Plug-In Hybrid with Fuel Cell Battery Charger G. J. Suppes Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Missouri, W2028 EBE, Columbia, MO 65211, U.S.A. ABSTRACT A new approach on vehicular fuel cell technology uses an on-board fuel cell stack as a battery charger and could be one of the most viable methods to displace imported oil when incorporated into plug-in hybrid vehicles. A sensitivity analysis evaluating vehicle specification and component performances suggests that small fuel cell stacks (e.g. 1 kW) would be commercially viable in plug-in vehicles at prices as high as $1800 per kWh. The combination of these small fuel cell stacks and a battery pack would cost less than the use of either an appropriately sized battery pack or fuel cell stack alone. Tribrid systems using fuel cell batter chargers, battery packs, and internal combustion engines could be viable decades before fuel cell systems relying on a hydrogen refueling infrastructure. Furthermore, these vehicles will not rely on infrastructure development for them to be successfully introduced to the market. While fuel cells can be purchased today at about $2,500 per kW, the DOE estimates that mass-production using today's technology would cost about $300 per kW. Based on these estimates, the use of fuel cells as battery chargers in Battery Electric Vehicles and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles is commercially viable today and can evolve to increasingly large percentages of the U.S. automotive market. Key Words: Fuel Cell, Hydrogen, Recharge, Plug-In, Efficiency INTRODUCTION Important industrial issues on sustainability, balance of trade, and creation of quality domestic jobs culminate on petroleum fuels and the U.S. importing of $150 billion in crude oil each year. For decades, efforts to displace petroleum imports have fallen short due to the high costs of alternatives and the limited energy feed stock options large enough to displace crude oil. Today, fuel cell technology is receiving much attention due to its potential to change the rules in transportation sector. Plug-in approaches that use onboard electrolysis to produce hydrogen are particularly attractive since they do not rely on a hydrogen refueling infrastructure and do not require the distribution of new fuels1. The Plug-In Fuel Cell Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PFCHEV) relies on any number of combinations of fuel cells, batteries, capacitors, and engines to power the vehicle2, 3. The “Plug-In” aspect of this vehicle allows grid electricity to charge batteries and produce electrolysis hydrogen/oxygen during the night for use by the vehicle during the first 20 or more miles of travel during the day—during these initial miles the engine does not operate. About half the miles traveled by automobiles each day in the U.S. are within the first twenty miles traveled by each vehicle in a day. Renault introduced a commercial PHEV to the French market in 2003.4 In a timeline presented by Bob Graham5 of the Electrical Power Research Institute in December of 2002, battery electric vehicles (BEV) and hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) were noted to have hit the market before 2003. The plug-in HEV (PHEV) and PFCHEV were projected to hit the U.S. market in 2005 and 2008 respectively. Non-Plug-In versions of fuel cell vehicles (FCHEV) were projected for 2015. Since the PFCHEV does not rely on a hydrogen refueling infrastructure, it is commercially viable on a shorter timeline. Other advantages of the PFCHEV are not as obvious but perhaps even more important. Fuel cells and batteries (or capacitors) have a powerful synergy, the combination of the two can provide better performance and lower cost than batteries alone or fuel cells alone. Batteries are good at high power output (e.g. 50 kW) but only provide storage capacity at high cost and weight penalties. Fuel cells provide affordable capacity relative to batteries (in the form of stored hydrogen and oxygen) but have costs that are roughly proportional to power output. In the PFCHEV a synergy is achieved by having a fuel cell (e.g. 2 kW) perform primarily as a battery charger throughout the day while batteries provide the high power output (e.g. 50 kW). For a typical day in a PFCHEV, overnight electrolysis and charging provide about 7.5 miles of range from the batteries and about 30 miles of capacity form hydrogen/oxygen. During the 8-mile commute to work, the batteries are used to power the vehicle with