THE ANALYST'S ACCOUNTING OBSERVER Jack T. Ciesielski, CPA, CFA ______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Volume 8, No. 4 March 29, 1999 A User’s Guide To 1998 Annual Reports - Part II As the 1998 annual reports reach investors and analysts, it’s time to start thinking about what to get out of them. The disclosures to be expected in the Management’s Discussion & Analysis have already been dissected in Part 1 - time now to look at the main course served up in the annual reports. And the main course is - the financial statement package plus the footnotes. It’s not reasonable to say that the financials alone are the main course and the footnotes are merely dessert. The two are as inseparable as salt on a steak or butter on a lobster. What follows here are some suggestions to help you enjoy the main course. Similes aside, the financial statements plus the footnote disclosures present the most vivid picture of how an enterprise earns its place in the world. Analysts and investors still have to do some heavy thinking, but the annual reports provide the raw materials to get the job done - that job being the critical evaluation of an enterprise and its management. I. Isolating The Soft Spots The past year has seen a string of restatements of financials, the most obvious ones occurring at Sunbeam and Cendant. Two bad apples don’t spoil the whole bushel - but the bad apples have had plenty of help. In 1998, a string of companies like Fine Host, National Auto Credit, Philip Services, Baan, Vesta Insurance, Livent, Gunther International kept auditors fully employed with re-audits and reissued financial statements. Events like these provoked the SEC to take action in 1998, starting with Chairman Levitt’s landmark Executive Summary - Next Page Table Of Contents I. Isolating The Soft Spots - Financial Statement Quicksand ............................................................. 1 II. Hitting The Soft Spots - Recognizing The Traps ......................................................................... 5 III. Other Considerations - Not Soft Spots, But Worth Paying Attention. .......................................... 16 Appendix - Two SEC Letters, One Footnote ........................................................... 20 Companies in this report: 3Com Alcoa AlliedSignal America Online Baan BankAmerica Coca-Cola Company (Continued on back page) 4444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444 Copyright 1999, R.G. Associates, Inc. Reproduction prohibited. See last page. The Analyst’s Accounting Observer Volume 8, No. 4 March 29, 1999 Executive Summary: A User’s Guide to 1998 Annual Reports - Part II Annual reports now reaching the desks of analysts and investors contain disclosures that are never quite so detailed as during the rest of the year. These disclosures help analysts determine the extent to which the “soft spots” of accrual accounting can be manipulated to certain ends. How to analyze these disclosures is the focus of this report. Hitting The Soft Spots. Financial statement users are advised to check the accounting policy footnotes to understand: • Revenue recognition policies. Checking this note can give readers an understanding of issues related to sales that might not be real sales - transactions involving significant obligations to complete work, liberal return policies, conditional payment for goods, related party sales, and “bill and hold” sales. • Depreciation policies. Test the depreciable lives of assets by comparing to other firms in the industry, and see if the firm has had trouble estimating the economic life of assets in the past by looking for SFAS No. 121 writedowns. • Derivative instruments. At face value, see if firms are using derivatives only for hedging purposes. • Consolidation principles. Check to see if there are foreign subsidiaries whose results might be reported on a lagged basis - with possible confounding results on subsequent expectations. Other footnotes contain more specialized information. Worth studying: • Restructuring/Merger-related reserves. Use the activity shown in reserve schedules to understand the cash and non-cash effects of reserve activity. • Pension disclosures. Look for “jimmied” earnings rate assumptions to boost net income. Look also for the amount of earnings improvement due to the improvement in pension asset performance; strong market performance driving pension asset returns may mask mediocre operating performance. • Valuation accounts. Study valuation accounts and any disclosed activity to determine if such accounts have been treated as “rainy day funds.” • Related party transactions. Check for a related party footnote to see if there have been transactions with management that might indicate unfavorable terms to shareholders. Other Considerations. Aside from disclosures that aid in evaluating “soft spots,” there’s other worthwhile information contained in the annual reports. • Segment disclosures. The new requirements for segment disclosures kick in this year. Expect a net improvement in the quantity of segments shown and disclosures about them. • Stock compensation disclosures. Check the footnotes to see how stock compensation is affecting the bottom line - even if it isn’t presented in the income statement. Check also to see if stock compensation is expanding - the disclosures to examine this are abundant. • Year 2000 issues. Aside from disclosures in the MD&A, the Y2K issue can have a significant impact on revenue recognition, loan loss allowances, asset writedowns, and the accrual of loss liabilities. 4444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444444 Phone: (410)783-0672 R.G. Associates, Inc. Fax: (410)783-0687 The Fidelity Building Internet: jciesielski@accountingobserver.com 210 N. Charles Street, Suite 1325 Website: www.accountingobserver.com Baltimore, MD 21201-4020 -3- speech in September entitled “The Numbers Game” (which you can read in its entirety at http://www.sec.gov/news/speeches/spch220.txt). The public’s consciousness has been raised by the plethora of magazine articles and news stories addressing the SEC’s attack. One focus of the press stories has been the SEC’s issuance of 150 letters to the CFOs of firms that have announced writedowns, restructuring actions or in-process R&D charges, as well as the issuance of a similarly-themed letter to bank CFOs relating to their development and disclosures regarding their loan loss provision and allowance. Both letters are included in the appendices to this report; both are recommended reading. Since the issuance of these letters, a favorite Wall Street guessing game has been, “Who received the letters?” - prompted by the supposition that these companies are targets for SEC investigations and forced restatements of earnings1. And everyone knows what that means for the stock prices of such firms. The very same players who are so willing to dump stock of perhaps perfectly good companies are also unlikely to have read the letters at all. Spend a few minutes with those letters - you’ll see that they are not so much warnings of impending intrusions by jack-booted regulators as they are reminders that generally accepted accounting principles require transparent disclosures when certain events have occurred. It’s likely that those firms are running a risk of SEC intervention only if those disclosures are not present in the published year-end financials. That said, notice the purpose of the letters is to remind companies of their responsibility to report clearly the accounting for some events where management estimates or judgments can have a significant impact on earnings - leaving the door open to earnings manipulation to suit a management’s purposes. Simply due to the nature of accrual accounting, earnings are full of estimates and judgments. These “soft spots” can have magnificent impacts on earnings, merely through the adjustment of non-cash estimates and assumptions. If there is adequate disclosure of changes in such non-cash estimates and assumptions, there’s a chance that investors and analysts can spot gamed earnings - and assess whether or not they want to pay up for shares of firms that practice accounting legerdemain. The SEC’s letter effort is aimed at making sure that there are adequate disclosures surrounding some frequent transactions involving plenty of accounting judgment. It’s all the more important for analysts and investors to pay attention to the “soft spots” in the annual report disclosures, because any gaming of accounts through estimates or assumptions is generally undetectable in the paltry disclosures companies make in their 10-Qs during the first nine months of the reporting year. Learn what you can when you can; that time is now upon us. In the ensuing sections of this report, we’ll look at the disclosures present in the annual reports that should help analysts assess soft spots as well as annual performance. 