A PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCIAL DREAM: NEW YORK'S BATTERY PARK CITY DEVELOPMENT by Thomas Kurt Oppenheim Bachelor of Arts Dartmouth College 1983 SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF URBAN STUDIES & PLANNING IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE DEGREE MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT AT THE MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY SEPTEMBER 1990 Thomas Kurt Oppenheim 1990 The Author hereby grants to M.I.T. permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. I Signature of the author -- f ' &ppenheim Th& &urt Oppenheim Department of Urban Studies and Planning July 27, 1990 Certified by 'Lynne/S. Xiagalyn Associate Professor, De$)rtment of Urban Studies and Planning Thesis Supervisor Accepted by ) Gloria Schuck Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development S MSSAC 3F TLo SI NS Tr SEP 19 1990 LIBRARIES i A PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCIAL DREAM: NEW YORK'S BATTERY PARK CITY DEVELOPMENT by Thomas Kurt Oppenheim Submitted to the Department of Urban Studies & Planning on July 27, 1990 in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the degree Master of Science in Real Estate Development at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology ABSTRACT This thesis analyzes the financial aspects of the Battery Park City Development (BPC), a massive 92-acre urban complex containing the World Financial Center, over 4,000 units of residential living, and numerous public parks and open space areas. The framework for the capital structure involves a complex series of partnerships between the public and private sector as well as between the City and State of New York. The evolution of these arrangements and, in particular, the various contractual obligations and risks of the public sector, are examined to reveal how this large-scale real estate development blossomed from the early years of financial disaster to the highly successful monetary levels it has obtained today. A financial model has been composed that simulates the current BPC flow of funds to estimate, given conservative revenue projections, the magnitude of future resources that will become available to the City and the State for uses other than the project itself. Additionally, the impact of varying economic conditions on BPC's capital structure is examined to prove the strength of the project's financial capacity to withstand significant downturns in the local economy and changing New York tax policy. The paper concludes by answering what government entity has gotten what funds for what purpose, and who can be expected to receive the tremendous benefits the project will generate in the future. The potential risks, if any, that lay ahead for the public sector are outlined to confirm the unlikelihood financial trouble will ever invade the Battery Park City Development again. Thesis Supervisor: Lynne B. Sagalyn Title: Associate Professor, Department of Urban Studies and Planning To my father, Edgar R. Oppenheim A PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCIAL DREAM: NEW YORK'S BATTERY PARK CITY DEVELOPMENT ABSTRACT.................................................. 2 LIST OF EXHIBITS.........................................5 CHAPTER ONE - INTRODUCTION...............................6 CHAPTER TWO - THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE: A PROCESS OF EVOLUTION.................................11 The Partnership(s) Arrangement.............11 Anticipated Lead Time.....................13 Problems with Initial Plan................15 Fiscal Crisis and Reformulation...........16 Benefits of the New Capital Structure.....21 New Era Of Financial Health................22 Leveraging Lease Revenues.................25 Spreading The Wealth......................27 CHAPTER THREE -LEVERAGING THE BENEFITS OF PRIVATE DEVELOPMENT...............................32 From Lease Revenues to Bonded Debt........35 Modelling The Flow of Funds................41 Testing The Sensitivity Of Revenue Flows..53 CHAPTER FOUR - ALTERNATIVE FUNDING FOR THE $600 MILLION HOUSING COMMITMENT................64 Counting on Borrowed Money................65 Recommendation............................79 CHAPTER FIVE- CONCLUSIONS AND SPECULATION................83 Who Benefits?.............................84 Risks Ahead...............................97 NOTES .................................................. 102 APPENDIX A - BASE-CASE SCENARIO COMPLETE FINANCIALS.....107 APPENDIX B - ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO COMPLETE FINANCIALS... 114 LIST OF EXHIBITS Chart 2.1 - Capital Structure of BPCA (1968-1990). .......31 Chart 3.1 - Flow Of Funds. ....................................... 37 Figure 3.2- Summary Of Base Case Scenario........... .... 46 Graph 3.3 - Application Of Revenues................. .... 51 Figure 3.4- Comparison Of Sensitivity Analysis...... .... 56 Graph 3.5 - Application of Revenues (Between Scenari os).58 A&C Funding From Excess Revenues........ .... 59 Chart 4.1 - Base Case Scenario (Flow Chart)......... .... 66 Chart 4.2 - Alternative Scenario (Flow Chart)....... .... 67 Figure 4.3- Comparative Analysis (With A&C vs. W/Out A&C)................ .... 69 Graph 3.6 - Graph 4.4 - Funding $600 Million Housing Program...... .. 72 Graph 4.5 - Base Case Scenario (Components of Funding) .. 74 Graph 4.6 - Alternative Scenario(Components of Funding ).76 Graph 4.7 - Freed Monies Due To Leveraging............ .. 78 Figure 5.1- Sources and Uses of Bonds Issued By BPCA.. .85 .89 Figure 5.2- Future Sources and Uses of Funds.......... Figure 5.3- Combined Current and Future Sources/Uses.. .92 Graph 5.4 - Who Benefits From BPC Funds?.............. .94 CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION Battery Park City development as Most people view the display prestigious commercial residential high-rent towers and with beauty architectural of a wonderful Today, the project consists of more than 6 million living. square feet of "electronically towers ranging from 33 to in height Over 280,000 space surround an 18,500-square-foot square feet of retail Garden", the "Winter areas for open eating and two 51 stories, house" buildings. nine-story octagonal "gate atrium, smart" office space in four containing restaurants everyone. and spectacular public This space opens onto the North Cove harbor which has become the place resting a 3.5-acre Additionally, River provides found in other of yachts for the rich Manhattan often not fresh air that is developments. residential The the project, currently located components of Hudson facing the public plaza the breath of famous. and to the south of the World Financial Center complex, are comprised of two phases: the Gateway close to Plaza 4,000 rental and Rector Place. Combined, housing and condominium units have future plans to provide 10,000 been sold or occupied, with additional housing commercial and effectively units in the next residential components connected by a few of the years. The project are partially completed 1.2-mile riverfront esplanade and strategically located public parks and open space. underway. 30-acre park are currently create a the Future plans to complete the esplanade and traditional flavor exudes consistent architecture project, entire of New Throughout the successfully connects York and quality and beauty into one force. This massive extension of be a constant reminder of how responsive city planning and What development. real estate breed a successful measures can urban design lower Manhattan will always cannot be eye, the visible to seen however, are the financial arrangements that have made this structure because it and creative economic changing project. project conditions and persisted over that have a pliable formation represents (BPC)'s capital Park City important, Battery Certainly as a reality. "9th" wonder demands of has met the opportunities emerging year history the twenty of the As tomorrow nears, the monetary benefits that the promises to provide will itself and benefit other areas the project spill over In an attempt of the City. to ascertain these benefits, this paper focuses on the real hidden treasure of Battery Park City - - its financial structure. As a professional in New York during most of the 80's, took me directly past the 92-acre my daily commute to work BPC project. My initial recollection barren, the exceptions Gateway Plaza, and another. structures As the being one the embryonic years comprising the was of a site nearly residential construction stages progressed, World building, however, Financial the Center of four and several residential projects took full shape as they neared During this six-year period, questions I often completion. responsible? are not simple. financially, and as undergone change result the a As these nagging questions been successful, has not always The BPC was and if so, for whom? Does it make money, imagined, the answers to could be Who take? it long did How whom? By financed? enormous undertaking get how did such an asked myself was has capital structure project finally numerous times until the found itself on firm footings. answers "who? and how?" the Chapter Two of this paper examining in-depth the composition project was financed by of the chapter capital traces of Battery structure the events shaping money was raised to finance history, starting in 1972 when the activity up initial landfill budget deficit Additionally, a to date. most recent that took the project's financial failures place provide insight for and successes to today's The pivotal events bond issue. financial BPC's the This City. Park close examination of the critical partnership arrangements between the public and State and how and private sector, the City of New more monstrous goals the outlined with each to reveal form BPC the understanding of York, provides an Authority set out to Finally, the changing risks and achieve were accomplished. rewards interestingly between the of how a capital large-scale structure are development like of whether "the Battery Park City is financed. Chapter Three answers the question project revenue the project. of capacity diving into the determine the to capital structure the of intricacies by for whom?" and makes money current the Meeting project and other programs to financial obligations of the which the public sector is committed is an integral part of the analysis. this chapter examines available to the City and State flowing future resources revenue stream thrown off from the strong With a the Additionally, model of simulation by the project. the exact designed to imitate analyze the impact of varying economic flow of funds I can conditions on BPC's capital My objective is to structure. demonstrate the strength of the project's financial success today and its probable success in the future. Chapter Four financial arrangement the the final phase City. low-and of rehabilitation a $1 of $600 cash, in million questions of its portion financial alternative scenario - - program for in the moderate-income units specified annual this housing billion be funded. rather the way it is to pay the BPCA committed to fund at question, but of the program is not The purpose the BPCA State, and City, the In 1989, recently agreed upon. particularly novel examine a pauses to The BPCA has agreed to meet the installments, to obligation. decision leveraging and This chapter examines an funds to meet the same monetary objectives. Finally, in Chapter Five question by what funds looking at for what I answer the "who benefits?" what government entity purpose, and who can be has gotten expected to receive the future. In concluding, I will outline the potential risks, if any, that benefits the project will lay ahead for the various generate in the public and private partners involved with the project. By the end, the financial current fiscal workings inner become quite process: this heralded acclamations it has Yorkers clear to me and project the tremendous its expectations. One early in deserves received to date, and visitors alike monetary rewards venture has seemingly achieved. 10 the research of all the The view more. daily see aesthetically pleasing urban complex - by project, BPC of the objectives and monetary fact did New solid understanding of one should have a - - an is equally matched this public/private CHAPTER TWO PROCESS OF EVOLUTION THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE: A chapter outlines This time in examination of is examined sectors were formed the public and private as the risks as well Chart at stages various the at 2.1 key events illustrates the end sources and provides a financial in the of this chapter the capital that helped shape BPC. It also outlines structure of the security close A the integral partnerships that undertook process. evolved over environments. changing to response the structure of how it (BPC) and City Project Battery Park the capital all financings and visualization the of financial framework as it is discussed in this chapter. The Partnership(s) Arrangement From the earliest conceptual stages of BPC, the politicians behind planners and capital structure built upon envisioned a the project two partnerships that would create the landfill/site and act as master developer of the project: a public/public partnership (the City) and the public/private State of between New York City New York arrangement between (the State) a newly created state Authority and any potential private developers. sector was to and the be responsible for the creation infrastructure while the private and a The public of the land sector would undertake the risk of developing the commercial and residential components of the project. The Battery Park City New York Legislature in Authority (BPCA) created by the 1968 was the first action taken towards these goals.[1] The following year the City, as the lease with BPCA a 99-year ground the site, entered into owner/landlord of this structure, the Under as the tenant. City, as owner of the site, had significant responsibility for development of planning and the project. The State planned to provide financial support by lending its "moral" on any obligation bonds while the project was Any bonds in its non-revenue generating phase. issued by the and credit of full faith landfill finance the issued to not be backed BPCA would by the not absent the State (and could approval by a majority of voters in a state-wide election), therefore the State's promise would be moral progressed, both enter private the City into sector commercial and newly created BPCA, partnership would developers who residential projects on accordance with the 1969 BPC Master Plan. predominated in this original plan offices that were to become the success took secondary priority. for non-prime location in the project anticipated that and the State various the As legal.[2] than sector, acting through the the public would rather to assure any debt repayment agreements with construct the the in Residential uses while the core of site commercial BPC's financial Small in size and planned distant southern part of the site, the commercial zone was considered an orphan. At partnerships the with the of the developing be to ability its on hinged project all failure of success or the future revenue-producing uses, the were taking not would BPCA the Since risks associated with the creation pre-development risks land. was sector public The evident. initial project's the point this into enter Conversely, private sector. the private sector's involvement in the project depended on the to create the enormous BPCA's initial financial commitment is This site. large-scale private entity to 92-acres of new often too is projects necessary it was major with development for for great Thus, in the case digest. land, dilemma cost of land the upfront developments as such common a often any of BPC, with for the public risk of creating the site and sector to assume the initial installing the infrastructure without any definite prospect of subsequent development. Anticipated Lead Time In 1972, the BPCA (the Authority) issued $200 million bonds to fund landfill/foundation in tax-exempt to provide $6 million in funds to repay costs and the State for advances made to the project from 1969 through 1972.[3] The bonds were backed Authority and a future by the pledge of all lease developers. The obligation general of the payments derived from State's moral obligation to pay debt service if revenues from the project were insufficient in any one year, was also required to provide the necessary security demanded by investors. obligated on the payment made available if would be principal were due interest obligations capitalized to of $14.3 measure, a principal in 1980, eight and years after payments for interest service. meet debt account was funded from bond year principal hopefully, revenues from the project be sufficient security significantly did first The targeted interest was until that time when, would unusual for Approximately $40.5 million in bonds. the issuance of the it of issue, thereby creating a greater burden. service delayed significant amount however, increase the size of the debt with structured included a financings, the years of the early This technique was not capitalized interest. future be met were bonds 1972 payments and municipal debt service could not revenues in lack of the project, monies Additionally, to compensate for the from project revenues. anticipated that such was explicit bonds, it for appropriations budgetary annual make to Although the State was not debt service million final As a reserve proceeds, enough to cover one Additionally, and interest. it was expected that interest earned an all unused proceeds (i.e., capitalized construction fund) would also be fund, reserve account, interest used for the and payment of interest during the initial years.[4] With this financial structure to cover the bonds could initial development sustain an 8-to- 9 the State had a cushion risks because year period the 1972 before Unfortunately, no project-generating revenues were needed. one would have ever expected that it would take more than to see the first dollars trickle in from an entire decade the project. Problems With the Initial Plan There were several inherent problems with the initial structure capital of BPC. the development of Much was subject to onerous and lengthy zoning regulations that only the delayed bonds. by 1981 to meet it took longer to likely revenues would not be develop the project, the more available The approvals process. payments on debt service the This fact alone increased the financial risk of the residential development because the be a natural extension development, however, emphasized plan initial the Additionally, State. project was thought to of the City southward. Residential a significant was as not viewed revenue producer of real estate taxes, a key revenue source of it City, while the was well known development would produce substantial City. Thus, from a fiscal commercial that tax revenues for the perspective, the initial emphasis on residential uses was suspect as the best use of the site. Finally, in the original plan no significant tax incentives (tax abatements) were contemplated as entice private sector development on the site. for this are unclear, drawing residential however, without 15 The reasons them the investment downtown, to a way to task of Wall Street's the all was turf, commercial well-established more difficult. internal flaws caused dissention In retrospect, these between the State The the City. and State its with substantial financial exposure was, in effect, at the mercy of the the for marketing BPC to potential State desperately needed a tax of difficulty the developers was heightened. 1980, and revenues by weak any proper of sector, private with Coupled lack and the plan revenue-producing incentives process. planning City's The both the City and State shared the potential political embarrassment if by that visible development. Unfortunately, this is market real estate exactly what years as the persistence the next ten happened over weak land void of any time all that existed was raw added to the mounting of a problems facing the project. Fiscal Crisis and Reformulation The Project is Empty: From 1974 to 1979, the City and State experienced a and fiscal crisis ensuing fiscal national recession. for housing and caused by troubles, Economic exacerbated by City while abnormally hopes of the private sector for prospective reasonable financing As a result, no private development broke 1969 and The 1980. a decline curtailed the demand office space in the high interest rates dashed any obtaining a crisis NYC's overspending site, landfill 16 projects. ground between completed in 1976, were future revenues for prospects vacant and remained bleak. In combined with borrowing limited BPCA legislation of construction constituted part housing the on authorization that was passed in of middle development state other on dependence project $400 million housing of a of a The capping the $200 to preparation, and $85 for site already issued the borrowing. on all state agency statutory cap the recent enactment the to led notes, anticipation by Corporation (UDC)'s of the Urban Development 1975 default fund audit conducted thrashing Arthur Levitt State Comptroller bond a more apparent, becoming State of the financial problems 1976, with, the million million for (this area mortgage bond 1973 to allow the BPCA to housing income agencies).