some assistance from the fuel cell. When parked at work, the fuel cell charges the batteries. When the workday is complete, the battery is charged with 7.5 miles of capacity and about 20 miles of hydrogen/oxygen are available to supplement the battery. Throughout the evening and day, the fuel cell operates as long as the battery is less than fully charged. For many applications the internal combustion engine (ICE) would never be started but is available if additional range is needed. The PFCHEV can have a powerful impact on the oil imports. For many applications, especially as the second car in a 2-car family, a 40 mile-per-day range can meet more than 90% of the travel needs. Approximately 78% of all miles traveled are within the first 40 miles traveled in a day. Advantages of the PFCHEV include: • Zero point-source emissions • Near-zero noise pollution • Near-zero carbon dioxide emissions when using electricity from wind or nuclear sources • Imported oil is fully displaced with domestic energy sources (for this vehicle) • A variety of sources of electrical power are fully sustainable • Substantial elimination of time and inconvenience of refueling gasoline A disadvantage of the PHEV and PFCHEV vehicles are their poor well-to-wheel efficiencies; however, efficiency has historically only indirectly impacted commercial viability in the form of increased operating expenses3. As discussed in this paper, the economics are good and poor efficiencies do not translate to commercialization barriers. Table 1 summarizes the projected costs for the BEV, PFCHEV, and FCHEV to achieve 30 miles of engine-free operation for a vehicle requiring 50 kW of power. The $500 / kW fuel cell costs should be attainable within the decade. The data illustrates how the PFCHEV power system costs less than fuel cells or batteries alone for providing the specified performance. METHODS The fuel cell stack of the PFCHEV systems of Table 1 are not designed to replace the engine of today's SUV, but with a 30-mile plug-in capability the power system could find many useful applications. Having an engine backup, the PFCHEV could compete with conventional automobiles because range can be extended by refueling with gasoline. The summary of Table 1 illustrates how the PFCHEV will typically cost at least a factor of 6 less than the FCHEV using oxygen and a factor of 12 less for a fuel cell stack using air. As the prices of fuel cells decrease, the PFCHEV will cost less than the PHEV as is the case for the system specifications of Table 1. The data of Table 1 is based on projected $500 / kW costs for PEM fuel cells for 2010. The summary of Table 1 and subsequent sensitivity analysis in the paper summarize how the PFCHEV is likely to develop a powerful market niche and will likely become commercially viable years, perhaps decades, before FCHEV vehicles. While the summary of Table 1 is specific to the underlying assumptions of that projection, the uncertainty of the implications of the PFCHEV is greatly reduced though a sensitivity analysis on key parameters. The impact of key technologies and design specifications on the cost of the PFCHEV versus the FCHEV and PHEV was evaluated by this sensitivity analysis, including the following factors: • Vehicle Plug-In range in miles. • Battery range in miles. • The fuel cell sizing factor that determines the FC size based on the ability of the fuel cell to consume the tank of hydrogen in a specified number of hours. A sizing factor of 0.2 h-1 corresponds to consuming the tank of hydrogen in 5 hours. A t0 kWh tank of hydrogen would thus be sized with a 2 kW (10 kWh X 0.2 h-1) fuel cell. • Battery costs in $/kWh allow the energy needs to be converted to battery costs on a delivered energy basis. • Fuel economy in kWh/mile allows the range of the vehicle to be converted to the required kWh of energy delivered to the electric drive train. • Specific energy in Wh/kg allows the mass of the battery pack to be calculated based on deliverable energy. • Hydrogen tank weights (kg/kWh) and costs ($/kWh) are estimated to be directly proportional to the deliverable energy from the hydrogen in the tank. • Specific cost penalties in $/kg for weight are applied to the weight of batteries and tanks. • Battery efficiencies are applied when converting miles of hydrogen to kWh of hydrogen stored. These efficiencies account for the fact that some of the energy is lost both in charging the batteries and then subsequently discharging the batteries. For example, 10 