James Sickman Danuta Bennett Annie Esperanza Andi Heard Leland Tarnay Delores Lucero Mark Brenner – Environmental Sciences, University of California Riverside - Environmental Sciences, University of California Riverside – National Park Service, Sequoia and Kings Canyon - Environmental Sciences, University of California Riverside – National Park Service, Yosemite – Environmental Sciences, University of California Riverside – Geological Sciences, University of Florida Presented at: USFS Western Lakes Monitoring Workshop March 2-4 Stevenson WA Examine trends in water quality, deposition and lake changes in the West Evaluate Diatom as potential indicators of deposition effects Describe ongoing work in the Sierra Nevada incorporating diatoms to establish N critical loads and nutrient criteria NASA ANC Trends 1983-2009 ANC (microequivalents per liter) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 Sulfate Trends 1983-2009 Sulfate (microequivalents per liter) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 Nitrate Trends 1983-2009 Nitrate (microequivalents per liter) 16 14 Wet Wet Dry Dry 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 20 20 20 20 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 96 95 94 93 92 91 90 89 Non-Winter Dry Non-Winter Wet Winter 19 19 19 19 19 88 87 86 85 6 19 19 19 19 DIN Loading (kg/ha/yr) 7 Organic N: Mean = 0.7 kg/ha/yr 5 4 3 2 1 0 Temporal Patterns: Loch Vale, Colorado Baron 2006: Ecological Applications N deposition over past 20-25 yrs stable N deposition ++ over past 100+ yrs ‘‘anchor’’ deposition N saturation of alpine watersheds in the Sierra Nevada Eutrophication of Emerald Lake 45 25 High Lake Watershed Sierra Nevada 20 Nitrate (µmol L-1) 35 30 15 25 Nitrate Runoff 20 10 15 10 Daily Runoff (mm) 40 5 5 0 6/1 High Lake Low Lake Mills Treasure 7/1 8/1 Elevation Mean NO3 (m) (µM) 3603 13 3444 9.6 3554 9.3 3420 8.9 9/1 - 0 10/1 Catchment N% DIN Saturation Retention Stage -24% 3 -7% 3 0% 2 27% 2 Stage 2: Elevated nitrate concentration in growing season Stage 3: Catchment net source for N Sickman et al. 2002 Particulate P (µM) 0.4 0.3 Slope 0 test: t = 10.2, p < 0.0001, n = 91 Kendall Tau: r = 0.43, p < 0.001 Trends detected at Emerald Lake: 0.2 TP and PP increase 0.1 0 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 120 Particulate C (µM) 100 Increased phytoplankton biomass Trends suggest affects of both N and P deposition Slope 0 test: t = 8.0, p< 0.0001, n = 99 Kendall Tau: r = 0.224, p = 0.001 80 60 40 20 0 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 Sickman et al. 2003 Background Case Studies in high elevation lakes: Diatom proxies of pH Emerald Lake (Holmes et al. 1985) Diatom proxies of N deposition: RM National Park (Baron et al. 2000 Wolfe et al. 2001) Wyoming Lakes (Saros et al. 2003) Diatoms are excellent indicators High species diversity (pelagic & benthic types in lakes) Well-defined ecological requirements Respond quickly to environmental change Cell walls composed of silica are well preserved in sediments Case Study 1 Holmes et al. (1989) Study of Emerald Lake to reconstruct pH and ANC history from sediment diatoms A calibration set of 27 lakes was used to develop diatom predictive models Predictive model based on a ratio of pH preference categories Holmes et al. 1989 ANC predictive model based on multiple regression of 4 new ANC preference categories for diatoms pH predictive model based on multiple regression Of pH preference categories pH inferences for Emerald Lake Holmes et al. 1989 Study demonstrated no pH changes from acid deposition Case Study 2 Baron et al. (2000) Wolfe et al. (2001) Diatoms used to assess lake responses to N Deposition in the Colorado Front Range Diatom analyses in Sky Pond and Lake Louise Diatoms and 210Pb dates from 2 sediment cores Sky Pond Baron et al. (2000) Wolfe et al. (2001) Lake Louise Shift from oligotrophic to mesotrophic diatom species c. 1950-1970 suggests a trophic shift