Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter American Options and Callable Bonds Concepts and Buzzwords American Options Valuing an American Call on a Coupon Bond Valuing a Callable Bond Interest Rate Sensitivity of a Callable Bond • exercise policy, value-maximization, redeem Reading Tuckman, chapter 19. American Options and Callable Bonds 1 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter American Options ¾An American option can be exercised before its expiration date. ¾For options on zero-coupon bonds (or on any asset that pays no cash flows before the option expiration date) • it would never be optimal to exercise a call early, • it might be optimal to exercise a put early. No Early Exercise of Calls on Assets that Have No Payments Prior to Expiration: American call value ≥ European call value = European put value + V − dT K > V − K = exercise value Prior to expiration, an American call on a "nonpaying" asset is worth more than its exercise value. American Options and Callable Bonds 2 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter American Options on Assets with Intervening Payments: Early Exercise For call options on assets that make payments prior to option expiration, such as coupon bonds, early exercise is optimal if the call gets deep enough in the money. Exercise or Wait? Advantage to early exercise: – Receive cash flows before the expiration date, if the underlying asset pays any American Options and Callable Bonds Advantages to waiting: – Keep the option not to exercise (the put) – Do not pay any money now (get interest on K) 3 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter American Call on the Coupon Bond ¾ Consider an American call option on $100 par of the 2-year, 5.5%-coupon bond. ¾ The strike price of the call is $100. ¾ The call expires at time 2. Underlying 5.5%-Coupon Bond Each node in the tree below lists the current ex-coupon price of the coupon bond, and the current price of a zero with 6 months to maturity. At each node, the bond is simply priced as a package of zeroes . Time 0 Time 0.5 Time 1 = 0.970857x2.75+0.941787x2.75 +0.91318x102.75 100.0019 0.973047 0.5 0.5 99.0890 0.970857 100.9548 0.976941 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 = 0.973047x2.75+0.947649x2.75+ 0.922242x2.75+0.897166x102.75 American Options and Callable Bonds 98.6063 0.966581 100.0207 0.973533 101.1547 0.979071 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Time 1.5 98.8626 0.962167 99.6684 0.970009 100.3113 0.976266 100.8227 0.981243 4 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Exercise Policy for the American Call ¾ To value the call, we need to know its future cash flows at each time and state. ¾ The future cash flows of the option depend on the option holder's exercise policy. ¾ At each time and state the option holder must decide whether or not to exercise the option. ¾ The exercise policy is a rule that specifies the option holder's action at each time and state. Value-Maximizing Exercise Policy ¾ We assume that whomever holds the option will choose, at each time and state, to exercise it or not depending on which action maximizes the option's market value. ¾ This assumption is reasonable as long as the option holder can freely sell the option. ¾ Then, if ever the option holder wants to get out of his position when the option is worth more than its exercise value, the option holder just sells the option instead of exercising it. American Options and Callable Bonds 5 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Valuing the American Call ¾ The value of the call depends on the exercise policy, which determines its future cash flows. ¾ At any point in time, the exercise decision involves comparing the exercise value of the call and the market value of the call if left unexercised. ¾ The unexercised call value depends on its future possible market values. ¾ Therefore, the exercise policy and the call value must be determined together, working backward from the expiration date. Call Value at the Bond's Maturity Date ¾ The stated expiration date of the call is time 2. ¾ However, at time 2, the underlying coupon bond matures and is worth par, which is the strike price of the option. ¾ Therefore, at time 2, the option is worthless. ¾ Consequently, its effective expiration date is really one period prior to the maturity date of the coupon bond, time 1.5. American Options and Callable Bonds 6 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Call at Time 1.5 Coupon Bond Call 98.8626 0 99.6684 0 100.3113 0.3113 100.8227 0.8227 Call at Time 1 Coupon Bond and Discount Factor Time 1 98.6063 0.966581 100.0207 0.973533 101.1547 0.979071 American Options and Callable Bonds Call Time 1 Time 1.5 exercise value < 0 wait value = 0 Î call value = 0 0 exercise value = 0.0207 wait value = 0.973533x 0.5(0+0.3113)=0.1515 Î call value=0.1515 0 exercise value=1.1547 