1 If you are one of the players who insists on guessing who were the 150 firms on the receiving end of the letters, why not check the Charge Clock at The Analyst’s Accounting Observer website? (www.aaopub.com/CLOCK/index.htm) Listed there are the 200 largest charges taken in 1998, categorized by kind of charge - restructuring, writedown, inprocess R&D, and merger-related charges. It’s not inconceivable that the SEC maintains a similar list or checks resources such as this one. -4- Table 1. A Summary Of Chief Financial Statement “Soft Spots.” “Soft Spot” What the analyst wants to figure out: Revenue recognition - Is revenue recognized at shipment? Most firms do, but there’s always opportunity for shipping before customers want goods - known popularly as “channel stuffing”. Look at allowance for sales returns to see if it’s been unusually active, at least compared to past years (if the company has included it in the 10-K). - Is revenue recognized on percentage of completion? How has the company done in past on its estimates of completion? Early recognition, with later overruns? Do they finish contracts fairly quickly? - Are there unfinished obligations or deliverables related to revenue already recognized? A critical issue with software companies. Long-lived assets: Depreciation policies - Do the life spans of the associated assets make sense? Are they unusually low compared to others in the same industry? Have the lives been stretched in order to boost near-term earnings? (To make Wall Street estimates?) Do SFAS No. 121 writedowns contradict policy on asset lives? Capitalization policies for intangibles - Companies must expense preopening costs, starting in 1999. What other expenditures do they capitalize? How do they justify the amortization associated with them? How do they compare to their competition? Are amortization policies reasonable? (Check the Accounting Policies footnote.) Allowance for doubtful accounts/ loan loss reserves - Are additions to such allowances lower or higher than in the past? Does the collection experience justify such discretion? Is a lowering of the allowance due to hard times in industry and difficulty in making earnings estimates? (Look at allowance for doubtful accounts activity in 10-K). Warranty reserves - Have additions to the reserves been reduced in order to make earnings targets? Why? Have charges gone down as well? Is there better quality in products - what do charges to reserve tell the analyst? (A company may have disclosed a schedule of warranty reserves in its 10-K. If not, and warranties are significant to the firm’s business, ask management about activity.) Tax asset valuation accounts - Tax assets must be stated at the value at which management expects to realize them - just like accounts receivable. An allowance must be set up to lower the tax assets to the level expected to eventually be converted into cash. Determining the allowance involves an estimate of future operations: will the firm generate enough income to use up the asset? - Check for contradictions between MD&A and the allowance level, or the tax footnote and the allowance level. You can’t have an optimistic MD&A and a fully reserved tax asset, or vice-versa. One of them has to be wrong. - Look for changes in the tax asset valuation account. May be 100% reserved at first, then “optimism” increases whenever an earnings boost is needed. Lowering the reserve decreases tax expense and increases net income. Pension plan assumptions - How does the “expected return on plan assets” compare to the return actually earned by plan assets? Look at history - is the expected return too optimistic? - Has the expected return been increased in the current year? This has the effect of increasing earnings immediately - without increasing cash flow. (Look at pension footnote disclosures). Non-cash income: LIFO layer reductions - “Biting down” into lower-costed layers of inventory (can happen in inventory reduction programs) will generate earnings without cash flow. Management can intend to reduce the layers that produce the desired benefit. (Check inventory footnote: such effects must be disclosed). Non-cash income: pension income - Does an overfunded pension plan produce pension income rather than expense? If so, its earnings return assumptions are even more critical to earnings. Have they been increased? Again, this can produce income without corresponding cash flow. (Check pension plan disclosures). Related party transactions - Is the management of the company using it as a piggy bank? Does one firm have control over the other’s destiny through supply contracts or other dealings? - Do extensive dealings take place with non-public companies that are under management control? If so, non-public companies could take significant lumps to make the public company look good - providing opportunity for owner to cash out. In-process R&D writeoffs - What percentage of the company acquired is classified as “acquired R&D?” No single percentage is “right”, but a continued history of large writeoffs may indicate more smoke than fire in a company. - A “soft spot” because an unfair allocation of purchase price to IPR&D can favorably skew earnings comparisons for years to come. Unfortunately, there’s little that analysts and users can do to verify. - New FASB treatment (forthcoming - perhaps by year end) will call for capitalization, gradual writedown. Restructuring charges - There’s no theoretical need for these, but they can stoke earnings for years to come. See text for more discussion. Merger-related charges - Same as restructuring charges. II. Hitting The Soft Spots Often overlooked, the footnotes are chock full of information to help you set your premises -5- in evaluating a firm’s performance. That’s where analysts can pick up the most knowledge about the soft spots; spend time with them and you can learn a lot about how a company justifies its existence. A. Significant Accounting Policies The “Significant Accounting Policies” footnote is usually the first footnote in the annual report, and it’s probably the one that’s most unjustifiably ignored by readers. There are basic concerns that analysts and investors usually harbor about revenue recognition, depreciable lives, and general derivative policies - and this is the one place that such concerns are usually addressed. Here’s what you should seek from the accounting policies footnote. -Revenue Recognition Policies: Most firms recognize revenue when goods are shipped or when services have been provided and most firms say as much when they report their revenue recognition policy. Nevertheless, the financial statement reader ought to be alert for other revenue recognition issues in studying disclosures or in querying management. • What kind of return rights do customers possess? Are there 10-K schedules showing activity in the sales returns & allowances accounts? If so, does the activity in them reflect overall industry conditions - or does it contradict them? How does it compare to past activity? • Is revenue recognized on partial shipments? If so, are the unshipped portions critical for the use of the entire product? Such a condition might indicate that revenue recognition is inappropriate. • Are there revenue transactions with related parties? The implications are obvious: sales can be made to companies owned or controlled by management for the express purpose of raising revenues and earnings when they are needed to maintain a trend. This kind of chicanery occurred in a real-life case last year involving Baan Co. of the Netherlands. •Do legitimate sales exist if the customer’s obligation to pay depends on: Success in raising financing? The sale of the goods to someone else? Customer acceptance after an evaluation period? • Is there continuing involvement by the seller after the sale? Best example: the software industry.2 A software license agreement may call for upgrade rights, training, debugging or what have you - all elements that might preclude immediate recognition of the entire license fee as revenue, even though the cash price was received up front. • Does the enterprise bill for shipments over which it retains physical control? Sunbeam lent notoriety to the practice of “bill and hold” sales, in which customers were billed for goods that remained on premises maintained by Sunbeam. No delivery of goods, but title passed and the revenue was recognized. One should question the mettle of revenues recognized in this fashion. Investors need not have been surprised when press stories detailed abuses in this area in early 1998: the revenue recognition policy was described in the Sunbeam accounting policies footnote in the 1997 annual report. Even if the above revenue recognition issues aren’t addressed in the accounting policy footnote, they are worth considering - and pressing management for answers when analyst doubts 2 See Volume 7, No. 8, “Accounting For Software Revenues: The Changes Take Effect” for more discussion. -6- exist about the veracity of recorded revenues. - Depreciation & amortization policies: An old analytical chestnut: check to see if companies are improving their earnings -without improving the company - by lengthening the life of depreciation schedules. Here’s where the analyst can find out: by reading the accounting policy footnote for property, plant and equipment and checking to see if the lives have been lengthened when compared to last year’s footnote. The same kind of analysis can be applied to goodwill and other intangible asset balances. If lengthened in a material way, the firm should be mentioning it - if not in this note, in the Management’s Discussion & Analysis. That’s the chestnut. There are a couple of other nuggets to be mined from these disclosures: • How different is the firm’s depreciation and amortization policy from others in the same industry? The easy way to check is to pull out the annual reports of other firms in the same industry and compile a list of asset lives by category. Yes, it’s entirely possible that the industry as a whole can have an overly cheerful assessment of asset lives - but at least you can find out if the firm in which you’re interested is an outlier among fools. • Even if the depreciable lives have not been “stretched” or if they are not out of line with the industry, are they still too long? That’s not an over-cautious question. The issuance of SFAS No. 121, “Accounting for Impairments of Long-lived Assets and Long-lived Assets to be Disposed Of” has caused many asset writedowns to occur in its wake.3 That standard called for the recorded balance of long-lived assets to be reduced to fair value when it becomes apparent that the assets will not generate enough cash to recover their cost. When companies take a writedown under the