miles of hydrogen at a fuel economy of 0.5 kWh/mile going through a 90% efficient battery requires 10 X 0.5 / 0.9 / 0.9 = 6.17 kWh of deliverable energy from the fuel cell using the stored hydrogen. If the fuel cell is operating at 50% efficiency, this translates to a lower heating value of stored hydrogen equal to 12.34 kWh. • The electrolyzer cost is calculated as a percentage of the fuel cell cost. Table 2 summarizes the base case, high, and low values of the parameters used in the sensitivity analysis. The range of parameters for the batteries are based on an Argonne National Laboratory summary of projections on nickel metal hydride batteries.6 In this survey, nickel metal hydrides and nickel-cadmium batteries provided the most competitive combination of light weight, reasonable number of charge/discharge cycles, and costs. Table 3 summarizes projected performance characteristics for the nickel metal hydride batteries based on this the Argonne report. Plug-In Range7 is the miles of travel possible in a day from plug-in electricity. The American Automobile Association (AAA) uses 12,500 miles as a typical yearly mileage on a vehicle to determine operating costs. 12,000 divided by 300 days of travel in a year is 40 miles per day. About 76% of the miles traveled in the U.S. are within the first 40 traveled by an automobile in a day and about 78% of the automobiles do not travel more than 40 miles in a randomly selected day. Plug-In ranges of 20, 40, 60, and 80 miles were studied. The total Plug-In range is split into the range available from batteries and the range available from electrolysis hydrogen. The fuel cell size is a function of the electrolysis hydrogen storage capacity. High, low, and base case sizing factors used in this study were 0.25, 0.083, and 0.125 h-1. A fully reversible fuel cell8, 9 used to its full potential would produce electrolysis hydrogen for 12 hours and would produce electrical power on the vehicle for 12 hours. The Fuel Cell Sizing Factor uses the capacity of the hydrogen storage tank to size the fuel cell appropriately. For example if 30 kWh of stored hydrogen is consumed in 10 hours, a sizing factor of 0.1 h-1 would be multiplied times the 30 kWh of stored hydrogen to estimate the fuel cell stack size at 3 kW. A car designed with 10 kWh of batteries and 30 kWh of stored hydrogen could use a fuel cell with a sizing factor of 0.25 h-1 to recharge the batteries 3 times in 12 hours. At a constant sizing factor, larger fuel cells are required to utilize the capacity of larger hydrogen storage tanks. For comparison purposes, the engine of the Toyota Prius, one of several HEVs on the market today, has a 57 kW engine—having a much higher power output than the fuel cell stacks of this study. The FCHEV systems evaluated for comparison purposes in this study were sized with 50 kW fuel cell stacks. The costs of the batteries were evaluated at 300, 400, and550 $ / kWh. The batteries pack was sized based only on kWh needs and not kW. The kWh needs were calculated based on the specified range in miles of the battery pack, and this range was set at 0%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% of the plug-in range. The kWh of energy required per mile of travel is an important measure of vehicle energy efficiency. A vehicle designed to operate at a sustainable 90 mph at 50 kW power would have a fuel economy of 1.8 miles per kWh. A vehicle with a fuel economy of 1.43 miles / kWh and a 50 kW power source could maintain 71.4 mph for extended periods of time. Vyas and Ng6 assume a fuel economy of 3.7 miles / kWh (130.4 miles for 35.1 kWh of energy). Fuel economies of 1.43, 2, and 3.33 kWh/mile were evaluated in this study. The fuel economy of 3.33 kWh/mile is more consistent with a 30 kW engine than the 57 kW Toyota Prius engine. The batteries were characterized and sized based on delivered kWh. However, battery efficiencies were necessary to convert kWh of hydrogen to kWh of delivered energy via first charging batteries and then discharging the stored energy. Efficiencies of 80, 85, and 90% were assumed. The amount of stored hydrogen and the fuel cell kW rating were increased to account for these efficiencies. For example, 10 kWh of battery power translates to 10 / 0.8 / 0.8 or 15.625 kWh of hydrogen when the battery has an efficiency of 80%. The weights of batteries were estimated by the specific energy of the battery. Hinrichs and Kleinback10 report nickel metal hydride batteries at 60 to 80 Wh/kg. Battery