wait value=0.979071x 0.5(0.3113+0.8227)=0.5552 Î call value=1.1547 0.3113 0.8227 7 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Call at Time 0.5 Call Coupon Bond and Discount Factor Time 0.5 Time 0.5 exercise value<0 wait value=0.970857x 0.5(0+0.1515)=0.0736 Î call value=0.0736 99.0890 0.970857 100.9548 0.976941 exercise value=0.9548 wait value=0.976941x 0.5(0.1515+1.1547)=0.6380 Î call value=0.9548 Time 1 0 0.1515 1.1547 Call at Time 0 Coupon Bond and Discount Factor Call Time 0 Time 0 100.0019 0.973047 exercise value=0.0019 wait value=0.973047x 0.5(0.0736+0.9548)=0.5003 Î call value=0.5003 Time 0.5 0.0736 American Options and Callable Bonds 0.9548 8 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Callable Bond ¾ Consider a firm that issues a 2-year, 5.5%coupon bond that is callable at par. ¾ This means that the issuer has the option to call (or ‘redeem’, or buy back) the bond for par at any time for par. ¾ By selling a callable bond to investors, the issuer has effectively sold a noncallable bond to the investors and simultaneously bought a call option on the bond from those investors. Valuing the Callable Bond ¾ Callable Bond = Noncallable Bond - Call Option ¾ To value the callable bond, assume that the issuer follows a strategy for exercising the call that maximizes the value of the call, or equivalently, minimizes the value of the callable bond, the issuer's liability. ¾ Since we have already valued the noncallable and the option, we already know the value of the callable bond at each time and state. For example, at time 0, the callable is worth 100.0019 - 0.5003 = 99.5016 ¾ The next slides verify this. American Options and Callable Bonds 9 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Callable Bond at Time 1.5 Noncallable Bond Callable Bond 98.8626 98.8626 99.6684 99.6684 100.3113 100 (called) 100.8227 100 (called) Callable Bond at Time 1 Noncallable Bond and Discount Factor Time 1 98.6063 0.966581 100.0207 0.973533 101.1547 0.979071 American Options and Callable Bonds Callable Bond Time 1 called value=100 wait value = 0.966581x (0.5(98.8626+99.6684)+ 2.75)= 98.6063 Î callable bond value = 98.6063 called value=100 wait value = 0.973533x (0.5(99.6684+100)+2.75)=99.8692 Î callable bond value=99.8692 called value=100 wait value=0.979071x102.75= 100.5995 Î callable bond value=100 Time 1.5 98.8626 99.6684 100 (called) 100 (called) 10 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Callable Bond at Time 0.5 Callable Bond Noncallable Bond and Discount Factor Time 0.5 Time 0.5 called value=100 wait value=0.970857x (0.5(98.6063+99.8692)+2.75)= 99.0155 Î callable bond value=99.0155 99.0890 0.970857 100.9548 0.976941 called value=100 wait value=0.976941x (0.5(99.8692+100)+2.75)= 100.3168 Î callable bond value=100 Time 1 0.5 98.6063 0.5 0.5 99.8692 0.5 100 (called) Callable Bond at Time 0 Coupon Bond and Discount Factor Time 0 Call Time 0 Time 0.5 99.0155 100.0019 0.973047 American Options and Callable Bonds called value=100 wait value=0.973047x (0.5(99.0155+100)+2.75)=99.5016 Î call value=99.5016 100 (called) 11 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Price Tree for Callable and Noncallable Bonds Each node in the tree lists the current ex-coupon price of the noncallable bond, the price of the option, and the ex-coupon price of the callable bond. Time 0 100.0019 0.5003 99.5016 Time 0.5 99.0890 0.0736 99.0155 100.9548 0.9548 100 (called) Time 1 98.6063 0 98.6063 100.0207 0.1515 99.8692 101.1547 1.1547 100 (called) Time 1.5 98.8626 0 98.8626 99.6684 0 99.6684 100.3113 0.3113 100 (called) 100.8227 0.8227 100 (called) Another Way to See Callable = Noncallable – Option: See Refunding Profit as Option Exercise Value Suppose that the way the firm finances the call is by selling new noncallable bonds with the same coupon and maturity as the old debt, a “refunding.” The profit from refunding = proceeds of sale of new debt - call price = value of the noncallable -100 =option exercise value With this plan in place, a firm that has issued a callable bond plans to pay the noncallable cash flows until maturity but gets to do a refunding along the way. The firms’ net position = short a callable bond = short a noncallable bond, long an option. American Options and Callable Bonds 12 Debt Instruments and Markets Professor Carpenter Interest Rate Delta of the Callable Bond Time 0.5 Noncallable Option Callable Short Rate 99.0890 0.0736 99.0155 6.004% 100.9548 0.9548 100 4.721% ir∆ = − Bu − Bd ru − rd 99.0890 − 100.9548 = 145.43 0.06004 − 0.04721 0.0736 − 0.9548 ir∆ call = − = 68.69 0.06004 − 0.04721 99.0155 − 100 ir∆ callable = − = 76.74 0.06004 − 0.04721 ir∆ noncallable = − The relationship that holds for prices also holds for deltas: Callable (77) = Noncallable (145) - Call Option (68) In particular, the callable has less interest rate sensitivity than the noncallable. American Options and Callable Bonds 13