2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Author: Karen Small Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Strategic Information Branch October 2008 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Table of Contents 1 Introduction.....................................................................................................................................5 2 Methodology ...................................................................................................................................5 3 Demographics .................................................................................................................................6 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 4 Population .................................................................................................................................6 Age Distribution.........................................................................................................................7 Migration ................................................................................................................................. 10 Disabilities ............................................................................................................................... 13 Education ...................................................................................................................................... 15 4.1 4.2 5 Educational Institution Attendance .......................................................................................... 15 Adult level of Education........................................................................................................... 17 Employment .................................................................................................................................. 19 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 Employment Status ................................................................................................................. 19 Work Status ............................................................................................................................ 20 Occupation .............................................................................................................................. 20 Industry ................................................................................................................................... 22 Income of Employed ............................................................................................................... 23 Unemployment Rate ............................................................................................................... 24 6 Social Grants ................................................................................................................................ 26 7 Households ................................................................................................................................... 27 7.1 7.2 8 Household Distribution ............................................................................................................ 27 Household Size ....................................................................................................................... 27 Housing ......................................................................................................................................... 29 8.1 8.2 9 Dwelling Type ......................................................................................................................... 29 Tenure .................................................................................................................................... 31 Services ......................................................................................................................................... 32 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 Energy Sources ...................................................................................................................... 32 Access to Water ...................................................................................................................... 34 Access to Sanitation................................................................................................................ 34 Refuse Removal ..................................................................................................................... 36 10 Household Goods ..................................................................................................................... 37 11 Summary ................................................................................................................................... 38 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 2 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Figures Figure 1: Population by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 .............................................................................6 Figure 2: Age distributions by functional groups, race and gender for 2007 ..............................................7 Figure 3: Age distributions by functional groups and gender for 1996, 2001 and 2007 .............................7 Figure 4: Population pyramid for 1996 ......................................................................................................9 Figure 5: Population pyramid for 2001 ......................................................................................................9 Figure 6: Population pyramid for 2007 ......................................................................................................9 Figure 7: Place of birth of Cape Town residents for 2007 ....................................................................... 10 Figure 8: Place of birth (excluding Western Cape) of Cape Town residents by race for 2007 ................. 11 Figure 9: Province from which people moved into Cape Town since October 2001 ................................ 11 Figure 10: Number of people moving into Cape Town from other South African Provinces .................... 12 Figure 11: Age of people moving into Cape Town from outside the Western Cape ................................ 13 Figure 12: Disabilities by race for 2007 ................................................................................................... 14 Figure 13: Attendance at an educational institution by age for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ............................. 15 Figure 14: Attendance at an educational institution by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007............................. 16 Figure 15: Type of educational institution attended by race for 2007 ...................................................... 16 Figure 16: Highest level of education obtained by adults for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ................................. 17 Figure 17: Highest level of education amongst adults by race 2007 ....................................................... 18 Figure 18: Employment status by race and gender for 2007 ................................................................... 19 Figure 19: Work status by race for 2007 ................................................................................................. 20 Figure 20: Occupation by gender for 2007.............................................................................................. 20 Figure 21: Occupation by race for 2007 .................................................................................................. 21 Figure 22: Industry by gender for 2007 ................................................................................................... 22 Figure 23: Industry by race for 2007 ....................................................................................................... 22 Figure 24: Monthly income of the employed by gender for 2007 ............................................................. 23 Figure 25: Monthly income of the employed by race for 2007 ................................................................. 23 Figure 26: Unemployment by race and gender for 2007 ......................................................................... 24 Figure 27: Unemployment by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 .................................................................. 25 Figure 28: Social grants by race for 2007 ............................................................................................... 26 Figure 29: Households by race of household head for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ......................................... 27 Figure 30: Household size by race of household head for 2007 ............................................................. 28 Figure 31: Dwelling type for 1996, 2001 and 2007.................................................................................. 29 Figure 32: Informal dwellings for 1996, 2001 and 2007 .......................................................................... 30 Figure 33: Dwelling type for 2007 ........................................................................................................... 30 Figure 34: Dwellings owned by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007................................................................ 31 Figure 35: Dwelling tenure by race for 2001 and 2007............................................................................ 31 Figure 36: Energy sources for lighting, cooking and heating in 2007 ...................................................... 32 Figure 37: Energy source for lighting in 1996, 2001 and 2007 ................................................................ 33 Figure 38: Main source of water by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ......................................................... 34 Figure 39: Access to toilet facilities for 2001 and 2007 ........................................................................... 35 Figure 40: Access to toilet facilities by Black Africans for 2001 and 2007 ............................................... 35 Figure 41: Type of refuse removal for 1996, 2001 and 2007................................................................... 36 Figure 42: Household goods for 2001 and 2007 ..................................................................................... 37 Figure 44: Household goods by race for 2007 ........................................................................................ 37 Tables Table 1: Population by race and gender for 2007 .....................................................................................6 Table 2: Mean and median age for 1996, 2001 and 2007.........................................................................8 Table 3: Age distribution by gender for 2007 ............................................................................................8 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 3 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendices Appendix 1 – Estimation of Population and Number of Households ....................................................... 39 Appendix 2 – Statement by South African Statistics Council................................................................... 43 Appendix 3 – Western Cape Population by Local Municipality for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ........................ 46 Appendix 4 – Municipalities in the Western Cape ................................................................................... 47 Appendix 5 – Cape Town Population by Race and Gender for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ............................. 48 Appendix 6 – Age Distributions by Race and Gender for 2007 ............................................................... 48 Appendix 7 – Province from which people moved into Cape Town since October 2001 by Race ........... 49 Appendix 8 – Disabilities by Race and Gender for 2007 ......................................................................... 49 Appendix 9 – Highest Level of Education amongst adults by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ................. 50 Appendix 10 – Western Cape Households by Local Municipality for 1996, 2001 and 2007 .................... 51 Appendix 11 – Dwelling Type by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ............................................................ 52 Appendix 12 – Fuel used for Lighting, Cooking and Heating by Race for 2007 ....................................... 53 Appendix 13 – Access to Toilet Facility by Race for 2001 and 2007 ....................................................... 54 Appendix 14 – Refuse Removal by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 ........................................................ 55 Citation: City of Cape Town (2008), Strategic Development Information and GIS Department, 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town, Karen Small, 55 Pages. 2007 Community Survey Data supplied by Statistics South Africa. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 4 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 1 Introduction The 2007 Community Survey was a large-scale national household survey conducted by Statistics South Africa in February 2007 as a result of government’s decision to move from a 5-year to a 10year census. The Community Survey was designed to fill the gap in information between the 2001 Census and the next Census in 2011. The survey was based on a random sample which covered 374,348 households across all the provinces resulting in 238,067 completed questionnaires. The survey provides demographic and socio-economic data down to district municipality level. This report will analyse both the demographic and socio-economic Community Survey data for Cape Town and include some trends using the 1996 and 2001 Census information. When looking at population growth in Cape Town comparison will be made with other municipalities in the Western Cape. 2 Methodology As the 2007 Community Survey was a sample survey and not a full census there were methodologies for selecting the sample and estimating the population and number of households at municipal level. Details of the estimations can be found in Appendix 1. There were two stages to the sampling, firstly the selection of enumeration areas (the smallest geographical unit into which the country is divided for census purposes by Statistics South Africa) and then the selection of the dwelling units. The selection of the enumerator areas was based on the Census 2001 enumerator areas and 19% (130) were sampled for Cape Town. To select the dwelling units a complete list of all dwelling units in the selected enumerator areas was compiled and using the serpentine selection 10% were selected in each enumerator area. In small enumerator areas where the number of dwelling units was less than 10 the selection was increased to 10. All households within the selected dwelling units were included. The South African Statistical Council was involved in monitoring all the processes in the survey and issued a statement on the results (see Appendix 2). Resulting from this statement Statistics South Africa issued a cautionary note on the results as follows: The Community Survey results were released on 24 October 2007. After the evaluation of the data by the Stats Council, the Community Survey was found to be comparable in many aspects with other Stats SA surveys, censuses and other external sources. However, there are some areas of concern where Statistics South Africa is urging users to be more cautious when using the Community Survey data. The main concerns are: The institutional population is merely an approximation to 2001 numbers and it is not new data. The measure of unemployment in the Community Survey is higher and less reliable due to the differences in questions asked relative to the normal Labour Force Surveys. The income includes unreasonably high income for children due to presumably misinterpretation of the question, e.g. listing parent’s income for the child. The distribution of households by province has very little congruence with the General Household Survey or Census 2001. The interpretation of grants or those receiving grants need to be done with caution. Since the Community Survey is based on random sample and not a Census, any interpretation should be understood to have some random fluctuation in data, particularly concerning the small population for some cells. The user should understand that the figures are within a certain interval of confidence. Source: Statistical Release: Community Survey, 2007 (Revised version), Statistics South Africa, [Report No. P0301] October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 5 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 3 3.1 Demographics Population The Community Survey estimates the population of Cape Town to be 3,497,097. This is an increase of 20.9% since Census 2001 and 36.4% since Census 1996. The South African population increased by 8.2% between 2001 and 2007. The Western Cape was the province with the largest increase (16.7%). 80.2% of the population increase in the Western Cape occurred in Cape Town. Other municipalities in the Western Cape showing a large percentage increase between 2001 and 2007 were Stellenbosch (68.9%), Mossel Bay (64.8%), Overstrand (34.4%), Bitou (33.7%) and Knysna (26.4%). Details for all Western Cape municipalities can be found in Appendix 3 and a map showing their location in Appendix 4. In Cape Town the number of Black Africans has shown the largest increase (89.4%) since 1996 followed by 64.6% for Asians. The number of Whites has increased by 24.3% and Coloureds by 24.1%. See Appendix 5 for more information. Race Black African Coloured Asian White Total Male 590,546 744,437 31,101 327,175 1,693,259 % 16.9% 21.3% 0.9% 9.4% 48.4% Female 629,435 793,878 31,253 349,272 1,803,838 % 18.0% 22.7% 0.9% 10.0% 51.6% Total 1,219,981 1,538,315 62,354 676,447 3,497,097 % 34.9% 44.0% 1.8% 19.3% 100.0% Table 1: Population by race and gender for 2007 In all race groups the number of females is larger than the number of males (see Table 1). Coloureds comprise 44.0% of the population, Black Africans 34.9%, Whites 19.3% and Asians 1.8%. 1996 2007 48.4% 48.1% 50% 44.0% 45% 40% 34.9% 35% 30% 2001 31.7% 25.1% 25% 21.2% 20% 18.8% 19.3% 15% 10% 5% 3.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Unspecified Figure 1: Population by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 As can be seen from Figure 1 the percentage of Coloureds in Cape Town has declined by 4.4% since 1996 while that for Black Africans has increased by 9.8%. The percentage of Whites declined by 2.4% between 1996 and 2001 and then increased by 0.5% in 2007. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 6 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 3.2 Age Distribution 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Male Female Total Male Black African 0-14 Female Total Male Coloured Female Total Male Asian Female Total Male White Female Total Total 30.5% 29.3% 29.9% 28.3% 26.6% 27.4% 18.9% 20.6% 19.7% 16.0% 14.3% 15.1% 26.5% 25.1% 25.8% 15-64 67.8% 68.4% 68.1% 67.9% 67.9% 67.9% 77.0% 73.8% 75.4% 70.9% 70.9% 70.9% 68.6% 68.8% 68.7% 65+ 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 3.7% 5.5% 4.6% 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 13.1% 14.8% 14.0% 4.8% 6.2% 5.5% Figure 2: Age distributions by functional groups, race and gender for 2007 The percentage of youth (aged 0 to 14 years) in the different race groups decreases from 29.9% for Black Africans to 15.1% for Whites while the aged (65 years and older) increase from 2.0% for Black Africans to 14.0% for Whites (see Figure 2). The percentage of those who are in the potentially economically active group (aged 15 to 64 years) is highest (75.4%) for Asians and lowest for Coloureds (67.9%). 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1996 2001 2007 1996 Male 2001 2007 1996 Female 2001 2007 Total 0-14 29.2% 27.8% 26.5% 27.2% 25.6% 25.1% 28.2% 26.7% 25.8% 15-64 65.5% 68.2% 68.6% 66.0% 68.6% 68.8% 65.7% 68.4% 68.7% 65+ 4.1% 4.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% Note: unspecified age in 1996 has been excluded Figure 3: Age distributions by functional groups and gender for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Figure 3 shows that the percentage of the population in the potentially economically active group (aged 15 to 64 years) has increased since 1996 while that of the youth (aged 0 to 14 years) has decreased. The percentage of aged (65 years and older) remained constant from 1996 to 2001 and then increased in 2007. This shows that the age structure of the population is changing October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 7 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town putting increasing pressure on the need to create more job opportunities for the economically active. Race Black African Coloured Asian White Unspecified Total 1996 24.9 26.3 28.0 36.2 26.8 28.1 Mean Age 2001 25.0 27.7 29.2 37.1 28.6 2007 24.9 29.0 31.5 39.3 29.6 Median Age 1996 2001 2007 24 24 24 24 25 26 25 27 29 34 36 39 24 26 26 27 Note: unspecified age in 1996 has been excluded Table 2: Mean and median age for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Since 1996 both the mean (average) and median (middle value) age of the population has increased (See table 2). The mean and median age for all races has increased with the exception of Black Africans where they have remained constant. With an ageing population additional provision will have to be made to care for the aged. Age Group 0-5 6 - 12 13 - 17 18 - 34 35 - 54 55 - 64 65+ Total Male Number % 192,956 5.5% 202,248 5.8% 148,697 4.3% 537,400 15.4% 425,138 12.2% 104,932 3.0% 81,888 2.3% 1,693,259 48.4% Female Number % 193,910 5.5% 201,332 5.8% 149,498 4.3% 560,912 16.0% 462,065 13.2% 124,930 3.6% 111,191 3.2% 1,803,838 51.6% Total Number % 386,866 11.1% 403,580 11.5% 298,195 8.5% 1,098,312 31.4% 887,203 25.4% 229,862 6.6% 193,079 5.5% 3,497,097 100.0% Table 3: Age distribution by gender for 2007 There are more females than males in all age groups except those aged 6 to 12 years but the difference in the number of males and females is small for all those under 17 years (see Table 3). Of the total population 11.1% are under the age of six years, 11.5% are aged 6 to 12 years and 8.5% are aged 13 to 17 years. The percentages for the different race groups vary significantly (see Appendix 6). For those aged under 13 years Black Africans are the highest with 14.4% under six years and 12.6% aged 6 to 12 years and Whites the lowest with 5.9% under six years and 7.0% aged 6 to 12 years. For Coloureds 10.9% are under six years and 12.8% are aged 6 to 12 years. Those aged 13 to 17 years range from 9.7% for Coloureds to 6.2% for Whites. This high percentage of young people puts additional pressure on the economically active group to support them particularly for Black Africans and Coloureds. The population aged 18 to 54 years is the highest for Asians at 63.6%, followed by Black Africans at 59.5% and Coloureds at 55.8% with Whites the lowest at 53.6%. The White population has a relatively low percentage (23.4%) for those aged 18 to 34 years which indicates that this is the group that has probably experienced the highest levels of emigration. 27.3% of the White population are over 54 years, followed by 12.7% for Asians, 11.5% for Coloureds and only 5.2% for Black Africans. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 8 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 2001 1996 Male Female Male Female 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Note: Unspecified age has been excluded Figure 4: Population pyramid for 1996 Figure 5: Population pyramid for 2001 2007 Male Female 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Figure 6: Population pyramid for 2007 The shapes of the population pyramids show trends in fertility, mortality and migration (see figures 4, 5 and 6). For Cape Town migration has a significant impact on the shape of the pyramid with those in the age groups 20 to 34 moving into Cape Town in search of work. More recently there has been a trend for secondary school learners from the Eastern Cape to come to the schools in October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 9 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Cape Town with an increase in the 15 to 19 age group in 2001 and an even bigger increase in 2007. 3.3 Migration 68.4% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 19.4% 10% 0.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 1.6% 4.0% 0.3% 0% Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng Kw aZuluNatal Limpopo Mpumalanga Northern North West Cape Western Cape Outside RSA Figure 7: Place of birth of Cape Town residents for 2007 In 2007 the place of birth of 68.4% of Cape Town residents was the Western Cape, with 19.4% having been born in the Eastern Cape, 3.3% in Gauteng and 4.0% outside of South Africa (see Figure 7). For the different races the percentages that were born in the Western Cape vary from 94.2% for Coloureds to 42.3% for Black Africans with 67.0% for Asians and 57.0% for Whites. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 10 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Black African Coloured Asian White 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng Kw aZuluNatal Limpopo Mpumalanga Northern Cape North West Outside RSA Figure 8: Place of birth (excluding Western Cape) of Cape Town residents by race for 2007 Figure 8 shows the place of birth of Cape Town residents other than the Western Cape. For Black Africans the highest percentage were born in the Eastern Cape (49.8%), with 2.9% born outside South Africa and 1.7% in Gauteng. 14.2% of Whites were born outside of South Africa, 12.9% in Gauteng and 5.0% in the Eastern Cape. For Asians 13.7% were born in KwaZulu-Natal, 11.1% outside of South Africa, 3.3% in the Eastern Cape and 2.9% in Gauteng. Very small numbers of Coloureds were born outside of the Western Cape with 2.1% having been born in the Eastern Cape and 1.9% in the Northern Cape. 50% 44.9% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 19.5% 17.3% 15% 10% 6.2% 5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 2.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0% Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng Kw aZuluNatal Limpopo Mpumalanga Northern North West Cape Outside RSA Unknow n Figure 9: Province from which people moved into Cape Town since October 2001 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 11 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town A total of 190,256 people moved into Cape Town after October 2001 from all provinces other than the Western Cape as well as from outside of South Africa. This includes 30,964 who were born after October 2001 and whose place of birth was not the Western Cape. From the data available it is not possible to determine the number of people who moved into Cape Town from other areas of the Western Cape. Of those moving from outside the Western Cape 44.9% came from the Eastern Cape, 19.5% from outside of South Africa and 17.3% from Gauteng (see Figure 9). For the different race groups the province from which they moved into Cape Town varies significantly with 68.6 % of Black Africans coming from the Eastern Cape and 11.2% from outside of South Africa. For Coloureds 24.2% came from Gauteng and 23.0% from the Eastern Cape. 37.3% of Asians came from KwaZulu-Natal and 34.6% from Gauteng. The highest percentage (36.8%) of Whites came from outside of South Africa and 31.2% from Gauteng. Additional details can be found in Appendix 7. Oct 1996 to Sep 2001 Oct 2001 to Feb 2007 120,000 Number of People 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng Kw aZuluNatal Limpopo Mpumalanga Northern Cape North West Figure 10: Number of people moving into Cape Town from other South African Provinces As can be seen from Figure 10 the number of people moving into Cape Town from other provinces in South Africa declined from the period October 1996/September 2001 to October 2001/February 2007. With the exception of Limpopo and Mpumalanga the decrease is substantial. During both periods the largest number came from the Eastern Cape followed by Gauteng. The number of people in the period October 2001/February 2007 excludes those born after October 2001. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 12 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 16% 14.8% 14.4% 14% 12.8% 12% 10.2% 10% 8.3% 8% 7.0% 6.7% 5.7% 6% 4.4% 4% 3.