specific energy of 70, 78, and 80 Wh/kg were used in this study. The weights of hydrogen/oxygen tanks were assumed to be a linear function of the kWh of gases stored. Values of 1, 2, and 3 kg/kWh were used. Assuming the average weight of an occupied automobile at 1500 kg, the cost of propulsion per kilogram is about $2250 / 1500 kg or $1.5/kg. The costs of extra weight was 1, 1.5, and 2 $/kg for the weights of the batteries and tanks. The costs of the tanks were calculated at $2, $4, and $6 per kWh of hydrogen storage capacity. The cost of the electrolysis capabilities was calculated as 0%, 100%, and 200% of the cost of the fuel cell stack. The 0% represents a fully reversible fuel cell that is reversible at no extra cost and the 200% represents an electrolysis system that costs twice as much as the fuel cell system. With the above specifications, a spreadsheet was prepared to calculate the cost of the entire power system based on the input of the cost of a fuel cell stack per kW of power generation capabilities. At a constant Plug-In range, the power system cost was a linear function of the fraction of the range provide by the battery pack—a line with negative slope when the battery pack is less expensive than the fuel cell system to meet performance specifications. As the price of the fuel cell stack decreases, the negative slope of the line becomes zero at a "threshold" price where all combinations of battery packs and fuel cells stacks have the same price to meet the mileage range. The sensitivity analysis was performed to identify these "threshold" fuel cell stack prices. RESULTS Table 5 summarizes the sensitivity analysis. the base case analysis projects that when fuel cell stacks are available at less than $1,184 per kW, the combination of a fuel cell stack and batteries would be more cost effective in a plugin hybrid than the use of batteries alone. Other threshold fuel cell stack prices were calculated by adjusting the base case to include high and low values for each of the parameters. For a 40 mile Plug-In vehicle, the battery pack would likely provide between about 10 and 20 miles of range with the remainder provided by stored hydrogen. At less than 10 miles of battery capacity, the vehicle would be too limited by this 10-mile limit for travel over a short time period. At greater than 20 miles one-way to a destination, the engine would have to operate during part of the roundtrip, and so, a battery range greater than 20 miles would have little performance advantage over a battery range of 20 miles. The base case solution is valid with fuel cells of 2.59 and 1.73 kW paired with battery packs having 10 and 20 mile ranges respectively. These fuel cells stacks are quite small in comparison to the 50 kW that would be required to provide full power demands from the fuel cells stack. In fact, the FCHEV power system costs over six times as much as the PFCHEV. In comparing the FCHEV to PFCHEV, an engine (cost at $1000) is used to provide backup power for the PFCHEV, and the cost of the electrolyzer is included in the PFCHEV. For the FCHEV, no electrolysis capability is included and the $1000 is assumed to be applied to auxiliary equipment such as a reformer system or high capacity hydrogen storage. As indicated by the sensitivity analysis of Table 5, the FCHEV is consistently about four to twelve times more costly than the PFCHEV with a 40 mile plug-in range. The cost of the electrolyzer had the greatest impact on the threshold fuel cell stack cost. The sizing factor had the second greatest impact, and the battery efficiency had the third greatest impact. The fuel economy did not impact the threshold fuel cell cost, but did impact the cost of the PFCHEV relative to the FCHEV. The latter was primarily due to an artifact of the calculation where a 50 kW fuel cell stack supply was always assumed for the FCHEV when it may have been a more-even playing field if a 30 kW fuel cell were matched up with the 3.33 fuel economy. The electrolyzer cost is a most important research and development area that will allow PFCHEV systems to be more cost competitive sooner. In the best case, reversible fuel cells would produce both electrical power and hydrogen/oxygen with zero incremental price above a conventional fuel cell. The sizing factor is a design degree of freedom. Sizing factors that provide the fuel cell with more time to consume the stored hydrogen lead to less costly power systems; however, these systems would have greater limitations on