Localising data in a Globalised World Javier Lopez Gonzalez, James Messent, Magnus Rentzhog, Dorothee Flaig, MarieAgnes Jouanjean and Peter Walkenhorst Session 2: Data Protection and International Trade: What is at stake? Geneva 19th April 2016 Context • Globalisation is underpinned by the movement of data across international borders. • The ubiquitous exchange of data has raised concerns related to the privacy and security of consumers leading to the emergence of new regulations seeking to provide protection. • Policy challenge: To enact policies that protect privacy and security in the least trade distorting way. • The role of economic analysis: to provide information to weigh the existing tradeoffs. • Aim of our project: to measure the impact of the emerging data regulation on business activity and trade. • Quantifying the impact of emerging measures is hard. • Value of data is not easily measured (data valued at use, bytes and bits vs value, inherent and potential value, etc.) • Restrictiveness of the measures uncertain • Little knowledge on how firms use data or how they choose its location. 2 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org UNDERSTANDING THE MEASURES 3 Data regulation database • Identified pieces of legislation, regulation or policies that are implemented by governments and currently in force. • To be included, measures must treat foreign senders/receivers differently from domestic equivalents, or explicitly regulate the geographic location of data storage. • Over 100 measures across 68 economies identified. • Analysis of measures informs a broad taxonomy. • Measures fall into two categories: • Cross-border flow measures (75) • Local storage requirements (41) 4 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Cross-border flow measures - Taxonomy Conditional Free / No specific mention One-of Combination Private sector safeguards Private sector safeguards Actionable Non-actionable Actionable Non-actionable Government safeguards Government safeguards Domestic focus International focus Domestic focus International focus Prohibition General level of restrictiveness 5 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Cross-border flow measures – Evolution and nature 80 Nubmer of measures 70 Public 4 60 Health 3 Telecommunications 3 50 40 Prohibition Financial 9 Conditions - Combination 30 Conditional - One of 20 10 0 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 Horizontal 56 6 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Local Storage Requirement - Taxonomy Compulsory Conditional Free/ No specific mention • • • Guarantee of government Time specific storage requirement Foreign storage is necessary Compulsory & other data restriction Compulsory & prohibitive data restriction General level of restrictiveness 7 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Local Storage Requirement – Evolution and type 45 40 Public 2 Health 2 Number of measures 35 All data 1 Personal 7 30 25 20 Compulsory Conditional 15 10 Telecommunications 14 5 0 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 Financial 15 8 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org QUANTIFYING THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE DATA REGULATION 9 Understanding the economic implications can help policy makers weigh the existing trade-offs • Although measures generally restrict transfers of personal data, OECD research suggests that firms may not be able to easily separate personal from non-personal data so the measures will have a broader reach. • The use of international data by businesses is endemic: • Coordinating GVCs relies on data transfers (fro production, coordination of processes, HR management, accountancy, traceability…). • Data enabled digital solutions can help increase productivity and reduce supplier search costs; • Data can help deliver new services previously hard to trade (i.e. medical diagnostic services , accountancy etc.) • Medical research organisations researching cures for diseases require analysing personal health records to identify cures (i.e. Cancer Research). • Data transfers can be particularly important for SMEs and firms in developing countries which are more constrained in the internationalisation processes. • But quantification of the impact is hard. No data on data, little knowledge of how companies value data or how restrictive measures are. It is an ongoing exercise. 10 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Quantification (ongoing) • Dearth of statistics and importance of inter-linkage (input) effects favours use of ex-ante modelling techniques Computable General Equilibrium models. • Data sector is split from GTAP database • Cross-border flow restrictions: • Impose compliance cost (ad-valorem- akin to iceberg costs) related to; I. II. Splitting personal and non-personal data. Cost will depend on importance of personal information and costs of splitting. Compliance associated to meeting the grounds of the conditional flow restriction. • Storage restriction: • Cost increase modelled as modified local content requirement. Input-cost mark-up to be satisfied by the domestic market. 11 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Simulations • Scenario 1: Measuring the impact of current measures • Measures identified (over 100) to be added collectively. • Scenario 2: Measuring the impact of data autarky • To obtain an upper bound to compare other scenarios. Hypothetical exercise to highlight possible impact of continued proliferation.. • Scenario 3: A new policy environment • Attempt to model what adopting a common international agreement on use of data might be and costs associated to not adopting this standard. • Scenarios are tentative. 12 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org OECD Ministerial on the Digital Economy Cancun, Mexico 21-23 June • Cancún marks another pivotal point in the evolution of the digital economy, one in which the economy is in fact becoming fully digital. • Ministers from OECD and partner countries, international organisations, business, labour, civil society and the Internet technical community will meet to discuss better policies for Internet openness and global data flows, convergence, IoT, trust and digital risk management, and new jobs & skills. • These discussions will consider the trade-offs, complementarities and possible unintended consequences of policy actions. oecd.org/cancun2016 Contact us We look forward to hearing from you! Access all of the information from the Trade & Agriculture Directorate at: You can reach us via e-mail by sending your message to the following address: We invite you to connect with us on Twitter by following: www.oecd.org/tad tad.contact@oecd.org @OECDtrade 1414 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org Difficulty of separating personal and nonpersonal data (percent of responses) Wood, paper, paper products, printing and publishing Other manufacturing, including recycling Food products, beverages and tobacco Transport equipment Textiles, textile products, leather and footwear Construction Mining and quarrying Post and telecommunications Chemicals and non-metallic mineral products Research and development Agriculture, hunting and forestry and fishing Other manufacturing of machinery and equipment Computer and related activities Other business activities Electrical and optical equipment Electricity, gas and water supply Wholesale and retail trade; Hotels and Restaurants Financial intermediation Community, social and personal services Real estate, and renting 0% Costly or Very costly 20% Somewhat costly 40% 60% 80% 100% Not at all costly 15 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | tad.contact@oecd.org