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 0% 0-4 5-9 9-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+ Age in years Figure 11: Age of people moving into Cape Town from outside the Western Cape The highest percentage (37.9%) of people moving into Cape Town, from outside the Western, Cape is aged 20 to 34 years with 14.8% aged 20 to 24 years (see Figure 11). There is also a relatively large percentage (14.4%) aged 0 to 4 years moving into Cape Town and 62.2% of these are coming from the Eastern Cape. This indicates that a large proportion of those moving to Cape Town are coming in search of work particularly from the Eastern Cape and that they are bringing young children with them but leaving older children in the care of the extended family. 3.4 Disabilities Statistics South Africa defines a disability as “a physical or mental handicap which has lasted for six months or more, or is expected to last at least six months, which prevents the person from carrying out daily activities independently, or from participating fully in educational, economic or social activities.” In 2007 there were 114,297 people in Cape Town with disabilities and is 3.5% of the total population. The number of disabled people has increased from 107,837 in 2001 when the percentage of the total population was 3.7%. This percentage decrease has occurred for all races, except Asians, with Whites having the largest decrease falling from 4.7% in 2001 to 3.5% in 2007. The percentage of disabled Black Africans fell from 3.4% in 2001 to 3.1% in 2007 and Coloureds from 3.8% in 2001 to 3.5% in 2007. Asian disabled increased from 3.2% in 2001 to 3.5% in 2007. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 13 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Black African Coloured Asian White Total 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Sight Hearing Communication Physical Intellectual Emotional Multiple Disabilities Figure 12: Disabilities by race for 2007 The type of disability is shown in Figure 12. Physical disability is the highest for all races with Asians the highest at 44.9% and Black Africans the lowest at 32.1%. The opposite is the case for multiple disabilities with 22.9% for Black Africans and 3.0% for Asians. Whites have the highest percentage (10.7%) with a hearing disability while Asians have the highest percentages for sight disability (11.0%), communication disability (9.5%) and intellectual disability (14.3%). Black Africans have the highest percentage (18.1%) for emotional disability. Details of disabilities by race and gender can be found in Appendix 8. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 14 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 4 4.1 Education Educational Institution Attendance The analysis focuses on the 5 to 24 year age group as it is this age group that is most likely to be attending an educational institution. A child may be admitted to Grade 1 should they turn six by 30 June and attendance is compulsory once they are seven. Schooling is also compulsory to the age of 15. In 2007 64.0% of this age group were attending an educational institution which is lower than that for 2001 (66.3%). In 1996 64.9% were attending an educational institution. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1996 16.2 52.0 85.8 91.5 94.5 95.8 96.8 97.2 96.9 95.8 93.4 88.0 79.3 64.2 47.9 38.1 31.2 24.8 19.0 15.8 2001 48.3 73.8 91.7 95.2 96.3 96.6 96.5 96.8 96.2 94.5 90.6 84.5 76.5 60.7 44.3 33.4 26.6 20.0 15.4 12.1 2007 54.0 87.7 93.5 94.7 93.9 94.8 93.9 94.0 93.5 92.8 90.3 84.6 72.3 51.0 43.8 30.0 24.0 19.0 14.2 7.9 Age in Years Figure 13: Attendance at an educational institution by age for 1996, 2001 and 2007 As can be seen from figure 13 there has been a decrease in the percentage attending an educational institution for all ages from 11 years since 1996 and for all ages from 8 years since 2001. Those aged 18 years shows the largest decrease. As the figures for 2007 are based on a sample survey, variations within age groups could be attributed to a relatively low number surveyed in each of the age groups particularly for ages 8 to 15 years. For those aged 16 to 18 years reasons for not attending an educational institution include having no money for fees, already working, looking after younger family members following death of parents and pregnancy. There has been a large increase in the percentage of five and six year olds attending and this can be attributed to the lowering of the school going age to five years in 2003. For all age categories from 7 to 15 years attendance was over 90% in 2007. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 15 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 1996 2001 80% 70% 2007 72.5% 62.9% 64.1% 63.6% 63.9% 65.1% 76.1% 75.6% 70.4% 70.6% 72.0% 61.8% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Figure 14: Attendance at an educational institution by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 The percentage attending an educational institution in the 5 to 24 age group increased from 1996 to 2001 and then decreased in 2007 (see Figure 14). For Black Africans and Whites the percentage in 2007 was higher than that in 1996 while for Coloureds and Asians the lowest percentage was in 2007. 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Pre-school Primary school Secondary school College University/ Technikon Other Black African 3.9% 47.9% 41.7% 2.5% 3.3% 0.6% Coloured 4.3% 51.5% 38.0% 2.5% 3.1% 0.7% Asian 4.3% 36.0% 29.8% 3.9% 23.3% 2.8% White 4.0% 37.1% 36.3% 5.3% 16.2% 1.0% Total 4.1% 47.7% 39.0% 3.0% 5.5% 0.7% Figure 15: Type of educational institution attended by race for 2007 For those aged 5 to 24 years 4.1% are attending pre-school with almost no variation for the different races (see Figure 15). Coloureds have the highest percentage (51.5%) attending primary school and Black Africans the highest (41.7%) attending secondary school. Asians have the highest percentage (23.3%) attending a university or technikon followed by Whites at 16.2%. 5.3% of Whites attend a college. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 16 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 4.2 Adult level of Education Educational attainment is important for those seeking to be employed and thus the level of education completed for adults (those 20 years and older) is important. 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% No schooling Grade 0 - 3 Grade 4 - 7 Grade 8 11 Grade 12 Certificate/ Diploma Degree Unspecified 1996 4.2% 1.8% 17.9% 37.5% 19.6% 9.0% 4.6% 5.3% 2001 4.2% 2.4% 16.5% 38.1% 25.4% 7.9% 5.5% 0.0% 2007 2.0% 2.9% 14.3% 40.1% 20.9% 9.6% 8.8% 1.4% Figure 16: Highest level of education obtained by adults for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Figure 16 shows that the percentage of those 20 years and older with no education has decreased from 4.2% in 1996 to 2.0% in 2007 and the percentage with a degree has increase from 4.6% to 8.8% in the same period. From 1996 to 2007 those completing Grade 4 to Grade 7 has shown a steady decrease while those completing Grade 8 to Grade 11 show a steady increase suggesting that more are now completing at least some secondary school than previously. The percentage that completed Grade 12 decreased from 2001 to 2007 but there was an increase in the number who completed a certificate, diploma or degree indicating that more learners who complete Grade 12 are studying at a tertiary institution. Since 1996 there had been a significant decrease in adults with no schooling across all races with Coloureds having the largest decrease from 8.2% to 2.3%. Black Africans decreased from 8.2% to 2.7%, Asians from 3.6% to 1.7% and Whites from 0.8% to 0.3%. Over the same period there has been a steady increase in higher education across all population groups. The percentage with a certificate, diploma or degree is highest for Whites having increased from 22.2% in 1996 to 45.2% in 2007. Asians increased from 18.8% to 34.9%, Black Africans from 4.2% to 10.3% and Coloureds from 4.2% to 9.4%. In particular the number of Black African adults with a degree increased from 1.3% to 3.3%, Coloureds from 1.3% to 2.8%, Asians from 8.8% to 23.2% and Whites from 12.9% to 26.4%. Additional information can be found in Appendix 9. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 17 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Black African Coloured Grade 4 - 7 Grade 8 - 11 Asian White 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% No schooling Grade 0 - 3 Grade 12 Certificate/ Diploma Degree Figure 17: Highest level of education amongst adults by race 2007 The highest level of education attained by adults show significant variation for the different races in 2007 (see Figure 17). Whites have the highest percentage with degrees (26.4%), certificate or diploma (18.8%) and Grade 12 (32.7%) followed by Asians with 23.2%, 11.7% and 25.4% respectively. For those with Grade 8 to Grade 11 Black Africans are the highest with 46.9% followed by Coloureds at 46.5%. 22.8% of Black Africans and 21.7% of Coloureds only have a primary school education. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 18 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 5 Employment In their evaluation of the Community Survey the Stats Council raised the concern that the measure of unemployment is higher and less reliable than that in the Labour Force Surveys as there were differences in the way the questions were asked. The employment status figures, and particularly those for unemployment, should thus be used with caution particularly when looking at trends in Cape Town. When looking at employment only the potential labour force has been analysed. These are all persons aged 15 to 65 years and who do not reside in an institution (a communal place of residence for people with a common characteristic, such as a hospital, school hostel, home for the disabled, prison, defence force barracks or convent). In order to be classified as unemployed, a person must satisfy the following three criteria: - The person did not work during the seven days prior to the survey interview, and does not have any job attachment; - The person wants to work and is available to start work within two weeks; - The person has taken active steps to look for work or to start own business in the four weeks prior to the interview. 5.1 Employment Status In Cape Town 52.5% of the labour force was employed in February 2007, 17.0% unemployed and 28.4% not economically active. Gender variations do exist with 59.1% of males and 46.4% of females employed, 16.3% of males and 17.6% of females unemployed and 22.5% of males and 34.0% of females not economically active. Information on the official unemployment rate is given in section 5.6. Employed Unemployed Not economically active Unspecified 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Male Female Black African Total Male Female Coloured Total Male Female Total Asian Male Female Total White Figure 18: Employment status by race and gender for 2007 Whites have the highest percentage (67.7%) employed and the lowest percentage (3.1%) unemployed while the opposite is true for Black Africans where 43.8% are employed and 28.9% unemployed. For Coloureds 52.3% are employed and 14.6% are unemployed and for Asians 56.8% are employed and 6.0% unemployed. As can be seen from Figure 18 more males than females are employed and more females than males are not economically active across all the race groups. For Black Africans more females (31.3%) than males (26.2%) are unemployed as well as Asians where 7.8% of females and 4.4% of males are unemployed. The opposite is true for Coloureds where 15.3% of males and 13.9% of females are unemployed. For Whites the percentage unemployed for both males and females is 3.1%. Across all races the percentages for October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 19 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town those not economically active is always higher for females than for males with Asian females the highest (39.7%) and White males the lowest (21.0%). 5.2 Work Status Of all those who are employed 82.9% are paid employees, 10.6% are self-employed, 1.2% are employers and 1.3% are family workers not all of which are paid. 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Paid employee Paid family worker Self-employed Employer Unpaid family worker Unspecified Black African 85.7% 0.8% 7.4% 0.2% 0.5% 5.4% Coloured 87.6% 0.9% 6.2% 0.9% 0.3% 4.2% Asian 73.4% 0.7% 15.5% 3.4% 2.4% 4.6% White 72.3% 0.8% 21.1% 2.6% 0.3% 2.9% Figure 19: Work status by race for 2007 For all races paid employees have the highest percentage with Coloureds the highest (87.6%) and Whites the lowest (72.3%) (see Figure 19). Whites have the highest percentage (21.1%) who are self-employed and Coloureds the lowest (6.2%). Asians have the highest percentage of employers (3.4%) and also the highest percentage of unpaid family workers (2.4%). 5.3 Occupation Male Female Total 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Unspecified and not elsewhere classified Elementary occupations Plant and machine operators and assemblers Craft and related trades workers Service workers, shop and market sales Skilled agricultural and fishery workers Clerks Technicians and associate professionals Professionals Legislators, senior officials and managers 0% Figure 20: Occupation by gender for 2007 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 20 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town For those employed the occupations of 22.6% were either unspecified or not classified into one of the nine categories. The occupation having the largest percentage (13.5%) was elementary occupations followed by professionals (11.5%), craft and related trade workers (10.5%) and legislators, senior officials and manages (10.2%) (see Figure 20). Females have the highest percentages for elementary occupations (18.0%), clerks (13.9%) and professionals (13.4%) while males are highest for craft and related trade workers (15.6%), legislators, senior officials and managers (11.2%), elementary occupations (9.8%) and professionals (9.8%). Black African Coloured Asian White 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Unspecified and not elsewhere classified Elementary occupations Plant and machine operators and assemblers Craft and related trades workers Service workers, shop and market sales Skilled agricultural and fishery workers Clerks Technicians and associate professionals Professionals Legislators, senior officials and managers 0% Figure 21: Occupation by race for 2007 As can be seen from Figure 21 there are significant variations in occupation by race. For Whites the occupation with the highest percentage is legislators, senior officials and managers (20.7%) followed by professionals (18.8%) and technicians and associated professionals (11.2%). Asians have the highest percentages in the same three categories with 23.1% for professionals, 17.2% for legislators, senior officials and managers and 9.3% for technicians and associated professionals. Craft and related trade workers is the highest (13.5%) for Coloureds followed by elementary occupations (13.1%) and clerks (10.9%). For Black Africans 25.6% are in elementary occupations, 13.4% are service workers, shop and market sales workers and 11.5% are craft and related trade workers. Looking at highest level of education attained and occupations Black Africans and Coloureds tend to be employed in elementary and less skilled occupations and have attained lower levels of education where as far more Asians and Whites are employed in more skilled occupations and have attained higher levels of education. Levels of education attained thus need to be increased in order to increase those employed in the more skilled occupations which will lead to improved standards of living. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 21 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Male Female Total Transport, storage and communication Industry Wholesale and retail trade 5.4 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% Unspecified Other and not adequately defined Construction Electricity, gas and water supply Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing 0% Financial, insurance, real estate and business Community, social and personal services 5% Figure 22: Industry by gender for 2007 The industry having the highest percentage of those employed is manufacturing (14.9%) followed by wholesale and retail trade (14.6%), financial, insurance real estate and business services (12.9%) and community, social and personal services (12.8%) (see Figure 22). The highest percentages of females are employed in the same four industrial categories with community, social and personal services the highest at 16.9% followed by wholesale and retail trade at 16.4%. For males the highest percentage (16.9%) are employed in manufacturing with wholesale and retail trade second at 13.2% and financial, insurance, real estate and business services third at 13.0%. Black African Coloured Asian White 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% Unspecified Other and not adequately defined Wholesale and retail trade Construction Electricity, gas and water supply Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing 0% Transport, storage and communication Financial, insurance, real estate and business Community, social and personal services 5% Figure 23: Industry by race for 2007 Figure 23 shows the industries for those employed by race. For Black Africans the highest percentage (15.3%) is in wholesale and retail trade and 11.9% are in manufacturing. Black Africans also have a high percentage (13.1%) in the “other and not adequately defined” category. Manufacturing, at 18.1%, is the highest for Coloureds followed by wholesale and retail trade at October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 22 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 16.1% and community, social and personal services at 13.3%. For Whites and Asians financial, insurance, real estate and business services are the highest at 18.8% and 17.2% respectively. Asians also have a high percentage (17.1%) in wholesale and retail trade. For Whites, 15.0% are in community, social and personal services and 13.0% in manufacturing. 5.5 Income of Employed Male Female Total 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Response not given R204,801 or more R102,401 R204,800 R51,201 R102,400 R25,601 R51,200 R12,801 R25,600 R6,401 R12,800 R3,201 R6,400 R1,601 R3,200 R801 R1,600 R401 R800 R1 - R400 No income 0% Figure 24: Monthly income of the employed by gender for 2007 For those employed 26.8% earn less than R1,601 per month, 18.2% earn between R1,601 and R3,200 per month, 14.7% earn between R3,201 and R6,400 per month and 23.2% earn more than R6,400 per month. 17.1% did not give any response to the question on monthly income. This is the norm in surveys of this nature as some people are reluctant to disclose their income. In all the categories below R12,800 there are more females than males with the exception of R1,601 to R3,200 where there are 18.8% males and 17.4% females. This category also has the highest percentage of any of the categories (see Figure 24). In all categories above R12,000 there are more males than females. Black African Coloured Asian White 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Response not given R204,801 or more R102,401 R204,800 R51,201 R102,400 R25,601 R51,200 R12,801 R25,600 R6,401 R12,800 R3,201 R6,400 R1,601 R3,200 R801 R1,600 R401 R800 R1 - R400 No income 0% Figure 25: Monthly income of the employed by race for 2007 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 23 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Monthly income by race is shown in Figure 25. Only 8.1% of Black Africans did not give a response to income as compared to over 20% for all the other races. For Black Africans 30.6% earn between R801 and R1,600, 25.5% earn between R1,601 and R3,200 and 11.2% between R401 and R800. Coloureds show a small improvement with 20.9% earning between R1,600 and R3,200, 18.6% earning between 3,201 and R6,400 and 14.4% earning between R801 and R1,600. The highest percentage for both Asians and Whites is between R6,401 and R12,800 with 20.1% and 21.3% respectively. For Asians 19.1% earn between R3,201 and R6,400 and 11.7% between R12,801 and R25,600. 17.9% of Whites earn between R12,801 and R25,600 and 14% between R3,201 and R6,400. For Whites 13.3% earn more than R25,600 as compared to 10.0% for Asians, 1.5% for Coloureds and 1.2% for Black Africans. 5.6 Unemployment Rate When calculating the official unemployment rate only the economically active population, those aged 15 to 65 who are employed or unemployed, are taken into account. 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Total Male 34.3% 20.6% 6.4% 4.0% 21.7% Female 45.3% 23.1% 13.5% 4.8% 27.6% Total 39.7% 21.8% 9.6% 4.4% 24.5% Figure 26: Unemployment by race and gender for 2007 In February 2007 the unemployment rate for Cape Town was 24.5%. Across all races the unemployment rate is higher for females than males with Black Africans showing the largest difference and Whites the smallest (see Figure 26). The unemployment rate for Black Africans is the highest (39.7%), followed by Coloureds (21.8%) and then Asians (9.6%) with Whites the lowest (4.4%). October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 24 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Total 1996 37.9% 17.7% 10.7% 4.1% 19.6% 2001 49.7% 24.5% 12.0% 4.7% 29.2% 2007 39.7% 21.8% 9.6% 4.4% 24.5% Figure 27: Unemployment by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 For all races the unemployment rate was highest in 2001 with that for Black Africans reaching 49.7% (see Figure 27). Black Africans, Coloureds and Whites had the lowest unemployment rates in 1996 of 37.9%, 17.7% and 4.1% respectively. Between 2001 and 2007 the unemployment rate for Black Africans decreased by 10.0% and that for Coloureds by 2.7%. Asians had their lowest unemployment rate (9.6%) in 2007. The unemployment rate for Whites showed little variation. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 25 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 6 Social Grants Of the total population of Cape Town 13.0% are receiving social grants. Black Africans have the highest percentage (19.3%) receiving these grants followed by Coloureds with 12.0%, Asians with 6.0% and Whites with 4.4%. Black African Coloured Asian White Total 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Care Child support Foster care dependency grant grant grant Old age pension Disability grant Grant in aid Social relief Multiple social grants Black African 10.1% 9.8% 73.9% 2.0% 0.2% 1.4% 0.4% 2.1% Coloured 37.4% 20.6% 35.4% 3.2% 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% Asian 57.8% 29.2% White 69.2% 22.4% 11.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 2.5% 0.3% 2.3% Total 25.5% 15.2% 53.0% 2.5% 0.3% 1.3% 0.5% 1.8% Figure 28: Social grants by race for 2007 For those who do receive social grants the highest percentage (53.0%) receive child support grants, followed by old age pensions (25.5%) and disability grants (15.2%) (see Figure 28). The type of grants received by the different races vary greatly with 73.9% of Black Africans receiving child support grants compared to 35.4% for Coloureds 11.5% for Asians and only 1.3% for Whites. The opposite occurs for old age pensions with 69.2% of Whites, 57.8% of Asians, 37.4% of Coloureds and 10.1% of Black Africans receiving this grant. Asians have the highest (29.2%) and Black Africans the lowest (9.8%) percentage of disability grants. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 26 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 7 7.1 Households Household Distribution The Community Survey estimates the number of households in Cape Town to be 902,279. This is an increase of 18.8% since Census 2001 and 38.2% since Census 1996. In South Africa the number of households increased by 11.6% between 2001 and 2007. The number of households in the Western Cape increased by 16.7% with 72.9% of this increase occurring in Cape Town. Other Western Cape municipalities showing a large percentage increase between 2001 and 2007 include Bitou (44.3%), Mossel Bay (41.3%), Stellenbosch (25.5%), Overstrand (18.2%) and Knysna (18.2%). Details for all Western Cape municipalities can be found in Appendix 10 and a map showing their location in Appendix 4. Since 1996 the number of households in Cape Town having an Black African household head have shown a large increase (92.3%). Households having a White household head increased by 26.4% and those having a Coloured household head by 21.5%. 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Unspecified 1996 25.7% 39.8% 1.3% 29.9% 3.3% 2001 32.3% 39.9% 1.3% 26.5% 0.0% 2007 35.8% 35.0% 1.9% 27.3% 0.0% Figure 29: Households by race of household head for 1996, 2001 and 2007 The percentage of households in each of the race groups is shown in Figure 29. Since 1996 Black African headed households have increased from 25.7% to 35.8% while Coloured headed households decreased from 39.8% to 35.0%. Households with a White household head decreased from 1996 to 2001 and then increased in 2007. 7.2 Household Size The average household size in Cape Town has shown little change being 3.9 in 1996, 3.7 in 2001 and 3.9 in 2007. Households with Coloured household heads have consistently had the largest average household size and increase from 4.5 in 2001 to 4.9 in 2007. Asian headed households have shown the largest decrease in average household size from 4.3 in 1996 to 3.7 in 2007. Black African headed households had an average household size of 3.8 in both 1996 and 2007and 3.6 in 2001. White headed households have the lowest average household size decreasing from 2.8 in 1996 to 2.7 in 2007. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 27 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Black African Coloured Asian White Total 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10+ Figure 30: Household size by race of household head for 2007 For 2007 83.2% of households have five people or less, with two persons per household the highest at 20.8% (see Figure 30). Significant variations occur between the races where the race of the head of the household determines the race group for the household. For White households 91.7% have less than five persons with two persons per household being the highest at 35.2%. Starting at four persons per household, Coloured households consistently have the largest percentage with the highest percentage (24.0%) at four persons. Only 4.5% of Coloured households have one person. Black households also have a relatively large percentage of one (14.9%) and two (18.1%) person households. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 28 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 8 8.1 Housing Dwelling Type Formal Informal Other 100% 90% 80% 83.0% 78.9% 77.4% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 19.2% 10% 18.8% 3.3% 15.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0% 1996 2001 2007 Figure 31: Dwelling type for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Note: Informal include shacks not in back yards as well as those in back yards. Other includes traditional dwellings, caravans, tents, private ships and workers’ hostels. The percentage of households living in formal dwellings has increased from 77.4% in 1996 to 83.0% in 2007 while those living in informal dwellings fell from 19.2% to 15.6% over the same period (see Figure 31). Although the percentage of households living in informal dwelling decreased the actual number increased from 125,233 in 1996 to 142,910 in 2001 and then decreased to 140,605 in 2007. The percentage of Black African households living in formal dwellings has doubled while those living in informal dwellings have decreased from 64.8% to 37.6%. There has been almost no change in the percentage of Coloured and Asian households living in informal dwelling but the percentage for While households has increased from 0.1% to 0.5%. Details of dwelling type by race can be found in Appendix 11. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 29 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 120,000 110,109 108,899 103,458 100,000 84,300 Informal dwelling / shack in back yard (Statistics SA) 80,000 Informal dwelling / shack NOT in back yard (Statistics SA) Informal Settlement Count (SDI&GIS Department) 56,305 60,000 40,000 32,801 21,775 20,000 0 1996 2001 2007 Figure 32: Informal dwellings for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Informal dwellings in back yards have shown a steady increase from 21,775 in 1996 to 56,305 in 2007 (see Figure 32). However there is a need for caution when interpreting the 2007 figures for informal dwellings not in back yards as the number for 2007 is significantly lower than that for 2001 and yet the number of dwellings in informal settlements has increased. The 2007 count of dwellings in informal settlement was done from aerial photographs taken in January 2007 and 108,899 were counted (Strategic Development Information & GIS Department). The number of informal dwellings not in back yards is thus underestimated in the Community Survey as the number should be larger than that counted from aerial photographs. Black African Coloured Asian White Total 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Other Workers hostel Room/flatlet not in back yard but on a shared property Informal dwelling/shack NOT in back yard Informal dwelling/shack in back yard House/flat/room in back yard Town/cluster/sem i-detached house Flat in block of flats House or brick structure on a separate stand or yard 0% Traditional dwelling 10% Figure 33: Dwelling type for 2007 For all races the percentage living in a house of brick structure on a separate stand or yard in 2007 was the largest with Asians the highest at 78.5% and Black Africans the lowest at 48.0% (see Figure 33). Black Africans have the highest percentages living in informal dwellings with 24.0% in informal settlements and 13.6% in back yards. 13.5% of Whites and 12.9% of Asians live in a flat in a block of flats while 7.0% of Whites and 4.3% of Asians live in a town/cluster/semi-detached house. For Coloureds 9.1% live in a town/cluster/semi-detached house. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 30 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 8.2 Tenure 1996 90% 2001 2007 84.2% 80% 68.4% 66.0% 70% 69.3% 67.9% 69.2% 70.4% 69.8% 74.5% 77.6% 72.9% 60.7% 63.9% 60% 50% 47.9% 42.2% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Black African Coloured Asian White Total Figure 34: Dwellings owned by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 As can be seen from Figure 34 the percentage of households who own their dwelling has shown a steady increase for both Whites and Asians. Owned and fully paid off Owned but not yet paid off Rented Occupied rent-free Other 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2001 2007 Black African 2001 2007 Coloured 2001 2007 Asian 2001 2007 White 2001 2007 Total Figure 35: Dwelling tenure by race for 2001 and 2007 For all races the percentage of households whose dwellings are owned and fully paid off increased between 2001 and 2007 while those owned and not yet fully paid off declined (see Figure 35). Black Africans have the highest percentage of dwellings owned and fully paid off (41.1%) followed by Whites (40.8%). Black Africans have the highest percentage occupying dwellings rent free decreasing from 37.4% in 2001 to 28.1% in 2007. Between 2001 and 2007 the percentage of households living in rented dwellings fell for all races except Black Africans with Coloureds having the largest decrease (4.8%). Black African households living in rented dwellings increased by 2.3%. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 31 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 9 9.1 Services Energy Sources Lighting Cooking Heating 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Electricity Gas Paraffin Wood Coal Candles Solar Other Figure 36: Energy sources for lighting, cooking and heating in 2007 Electricity is the fuel used by over 80% of all households in Cape Town with 94.4% using it for lighting, 89.5% for cooking and 80.4% for heating (see Figure 36). Paraffin is the next most commonly used fuel with 14.7% of households using it for heating, 6.0% for cooking and 4.0% for lighting. Gas is used by 4.3% of households for cooking and 1.8% for heating. 0.9% of households use candles for lighting and 1.2% use wood for heating. When taking into account the race of household heads different patterns of energy sources emerge. Over 91% of Coloured, Asian and White households use electricity for lighting, cooking and heating while 87.0% of Black Africans households use it for lighting, 78.1% for cooking and 56.7% for heating. Black African households use a significant amount of paraffin with 39.0% using it for heating, 15.7% using it for cooking and 10.7% using it for lighting. Further information can be found in Appendix 12. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 32 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Electricity Paraffin Candles Other 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1996 2001 2007 1996 Black African 2001 2007 1996 Coloured 2001 2007 1996 Asian 2001 2007 1996 White 2001 2007 Total Electricity 57.0% 69.4% 87.0% 95.5% 97.1% 97.8% 99.0% 98.9% 98.8% 99.5% 99.4% 99.3% 86.8% 88.8% 94.4% Paraffin 37.0% 25.9% 10.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 10.0% 8.6% 4.0% Candles 5.0% 4.0% 1.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% Other 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% Figure 37: Energy source for lighting in 1996, 2001 and 2007 There has been an increase in the percentage of households using electricity for lighting from 86.8% in 1996 to 94.4% in 2007 and a decrease in those using paraffin and candles (see Figure 37). The percentage of Asian and White households using electricity for lighting has remained almost constant while Coloured households have increased by 2.3%. Black African households have had a 30.0% increase in the use of electricity for lighting with significant decreases in those using paraffin (26.3%) and candles (3.2%). For households living in an informal dwelling not in a backyard 58.9% use electricity for lighting while 34.4% use paraffin and 6.0% use candles. For cooking 47.6% use electricity 41.2% use paraffin and 10.2% use gas while 61.2% use paraffin and 32.5% use electricity for heating. Of those living in an informal dwelling in a back yard 86.7% are using electricity, 8.4% paraffin and 3.5% candles for lighting. The percentage using paraffin of cooking increases to 15.9% and to 31.9% for heating and decreases to 78.4% for cooking and 61.7% for heating. With the large percentage of households in informal dwellings, particularly those not in back yards, who do not use electricity for lighting, cooking and heating the incidence of fires is far greater leading to loss of possessions and lives for those who are already disadvantaged. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 33 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 9.2 Access to Water 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 Black African Coloured Asian White Total Piped w ater inside dw elling 34.2% 28.9% 52.6% 91.2% 84.5% 93.7% 98.1% 91.8% 97.8% 99.1% 94.6% 98.8% 79.0% 69.3% 80.5% Piped w ater inside yard 30.9% 33.3% 25.6% 5.9% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 2.2% 0.3% 10.5% 15.1% 10.6% Piped w ater outside yard 28.9% 34.9% 21.1% 1.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.3% 4.5% 0.4% 0.1% 3.0% 0.4% 8.3% 14.3% 8.4% Other 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% Figure 38: Main source of water by race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 The number of households having access to piped water increased from 97.8% in 1996 to 99.5% in 2007 with over 99% of households in all race groups having access. By 2007 80.5% of all households had piped water inside their dwelling, 10.6% had piped water inside their yard and 8.4% had access to piped water outside their yard (see Figure 38). For all races the percentage of households having piped water inside their dwelling fell in 2001 and rose again in 2007. Over 93% of all Coloured, Asian and White households had piped water inside their dwellings by 2007. Black African households had a significant increase in the percentage of having piped water inside their dwellings from 28.9% in 2001 to 52.6% in 2007. Having access to piped water reduces the risk of water borne diseases and increases quality of life. 9.3 Access to Sanitation The number of households having access to flush or chemical toilets decreased from 89.3% in 1996 to 87.5% in 2001 and then increased to 93.0% in 2007. Households using bucket toilets or having no toilet facilities increased from 8.0% in 1996 to 11.6% in 2001 and then decreased to 6.4% in 2007. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 34 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Flush toilet Flush toilet (sewerage (septic tank) system) 2001 85.3% 2.0% 2007 91.2% 1.6% Dry toilet facility 0.5% Pit toilet with ventilation Pit toilet without ventilation 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 4.4% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 2.9% 3.5% Chemical Bucket toilet toilet system None Figure 39: Access to toilet facilities for 2001 and 2007 The number of households having a flush toilet connected to the sewerage system has increased from 85.3% in 2001 to 91.2% in 2007 (see Figure 39). From 2001 to 2007 the percentage using the bucket toilet system has decreased from 4.4% to 2.9% and households having no toilet facilities have decreased from 7.2% to 3.5%. Coloured households having access to a flush toilet increased from 95.3% in 2001 to 97.7% in 2007, Asian households increased from 97.8% to 99.2% and White households increased from 99.0% to 99.8%. Coloured households using the bucket system decreased from 1.3% in 2001 to 1.2% in 2007 while no Asian or White households were found to be using this system in 2007. Coloured, Asian and White households having no access to toilet facilities had all dropped to below 1% by 2007. More details are shown in Appendix 13. 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Flush toilet Flush toilet (sewerage (septic tank) system) 2001 65.0% 2.5% 2007 78.5% 3.7% Dry toilet facility 1.0% Pit toilet with ventilation Pit toilet without ventilation Chemical toilet Bucket toilet system None 0.4% 1.3% 0.4% 11.9% 18.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 6.9% 9.1% Figure 40: Access to toilet facilities by Black Africans for 2001 and 2007 October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 35 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Figure 40 shows the access to toilet facilities by Black African households. The percentage connected to the sewerage system has increased to 78.5% in 2007 and 3.7% have toilets with a septic tank. There has been a decline in those using the bucket system from 11.9% to 6.9% and those having no access to a toilet facility from 18.5% to 9.1%. Households who do not have access to adequate toilet facilities are more vulnerable to diseases and epidemics which in turn increase the need for additional health care facilities. In areas without adequate toilet facilities the pollution of waterways and wetlands increases and this puts a large percentage of the population at risk of contracting water born diseases. 9.4 Refuse Removal 1996 100% 90% 2001 2007 94.2%94.2% 88.6% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 3.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 3.3% 2.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.4% 1.0% Own refuse dump No rubbish disposal 1.3% 0.2% 0% Removed by local Removed by local Communal refuse authority at least authority less often dump weekly Other Figure 41: Type of refuse removal for 1996, 2001 and 2007 The removal of refuse by local authority at least weekly increased from 88.6% in 1996 to 94.2% in 2001 and was unchanged in 2007 (see Figure 41). Removal of refuse less than once a week decreased from 3.1% in 1996 to 1.0% in 2007. The percentage of households having no rubbish disposal and using their own refuse dump also decreased from 2.1% and 3.3% to 1.0% and 1.1% respectively. The percentage using communal refuse dump has doubled since 2001. Changes in refuse removal are most significant for Black African households with removal by local authority at least weekly increasing from 66.7% in 1996 to 90.0% in 2007. Black African households saw a decrease from 10.0% in 1996 to 1.8% in 2007 where refuse is removed by local authority less than weekly, from 9.9% in 1996 to 1.7% in 2007 for those using their own refuse dump and from 6.9% in 1996 to 2.4% in 2007 for those having no refuse removal. More details of refuse removal by race can be found in Appendix 14. Once again having adequate refuse removal decreases the incidence of diseases and epidemics and improves the standard of living. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 36 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 10 Household Goods 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Cell-phone Landline Telephone Refrigerator Radio Television Computer 2001 45.2% 55.0% 76.0% 80.4% 76.5% 21.0% 2007 77.1% 47.0% 83.9% 84.0% 85.9% 34.3% Internet Facility 18.9% Figure 42: Household goods for 2001 and 2007 As can be seen from Figure 42 there has been a significant increase in the percentage of households who have cell-phones. Households having landline telephones have decreased from 55.0% to 47.0%. By 2007 over 80% of households have refrigerators, radios and televisions. Households having computers increased from 21.0% to 34.3%. In 2007 18.9% of households had internet facilities. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Cell-phone Landline Telephone Refrigerator Radio Television Computer Internet Facility Black African 75.2% 12.8% 62.5% 73.9% 69.3% 8.2% 2.9% Coloured 69.7% 55.5% 93.0% 85.2% 94.0% 30.7% 9.4% Asian 86.4% 75.4% 98.9% 97.4% 96.4% 65.8% 36.1% White 88.3% 79.0% 99.3% 94.6% 96.6% 70.8% 51.0% Figure 44: Household goods by race for 2007 For all races a larger percentage of households had cell-phones than landline telephones in 2007 with the largest difference occurring in Black African households where 75.2% have cell-phones and 12.8% have landline telephones (see Figure 44). Over 94% of Asian and White households have refrigerators, radios and televisions. A higher percentage of Coloured households have televisions than radios with the opposite being true for Black African households. White October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 37 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town households have the highest percentage (70.8%) of computers and Black African households the lowest (8.2%). Only 2.9% of Black African households have internet access as compared to 51.0% of White households. 