occurred in the lakes Baron et al. (2000) Wolfe et al. (2001) Change in 15N signatures suggest a new source of N Increase in diatom productivity suggests greater nutrient input Linkages to N deposition An increase occurred in the volume of diatoms deposited in sediments Recent diatom communities changed more rapidly than at any time in past Case Study 3 Saros et al. (2003) Study examined sediment and diatom records in four lakes in the Beartooth Mountains NADP data indicate the study area receives N deposition <1.5 kg/ha/yr Diatoms and 210Pb dates from Beartooth Lake Saros et al. (2003) Diatom record indicates a community shift occurred within last two decades Current Research in Sierra Nevada Selected for large variation in nitrate concentrations Selected for low variation in pH, ANC NASA’s Earth Observatory Environmental variables (CCA) Fragilaria crotonensis Kitton Asterionella formosa Hassall RM Indicator Species: More Abundant in Low N Lakes 1. 2. 3. High elevation regions receive elevated atmospheric deposition relative to 100+ years ago Aquatic ecosystems are very nutrient deficient and are responding to deposition of N and P But responses are different in Rocky Mountains and Sierra Nevada…… Nutrient Limitation Sickman, 2001 HOW DIATOM RESPOND TO ELEVATED ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION ROCKY MOUNTAINS Diatom communities in lakes may be more responding to elevated N deposition, due to their initial N limitation (Saros et al.2003). SIERRA NEVADA Diatom communities respond to both higher rates of N and P deposition, but the P deposition has strongest impact, because lakes were predominantly P limited . N:P ratio High N Low P NITROGEN N N PHOSPHOROUS N P P N P P CAN WE USE DIATOMS AS INDICATOR OF ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION? 1 acknowledge differences between systems (source and type of deposition) 2 incorporate differences between types of initial nutrient limitations through time 3 interpret species tolerances in relation to broad environmental gradients 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. Baron, J. S., H. M. Rueth, A. M. Wolfe, K. R. Nydick, E. J. Allstott, J. T. Minear and B. Moraska, Ecosystem responses to nitrogen deposition in the Colorado Front Range, Ecosystems, 3(4), 352-368, 2000. Baron, J. S., Hindcasting nitrogen deposition to determine an ecological critical load, Ecological Applications, 16(2), 433-439, 2006. Bloom, A. M., K. A. Moser, D. F. Porinchu and G. M. MacDonald, Diatom-inference models for surface-water temperature and salinity developed from a 57-lake calibration set from the Sierra Nevada, California, USA, Journal of Paleolimnology, 29(2), 235-255, 2003. Clow, D. W., J. O. Sickman, R. G. Striegl, D. P. Krabbenhoft, J. G. Elliot, M. Dornblaser, D. A. Roth, and D. H. Campbell. 2003. Changes in the chemistry of lakes and precipitation in high elevation national parks in the Western United States, 1985–1999. Water Resources Research 39: 1171 [doi:10.1029/2002WR001533]. Fenn, M. E., J. S. Baron, E. B. Allen, H. M. Rueth, K. R. Nydick, L. Geiser, W. D. Bowman, J. O. Sickman, T. Meixner, and D. W. Johnson. 2003a. Ecological effects of nitrogen deposition in the Western United States. BioScience 53:404–420. Fenn, M. E., R. Haeuber, G. S. Tonnesen, J. S. Baron, S. Grossman-Clarke, D. Hope, S. Jaffe, S. Copeland, L. Geiser, H. M. Rueth, and J. O. Sickman. 2003b. Nitrogen emissions, deposition and monitoring in the Western United States. BioScience 53:391–403. Holmes, R. W., M. C. Whiting and J. L. Stoddard, Changes in Diatom-Inferred Ph and Acid Neutralizing Capacity in A Dilute, High Elevation, Sierra-Nevada Lake Since Ad 1825, Freshwater Biology, 21(2), 295-310, 1989. Nanus, L, D. H. Campbell, G. P. Ingersoll, D. W. Clow, and M. A. Mast. 2003. Atmospheric deposition maps for the Rocky Mountains. Atmospheric Environment 37:4881–4892. Saros, J. E., S. J. Interlandi, A. P. Wolfe, and D. R. Engstrom. 