Mathematics: the foundation of STEM John Holman Saturday, 28 May 2016 Michael Gove at the Royal Society 29 June 2011 • We are also committed to the existing programmes that have proven their worth over the past few years. For instance, the performance of the Further Maths Support Programme has been outstanding. The growth in the number taking Further Maths A level is testament to their success. Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right Ferranti Mercury computer (1960s) Moore’s Law Computing power doubles every 18 months CBI Education and Skills Survey, 2010 Responses from 694 employers CBI Education & Skills CBI Education & Skills CBI Education and Skills Survey 2011 CBI Education and Skills Survey 2011 National Skills Audit 2010 UK Commission for Employment and Skills • predicts growth of highly skilled work • importance of increased skill levels for future growth • decline in lower skilled jobs • especially fast-growing demand for STEM-skilled technicians. Source: C. Humphries (2006) Skills in a Global Economy, City and Guilds CBI Education and Skills Survey 2011 Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right A Level Maths earns a premium Both graduates and non-graduates who took maths A-level ended up earning on average 10 per cent more than those of similar ability and background who did not. CENTRE FOR ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE 1999 Science Technology Engineering Mathematics Technology Engineering Mathematics Engineering Mathematics Mathematics First year Chemists at the University of York First year Chemists at the University of York • About two-thirds of students have AS or A level mathematics First year Chemists at the University of York • First course: Gases and Equilibria • handouts Sources: Mathematical Needs, ACME June 2011 Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right Some policy drivers 1. The economy Some policy drivers 1. The economy 2. International comparisons Michael Gove at the Royal Society 29 June 2011 • In the last decade, we have plummeted down the international league tables: from 4th to 16th place in science; and from 8th to 28th in maths. While other countries – particularly Asian nations - have raced ahead we have, in the words of the OECD’s Director of Education, “stagnated.” Some policy drivers 1. The economy 2. International comparisons 3. Revision of the national curriculum Some policy drivers 1. The economy 2. International comparisons 3. Revision of the national curriculum 4. Wolf report on vocational education Some policy drivers 1. The economy 2. International comparisons 3. Revision of the national curriculum 4. Wolf report on vocational education 5. Post-16 participation Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right A Level Entries A l e v e l m a t h s A Level Mathematics entries, 1996-2009 Maths (16-18) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 33 All subjects Design and Technology Geography French Business Studies Biology Physics Psychology Physical Education History English Chemistry Sociology Art and Design Law Media/Film/ TV Studies Religious Studies Economics Maths -10% Increases in A Level entries, 2005-2009 STEM A Level Entries % increase in entries, 2005 to 2009 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% STEM A levels: 2008-2010 A larger increase in females entering A level maths than males Number of pupils that took A level Maths 50,000 9,800 more male pupils in 2009. This is a 34% increase on 2005 40,000 8,700 more female pupils in 2009. This is a 50% increase on 2005 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Male Female 2005 2009 36 A Level Greater increases in sixth form Maths colleges and maintained sixth forms Increase in A level maths entries 2005 to 2009 70% 60% 50% 49% 45% 39% 40% 35% 30% 20% 10% 0% Maintained sixth form Sixth Form College FE College Independent School Key Stage 5 School Type 37 STEM higher education: 1999-2008 Coe, R J, Searle, J, Barmby, P, Jones, K and Higgins, S (2008) Relative difficulty of examinations in different subjects, Curriculum, Evaluation and Management Centre, Durham University FE achievements in STEM • Royal Academy of Engineering FE data project FE achievements in STEM • Of the qualifications achieved in 2008/09: Section 6 Numbers of Mathematics and Mathematics related qualifications completed by 16-18 year olds in 2009/10 142,937 184,277 SCHOOLS FE Numbers of Numeracy qualifications completed by 1618 years olds in 2009/10 1,029 SCHOOLS FE 161,933 Section 2.5 Section 2.11 But ….. Student participation in mathematics post-16 Table from ACME’s Mathematical Needs: Mathematics in the workplace and in HE report, based on data from the Nuffield Foundation’s Is the UK an Outlier? report. Student participation in mathematics post-16 Table from ACME’s Mathematical Needs: Mathematics in the workplace and in HE report, based on data from the Nuffield Foundation’s Is the UK an Outlier? report. Mathematical 17 year olds • • • • 660,000 in the cohort 286,000 did A levels 85,000 did AS or A level Maths ACME estimates that 120,000 need to do maths for science and engineering, and 60,000 for social science. Source: ACME/UCAS Michael Gove at the Royal Society 29 June 2011 • That is why I think we should set a new goal for the education system so that within a decade the vast majority of pupils are studying maths right through to the age of 18. Post-16 mathematics for all: what does it mean? • Do we have the right qualifications available? • Do we have enough specialist teachers? Outline of my talk 1. The importance of STEM 2. Mathematics in STEM 3. Some policy drivers 4. Post-16 mathematics: a challenge for us all 5. The most important thing to get right How the world’s best-performing school systems come out on top McKinsey, September 2007 ‘Above all, the top performing systems demonstrate that the quality of an education system depends ultimately on the quality of its teachers’