Economics 340: International Economics Andrew T. Hill Regional Trading Agreements Nondiscriminatory Tariff Reductions Trade liberalization Regional Trading Arrangements Economic integration is the process of eliminating restrictions on international trade, payments, and factor mobility. Economic integration has taken the form of multilateral agreements to reduce barriers mostly agreed to through GATT and the WTO and regional agreements to reduce barriers. ● Types of Regional Trading Agreements There are four primary types of regional trading agreements. 1. Free-trade Area: an association of trading nations whose members agree to remove all tariff and nontariff barriers amongst themselves while maintaining their own trade restrictions against outsiders. Example: North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) 2. Customs Union: an association whose members remove all tariff and nontariff barriers amongst themselves, but have a common set of trade restrictions against outsiders. Example: Benelux (Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxembourg) 3. Common Market: a group of trading nations that permits the free movement of goods and services amongst member nations, the initiation of common external trade restrictions against nonmembers, and the free movement of factors of production across national borders within the economic bloc. Example: European Union (1992) 4. Economic Union: involves the transfer of economic sovereignty to a supranational authority. Therefore, the unification of monetary policies and the acceptance of a common currency is handled by agencies of the union. Monetary union is a subset of economic union. Example: European Monetary Union (1999) and the United States. ● Why have regional trading agreements? 1. enhance economic growth 58 2. A regional trading agreement ensures safe-haven trading agreements with larger nations. 3. As members of a trading arrangement increase, the opportunity costs rise for nonparticipant countries. ● Effects of a Regional Trading Arrangement Example: Luxembourg and Germany form a customs union. The United States is a nonmember. P SL $3.75 $3.50 $3.25 $3.00 DL Q Trade creation is economic welfare gained from joining a customs union. Trade diversion is economic welfare lost from joining a customs union. 59 Nations who are more competive are likely to benefit from trade creation. The large the trade union, the greater the gains are likely to be. Dynamic gains: 1. economies of scale 2. greater competition 3. stimulus of investment ● European Union European Community, Treaty of Rome (1957) Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and West Germany 1973 - United Kingdom, Ireland, and Denmark 1981 - Greece 1987 - Spain and Portugal 1995 - Austria, Finland, Sweden Treaty of Rome (1957): 1. Abolition of tariffs, quotas, and other trade restictions among member nations. 2. Imposition of a uniform external tariff on commodities coming from nonmember nations. 3. Free movement within the community of capital, labor, and enterprise. 4. Establishment of a common transport policy, a common agricultural policy, and a common policy toward competition and business conduct. 5. Coordination and synchronization of member-nation monetary and fiscal policies. 1968 - free trade zone 1970 - common external tariff system trade creation outweighs in areas of machinery, transportation equipment, chemicals, fuels trade diversion outweighs in areas of agriculture and raw materials Studies seem to point to trade creation exceeding trade diversion by a wide margin - 2% to 15%. 1985 - European Union began work towards becoming a common market by 1992. --> remove nontariff trade barriers (the remaining ones). Expected benefits: 1. Cost reductions as a result of economies of scale in production and business organization. 60 2. Improved efficiency within companies and an environment where prices fall toward production costs under the pressure of more competitive markets. 3. Increased R & D and innovation fostered by the dynamics of an expanded internal market. 4. New patterns of competition in which comparative advantages determine the role of market success. Economic and Monetary Union: Maastricht (1991) Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) (1999) The creation of the euro. - euro as reserve currency? - “interest free” loan - assymmetric shocks - assymmetric effects of monetary policy Convergence Criteria for EMU: 1. Price stabily: Inflation could be no higher than 1.5% more than the average of the inflation rates in the three lowest inflation countries. 2. Low long-term interest rates: Interest rates could be no more than 2% higher than the average interest rate in the three lowest inflation countries. 3. Stable exchange rates: Exchange rates were to be kept in a band and there were to be no devaluations of the country’s currency for at least 2 years prior to joining EMU. 4. Sound public finances: Budget deficits could be no more than 3% of GDP, government debt could be no more than 60% of annual GDP. Countries joining EMU on 1/1/1999: Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain. Countries opting out of EMU: Denmark (rejected membership in September 2000), Sweden, United Kingdom Countries that didn’t qualify: Greece (accepted in June 2000) 61 ✍ Predicated Essays 1. Explain the four criteria used for convergence in anticipation of EMU in the European Union. Which countries joined the EMU in 1999? Which EU countries didn’t and for what reasons? 2. How do the welfare effects of trade creation and trade diversion relate to a nation’s decision to form a customs union? Use a well labeled graph in addition to a carefully worded explanation. 62