[5] without action This officially ended future State commitments to the project in the of form capacity of ceased. as obligation bonds moral the BPCA with any form of future bonding general obligation The future of the project looked hopeless, and the 1972 bonds appeared headed for default. "Moral" Obligation Bonds In Danger: By the the first principal repayment on became evident that no income late 1970s, as the 1972 bonds neared, it would be forthcoming to meet the $14.3 million annual debt service requirement. Default developments under seemed likely as potential consideration, such as the proposed American Stock Exchange building, could not generate sufficient revenues in a fashion. timely with negotiations Additionally, the Housing of Urban Development (HUD) to provide insurance for proposed residential the first financing of bond phase, which further contributed to Gateway Plaza, were faltering the reality that revenues were nonexistent. The 1972 bonds were thought to have been structured in that generate sufficient However, by repayment was not permissible financing. and interest Since principal would dry up. earnings on unused proceeds use of a the capitalized 1980, to project the to support revenues year the time for ample provided a manner from bond proceeds, only the default on the one-year reserve fund could delay bonds and then, only for one year. were trading at a significant By late 1979, the bonds as its credit serious issue.[6] Investor hopes of restructuring. the bonds partnerships with the likelihood over a confidence was shattered, and saving the project required major to as whether to into several-year State having period was a 18 As no solid evolved to date, to support likely needed since the project financial danger! officials should default. the private sector had of the bailout plan was go be should monies debt service or whether appropriated for allow a Significant decisions had to be made by the Legislature State of the solvency became financial own State's any realistic the value UDC diminished the State's problems of The default of project revenues. discount due to the lack the bonds scenario. A was in imminent to the Work-Out Plan Adopted: According Restructuring and BPCA's own annual report, the future "...seemed hopeless in The 1980 BPCA's creation." after the eleven years 1979, report further stated, "There seemed little likelihood that an eventual default on the bonds could be avoided, and many BPCA could felt the dismal outlook not survive."[7] This to devise an involved with the project forced all parties alternate strategy. The resulting changed form the redefined the reformulation of the public/public of the uses of the project. partnership In November and of 1979, and the Mayor of the City, of New York, the the Governor capital structure Executive Director of the BPCA entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (M.O.U.) which incorporated legal principles the new financial, and partnership would be the pivotal point in the These changes were to follow. revised design, capital structure as ownership history of the of the through the auspices to the State was transferred of the site soon to be revived UDC. M.O.U. The Agreement Settlement between relations the provided the framework Agreement) (the City and the the for which UDC. 1979 defined The main initiatives of the Agreement allowed the UDC to acquire fee interest in the entire site from the City through a condemnation proceeding, and then to convey the site to its wholly owned Corporation subsidiary (BPCDC).[8] In the Battery 1982, BPCDC Park Development conveyed its fee interest in the site to the BPCA for a nominal consideration, and BPCA became both the landlord and tenant of the property. itself twice for stipulated that of the BPCA received, revenues the detail in Chapter 3. Finally, Agreement are analyzed in the Agreement gave the City subject to site in year 2000, to reacquire the on the be split between amounts These City. paying of debt service after the payment the BPCA and the right contemplation any revenues available would 1972 bonds, the In payment of all outstanding BPCA debt. Although the M.O.U. and Agreement provided a new legal foundation for the capital structure, the project was still financially State The paralyzed. was now primarily responsible for the development of the site as it owned the any without State had question of the however, property, still loomed. revenues reformulation, the appropriated State part of as of demonstration support financial the approximately million to fulfill its moral obligation on the bonds. public the Realistically, late 1979, in Thus worthiness. bonds bonds would impair its own future because a default on BPC credit the monetary expenditures to substantial to commit repaying $8 This bolstered investor confidence and prevented a default scenario. The appropriations insufficient anticipated million bailout financial over to continue to meet that a plan as long debt service. state called as time 20 revenues At one appropriations five-year for would period, state were time it was reach $60 however, once revenues from the project reached a certain level, the BPCA was obligated to repay plus accrued interest. accomplished in when principal through 1986, plus an for any the advances made, of these Reimbursement 1986 for $49,171,500 the State repaid BPCA advanced amounts funds was the State 1980 from additional $19,901,500 in compounded monthly interest. First, the Master Two final changes occurred in 1979. Plan was revised, and to include was enhanced the second, the City's incentive package plan, first master abatements. Master Plan the 1979 by development commercial generous tax land reorganizing Unlike emphasized and uses relocating the commercial zone from the southern tip of the site directly across area to the finally Officials Center. realized commercial development brought to revenues - - from the World Trade importance the the project, in terms of at this point, a primary objective. Benefits of the New Capital Structure The immediate benefits of the new restructuring plan Most significantly the 1972 were numerous. go into default. that neither UDC Additionally, the This provision greatly process emphasis that hampered of Agreement stipulated nor BPCA was required to City's zoning resolution if commercial bonds did not comply with the certain requirements were met. reduced the cumbersome previous development development assured approvals efforts. The significant City on the commercial to the tenant payments future as in the revenue streams parcels would be significant. In particular, the largest dollars would come from payments in lieu of taxes (PILOT)(negotiated with the City) as the BPCA and the project area are exempt from all real estate taxes. The site. that project a not only second but developers to the in a coincided also timely the to give investors persuaded chance the was done reformulation Finally, the fashion private draw incentives to necessary provide would abatements tax offered newly with an improving local real estate economy. A New Era Of Financial Health (the 1980) of Suggestions Beginning in Prosperity: estate market and financial woes $193 approximately construction first of the development. conditional approval buildings, in revenue housing 1,712-unit project. to of the Canadian-based follow would This was BPC's be the BPCA's developer for Olympia & bonds begin phase 1 of Gateway Plaza to Soon the future 1980, HUD agreed to insure In million allowing the developers With the BPCA at the occurred that shaped development of the project. real of the City turned around development progress of the project. key events the began to improve, so did the and as these external factors helm, several 1980 York the commercial (O&Y). The selection of O&Y in 1980, and subsequent signing in 1981 of a master ground lease between the BPCA and O&Y, signified the first bonafide public/private partnership agreement for commercial development on the site. It was the key turning point in the road to success for the BPC project. the improvements, infrastructure Center (WFC). This commercial complex was to be started in revised occupancy. as still exposed for all to significant financially massive for significant unforeseen in additional interest estimated $1.5 Any such a risks by undertaking delays expense six-year time a tight construction in cost increases would for development billion of parcels, was the commercial project within completion. years first ten the incentives were attractive, O&Y Although these master developer table for commercial parcels the to from the City's tax abatements 1987).[9] O&Y would benefit on plans design specific O&Y's in this completion May 1981 1985 (in completed in was date World Financial up the buildings making constructed four and financed O&Y while for and paid sublease arrangement, a land, through 1981 and BPCA provided public/private partnership the In this O&Y. or mean millions Financing the the WFC of costs required ingenuity and unusually strong financial resources partner. from the private sector for the WFC incorporated estate's entry estate single mortgage at the nature of the also had to be project and as real market, and real time, represented transactions in American The financing strategy phased pioneering schemes such into the commercial paper loans that, financial plan The O&Y the largest lending history. flexible, given the the signed lease with the BPCA and principal commitments that had been made to an which amounted commitments, preleasing because primarily objectives financing these achieve all able to O&Y was Over time, tenants. of the amazing 93% 6 office space, were established long million square feet of before the first tenants occupied space in mid-1985.[10] With long-term PILOT payments assured under the master escalate annually would over the the earliest) and of occupancy (1985 at their certificate first ten years immediate revenues of occupancy. would be realized Additionally, as base by the BPCA be paid starting in 1981 at rents were to decreased tax abatements as the These the buildings received commence as soon as payments would hand, finally success. financial towards corner the turned the other BPCA, on arrangement, the lease $2 million, and increasing annually to $17 million by year 2000.[11] construction on the In 1981, designated six development teams for a (Rector Place). the project phase of WFC began and the BPCA second residential As growing revenue projections took on greater reality, many municipal experts rethink their opinion began to bonds. One of the early supporters analyst Peter Fugiel of John well-known municipal bond As early as again, equivalent to a the 1972 was municipal Nuveen & Co. bond Incorporated, a firm headquartered 1982, he reported to investors 1972 Bonds should be viewed the value the of the credit on in Chicago. that, "... the as investment grade paper once single A rating."[12] He recognized O&Y lease represented as the Canadian based firm lease well "...it was a into the future. on the 1972 bonds meet debt service 1990s", he the With 1997. for wrote, available to with very substantial coverage) service debt four times than (more anticipated the early sufficient revenues would be appeared revenues "By revenue stream assured a the BPCA obligation with binding developer whose credit-worthy solid New of State York of the project, the 1972 demonstrating its ongoing support bonds may even warrant a higher rating in the future." Fugiel was the BPC absolutely correct in his was about In hindsight, occupancy financial transformation. to undergo a however, he did underestimate with which the success would buildings in evaluation that Revenues began pouring off with being topped the following commence scheduled to payments (primarily In 1984, the first two come. complex were the WFC the quickness into the BPCA in the PILOT payments). mid-year. form of lease As early as August 1986, the BPCA was financially postured to pay debt service on the 1972 bonds from for advances infrastructure generated revenues, repay the State made, and needs of appeared that the BPC had raise funds for the the project. At this additional point, it left the financial morass of the 1970s and entered a new phase of success. Leveraging Lease Revenues In 1986, the sufficiency of projected lease revenues allowed the BPCA to $184,850,000 issue 25 in Special Obligation Bonds improvements infrastructure the for Security of leases, from revenues of fund and to $53,520,000). (approximately consisted bonds targeted set specially ($69,073,000) 1986 1980 through from made State advances used to repay which were a Sublease the Existing These revenues, derived Excess Revenues (Excess Revenues). from those commercial and residential subleases signed with the BPCA prior to 1986, funds available were the after payment of debt service on the 1972 bonds and all operating and maintenance costs of the BPCA. Reference to Chart 2.1 On the demonstrates the financial priority of these funds. Revenues, BPCA obtained municipal strength of these Excess insurance bond interest of the on provided security and lowered the overall investors with a triple-A cost which additional security) (as least at bonds by 50 basis points.[13] 1986 The issue This significance. support financial help. make the obligation on had reached repay BPCA's the obligations. capital needs In particular, the painful appropriations the 1972 a level State indicated clearly that the self-sufficient state where revenues project had reached a could particular had Bonds Obligation Special bonds, and without State no longer had to to meet fulfill their moral commercial development that provided revenues and external certain sufficient to infrastructure Spreading The Wealth Utilization of "Money Machine" for NonBPC Uses: In 1986 the New York State a Program, Legislature moderate-income housing amendments BPCA to the dedicated in the City of M.O.U. and for low-and New York. Through 1979 Settlement up to $400 million for the housing program. from the net proceeds amount The Housing New York Corporation to issue debt to fund (HNYC) was created Agreement, streams available revenue any project to support Housing initiative $1 billion ten-year New York passed the the initial $400 million phase as soon as revenues from the BPC project were on any HNYC debt. sufficient to meet debt service a series of complex State, the City, Through public/public arrangements between the and the BPCA, an innovative capital structure was shaped twist to the that allowed surplus revenues from the project to fund other nonBPC uses. As before, all revenues were first directed to pay the 1972 bond obligations and operating and maintenance cost of the project. Then any ingeniously deposited into an first to be used revenues were Excess Revenue Fund (ERF) to be used for leveraging purposes. funds were lease remaining In terms of priority, the to simultaneously repay the State for advances made and any infrastructure needs of the project (this was accomplished Obligation bond issue). used as security to fund Second, by the 1986 Special remaining ERF monies were the $400 million Housing New York Program through the issuance of debt by HNYC. If ERF monies the HNYC In 1987, (Joint jointly decided in tax-exempt issued $209,995,000 funds housing first the be This is described in detail in Chapter 3. Purpose Monies). bonds, to be BPCA's share uses of would City and the BPCA respectively divided 80%/20% between the with funds of the disbursement a remained, still rehabilitation of approximately the 1,800 residential units in the BPC Revenues from Bronx. Manhattan (Harlem) ,and the for used be to project in the ERF provided the primary source of security, municipal again, and, term maturities certain nonBPC uses - were used for marked the first funds that This bond issue - era of the new beginning to a historic for credit. enhance the further to obtained was bond insurance public development wealth created by the BPC project. much during market of the of general strength The coinciding 1980s the scheduled occupancy of the WFC (WFC estate Manhattan real with the 1 and 3 in 1985; WFC 4 in 1986; WFC 2 in 1987/88), brought new meaning to the term Significant surpluses "revenues". payments PILOT as BPCA assessments on the the City's several began agreements maximized amended the Settlement revenues continually the tax in line with In 1989 and 1990 public/public existing the use of these increased the BPCA's role in With because flowing market. amendments to support additional nonBPC uses. BPCA realized by WFC buildings were rising booming real estate additional were surplus revenues to First in 1989 the City and Agreement in a way that the New York Housing Program. increasing, the Authority anticipated surplus revenues could fund the additional $600 balance million billion the $1 of scheduled and agreed to pay the BPCA After negotiations, initiative. housing defined cash installments to the City from Excess Revenues, service on all after debt (that is, outstanding were commence in This commitment would met). HNYC bonds BPCA and 1994 and end when the $600 million obligation had been met. in Second, Revenue Bonds the City, a - million - of $150 net amount $222,660,000 sufficient to in funds to purpose of providing for the sole Excess Revenues relief. issued the BPCA 1990, budget for pay annual debt were pledged to the bondholders. service on the 1990 bonds The bond issue is subordinate to all other debt outstanding a lien and does not have project. Only those service on Excess Revenues amounts that are pledged of the to pay debt provide the security to bondholder. rating agencies found the revenue stream the bonds Remarkably, both on the grant an A/A- rating on the of the project sufficient to bonds. This recent example of leveraging monies for nonBPC several objectives. uses accomplished alleviated the need appropriations that current financial to make politically the City relief would offer problems. For the State monies that State, it difficult from its would have been used for budget relief where now freed for other State initiatives. Additionally, the bond for additional subordinate debt to after all the prior obligations issue set a precedent be issued in the future of BPCA and HNYC have been met. 29 It is painfully clear that the first ten years of the project were trying City and the the State. was in project of BPC restructuring master and difficult times for The 1979 and Commercial plan. history of turning point in the and financial of the project's the legal with the redesign development became and the City relinquished its State after the BPCA, the the priority ownership of the land to the proving its inability to develop the property in a timely fashion. The commitment from O&Y in 1980/81 to build the WFC complex brought a financially strong private sector partner to the project who constructed world famous buildings, on trademark. The schedule with core source of City, and the State were revenues would provide the "quality" their becoming BPCA, the revenues to the now in place and realized surplus nucleus for funding substantial other nonBPC public sector objectives. With this overview of the capital formation of BPC, it is time to analyze the monetary viability of the project. A close look at the inner workings of the structure and the sensitivity of conditions will the public the revenue stream to help ascertain entities current success growing economic involved a phase that revenue self-sufficiency? holds for what the future in the will difficulties of project, in its current form, fluctuating economic the project. soon pass City, Is the with the or has the reached a perpetual state of CHART 2.1 CHART 2.1 CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF BPCA (1968-1990) CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF BPCA (1968-1990) ime Line 1968 Created - BPCA 1969 -NYC entered into 99-year ground lease w/BPCA - 1969 Master Plan Adopted -NoTax Incentives Offered 1972 1976 - BPCA Issues -CityEnters "Moral" Obligation bonds for landfill ("MOBS") Financial Crisis -Gov. Carey Limits Borrowing - Landfill Completed - Nodevelopment 1979 -Concern re:Pmt. of MOB's -1979 Settlement Agreement - State Appropriates monies for MOB's -State Acquires Fee Interest in Property 1979 (cont) -City has Right to Reacquire Land in 2000 -Master Plan Revised (Emphasize Commercial) -Tax Incentives Offered 1980 1983 1981 -HUD Insures Gate-- Master Ground -Severance Leases way Plaza signed lease signed for -&YSelected Commercial Parcels - WFC Constr. Begins Il - Residential Phase Developers Selected 1986 1985 -WFC 1&2 -Ammendment to Occupancy1979 Settlement Agreement 1987 1989 HNYC issues debt -1989 A&C Signed - - 1990 Budget Obligation Bonds Issued Relief Bonds issued - Housing New York Program Passed Purpose 2 - Source: Tom Oppenheim MIT Center For Real Estate Development to settlement agreement - 1986 Special Financings Revenue Source 1990 - Ammendment - Excess Revenues - After Pint. of 1972 MOB's - Pre 1986 Subleases 12/31/99 City has right to reaquire Project Site CHAPTER THREE LEVERAGING THE BENEFITS OF PRIVATE DEVELOPMENT is a tremendously successful Today, Battery Park City project increasing every year. to reach struggle said that the safely be current financial BPC project is a continue to produce extent excess dollars in the future and what that future economic cycles Should celebration, or be worried could significantly reduce the machine"? the "money benefits of these monies? of magnitude public officials continue their monetary "money machine" "money machine" be the will can Will this and State. the City bliss, it going to fund other essential with abundant surplus monies needs of an arduous has been Although it this continually revenues surplus with financial How will the specific policy objectives established by the public sector impacts a any, are the What, if be funded? decrease in revenues might have on these commitments? To answer the BPCA over a thirty-year potential leverage capacity of period given revenue analyzes the these questions, this chapter economic various the stream of scenarios affecting The projected project. the leverage capacity accounts for the existing financial obligations of the BPCA earmarked the and the funding patterns for surplus initial monies. $400-million infrastructure needs of the the public These housing sector has commitments include program, project, and the additional recent cash obligation of the BPCA to fund the final $600 million phase of the housing initiative. Given nonBPC, program objectives and sublease payments to the results of significant, primarily the sensitivity of existing New York tax policy the analysis and the economy, should reveal what monetary benefits the public sector can expect in the future. In an attempt to accurately predict the future funding resources, the analysis will stress tests that simulate City tax policy subject the revenue stream to varying economic conditions and affecting PILOT payments will commercial real estate. be the primary focus The as these amounts represent approximately 75% to 80% of the existing sublease revenues.