2003. Recent changes in the diatom community structure of lakes in the Beartooth Mountain range, USA. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 35:18–23. Sickman, J. O, J. M. Melack, and J. S. Stoddard. 2002. Regional analysis of inorganic nitrogen yield and retention in high-elevation ecosystems of the Sierra Nevada and Rocky Mountains. Biogeochemistry 57:341–374. Sickman, J. O., J. M. Melack and D. W. Clow, Evidence for nutrient enrichment of high-elevation lakes in the Sierra Nevada, California, Limnology and Oceanography, 48(5), 1885-1892, 2003. Tonnesen GS,Wang ZS,Omary M, Chien CJ,Wang B. 2003. Formulation and application of regional air quality modeling for integrated assessments of urban and wildland pollution. In Bytnerowicz A,Arbaugh MJ,Alonso R, eds. Ozone Air Pollution in the Sierra Nevada: Distribution and Effects on Forests, Vol. 2: Developments in Environmental Sciences. Amsterdam (Netherlands): Elsevier. Wolfe, A. P., A. C. Van Gorp, and J. S. Baron. 2003. Recent ecological and biogeochemical changes in alpine lakes of Rocky Mountain National Park (Colorado, U.S.A.): a response to anthropogenic nitrogen deposition. Geobiology 1:153–168. Q U E S T I O N S ? Questions to answer: Has the trophic status of lakes in the Sierra Nevada changed? If so, is there a dose-response relationship between atmospheric deposition and trophic status? If yes, is there a threshold for depositional effects on aquatic ecosystems? Examples !!! Step 2: 40 40 Percent of assemblage 50 30 Percent of Quantify relationships between diatoms & environmental variables Navicula radiosa parva Frustrulia rhomboides capitata 50 20 10 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 30 20 10 0 0 Limnetic total N (ug/L) 500 1000 1500 2000 Limnetic total N (ug/L) optimum and tolerance of each species is calculated in a regression step Optima are calculated for each species based on their occurrence in calibration lakes Navicula radiosa parva Frustrulia rhomboides capitata optimum = 510 0 500 1000 optimum = 1270 1500 Limnetic total N (ug/L) 2000 0 500 1000 1500 Limnetic total N (ug/L) 2000 Step 3: Develop Trophic Index Models (TIMs) Reconstruct trophic conditions of the lakes using weightedaverage approach Sediment sample #1 Sediment sample #1 yields a weighted-average estimate for the sample Abundance Past water quality? SP3 calculated as the average of the species' optima weighted by each species' abundance SP1 SP4 SP2 SP5 0 500 1000 1500 2000 past total N = 620 ug/L 0 500 1000 1500 Optimum total N (ug/L) for species Estimated total N (ug/L) for sample Optimum total P (ug/L Estimated total P (ug/L Examples !!! 2000 Step 4: Apply SN-TIMs to Long Cores 0 2 4 Sediment Depth (cm) 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2000 Year 1950 Arctic Lake (SEKI) Hamiliton Lake (SEKI) Moat Lake (Hoover Wilderness) Maclure Lake (YOSE) 1900 1850 Actual dates 1800 22 Examples !!! Step 5: Estimate the Critical Nitrogen Load 4 3 2 1 Trophic Shift N Loading (kg/ha/yr) 5 0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 ? Trophic Shift ‘‘anchor’’ deposition? 6 Emerald Lake 19 8 19 5 8 19 6 8 19 7 8 19 8 8 19 9 9 19 0 9 19 1 9 19 2 9 19 3 9 19 4 9 19 5 9 19 6 9 19 7 9 19 8 9 20 9 0 20 0 0 20 1 0 20 2 0 20 3 0 20 4 05 If shifts are observed >25 years ago, use the hindcasting method of Baron 2006 and demographic/emission data from California 7 N Deposition (kg/ha/yr) If trophic shifts are observed in last 25 years, estimate deposition from instrument records 8 1.0 0.0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Moat and Hamilton Lakes (N-limited & Plimited) Logistics modeling to identify “DoseResponse” and nutrient criteria Gradient of nutrient additions (0-50 µM N, 010 µM P) 0.25 Lyngbya Response to NO3 0.20 Growth Rate Relative LDMRGR 0.15 Estimated effective doses Estimate Std. Error 10% 15.6 6.5 50% 41.5 8.4 90% 110.6 46.3 0.10 0.05 5 20 100 500 NO3 Nitrate Concentration (µg/L) 2000