11 Summary The Community Survey has shown that the population of Cape Town has increased by 20.9% since 2001 to just fewer than 3.5 million. All races showed an increase with Black Africans having the largest increase at 33.1%. Since 2001 almost 111,000 Black Africans have moved into Cape Town from outside of the Western Cape with 68.6% coming from the Eastern Cape. The number of adults who have no schooling has declined by 43.5% since 2001 with only 2% of the adult population having no schooling in 2007. The number of people with a degree, certificate or diploma has increased by 67.3% since 2001. The unemployment rate was at 24.5% in 2007, a decrease of 4.7% since 2001 with that of Black Africans decreasing by 10%. By 2007 83% of all households in Cape Town were living in formal dwellings. From 2001 to 2007 the number of Black African households in formal dwellings increased from 109 thousand to 194 thousand while the number in informal dwellings remained almost constant. The percentage of households having access to electricity for lighting increased from 88.8% in 2001 to 94.4% in 2007 with Black African households increasing by 17.6%. Over 99% of all households had access to piped water by 2007 with 80.5% having piped water in their dwelling. The number of households having access to a flush toilet increased from 87.3% in 2001 to 92.8% in 2007. A relatively large number of households, 2.9%, were still using the bucket system in 2007 with a decline in the number of households from 34,310 in 2001 to 26,220 in 2007. In 2007 3.5% of households had no access to toilet facilities. Just over 95% of households have their refuse removed by the local authority in 2007 which shows no change from 2001. Households having cell-phones have increased from 45.2% in 2001 to 77.1% in 2007 while those having landline telephones decreased from 55% to 47% in the same period. In 2007 75.2% of Black African households had cell-phones while only 12.8% had landline telephones. The number of households having computers also increased sharply from 21% in 2001 to 34.3% in 2007 with 18.9% of households having internet facilities in 2007. There has been progress in improving the living conditions of people living in Cape Town. More people are living in formal housing but more formal housing is needed for the many households still living in informal dwellings. More households have access to services and in particular electricity and piped water. Progress has been made with providing adequate toilet facilities but there are still many households who are using the bucket system or who have no toilet facilities. The advent of cell-phones has greatly improved communication particularly for Black Africans Although the number employed has increased the challenge remains in creating more employment opportunities as well as providing education opportunities to improve the skill levels of the existing and potential work force. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 38 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendices Appendix 1 – Estimation of Population and Number of Households 4 Methods used to estimate the population and number of households at municipal level 4.1 Introduction This section summarises the methods used to estimate the population and households from the Community Survey (CS) at municipal level. The user should be aware of the results and the Statistics Council’s recommendations (see Appendix 2) regarding the national, provincial and municipal estimated released in October 2007 (Report Nos. 03-01-20 and P0301). A cautionary note was included in the aforementioned reports for the users to be aware of the following limitations: The population out of the survey scope (i.e. institutions) was considered as an approximation from 2001 Census; In the Community Survey, unemployment was measured by using a different set of questions than in the regular Labour Force Survey; An unreasonable high income for children, probably due to misinterpretation or no differentiation between parent’s income and children’s income; New trends from the Community Survey with little congruence in numbers of households by province, as compared to the General Household Survey; Caution should be maintained when interpreting the grants or number of those receiving grants; Readers should be aware that the Community Survey does not replace the Census. Hence any interpretation should be understood to have some random fluctuations in data, particularly concerning the small number cells. The release in October 2007 gave adjusted estimates of the survey at national and provincial levels. These adjustments were done to ensure that the data remained internally and externally consistent at national and provincial level, and by age, population group and sex. The random fluctuation was maintained because the coefficients of variation (CV) were tolerable for national and provincial estimates. However, the same was not true for the municipal domain of estimation as some municipalities showed large CVs. Hence it became necessary to review the estimates at municipal level in order to remove the systematic biases due to poor realisation of the sample at small-area level. The statistical count of the Community Survey was measured in terms of number of persons and/or households. The universe of the Community Survey covers the persons and households that were sampled within all different enumeration areas as demarcated in the 2001 Census, excluding those classified as institutions and recreational areas. In order to have new estimates, the past Censuses are considered as the best available source of data that give information at lower geographical level. Therefore, the CS estimates for lower geographical levels are an adjustment to the projected information from these data sets. 4.2 The methods of estimation for different municipalities 4.2.1 The estimation of the number of persons The ratio method (Shryock and Siegel, 1973) of projecting geographical subdivisions was used to estimate the populations of the district councils and municipalities in the CS, stratified by population group, sex and single-year-age. The method is agreeable to this purpose and its execution involved the four stages as follows: Observing the percentage share of the populations of geographic subdivisions (e.g. district councils) in the parent population (e.g. province) in one or more reference dates. The current exercise made use of the percentage distribution of district councils in a province (and percentage distribution of October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 39 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town municipalities in a district council) in the 1996 and 2001 censuses, adjusted to the 2006 official boundaries1; Projecting these percentage shares into future dates (the reference date for the CS – mid-February 2007 in the current exercise); Applying the projected proportions/percentage shares into independently derived projections of the parent population (in this case the provincial population estimates as published in the October 2007 release of the CS); and Converting back into numbers of persons (by age, sex and population group) in each district municipality and in each local municipality the estimated proportions. In view of these projections or estimates, a choice was made for the beat estimates based on the comparison between direct CS proportion and the closest estimates in absolute numbers. Any difference greater than 1 000 persons or 10% was subjected to further scrutiny either by checking estimates from recent aerial photographs or administrative registers, or own local municipality survey or estimates. Although these further investigations were limited in nature because of the poor reliability of ancillary sources, the approximation from aerial photographs and independent local estimates results were closer to the projections than direst estimates from CS. If the projection using the ratio method was consistent with the CS, no further change was made. If not, a weighted average was used, as the CS and Census data were not consistent. Assumptions of the method Several assumptions could be employed when projecting population percentage distributions of geographical subdivisions. The procedure used in the CS exercise assumes that the average annual rate of change in the proportion observed in the 1996 and 2001 census enumerations, for each area will tend to zero2 over a long period (say 60 years). Limitations of the method The method does not explicitly account for other socio-economic and demographic variables that might be related to the observed proportion by the specific strata. The method is not a detailed cohort component projection. 4.2.2 Re-calculation of the person weights The new population estimates by municipalities described above provides additional information about the population that is believed to be more reliable than direct survey estimates. It is therefore possible to get improved precision of the survey estimates in term of reducing bias and increasing efficiency by applying some form of post-stratification adjustment where the weighted estimated total of the population (age, sex, population group) is constrained to the one coming from the estimated population on national and provincial level. The calculation of the municipality new adjusted weight for persons by age, sex and population group in each municipality is given by: Dividing the CS design weight by the response rate for each primary sampling unit within each municipality (stratum); Multiplying the first adjustment factor based on national and provincial estimates by age, sex, population group; and Multiplying the second adjustment factor deduced from the local municipality estimates by age, sex and population group. 1 To maximise the usage of the data, the percentage distributions were observed for both PES weighted and unweighted versions of the censuses. Additionally, weighted averages of the observed percent distributions were calculated (data for census 1996 were assigned a weight of 0,5 because they pertain to a period that is further away from the CS date compared to data from census 2001 which were assigned a weight of 1). 2 Note that it is the annual rate of change (not the proportions themselves) that approach zero over time. October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 40 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town 4.2.3 The estimation of the number of households The approach separated individuals from households in order to derive more reliable population estimates at a municipal level. After the number of people were estimated, revised estimates of the number of households in each municipality were calculated by assuming that the average household size (stratified by majority population group in the households) in each municipality remained unchanged from the data collected in the CS. This ensured that inter-municipality differentials in household composition were preserved. Dividing the new estimate of the number of people in each municipality (stratified by population group) by the average household size (stratified by majority population group of the household) gives a revised estimate (stratified by population group) of the number of households in each municipality. 4.2.4 The derivation of CS out-of-scope population Since the 2007 Community Survey has not taken into account some elements considered as out of scope of the survey. In order to have as complete an estimate of the population of South Africa as possible, those cases not in scope (such as collective living quarters (institutions) and some households in EAs classified as recreational areas or institutions), needed to be added to the CS estimates. However, as there has not been any recent estimate of these out-of-CS-scope cases, the only possibility was to assume that each individual record falling within the defined categories had remained as counted in the 2001 Census without any change over time. The above considerations are applied at municipal level in the same way as they have been at provincial level. In order to facilitate data management manipulation, the 2001 Census unit records that covered out-of-CS-scope cases were reduced to easy manageable data points that give the same profile of age, sex, population group and municipality distribution. 4.3 Consideration for CS interpretation of results The users should note that the Community Survey is not a replacement of the Census. An attempt was made to adjust the measurement to a best estimate. Any adjustment done has maintained the profiling of the community in terms of the people and households while compensating and correcting undercount bias by different projections on national, provincial and municipalities. However, the reliability of each of the different estimation methods depends on their internal limitations that lead to some assumptions based on what information is available. Most of the adjustments that were made show that the direct measure by the Community Survey could not produce usable estimates in some municipalities. The exception of better estimates was observed in densely populated municipalities like metros. The less reliable estimates for some small municipalities that were observed in the Community Survey would be part of the sampling methodology for future surveys. However, the measurement in terms of proportion is much less susceptible to random error than counts (numbers). As a consequence, the Community Survey gives useful information for estimating proportions, averages or ratios for smaller area domains. Users should be aware of these statements as part of the cautionary notes: The household estimates at municipal level differ slightly from the national and provincial estimates in terms of the household variables profile; The Community Survey has considered as an add-on an approximation of population in areas not covered by the survey, such as institutions and recreational areas. This approximation of people could not provide the number of those households (i.e. institutions). Thus, there is no household record for those approximated as living out of CS scope; Any cross-tabulation giving small numbers at municipal level should be interpreted with caution such as taking small value in given table’s cell as likely over or under estimation of the true population; October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 41 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town No reliance should be placed on numbers fro variables broken down at municipal level (i.e. age, population group etc.). However, the aggregated total number per municipality provides more reliable estimates; Usually a zero figure (excluding those in institutions) reflects the fact that no sample was realise, and in such cases, this is likely to be a significant underestimate of the true population; As an extension from the above statement, in a number of instances the number realised in the sample, though not zero, was very small (maybe as low as a single individual) and in some cases had to be reweighted by a very large factor (maximum nearly 800 for housing weight and over 1 000 for person weight); As a further consequence, small sub-populations are likely to be heavily over or under-represented at a household level in the data. It should be noted that the estimates were done with the use of the de-facto population and not the de-jure population. These results are presented as de-jure population. (Source: Community Survey 2007: Municipal data on household services / Statistics South Africa. Pretoria: Statistics South Africa, 2007, 336p. [Report No. 03-01-22 (2007)]) October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 42 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 2 – Statement by South African Statistics Council South African Statistics Council: Statement on the results of the Community Survey (CS) 1. Background Stats SA conducted the Community Survey in February 2007. The Council has been intimately involved in monitoring all the processes (including the sample design, questionnaire design, listing, fieldwork, communications campaign, data processing, data analysis and dissemination) in this survey, since the inception of the new Council in June 2005. The focus of this statement is on the data analysis conducted by a team of consultants on behalf of the Council. 