[1] Realistic forecasts under No-Growth and Decline compared to of projected revenues scenarios will be analyzed and BPCA's current assumption that PILOT payments will continue to grow at 4.5% per year. Since PILOT of the value of payments are based on the land and building, current policy is important to this analysis. true in total light of the rollbacks on Because each to appeal the tax estimate tax assessments City tax This is particularly recent downward revisions revenue projections. has the right the tax assessment to BPCA's sublease tenant for each parcel, can occur annually. If the New York State court(s) decide favorably, taxes are revised to reflect the case, settled Merrill Lynch made on result building 2 and In the contended that the basis of of their amount. assessments had optimistic income statements. successful argument, 4 were above-mentioned rolled 33 As a assessments on back .4% for the been WFC 1990-91 Evidently, the assessment did not account for fiscal year. unused and vacant space had on the impact a large block of not did but adversely however, do present If future bond a risk. the BPCA's to PILOT Adjustments obligations. outstanding financial the affect the credit rating of the BPCA or integrity of the by approximately $1 in fiscal year 1990-91 revenue stream million adjustments reduced These income stream. Merrill's payments, issues of the periods when there is a drop Authority go to market during in assessments, the rating and interest rates on these debt the could reflect obligations PILOT payments. of the reduced the cost to BPCA of magnitude This would increase borrowing funds and potentially affect the marketability of future financings. Finally, the analysis estimates the amount discretionary monies the BPCA and City can available for specified purposes, scenario. existing financial obligations, operating and bonds given a maximum leverage and required those annual as maintenance costs, by existing obligations pursuant As the analysis amounts after the payment to the City and BPCA outstanding secured Agreement. expect to have "Discretionary Amounts" are defined, in terms of that are available of of annual debt service on all sublease revenues, to the 1979 Settlement illustrates, these amounts are a significant direct source of cash to the City and BPCA. From Lease Revenues to Bonded Debt to City Coffers has been created that accurately Battery of structure capital of outstanding BPCA and PILOT allows model downward in payments leverage capacity tax or been HNYC bonds and to be of the Flexibility upward adjusted ten-year increments to determine conditions economic has BPCA and City that have several years. the past It Park City. the various agreements between the evolved over current represents the of funds resulting from all the designed to track the flow legal requirements of simulation" A financial "model Flow of Funds: The BPC would policy and discretionary amounts or how changing affect bond available for other nonBPC uses. It is important to understand the intricacies and inner of workings effectively the current capital structure the following interpret in order analyses. to Existing sublease revenues are derived primarily from PILOT payments made on the commercial (World Financial Centers) parcels. As mentioned, PILOT amounts represent approximately 75%-80% of the total existing sublease revenues with the remaining from base rent, retail commercial revenues being derived rent and other rent (approximately 10% of total commercial payments). Combined and the Rector Place lease payments Gateway Plaza residential phases supply the balance of total existing sublease total revenues. on the Thus the revenues is derived from revenues and approximate 15% of breakdown of existing sublease 85% commercial lease payments and 35 15% residential. Annually, these total complex maze of requirements which revenues flow through a the When revenues increase or decrease, so predetermined uses. does these direction of the certain directs for automatically capital structure existing sublease within the monies capital structure to assure all outstanding obligations and program objectives are met in order of their priority. By way of analogy, visualize an armored car filled with money that annually journeys a down with road straight numerous unloading stops along the way toward its final destination. BPCA and existing sublease revenues HNYC bonds subject to understanding of this To help in the remain outstanding. as all as long and predictable remains exact This route the armored car takes each year flow of funds, a route map is provided on the following page. The first unloading point, or more accurately stated the first priority of monies, is to pay debt service on the obligation bonds 1972 moral Bond approximately $14.3 million funds to go pay administrative these costs this Currently Resolution.[2] the annually. BPCA's expenses. 1972 General pursuant to the In amount averages After this payment, operating/maintenance and budgeted amounts for 1990, an accurate figure are $13.9 million, as the BPCA has never exceeded their budgeted amount. All remaining revenues Fund, established by the disbursement to both funds to each public then flow to the City Rent 1972 General Bond Resolution, for the City and the BPCA. entity is 36 subject to The split of calculations CHART 3.1 FLOW OF FUNDS CHART 3.1 FLOW OF FUNDS Other Revenues from Subleases Commencing After 1/86 Settlement Agreement Extra ERF Indebtedness -F Residual Excess Revenue From Subleases Commencing Before 1/86 Sourc:e: Tom Oppenheim MIT Center For Real Estate Development agreed upon in the 1986 Amended Settlement Agreement. is derived by taking the amounts in the City Rent Fund and the proportion of PILOTs the balance, are remitted to the City the as Joint of approximates PILOT 75% Purpose for uses that are jointly decided Mayor, City Comptroller, and amount simplicity referred to commonly Monies, goes to the BPCA upon by the The amounts to Other Payments. representing the PILOT proportion and Payments based upon into PILOTs and Other allocating them It payments to 80% of remitted the the disbursement the BPCA. of to Since the City revenues annually, all remaining monies for is often referred to as the "80%/20%" split. There pattern. debt, the isolates is one In important caveat contemplation of 1986 any Amendment revenues the initial 80%/20% Revenues" (that sum payments revenues This will point, the Settlement Agreement existing subleases above. payments, leases) City Rent Only 1986, lump and are "Other any future subject to Fund level the after certain Agreement and Consent (A&C) are be discussed journey for of additional leases signed post from new at the distribution 1986) and protects them from transaction , from split mentioned obligations under the 1989 met. the derived is any new realized 80%/20% split the issuance to (those leases signed prior to to this in detail later. Other Revenues ends, At this however, the existing sublease revenues are loaded back into the armored car for a complex series of stops. The 1986 Amendment to the 38 Settlement Agreement payment of all "Prior Claims used for the to be sublease revenues are all existing stipulates that and Agreed Upon Commitments," before they are subject to the 80%/20% split. These advances, to repay $69 to used being obligations finance $53 million in bond BPCA all of payment the include claims in million state infrastructure costs, $400 million (net principal amount) of and to secure up to HNYC bonds issued pursuant to the Housing New York Program. These constitute obligations follow the indebtedness, and next unloading point - (i) (ii) The 1986 additional HNYC (iii) any requirements, and, as we will and indebtedness that the ERF additional bond (MBIA) Association Insurance Bond Municipal test, million), ($209.9 million), bonds or ERF limits of within the are issued of priority: Bonds ($184.8 Revenue Bonds HNYC service on used to pay debt Special Obligation the 1987 to the our travels path of the following order indebtedness in all ERF (ERF) - the Excess Revenue Fund (the ERF). these monies are Once there, Fund Excess Revenue shortly see, the 1990 Resolution. 1990, through In an amendment to to include the 1990 Budget amendment directs revenues to pay Amended of "Prior Claims" was Settlement Agreement, the definition expanded the 1986 Relief Bonds. The debt service on the 1990 bonds (Pledged Revenues) from available ERF funds after the 1986 Obligation Special Obligations) bond payments understand that, and 1987 are met. unlike the 1986 (Priority HNYC It is important to BPCA bonds and the 1987 subordinate are and balance the ability affect could possibly ERF fund to meet debt the to fluctuations dramatic Any Revenues. Pledged by solely secured debt on the ERF not have a lien the 1990 bonds do HNYC issue, service on the 1990 bonds as these funds are directed first to to be Excess Revenues debt service on Annual necessary. million from 1993 on $51 million of three-year period deposited over a service, of debt payment any future Additionally, a was established that requires Special Fund forth Resolution sets indebtedness is issued. HNYC or other ERF provide to be met before tests that must certain revenue for the 1990 to investors, assurances order in Thus, obligations. Priority if bonds, these 1990 is $16 the 1990 bonds to $19.7 million to 1997, and escalates in 1998 when the first principal payments are due. car and drives to their last stuffed back into the armored their final destination. stop before are with reunited fulfill that are Revenues) all to be the of paid to in 1994 $600 City in A&C The A&C. and Excess must annual Other cash a new $600 million housing has been until the program Total cash installments will fund the entire million program, $13.2 million they These payments, specified in the A&C, commence and increase annually fully funded. the Excess Revenues where 1989 (both revenues installments for the benefit of initiative. The Other Revenues the requirements the stipulates Excess Revenues are juncture, the balance of At this in 1994, with payments starting increasing to 40 as low a maximum as of $79.2 million in 1999. 1989 Amounts" the BPCA as Joint essence, City and the are remitted to the remaining PILOT payments balance remain with In split. 80%/20% the to subject "Discretionary become monies remaining all A&C, under the have been made cash payments After annual Purpose Monies. As can be imagined, the use of the Joint Purpose Monies is the and heated negotiations between the cause for many lengthy Mayor's office, City Comptroller and BPCA. complicated the ends This travels of the Excess of the BPC project. Revenues and Other Revenue sources It should be noted that any future borrowing, such as any debt than infrastructure costs of the issued for purposes other project or to fulfill the $400-million housing program, would not constitute additional ERF indebtedness. This new debt would outstanding, thus be further subordinate Budget 1990 the including all issues Relief bonds. to Additionally, since the new debt would be secured solely by any Excess Revenues Amounts), issuance (before they would require become the mutual Discretionary agreement of the Mayor, City Comptroller, BPCA, and the State. the flow of funds, which Now that the financial model simulates, is understood it is time to examine the analysis. Modelling The flow Of Funds General Assumptions: This Revenues generated analysis considers from Existing Subleases. 41 only Excess These monies represent the majority of total annual projected funds and quantifiable because the amount are easily of contractual obligations that represent signed leases (prior to 1986) do not vary. Monies Revenues, however, from Other are not closely examined because these funds to date represent more recent (post residential subleases among depend, transaction fluctuating things, other revenues 1986) whose on the from closing costs payments (those monies derived individual sale of apartment units). Additionally, Other Revenues can increase with the signing of future leases - Thus, projections course, are not predictable. these, of be purely speculative and extremely of these amounts would difficult. As Wakefield Pro derived from Forma Cash (i) constitute: projections tenants of commercial Study, Flow the World payments for Excess Revenue lease payments, from Financial Center's four master Rent (base rent, and storage/other rent), and percentage rent, retail rent, (ii) sublease Cushman and the 1990 revised form of PILOTs, and Other towers, in the - two residential projects, the Gateway Plaza and Rector Place. model The existing debt on proceeds) for million model. $56 expenditures. future million planned of In According to the BPCA, have been (net financings and $257.4 to the included in these will be 42 for addition, debt fund obligations in final housing program money A&C obligations, BPC's final infrastructure costs (net proceeds) $400-million all outflows service payments, the 1989 BPCA required and other service incorporates the issued over the next three years.[3] The amounts available after these integral; they represent the obligations are fulfilled are the BPCA's current revenue remaining leverage potential of monies, after These stream. additional bond passing the test of the ERF indebtedness and 1990 Bond Resolution, MBIA insurance requirements, and other will be available and/or provide to secure bond covenants, are what additional subordinate discretionary amounts to the City debt and the BPCA. I have assumed that the specific obligations under the 1989 A&C will be met in each year with any shortfalls being funded from Other projections of sufficient funds obligations in Revenue Preliminary sources. indicate that these more variable revenues will be available to each year under BPCA fulfill the housing All future the 1989 A&C. leveraged amounts are assumed to mature in thirty-years and carry a tax-exempt rate today's of 8.00%, a interest rates. consistent with pattern of existing indebtedness, interest for three full commencing years with the first in the fourth outstanding.[4] All existing assume earnings at an interest rate used by the BPCA projections. coverage ratio. must This the Following is capitalized debt service payments year the and future bonds remain reserve rate of 5.00%, operating/maintenance amounts is funds the actual and its financial advisors for their expenses of BPCA grow annually leveraged which figure meet very and administrative at 5%, and finally, all new an onerous high standard 2-times has been debt an a credit rating of A- or attempt to insure analysis by the rating agencies the event potential credit especially in light of however, is extremely conservative, A/A- rating from the 1990 bonds received an the fact that assumption, This future. in the more stringent becomes better even in Moody's and Standard and Poor's under a 1.25 times coverage ratio.[5] Following Cushman and Wakefield's assumption, which is based on an historical analysis of New York tax policy, the growth rate in PILOT period from 20-year or either and land/building 1970 through the actual fact, at example, recession, sluggish office climate vacancies taxes negatively affect assessments rose 1.96% on while the tax rate grew at this evidence, estate, real For city-wide values, high unfavorable This not did however, commercial as In the total of serious foreclosures. commercial for commercial any year. or declining real estate and the 4% to 5% per year. period a 1970s were the for declined in the City of value past two decades has no time over the collected by taxes the a that concludes rate tax properties has increased on average study, covering 1989, on assessment the both This payments. annual a 4.5% incorporates financial analysis Base-Case real estate annually compounded basis 6.08% on the same basis. Given an a PILOT growth rate of 4.5% is consistent with historical tax policy in New York. PILOT because payments do specially not negotiated reach full tax 44 value until abatements remain 1999 in effect for the first ten eleventh the which drops 5% per year For year. assessment.[6] payment owed to the BPCA the tax abatement in the initial year. of value was $15.6 million. remain constant, PILOT the However, with only $3.9 million The following year, because only 67.5% $5.1 million exempt. full the in place, the bill is tax rates values and per $100 of and the tax rate was $9.53 Therefore 1989/90 in example, 1,156,000 square foot WFC land/building assessment for the 1 was $164 million on the and a 50% exemption the eleventh year, remaining 4 million square footage until drops 7.5% per square feet of space which first 2 million year until exemption for the abatements include a 75% The sublease. years of each commercial parcel's if the assessed due is the amount value is of the assessed escalation continues until the This PILOT payment eleventh year when the full $15.6 million would be owed. Results: A financial summary be The summary sheet highlights the presented in Appendix A. flow of Existing current structure. for the entire amounts in and Sublease Revenues these uses of prioritized complete financials page with the following found on of the Base-Case analysis can identifies reflected in monies as the BPC's The analysis provides aggregate figures thirty-year period plus a ten-year intervals to breakdown of the gain a better understanding of how and when the revenues are realized and expended. much The summary sheet Excess Revenues is designed to illustrate how are available 45 for future unplanned Figure 3.2 Sumnnary of Base Case Scenario - - BPCA Flow of Funds Model Years Years Years Total (2011-2020) (2001-2010) (1990-2000) (1990-2020) (Millions) (Millions) (Millions) (Millions) BREAKDOWN OF COMPONENTS --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$3 145.7 $2 182.2 $1 315.4 $6,643.4 Revenues From Existing Subleases.... 560.3) t709.6) (636.9) (1 906.7) Current Debt Service Obligations........ (487.1) (299.0) (197.5) 1983.6) O&M/Adm. Costs...................... 18.1 25.6 25.0 68.7 Reserve Fund Interest............... --------------------- ----------- ---------------------------116.5 2 199.3 1 506.0 3,821.8 Excess Revenue Fund (ERF) Amounts(1).... (441.7) t441.7) (274.5) (1,157.9) Planned Financings Debt Service...... ----------------------------------------------------------------Net Excess Applied to Settlement 1,674.8 757.6 231.5 Agreement..................................2,663.9 NEW HOUSING PROGRAM (@600 Million) -----------------------------------------------113.8 233.1 Excess Revenues Applied (2)............. 66.7 66.7 City Split Amounts (3).................. 242.6 300.2 Other Revenues Needed (4)............... 119.3 0.0 57.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,674.8 638.3 51.0 2,364.1 Excess Rev. Available For Leverage(5)... FUTURE UNPLANNED LEVERAGE CAPABILITY ----------~~~~~--------------------------------411.4 433.7 368.0 1,213.1 Leveraged Amounts...................... 267.4 281.9 239.2 788.5 Net Proceed Amounts(6)................ (837.3) (298.8) 0.0 (1,136.1) Debt Service On New Debt................ 131.4 60.3 368.0 368.0 Greatest Single Year Bonding Capacity... 2013 2009 2000 2000 ()(Year) 837.5 339.5 51.0 1,228.0 Excess Revenues Available For Split(7).. DISCRETIONARY AMOUNTS City Split (After Housing Program) Joint Purpose Monies (Nominal Dollars).. 941.6 286.4 0.0 51.0 271.6 67.9 670.0 167.5 FUNDING SOURCES AVAIL. AFTER HSG. (PV @ 8.00%) N/A N/A N/A 345.0 Leveraged Amounts....................... N/A N/A N/A 209.6 City Split ............................. N/A N/A N/A 76.3 Joint urpose Monies.................... ------------------------------------------ -----------------631.0 ............................ TOTAL ------------------~~~~-----------------------------FOOTNOTES: (Please see complete financials in Appendix A) 1990-1992 and is not (1) $51 million of this amount is deposited into the Special Fund frombecomes Joint Purpose Monies. available for debt service in these years. In 1993, this amount prsuant to M.O.U and 1989 A & C. (2) Existing sublease excess revenues applied to new hsg.theprogram 1993. through 990 years in program (3) City split amounts used to fund new hsg. due to insufficient existing (4) These are additional revenues needed to meet the 1989 A&C hsg. obligations sublease revenues. Their source is new leases, transaction payments, and anticipated future revenues from new subleases signed post 1986. hsg. of $233.1 excess rev. plus $66.7 city split amts. (5) Represents Excess Revenues after payment to $600 millionissuance, capitalized interest, and reserve fund amounts. (6) Represents 65% of bond proceeds to account for cost of (7) Excess Revenues Available for Leveraged amouunts less new debt service on unplanned financings. Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. Center For Real Estate Development after distribution amounts and capacity leveraging all of the BPCA have been current debt and program obligations fulfilled. - - $6.7 billion the project monies are of these feet of million square telling how is no There complex alone! the WFC almost that a majority the 6 generated from - this amount To put money or not. it should be understood into perspective, sublease the question whether immediately answers will make years - next thirty over the revenues realized existing total of amount enormous The much more revenues will be realized from future development as almost of half billion will be generated in Approximately 80% of the $6.7 of the study period when the last twenty years (2001-2020) PILOT Before no payments funds can approximately $2.9 billion must be debt obligations Remaining Excess and additional uses, available for be made operating used to pay for current costs of the project. financings planned servicing Revenues abatements. tax any reflect longer unoccupied. still are the 92-acres expected to be issued in the next three years (1990 through $1.2 billion over the next 1993) will consume an estimated thirty-years. Excess Revenues in any Sufficient year are strong enough to support all outstanding commitments. is demonstrated by the large Net Excess available time when revenues Therefore, it is safe 47 in figure 3.2) even in ten-year interval, period (1990-2000) abatements. Net Excess amounts (line item Applied to Settlement Agreement in any This the weakest still reflect to conclude tax that all debt service payments of current and planned HNYC will be met for the duration they are priority the public sector has be easily the BPCA and outstanding. The level of next established is the new $600 million housing initiative. explained this earlier, will commitment As fulfilled be through annual cash payments commencing in 1994 and ending when the program has reached the entire funding level. To are to be pay for this immediately directed thirteen Revenues, available revenues program, all years. funds include (These payments demands financial the specified in can be found in 1989 Excess The meet the annual cash These contractual A&C. Appendix the line on worksheet available period that it will take sufficient to cumulate revenues the next Other Revenues.) and amounts, City split 13-year time frame represents the to monies over from earmarked A in item the detailed Program "Housing Payments per A&C." The summary sheet delineates the $600-million housing initiative. revenues used to meet The two largest funding Revenues, total respectively. the different sources of sources, Excess Revenues and Other $233.1 million By design, the and $300 million first monies directed to the program are the maximum amount of Excess Revenues available in each year. insufficient At the outset in 1994, to meet annual obligations digest most of these must compensate for deficient payments funds. amounts Excess Revenues are because existing As a result, BPCA by tapping Other that become available. Revenue sources significant source of because they the represent half of the - housing commitment total amounts are These - funding such and supplemental funds are necessary to fund the A&C targets in each year the program is outstanding (Please see Appendix A for the money is 80%/20% split provision. under the City to available revenue source of The third Revenue amounts). annual Other first A&C agreement Since the the to the housing program, the directs all available revenues traditional split is eliminated from 1994 until the program however, $66.7 payments, are fund the through 1993 to the Although there is no contractual obligation of initiative. apply these City to to the monies program primarily program, I have these funds available the City will make anticipated that as the split dollars million City the years 1990 available in the of A&C cash Due to the delayed commencement goal is met. and has benefits City residents become a high priority within the Administration.[7] the As is likely program Since model this indicates, to be commitment obligation the fully funded represents public sector housing $600-million the the by the year 2003. last contractual date for has established to BPCA surplus monies, revenues from this time forward can be utilized to support discretionary monies initial split leveraged to the arrangement. years (2001-2020), the model will generate amounts City and Over the provide and the BPCA under the subsequent twenty predicts that the BPC project enough excess revenues to 49 fund $788 million in with the bond offerings, from municipal net proceeds first feasible issuance date being as early as year 2000. of $368 million First, a maximum fulfilled? not yet been housing program has happen when the new How can this (par amount) of bonds can be issued in 2000 due to the fact the size of This means amount of to the going Revenues Excess Because amount amounts nonBPC uses other expected for be that can the and discretionary leveraging capability of future in programs, the absent large capital outlay remaining years amounts). grow continue to will balance of split BPCA as and City the can support million (with the remaining approximates $32.5 monies ratio, coverage these Excess Revenues debt service Excess year alone. in that $65 million 2-times debt conservative a Given would be in date, available by this been met amount to Revenues will first debt that the Second, since the housing program the year 2004, not 2000. will have permits amounts) on these new bonds service payment obligation goal leveraged unplanned all bond issuance. advanced (calculated into years of capitalized interest that three is likely to reach significant proportions. On following the of distribution revenues analysis. generated As are applied displays. BPCA's page, Graph $6.7 during billion the Several noteworthy the sublease existing thirty-year mentioned, total existing in certain order illustrates 3.3 period of sublease revenues of priority which conclusions the graph can be drawn. First, revenues are sufficient to support the initial costs 50 Graph 3.3-Application of Revenues Total 1990-2020 Existing Sublease Rev.'s (Mlllions) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Current Debt O&M Planned Debt A&C Future Debt (Expend itures) Total - $6.7 billion Source! Tom Oppenhelm, MIT CRED City Joint Purp. of first to the $1.9 monies being applied and the $983.6 debt payments of the Secondly, Excess project, of the costs million in O&M costs to support additional projected Revenues will be available capital fulfill the initial $400-million This is conveyed by debt. Existing sublease revenues Only million City split amounts and 1990 between necessary The $66.7 and million remaining $300 will come from program Finally, after Revenue sources. this meet to are available during the period 2003. fulfill the to initiative. revenues million Excess $233 as obligation: that remain will then be available be will million $300 housing commitment of the $600-million housing new A&C to the to additional bonds and the bar that represents planned BPCA. applied billion of current thirty-years. next the over project by is reflected This project. of the costs operating annual needs, and infrastructure land, creating the Other all these obligations are met, beginning in 2004, Excess Revenues will be sufficient to provide significant leveraged amounts and Discretionary Debt" indicates Revenues can The The bar labeled "Future the maximum amount of debt service Excess City and the BPCA. monies to the support given a 2-times $1.13 billion the last 20 funds will provide other nonBPC uses. aggregate debt is the $1.2 billion par payments on issued in figure debt coverage ratio. amount of bonds that years of this study significant can be period. These additional resources Finally, the Excess Revenues in each year service remaining balance for of will result in $941.6 million City split amounts and $286.4 million Joint Purpose Monies. and Joint the that revenues in the future. wish to focus on. the City, State, and BPCA stream is monetary initiatives accomplish significant sufficient to is obvious It revenue BPC's of status current of the the financial prowess Purp.) illustrate existing sublease (Future Debt, City, bars on the graph The last three The Base-Case has assumed conservative growth rates to the revenue stream new financial requirements such as and has imposed onerous However, the New York real a 2-times debt coverage ratio. estate market and Thus, it is difficult times. "money machine" undergoing currently are economy necessary to ask whether the the optimistic goals can continue to meet of the public sector under difficult economic times. Testing the Sensitivity of Revenue Flows "No-Growth" scenarios, the the "Decline-Case" Assumptions: and Base-Case assumptions that were exact same analysis Under only The apply. these used for exception is adjustments to the growth rate of the PILOT payments. The No-Growth scenario assumes not increase the commercial in size from parcels are however, tax assessment of a 3% annual continues to growth rate increase by allow, in effect, that PILOT payments do the years 2000 to subject to 2020. While partial exemption, the land/building(s) remains at and the effective 1% per year. the tax abatements to 53 tax rate These assumptions be fully utilized and the full value of the PILOT before subjecting them to payments to be realized No-Growth hypothesis. a Following Cushman and Wakefield's analysis, it is realistic to the assume City's the ten years of the study commercial parcels during the first PILOT payments are derived by Since period will increase. on assessments tax future two components, the tax assessment of the land/building and has the ability to rate, the City the tax by increasing the other. any decrease in one component an interplay such Wakefield's historical Cushman and fact, the instrument of the City's tax policy. study found variables. the 1980s, been the prime Given this convincing negotiated the commercial into already built abatements During specially the with combined In dramatically, while rates have tax assessments not evidence these two constant. remained fairly assessments however, between pattern 1970s, tax rates increased During the compensate for tax subleases, allowing the PILOT payments to reach their full value seems to be a realistic for assumption, even the No-Growth scenario. the Decline scenario adjusts PILOT On the other hand, payments years, finally downward by then 2.4% annually assumes 0% resumes growth a reduction final ten annually in the scenario seems highly in during the 2001 to from PILOT years of unlikely given first ten 2010, payments by the analysis. the historical and 2.4% This tax policy of the City and economic cycles that persist in real estate, however, it is worth examining to see the impact such a BPC project have on the doomsday hypothesis would revenues. the shows a to pay program, plus all Additionally, less Excess Revenues $600-million housing on is of any length for funding this portion of the and more uncertain sources. This time necessary in the figure is $56 shifts the in PILOT burden of housing initiative to the less variable revenues is risky For in Other a reduction is clear: for the necessary. the Decline-Case scenario the The conclusion million. what is BPCA. result, greater as a scenario, $33 million above are housing of the are available becomes Revenues Other required, Base-Case; in payments initiative and the No-Growth example, in Revenues prior obligations other Most scenarios, these mandatory $400-million the for utilized dependency the City reduced revenue projections. revenues, under generated two figures of the discretionary amounts realized by and BPCA resulting from the the of amount of leveraging significant reduction in the capability and of results initial review An analyses. the with findings Base-Case sensitivity following page compares summary sheet on the Results: The from Other as Other Revenue Revenue amounts, today, represent a minor source of the total revenues available to the BPCA. Graph 3.5 (pg.58) illustrates how fluctuating Existing Sublease Revenues will impact the program objectives of the public sector. sensitivity Revisions to the analysis still revenue stream in the two produce $4.9 billion and $4.7 55 Figure 3.4 Comparison of Sensitivity Anaysis - - BPCA Flow of Funds Model DECLINE CASE (2.4% decrease ten yr. cycles) (Millions) BREADOWN OF COMPONENTS $4,728.4 $4,950.1 $6,643.4 Revenues From Existing Subleses.... (1 906 7) (1 906 7) (1 906.7) .. Current Debt Service Obligations (983.6) 983.6) O&M/Adm. Costs ..................... 68.7 68.7 68.7 Reserve Fund Interest............... =---------------------------------------------------------------------1,906.8 2,128.6 3,821.8 Excess Revenue Fund (ERF) Amounts(1).... (1,157.9) (1,157.9) (1,157.9) Planned Financings Debt Service ..... ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------Net Excess Applied to Settlement 748.9 970.6 2,663.9 Agreement........................... NEW HOUSING PROGRAM (@600 Million) ---------------------------------------------------------182.8 200.1 233.1 Excess Revenues Applied (2)............. 61.1 66.7 66.7 City Split Amounts (3).................. 356.1 333.1 300.2 Other Revenues Needed (4)............... 505.0 703.8 2,364.1 Excess Rev. Available For Leverage(5)... BASE CASE (4.5% increase 2000 - 2020) (Millions) L 05~ FUTURE UNPLANNED LEVERAGE CAPABILITY Leveraged Amounts...................... Net Proceed Amounts(6)................ Debt Service On New Debt................ Greatest Single Year Bonding Capacity... NO GROWTH (0% increase 1990-2020) (Millions) 43.8 28.5 (66.2) 43.8 1,213.1 788.5 (1,136.1) 368.0 200.1 130.1 (277.7) 173.8 Excess Revenues Available For Split(7).. DISCRETIONARY AMOUNTS 1,228.0 426.1 438.8 City Split (After Housing Program) Joint Purpose Monies (Nominal Dollars).. 941.6 286.4 300.0 126.0 310.2 128.6 FUNDING SOURCES AVAIL. AFTER HSG. (PV @ 8.00%) --------------------------------------------------------------79.6 345.0 Leveraged Amounts....................... 109.6 209.6 City Sp lit ............................. 51.3 Monies.....................76.3 urpose Joint 240.5 631.0 TOTAL............................ 18.8 112.2 53.1 184.1 FOOTNOTES: is not (1)$51 million of this amount is deposited into the Special Fund from 1990-1992 andPurpose available for debt service in these years. In 1993, this amount becomes Joint and 1989Monies. A & C. M.O.U (2) Existing sublease excess revenues applied to new hsg. program prsuant to (3) City split amounts used to fund new nsg. program in the years 990 through 1993. due to insufficient existing (4) These are additional revenues needed to meet the 1989 A&C hsg. obligations sublease revenues. Their source is new leases, transaction payments, and anticipated future revenues from new subleases signed post 1986. excess rev. plus $66.7 city split amts. (5) Represents Excess Revenues after payment to $600 million hsg. of $233.1 (6) Represents 65% of bond proceeds to account for cost of issuance, capitalized interest, and.reserve fund amounts. (7) Excess Revenues Available for Leveraged amouunts less new debt service on unplanned financings. Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. Center For real Estate Development billion in total approximately a $2 billion decline in represents total in revenues, obligations, debt current fashion, timely a this period are still sufficient to monies over the thirty-year meet, Although revenues. operating costs of the project, and planned financings that expected are the in issued be to next three years. Therefore, even in the Decline scenario, revenues are still sufficient to pay for the cost of creating of the landfill, BPCA commitment to fund other and housing under the timing. As realized uses nonBPC of the ability of $600-million subsequent the real impact is on the in PILOT payments downward movement the The commitment. $400-million housing City's the fulfilling and infrastructure, final Base-Case. The impact first mentioned above, the question obligation, there commitment to close to 60% of the cash payments in Graph 3.6, monies from to amount available in PILOT are derived greatly diminished in the Base-Case. Any fulfilled by 2003 because Other Revenues may not be from this from that greater reduction in a delay of payments could result program being the Decline-Case Excess Revenues that are applied program are the housing greater Graph 3.5, and more clearly As evident in revenue source. is a than 55% of the total and in the program, available for No-Growth scenario, In the Other Revenues. Other Revenue sources represent more cash of Excess Revenues with less $600-million housing dependency on a is the housing the generation of sufficient to meet the increased 57 Graph 3.5-Sensiti vity Analysis Application of Existing Sublease Rev.'s (Millions) (1990 - 2020) 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Current Debt O&M Planned Debt A&C Future Debt (Expenditures) Base Case Source! Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED No Growth LIII City Joint Prup. Decline Case Graph 3.6-A&C Funding From Excess Rev. Different Funding Amts. Betwn. Scenarios (Millions) 300 250 233.1................ .. . .. .. ... .. .. .. .. .. ... ... .. ... .. ... .7 .. ... . .. 200 e 150 100 ea. . .... .. =.. 200.1 ..... ... e..... .... . 182.8 eeeeeaaae a.eeae.a . e . . . eeeae= eeeeeaa =. .... ... .... ... ... .... ... .... ... ... .... ... .... ..... .... . ..... 50 0 /1--7 .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... .......... ........... ........... U LVIVV,"...... A&C (1994-2003) A&C (1994-2003) . A&C (1994-2003) (Application of Excess Revenues) Base Case Source: Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED No Growth LII Decline Case Production of Other Revenues currently depends shortfalls. on unpredictable transaction produce little monies. To a source in the to however, to new the BPCA, increasing meet in PILOT payments by a severe reduction shortfalls caused by realized funds future leases on rely pace of signing of any new subleases The increase naturally which of this revenue the dependent on is future and sublease existing large extent, the viability development on the site. would to relative revenues 1986) after (signed subleases residential those the BPCA, to payments is not a fiscally prudent policy. the leveraging sensitivity scenario, either notable is Most revenues. the BPCA truly absorb the impact of over the subsequent years would reduced under capacity and the City and available to discretionary amounts enough total housing program the $600-million to meet revenues likely to be there is Second, although of future the amount debt service supportable by the revenue stream in the years 2020. 2004 through In the No-Growth scenario, the amount of leveraging capability is reduced to $200 million (in par and in the Decline-Case amount of bonds) insignificant $43 less debt available being 80%/20% split. amounts would million could feasibly be issued, 2004 after scenario only an are most of directed the to issued. Excess the With Revenues traditional Approximately $426 million in discretionary be realized in the No-Growth scenario compared to $438 million in the Decline-Case example. Why are these amounts greater in the Decline-Case when generated? less total revenues are of scenario as a 2004 under the Decline-Case is issued after result Simply, when less debt meet to streams' inability revenue the the necessary 2-times debt service coverage ratio, more becomes the other hand, the No-Growth On available for the split. reducing somewhat the support more debt thus scenario can amount available as discretionary funds. the with to ability total scenario's (leveraged amounts plus that realized million raise $200 No-Growth future in debt, the resources funding discretionary amounts) the Decline-Case under Overall, however, outweighs scenario by $144 million in nominal dollars. observation from the One final sensitivity analyses. PILOT payments to decreasing When subjecting growth rates in the early years (Decline-Case), the ability to meet debt service payments 1993) is for is particularly explain this phenomenon the the Base-Case 1994, This marginal. To 1994. planned financings on the the first be examined should service debt (1990 through so in the year complete financials (Appendix A). payments (from In Excess interest account) are due on Revenues, not the capitalized $225 million of HNYC bonds and $38 million of BPCA bonds to be issued in 1991 respectively. 