premises embodied in SFAS No. 121, they are basically admitting that they hadn’t been depreciating such assets rapidly enough in the past - or they had embarked on poorly budgeted capital expenditures. So if a firm has taken such charges in the past, it wouldn’t be unfair for an analyst or investor to question whether or not the firm’s estimating skills are any sharper in estimating the lives of the other remaining long-term assets on its books. The presence of SFAS No. 121 charges should be a signal to analysts to be skeptical. Ironically, SFAS No. 121 may be an earnings management tool in itself. Reducing the long-term asset base decreases the future charges for depreciation and amortization - raising earnings estimates and thus providing managements an incentive to be as “conservative” as possible in calculating the charges for asset writedowns. The fix for this would be disclosures of the assumptions used in calculating the SFAS No. 121 writedowns: market participants could see for themselves if the conservatism was justifiable or just a tool for achieving a desired result. Unfortunately, the FASB did not require any stringent disclosures about the nature of these charges. - Derivative Financial Instruments While SFAS No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities” is not effective until next year for most companies, it’s especially important to get a handle on how 3 See Volume 5, No. 1, “Industry Focus On SFAS No. 121: Why Charges Occur” and Volume 4, No. 11, “SFAS No. 121: Corporate “Ultra Slim-Fast” for more on the mechanics of this standard. -7- firms use derivatives in the meantime - while the accounting treatments for them may still be fairly inconsistent from company to company. In the accounting policy footnote, most companies swear they do not use derivative instruments to speculate nor do they use them to increase reported earnings. More conclusive evidence may appear when SFAS No. 133 is implemented. - Consolidation Principles While not exactly one of the “soft spots,” it’s a worthwhile step to check the accounting policy footnote to see if the firm has any overseas subsidiaries possessing a different year end than the parent. Conceivably, the reporting for a foreign subsidiary could be as much as three months behind the parent’s - and in that three month window, a devaluation or some other economic catastrophe could wreak havoc on that sub’s operations. The effects wouldn’t be contained in the parent’s current reporting, but would show up in the following quarter’s results. If this were to be the case, the effects are to be disclosed - providing the financial statement user with a “heads up” on the next quarter’s reporting. Those are the chief soft spots to hit while studying the accounting policy footnote. Move on to the other footnotes - starting with footnote disclosures about restructuring and merger-related charges. B. Restructuring & Merger-related Charges Readers of these reports are no strangers to the analytical roadblocks posed by restructuring and merger-related charges.4 The accounting in this area is conceptually weak: it permits the firm to take big up-front hits to earnings in connection with a corporate blood-letting or corporate marriage. The actual associated cash expenditures will be secreted over perhaps several years, as the workers accrue their benefits - and the expenditures will never show up in earnings. Instead, they will reduce a corresponding liability set up the same day as the charge taken. That’s an awful lot like paying someone their entire salary on the first day of the year in advance of performing the work they have to do to earn it - just because it’s probable that they’ll earn it for the year. No analyst or investor would tolerate such accounting behavior if that was the way a firm handled its payroll costs - but make it a “one-time event” and it’s a truly beautiful thing, even if it doesn’t make sense. Worse yet: the estimates for the amounts to accrue can be far from reality. There’s every incentive for a management to “estimate high” in setting up charges for restructuring and mergerrelated activities, and their linked reserves. Those overstuffed reserves can be reversed and “leaked” into earnings over time. In his “Numbers Game” speech, Chairman Levitt likened such accounts to a cookie jar into which companies can dip when they need an earnings boost. 4 See Volume 4, No. 4, “Restructurings: New Rules For The Game”, Volume 4, No. 8, “The 20% ROE Club: Admission Courtesy Of GAAP,” and Volume 5, No. 9, “Reviewing Restructurings: What The Disclosures Show.” -8- Even if it’s theoretically deficient, GAAP5 still requires that firms disclose activity in the liabilities associated with restructurings and mergers - and in those disclosures, any adjustments of the reserves should be apparent. The problem, however, is that companies have not been very fastidious about presenting good disclosures in the quarterly reports and 10-Qs. Given the SEC letters mentioned earlier, and the attention they’ve drawn, expect to see fair disclosures of such activity in the 1998 annual reports. Whether such disclosures continue to show in the forthcoming quarterly reports remains to be seen. BankAmerica provides a good example of the currently-required disclosures in its annual report - and it neatly illustrates the shortcomings of the current accounting and disclosures. It also shows the kind of analytical work that it’s possible to do when the disclosures are present. BankAmerica is actually NationsBank, which combined with the BankAmerica “classic” and assumed the old BankAmerica’s identity. They joined forces on September 30, 1998 in a pooling transaction,6 in which a $725 million pre-tax charge ($519 million after-tax) was recorded; in the fourth quarter, another $600 million pre-tax charge ($441 million after-tax) was recorded. This was on top of the pooling combination between the NationsBank and Barnett Banks in the first quarter of 1998. At the time of that merger, NationsBank recorded a $900 million pre-tax charge ($642 million after-tax). The table nearby summarizes the 1998 activity for these merger-related charges; the actual footnote is reproduced in the Appendix. Observe that there were substantial cash payments against both of these reserves during 1998. After all, these reserves were established to pay severance and other employee-related costs; to pay for conversion costs;7 and other costs of exiting activities and merging others. Though there isn’t much description of the nature of the costs beyond severance, it’s not likely that any of them would be settled satisfactorily by the exchange of wampum. One has to wonder then, about the curious nomenclature in the fourth column: “non-cash reductions applied to reserve.” 5 Help may be on the way. The FASB is considering a formal definition of “constructive liabilities” - liabilities that must be recognized even if there is no specific contract or obligation requiring their recognition. The FASB has concluded (so far) that employee severance costs and costs to exit an activity - typical restructuring and merger-related actions do not constitute constructive liabilities. Therefore, they could no longer be accrued in large up-front charges. 6 Merger-related charges are handled quite differently in purchases and poolings. In a purchase, any merger-related charges are considered part of the purchase price and will increase goodwill rather than being recognized in earnings at deal’s close. They’ll hamper future earnings through amortization. In a pooling, the charges are recorded immediately in earnings at the time of the merger, and ignored in future earnings. The associated reserves live on, however. 7 Though not described in the footnote, conversion costs are presumed to be the costs of changing an old NationsBank branch with a new BankAmerica identity. If that’s what is meant, that kind of cost sounds more like an item that should be capitalized because it will provide future benefits - as opposed to a cost related to exiting an activity. -9- Whatever you want, according to current GAAP. The reported diluted EPS figure of $2.90 includes all of the up-front charges associated with two 1998 mergers. Analysts and investors are always asked to overlook such charges for comparison purposes; that’s where the $3.64 figure comes from. What if restructuring/merger charges were recognized as they were incurred - just as they are for the thousands of other expenses generated throughout the year? Novel idea. GAAP disclosures let us estimate it, and in BankAmerica’s case, it’s $3.13. It’s conceivable that employees could be paid severance benefits with newly issued stock options or with property of BankAmerica - but not likely. It’s even conceivable that, for conversion or exit costs, some excess properties might be sublet by the new BankAmerica at rates less than the amount the firm pays and the difference might be charged as “non-cash reductions applied to reserve.” No explanation is given for the “non-cash reductions” - the reader is left to his own devices. “Non-cash reductions applied to reserve” thus becomes a “non-description description.” One could interpret those reductions as the transfer of property or lease payment differentials - but one could just as easily assume that they represent reversals of the reserves set up earlier in the year. They also could represent transfers from one liability account to another, or maybe even adjustments to the basis of assets. It simply can’t be determined. Nevertheless, $393 million is too much economic activity to merely gloss over. Suppose they are reversals of earlier-established reserves. In that case, there are some interesting analyses that one can make from this supposition. First of all, note that in the case of the Barnett reserves, some $247 million