Two Arguments Consumers and Producers • American Workers Lose from Free Trade • All of our Jobs are going overseas SUS PUS PW D C DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton Widget Supply and Demand In fact, some American US Workers lose by someSfree trade measures, but the gains to consumers exceed the losses PW DUS Consumers and Producers Widget Supply and Demand SUS PW DUS Consumers and Producers Widget Supply and Demand PUS PW We currently SUS impose a tariff of T on widget imports, so that the US price is PW+T DUS T Q2 Q3 Consumers and Producers Consumers and Producers Widget= Supply US demand Q3; US supply = Q2. Imports = Q3-Q2 PUS PW and Demand We currently SUS impose a tariff of T on widget imports, so that the US price is PW+T DUS T Q2 Q3 Consumers and Producers 1 Free Trade SUS PUS PW DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 If we permittedFree free trade, the US price would fall to the world price, Pw PUS Q4 DUS Q1 and Losers SUS DUS Q2 Q3 ConsumersWinners clearly gain from the decline in widget prices PUS Q4 clearly loseSUS from They sell fewer the loss in widget widgets at a lower production price DUS Q2 Q3 andAnd Losers producers clearly loseSUS from the loss in widget production DUS Q1 andAnd Losers producers Consumers and Producers Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers PW Q1 Q3 PW Consumers and Producers ConsumersWinners clearly gain from the decline in widget prices PUS Q2 Consumers and Producers PW Q1 SUS PW Consumers and Producers ConsumersWinners clearly gain from the decline in widget prices PUS Trade Q4 The Trade-Off SUS PUS PW DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers 2 The Trade-Off This seems to be the stuff of which economic arguments PUSare made: the benefits to PW consumers vs. the benefits to producers Q1 Q2 The Trade-Off SUS DUS Q3 This seems Before to be the SUS you get too stuff of which excited there is economic arguments something you should PUSare made: the know. benefits to PW consumers vs. the DUS benefits to producers Q4 Q1 Consumers and Producers The Trade-Off Q2 Q3 PUS PUS PW Q4 DUS Q1 PW Widgets Previously SUS Purchased Loss to Taxpayers The from End of Tariff PUS B DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 Consumers and Producers Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers Lower Price for Consumers A Q4 SUS Consumers and Producers Benefits from to Gains Additional Widgets Purchased Q3 The Proof This seems Before to be the SUS you get too stuff of which excited there is gains to theshould economic The arguments something you PUSare made: consumers from free the know. tradetoalways offset benefits PW thevs. losses consumers the to the DUS producers! benefits to producers Q1 Q2 Consumers and Producers Q4 PW ProofLoss to Producers D SUS C DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers 3 The gainThe to Proof consumers is outlined in brown. PUS PW SUS PUS D C DUS Q1 The The gain to Proof It clearly exceeds the consumersloss is outlined SUS to producers and in brown. the government. Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers The Intuition • 100,000,000 Americans consume widgets • 50,000 Americans make widgets PW D C DUS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Consumers and Producers The Intuition • 100,000,000 Americans consume widgets • 50,000 Americans make widgets • When we move to free trade, – The average consumer gains $10 – The average worker loses $5,000 Consumers and Producers The Intuition Gains to • 100,000,000 Americans consume widgets American • 50,000 Americans make widgets consumers: • When we move to free trade, – The average consumer gains$1 $10Billion – The average worker loses $5,000 Consumers and Producers Consumers and Producers The Intuition Gains to • 100,000,000 Americans consume widgets American • 50,000 Americans consumers: Losses to make widgets • When we move to free trade, American – The average consumer gains$1 $10Billion workers: – The average worker loses $5,000 $250 Million Consumers and Producers 4 The Intuition Gains to who is more likely to • Query: 100,000,000 Americans consume widgets American protest and write their • 50,000 Americans consumers: Losses to make widgets congressman? The consumer • When we move to free trade, American The Loss of Jobs • Thanks to free trade, American widget makers shut down. or consumer the worker? – The average gains$1 $10Billion workers: – The average worker loses $5,000 $250 Million Consumers and Producers The Loss of Jobs • Thanks to free trade, American widget makers shut down. • People note all the dollars flowing to Mexico to buy widgets, and claim that “pretty soon all of our jobs will have gone to Mexico (or China or India or…)” Consumers and Producers The Loss of Jobs But why do the Mexicans (or • Thanks to free trade, American widget Indians or Chinese) want makers shut down. pictures of George • People note all the dollars flowing to Washington? Atand some Mexico to buy widgets, claimpoint that those dollars will be returned “pretty soon all of our jobs will have gone to purchase and to Mexico (or China orgoods India or…)” services in the US Consumers and Producers Consumers and Producers End ©2005 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved Consumers and Producers 5