1990 and These planned financings are to fulfill final infrastructure needs of the project and $400-million to meet housing amounts on million respectively. the remaining program. these issues In The equal $19.9 this same 61 obligation of 1994 service debt million and year, the the $2.98 amount of available revenues to meet a balance of only $2.6 approximates $25.6 million, leaving available for other uses. million in Excess Revenues PILOT payments are reduced by available revenues to revenue stream could obligation debt service The necessary debt payments can be met, but at best, it is tight. the When 2.4% annually, the amount of meet this drops nearly $2.6 million. payments debt service these Any greater reduction in make the BPCA and HNYC bonds issued in 1990 and 1991 vulnerable to default. the potential default scenario Upon further analysis, (occurring in 1994) could be somewhat mitigated by delaying debt service Surprisingly, a one-year interest for one additional year. wait allows thereby issues by capitalizing payments on these two Excess Revenues grow to to meet larger cushion providing a to $36.9 million, a new $25.5 million combined debt service obligation in that year (this debt service additional one only $2.6 million would be available planned financings in that in 1995 after a one-year Thus Instead of year of capitalized interest). million remaining the payment wait sufficient time for in 1994, (due to approximately $25.6 no on debt service year) plus almost $11.5 million of the in large delayed debt debt service. amounts would the revenue stream to grow that could withstand large to the $2.5 million due amount increases by give to a level negative swings in PILOT growth rates. Despite potential aberrations in PILOT payments, the presented analyses illustrates that the BPCA, the City, and the State can financially scenario look forward to project. successful and a the continuation Although a No-Growth the demonstrate analysis Decline-Case a of sobering effect of a reduction in the revenue stream on the monetary benefits of the project, it is unlikely that these payments ever will scenarios nor controls tax by policy New can remain York long. for very posture or negative No-Growth in tax policy Neither fruition. to come either raising tax PILOT in The a City rates or assessments, and this fact alone acts as a partial internal hedge against real be realistically future million in purposes. envisioned that revenues will Furthermore, only met by to be net proceeds not support will the the year an used for benefits, staggering $631 expect with million. reasonable valued other nonhousing at 8.00%, An amount the certainty and $788 additional discretionary amounts to present $1 2003, but the City and BPCA will exceed $1.2 billion over thirty-years. total can It therefore downturns. initiative be billion housing that estate equate These to a public sector can unquestionable enthusiasm as New York enters fiscally difficult times. CHAPTER ALTERNATIVE FOUR FUNDING FOR THE $600-MILLION HOUSING COMMITMENT This Chapter focuses on the 1989 Agreement and Consent project to be all available directs that contract As outlined commitment of the BPCA. all revenues, A&C stipulates that 3, the 1989 in Chapter to the new paid in annual cash installments $600-million housing the from revenues both existing subleases signed pre-1986 and those subleases signed post-1986, must be used in the following manner: to pay all debt service outstanding to be (those expected planned issued in both on payments the next (i) three years) and current outstanding bond issues; (ii) to pay for maintenance costs of the project; the annual operating and and then to (iii) the housing program in 1994, to fund before any monies can be or be freed to provide in amounts specified by cash commitment must This hefty A&C. the 1989 installments, commencing pay cash be funded used to leverage additional funds amounts for the traditional 80%/20% split. Whenever available monies are used to pay cash instead of for Would utilizing goals, an immediate question arises. revenues to borrow funds achieve the same leveraging purposes at no significant additional Suppose costs? the 1989 A&C did not exist, what level of bonds could be raised to fund the borrowing same $600-million money versus paying housing objective? cash prove to be a Would more way to efficient analyzed by Scenario Leverage an Alternative using the These questions are benefits? subsequent implications and would be What the program? fund to is truly the best structure determine whether the 1989 A&C to fund the $600-million housing commitment of the BPCA. Counting on Borrowed Money Assumptions and Results: The alternative analysis (Leverage New is Program) Housing that it utilizes different fulfill the $600-million housing program. (Base Case) and Unlike the Base Alternative Scenario. Alternative Scenario Charts 4.1 The the current BPC structure and 4.2 outline Base-Case funding sources to scenario in the new the than different Case, the payments under the calls for no cash 1989 A&C; instead Excess Revenues would be used to pay debt This is an attempt to service on newly leveraged amounts. determine whether support bonded from the amounts in utilization monies for funding of the a more efficient use of Excess Revenues can cash payments proves to If this Revenues to be the leverage housing program would seem to be because the rapidly and funded more of Excess excess of annual source. same revenue then case, the redirection be fully program could monies would be freed for other uses earlier. Under become the the alternative analysis, source of funding primary program, however, two additional sources - 65 leveraged for the monies housing - Other Revenues Chart 4.1 Chart 4.1 BASE CASE SCENARIO BASE CASE SCENARIO Pursuant To 1989 A&C Agreementommencing in1994 Until Housing Progmm isFully Funded L _ Source: Tom Oppenheim MIT Center For Real Estate Development AtTERNATIVE LEVERAGE SCENARIOChr4. Excess | Revenues Not Needed for Housing Until Housing | Program is | Fully Funded $122 million City Split Amounts Source: Tom Oppenheim MIT Center For Real Estate Development Churt 4.2 and City - are Split monies - in the As also utilized. Base-Case, Other Revenues required to meet annual shortfall provides years are the necessary required in exactly the same in also identical in 1993 since the from 1990 through both scenarios amounts City split amounts are both scenarios. obligations do not commence until 1994. after 1994 a significant difference This the comparison as apples-to-apples an program. fund the housing also used to amounts are 1989 A&C There is, however, amounts are as these still available under the Alternative Scenario. A financial summary of the comparative analysis can be Appendix B. program are both Under for available with complete following page on the found examples, exactly the planned Revenues in monies, in the amount Revenues $600-million housing has changed nothing the Excess Base-Case, $233.1 million are pay annual cash payments in split Excess debt obligations on current Under financings. the amount of as same existing sublease revenues nor and the to application Net financials in directed to years 1994 through 2003. City million, are also of $66.7 available in the years 1990 through 1993 as the traditional 80%/20% split occurs during this Finally, time period. Other Revenues in the amount of $300.2 million, fulfill the monetary shortfalls in each of the years between 1994 and 2003. The Alternative funding approach. annual cash Scenario, however, takes Excess payments but Revenues are are leveraged 68 a different not used to provide to make a new Figure 4.3 COMPARI TIVE ANALYSIS WITH A&C VS. WITHOUT A&C BASE SCENARIO (With A&C) BREAKDOWN OF COMPONENTS ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (W/out A&C) lotat (1990-2020) (Millions) Tears 1990-2020 (Millions) $6,643.4 9067) 983.6) 68.7 $6643.4 (1 9067) 9836) 68.7 Excess Revenue Fund (ERF) Amounts (1)..... 3821.8 157.9) Planned Financings Debt Service ...... Net Excess Applied to Settlement Agreement.....................................2,663.9 NEW HOUSING PROGRAM (@($600 Million) 3821.8 157.9) Excess Revenues Applied (2)..................... 233.1 City Sit Amounts (3)6.....................866.7 Other Revenues Needed (4)....................... 300.2 Leveraged Amounts ............ 0 0.0 122.7 238.1 239.2 Revenues From Existing Subleases.... Current Debt Service Obligations ............ O&M/Adm. Costs ...................... Reserve Fund Interest ............... Year Hsg. Program Achieved FREED MONIES DUE TO ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO 2003 Excess Revenues (2000-2003) (5)............. City Split Amounts(2000-2003) (6).......... Other Revenues (20 0-2003) 7............... n/a Joint Purpose Monies (1994- 20). ;:::::: ....... n/a Total Freed Monies..................... Freed Monies PV 8.00%) ............... .n/a 67n/a Excess Rev. Available for New Leverage (8) 0 0 2,364.1 FUTURE UNPLANNED LEVERAGE CAPABILITY Leveraged Amounts ...200-203)(...................1,213.1 Net Proceed Amounts(9) na 788.55.............. Debt Service on New Debt (10)............... (1,136.1) Greatest Single Year Bonding Capacity....... 0 (Year) 2000 Excess Revenues Available For Split vrg(8.. 1,228.0 2,663.9 2000 18.5 31.4 62.1 21.0 133.0 56.7 2,541.2 1,213.1 62.1 13259.9) 131.4 2013 1,281.3 Discretionary Amounts City Split (After Housing Contribution)..... Joint Purpose Monies (Nominal Dollars) .... 941.6 286.4 FOOTNOTES (please see next page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. Center For Real Estate Development 973.0 308.3 FOOTNOTES (1) $51 million of this amount is deposited into the Special Fund from 1990-1992 and is not available for debt service in these years. In 1993, this amount becomes Joint Purpose Monies. (2) Net excess revenues applied to the 1989 A reement and Consent ("A&C") for new hsg. program. In the case of leveraged scenerio no excess revenues are paid to A&C and go for the purpose of leveraging monies and city split amounts. (3) City split amounts used to fund new hsg. program. These amounts are approximately $56 million more under leveraged scenario as result of their availability from 1994-20 03. (4) These are additional revenues needed to meet the A&C hsg. obligations due to insufficient existing sublease revenues. Their source is new Leases, transaction payments and anticipated future revenues from subleases signed post 1986. The Leveraged scenario amount a (ies the same amount of Other Revenues per year as the Base Case. The difference is a result of the earlier fulfillment of the hsg. program by 3 years under the Alternative Leverage Scenario. (5) Excess Revenues are directed to provide security for new leveraged amounts and remaining monies go as city split monies to the housing program. As a result of early fulfillment of housing program under leveraged scenario, 18.5 million are freed for other non-BPC purposes in the year 2003. (6) This amount represents those City split amounts that are freed for other uses in the years 2001 and 2002. For these two years the freed amount is approximately $40 million, however, $8.9 million is netted out to represent the amount of greater City split amounts under the Base Case in the year 2003. (7) Other Revenues freed from the period of 2000 through 2003. (8) Represents Excess Revenues available for future unplanned leveraged amounts. Figure derived from taking Excess Revenues applied to the Settlement Agreement less those amounts applied to the new housing program (City split amounts plus Excess Revenues). (9) Represents 65% of bond proceeds to account for cost of issuance, capitalized interest, and reserve fund amounts. (10) Debt service amount greater for leverage scenario due to amounts issued to fund housing program. source of amounts represent the These bonded in debt. $239.2 million funding can Excess Revenues maximum level support and act as the substitute for cash payments made to the program housing under There is a marked increase of $56 when they are available. as result direct a leveraging purposes. 1994 Excess of Since split City henceforth. annual debt, in amounts cash commencing in a 2-times debt Excess Revenues years the source utilized These Revenues. for available Excess in each year to meet new Revenues the traditional of the only half final funding The in Other million exact on the ratio provide Excess Unlike the Base-Case, Revenues are required coverage utilizing Revenues remain available for split. 80%/20% the Base-Case) $66.7 million applied under Scenario minus Alternative the under available million ($122 million split annual basis on an to the program also paid amounts are City Base-Case. the 1994 still and is $238.1 amounts represent the under the required disbursements Base-Case, however the total amount is reduced due to early fulfillment of Scenario. the housing program under Thus less aggregate the Alternative monies are needed from this revenue source. Overall, the Alternative Scenario proves to be a much more efficient method of funding the new housing program as the $600-million commitment is met in the year 2000. 4.4 shows the program under cumulative funding each scenario. pattern of As Graph the housing illustrated, the Alternative Scenario achieves the new housing program three Graph 4.4-Funding $600 Million Hsg.Prgm Paying Cash Versus Leveraged Monies (Millions) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 TF 1990 F91 92 93 94 95 Base Case (Cash) Source: Tom Oppenhelm, MIT CRED 96 97 (Year) 98 99 0 1 I Alt. Case (Leverage) 2 2003 same amount of provide the years through 1990 The identical. This can 1993 difference is the split amounts are rapid fashion the program from $239 million to leverage utilized City as attributed to be in the funding to the program funds the Alternative Scenario 2000. The two scenarios in an expedited fashion. years earlier 1994 through being Excess Revenues of new debt plus the availability of greater City split amounts in those years. of the sources funding demonstrated in the graph, and in million) applied to first three debt years 1994 each year. through 1999 Revenues are service current on amounts 1989 A&C Heavy dependency on Other Revenues is necessary requirements in Excess is funded 1994 through specified in the the exact amounts As years ($66.7 The total in the years as Excess Revenues are insufficient the Case. depends solely Revenues. the housing program 2003 reflect agreement. Other Base the housing program subsequent years the Revenues and Excess the under in the split amounts with City illustrates the breakdown chart in Graph 4.5 The bar This is as the almost entirely payments on bond obligations. all to meet the large cash especially evident in amount of depleted in outstanding As existing available meeting planned and sublease payments become stronger each year with growing PILOT payments, more Excess Revenues become available to fund the program. By 2003, only $18.5 million is needed to meet the $600-million housing commitment and this can Revenues. be funded solely by Excess Graph 4.5-Base Case Scenario Paying Cash to Fund Housing Program (Millions) 100 80 60 40 20 0 1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 2003 (Year) Excess Revenues Source! Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED City Split Amts. ELI] Other Revenues 4.6 directs in Graph Scenario shown The Alternative the same $66.7 million in City split amounts to the housing in picture dramatically changes. the years, remaining amount applied are exactly the same funding Revenues will support new debt however, the as in the this year, Revenue sources as in the Base-Case. The new of Other scenario, leveraged provide the nucleus for the In 1994, the program. funding timing for In under this sources available amounts and City split monies, rapid 1994, In years. three first program in the net principal amount of approximately $68 million for the program. the under period the the entire housing commitment remains outstanding. It is payments that not until This is split are available for than compensated, are the same It is from Excess Revenues. available amount of the in form of can support new exceed those amounts that more cash amount of the Excess Revenues, that amounts that Scenario plus amounts exceed debt 1999 available cash, debt. available of funding amounts Scenario persist Alternative that new clear year under the $13.2 million in the same Greater annual Base-Case. Thus a total directed to the housing initiative of $81.1 million can be compared to only Excess however, by under the Alternative Other Revenues year (total funds equal $84.3 million vs. City in that $79.2 million in 1999). As a result of fulfilling the housing program by 2000, significant monies are "freed" (after the payment of debt service on the new housing bonds) for other nonBPC purposes 75 Graph 4.6-Alternative Scenario Leveraging Monies To Fund Hsg. Program (Millions) 100 -11 87.5 81.1 .... 76w3. 7.4 .......... ... ........ 7 3... . . . . . . . .. .. .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. *. .. . ........... . ... ... .. ... ... . . . . . . ......... .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. .. . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . ..... .. .. .. .. .. . . .. .. .......... ........... ............ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . ......*... ....... ... ..... 8058.7 604025.2 15.8 20 0 84.3 .15.5 I I 1990 91 .......... 92 93 94 95 I 96 97 98 99 I 00 01 02 2003 (Year) Leveraged Amounts Source! Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED City Split Amts. Other Revenues in monies In the presented. dollars are Revenue from realized are that needed in are Other Scenario. realized from 1994 2003, because housing obligations From 2001 through represent those been fulfilled, freed monies have already 2003 first "freed" monies for other through 2003, represent the uses. the Alternative plus Joint Purpose Monies This amount, early million fewer 2000, $4.5 year through 1994 of Joint Purpose Additionally, program. of the fulfillment a result as 2003 through years 2000 the of freed monies 4.7 illustrates the amount Graph sooner. amounts that are still necessary to meet the program in the amount is equal $18.9 million the Base-Case in City split amounts traditional 80%/20% from the $31.7 million to approximately applied under Revenues plus an City split amounts the Alternative split under the Base-Case can not be viewed $32.6 split City versus $23.7 under this is the result of debt debt that was incurred to applied under aggregate amount because fewer City in that year under million as the nonBPC purposes. $8.9 million are available In 2003, however, in Excess Revenues freed for other reduced by freed for other and Other Revenues are $18.5 million the final Base-Case additional that become available purposes in the amount of $47.2 million. (i.e., in Other The same phenomenon occurs in 2002 as additional Scenario. that is In 2001, this years under the Base-Case. remaining three This amount is split amounts the Alternative Scenario amounts in the Alternative 2003 for Scenario); service payments due on the new fund the housing program. 77 Since Graph 4.7-Freed Monies Due To Leveraging From Year 1994 to 2003 (Millions) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 1994-2003 2000 2002 2001 2003 (Year) LIZl Excess Revenue City Split Amounts Other Revenues Joint Purpose Monies Source: Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED Total no new bonds were issued to fund the program under the Base-Case, City split amounts are greater in 2003. Additionally, Joint Purpose Monies of $21 million are realized under the Alternative Scenario from 2003 not available that are again is the under the result of Excess Revenues 1994 through Base Case. This not going directly to pay cash to the housing initiative but rather to support new split debt. 'This between the allows monies City and on an the BPCA annual basis under the to be original terms of the Settlement Agreement. Conclusions and Recommendations The benefits of leveraging Excess Revenues to provide a new funding source for Issuance of debt the housing program are convincing. early and the availability monies can be utilized to the $600-million housing of City split rapidly meet the requirements of program. Excess Revenues, City split amounts, Other Revenues, and Joint Purpose Monies are maximized to uses free monies earlier ($133 the public million) for other to address. sector wishes Although the timing of the program being fully funded by 2000 is subject to fluctuating PILOT payments, the reduced cash payments on an annual basis under pressure on the revenue the Alternative Scenario flow of the project. puts less This will help mitigate any negative impact variations to the revenue stream will have on the funding of the housing program. The benefits are so numerous 79 that one has to wonder why the City insists on all available revenues going to pay the state striving participants in from (present million represented 8.00% at value in graph monies freed all other used for The question becomes whether delaying worth is revenues of of $56.7 revenues is could be 4.7) that nonhousing purposes earlier. protection freed of the dollars in 1990 for housing In other terms, the purposes over a longer period of time. value, protecting future of money the payment political a From is reasonable, however, is stretching of the to get a share machine". "money the standpoint this revenues other cash hungry has immunized itself from A&C, the City benefits cash payments through the 1989 By assuring are political. The most obvious reasons program. cash to the new housing significant amounts for other public purpose objectives? fulfillment payments revenue flows of those amounts necessary to following fulfill the to the Other the 80 sources the on the payment schedule and schedule existing obligations under A&C:[1] from under The new Revenue program housing Scenario. page delineates compares them the reflect program schedule should equal The new the BPCA. that housing new the under Leverage Alternative schedule of annual to require a reduced required other An amendment to the 1989 A&C public entities in the State. should be drafted significant streams from revenue future and protects monies, frees program, housing the of early achieves recommendation following The the 1989 Year Recommended Schedule Current Schedule 1994 $10,545,415 $13,200,000 1995 24,283,108 26,400,000 1996 31,836,021 39,600,000 1997 39,101,167 52,800,000 1998 47,285,074 66,000,000 1999 51,545,892 79,200,000 2000 33,494,619 79,200,000 2001 0 79,200,000 2002 0 79,200,000 2003 0 18,487,185 The freed Excess issue debt under the HNYC. stipulate that to HNYC in the This amount capacity that Excess Revenues ratio in to pass additional net proceeds amount of represents the maximum leverage $239 million. coverage be utilized The amended A&C Agreement would the State Legislature must bonding authority debt can then Revenues can support with years the 1994 through amended A&C City split monies to fund the new housing 2000. all available would direct Additionally, the a 2-times program as long as the cumulative balance was less than $600 million. This recommended structure 81 accomplishes all of the desired goals of the City by revenues for the new housing is funded, however, is payments are reduced assuring the program. different. to a The way the program Inefficient annual cash minimum and becomes the new source of capital. dedication of leveraging monies Protection of monies to fund the program are assured by the new A&C, and tremendous amounts of money are thus relinquished nonhousing uses to the public sector. BPCA, the City, and the State alternative structure to fund initiative. early for other I recommend that the strongly consider this the new $600-million housing CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND SPECULATION today, flow. insufficient cash the BPCA, the this Although State on City, and the has always not been is commercial