had been “non-cash reduced” in slightly less than a year. If those reductions represent reversals of original estimates of what it would cost for merging Barnett with NationsBank, one would have to be amazed at how poorly the estimates were drawn. A $247 million reversal on a $900 million reserve represents an initial estimate that was 27% wide of the mark - an estimate proven wrong in less than a year. Apply the same logic to the BankAmerica reserve. It was initially established on the closing date, September 30, and restocked by the year end - only three months. In three months, $146 million of the $1.325 billion would have been reversed - indicating an estimation error of 11%. Note that it’s possible that all of any assumed reversals could have related to the original $725 million reserve established on September 30 - putting the estimation error at 20%. If these “non-cash reductions applied to reserves” really are reversals, such wide margins in estimating “liabilities” for merger-related charges show how unreliable such accounting can be. It would appear to be very difficult to get a reliable grasp on the costs of an integration early on in a merger. Better accounting would be to recognize the charge for the expense after services have actually been performed and an exchange transaction has occurred - just like the accounting for other liabilities such as payroll and rent, where an amount paid to settle is reliably determined. -10- BankAmerica Merger-Related Reserves: 1998 History. (Dollars in Millions) Barnett Merger Severance, change in control and other employee-related costs Conversion and related costs Exit and related costs Other merger costs BankAmerica Merger Severance, change in control and other employee-related costs Conversion and related costs Exit and related costs Other merger costs Total reserve activities Balance, 1/1/98 Amount Included in Expense Cash Payments Applied to Reserve Non-Cash Reductions Applied to Reserve Balance, 12/31/98 $----$-- $375 300 125 100 $900 ($318) (8) (101) (99) ($526) ($55) (192) --($247) $2 100 24 1 $127 $----$-- $740 150 300 135 $1,325 ($155) (3) (62) (117) ($337) ($98) (4) (44) -($146) $487 143 194 18 $842 $-- $2,225 ($863) ($393) $969 There’s more. If these “non-cash reductions applied to reserves” were reversals, an astute investor would want to estimate the degree to which they affected net income. After all, non-cash income is not highly prized by investors - that’s why the accounting mechanisms that generate it are analytical “soft spots.” The BankAmerica disclosures are helpful in this ferreting out this information - but not quite helpful enough, as will be seen. Estimated After-tax Diluted EPS Benefits Of “Non-cash Reductions Applied To Reserves.” Barnett Merger Pre-tax cost After-tax cost After-tax rate 1Q98 Charge $900 $642 71.3% x Combined BankAmerica Merger Charges Pre-tax cost $1,325 After-tax cost $960 After-tax rate 72.5% x Total DEPS Benefit DEPS excluding charges Adjusted for removal of non-cash charges Difference (Gross) Reserve Reductions After-tax Earnings Benefit Average Diluted Shares Benefit In DEPS ($247) 4 ($176) ÷ 1,775.760 4 ($0.10) ($146) 4 ($106) ÷ 1,775.760 4 ($0.06) ($0.16) $3.64 $3.48 -4.4% “Combined charges” refers to the $725 million ($519 million after-tax) charge taken in 3Q98 plus the $600 million ($441 million after-tax) charge taken in 4Q98. Since it’s not disclosed which non-cash reductions relate to which charge, the blended after-tax rate was applied to the reductions as a whole. The difference between the two after-tax rates was very slim, regardless. The above table shows the calculation of the after-tax benefit obtained from the non-cash -11- reductions of the reserves. Simply determine the after-tax cost rate of the entire charge, and apply that it to the “non-cash reductions applied to reserves” to determine the after-tax benefit of these adjustments. Then figure the benefits on a per-share basis. Typically, market participants exclude the after-tax effect of charges from the earnings. That’s the $3.64 figure shown in the table - recorded diluted EPS plus the after-tax effect of the $2.225 billion of merger-related charges. That kind of adjustment doesn’t take into account any reductions in the charges that occurred later - and if those adjustments were taken into account, the diluted EPS that the world fixates upon would read $3.48 instead of $3.64. That may sound like an insignificant amount for the year - but the schedule in the annual tells nothing about the timing of the reversals. One cannot tell what quarters were affected by them, and there are no similar schedules in the quarterly reports. Suppose all of the reductions occurred in one quarter. Would $.16 of reversal credits be material in any one quarter? Probably. “New” BankAmerica earned $.50 in the third quarter and $.91 in the fourth quarter. Take the information provided one step further - look at the cash paid against the reserves as well as the “non-cash reduction applied to reserves.” There’s nothing in GAAP that prohibits firms from recognizing such expenditures as expenses - they could simply elect to recognize the costs as they were incurred instead of taking huge “up-front” charges.8 What would the earnings look like? To calculate the additional costs to subtract from reported earnings, one must apply the same kind of mechanics as shown in the reductions example. The table below summarizes the calculations. Estimated After-tax Diluted EPS Costs Of Cash Payments Applied To Reserves. Barnett Merger Cash Payments $526 x After-tax Rate 71.3% 4 Estimated After-tax Cost $375 ÷ A-T Per Share Expense Diluted To Deduct Shares From DEPS 1,775.760 4 $0.21 ÷ BankAmerica Merger 337 $863 x 72.5% 4 244 $619 1,775.760 4 0.14 $0.35 Tally it up: BankAmerica’s operating earnings were $3.64, which excludes only the initial effects of the charges. Back out any theoretical reductions of the reserves, and the figure drops to $3.48; subtract the after-tax expenses that would have been incurred without a reserve, and the figure drops further to $3.13. That’s a 14% decrease from what the world normally scrutinizes - and a figure that’s more reflective of the underlying economics of the firm. Yet again, there’s no way to determine which quarters were most affected by the cash paid. 8 It’s true. EITF Consensus No. 94-3 prescribes the accounting for establishing liabilities in connection with costs to exit an activity - but if a firm cannot meet the criteria for establishing the liabilities, it must record expenditures in earnings as they are incurred. The burden of compliance with the standard falls on the firm that chooses to establish an up-front liability. A firm might simply pay - and recognize - costs as incurred without establishing a reserve. -12Net income $500 Add: Total after-tax charges (restructuring or merger-related) 1,000 Subtotal: where most analysis stops $1,500 Deduct: Estimated after-tax reserve reversals Estimated after-tax cash payments in reserves (not in expense before) Net income adjusted for activity in reserves and charges taken At left, a simplified model for translating net income into earnings adjusted for reserve activity - which reflects the cash earnings more accurately. (100) (400) $1,000 Bear in mind that the letters sent by the SEC emphasized that companies need to make clear disclosures in these kinds of accounts in their annual reports. Analysts and investors will be able to best perform this kind of analysis now, at least on an annual basis - but unless the SEC keeps hounding companies into the new year, it’s unlikely we’ll see detailed schedules of reserve activity in the quarterly reporting. No quarrel with BankAmerica - it is complying with generally accepted accounting principles in its treatment of the merger-related reserves. GAAP could certainly be polished in this area, however. C. Pension Disclosures This is the first year in which firms must comply with SFAS No. 132, “Employers’ Disclosures about Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefits.” This standard9 significantly cleaned up the clutter in pension disclosures. Analysts and investors need to consider that pension assumptions are prime levers to push or pull in achieving a desired earnings level. The easiest, quickest way to boost earnings via pension assumptions is to boost the expected rate of return on assets. Service cost Interest cost Expected return on plan assets Amortization of unrecognized: - Prior service cost - Net losses - Transition amount Pension cost $104.4 280.4 (334.2) 66.9 6.9 1.2 $125.6 Why? Because net pension cost is an Goodyear Tire’s 1998 pension cost. Note that if amalgam of different components related to the Goodyear were to raise its assumptions on the earnings passage of time (interest cost), benefits earned of the pension assets, the credit would increase by employees (service costs) and other adjust- thereby lowering the net pension cost. ments - all reduced by the earnings expected on the pension assets. If one simply raises the earnings assumptions on the pension assets, the net 9 See Volume 6, No. 12, “Improving Disclosures: The FASB Wants To Revise Pension Notes.” -13- pension cost is lowered - and net income is increased. The only time of year analysts get to see the pension disclosures in full daylight is in the annual report - so pull it out and check to see if the earnings rate assumptions have been increased. It’s an exercise that requires some judgment and follow-up; increased earnings rate assumptions may be perfectly justifiable given a firm’s pension asset mix. Earnings Rate Assumption 1998 1997 Change Allied Signal Alcoa Boeing Coca Cola Du Pont Eastman Kodak General Electric General Motors Goodyear Minnesota Mining & Mfg. Morgan, J.P. Philip Morris Sears Roebuck United Technologies 10.00% 9.00% 8.75% 8.75% 