evaluate how wood removals contribute to covering treatment costs Stand Types 0.05% cool/moist TSHE Ø Ø Vegetation type (0.07%) (2.3%) (1.83%) Ø Ø (21%) (0.25%) Ø cool/moist ABLA cool/moist PSME/ABGR warm/dry PSME/ABGR Ø (2.3%) Ø (4.3%) (0.3%) Ø Ø (7.4%) (2.3%) (4.6 %) (50%) (2.3%) SI SEOC SECC UR YFMS Structure class (3.4%) OFMS Data Strata = 15 Simulation units = 330 Sample plots = 327 Owl sites = 6 (6070 hectares) Landscape Trends- no Rx 90 80 % Gotchen reserve 70 LSF highfire 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2011 year 2021 Simulation (3 Rx, 30 yr) ProtectRx RestoreRx ReduceRx Optimization 1500 ac; mixed Rx, some LSF Tradeoffs All ac; mixed Rx FTR FTR 1500 ac; mixed Rx 750 ac; mixed Rx + 750 ha; 10” dbh Rx No ac or Rx + LSF LSF 17000 Finances No LSF Constraint Total FTR 16500LSF Constraint 16700 LSF Constraint 17000 LSF Constraint Strict LSF Constraint None $0 $0.5M $1.0M $1.45M $1.5 + Total LSF + Treatment Mixtures no$ no null values 1600 1400 1200 unconstrained NPV acres treated 1000 RestoreRx 800 ProtectRx ReduceRx 600 Restore Rx 400 200 0 Decade1 Decade2 Decade3 time 0$ no null 700 Protect Rx 600 breakeven NPV hectares treated 500 400 RestoreRx ProtectRx ReduceRx 300 200 100 0 Decade1 Decade2 Decade3 time 1.5M constraint no null values 1600 1400 1200 1000 RestoreRx acres treated $1.5 million NPV ProtectRx ReduceRx 800 600 400 200 0 Decade1 Decade2 time Decade3 Reduce Rx Trees “cut” (Breakeven NPV) Diameter distribution (breakeven) Number of trees cu DF GF PP LP 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 <7" 7-16" 2001 16-22" <7" 7-16" 2011 16-22" <7" 7-16" 2021 16-22" Volume “harvested” Volume by diameter class (breakeven) breakeven Thousand cubic fee <7" 7-16" 16-22" 80 60 40 20 0 2001 2011 2021 Volume by diameter class (1M) <7" Thousand cubic fee earn $1M 7-16" 16-22" 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2011 2021 Tree diameter x age DBH = -0.212 + 0.194 AGE R2 = 0.66, MSE= 5.88, p < 0.0001 n= 579 (Abies grandis) District Decision (ROD 2004) Integrated Resource Contract • Timber Sale + Stewardship Contract Appraised timber value (lump-sum) -haul costs, logging and road maintenance -brush disposal (per/acre) -K-V =net value (minimum bid) Implementation Headaches •Bidder risk aversion •Marking guidelines •Per acre treatment costs •Newness of contract and appraisal process •Stewardship projects tied to appraisal value Summary • Fire threat (FT) increased over 30 years without treatment • Fire threat reduction (FTR) was more a function of the number of acres treated than it was a function of treating LSF • Increasing NPV requirements imposed increasing costs on the reserve objectives of FTR and LSF • In landscape treatments that generated revenue to offset implementation costs wood volume came mainly from 7-16” grand fir Summary • The potential conflict between owl habitat and fire management in the Gotchen LSR was related to the acreage goal for LSF structure (ca. 40%). • Approach could be used for other non-market objectives that can be defined structurally For more information: Susan Stevens Hummel shummel@fs.fed.us Cooperators: Drs. Jim Agee, Jamie Barbour, David Calkin and the USDA Forest Service Gifford Pinchot National Forest and Mt. Adams Ranger District Landscape Planning