Fiscal Policy Closing the gaps Fiscal Policy • Fiscal policy is the manipulation of the federal budget to attain price stability, relatively full employment, and a satisfactory rate of economic growth – To attain these goals, the government must manipulate its spending and taxes Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-3 Putting Fiscal Policy into Perspective • There was no such thing as fiscal policy until John Maynard Keynes invented it in the 1930s – He maintained that • The only way out of the Depression was to boost aggregate demand by increasing government spending • If we ran a big enough budget deficit, we could jump-start the economy and, in effect, spend our way out of the depression Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-4 1 Putting Fiscal Policy into Perspective • It’s important that the aggregate supply of goods and services equals the aggregate demand for goods and services at just the level of spending that will bring about full employment at stable prices Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-5 Putting Fiscal Policy into Perspective • Equilibrium GDP tells us the level of spending in the economy • Full-employment GDP tells us the level of spending necessary to get the unemployment rate down) • Fiscal policy is used to push equilibrium GDP toward fullemployment GDP Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-6 The Deflationary Gap and the Inflationary Gap • Equilibrium GDP is the level of output at which aggregate demand equals aggregate supply – Aggregate demand is the sum of all expenditures for goods and services (that is, C + I + G + Xn) – Aggregate supply is the nation’s total output of final goods and services – So at equilibrium GDP, everything produced is sold 12-7 2 The Deflationary Gap and the Inflationary Gap • Full-employment GDP is the level of spending necessary to provide full employment of our resources – If our plant and equipment is operating at between 85 and 90% of capacity, that’s full employment 12-8 The Deflationary Gap & the Inflationary Gap The Deflationary Gap When the full-employment GDP is greater than the equilibrium GDP, there is a deflationary gap. How much is it? 9 8 Deflationary gap C + I + G + Xn 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 1 $1 trillion 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Full-employment GDP Equilibrium GDP GDP (in trillions of dollars) 12-9 Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. The Deflationary Gap & the Inflationary Gap The Inflationary Gap When equilibrium GDP is greater than fullemployment GDP, there is an inflationary gap. How large is it? 2,000 C + I + G + Xn Inflationary gap 1,500 1,000 500 $200 trillion 500 0 500 1,000 1,500 Full-employment GDP 2,000 Equilibrium GDP GDP (in trillions of dollars) Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-10 3 Cutting Also increasing Taxes will Government increase C or Spending I, causing cananshift upward the shift aggregate in the expenditure Aggregate expenditure up and close andthe closing gap. the gap. Deflationary Gap C+I+G+Xn Equilibrium Full employment Summary • Equilibrium GDP is less than fullemployment GDP – Spending is too low – Results in a deflationary gap • Too eliminate the deflationary gap, we raise G and/or cut taxes Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-12 Summary • Equilibrium GDP is above the fullemployment GDP – Spending is too high – Results in an inflationary gap • Too eliminate the inflationary gap, we cut G and/or raise taxes Copyright ©2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-11 4