performance which translates to the engine being needed more frequently to provide power when the fuel cell stack has not had sufficient time to recharge the batteries. In principal, this predominantly translates to more frequent gasoline refueling stops. Low sizing factors and relatively small fuel cells (e.g. 1.72 kW) would make excellent entrylevel systems for this market. For the PFCHEV system of Table 1, the cost of the power system could be further reduced by use of a sizing factor less than 0.125 h-1 The PFCHEV would benefit from highly efficient batteries and batteries with large charge/discharge lives. This suggests that-high capacity capacitors, flywheels, and other efficient and robust storage means could be used to advantages on the PFCHEV. Regenerative braking is also more important in the PFCHEV than in conventional HEV vehicles due to the premium paid for plug-in capabilities. Batteries with higher power outputs would also be needed since the specific power outputs listed in Table 2 would be insufficient. Other parameters such as battery costs, costs for tanks, and cost penalties for weight had relatively minor impacts within the range of parameters. The estimated costs for the PFCHEV power systems at the threshold fuel cell cost solutions ranged from $6000 to $12000. Table 6 summarizes a series of analysis on the impact of Plug-In range on threshold fuel cell costs. The range had no impact on the threshold fuel cell costs, but it did impact the size of the fuel cell needed to meet power requirements. As the size of the fuel cell stack became larger to achieve greater ranges, the advantage over the FCHEV diminished to a factor of 3.4 at a range of 80 miles per day. DISCUSSION The sensitivity analysis indicates that a vehicle similar to that specified in Table 1 would be an entry-level vehicle having a threshold fuel cell price of $1,792/kW and system price of $4,773 (Table 7 summarizes entry level pricing). This would be an efficient, light-weight vehicle with up to 30 miles per day in plug-in range. The HEV version of this vehicle would include about 6.6 miles in battery capacity at a cost of about $830 plus the engine ($1000). A premium of about $2,957 is paid for the "Plug-In" option with a 30 mile capacity. At $1,792/kW, a 50 kW power system would cost about $90,000. For a hybrid car, the extra cost for the battery pack and electronics is partially recoverable in the form of reduced fuel consumption. Plug-In vehicles would have considerably less gasoline consumption, but per-mile energy costs would be about the same as with the HEV. The fuel costs3 are about $0.025 and $0.032 per mile1 for gasoline ($1.00 per gallon, no highway tax) ICE and hydrogen produced by grid (off-peak, $0.056 per kW-hr11). Entry level vehicles will not pay for themselves based on saved fuel cost in the U.S.—in countries where fuel prices are more than $4.00 gallon it is possible for the PHEV and PFCHEV to pay for themselves based on savings in fuel costs if they are able to tap into cheap off-peak grid electricity. Two potential U.S. niche markets for the Plug-In approach are the alternative fuel markets created by Environmental Policy Act (EPACT) regulation and consumers who are willing to pay additional money for an automobile that displaces imported petroleum with electrical power produced for indigenous feed stocks. The markets would not be huge, but they would create additional momentum in the fuel cell industry to further reduce costs. At a fuel cell cost of $500 / kW and a 50% premium for reversible performance (possible by 2010), a power system with the same economy and fuel cell sizing factor as that of Table 7 would cost about $2750. This vehicle would replace about 300 gallons per year of imported petroleum with electrical power. From a societal perspective, the benefits would warrant the additional cost. If the engine and gasoline tank were removed from this engine and it were used for limited local transit, the price of the power system could be further reduced to about $1500 and the vehicle itself would realize reduced costs due to weight reductions. Such a vehicle would be particularly appropriate as a second vehicle in a 2-car family or as a short trip vehicle for a college student. Vehicles with and without the backup engine could realize substantial markets. As fuel cells become less expensive, increased plug-in ranges would become viable and the engine would be used less. As the engine is used less, less expensive, lighter, and