INDONESIA CLIMATE CHANGE
ACTIVITIES 2010
Indonesia National Council on Climate Change Climate Change ‐
g ‐ NCCC President Regulation # 46 /2008 ORGANIZATION
MANDATES
Pengurus harian DNPI Executive Chairman Chairman
Secretariat
Divisions
Mitigation
Adaptation
Task Force
Task Force
Members
Members
Finance
Task Force
Members
Post Kyoto
T k Force
F
Task
Members
Tech.
transfer
Task Force
Members
Scientific
based Task
Force
Members
Marine
LULUCF
Task Force Task Force
Members
Members
Chairmen and members of the Task Force comprise of relevant stakeholders, including government officials, NGOs, private sector, academician, professionals
INDONESIA: OUR
VULNERABILITIES
Sea level rise & land inundation threatens coastal zones
àNorth coast Java, south Kalimantan,west Sumatra
Water
changed water balance leading to droughts and floods – regionally differentiated
g
y
Agriculture
food security threatened, and declining productivity in particular rice cultivation Health
spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change (malaria dengue cholera diarrhea etc)
(malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)
INDONESIA:CURRENT
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS*
+/‐ Stable
LULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254
Energy: 333,540 Gg
Industry: 34,197 Gg
34,197 Gg
Agriculture: 75,419 Gg
Waste: 151,578 Gg
TOTAL: 1,415,988 Gg
*)Note: these emission numbers for 2004 still under calculation by SNC team
Q
HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE
MAINSTREAMED WITHIN THE NATIONAL
PRIORITY AND ACTION PLAN 20102010-2014?
MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: GoI’s own budget
PRES S
STATEMENT:
G20 2009
Mainstrea
ming into i i t
RPJM
M
BALI ACTION PLAN
ROADMAPS
(ICCSR)
RAN ‐ GRK
RAN ‐
RAN ICCTF
A
Bridges National Action Plan on CC into 5 yr mid‐
term development plan (RPJM) 2010‐2014 & inputs till 2030.
Bi‐/Multilateral Bi‐
cooperation
Yellow
Book
ICCTF‐ International financing mechanism channeling investment funds into national CC initiatives.
NATIONAL PRIORITY & ACTION PLAN 20102014
1
Bureaucracy Reform and Good Governance
11 National Priorities ‐
Indonesian Cabinet 2010‐2014
2
Ed ti
Education
3
Health
4
P
Poverty Alleviation
t All i ti
5
Food Security
6
Infrastructure
f
7
Investment Climate
8
9
Energy
Environment and Disaster Management ((incl. Climate Change)
g )
10
Disadvantaged, Borders and Post‐Conflict Areas
11
Culture, Creativity and Technology Innovation
,
y
gy
PRIORITY
FOOD SECURITY
ENERGY
ENVIRONMENTAL AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT
FOCUS
•Land, Area Development & Agriculture Spatial Plan
•Infrastructure •Infrastructure
•Research and Development
•Investment, Finance and Subsidy
•Food and Nutrition •Adaptation to Climate Change
Adaptation to Climate Change
•Policy
•Restructuring of State Enterprises
•Energy Capacity
•Alternative Energy
•Oil and Gas Derivative Production
•Gas Conversion
•Climate Change •Climate
Change
•Environmental Degradation Control
•Early Warning System
•Capacity Building on Disaster Mitigation & Forest Fire
Q
WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE
CHANGE SECTORAL ROADMAP (ICCSR)
(ICCSR)?
?
THE ROADMAP
The Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support the GOI’s development vision related to climate change for the next 20 years.
g
y
The implementation of the Roadmap will be through National Development Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 – 2014.
Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 There are nine priority sectors:
Mitigation Sectors‐:: Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, Waste Mitigation Sectors
Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, Waste
Management
Adaptation Sectors‐: Agriculture, Marine and Fishery, Water Resources, Health
COORDINATION & IMPLEMENTATION OF
SECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP
Phase I:
a. Awareness & Capacity Building
b. Policy Reorientation
c Roadmap development
c.
SECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE
ROADMAP
Phase II:
d. Program Formulation
e. Process of Integrating into Dev. Planning
into Dev. Planning
Phase III:
Phase III:
f. Implementation (Annual Gov. Work Plan)
g. Monitoring & Evaluation
CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP
Current Status
Policy instrument and regulation
Program
g
Project
j
Funding scheme
Priority Sectors
1. Agriculture
2. Coastal, ocean and fishery
3. Energy
4. Forestry
Secondary Sectors
1. Health
2. Transportation
3. Infrastructure
4
4.
water
5. Industry
Cross Cutting Issues
1. Research and Technology
2. National security
3. Biodiversity
4. Poverty
Capacity building
Objectives Objectives
Mainstreaming climate change into development planning
Q
WHAT IS THE NATIONAL ACTION PLAN
(RAN--GRK)
(RAN
GRK)?
?