9.00% 9.50% 9.50% 10.00% 9.50% 9.00% 8.70% 9.00% 9.50% 9.60% 10.00% 9.00% 8.33% 9.00% 9.00% 9.50% 9.50% 10.00% 9.50% 9.00% 8.70% 9.00% 9.50% 9.70% – – 0.42% -0.25% – – – – – – – – – -0.10% A small sample, but interesting nevertheless: of these Dow Jones 30 firms with December year ends, only one of them - Boeing - increased its pension assets earnings rate assumption. In light of general strong market returns, it’s interesting to note that there were two firms that decreased their earnings rate assumption - perhaps indicating that there was an expected change in asset mix or returns. Aside from looking for “jimmied” earnings rate assumptions, analysts and investors ought to take a critical look at the overall amount of earnings improvement due to pension plan performance - even if earnings assumptions are held steady. The accompanying table shows why. Bull Market Benefits: Lower Pension Costs. Allied Signal Alcoa Boeing Coca Cola Du Pont Eastman Kodak General Electric General Motors Goodyear Minnesota Mining & Mfg. Morgan, J.P. Philip Morris Sears Roebuck United Technologies Pension Cost 1998 1997 ($10) $22 89 93 (121) 65 68 68 (140) (27) 88 115 (1,016) (331) 1,642 1,850 126 135 150 151 5 27 297 39 88 106 145 125 Change ($32) (4) (186) – (113) (27) (685) (208) (9) (1) (22) 258 (18) (20) For the same 14 companies shown previously, there are two new incidents of “pension income” being reported where there had been pension cost in 1997. Twelve of the companies showed net decreases in pension cost. Note that Boeing swung into a pension income situation in 1998 - and also increased its pension asset earnings assumption by .42%. On average plan assets of $32.9 billion, that assumption change generated “pension income” of $138 million enough to throw the pension fund into “profit center” status. These improvements drive the change in net income - they may give the impression to an analyst or investor that income improvement was generated by operations when in fact it may be due to nothing more than a combination of plentiful pension assets, a bull market and inertia in other pension costs due to a declining workforce. The real problem is that for investors, any improvement may be largely -14- cosmetic - even if a firm is producing pension income, it does not generate cash flow that can be used for share buybacks, dividends or capital expenditures.10 A Comparison: Earnings Improvement Driven By Pension Improvement. Boeing Du Pont General Electric General Motors Pretax Income 1998 1997 Change $1,397 ($341) $1,738 1,648 1,432 216 13,477 11,179 2,298 4,612 7,792 (3,180) Pension Cost Improvement $186 113 685 208 % of Income Swing 11% 52% 30% NM An interesting perspective on performance: the four firms above had the biggest absolute improvement in pension cost of the fourteen examined. Compare the change in pretax income to the improvement in pension cost, and you’ll see that pension cost improvement is quite a significant contributor to earnings improvement. (Except in the case of General Motors: the decrease in operating income was stanched somewhat by the pension cost improvement.) The question for investors: if bull markets make earnings improvement automatic through fatter pension funds, at what point do investors stop paying up for this kind of earnings improvement? If full credit is given for this kind of earnings performance, then rising markets due to rising earnings become a circular device. D. Valuation Accounts Valuation accounts are those that state another account fairly. One example would be the allowance for doubtful accounts: while accounts receivable may reflect the total amount billed for sales, it’s not always likely that they’ll be collected in full. An allowance to offset the accounts receivable not expected to be collected will state receivables at their realizable value - the amount that should be collected. Another example is the valuation allowance for tax assets. Deferred tax assets represent the amount of tax benefit expected to be eventually realized - and when the full realization is questionable, an offset to the deferred tax assets should be recorded. Note that such valuation allowances can be “stuffed” - overconservative assumptions may be employed to build up a reserve, which can be reduced later when a firm needs to meet Wall Street earnings expectations. Reducing a reserve, as shown in the restructuring discussion, will increase net income. Analysts and investors ought to examine valuation allowances skeptically. If there are increases to the allowances, the reasons for them should be questioned. For instance: • Is a sizeable increase in an allowance for doubtful accounts really proper if economic conditions are favorable? • Are tax asset valuation accounts related to net operating loss carryforwards justifiable if there are ten years or more until the carryforwards expire? Suppose the NOLs relate to foreign subsidiaries operating where the tax laws do not limit the life span of NOLs? 10 For more on the mechanics of pension plans, see Volume 2, No. 8, “Pot Of Gold Or Can Of Worms? Distortions Caused By Overfunded Pensions” and Volume 3, No. 1, “The Secret Lives Of Pensions - Understanding Underfunding.” -15- Assessing valuation accounts is not simple, because one must understand the environment to which it relates. You’ve got to figure out if the assertion made by the presence of (or changes in) the valuation account make sense in terms the overall setting. E. Related Party Transactions One footnote that gets its best display of the year in the annual report: the related party transactions footnote. How a management conducts business with a firm that it is serving should be an issue of interest to all investors. A management that wears two hats - serving the interests of shareholders while dealing with the firm - is ripe for a conflict of interests. Sometimes these managements can also be significant shareholders as well - and can also control other private businesses that do business with the public enterprise run by management. Non-management shareholders should be concerned that managements may enjoy enrichment at their own expense. To air potential conflicts, GAAP disclosures require the reporting of management dealings with the firms that employ them. In reviewing the footnotes, the overriding question is whether or not the transactions conducted with management are done fairly from the shareholder point of view. It should also be considered whether or not there are ways that business done with private firms controlled by management could affect the profitability of the public firms served by management. For instance, suppose a public firm has administrative support services provided by a private firm controlled by management. Alternatively, perhaps the public firm buys raw materials for production from a management-controlled private firm. Suppose further that the management owns significant stakes in the public firm as well. That management would have an incentive to provide services or goods to the public firm at significant discounts to market value, if it could enhance the profitability of the public firm - and make the stock price increase. Analysts and investors need to be alert that situations like this create an environment where earnings manipulation may well emerge. Rite Aid Corp. management is currently in hot water for its dealings with the firm; apparently, certain members owned stakes in firms that did business with Rite Aid, as well as owning real estate that was rented to the firm . Curiously, there was no disclosure of these items in last year’s annual report footnotes. That shouldn’t stop an analyst or investor from looking for them in the annual reports of other firms, however. -16- III. Other Considerations The prime purpose of reading financial statements is not to find misleading performance presentations via “soft spots” - it’s to learn about the enterprise and how it’s being managed for shareholders. There are other disclosures that either appear once a year in the annual report, or are significantly richer in the annual report than any other time of year. They’re worth noting in your review. Segment disclosures. One disclosure that is better in the annual report than any other time of year is the new set of required segment reporting disclosures.11 The new segment disclosures are to be based on the way that management parses the company internally; investors and analysts will be looking at the same segment information as management - which should make for clearer MD&As. Though they will be required on a comparative, quarterly basis in 1999 for calendar year companies, the disclosures found in the annual report should be much more detailed than what will appear in the interim financial statements. The new disclosures are creating a stir already - IBM disclosed its losses in the PC business under this reporting system, which was information that was previously undisclosed. Stock compensation disclosures. Under the heading of “information you’ll see only in annual reports”, there are the disclosures about stock compensation and its pro forma effects on earnings.12 Investors will frequently study the proxy statements and carp about the option packages awarded to certain management members - but they miss the bigger picture presented in the footnotes. That’s because the proxy information relates only to the best-awarded individuals in top management, whereas the footnote information describes the effects on a firm’s profitability of option awards to all members of the enterprise. Investors who are curious about the “buried” cost of stock options in corporate earnings ought to devote some time to the analysis of per share earnings. Look at: • The gap between the basic earnings per share and the diluted earnings per share reported in the income statement. The difference reflects the quantity EPS effect of dilutive securities like stock options - simply by virtue of the fact that these securities exist. • The gap between the pro forma basic and diluted EPS figures reported in the stock compensation footnote. The difference between the two reflects the worth of the stock compensation that’s been earned by employees in the current year. • The gap between reported basic EPS and the pro forma diluted EPS. The difference between the two figures represents all the dilution, all of the time - the amount attributable to the 11 For more details about the mechanics of SFAS No. 131, “Disclosures about Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information,” see Volume 6, No. 11, “ On The Way In 1998, Part Two: New & Improved Segment Reporting.” 