and Revenues from the of monies to channel a healthy flow residential subleases have not does BPC project the problem one developments estate real large-scale many Unlike an annual basis. case, recent the activities funded by the "Excess Revenues" give new meaning to that financing the infrastructure term: in addition to excess revenues have amenities of the project, and public initiatives established city-wide policy underwritten by the Authority and the Mayor's office. In the early stages of the project, financial support to create the initial 92-acre from the State was necessary obligation original 1972 bonds. project from rewrote its In 1979 several BPCA future. financial residential with deal events recast BPC's the switched to emphasis the City provided and Authority of the use, commercial the on the from defaulting the Authority to keep its moral forced to honor the State was financial snags, serious hit and stalled project the When landfill. much-needed incentives to attract private developers to the income-producing conditions in dramatically. commercial Manhattan's Monies sites, real and, estate market finally started to flow 83 fortuitously, improved to the BPCA as matured and, development officials public to fund City's ten-year the particular, purposes, in nonBPC World four all be harnessed monies could that surplus realized to the its debt 1980s, with for occupancy, open Centers Financial late the By development. reached fund infrastructure raise additional capital to State and they had 1986, BPCA to repay for the levels sufficient by $1 billion housing initiative and City budget relief. How these structure. commitments open anticipated funds the next 30 pure by Authority and and who will years from the project's speculation. however, puts the BPC's the success as City in the enviable has existing today's City. how Determining question. will be used and who sure to materialize the new revenues an is is reflected the between happens with future them from benefitted been used funds have long-term BPC's capital of the the cornerstone has been subleases from their leverage funds ability to The What in the these benefit over financial bonanza is developer, a public position of having the revenues with which to make such choices. Who Benefits A summary of occurred bond to date is presented financings have starting with most the sources and uses of recently been the the 1972-moral with in Figure funds that have 5.1. Municipal primary source of capital obligation bonds and ending the 1990-budget 84 relief transaction. Figure 5.1 Sources and Uses Of Bonds Issued By BPCA/HNYC 1972-1990 (Millions) ------------------------ ~~----------------------------------PERCENT BOND PROCEEDS SOURCES: ------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------------------------1972 Moral Oblig. Bds. 1986 Special Oblig. Bds. Series 1 Series 2 Series A $200.0 24.46% 103.9 46.7 34.3 12.71% 5.71% 4.20% 210.0 25.69% 222.7 817.5 27.24% 100.00% 1987 HNYC Revenue Bds. 1990 BPCA Rev. Bds. TOTAL: OTHER NON $400 MILLION BPCA PROJECT REPAYMENT OF COSTS OF TOTAL BPCA USES STATE ADVANCES HOUSING PROGRAM---------------------------COSTS ISSUANCE USES: -----------------------------------------------------------------1972 Moral Oblig. Bds. Net Proceeds Capitalized Interest 14.3 Debt Service Reserve Fees 03 Un $135.8 40.6 3.3 - 35.1 - - - 7.9 - 1986 Special Oblig. Bds. Net Proceeds Capitalized Interest 15.8 Debt Service Reserve Insurance Premium Fees 1987 HNYC Revenue Bonds Net Proceeds Capitalized Interest - Debt Service Reserve Insurance Premium Fees 3.5 - 41.1 - 53.5 Fees Original Issue Discoun Other Costs TOTAL: 69.1 -8- - - - - - - 142.6 - 3.0 - - - ~ - - -- - - 12.7 - - 0.8 - - 260.5 210.0 - - 37.0 20.0 2.2 184.9 - -- - $200.0 - - - 1990 BPCA Revenue Bds. Net Proceeds Capitalized Interest Debt Service Reserve -0- - 21.1 0.8 0.2 1.2 Original Issue Discoun Other Costs $6.0 - 189.4 - - - 75.1 222.7 150.0 - - 142.6 17.44% 9.18% 23.16% 31.86% PERCENT: 1990. through 1972 from Statements Official Footnote: Figures derived from all BPCA and HNYC Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. Center For Real Estate Development 150.0 817.5 18.35% 100.00% Since 1972, bonds issued by the BPCA and HNYC have exceeded million. $817 over formulated by past several years, these funds million, which were used to issue additional bonds, $185.8 signified an important turning point to the capital market of could be subsequent financings control, "basics" under the With BPC project. the That trip the project. additional infrastructure costs of fund and to bailout assistance for its the State repay BPCA to for the revenues available were sufficient 1986 Not until of the project. pre-development costs for the have been used for several proceeds went solely to pay Initially, the bond purposes. over the State, and the BPCA the City, the agenda a prioritized with line In other nonBPC used to fund purposes. In 1986 public wants. up to 1986 the newly and in revenue bonds housing The second revenues. relief - BPC's - was a revenues. in 1990 these bonds an BPC's existing strength of on the item on - the list avoid Hoping to - City budget demand on in revenue of BPC's need to the BPCA, capital on to Although priority or it demonstrated structure. 86 issued City. a new layer of call BPCA, and bonds were funds to the did not represent of the negotiated with the million in net ongoing commitment flexibility million in unique, though unanticipated, $223 million provide $150 city-wide housing, formed HNYC issued $209 funds, the City Albany for to guarantee the Authority agreed (net proceeds) for $400 million nonBPC list of the item on first was the Housing In this the case, of Revenues were temporarily Excess redirected from the $400-million one time budget need to fund this housing program thus and public initiatives, nonBPC other priority should take (hopefully temporary) the City over the financial perils City officials agreed that State and of the City. million, or $189 $817 million of the Out used for been actual percent) can $75 million (9 an additional project costs; proceeds, only in bond percent, has 23 raised to necessary to fund the project date beyond the small amount itself. overall project's amount of money is the large financial success the of measure striking One be considered project costs since these monies were used to on the 1972 bonds. of PILOTs for total project costs. all these bonds - $260 - lead time before projects meant large the for the used million ($189 million million compared to $264 lot to issue the long Monies to cover housing initiative and budget relief benefit of the City's plus $75 million) pay debt service percent) or (36 percent). (32 issuance total $292 initial A majority of the monies, however, have nonBPC uses to fund costs fund the to infrastructure work plus to landfill and gone advances made for the State repay amounts of necessary to fund debt It million - has cost a - because would start generating capitalized interest were service during the nonrevenue phase of the project. In Chapter project's 3, the Base-Case analysis capacity to support 87 illustrates the significant capital in the expenditures sources and uses of next thirty years. over the next million in future. funds that can The three years include will go towards fulfilling obligation to the City financing plans approximately $511 and $93 million HNYC debt in terms of net the over the be expected BPCA's immediate bond proceeds ($417 million BPCA debt); 5.2 summarizes Figure amounts, $257 million the BPCA's $400-million housing and $56 million will pay for the remaining infrastructure needs of the project. As revenues time, three Revenues, from the project continue to funds - sources of and Unplanned ways. around $1.5 First, pursuant annual cash Excess - Financings primary funding source of Revenues, - - Revenues, Other will become all future policy goals. billion, will to the installments 1989 A&C, for in 1994 Revenues, million. Other subleases signed $600-million These payments totalling $300 funding years. million for the for additional over $299.8 monies and will Once all project costs be used in 2003, total available transaction provide housing program $1-billion housing then new housing those post-1986 the over the from payments, additional next 10 to 13 have been met and the total program fulfilled, Excess for two fund until the and continuing been fulfilled obligation has several they will BPCA's the Excess be utilized commitment to the New York Housing Program. commencing mount over purposes: (i) unplanned leveraged Revenues can to provide security amounts, and (ii) for the 80%/20% split between the City and the BPCA. Unplanned Figure 5.2 Future Sources and Uses Of Funds, BPCA, 1990-2020 (Millions) ---------------------------------------------------- -----------------------PERCENT TOTAL CASH BOND PROCEEDS SOURCES: -------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------Planned 1990 1991 1992 1993 HNYC Debt Issue Issue Issue Issue Planned BPCA Debt 1991 Issue 1992 Issue Excess Revenues (1) (1990-2020) Other Revenues (2) (1994-2003) Unplanned Bonding Potential Max Leveraging (3) TOTAL: 00 k $227.1 84.4 59.2 46.9 - 37.6 55.9 - $417.6 11.76% 93.5 2.63% - - 1,527.8 1,527.8 43.01% - 300.2 300.2 8.45% 34.15% 1,213.1 1,213.1 ===------------------------------------------------------------------100.00% 3,552.2 1,828.0 1,724.2 ASSUMED JOINT PURPOSE CITY SPLIT OTHER NON $600 MILLION $400 MILLION BPCA PROJECT COSTS OF TOTAL MONIES MONIES BPCA USES HOUSING PROGRAM HOUSING PROGRAM COSTS ISSUANCE USES: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Planned HNYC Debt $87.1 1990 Issue 1991 Issue 1992 Issue 1993 Issue 32.4 22.7 18.0 Planned BPCA Debt 1991 Issue 1992 Issue 15.1 22.4 22.5 33.5 Excess Revenues (4) (1990-2020) -- - Other Revenues (1994-2003) - - Unplanned Financings - Max Leveraging TOTALS: PERCENT: $417.6 $140.0 52.0 36.5 28.9 - 93.5 - - 941.6 299.8 286.4 1,527.8 - 4 424.6 622.3 17.52% 300.2 300.2 - - - - 56.0 1.58% (Footnotes on following page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. Center For Real Estate Development 257.4 7.25% 600.0 16.89% 788.5 22.20% 1,213.1 --- 788.5 941.6 26.51% 286.4 8.06% 3,552.2 100.00% FOOTNOTES (1) Revenues available from pre-1986 subleases after debt service on planned and unplanned financings and annual operating/maintenance costs. (2) Revenues from post-1986 leases that are necessary to fulfill $600 million housing program. from 1994 through 2002. (3) Financings after the $600 million housing program is fulfilled. Leveraged proceeds available for non-BPCA uses. in City split amounts that (4) Includes $233.1 million in excess revenues and $66.7 million are used to fund $600 million housing program in the years 1990 through 2003. (5) All information is derived from Appendix A, Base Case Scenario 0 - - Complete Financials. financings could yield $788 million in the next thirty years for any upon. Direct cash approximate $1.3 use the City and State agree the to net proceeds over City and billion as City split the BPCA could amounts will reach $941 million and Joint Purpose monies, $286 million. The magnitude of these of the "money machine". revenues from the be, a solid nucleus for From the As Figure project have been, and cash for not only the goals. figures indicates the strength 5.3 shows, the will continue to leveraging monies and providing project but also other public-sector start of the project in 1968 until 2020, total net funding resources will have totalled a staggering $4.4 billion. With the exception Other Revenues needed to of these monies will on the million in fund the housing initiative, most come from and residential sublease development of the $300 the existing revenues. site commercial Furthermore, if future proves successful, the total resources will grow exponentially as new sublease revenues would add capability and significant leveraging increase in cash disbursements (Discretionary a marked Amounts) to the City and the BPCA. Who benefits from this enormous funding source the BPC project has become? will continue to be next several years. the funding It appears that the City has been and the main recipient of funds for the Graph 5.4, indicates who benefits from patterns to date and in the future. illustrated, the City has received $150 million for 91 As budget Figure 5.3 Combined Current and Future Sources and Uses of BPCA Funds, 1972-2020 (Millions) -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------PERCENT TOTAL CASH PROCEEDS SOURCES: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------13.90% $607.5 $607.5 BPCA Outstanding Debt 210.0 - 210.0 4.81% Planned HNYC Debt 417.6 - 417.6 9.56% Planned BPCA Debt 93.5 - 93.5 2.14% 34.96% HNYC Outstanding Debt Excess Revenues (2) (1990-2020) - 1,527.8 1,527.8 Other Revenues (3) (1994-2003) - 300.2 300.2 1,213.1 27.76% 1,828.0 4,369.7 100.00% Unplanned Bondin Potential (4) TOTAL: 1,213.1 ----- 2,541.7 COSTS OF ISSUANCE USES: $400 MILLION BPCA PROJECT REPAYMENT OF STATE ADVANCES HOUSING PROGRAM COSTS $193.1 BPCA Outstanding Debt 6.87% $75.1 $189.4 $600 MILLION HOUSING PROGRAM OTHER NON BPCA USES - - CITY SPLIT MONIES $150.0 JOINT PURPOSE MONIES TOTAL - $607.5 67.4 - 142.6 - - - - 210.0 Planned HNYC Debt 160.2 - 257.4 - - - - 417.6 Planned BPCA Debt 37.5 - - - - HNYC Outstanding Debt Excess Revenues (5) - Other Revenues - (1990-2020) 56.0 - - - - - 299.8 300.2 941.6 93.5 286.4 1,527.8 300.2 (1994-2003) Unplanned Financings 424.6 TOTAL: 882.8 PERCENT: 20.20% 245.4 5.61% 75. 1 1.72% (Footnotes on following page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, MIT Center for Real Estate Development 1213.1 788.5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4,369.7 286.4 941.6 938.5 600.0 400.0 100.00% 6.55% 21.55% 21.48% 13.73% 9.15% FOOTNOTES (1) These include the 1972, 1986, and 1990 BPCA bond issues. (2) Revenues available from Pre 1986 subleases after debt service on Planned and Unplanned financings plus annual operating/maintenance costs. (3) Revenues from Post 1986 leases that are necessary to fulfill $600 million housing program. from 1994 through 2002. (4) Financings after the $600 million housing program is fulfilled. Proceeds available for non-BPCA uses. amounts that (5) Includes $233.1 million in excess revenues and $66.7 million in City split are used to fund $600 million housing program in the years 1990 through 2003. (6) All information is derived from Figure 5.1 and Figure 5.2. Graph 5.4-Who Benefits From BPC Funds? Total Allocation: Current and Future (1972-2020) (Millions) 1200 1000 800 600 400 5 11I 2001-. 0 75.1 --- - Budget Leverage A&C Bond Costs BPC NY Repmt Hsg. (Uses of Funds) - City Source: Tom Oppenheim, MIT CRED BPCA/State Cap I,reserves,fees City Joint Purp. City & BPCA relief and by 1993, the City's $400-million housing program will have funded the BPCA will by 2003 Once $1-billion New the remaining $600-million the project. from revenues of in cash housing commitment Furthermore, bond proceeds. funded from have been Housing York Program has been fully funded, Excess Revenues will continue to provide cash on an annual basis to the $286 million, Monies should Joint Purpose $941 million. numbers, about approximate City from 2003 to 2020, in round to another benefit the City since their use is subject to negotiations between the City majority of indication, a past is any If the and BPCA. these funds will go to the City, especially as Battery Park and its monetary expenditures decline. City gets built out speculative to guess who Finally, it is the $788 infrastructure needs The purpose program. jointly those than other bonds between the of planned to the and State, will housing be decided funds, likely of these City and project the immediate the meet The to issue BPCA will be able is the earliest the year 2000 amounts. leveraged in unplanned million will benefit from reflect the public sector at that time. major policy objectives of the not be necessary to fund a Hopefully, by then, monies will City budget deficit. Interestingly, in (only), the dollar flows terms of entity that least benefits from the tremendous availability of funds is the the real estate project itself. last anticipated to the project, only capital 7.3% By 1993 when expenditures are (project costs 95 dedicated including state repayments) of dedicated will have been the total funding resources BPC. to developing This amount will increase somewhat as a portion of Joint Purpose monies and unplanned in proportion to time. project over of amount the These remain relatively however, will still additional amounts, small to the amounts flow leveraged total funding resources available. Ironically, portion of essence of developers. structured leased, In the public sector First, to sold, the private interests, BPCA negotiators lease the reflect to (PILOTs) value of eye toward boosting public development matured. Once revenues be used monies would sufficient levels, Second, the to the site. increasing assessments, with an reached Why? In simplified creating new land and infrastructure pricing coffers as the project true structure turned out to be ingenious not payments from the captures the development the and enticing private development was bricks-and-mortar the least money of money efficient. undertook the risk of land the that the BPC capital structure. - the capital and the use fact the project receives success of financial terms - the to fund additional infrastructure needs of the project and to repay any gets cash disbursement built out, surpluses, after expended to capital its the payment As date. needs diminish of all outstanding project costs, are parlayed into other uses. - now a "money machine" - the public sector in - the project and the debt and The project - funds other essential needs of the future. 96 With the benefit of a this perspective, long-term type of the actual project relative minimizes expenditures made to to This objectives. with scheme brilliant by realized benefits financial phenomenal a is indeed nonproject other, for funding used significant the development public public the sector! Risks Ahead in demonstrated 4.5% growth these revenues will $6.7 Furthermore, public sector beyond the- bricks and mortar, and amenities on the does not seem to be the stability of project site. to benefits to tremendous provide close obligations. BPCA and HNYC debt and planned revenue supporting current period, easily a 30-year billion over As a conservative produce will rate, BPCA? Authority's Three, the Chapter existing sublease payments, at stream from annual risks ahead for the any, are the What, if the open spaces, risk, therefore, The the existing revenue stream, but rather the future plans of the project. What the Authority is for planning the future ambitious, reasonably so given its track record. Stuyvesant northeastern-most residential World $141 approximately High development Financial Center, of the to the is million, for the located in the be to School corner The City, necessary to cover the cost of has agreed to provide funds construction, is BPC north site. and progressing Additional south of the rapidly; one building has been recently other units two completed and are underway. construction of Developers of two more residential projects have been selected and construction is begin soon. scheduled to to create plans public parks has publicly announced The BPCA $100 million nearly covering close to worth of elaborate 30 acres, in an effort to make BPC a recreational center for all New Yorkers.[1] The potential risk is that ambitious, especially estate market. existing amount generated, Authority, sublease given Manhattan's current If subleases this revenues case, be affected. might have to support with immediate obligations. $600-million the but rather how they for example, in this is could difficulty monies these new plans are overly leasing way the BPCA intangible in additional development, could outstanding debt if redirection thereby for reducing outstanding delay funding the available to the City A significant, weak though revenue-producing of revenues in several ways: future leverage (with the (i) financings the BPCA is perceived possible exception This the BPCA's cost might capability; 98 the leverage financial integrity of the bonds. would be detrimental borrowing of effect their sublease reduce investor confidence in as a threat to the of future. having meeting reduce The existing existing Redirecting the dollar developments and consequently and from get allocated. new program the to redirect capability and discretionary amounts and revenues Not could potentially housing weak real (ii) be all of the higher, bonds insured might trade bonds) (iii) the rating outstanding by all bonds review of potential discounts; and significant at agencies could result in a possible downgrading. BPCA's with risk lies final Currently source of income for existing sublease payments. O&Y main leasees the are American Express and the core themselves since they provide commercial tenants the stability of the the of commercial parcels, with subtenants consisting primarily of are credit-worthy tenants is it however, not a implications of to excellent risks, are What problem in potential the the commercial in vacancy on an increase the that assume credit potential environment. economic today's and represent unreasonable represent subtenants American Express and O&Y Both financially oriented firms. parcels to the public sector? purposes, even if significant For practical the WFC becomes vacant due BPCA. Although revenues to shrink, to the companies scheduled lease interest of doomsday to find risk; the to from probably on the road would never be leasees. happen, the However, BPCA would leasehold mortgage their would indicate alternative funds Default the current scenario were face minimal profitability themselves were payments. to the lease obligations default on lease obligations bankruptcy, unable best O&Y or American O&Y and American Express would the on infringing investment, a that on their would default Express on Wall to continued cutbacks highly unlikely that either Street, it is space in to meet in the if this still lenders behind would foreclose on the properties O&Y and American Express and most likely assume BPCA can take the lease payment obligations. The on the in knowing comfort the of some are phase development commercial lenders the most financially solvent institutions in the world today (Sanwa, Sumitomo, Hanover Manufactures others).