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
President Commitment
G 20 Pitt
G-20
Pittsburgh
b h and
d COP15
To reduce te GHG Emission in 2020
26%
26%
41%
Unilateral
15%
RAN-GRK
(RAN--GRK)
(RAN
Unilateral
and International
Support
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
RAN-GRK
Compiled based on proposals of actions from Implementing
Agencies
Quick start: screened based on existing actions that have cobenefits in reducing
g GHG emissions
+15%
%
26%
6%
Criteria:
Potentially measured, reported and verified
(MRV), clear and concise contracts, clear
executing agencies
agencies, higher abatement cost , not
included in CDM project
Criteria:
Potentially measured, reported and verified
(MRV), lower abatement cost, in Medium Term
Development Plan, national priorities,
economically feasible,
feasible not included in CDM
project
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
GHG Emission in Indonesia is estimated to increase from 1.72
to 2.95 GtCO2e from 2000 to 2020
Emissiion (GtonC
CO2e)
3
2,95
,
2.5
2
2,12
Kehutanan dan Lahan Forestryy and Peat land
Gambut
Limbah
Waste
,
1,72
Agriculture
Pertanian
1.5
1
Industry
Industri
0.5
0
Energi dan Transportasi
Energy and Transportation
2000
2005
2020
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
BAU
2013
2012
2011
2010
3.5
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
Emisssion Rate
e (Gt CO2
2)
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
Skenario 26%
Skenario 26%
3.0
2.5
26%
2.0
1.5
1.0
Policy Framework of RAN-GRK
RAN GRK
1.
What is the Action Plan?
1.
2.
3.
2.
The Action Plan is focused on :
1.
2.
3.
an integral part of National Development Plan and updated according to
scientific and policy development
integrated actions among sectors – environmental carrying capacity and
spatial plan
intended to contribute to global efforts to reduce emissions and to tap
international funding for Indonesia
GHG Emission Reduction
Increase of GHG Absorbtion Capacity (carbon sequestration)
The Action Plan - principles:
1.
2.
3.
should not hinder economic growth, and prioritizing people’s welfare
esp. in areas of energy resilience and food security
supports
pp
p
protection of the p
poor and vulnerable communities,, including
g
environment conservation in the framework of sustainable development
consists of core activities to reduce the emission and supporting activities
to strengthen the policy framework
Q
WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE
CHANGE TRUST FUND?
ICCTF AND ROADMAP
IN UNFCCC CONTEXT
CC Roadmap
CC Roadmap
ICCTF
NAMA/NAPA
FINANCIAL MECHANISM
(decentralized)
MRV
THE ICCTF
GOAL
The goal of the ICCTF is to support the GOI’s efforts to reduce emissions, move towards a low‐carbon economy and adapt to the impacts of climate change
impacts of climate change.
PURPOSE
The purpose of the ICCTF is to attract, manage and mobilise funding to contribute efficiently and effectively to 1) the mainstreaming of climate change issues in national, provincial and local development planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate change
development planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate change initiatives.
OUTCOME 1
OUTCOME 1‐‐ ENERGY
The ICCTF aims to contribute to the improvement of energy security and reduction of emissions from the energy sector in Indonesia.
OUTCOME 2 OUTCOME 2 –– FORESTRY & PEATLAND
The ICCTF aims to contribute to address deforestation & forest degradation issues & to advance sustainable management of peat‐ lands and forest resources.
OUTCOME 3
OUTCOME 3‐‐ RESILIENCE
The ICCTF aims to contribute to responding to the adverse impacts of and risks posed by climate change that are already occurring, while also preparing for future impacts through cross cutting and inter‐
sectoral measures.
Output of DNPI on 2010
▪ Climate change adaptation
▪ Climate change mitigation
Cli
h
ii i
The Vulnerability Map on Health (The Results of DNPI’s studies on Adaptation)
The Vulnerability Map on Food Security (The Results of DNPI’S Studies on Adaptation)
ADAPTATION SCIENCE AND ADAPTATION
SCIENCE AND
POLICY STUDY
POLICY STUDY
Outline
•
•
•
•
Background
Initial Finding (AR4)
Initial Finding (AR4)
Gap Analysis (ICCSR)
Concluding Remarks
Background
OBJECTIVES
To assist the Government of Indonesia to develop adaptation basic information in support of the formulation of national strategy and mid‐and‐long term plans p p
y
p
g
to prepare the country to adapt to negative impacts of climate change REPORT OF THE STUDY 1. Part I: General Introduction
2. Part II: Scientific Basis Status & Capacity of Available Adaptation Science
p y
p
3. Part III: Impacts by Sector Review on Studies of Climate Change Impacts
Review on Studies of Climate Change Impacts
4. Part IV: Policy & Strategy of Adaptation by Sectors and Aspects
and Aspects Key Information on Existing Adaptation Plans, Policies, & Strategies; Policy &
y Strategy Gaps on Adaptation; gy p
p
;
Needs & Availability of Technology for Adaptation Measures; Needs & Flows of Financing for Adaptation Measures 5. Part V: Concluding Remarks
PRIMARY DOCUMENTS
PRIMARY DOCUMENTS
Documents
Source (Institution)
Indonesian Climate
National Development Planning
Change Sectoral
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Roadmap (ICCSR)
Financial Assessment National Development Planning
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Indonesian Climate
National Development Planning
Change Trust Fund
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
(ICCTF)
Second National
Ministry of Environment (KLH) &
Communication
UNDP
(SNC)
Vulnerability
Ministry of Environment (KLH)
(KLH),
Assessment (VA) of Government of West Nusa
Lombok Island
Tenggara (NTB) & WWF
PRIMARY DOCUMENTS
PRIMARY DOCUMENTS
Documents
Source (Institution)
Indonesian Climate
National Development Planning
Change Sectoral
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Roadmap (ICCSR)
Financial Assessment National Development Planning
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Indonesian Climate
National Development Planning
Change Trust Fund
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
(ICCTF)
Second National
Ministry of Environment (KLH) &
Communication
UNDP
(SNC)
Vulnerability
Ministry of Environment (KLH)
(KLH),
Assessment (VA) of Government of West Nusa
Lombok Island
Tenggara (NTB) & WWF
Gap Analysis (ICCSR)
p
y
LEGEND
■ out of scope
о incomplete
Gap Analysis --> Findings Assessment
Title of Report:
ICCSR Bappenas-GTZ, 2010
Analysis Variable
1. Science basis
related to hazard
analysis
11 D
1.1.