12 See Volume 7, No. 11, Option Compensation: Lessons From The S&P 500”. These disclosures are discussed at length in this report. -17- number of dilutive securities issued plus the value (ascribed to the current period) of the securities. That third gap has been growing due to the phase-in implementation mechanics of SFAS No. 123, which prescribed the accounting for stock-based compensation. Check the table below. The Option “Phase-In” Issue. 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Annual stock compensation expense Award $15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 1995 $5,000 – – – – $5,000 1996 $5,000 5,000 – – – $10,000 1997 $5,000 5,000 5,000 – – $15,000 1998 – 5,000 5,000 5,000 – $15,000 1999 – – 5,000 5,000 5,000 $15,000 The transition issue surrounding stock compensation expense in the pro forma EPS figures. It takes three years for the full effect of stock compensation programs since 1995 to hit earnings. Because the expense provisions are grandfathered into the figures, and because each of the awards affect more than one year, it takes years for the full effect of stock compensation programs to be visible in earnings. And it ignores the value of options outstanding before 1995 which may still exist. The following table shows the third gap for a few companies. Note that in some cases, the gap is bigger than the basic earnings per share - and notice that the gap is growing at a substantial clip for all of the firms. “Third Gap” Growth - Difference Between Basic & Pro Forma Diluted EPS. 3COM CORP Basic EPS P/F Diluted EPS Gap 1998 $ 0.09 (0.18) $ 0.27 1997 $ 1.51 1.26 $ 0.25 1996 $ 1.10 0.96 $ 0.14 % of Basic EPS 300% 17% 13% 8% 79% Basic EPS P/F Diluted EPS Gap $ 0.44 (0.05) $ 0.49 $ (2.61) (2.83) $ 0.22 $ 0.18 0.07 $ 0.11 % of Basic EPS 111% NM 61% Gap Growth 123% 100% $ 1.16 0.51 $ 0.65 $ 2.74 2.43 $ 0.31 $ (0.80) (0.85) $ 0.05 NM Annual Gap Growth AMERICA ONLINE PERKIN ELMER CORP Basic EPS P/F Diluted EPS Gap % of Basic EPS 56% 11% 110% 520% Basic EPS P/F Diluted EPS Gap $ 0.74 0.58 $ 0.16 $ 0.42 0.34 $ 0.08 $ 0.19 0.17 $ 0.02 % of Basic EPS 22% 19% 11% 100% 300% Gap Growth LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES INC Gap Growth -18- No judgment is made here about the worth of stock option programs in these or any other companies - but bear in mind that while such programs can provide incentive to managements to increase stock price, they can subvert shareholder interests as well. When managements become obsessive-compulsive about the price of the firm’s stock, simply because they are concerned about their own options being in the money, or because they need a bigger empire via stock-financed acquisitions, you’ve got a climate in which earnings manipulation will thrive. Objective financial reporting to shareholders then becomes endangered. So pay attention to the stock-compensation disclosures, if only for a potential “climate-check” within the firm. Year 2000 accounting issues. Sure, you’re familiar with the Year 2000 MD&A disclosures you’ve been seeing in the last couple years. You’re probably less familiar with the impacts that the great millennium monster might have in the financial statements, aside from shutting down entire firms. Nearby, a table summarizing some of its potential effects on areas of concern like revenue recognition, loan loss allowances and other areas of major consequence to analysts and investors. Year 2000 Bug Summary: More Than Just Costs To Adapt. Costs of modifying software Well established by now: needs or plans to rewrite code are not permitted to be estimated in up-front mammoth liabilities, but should be expensed as incurred. May cause pressure on SG&A budgets. Costs of failure to be Y2K compliant “What, me worry?” If a firm takes no action to get in gear for Y2K, and is then looking at losses due to its failure, it can’t accrue them up-front; it can only recognize them as incurred. Otherwise, the potential would exist for creating huge, vaguely defined reserves - which would need to be reversed later. Disclosure of Y2K-related commitments - Best place to look: MD&A. A firm should be disclosing its obligations to pay on contracts or commitments to vendors for the remediation of Y2K problems. - Also to be considered for disclosure: any acceleration of debt payments due to covenant defaults tied to Y2K readiness. Revenue & loss recognition An issue with software vendors. Suppose a vendor licenses a product that is not Y2K compliant and commits to deliver a satisfactory version in the future. There would need to be an allocation of the fee to the two components of the license contract; 100% of the revenue could not be properly recognized at the time of the license. An issue with hardware and software vendors. If customers have the right to return goods, and such goods (hardware or software) might be defective due to Y2K non-readiness, are allowances for sales returns adequate? Is it proper to even recognize sales immediately - or should revenues be deferred? Allowance for loan losses Loan quality may be affected by a borrower’s Y2K non-readiness. Potential loan losses based on future events should not be provided; only provisions for losses incurred at balance sheet date. Losses from breach of contract If Y2K non-compliance results in breach of contract - say, due to an implied or expressed warranty of Y2K-readiness in a product sold - then possible losses due to that breach must be disclosed in the notes. If an amount can be determined that will probably be paid, then it must be recorded as a liability. Impairment of assets If not Y2K-compliant, there could be capitalized software costs related to internal projects or products sold that might not be recoverable - and therefore, would require a writedown. The same could be said for long-lived assets - most likely, machinery - that contain devices that need to be Y2K compliant. Such assets might not be possible to repair economically, and might need to be scrapped and replaced. A writedown would be in order. Source: “Disclosure of Year 2000 Issues and Consequences by Public Companies, Investment Advisers, Investment Companies, and Municipal Securities Issuers,” Securities & Exchange Commission. -19****************************** As you roam through the financial statements, you won’t uncover one number or one sentence that says “the truth is here.” Any truth you find is likely to be determined in your own view. Bear in mind that there are relationships that exist in the reported financial statements, and while we’ve covered many of them, don’t forget other relationships: • Cash flow from operations to earnings. Be sure to follow earnings into the cash flow from operating activities in the cash flow statement. Look for the conversion of short-term assets like receivables and inventory into cash. Are problems developing? Is the firm becoming more efficient in converting them to cash? • Cash flow to capital spending. Compare cash flow from operations to capital spending plans delineated in the MD&A. Does cash flow cover it? Will debt or equity financing be needed? Can the balance sheet support more debt? Is dilutive equity financing a possibility? Will dividends be in jeopardy? • Share buybacks. Look at the share buyback authorizations discussed in the MD&A and consider them to be a potential resource requirement like capital spending. Go through the same questions above. You get the idea. Financial statements can get you on the path to understanding a firm’s justification for existence, if said existence is to provide a return to shareholders. Set your premises, read the annual reports, and then check your premises. Don’t be afraid to apply analytical elbow grease to things like restructuring reserves and pension disclosures - that’s where the biggest surprises are likely to be found. You’ll be surprised how much you didn’t know about a firm, once you know your way around the financials. -20- Appendix: Sample SEC Letters/BankAmerica Footnote. The letter sent to 150 companies that announced charges (p. 20) and the letter sent to bank holding companies (p. 23) merit reading by analysts - if only to assess for oneself the message contained in those letters. Read them and I think you’ll agree - these letters are much less a notice of regulatory intervention than they are a “friendly reminder” that generally accepted accounting principles require certain disclosures in those areas. Choosing not to comply with the same standards that have existed for years may - and should - invite SEC intervention. The relevant disclosures and standards in these letters are vital to analysts in their assessment of “soft spots.” The intent of analysts is not to audit financial statements - but to make informed judgments. Vigorous disclosures help market participants to color their judgments about the worth of companies and their earnings. The BankAmerica “Merger-related Activity” footnote was heavily relied upon for analysis in this report, and follows on page 24 should you care to refer to it. -21SAMPLE