[2] and Trust Finally, if the lenders for some unknown reason decided not to meet these unsubordinated lease payment obligations, the billion. to $5 approximately $3 asset worth own an State would now to the BPCA, and the project would revert The risk would be reduced to asset management of the property. For sector, the public project entering financially remote. Currently operating established the City by and demonstrated that significant the revenues provide objectives policy State. more and, obligations significant other importantly, projects BPC seems times difficult current fund to sufficient of the the probability Three Chapter reductions to PILOT payments would have to occur (greater than 2.4% annually) for a long period of time before the of its BPCA would falter in meeting any financial current sustained A obligations. reduction in PILOTs of this magnitude, for a long period of time, seems difficult to imagine given the duration of past real cycles estate increase in tax this of backed by ample New and York collections over the past perspective, financings in therefore, the BPCA and all HNYC historical 20 years. From and planned are excellent credits existing revenues to meet debt 100 the service payments on over ambitious development benefit can it package expect total reduce the plans might realize to over a The $600-million housing program could thirty-year period. redirected for to be Revenues have if Excess be delayed is that to the public sector The real risk these bonds. any reason. The project. prosperous for the Unlike the 1970s, the greatest issue in the 1990s how to generate revenues, but rather and 2000s will not be how to allocate the is be to should prove future likely to public/private financial benefits the "money machine" somewhat It is produce. develop a partnership to unusual for a massive project, from scratch, that can be cheered by design experts, public policy makers, all, financial minds, person. the average respect and more. The Battery continuing faith provided to the project in its produced a magnificent financial public sector days of vacant development and can tap most of merits this Park City early vision and both the State and the City infancy has architects, and, for many years resource the to come. land and no revenues to a From the time of bustling generous cash flow, Battery Park City has become a public-sector financial dream, worthy of emulation by all major cities across our nation. 101 NOTES I acknowledge with gratitude the time and help that both Robert Serpico, Vice President Finance/Treasurer of the Battery Park City Authority, and Roger J. Bagley, Partner of Hawkins, Delafield and Wood, gave to me throughout the thesis process. Their availability and willingness to provide information on a timely basis helped tremendously with my understanding of the project and is continually relied upon in the thesis. CHAPTER TWO Battery Park City Authority, "Battery Park City Fact 1. Sheet," (1989). Frederick O'R. Hayes, "Battery Park City Development 2. History," Working Draft, Frederick O'R. Hayes Associates, July 1, 1986, p.27. Battery Park City Authority, Series A 3. Statement, May 22, 1972, pp.18 1972 Official 4. Ibid. 5. Hayes, "Battery Park City Development History," pp.61. "Less Secure State Bonds", New York Times, September 6. 11, 1979, Section D, pp.8. 7. Battery Park City Authority, 1980 Annual Report, pp.1 8. The balance of Chapter Two continually relies on the following sources of information, unless otherwise noted: (i) "Attempt To Revive Battery Park Plan Is Readied Carey", New York Times, October 28, 1979, Section I, p.1. (ii) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Memorandum of Understanding, December 30, 1979. (iii) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Settlement Agreement, June 6, 1980. (iv) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Amendment to Settlement Agreement, August 15, 1986. (v) Battery Park City Authority, Series 1,2 & A 1986 Official Statement, August 22, 1986. 102 (vi) Housing New York Corporation, Series A. 1987 Official Statement, October 1, 1987. (vii) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Agreement and Consent, December 30, 1989. (viii) Telephone Interview with Peter J.Fugiel, Vice President, John Nuveen & Co., (Chicago), May 25, 1990. (ix) Interview with Roger J. Bagley, Partner, Hawkins Delafield and Wood, New York City, May 24, 1990 and June 18, 1990. (xi) Battery Park City Authority, Series 1990, 1990 Official Statement, May 31, 1990. (xii) Interview with Robert M. Serpico, Vice President Finance/Treasurer, Battery Park City Authority, New York City, June 18, 1990. 9. Hayes, "Battery Park City DevelopmentHistory," pp.73-74. 10. S.L. Fordsham, "World Financial Center; Olympia & York Sets Financial and Leasing Milestones in New York City," Urban Land, Volume 44 (No. 9), September 1985, p.22. 11. Hayes, "Battery Park City Development History," pp.73-75. 12. Peter J. Fugiel, "Battery Park City Authority, 1972 Series A Bonds", Nuveen Research, John Nuveen & Co. Incorporated, February 1, 1982. 13. Calculated by amortizing the insurance premiums over thirty years and estimating the minimum interest rate differential necessary to equate the two costs. The BPCA would not pay for insurance unless reduction in annual debt service payments surpassed the insurance costs. CHAPTER THREE 1. Information regarding PILOT payments, growth rates, historical New York tax policy, and tax abatements are derived from Battery Park City Authority, Series 1990, 1990 Official Statement, "Cushman and Wakefield Pro Forma Cash Flow Study", Appendix C, May 31, 1990, pp.la-43. 2. Information regarding the flow of funds comes from the following sources: (i) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Amendment to Settlement 103 Agreement, August 15, 1986. (ii) Battery Park City Authority, Series 1,2 & A, 1986 Official Statement, August 22, 1986. (iii) Housing New York Corporation, Series A_ Official Statement, October 1, 1987. (iv) Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Agreement and Consent, December 30, 1989. (v) Battery Park City Authority, Series 1990, 1990 Official Statement, May 31, 1990. (vi) Interview with Robert M. Serpico, Vice President Finance/Treasurer, Battery Park City Authority, New York City, June 18, 1990. (vii) Interview with Roger J. Bagley, Partner, Hawkins Delafield and Wood, New York City, May 24, 1990 and June 18, 1990. 1987 3. Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Amendment To Agreement As To Certain Excess Revenues Of the Battery Park City Authority, Estimated Schedule, May 18, 1990. This assumption is based on the review of the previous 4. debt issuances of the BPCA and HNYC which, on average, capitalized interest for three to five years. 5. Interview with Bagley. Real property assessment policy in New York changed in 6. 1983 to target 45 percent of market value of all commercial and residential income-producing properties. A 6 to 7 percent annual assessment increase on nontransacted buildings was presumably to bring all commercial and multi-family properties to tax parity. New commercial construction is assessed based on its state of completion as of each January 5th and has no fixed phase-in period. On stabilization, assessments are phased-in over 4 to 5 years. Information derived from Cushman and Wakefield Pro Forma Cash Flow Study. 7. The 1989 Agreement and Consent stipulates that the BPCA pay $50 million from monies received, net of Prior Claims, to the City (Remittance to City) before the new $600 million housing program scheduled payments commence in 1994. I have assumed that this $50 million remittance to the City will be applied to the housing program. This amount ($50 million) is represented as City split amounts and is fulfilled in It should be understood that the City might the year 1992. have previously earmarked these monies for other uses, 104 which would impact the timing of the housing program being fully funded. CHAPTER FOUR Amounts for the scheduled payments pursuant to the 1989 1. A&C are derived from Battery Park City Authority Agreements with the City of New York, Agreement and Consent, December 30, 1989, pp. 8. CHAPTER FIVE Battery Park City Authority, Series 1990, 1990 Official 1. Statement, May 31, 1990, pp. 5-6. Battery Park City Authority, "Presentation to 2. Investors," (1990). 105 THIS PAGE LEFT INTENTIONALLY BLANK 106 APPENDIX A 107 APPENDIX A BASE CASE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 47 678,092 54 317 728 62,224,294 70,188,600 78,754,237 87,959,412 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 Bonds Debt Service 1987 HNYC Debt Service (4) 1986 Reserve Income 1987 Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Prj t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) 12,394,134 10,975,198 9,951,377 8,927,555 7,895'530 6,797,374 19,033,111 17,485,304 16,147,148 15,035,896 13,843,345 12,547,006 ---------------------------------------------------------------$119,386,657 $107,214,739 $96,287,125 $86,187,745 $76,056,603 $67,022,472 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14 285,000) (17,740,314) (16,895,537) (16,090,988) (15,324,750) (14,595,000) (13,900,000) 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 ---------------------------------------------------------------88,076,343 76,749,202 66,626,138 57,292,995 47,891,603 39,552,472 (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (13,108,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 0 0 0 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 0 0 0 ===----====-----------------------------------------------52,950,981 41,623,840 31,500,775 42,188,985 32,787,593 27,235,462 0 0 0 (17,000,000) (17,000,000) (17,000,000) (16,000 000) (16,000 000) (16,000 000) 0 0 0 1.31 .60 1.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 ---------------------------------36,950,981 25,623,840 15,500,775 25,188,985 15,787,593 10,235,462 (7,424,382) (2,983,011) 0 0 0 0 0 (19, ) (7,409,706) , 0 0 0 986 244 ~--------------------------------2,654,585 2,116,892 (13,200,000) 10,545,415 0 (26,400,000) 24,283,108 0 10,235,462 15,787,593 25,188,985 15,500,775 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,235,462 15,787,593 25,188,985 15,500,775 City Split Used For Hsg.(80%) (10) 10,235,462 15,787,593 25,188,985 15,500,775 0 0 (Cummulative New Housing Program Plus City Split) 10,235,462 26,023,055 51,212,040 66,712,815 79,912,815 106,312,815 Max. Avail. for Debt Service (11) Leverage Capability (12) New Bond De t Service 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AVAILABLE AMOUNTS W/ LEVERAGE: Total City Split Monies (13) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,235,462 0 15,787,593 0 25,188,985 0 15,500,775 51,000,000 NET EXCESS APPLIED TO SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT : Hsg. Program Pmts. per A&C (8) Other Revenues Needed (9) NET EXCESS AVAILABLE FOR SPLIT: Total Joint Purpose Monies W/ Leverage FOOTNOTES: (See on last Page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED --------------------------------------------------------- APPENDIX A BASE CASE SCENARIO 1996 - 1997 - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND (IERF") AMTS: 135,094,782 129,277,304 123,710,338 118,383,099 112,476,224 105 322,128 97,098,348 29,117,602 28,757,535 27,716,780 19,149,408 15,760,650 14,394,949 13,394,453 26,655,552 25,758,504 24,976,523 24,250,945 23,580,565 22,406,334 20,638,658 =-------------------------------------------------------------------$190,867,936 $183,793,343 $176,403,641 $161,783,452 $151,817,439 $142,123,411 $131,131,459 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14 285,000) (14 285,000) (14 285,000) (23,773,717) - (24,962,403) (22,641,635) (21,563,462) (20,536,631) (19,558,696) (18,627,329) 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------152,335,533 146,449,626 140,192,006 126,649,990 117,710,808 108,994,715 98,934,130 Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: (15 895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 63,80,767 63,808,767 (15 895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 73,89,353 73,869,353 Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Prj t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) 0 (16,0 0000) 1.99 0 (16,000 000) 47,808,767 57,869,353 1986 1987 1986 1987 NET EXCESS APPLIED TO SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT : 4.62 (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 82,55,44-91,24,62-0507-------------------------------------117,210,171 111,324,263 105,066,643 91,524,627 82,585,446 0 0 0 0 0 (19,700 000) (19,700.000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) 5.95 $.65 t.33 4.65 4.19 97,510,171 91,624,263 85,366,643 71,824,627 62,885,446 (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7 424,382) (7 424 382) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (32,620,405) ---------------------------------------------------------------------53,339,651 47,453,744 41,196,124 27,654,108 18,714,926 13,698,833 7,763,979 Hsg. Program Pmts. per A&C (8) Other Revenues Needed (9) NET EXCESS AVAILABLE FOR SPLIT: (79,200,000) (79,200,000) (79,200,000) (79,200,000) (52,800,000) (66,000,000) (39,600,000) 25,860,349 31,746,256 38,003,876 51,545,892 47,285,074 39,101,167 31,836,021 --------------------------------------------------------------------0 0 0 0 0 0 0 City Split Used For Hsg.(80%) (10) (Cummutative New Housing Program Plus City Split) 145,912,815 198,712,815 264,712,815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 37,192,03: 35,871,483 367,972,913 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------0 0 0 0 Max. Avail, for Debt Service (11) Leverag Ca pability (12) New Bond Debt Service AVAILABLE AMOUNTS W/ LEVERAGE: Total City Split Monies (13) Total Joint Purpose Monies W/ Leverage FOOTNOTES: (See on last Page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 343,912,815 423,112,815 502,312,815 581,512,815 APPENDIX A BASE CASE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) 1986 1987 1986 1987 EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Prjt.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT : Hsg. Program Pmts. per A&C (8) Other Revenues Needed (9) NET EXCESS AVAILABLE FOR SPLIT: City Split Used For Hsg.(80%) (10) (Cummulative New Housing Program Plus City Split) Max. Avail. for Debt Service (11) Leverage Capability (12) New Bond De t Service AVAILABLE AMOUNTS W/ LEVERAGE: Total City Split Monies (13) Total Joint Purpose Monies W/ Leverage FOOTNOTES: (See on Last Page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 183,845,333 175,928,548 168,352,678 161 103,041 154 165,589 147,526,880 141 174 048 30,263,743 30,510,162 30,197,704 30,023,703 29,824,365 29,615 998 29,399,439 33,120,125 32,080,338 31,091,427 30,133,363 29,217,952 28,316,232 27,470,298 --------------------------------------------------------------------$229,641,809 $238,519,048 $247,229,201 $213,207,906 $221,260,107 $205,459,110 $198,043,785 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14 285,000) (14 285,000) (31,859,055) (33,452,007) (35,124,608) (28,897,102) (30,341,957) (27,521,049) (26,210,523) 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------198,534,593 191,497,041 184,212,754 177,348,150 170,740,804 164,368,061 158,263,262 (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15 895,000) (15 895,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 ---------------- =-----------------------------------------------------163,409,231 156,371,678 149,087,392 142,222,788 135,615,442 129,242,698 123,137,899 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (19,700 00I ) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) A.2' t.94 t.57 .22 t.88 t.56 t.25 103,437,899 109,542,698 115,915,442 122,522,788 129,387,392 136,671,678 143,709,231 (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7 424,382) (7,424,382) (7 424,382) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) ---------------------------------------------------------------------99,538,711 92,501,159 85,216,872 78,352,268 71,744,922 65,372,179 59,267,380 0 0 0 0 0 0 40,780,195 65,372,179 71,744,922 78,352,268 85,216,872 92,501,159 99,538,711 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (18,487,185) 600,000,000 0 49,769,356 46,250,579 42,608,436 39 176,134 35 872,461 32,686 089 0 60,321,060 58,024,231 47,754,825 29,479,950 39,613,621 41,002,458 38,640,113 (49,769,356) (46,250,579) (42,608,436) (39,176,134) (35,872,461) (32,686,089) 0 ---------------------------------------------------------------49,769,356 46,250,579 42,608,436 39,176,134 35,872,461 32,686,089 0 39,815,485 37,000,463 34,086,749 31,340,907 28,697,969 26,148,872 32 624 156 9,953,871 9,250,116 8,521,687 7,835,227 7,174,492 6,537,218 8,156,039 --------------------------------------------------------------------- APPENDIX A BASE CASE SCENARIO 2010 - 2011 - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) 250,188, 09t 239,414,446 229,104,733 219,238,979 209,798,066 200,763,700 192 118 373 23,112,08' 23,014,176 27,527,425 28,338,600 28,228,605 28,123,689 27,878,024 45,769,76 44,452,130 43,185,173 41,966,945 38,768,467 35,663,218 34,226,291 --------------------------------------------------------------------$306,880,752 $319,069,943 $299,817,331 $254,222,688 $264,550,607 $276,795,138 $289,544,524 Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (49,423,850) (44,828,889) (47,070,334) (40,661,124) (42,694,180) (36,880,838) (38,724,880) 0 0 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------269,646,093 259,810,418 241,418,442 233,280,344 222,564,014 212,255,727 203,771,850 Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15 895,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 --------------------------------------------------------------------234,520,730 224,685,056 206,293,079 198,154,981 187,438,652 177,130,365 168,646,487 Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (19,700000) 100 000) 0 (19,9,7 (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) 11.90 11.41 10.47 16.06 .51 A.99 A.56 --------------------------------------------------------------------214,820,730 204,985,056 186,593,079 178,454,981 167,738,652 157,430,365 148,946,487 (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7 424,382) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) ---------------------------------------------------------------------170,650,211 160,814,536 142,422,560 134,284,462 123,568,132 113,259,845 104,775,968 1986 1987 1986 1987 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Pr t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT : Hsg. Program Pmts. per A&C (8) Other Revenues Needed (9) NET EXCESS AVAILABLE FOR SPLIT: City Split Used For Hsg.(80%) (10) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 104,775,968 113,259,845 123,568,132 134,284,462 142,422,560 160,814,536 170,650,211 (Cummulative New Housing Program Plus City Split) 0 Max. Avail. for Debt Service (11) Leverage Capability (12) New Bond Debt Service 52 387 984 45,808,472 (52'387'984) 56 629 923 103,526,444 (56'629'923) 61,784,066 55,363,945 (61 784 066) 67,142,231 131,359,460 (67,142,231) 71,211,280 59,836,187 (71,211,280) 80,407,268 61,357,953 (80,407,268) 85,325,105 0 (85,325,105) 52,387,984 56,629,923 61,784,066 67,142,231 71,211,280 80,407,268 85,325,105 41 910,387 10,477,597 68,260,084 64,325,815 56,969,024 53,713,785 49,427,253 45 303 938 17,065,021 16,081,454 14,242,256 13,428,446 12,356,813 11,325,985 -------------------------------------------------------- AVAILABLE AMOUNTS W/ LEVERAGE: Total City Split Monies (13) Total Joint Purpose Monies W/ Leverage FOOTNOTES: (See on last Page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED APPENDIX A BASE CASE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2017 2018 2019 2020 261,446,560 21,187,106 47,140,107 273,211,656 21,221,797 48,565,262 285,506,180 21, 258,572 50,047,422 298,353,958 9,541,630 51,588,870 $329,773,773 $342,998,715 $356,812,174 $359,484,458 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income ( ) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 1987 1986 1987 Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Prj t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT : Hsg. Program Pmts. per A&C (8) Other Revenues Needed (9) NET EXCESS AVAILABLE FOR SPLIT: City Split Used For Hsg.(80%) (10) (Cummutative New Housing Program Plus City Split) Max. Avail. for Debt Service (11) Leverage Capability (12) New Bond De t Service AVAILABLE AMOUNTS W/ LEVERAGE: Total City Split Monies (13) Total Joint Purpose Monies W/ Leverage FOOTNOTES: (See on last Page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED (51,895,043) 0 (54,489,795) 0 (57,214,285) 0 (60,074,999) 0 277,878,730 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 288,508,920 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 299,597,889 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 299,409,459 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 257,857,378 0 (19,700 000) 11.09 268,487,567 0 (19,700 000) 11.63 279,576,537 0 (19,700 000) 279,388,106 0 (19,700 000) 14.18 238,157,378 248,787,567 259,876,537 259,688,106 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) 193,986,858 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) 204,617,048 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) 215,706,017 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) 215,517,587 14.