Data
t and
d
Information
Indicator
Chapter,Page,
Figure, Table
Name of Assessor: Ibnu Sofian
Comments
Rating
o
S S
Sea
Surface
f
T
Temperature
t
Tide
Wave
Ocean Current
Ocean acidification
Water transport
Biogeochemistry
1.2. Analysis and
Modelling
- missing
● complete
Page 20-24 4.1 Sea surface temperature trend
Page 8-9 2.2.2 Tidal Forcing
Page 9-10,
g
Wave Height
g
43-47
2.2.3 Significant
Page 5-8 2.2.1 Ocean currents and sea level
Page 11-12,
47 50
47-50
5 3 SST and Chlor
5.3
Chlor-a
a
●
o
●
o
o
Global sea level rise
ENSO
Windwaves
Ocean Currents
Page 24-34 4.2 Sea level rise projection
Page 35-41 5. El Nino and La Nina Projections
Page 43-47 4.2 ENSO and extreme waves
Impacts of climate change on the
ocean current characteristics
●
●
o
-
Problems
•Limited of observation data both of ocean and
climate data
•Limited of coverage area and time-span
•High spatial resolution of atmospheric and oceanic models
Time span ? *from 1960 or 1980??Observational
for assimilation and model validation??
Output of DNPI on 2010
▪ Climate change adaptation
▪ Climate change mitigation
DNPI created the details of low carbon growth strategy in 3 provinces
Company LOGO
Low Carbon Growth Strategy
Low Carbon Growth Strategy
Indonesia
Kalteng
Main Elements of LCGS
Main Elements of LCGS
Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy
▪ Competitive excess and deficiency ▪ New growth source
New growth source
Sectoral strategies
▪
▪
The opportunity of the required reduction, pilot project and policy
project and policy
Palm oil, forestry, agriculture, coals, oil and gas
Regional strategies
Jambi
Kaltim
▪
▪
▪
Large area and land use
Large
area and land use
Emission and the reduction opportunity
GDP and labor
Implementation and enabler
p
▪ Detailed action plan
▪ Required important enabler
▪ Estimation of total costs
Source: DNPI; Govt of Central Kalimantan, Govt. Of East Kalimantan, Govt of Jambi
3
8
East Kalimantan has the potency to reduce emission in the amount of 60% while the GDP growth increasing from 3% to 5%
The more efficient land use can reduce the emission significantly
MtCO2e
Emissions
i i
Abatement
331
While towards the advanced production with value added can increase the GDP growth
300
IDR Trillions
IDR Trillions
Environmentally Sustainable Development
Strategy
250
47
34
24
200
18
12
62
150
134
Business As Usual
100
50
0
Label
Zero Burning
Reduced Use Water Reforest
impact degraded management
ation
logging
land
Other Remaining initiatives emissions
2005
10
CO2 2 Reduction Initiatives Reduction Initiatives
Reduction
GDP Initiatives
GDP Initiatives
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
47 MtCO2e
34 MtCO2e
24 MtCO2e
24 MtCO2e
18 MtCO2e
12 MtCO2e
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
Zero burning Reducing the impacting logging
Damaged land using
Damaged land using
Water and peat land management
Reforestation
15
20
25
2030
IDR Trillions
IDR Trillions
CBM development and using
Developing the downstream forest products
Increasing the productivity of timber plantation
Increasing the productivity of timber plantation
Accelerating the oil and gas production
Increasing the agriculture productivity
28
11
5
5
3
SOURCE: East Kalimantan– Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy
3
9
DNPI has identified the emission sources as well as the emission reduction Company LOGO
methods per regency for 3 provinces
4
0
Terima Kasih
31 January 2003