LETTER SENT TO COMPANIES REPORTING CHARGES January x, 1999 Name Chief Financial Officer XYZ Corporation Address Dear Chief Financial Officer: We understand that you will report significant charges in 1998 for asset write-downs, restructuring activities, or acquired in-process research and development. In connection with our focus on transparent financial reporting and potential earnings management issues, we may select your 1998 annual report for review. For your consideration as you prepare that filing, this letter identifies commonly requested MD&A and financial statements disclosures that may be applicable in whole or part to the kinds of charges you incurred. Asset Impairments Disclose: * Description of the assets and the segments affected * Reasons write-downs became necessary * Amount of loss for each material asset category - Property, plant & equipment - Intangible assets * Method of determining fair value * Classification of loss in the statements of operations If the assets are held for disposal, disclose: * Carrying amount of assets held for disposal and subsequent changes in carrying amount * Expected disposal dates * Results of operations for the assets to the extent that in the period and can be identified * those results are included Effect of suspending depreciation Costs to Exit Activities Disclose: * Activities to be discontinued and the major actions to be taken, including disposition methods and anticipated completion dates * Types and amounts of exit costs recognized as liabilities statement classification. and their income * Types and amounts of exit costs paid and charged against the liability * Adjustments to the liability, including changes in estimates * Revenues and net operating income for those exited activities that have separately identifiable operations. -22Employee Terminations Disclose: * Amount and classification of the costs * Number of people and employee groups to be terminated * Actual amounts paid and actual employees terminated * Any adjustments of the liability Exit or Employee Termination Costs of an Acquired Business Disclose: * Whether you began to formulate an exit plan as of the acquisition date * Types and amounts of exit liabilities assumed and included in the acquisition cost allocation * Unresolved issues and the types of additional liabilities adjustment of the purchase cost allocation. that may result in an Common types of restructuring costs that should be separately disclosed Identify major types and amounts of costs included in restructuring charges and liabilities in the financial statements. More complete break-out of the costs in MD&A often is necessary for an understanding of the plan's cash requirements and how future periods are relieved of costs expected to be incurred. * * * * * * * * * Termination payments to employees Other employee related costs Inventory write-downs Purchase commitment losses Other contract losses Warranties and product returns Leasehold termination payments Other facility exit costs Litigation and environmental clean-up costs Acquired In-Process Research & Development Disclose: * Specific nature and fair value of each significant in-process research and development project acquired * Completeness, complexity and uniqueness of the projects at the acquisition date * Nature, timing and estimated costs of the efforts necessary to complete the projects, and the anticipated completion dates * Risks and uncertainties associated with completing consequences if it is not completed timely * Appraisal method used to value projects * Significant appraisal assumptions, such as -- period in which material net cash inflows from significant projects are expected to commence; -- material anticipated changes from historical pricing, margins and expense levels; and -- the risk adjusted discount rate applied to the development on schedule, and -23project's cash flows. * In periods after a significant write-off, discuss the status of efforts to complete the projects, and the impact of any delays on your expected investment return, results of operations and financial condition Please use these lists only as general guidance. Refer to EITF 94-3, EITF 95-3, SFAS 121, APB 16, FIN 4 and Item 303 of Regulation S-K for additional information. Also, remember to include a schedule of valuation and qualifying accounts meeting the requirements of Rule 12-09 of Regulation S-X. Additional matters that may be relevant are cited by Lynn Turner, Chief Accountant of the SEC, in his letter to the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants dated October 9, 1998, which is available at www.sec.gov/rules/othrindx.htm. Sincerely, Robert A. Bayless Chief Accountant -24SAMPLE LETTER SENT TO SOME BANK HOLDING COMPANIES January x, 1999 Chief Financial Officer Bank Name Address Dear Chief Financial Officer: In connection with our focus on transparent financial reporting and potential earnings management issues, we may select your 1998 annual report for review. For your consideration as you prepare that filing, this letter identifies commonly requested disclosures that may be applicable in whole or part to your explanation of the provision for loan losses and the loan loss allowance. Description of Business Describe your systematic analysis and procedural discipline, required by FRR-28, for determining the amount of your loan loss allowance. Explain: * how you determine each element of the allowance, * which loans are evaluated individually and which loans are evaluated as a group, * how you determine both the allocated and unallocated portions of the allowance for loan losses, * how you determine the loss factors you apply to your graded loans to develop a general allowance, and * what self-correcting mechanism you use to reduce differences between estimated and actual observed losses. Management's Discussion and Analysis: Explain fully the reasons for changes in each of the elements and components of the loan loss allowance, even if the total provision for loan losses did not change materially from period to period, so that a reader can understand how changes in risks in the portfolio during each period relate to the loan loss allowance established at period-end. Quantify and explain: * how changes in loan concentrations, quality, and terms that occurred during the period are reflected in the allowance, * how changes in estimation methods and assumptions affected the allowance, * why reallocations of the allowance among different parts of the portfolio or different elements of the allowance occurred, * how actual changes and expected trends in nonperforming loans affected the allowance, * how actual changes and expected trends in risks associated with cross border outstandings affected the allowance, and * how the level of your allowance compares with historical net loss experience. Financial Statements Include a complete description of your accounting policy for the allowance for credit losses which specifically describes how you determine the amount of each element of the allowance. Sincerely, Robert A. Bayless Chief Accountant -25- Footnote Excerpt From BankAmerica 1998 10-K Note Two - Merger-Related Activity On September 30, 1998, the Corporation completed the Merger with BankAmerica, a multi-bank holding company headquartered in San Francisco, California. BankAmerica provided banking and various other financial services throughout the U.S. and in selected international markets to consumers and business customers, including corporations, governments and other institutions. As a result of the Merger, each outstanding share of BankAmerica common stock was converted into 1.1316 shares of the Corporation's common stock, resulting in the net issuance of approximately 779 million shares of the Corporation's common stock to the former BankAmerica shareholders. Each share of NationsBank common stock continued as one share in the Corporation's common stock. In addition, approximately 88 million options to purchase the Corporation's common stock were issued to convert stock options granted to certain BankAmerica employees. This transaction was accounted for as a pooling of interests. Under this method of accounting, the recorded assets, liabilities, shareholders' equity, income and expenses of NationsBank and BankAmerica have been combined and reflected at their historical amounts. NationsBank's total assets, total deposits and total shareholders' equity on the date of the Merger were approximately $331.9 billion, $166.8 billion and $27.7 billion, respectively. BankAmerica's total assets, total deposits and total shareholders' equity on the date of the Merger amounted to approximately $263.4 billion, $179.0 billion and $19.6 billion, respectively. In compliance with certain requirements of the Federal Reserve Board(FRB), the Department of Justice and certain New Mexico authorities in connection with the Merger, the Corporation entered into an agreement to divest certain branches of Bank of America National Trust and Savings Association(Bank of America NT&SA) with loans and deposits aggregating approximately $167million and $500 million, respectively, in various markets in New Mexico. These transactions were completed in the fourth quarter of 1998. In connection with the Merger, the Corporation recorded $1,325 million of pre-tax, merger-related charges in 1998. Approximately $600 million ($441million after-tax) and $725 million ($519 million after-tax) were recorded in the fourth and third quarters of 1998, respectively. The total pre-tax charge for 1998 consisted of approximately $740 million primarily in severance and change in control and other employee-related items, $150 million in conversion and related costs including occupancy and equipment expenses and customer communication, $300 million in exit and related costs and $135 million in other merger costs (including legal, investment banking and filing fees). The Corporation anticipates recording an additional pre-tax merger-related charge of approximately $400 million ($252 million after-tax) in 1999. On January 9, 1998, the Corporation completed its merger with Barnett, a multi-bank holding company headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida (the Barnett merger). Barnett's total assets, total deposits and total shareholders' equity on the date of the merger were approximately $46.0 billion, $35.4 billion and $3.4 billion, respectively. As a result of the Barnett merger, each outstanding share of Barnett common stock was converted into 1.1875 shares of the Corporation's common stock, resulting in the net issuance of approximately 233million common shares to the former Barnett shareholders. In addition, approximately 11 million options to purchase the Corporation's common stock were issued to convert stock options granted to certain Barnett employees. This transaction was also accounted for as a pooling of interests. In connection with the Barnett merger, the Corporation incurred a pre-tax merger-related charge during the first quarter of 1998 of approximately $900 million ($642 million after-tax), which consisted of approximately $375 million primarily in severance and change in control payments, $300 million of conversion and related costs and occupancy and equipment expenses (primarily lease exit costs and the elimination of duplicate facilities and other capitalized assets), $125 million in exit costs related to contract terminations and $100 million in other merger costs (including legal, investment banking and filing fees). In the second quarter of 1998, the Corporation recognized a $430 million gain resulting from the regulatory required divestitures of certain Barnett branches. The Corporation recorded a pre-tax charge of $280 million in 1996 as a result of decisions to close and/or sell certain of its business activities. The charge covered approximately $196 million for severance payments, $72 million for occupancy expense, primarily reflecting the planned closure of 120 branches, and $12 million for other costs. On October 1, 1997, the Corporation completed the acquisition of Montgomery Securities, Inc., an investment banking and institutional brokerage firm. The purchase price consisted of $840 million in cash and approximately 5.3 million unregistered shares of the Corporation's common stock for an aggregate amount of approximately $1.1 billion. The Corporation accounted for this acquisition as a purchase. On October 1, 1997, the Corporation also acquired Robertson, Stephens & Company Group, L.L.C. (Robertson Stephens), an investment banking and investment management firm. The acquisition was accounted for by the purchase method of accounting. The Corporation sold the investment banking operations of Robertson Stephens on August 31, 1998 and sold the investment management operations in 1999. As previously disclosed, NationsBank, BankAmerica and Barnett merged in separate transactions accounted for as pooling of interests. The following table summarizes the impact of the BankAmerica and Barnett mergers on the Corporation's net interest income, non-interest income and net income for periods prior to the respective mergers. Net Interest Non-interest Net (Dollars in Millions) Income Income Income ----------------------- -------------- ------------- --------1997 NationsBank ........... $ 7,898 $ 5,002 $3,077 BankAmerica ........... 8,669 6,012 3,210 Barnett ............... 1,840 971 255 -----------------Total ................ $18,407 $11,985 $6,542 ======= ======= ====== -261996 NationsBank ........... BankAmerica ........... Barnett ............... Total ................ $ 6,329 8,587 1,869 ------$16,785 ======= $ 3,646 5,351 791 ------$ 9,788 ======= $2,375 2,874 564 -----$5,813 ====== The amounts presented above represent results of operations of the previously separate companies and do not reflect reclassifications of certain revenue and expense items which were made to conform to the reporting policies of the Corporation. On January 7, 1997, the Corporation completed the acquisition of Boatmen's Bancshares, Inc. (Boatmen's), headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, resulting in the issuance of approximately 195 million shares of the Corporation's common stock valued at $9.4 billion on the date of the acquisition and aggregate cash payments of $371 million to Boatmen's shareholders. On the date of the acquisition, Boatmen's total assets and total deposits were approximately $41.2 billion and $32.0 billion, respectively. The Corporation accounted for this acquisition as a purchase. In 1996, the Corporation completed the initial public offering (IPO) of 16.1 million shares of Class A Common Stock of BA Merchant Services, Inc.(BAMS) (ticker symbol "BPI" on the New York Stock Exchange), a subsidiary of the Corporation. On December 22, 1998, the Corporation and BAMS announced the signing of a definitive merger agreement on which the Corporation agreed to buy BAMS outstanding shares of Class A common stock. At closing, each outstanding share of BAMS common stock other than the shares owned by the Corporation will be converted into the right to receive a cash payment equal to $20.50 per share without interest, or approximately $330 million. BAMS will then become a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America NT&SA. The transaction is expected to be completed during the second quarter of 1999. The following tables summarize the activity in the merger-related reserves recorded in connection with the BankAmerica and Barnett mergers during 1998: BankAmerica Merger Merger-Related Reserves Non-Cash Balance on Amount Cash Payments Reductions Balance on January 1, Included in Applied to Applied to December 31, (Dollars in Millions) 1998 Expense Reserve Reserve 1998 ---------------------------------------- ------------ ------------- --------------- ------------ ------------Severance, change in control and other employee-related costs ..... $-$ 740 $(155) $ (98) $487 Conversion and related costs ........... -150 (3) (4) 143 Exit and related costs ................. -300 (62) (44) 194 Other merger costs ..................... -135 (117) -18 ----------------------$-$1,325 $(337) $(146) $842 === ====== ======= ======= ==== Barnett Merger Merger-Related Reserves Non-Cash Balance on Amount Cash Payments Reductions Balance on January 1, Included in Applied to Applied to December 31, (Dollars in Millions) 1998 Expense Reserve Reserve 1998 ---------------------------------------- ------------ ------------- --------------- ------------ ------------Severance, change in control and other employee-related costs ..... $-$375 $ (318) $ (55) $ 2 Conversion and related costs ........... -300 (8) (192) 100 Exit and related costs ................. -125 (101) -24 Other merger costs ..................... -100 (99) -1 ------------------$-$900 $ (526) $ (247) $127 === ==== ====== ====== ==== Total severance, change in control and other employee-related costs for both mergers included amounts related to job eliminations, primarily in areas of overlapping operations and duplicate functions. Through December 31, 1998,approximately 1,700 employees have entered the severance process as result of the Barnett merger. For the BankAmerica merger, 5,000 to 8,000 positions after attrition, are estimated to be eliminated and through December 31, 1998,approximately 1,800 associates have entered the severance process. The only significant portion of the Barnett merger-related charge remaining at December 31, 1998 relates to conversion and related costs, primarily abandoned owned and leased facilities and branch closure costs. Exit costs primarily relate to contract termination payments, business realignment and other related costs. Remaining exit and related costs balances included in the Barnett merger reserve on December 31, 1998 are expected to be used during the first half of 1999. Primarily all reserves established in 1996 associated with the Bank South acquisition and restructuring activities were fully utilized as of December 31, 1998. There were no additional provisions during 1998. Companies in this report (continued): DuPont Eastman Kodak General Electric General Motors Goodyear International Business Machines Lucent Minnesota Mining & Mfg. Morgan, J.P. Perkin Elmer Philip Morris Rite Aid Sears Roebuck United Technologies R.G. Associates, Inc. The Fidelity Building 210 N. Charles Street, Suite 1325 Baltimore, MD 21201-4020 Phone: (410)783-0672 Fax: (410)783-0687 Internet: jciesielski@accountingobserver.com Website: www.accountingobserver.com NOTE: R.G. Associates, Inc. is registered as an investment adviser with the State of Maryland. No principals or employees of R.G. Associates, Inc. have performed auditing or review engagement procedures to the financial statements of any of the companies mentioned in the report. Neither R.G. Associates, Inc., nor its principals and employees, are engaged in the practice of public accountancy nor have they acted as independent certified public accountant for any company which is mentioned herein. These reports are based on sources which are believed to be reliable, including publicly available documents filed with the SEC. However, no assurance is provided that the information is complete and accurate nor is assurance provided that any errors discovered later will be corrected. Nothing in this report is to be interpreted as a “buy” or “sell” recommendation. The information herein is provided to users for assistance in making their own investment decisions. R.G. Associates, Inc., and/or its principals and employees thereof may have positions in securities referred to herein and may make purchases or sales thereof while this report is in circulation.