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 193,986,858 204,617,048 215,706,017 215,517,587 107,853,009 0 (107,758,793) 107,758,793 0 (107,758,793) 107,947,224 107,758,793 86,357,779 21,589,445 86,207,035 21,551,759 102,308,524 96,993,429 0 0 (96,993,429) (102,308,524) 102,308,524 96,993,429 77,594,743 19,398,686 81,846,819 20,461,705 FOOTNOTES: (1)Derived from 1990 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. BPCA Pro Forma Cash Flow Study. These figures reflect only those revenues derived from Existing Sublease Revenues and do not include Post-1986 Leases, Transaction payments , New Leases, Lump Sum Payments or Future Revenues. Assumed growth rate is 4.5% per year. (2) The 1990 O&M/Ackninistrative budgeted amounts is $13,900,000 with a 5% growth rate for the remaining years. (3) Reserve Fund Deposit amount is $14,300,000 which approximates the original deosit to the reserve fund. The deposits for the 1986 and 1987 reserve funds are $15 819 802 and 521,072,949 respectively. These amounts also represent original deposit amounts and all reserve funds assume an investment earnings rate of 5%. (4) Pursuant to the Ammendment to First Dedication Instrument dated 9/15/1987, capitalized interest was extended to cover interest through 1992 on the 1987 HNYC bonds. Assume first principal and interest payment to occur in 1993. H (5) Pursuant to the 1990 Revenue Bond Resolution, excess revenue funds available are to deosited into a Special Fund so that the amount is not in excess of $17 million in 1990, $34 million in 1991, and $51 million in 1992. The purpose is to provide additional coverage for the 1990 bonds in case of insufficient revenues. The monies are available for any purpose the City and Authority jointly decide after 1992. The antaysis assumes that the monies are deposited in the Fund for three years and then are released as Joint Purpose Monies in 1993 as reflected by the $51 million in Joint Purpose monies in 1993 plus the traditional split that occurs from Available Amounts. During the years 1990-1992 the analysis assumes that all remaining Available Amounts, after deposit to Special Fund, go to the City as split amounts and are used to fund the obligations under the 1989 A&C. (6) Assumes BPCA anticipated future infrastructure financings of $22.5 million and $33.5 million net proceeds in 1991 and 1992 respectively. Net Proceeds account for 67% of bonds issued to account for three years of capitalized interest costs of issuance, and reserve fund deposits. Figures derived from 1990 Amendment to Agreement as to Certain Excess Revenues of BPCA, 5/18/90 estimated schedule. (7) Assumes HNYC anticipated future financings for the Housing New York Program of $140 million $52 million, $36.5 million, and $28.9 million in net proceeds for the consecutive years commencing in 190 and ending in 1993. Net Proceeds account for 62.22% of bonds issued to account for 4 years of capitalizd interest, costs of issuance, reserve fund deposits. (8) Amounts given in the 1989 A&C commencing in 1994 and ending when hsg. program fulfilled. Amounts to be paid excess revenues, prior to traditional 80%/20% split, and other revenues available. See next footnote. (9) Necessary revenues from sources other than existing subleases (i.e., new leases, transaction payments etc) to pay for commitment under the A&C housing obligations. (10) Amounts available for City split that go to fund the A&C obligations. I have assume that the $50 remittance to the City obligation under the 1989 A&C will go to fund the new housing program. Therefore, this amount ($50 million) is shown as City split amounts and is fulfilled by 1992. (11) Assumes a conservative 2 times debt coverage ratio. (12) Assumes the first year leveraged amounts could be issued would be 2000, and assumes 3 full years of capitalized interest. (13) City split amounts are not available from 1994 until 2003 because excess revenues before the split is being used to fund $600 million housing obligation. * All figures are derived from the 1986 and 1990 Battery Park City Authority Official Statements, as well as the 1987 Housing New York Corporation Official Statement. A&C annual payments are derived from the 1989 Agreement and Consent document. APPENDIX B 114 APPENDIX B ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 1991 1992 54 317,728 47 678,092 7,895,530 6,797,374 13,843,345 12,547,006 --------------------$76,056,603 $67,022,472 62,224,294 8,927,555 15,035,896 1990 1994 1993 1995 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income 1986 1987 1986 1987 AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Special Fund Deposit (5) P edged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Pr t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO LEVERAGE $86,187,745 87,959,412 78,754,237 70,188,600 12,394,134 10,975,198 9,951,377 19,033,111 17,485,304 16,147,148 ------------------------$119,386,657 $96,287,125 $107,214,739 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14 285,000) (17,740,314) (16,895,537) (16,090,988) (15,324,750) (14,595,000) (13,900 000) 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 ---------------------------------------------------------------88,076,343 76,749,202 66,626,138 57,292,995 47,891,603 39,552,472 (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (13,108,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 0 0 0 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 0 0 ====------------------------------------------0 ----------52,950,981 41,623,840 31,500,775 42,188,985 32,787,593 27,235,462 0 0 0 (17,000,000) (17,000,000) (17,000,000) (16,000 000) (16,000 000) (16,000 000) 0 0 0 3.31 E60 1-97 0.00 -------------0.00 0.00 =------------------------36,950,981 25,623,840 15,500,775 25,188,985 15,787,593 10,235,462 0 0 0 0 10,235,462 15,787,593 (7,424,382) (2,983,011) 0 0 (27,409,706) (19,986,244) 0 0 -~-----------------------------------2,116,892 2,654,585 15,500,775 25,188,985 1,058,446 50,317,684 0 -------2,116,892 10,235,462 15,787,593 1,327,292 0 105,344,293 0 0 0 ----------------------------2,654,585 15,500,775 25,188,985 City Split (80%) Joint Purpose Monies (20%) NEW HOUSING PROGRAM: City Split Monies (10) Other Revenues (11) Leveraged Amounts 10,235,462 0 15,787,593 0 25,188,985 0 10,235,462 0 0 15,787,593 0 0 CummuLative Housing Balance Extra Monies Paid per A&C (12) City Split Benefit (13) Savings (Freed Monies) (14) Savings (PV @ 8.00%) 10,235,462 0 0 26,023,055 0 0 1,693,514 2,123,668 15,500,775 25,188,985 24,283,108 10,545,415 0 0 32,706,495 68,473,791 0 -------- 0 --------------------------206,538,806 147,855,689 66,712,815 51,212,040 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Max. Avail. for Debt Service (8) Leverage Capability (9) New Bond Debt Service NET AVAILABLE AMOUNTS FOOTNOTES: (See Last page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 0 0 0 0 0 0, 112,003,201 42,700,000 - 0 0 0 - 15,500,775 51,000,000 - 2,123,668 530,917 - 1,693,514 423,378 APPENDIX B ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO 1996 - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 1997 1998 1999 2000 2002 2001 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 Bonds Debt Service 1987 HNYC Debt Service (4) 1986 Reserve Income 1987 Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Prj t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (199 -1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO LEVERAGE Max. Avail. for Debt Service (8) Leverage Ca ability (9) New Bond Debt Service NET AVAILABLE AMOUNTS City Split (80%) Joint Purpose Monies (20%) NEW HOUSING PROGRAM: City Split Monies (10) other Revenues (11) Leveraged Amounts 135,094,782 129,277,304 123,710,338 118,383,099 112,476,224 105 322,128 97,098,348 29,117,602 28,757,535 27,716,780 19,149,408 15,760,650 14,394,949 13 394,453 26,655,552 25,758,504 24,976,523 24,250,945 23,580,565 22 ,406,334 20,638,658 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------$190,867,936 $183,793,343 $176,403,641 $161,783,452 $151,817,439 $142,123,411 $131,131,459 (15 895,000) (21,075,000) 790 990 1,053,647 (15 895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075 000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 63,808,767 0 (16,000 000) K.99 47,808,767 73,869,353 0 (16,000 000) 82,585,446 0 (19,700 000) 91,524,627 0 (19,700 000) 105,066,643 111,324,263 117,210,171 57,869,353 62,885,446 71,824,627 0 (19,700 000) $.33 85,366,643 0 (19,700 000) $.65 91,624,263 0 (19,700 000) 95 -. 97,510,171 (14 285,000) (14 285,000) (20,536,631) (19,558,696) 715,000 715,000 1,08 189,5 -117,710,808-108,994,715 4.62 4.19 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (22,641,635) (21,563,462) 715,000 715,000 1,90 166,9 126,649,990 --- 140,192,006 -- 4.65 FOOTNOTES: (See last page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED --------------- (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) (7,424,382) 7,424,382) (7 424,382) (7,424,382) (6,746,137) (6,746, 137) (6,746,137) (6,746,137) (36746,137) (6,746,1137) (2,620:405) ------------------------------------------------------------------------53,339,651 47,453,744 41,196,124 27,654,108 18,714,926 13,698,833 7,763,979 26,669,826 23, 726,872 20,598,062 13,827,054 9,357,463 6,849,417 3,881,990 37,192,034 35,871,483 34,363,251 33,366,544 33,131,134 35,223,466 76,226,540 (23,726,872) (26,669,826) (20,598,062) (13,827,054) (9,357,463) 0 0 ------------------------------------------1 9,357,463 13,698,833 7 3 26,669,826 23,726,872 20,598,062 13,827,054 9,357,463 13,698,833 7,763,979 21,335,860 18,981, 498 16, 478,450 11,061, 643 7,485,971 10 959 067 6 211 184 5,333,965 4,745,374 4,119,612 2,765,411 1,871,493 2,739,767 1,552,796 6 211,184 31,836,021 49,547,251 10 959,067 39,101,167 22,895,253 7,485,971 47,285,074 21,535,237 11, 061,643 51,545,892 21,688,253 16,478,450 38,003,876 22,336,113 31,746,256 443,395,030 0 0 527,690,818 0 0 604,509,257 4,509,257 0 31,746,256 18,981,498 - -------------------------------------------- Cummulative Housing Balance Extra Monies Paid per A&C (12) City Split Benefit (13) Savings (Freed Monies) (14) Savings (PV @ 8.00%) (14,285,000) (24,962,403) 715,000 1,35---------152,335,533 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (14,285,000) (23,773,717) 715,000 144,2 146,449,626-(15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (14,285,000) (18,627,329) 715,000 9,41 --98,934,130 -- 294,133,261 0 0 367,088,748 0 0 25,860,349 - - - 25,860,349 21,335,860 -------------------------M ----------------------- --- APPENDIX B ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 Bonds Debt Service 1987 HNYC Debt Service (4) 1986 Reserve Income 1987 Reserve Income AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: Fund Deposit (5) Spcial P edged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: Pr t.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO LEVERAGE Max. Avail. for Debt Service (8) Leverage Ca pability (9) New Bond Debt Service NET AVAILABLE AMOUNTS City Split (80%)* Joint Purpose Monies (20%) NEW HOUSING PROGRAM: City Split Monies (10) Other Revenues (11) Leveraged Amounts Cummulative Housing Balance Extra Monies Paid per A&C (12) City Split Benefit (13) Savings (Freed Monies) (14) Savings (PV @ 8.00%) FOOTNOTES: (See last page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 141 29,615,998 29,824,365 30,023,703 28,316,232 27,470,298 ------------------------------ 29,217,952 30,133,363 $205,459,110 $198,043,785 (14 285,000) (26,210,523) 30,263,743 30,510,162 30,197,704 31,091,427 ------------------------------- 33,120,125 32,080,338 $247,229,201 $238,519,048 $229,641,809 $221,260,107 $213,207,906 183,845,333 175,928,548 168,352,678 161,103,041 154,165,589 147,526,880 174,048 29,399,439 (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (14,285,000) (27,521,049) (28,897,102) (30,341,957) (31,859,055) (33,452,007) (35,124,608) 715,000 715,000 715,000 ----------------------- 715,000 715,000 715,000 715,000 ==------------------------------------- 158,263,262 164,368,061 170,740,804 177,348,150 184,212,754 191,497,041 198,534,593 (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (15,895,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) (21,075,000) 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 ---------------------------------------------------------- --- 000) (19,700 6.56 6.25 -----------103,437,899 424,382) (7 000) (19,700 109,542,698 (7,424,382) (19,700 000) (19,700 000) (7,424,382) 122,522,788 (7,424,382) 163,409,231 156,371,678 000) (19,700 129,387,392 (7,424,382) 0 0 000) (19,700 136,671,678 (7,424,382) A.29 143,709,231 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) (36,746,137) 59,267,380 65,372,179 71,744,922 78,352,268 85,216,872 92,501,159 99,538,711 32,686,089 35,872,461 39,176,134 42,608,436 46,250,579 49,769,356 38,640,113 41,002,458 39,613,621 29,479,950 47,754,825 58,024,231 60,321,060 (29,633,690) (32,686,089) (35,872,461) (39,176,134) (42,608,436) (46,250,579) (49,769,356) 29,633,690 32,686,089 35,872,461 39,176,134 42,608,436 46,250,579 49,769,356 23,706,952 26,148,872 28,697,969 31,340,907 34,086,749 37,000,463 39,815,485 29 633,690 5,926,738 18,487,185 18,487,185 (8,917,204) 6,537,218 7,174,492 7,835,227 8,521,687 9,250,116 000) (19,700 t.94 t-57 t-.22 6.88 ====-----------------------------------115,915,442 1,053,647 0 0 0 0 0 149,087,392 142,222,788 135,615,442 129,242,698 123,137,899 790,990 990 1,053,647 1,053,647 1,053,647 (21,075,000) 790 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 790,990 9,953,871 APPENDIX B ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 192,118,373 27,878,024 34,226,291 200,763,700 28,123,689 35,663,218 209,798,066 28,228,605 38,768,467 219,238,979 28,338,600 41,966,945 229,104,733 27,527,425 43,185,173 239,414,446 23,014,176 44,452,130 250,188,096 23,112,081 45,769,766 $254,222,688 $264,550,607 $276,795,138 $289,544,524 $299,817,331 $306,880,752 $319,069,943 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: (14,285,000) (36,880,838) 715,000 (14,285,000) (38,724,880) 715,000 (14,285,000) (40,661,124) 715,000 (14,285,000) (42,694,180) 715,000 (14,285,000) (44,828,889) 715,000 (47,070,334) 0 (49,423,850) 0 203,771,850 212,255,727 222,564,014 233,280,344 241,418,442 259,810,418 269,646,093 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 (15,895,000) (21,075,000) 790,990 1,053,647 AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: SpeciaL Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 168,646,487 0 (19,700 000) A.56 177,130,365 0 (19,700 000) A.99 187,438,652 0 (19,700 000) 0.51 198,154,981 0 (19,700 000) 16.06 206,293,079 0 (19,700 000) 16.47 224,685,056 0 (19,700 000) 11.41 234,520,730 0 (19,700 000) 11.90 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: 148,946,487 157,430,365 167,738,652 178,454,981 186,593,079 204,985,056 214,820,730 (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income ( ) EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 1987 1986 1987 Bonds Debt Service HNYC Debt Service (4) Reserve Income Reserve Income Prjt.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO LEVERAGE 104,775,968 113,259,845 123,568,132 134,284,462 142,422,560 160,814,536 170,650,211 Max. Avail. for Debt Service (8) Leverage CapabiLity (9) New Bond Debt Service 52,387,984 45,808,472 (52,387,984) 52,387,984 56,629,923 103,526,444 (56,629,923) 56,629,923 61,784,066 55,363,945 (61,784,066) 61,784,066 67,142,231 131,359,460 (67,142,231) 67,142,231 71,211,280 59,836,187 (71,211,280) 71,211,280 80,407,268 61,357,953 (80,407,268) 85,325,105 0 (85,325,105) 80,407,268 85,325,105 49,427,253 12,356,813 53,713,785 13,428,446 56,969,024 14,242,256 64,325,815 16,081,454 68,260,084 17,065,021 NET AVAILABLE AMOUNTS City Split (80%) Joint Purpose Monies (20%) NEW HOUSING PROGRAM: City Split Monies (10) Other Revenues (11) Leveraged Amounts Cummulative Housing Balance Extra Monies Paid per A&C (12) City Split Benefit (13) Savings (Freed Monies) (14) Savings (PV @ 8.00%) FOOTNOTES: (See last page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 41,910,387 10,477,597 45,303,938 11,325,985 APPENDIX B ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO - - COMPLETE FINANCIALS 2017 2018 2019 2020 261,446,560 21,187,106 47,140,107 273,211,656 21, 221,797 48,565,262 285,506,180 21,258,572 50,047,422 298,353,958 9,541,630 51,588,870 $329,773,773 $342,998,715 $356,812,174 $359,484,458 EXISTING SUBLEASE REVENUES:(1) Pilot Base Rent/Other Residential TOTAL: 1972 Debt Service 0 & M/Administrative (2) 1972 Reserve Income (3) (51,895,043) 0 (54,489,795) 0 (57,214,285) 0 (60,074,999) 0 EXCESS REVENUE FUND ("ERF") AMTS: 1986 Bonds Debt Service 1987 HNYC Debt Service (4) 1986 Reserve Income 1987 Reserve Income 277,878,730 288,508,920 299,597,889 299,409,459 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 0 (21,075,000) 0 1,053,647 AVAILABLE AMOUNTS: 257,857,378 268,487,567 279,576,537 279,388,106 Special Fund Deposit (5) Pledged Rev.for 1990 Debt Service DCR on 1990 Bonds 2cnd TIER "ERF" AMOUNTS: 0 (19,700 000) 13.09 0 (19,700 000) 13.63 0 (19,700000) 14.19 238,157,378 248,787,567 259,876,537 0 1000) -18 (1 259,688,106 Prjt.Rev.Bds. Pmts (1991-1993) (6) HNYC Debt Srv. (1990-1993) (7) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) (7,424,382) (36,746,137) NET EXCESS APPLIED TO LEVERAGE Max. Avail. for Debt Service (8) Leverage Capability (9) New Bond Debt Service NET AVAILABLE AMOUNTS 193,986,858 204,617,048 215,706,017 215,517,587 107,853,009 0 (107,758,793) 107,758,793 0 (107,758,793) 107,947,224 107,758,793 86,357,779 21,589,445 86,207,035 21,551,759 City Split (80%) Joint Purpose Monies (20%) NEW HOUSING PROGRAM: City Split Monies (10) Other Revenues (11) Leveraged Amounts Cummulative Housing Balance Extra Monies Paid per A&C (12) City Split Benefit (13) Savings (Freed Monies) (14) Savings (PV @ 8.00%) FOOTNOTES: (See last page) Source: Tom Oppenheim, M.I.T. CRED 102,308,524 96,993,429 0 0 (96,993,429) (102,308,524) 102,308,524 96,993,429 77,594,743 19,398,686 81,846,819 20,461,705 FOOTNOTES: (1) Derived from 1990 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. BPCA Pro Forma Cash Flow Study. These figures reflect only those revenues derived from Existing Sublease Revenues and do not include Post-1986 leases, Transaction payments, New leases, Lump Sum Payments or Future Revenues. Assumed growth rate is 4.5% per year from 2000-2020. (2) The 1990 O&M/Administrative budgeted amounts is $13,900,000 with a 5% growth rate for the remaining years. Source: 1990 Official Statement. (3)Reserve Fund Deposit amount is $14,300,000 which approximates the original deposit to the reserve fund. The deposits for the 1986 and 1987 reserve funds are $15 819,802 and $21,072,949 respectively. These amounts also represent original deposit amounts and all reserve funds assume an investment earning rate of 5%. 0 extended (4) Pursuant to the Ammendment to First Dedication Instrument dated 9/15/1987, capitalized interest was to occur in 1993. to cover interest through 1992 on the 1987 HNYC bonds. Assume first principal and interest payment (5) Pursuant to the 1990 Revenue Bond Resolution, excess revenue funds available are to deposited.into a Special Fund so that the amount is not in excess of $17 million in 1990, $34 million in 1991, and $51 million in 1992. The purpose is to provide additional coverage in case of insufficient revenues and the monies are available for any purpose the City and Authority jointly decide. The anlysis assumes that the monies are deosited in the Fund for three years and then are released as Joint Purpose Monies in.1993 as reflected by the $51 million in 1990-1992 Joint Purpose Monies in 1993 plus the traditional split that occurs from Available Amounts. During the years the analysis assumes that remaining Available Amounts go to the City as the deposit to the Special Fund represents the use that the BPCA and the City decide for Joint Purpose Monies. (6) Assumes BPCA anticipated future infrastructure financings of $22.5 million and $33.5 million net proceeds in 1991 and 1992 respectively. Net Proceeds account for 67% of bonds issued to account for three years of capitalized interest, costs of issuance, and reserve fund deposits. (7) Assumes HNYC anticipated future financings for the Housing New York Program of $140 million $52 million, $36.5 million, and $28.9 million in net proceeds for the consecutive years commencing in 1900 and ending in 1993. Net Proceeds account for 62.22% of bonds issued to account for four years of capitalized interest, costs of issuance, reserve fund deposits. (8) Assumes a conservative 2 times debt coverage ratio. (9) Assumes the first year leveraged amounts could be issued would be 1994 after anticipated future financings are complete. Assumes 3 years of capitalized interes thus coverage begins in 2004. (10) Remaining city split monies are applied until 2000 for the new hsg. program. Additionally the $50 million remittance to the City obligation under the 1989 A&C is assumed to be paid to the new housing program. The $0 million is fulfilled in the year 1992 and is shown as City split amounts. (11) These are the same amounts of extra revenues needed under the Base Case scenario that are applied to the new hsg. program. Note that after 2000 these monies are no longer necessary and represent the amount of freed monies under this scenario. (12) These represent the additional amounts that were paid from other revenue sources under the Base Case scenario in years 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2003 that were not required under the alternative leverage scenerio. (13) These amounts are city split benefits that are available to the city in the years 2001 and 2002 The $8.9 million represents the greater city split amounts that as a result of early fulfillment of hsg8 -program. are realized in year 2003 under the M. .U. scenario as a result of no debt service requirements. (14) These are the monies that are freed early (net city benefits and the other revenues)for other non housing uses under the leveraged scenario due to early fulfillment of housing program in 2000. * All figures derived from 1986 and 1990 Battery Park City Authority Official Statements, as well as the 1987 Housing New York Corporation Official Statement. A&C annual cash payments are derived from the 1989 Agreement and Consent Document.