2. The objectives of the Community Survey The main objectives of the Community Survey conducted in February 2007 were to: provide data at lower levels of geography (at district and municipal levels) in addition to national and provincial levels; build human, management and logistical capacity for Census 2011; and provide the primary data as a base for population projections. 3. Main findings The main findings of the investigation conducted by the Council are as follows: Demographic rates Fertility and mortality rates derived from the Community Survey data are entirely plausible. Service delivery indicators Most of the service delivery indicators compare well with other surveys conducted by Stats SA and other surveys, such as All Media and Products (AMPS). There are some concerns with certain variables and Council suggests that warnings be issued to caution users on data relating to: Institutional population (merely and approximation to 2001 numbers and not new data); Unemployment in the Community Survey is higher and less reliable because of questions that were asked differently; Grants (do not match the (SASSA) data and should be interpreted with great care); Income (includes unreasonably high income for children – presumably misinterpretation of the question, listing parents’ income for the child); and Distribution of households by province has very little congruence with the General Household Survey or last census. In the absence of a comprehensive sampling frame, it is difficult to determine whether the differences are due to sampling error, biases or the reality that has changed beyond our expectations. There may be other variables that will require similar warnings after further interrogation. Systematic errors A number of systematic errors were observed in the data, which include: An underestimate of men relative to women; An underestimate of children younger than 10 years; An excess of those aged 85+, in particular among men; October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 43 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Missing women aged 20–34 from the Coloured population; Maldistribution of the population by province; Excess of people aged 10–24 in Western Cape and Gauteng; and A shortfall of women aged 20–34 in Free State, KwaZulu-Natal and Limpopo. With reference to the systematic errors in particular, Council advised that Stats SA use a set of revised weights – even though the weights are aimed at addressing sampling errors, which when applied provide more credible estimates of the population at national and provincial levels. This will be achieved by using CS data to determine an estimated population for the country and each province against which the CS data can then be calibrated. Data at municipal and district levels Council found that the confidence intervals at some municipal levels are very wide. It then recommended that further analysis and investigation be conducted into the data to ensure that reliable data are released at district and municipal levels. Other issues Council made extensive comments and recommendations on the detailed reports received from Stats SA over the past two years on the following: Sample design Listing Questionnaire design Fieldwork (including non-response) Logistics Data processing Data analysis Data dissemination While the focus of this report is on the data analysis, there are important lessons to be learnt from all the stages of this survey that will be valuable for Census 2011. Council recommends that Stats SA should prepare a consolidated report on lessons learnt for 2011. 4. Main recommendations In view of the findings of the investigation conducted by the Council, we make the following recommendations to the Minister and Statistician-General for approval, in terms of Section 13 of the Statistics Act (Act No.6 of 1999): The Statistician-General releases the data of the Community Survey disaggregated at national and provincial levels (summary statistics and tabulations, not the dataset) in October 2007, using the proposed weights as discussed with the Statistician General. The Statistician-General releases the data of the Community Survey disaggregated to district and municipal levels on 31 January 2008. Further investigations into the stability of the data be conducted at district and municipal level prior to the proposed release on 31 January 2008. Stats SA includes warnings to users on the following variables: o Institutional population o Unemployment o Grants o Income o Distribution of households by province October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 44 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Stats SA maintains key databases on population, housing and school enrolment. This is particularly, necessary if a large sample survey such as the Community Survey is to be calibrated against a dwelling frame, a housing register, a population register or school enrolment data. Stats SA prepares a consolidated report on lessons learnt from the Community Survey to provide a coherent basis for the planning of Census 2011. The data gathered in the Community Survey be used to revise the models to determine the mid-year population estimates. Stats SA gives urgent attention to the development of key high-level skills required to conduct a survey of this nature. 5. Conclusion Council also wishes to record their sincere appreciation to the Statistician-General and the management team at Stats SA for the professional and transparent manner in which they have engaged with Council. Howard Gabriels Chairperson South African Statistics Council 24 October 2007 (Source: Statistical release: Community Survey, 2007 (Revised version) / Statistics South Africa. Pretoria: Statistics South Africa, 2007, 95p. [Report No. P0301]) October 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 45 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 3 – Western Cape Population by Local Municipality for 1996, 2001 and 2007 District DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC5 DC5 DC5 DC5 DC5 CPT Local Code Local Name WC011 Matzikama WC012 Cederberg WC013 Bergrivier WC014 Saldanha Bay WC015 Swartland WCDMA01 West Coast West Coast District Total WC022 Witzenberg WC023 Drakenstein WC024 Stellenbosch WC025 Breede Valley WC026 Breede River/Winelands WCDMA02 Cape Winelands Cape Winelands District Total WC031 Theewaterskloof WC032 Overstrand WC033 Cape Agulhas WC034 Swellendam WCDMA03 Overberg Overberg District Total WC041 Kannaland WC042 Hessequa WC043 Mossel Bay WC044 George WC045 Oudtshoorn WC047 Bitou WC048 Knysna WCDMA04 Eden Eden District Total WC051 Laingsburg WC052 Prince Albert WC053 Beaufort West WCDMA05 Central Karoo Central Karoo District Total CPT City of Cape Town Western Cape August 2008 1996 39,787 31,707 37,025 57,015 64,951 4,123 234,608 73,084 177,093 112,426 128,820 63,564 8,189 563,176 74,580 37,469 22,103 24,722 132 159,006 21,191 38,550 59,792 108,375 79,176 18,432 42,947 12,417 380,880 5,919 9,511 34,687 5,994 56,111 2,563,095 3,956,876 2001 50,208 39,326 46,325 70,440 72,115 4,258 282,672 83,567 194,417 118,709 146,028 81,271 6,500 630,492 93,276 55,451 26,468 28,076 248 203,519 23,971 44,114 71,494 135,409 84,692 29,182 51,468 14,594 454,924 6,680 10,512 37,106 6,184 60,482 2,892,243 4,524,332 2007 46,361 31,944 44,740 78,982 77,525 7,203 286,755 75,149 217,087 200,522 134,267 80,122 5,259 712,406 86,715 74,543 28,442 22,840 246 212,786 24,714 39,076 117,840 136,540 79,604 39,002 65,043 11,485 513,304 5,154 8,383 37,092 5,609 56,238 3,497,097 5,278,586 Change 1996-2001 Number % 10,421 26.19% 7,619 24.03% 9,300 25.12% 13,425 23.55% 7,164 11.03% 135 3.27% 48,064 20.49% 10,483 14.34% 17,324 9.78% 6,283 5.59% 17,208 13.36% 17,707 27.86% -1,689 -20.63% 67,316 11.95% 18,696 25.07% 17,982 47.99% 4,365 19.75% 3,354 13.57% 116 87.88% 44,513 27.99% 2,780 13.12% 5,564 14.43% 11,702 19.57% 27,034 24.94% 5,516 6.97% 10,750 58.32% 8,521 19.84% 2,177 17.53% 74,044 19.44% 761 12.86% 1,001 10.52% 2,419 6.97% 190 3.17% 4,371 7.79% 329,148 12.84% 567,456 14.34% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Change 2001-2007 Number % -3,847 -7.66% -7,382 -18.77% -1,585 -3.42% 8,542 12.13% 5,410 7.50% 2,945 69.16% 4,083 1.44% -8,418 -10.07% 22,670 11.66% 81,813 68.92% -11,761 -8.05% -1,149 -1.41% -1,241 -19.09% 81,914 12.99% -6,561 -7.03% 19,092 34.43% 1,974 7.46% -5,236 -18.65% -2 -0.81% 9,267 4.55% 743 3.10% -5,038 -11.42% 46,346 64.83% 1,131 0.84% -5,088 -6.01% 9,820 33.65% 13,575 26.38% -3,109 -21.30% 58,380 12.83% -1,526 -22.84% -2,129 -20.25% -14 -0.04% -575 -9.30% -4,244 -7.02% 604,854 20.91% 754,254 16.67% Change 1996-2007 Number % 6,574 16.52% 237 0.75% 7,715 20.84% 21,967 38.53% 12,574 19.36% 3,080 74.70% 52,147 22.23% 2,065 2.83% 39,994 22.58% 88,096 78.36% 5,447 4.23% 16,558 26.05% -2,930 -35.78% 149,230 26.50% 12,135 16.27% 37,074 98.95% 6,339 28.68% -1,882 -7.61% 114 86.36% 53,780 33.82% 3,523 16.62% 526 1.36% 58,048 97.08% 28,165 25.99% 428 0.54% 20,570 111.60% 22,096 51.45% -932 -7.51% 132,424 34.77% -765 -12.92% -1,128 -11.86% 2,405 6.93% -385 -6.42% 127 0.23% 934,002 36.44% 1,321,710 33.40% Page 46 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 4 – Municipalities in the Western Cape August 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 47 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 5 – Cape Town Population by Race and Gender for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Race Black African Coloured Asian White Unspecified Total Male 320,779 593,640 18,972 259,818 48,255 1,241,464 1996 Female 323,402 646,303 18,910 283,607 49,409 1,321,631 Total 644,181 1,239,943 37,882 543,425 97,664 2,563,095 Male 447,793 662,279 20,542 258,725 0 1,389,339 2001 Female 468,791 730,315 20,974 283,830 0 1,503,910 Total 916,584 1,392,594 41,516 542,555 0 2,893,249 Male 590,546 744,437 31,101 327,175 0 1,693,259 2007 Female 629,435 793,878 31,253 349,272 0 1,803,838 Total 1,219,981 1,538,315 62,354 676,447 0 3,497,097 Appendix 6 – Age Distributions by Race and Gender for 2007 Age Group 0-5 6 - 12 13 - 17 18 - 34 35 - 54 55 - 64 65+ Total Male 87,750 7.2% 75,554 6.2% 47,937 3.9% 226,751 18.6% 123,930 10.2% 18,657 1.5% 9,967 0.8% 590,546 48.4% August 2008 Black Coloured Female Total Male Female Total 87,466 175,216 83,450 83,600 167,050 7.2% 14.4% 5.4% 5.4% 10.9% 77,674 153,228 98,723 98,145 196,868 6.4% 12.6% 6.4% 6.4% 12.8% 54,067 102,004 77,382 72,479 149,861 4.4% 8.4% 5.0% 4.7% 9.7% 246,631 473,382 221,177 223,265 444,442 20.2% 38.8% 14.4% 14.5% 28.9% 128,441 252,371 194,393 219,051 413,444 10.5% 20.7% 12.6% 14.2% 26.9% 21,151 39,808 41,591 53,598 95,189 1.7% 3.3% 2.7% 3.5% 6.2% 14,005 23,972 27,721 43,740 71,461 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 4.6% 629,435 1,219,981 744,437 793,878 1,538,315 51.6% 100.0% 48.4% 51.6% 100.0% Indian or Asian Male Female Total Male 2,297 2,214 4,511 19,459 3.7% 3.6% 7.2% 2.9% 2,977 2,909 5,886 24,994 4.8% 4.7% 9.4% 3.7% 1,902 2,551 4,453 21,476 3.1% 4.1% 7.1% 3.2% 11,947 10,547 22,494 77,525 19.2% 16.9% 36.1% 11.5% 8,282 8,871 17,153 98,533 13.3% 14.2% 27.5% 14.6% 2,416 2,414 4,830 42,268 3.9% 3.9% 7.7% 6.2% 1,280 1,747 3,027 42,920 2.1% 2.8% 4.9% 6.3% 31,101 31,253 62,354 327,175 49.9% 50.1% 100.0% 48.4% White Grand Total Female Total Male Female Total 20,630 40,089 192,956 193,910 386,866 3.0% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 11.1% 22,604 47,598 202,248 201,332 403,580 3.3% 7.0% 5.8% 5.8% 11.5% 20,401 41,877 148,697 149,498 298,195 3.0% 6.2% 4.3% 4.3% 8.5% 80,469 157,994 537,400 560,912 1,098,312 11.9% 23.4% 15.4% 16.0% 31.4% 105,702 204,235 425,138 462,065 887,203 15.6% 30.2% 12.2% 13.2% 25.4% 47,767 90,035 104,932 124,930 229,862 7.1% 13.3% 3.0% 3.6% 6.6% 51,699 94,619 81,888 111,191 193,079 7.6% 14.0% 2.3% 3.2% 5.5% 349,272 676,447 1,693,259 1,803,838 3,497,097 51.6% 100.0% 48.4% 51.6% 100.0% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 48 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 7 – Province from which people moved into Cape Town since October 2001 by Race Race Black African Coloured Asian White Total Eastern Cape 76,087 68.62% 3,250 23.04% 232 3.81% 5,880 9.94% 85,449 44.91% Free State 1,700 1.53% 299 2.12% 0 0.00% 1,877 3.17% 3,876 2.04% Gauteng 8,892 8.02% 3,414 24.21% 2,107 34.56% 18,435 31.15% 32,848 17.27% KwaZuluNatal 4,095 3.69% 529 3.75% 2,276 37.33% 4,922 8.32% 11,822 6.21% Limpopo Mpumalanga 1,645 1.48% 65 0.46% 0 