2/20/2010 Learning Objectives Chapter 9 Gross Domestic Product v When you have finished this chapter, you will know the answers to these questions: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. What Is GDP? What is GDP? How is GDP measured? What are the national income accounts? What is the difference between nominal GDP and real GDP? How does our GDP compare to those of other nations? How is per capita GDP calculated? What are the shortcomings of GDP as a measure of national economic well-being? What is the Gross Progress Index? Hypothetical C + I + G + Xn v GDP is the nation’s expenditures on all FINAL goods and services produced during the year at market prices. v An alternate definition of GDP is • the value of all goods and services produced within a nation’s boundaries during the year. Components of GDP 2007 Percent Components of GDP 2007 1 2/20/2010 How GDP Is Measured? The Flow of Income Approach (Most Complex) Income (wages, salary, rent, interest, profits) Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + Net Exports = GDP (Gross Domestic Product) GDP – Depreciation = NDP (Net Domestic Product) Wages and Salaries + Rent + Interest + Profits + Indirect Taxes + Depreciation = GDP Expenditures by Consumers, Investors, Government, and Net Exports The Flow of Income Approach The Flow of Income Approach Why is NDP better than GDP? Country GDP - Depreciation NDP Sweden Canada 200 200 50 30 150 170 Canada is better off because it had a higher NDP! Sweden had a lower NDP because it had to devote more of its resources to replacing worn out and obsolete equipment. These resources could not go toward additional plant and equipment nor could they even be used for more consumer goods. Distribution of Domestic Income (2005) Wages, salaries & fringes ……….71.6% v GDP (Gross Domestic Product) – Depreciation = NDP (Net Domestic Product) v NDP – Indirect business taxes and subsidies = DI (Domestic Income) Indirect business taxes and subsidies are mainly general sales taxes on specific items such as gasoline, liquor and cigarettes, and subsidies (such as government payments to farmers). Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income v GDP (Gross Domestic Product) – Depreciation = NDP (Net Domestic Product) Net Interest ……………………… 8.2% Proprietor’s Income …………….. 9.1% Corporate Profits ……………….. 9.4% v NDP – Indirect business taxes and subsidies = DI (Domestic Income) Rent …………………………….. 1.7% v DI (Domestic Income) – Earnings not received + Receipts not earned = PI (Personal Income) – Personal Taxes = Disposable Personal Income 2 2/20/2010 Features of Disposable Income v DI (Domestic Income) – Earnings not received + Receipts not earned = PI (Personal Income) – Personal Taxes = Disposable Personal Income v Receipts not earned are mainly Social Security benefits and other government transfer payments, and interest income. v Personal taxes are chiefly personal income taxes. v Disposable Personal Income is ours to dispose of, to spend and save as we see fit. The Value-added Approach to Measuring GDP Two Things to Avoid When Compiling GDP v Multiple counting • Only expenditures on final products—what consumers, businesses, and government units buy for their own use belong in GDP. • Intermediate goods are not counted. • Used goods are not counted. v Transfer payments and Financial Transactions • Transfer payments are not payments for currently produced goods and services. • When they are spent for final goods and services they will go into GDP as consumer spending. • Financial transactions do not go into GDP. Deflating the GDP to Get Real GDP v Nominal GDP/GDP Deflator x 100 = Real GDP v What is the Real GDP if nominal GDP is 15,000 dollars and the GDP deflator is 125? v 15,000/125 x 100 =12,000 GDP in Billions of Dollars 1930–2007 GDP by Nation in Trillions of Dollars 3 2/20/2010 Nominal and Real GDP 1997-2007 Calculating Percentage Changes v %Change = New Number – Original Number/Original Number v What is the percentage change from 1979 to 1980 if 1980 GDP is 2784.2 and 1970 GDP is 2557.5? v 2784 – 2557.5/2557.5=226.7/2557.5= .089 or 8.9% Per Capita GDP Per Capita Real GDP 1776-2007 v Per Capita GDP = GDP/Population v To compare per capita GDP in one year with that of another year we have to correct for inflation. In other words, we really need to revise our formula. Per Capita Real GDP = Real GDP/Population $12,000,000,000,000/300,000,000=$40,000 GDP Per Capita Nations Questions for Thought and Reflection v Why do we only count value added as contributing to GDP? v How do you calculate percentage change in GDP from one year to the next? Give an example. v Name some of the wealthiest countries per capita and some of the wealthiest countries in terms of absolute size of GDP. Explain the difference. v International comparisons for per capita GDP over the short run (less than 10 years) are quite valid. Over the long run (20 years or longer) this comparison is like comparing apples and oranges. 4 2/20/2010 Shortcomings of GDP as a Measure of National Economic Well-being v Production that is excluded • Household production • Illegal production • The underground economy v Treatment of leisure time • While the average workweek has declined, many more mothers with young children work. • 1960: 79% of all families with children had one stay-at- home parent. Now this has fallen to just 28%. v Human cost and benefits v GDP gives us a “ballpark” idea of how much we produce, not necessarily how well off we are. The Last Word on GDP v GDP includes some things that really shouldn’t be counted. v GDP has excluded some things that should be counted. v Nevertheless, if we can accept GDP while acknowledging all of its limitations, it serves us well. Current Issue: GDP or GPI v The per capita GPI for 2005 was less than one quarter of per capita GDP for 2005 which was $41,597. What Goes into GDP v When a large part of our production goes toward national defense, police protection, pollution control devices, repair and replacement of poorly made cars and appliances, and cleanups of oil spills, a large GDP is not a good indicator of how we’re doing. v In general, the problem with using GDP as a measure of national economic well-being is that GDP is just one number, and no single number can possibly provide us with all of the information we need. Current Issue: GDP or GPI v The Gross Progress Index (GPI) using GDP as a starting point • It adds in positive things like housework, volunteer work, environmental contributions, such as clean air, water, moderate climate, etc. • It subtracts negative things like crime, natural resource depletion, loss of leisure time, family breakdown, etc. • Many of these things (positive & negative) are hard to quantify. Questions for Thought and Reflection v What are the shortcomings of the GDP method of calculating a nation’s well-being? Do other methods exists to calculate well-being? Why aren’t they used? v Real per capita GPI has not grown over the last four decades. 5