Price Level Chapter 8: Fiscal Policy: Coping with Inflation & Unemployment AS P2 P3 AD2 P1 AD3 AD1 0 Y1 Different Types of Unemployment: Frictionally Unemployed Structurally Unemployed Cyclically Unemployed Discouraged Workers Underemployed Workers 3. Cyclically Unemployed: Unemployment associated with the downturn and recession phases of the business cycle. Y2 Aggregate Output 8/25/2008 1. Frictionally Unemployed: Relatively brief periods of unemployment caused by people deciding to voluntarily quit work in order to seek more attractive employment. 2. Structurally Unemployed: Unemployment that results from fundamental technological changes in production, or from the substitution of new goods for customary ones. 5. Underemployed Worker: Workers employed in jobs that do not fully utilize their productive talents or experience. 4. Discouraged Workers: Unemployed people who give up looking for work after experiencing persistent rejection in their attempts to find work. 1 Number of Workers and Type of Unemployment: Total Number of Workers 10,250 Frictional Unemployment 150 Structural Unemployment 200 Cyclical Unemployment 500 Discouraged Workers 250 Underemployed Workers 300 Total Unemployment = 150 + 200 + 500 + 250 + 300 = 1,400 The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Two Questions: Q1. Are you presently gainfully employed? Q2. Are you actively seeking employment? 1400 = .137 = 13.7% 10250 True Unemployment Rate = Number of Workers and Type of Unemployment: T otal N u m b er of W ork ers 10,2 50 F riction al U n em p loym en t 1 50 S tru ctu ral U n em p loy m en t 2 00 Total Number of Workers 10,250 Frictional Unemployment 150 C yclical U n em p loym en t 5 00 Structural Unemployment 200 D iscou raged W ork ers 2 50 Cyclical Unemployment 500 U n d erem p loyed W ork ers 3 00 Discouraged Workers 250 Underemployed Workers 300 BLS’s Rate of Unemployment Actual Unemployment Rate = 8.5% Natural Rate of Unemployment = Labor Force = 10,250 – 250 = 10,000 Price Level Actual Unemployment Rate = 150 + 200 = 3.5% 10000 850 = .085 = 8.5% 10000 Actual Rate of Unemployment = Natural Rate of Unemployment + Cyclical Rate of Unemployment 8.5% = 3.5% + 5% Winners and Losers from Inflation: AS P2 Who Loses from Inflation? P3 AD2 P1 AD3 People on fixed income Lenders Savers AD1 0 Y1 Y2 Aggregate Output 2 AE a 0 A E 10 $ Who Gains from Inflation? Borrowers Government Recessionary Gap Moderating the Wins and Losses: Variable Rate of Interest 800 Y 105 Cost of Living Index (COLA) AD 100 800 Recessionary Gap: 1200 Price Level 0 1200 Y AE b AE a $ Inflationary Gap The amount by which aggregate expenditure falls short of the amount needed to generate full employment national output. Price Level 0 1200 1600 Y 133 105 AD 1200 1600 Y Recessionary Gap: The amount by which aggregate expenditure falls short of the amount needed to generate full employment national output. Inflationary Gap: The amount by which aggregate expenditure exceeds the level needed to generate full employment national output. 3