0.00% 1,485 2.51% 3,195 1.68% 584 0.53% 527 3.74% 0 0.00% 1,439 2.43% 2,550 1.34% Northern Cape 1,497 1.35% 1,965 13.93% 0 0.00% 1,863 3.15% 5,325 2.80% North West 982 0.89% 189 1.34% 0 0.00% 282 0.48% 1,453 0.76% Outside RSA 12,400 11.18% 1,576 11.17% 1,253 20.55% 21,800 36.84% 37,029 19.46% Unknown Total 2,997 2.70% 2,289 16.23% 229 3.76% 1,194 2.02% 6,709 3.53% 110,879 100.00% 14,103 100.00% 6,097 100.00% 59,177 100.00% 190,256 100.00% Appendix 8 – Disabilities by Race and Gender for 2007 Disability Sight Hearing Communication Physical Intellectual Emotional Multiple Disabilities Total August 2008 Male Black African Female Total 2,438 6.42% 952 2.51% 1,010 2.66% 6,638 17.48% 1,782 4.69% 2,994 7.88% 4,047 10.66% 19,861 52.30% 1,396 3.68% 1,258 3.31% 476 1.25% 5,533 14.57% 943 2.48% 3,874 10.20% 4,634 12.20% 18,114 47.70% 3,834 10.10% 2,210 5.82% 1,486 3.91% 12,171 32.05% 2,725 7.18% 6,868 18.09% 8,681 22.86% 37,975 100.00% Male Coloured Female Total Male Asian Female Total Male White Female Total Male Total Female Total 2,699 5.04% 1,948 3.64% 1,435 2.68% 12,614 23.55% 2,472 4.62% 4,960 9.26% 1,946 3.63% 28,074 52.41% 2,665 4.98% 2,368 4.42% 1,352 2.52% 9,959 18.59% 2,341 4.37% 4,388 8.19% 2,416 4.51% 25,489 47.59% 5,364 10.01% 4,316 8.06% 2,787 5.20% 22,573 42.14% 4,813 8.99% 9,348 17.45% 4,362 8.14% 53,563 100.00% 140 7.56% 0 0.00% 175 9.45% 306 16.52% 265 14.31% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 886 47.84% 64 3.46% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 525 28.35% 0 0.00% 322 17.39% 55 2.97% 966 52.16% 204 11.02% 0 0.00% 175 9.45% 831 44.87% 265 14.31% 322 17.39% 55 2.97% 1,852 100.00% 857 4.10% 1,272 6.08% 385 1.84% 3,784 18.10% 803 3.84% 1,360 6.50% 1,391 6.65% 9,852 47.12% 532 2.54% 973 4.65% 231 1.10% 4,933 23.59% 816 3.90% 1,832 8.76% 1,738 8.31% 11,055 52.88% 1,389 6.64% 2,245 10.74% 616 2.95% 8,717 41.69% 1,619 7.74% 3,192 15.27% 3,129 14.97% 20,907 100.00% 6,134 5.37% 4,172 3.65% 3,005 2.63% 23,342 20.42% 5,322 4.66% 9,314 8.15% 7,384 6.46% 58,673 51.33% 4,657 4.07% 4,599 4.02% 2,059 1.80% 20,950 18.33% 4,100 3.59% 10,416 9.11% 8,843 7.74% 55,624 48.67% 10,791 9.44% 8,771 7.67% 5,064 4.43% 44,292 38.75% 9,422 8.24% 19,730 17.26% 16,227 14.20% 114,297 100.00% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 49 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 9 – Highest Level of Education amongst adults by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Education Level No schooling Grade 0 – 3 Grade 4 – 7 Grade 8 – 11 Grade 12 Certificate/ Diploma Degree Unspecified Total August 2008 1996 Black African 2001 2007 32,404 8.2% 10,907 2.8% 101,927 25.8% 168,429 42.7% 53,355 13.5% 11,473 2.9% 5,288 1.3% 10,939 2.8% 394,722 100.0% 47,461 8.4% 21,604 3.8% 116,454 20.6% 229,718 40.6% 114,193 20.2% 25,249 4.5% 11,309 2.0% 0 0.0% 565,988 100.0% 1996 Coloured 2001 2007 1996 Asian 2001 2007 1996 White 2001 2007 19,855 29,181 26,993 21,545 830 586 742 3,182 2,257 1,503 2.7% 8.2% 3.2% 2.3% 3.6% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 32,472 16,012 22,093 30,897 218 264 566 389 683 1,141 4.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 132,923 168,926 178,350 176,892 2,605 2,420 3,479 3,046 4,818 6,645 18.3% 25.8% 21.4% 18.5% 11.3% 9.0% 8.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 340,393 320,788 379,401 444,208 7,463 8,000 12,301 80,373 81,256 99,213 46.9% 42.7% 45.5% 46.5% 32.3% 29.9% 28.2% 20.2% 19.9% 19.4% 114,507 98,129 175,739 174,810 6,357 9,152 11,072 143,604 167,444 167,625 15.8% 13.5% 21.1% 18.3% 27.5% 34.2% 25.4% 36.0% 41.1% 32.7% 50,610 43,659 37,130 63,257 2,308 2,985 5,094 79,374 79,266 96,267 7.0% 2.9% 4.5% 6.6% 10.0% 11.2% 11.7% 19.9% 19.4% 18.8% 24,171 11,187 14,528 26,556 2,046 3,353 10,090 51,540 72,134 135,439 3.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 8.8% 12.5% 23.2% 12.9% 17.7% 26.4% 10,713 31,181 0 16,799 1,302 0 240 37,085 0 4,423 1.5% 2.8% 0.0% 1.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.6% 9.3% 0.0% 0.9% 725,644 719,063 834,234 954,964 23,129 26,760 43,584 398,593 407,858 512,256 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Unspecified 1996 1996 Total 2001 2007 1,661 67,258 77,297 43,645 3.0% 4.2% 4.2% 2.0% 747 28,273 44,644 65,076 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 7,582 284,086 302,042 319,939 13.9% 17.9% 16.5% 14.3% 19,927 596,980 698,375 896,115 36.4% 37.5% 38.1% 40.1% 10,685 312,130 466,528 468,014 19.5% 19.6% 25.4% 20.9% 6,590 143,404 144,630 215,228 12.1% 9.0% 7.9% 9.6% 3,014 73,075 101,324 196,256 5.5% 4.6% 5.5% 8.8% 4,480 84,987 0 32,175 8.2% 5.3% 0.0% 1.4% 54,686 1,590,193 1,834,840 2,236,448 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Page 50 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 10 – Western Cape Households by Local Municipality for 1996, 2001 and 2007 District DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC1 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC2 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC3 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC4 DC5 DC5 DC5 DC5 DC5 CPT Local Code Local Name WC011 Matzikama WC012 Cederberg WC013 Bergrivier WC014 Saldanha Bay WC015 Swartland WCDMA01 West Coast Wets Coast District Total WC022 Witzenberg WC023 Drakenstein WC024 Stellenbosch WC025 Breede Valley WC026 Breede River/Winelands WCDMA02 Cape Winelands Cape Winelands District Total WC031 Theewaterskloof WC032 Overstrand WC033 Cape Agulhas WC034 Swellendam WCDMA03 Overberg Overberg District Total WC041 Kannaland WC042 Hessequa WC043 Mossel Bay WC044 George WC045 Oudtshoorn WC047 Bitou WC048 Knysna WCDMA04 Eden Eden District Total WC051 Laingsburg WC052 Prince Albert WC053 Beaufort West WCDMA05 Central Karoo Central Karoo District Total CPT City of Cape Town Western Cape August 2008 1996 9,958 7,803 8,889 13,002 15,791 1,013 56,456 16,395 40,320 27,699 29,193 15,512 2,062 131,181 18,059 11,654 5,594 6,089 11 41,407 4,857 9,742 15,414 25,774 15,732 5,078 11,433 2,870 90,900 1,462 2,133 7,529 1,335 12,459 653,085 985,488 2001 14,094 10,365 11,706 18,706 17,403 1,175 73,449 19,413 44,410 29,023 34,100 20,926 1,526 149,398 23,044 18,568 7,513 7,494 38 56,657 6,070 12,510 20,060 35,520 18,124 8,763 14,732 3,527 119,306 1,922 2,547 8,994 1,546 15,009 759,485 1,173,304 2007 12,881 9,212 12,197 20,786 19,939 1,200 76,215 24,410 51,614 36,413 36,495 21,856 2,559 173,347 23,464 21,953 7,615 6,958 66 60,056 6,344 12,481 28,349 42,793 17,913 12,645 17,416 3,635 141,576 1,966 2,747 9,149 1,845 15,707 902,278 1,369,179 Change 1996-2001 Number % 4,136 41.53% 2,562 32.83% 2,817 31.69% 5,704 43.87% 1,612 10.21% 162 15.99% 16,993 30.10% 3,018 18.41% 4,090 10.14% 1,324 4.78% 4,907 16.81% 5,414 34.90% -536 -25.99% 18,217 13.89% 4,985 27.60% 6,914 59.33% 1,919 34.30% 1,405 23.07% 27 245.45% 15,250 36.83% 1,213 24.97% 2,768 28.41% 4,646 30.14% 9,746 37.81% 2,392 15.20% 3,685 72.57% 3,299 28.86% 657 22.89% 28,406 31.25% 460 31.46% 414 19.41% 1,465 19.46% 211 15.81% 2,550 20.47% 106,400 16.29% 187,816 19.06% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Change 2001-2007 Number % -1,213 -8.61% -1,153 -11.12% 491 4.19% 2,080 11.12% 2,536 14.57% 25 2.13% 2,766 3.77% 4,997 25.74% 7,204 16.22% 7,390 25.46% 2,395 7.02% 930 4.44% 1,033 67.69% 23,949 16.03% 420 1.82% 3,385 18.23% 102 1.36% -536 -7.15% 28 73.68% 3,399 6.00% 274 4.51% -29 -0.23% 8,289 41.32% 7,273 20.48% -211 -1.16% 3,882 44.30% 2,684 18.22% 108 3.06% 22,270 18.67% 44 2.29% 200 7.85% 155 1.72% 299 19.34% 698 4.65% 142,793 18.80% 195,875 16.69% Change 1996-2007 Number % 2,923 29.35% 1,409 18.06% 3,308 37.21% 7,784 59.87% 4,148 26.27% 187 18.46% 19,759 35.00% 8,015 48.89% 11,294 28.01% 8,714 31.46% 7,302 25.01% 6,344 40.90% 497 24.10% 42,166 32.14% 5,405 29.93% 10,299 88.37% 2,021 36.13% 869 14.27% 55 500.00% 18,649 45.04% 1,487 30.62% 2,739 28.12% 12,935 83.92% 17,019 66.03% 2,181 13.86% 7,567 149.02% 5,983 52.33% 765 26.66% 50,676 55.75% 504 34.47% 614 28.79% 1,620 21.52% 510 38.20% 3,248 26.07% 249,193 38.16% 383,691 38.93% Page 51 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 11 – Dwelling Type by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Housing Type Formal Informal Other Total Black African Coloured Asian White Unspecified Total 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 1996 2001 2007 50,522 109,412 193,772 236,605 283,085 296,036 8,431 9,619 16,714 190,927 197,676 242,109 18,452 504,937 599,792 748,631 30.1% 45.3% 60.0% 91.0% 92.1% 93.7% 96.5% 97.1% 99.0% 97.9% 98.5% 98.2% 91.2% 77.4% 78.9% 83.0% 108,941 124,914 121,550 15,171 17,077 17,709 97 108 161 158 811 1,185 866 125,233 142,910 140,605 64.8% 51.7% 37.6% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 4.3% 19.2% 18.8% 15.6% 8,541 7,461 7,695 8,208 7,129 2,088 212 180 0 3,920 2,290 3,256 921 21,802 17,060 13,039 5.1% 3.1% 2.4% 3.2% 2.3% 0.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.0% 2.0% 1.1% 1.3% 4.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.4% 168,004 241,787 323,017 259,984 307,291 315,833 8,740 9,907 16,875 195,005 200,777 246,550 20,239 651,972 759,762 902,275 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Note: Informal include shacks not in back yards as well as those in back yards. Other includes traditional dwellings, caravans, tents, private ships and workers’ hostels. August 2008 Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 52 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 12 – Fuel used for Lighting, Cooking and Heating by Race for 2007 Fuel Electricity Gas Paraffin Wood Coal Candles Animal dung Solar Other Total August 2008 Black African Coloured Asian White Total Lighting Cooking Heating Lighting Cooking Heating Lighting Cooking Heating Lighting Cooking Heating Lighting Cooking Heating 281,180 252,154 183,244 308,900 305,077 296,431 16,679 15,501 15,887 244,812 234,948 229,898 851,571 807,680 725,460 87.0% 78.1% 56.7% 97.8% 96.6% 93.9% 98.8% 91.9% 94.1% 99.3% 95.3% 93.2% 94.4% 89.5% 80.4% 616 19,508 5,856 522 7,064 2,220 70 1,248 662 69 11,175 7,821 1,277 38,995 16,559 0.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 7.4% 3.9% 0.0% 4.5% 3.2% 0.1% 4.3% 1.8% 34,440 50,727 126,105 1,813 2,641 5,647 64 64 64 208 291 471 36,525 53,723 132,287 10.7% 15.7% 39.0% 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 4.0% 6.0% 14.7% 185 2,720 658 3,650 62 64 136 4,359 1,041 10,793 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 1.8% 0.1% 1.2% 106 279 0 116 0 0 0 581 106 976 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 5,725 2,180 0 0 7,905 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 57 63 178 219 56 67 0 0 58 373 0 587 649 119 890 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 999 220 4,635 2,199 337 7,702 62 0 140 1,088 0 2,833 4,348 557 15,310 0.3% 0.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 1.7% 323,017 323,017 323,017 315,833 315,833 315,833 16,875 16,875 16,875 246,550 246,550 246,550 902,275 902,275 902,275 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Page 53 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 13 – Access to Toilet Facility by Race for 2001 and 2007 Toilet Facility Flush toilet (connected to sewerage system) Flush toilet (with septic tank) Dry toilet facility Pit toilet with ventilation (VIP) Pit toilet without ventilation Chemical toilet Bucket toilet system None Total August 2008 Black African 2001 2007 163,308 253,686 65.0% 78.5% 6,275 11,880 2.5% 3.7% 3,158 1.0% 911 111 0.4% 0.0% 3,219 293 1.3% 0.1% 916 1,965 0.4% 0.6% 29,921 22,432 11.9% 6.9% 46,584 29,492 18.5% 9.1% 251,134 323,017 100.0% 100.0% Coloured 2001 2007 290,718 307,023 93.6% 97.2% 5,152 1,513 1.7% 0.5% 959 0.3% 961 323 0.3% 0.1% 1,140 88 0.4% 0.0% 618 117 0.2% 0.0% 4,114 3,676 1.3% 1.2% 7,802 2,134 2.5% 0.7% 310,505 315,833 100.0% 100.0% Asian 2001 2007 9,703 16,663 96.4% 98.7% 140 77 1.4% 0.5% 0 0.0% 22 0 0.2% 0.0% 36 0 0.4% 0.0% 9 0 0.1% 0.0% 45 0 0.4% 0.0% 113 135 1.1% 0.8% 10,068 16,875 100.0% 100.0% White 2001 2007 199,651 245,417 97.1% 99.5% 3,835 755 1.9% 0.3% 84 0.0% 228 0 0.1% 0.0% 263 0 0.1% 0.0% 106 0 0.1% 0.0% 230 112 0.1% 0.0% 1,365 182 0.7% 0.1% 205,678 246,550 100.0% 100.0% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Total 2001 663,380 85.3% 15,402 2.0% 2,122 0.3% 4,658 0.6% 1,649 0.2% 34,310 4.4% 55,864 7.2% 777,385 100.0% 2007 822,789 91.2% 14,225 1.6% 4,201 0.5% 434 0.0% 381 0.0% 2,082 0.2% 26,220 2.9% 31,943 3.5% 902,275 100.0% Page 54 2007 Community Survey Analysis for Cape Town Appendix 14 – Refuse Removal by Race for 1996, 2001 and 2007 Refuse Removal Removed by local authority at least weekly Removed by local authority less often Communal refuse dump Own refuse dump No rubbish disposal Other Total August 2008 Black African Coloured 1996 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 111,994 218,707 290,627 246,460 301,826 302,967 8,583 66.7% 87.1% 90.0% 94.8% 97.2% 95.9% 98.2% 16,745 6,145 5,756 3,005 1,659 1,868 29 10.0% 2.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 7,003 7,577 12,271 2,356 1,717 7,122 29 4.2% 3.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.6% 2.3% 0.3% 16,563 9,575 5,449 3,767 4,089 2,646 15 9.9% 3.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 11,628 9,130 7,784 1,472 1,215 901 12 6.9% 3.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 4,068 1,130 2,928 329 75 2.4% 0.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.9% 168,001 251,134 323,017 259,988 310,506 315,833 8,743 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Asian White Unspecified 2001 2007 1996 2001 2007 1996 9,937 16,506 191,845 201,717 239,841 19,270 98.7% 97.8% 98.4% 98.1% 97.3% 95.2% 54 0 612 1,562 1,033 102 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 42 195 456 476 3,760 57 0.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 1.5% 0.3% 24 64 872 1,480 1,583 321 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 12 56 251 442 333 96 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 54 978 0 391 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 1.9% 10,069 16,875 195,014 205,677 246,550 20,237 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Strategic Development Information and GIS Department Total 2001 732,187 94.2% 9,420 1.2% 9,812 1.3% 15,168 2.0% 10,799 1.4% 1996 2007 578,152 849,941 88.6% 94.2% 20,493 8,657 3.1% 1.0% 9,901 23,348 1.5% 2.6% 21,538 9,742 3.3% 1.1% 13,459 9,074 2.1% 1.0% 8,440 1,513 1.3% 0.2% 651,983 777,386 902,275 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Page 55