possibly air-cooled engines could be used to reduce the 1 Costs are based on a vehicle getting 30 mpg and fuel at $1.00 per gallon (not including highway taxes). An energy content of $114,500 Btu/gal for gasoline translates to 3817 Btu gasoline / mile. This translates to 687 Btu of wheel energy per mile applied to all fueling options. premium prices paid for these vehicles—this would reduce the premium paid for the plug-in option. When fuel cell prices are low enough and the premium paid for the "reversible" aspect of the fuel cell is low enough, the reduced engine cost will allow the cost PFCHEV power system to become less, eventually being equal to the cost for HEV power systems. The ability of the PFCHEV to evolve into a platform that is both less expensive than ICE options and will be powered by indigenous fuels is its greatest attribute. Today, PEM fuel cell costs are about $2,500 / kW when used with pure oxygen and about $5,000 / kW when used with air. The costs are projected12 to be $650-$1150 by 2010. The large automobile market could readily reduce the prices to less than $500 by 2010 due to both mass production and increased competition. The entry level $4,773 vehicle of Table 7 could be attained by about 2007 based on trends in current fuel cell prices. Increased demands for fuel cells could expedite the reductions in fuel cell prices to the point where the $500 / kW fuel cells with a 50% premium for reversible performance could be attainable by 2010. The evolution from 2010 would PFCHEV vehicles with increase plug-in ranges both with and without backup engines. When considering that current fuel cell prices are not based on mass production, the 2007 and 2010 timeframes are rather conservative. The DOE estimates that through mass production, fuel cells could be produced today at $300 per kW13—this suggests that the technology could be commercialized to great advantage in today's market. One to 5 kW fuel cells operated from electrolysis oxygen and hydrogen are considerably less complex than internal combustion engines. Also, electronics and electric motors have the potential to be produced for lower costs and lighter weights than current mechanical drive trains and transmissions. Fuel cell technology makes entry of new companies into the automobile market easier than has been possible with engines and mechanical drive trains. This is especially true for light-weight vehicles. Competition could increase resulting in lower prices for vehicles—lowmaintenance and dependable vehicles could become available at a fraction of today's automobile prices (possible by 2012). Table 8 summarizes the typical operating costs of a vehicle. Substantial reductions in the cost of owning and operating a vehicle can be achieved by reducing the vehicle cost and those expenses like financing, insurance, and taxes that are related to the cost of the vehicle. The PFCHEV will push the limits of battery technology due to the high power output and the large number of charge/recharge cycles. It is likely that large strides can be made in power output as the power output currently does not drive the price of batteries—prices correlate with the energy content (kWh) of the batteries. A PFCHEV would put a large number of cycles on the batteries, up to one cycle for every 10 miles. A 1,000-cycle battery life (see Table 2) translates to 10,000 miles before the battery pack would need to be changed. Fortunately, EPRI14 reports that products like the Saft nickel metal hydride batteries are achieving greater than 2800 cycles. In addition, through the use of capacitors, directing fuel cell power directly to the engines, and accounting for backup engine operation, a vehicle designed for 10 miles range from the battery pack could average near 20 miles per cycle. This translates to 56,000 miles before replacing the batteries. A single replacement of the battery pack during the life of the vehicle is an attainable short-term goal. CONCLUSIONS The PFCHEV approach using the fuel cell battery charger provides for market entry vehicles that would cost ten times less than FCHEV counterparts using pure hydrogen and oxygen. If air were used with FCHEV fuel cells, the PFCHEV power systems would cost a factor of twenty less. The PFCHEV also does not rely on a hydrogen refueling infrastructure and provides a commercially viable entry point for vehicles benefiting from fuel cells which is likely at least a decade earlier than FCHEV vehicles. Table 9 qualitatively compares the cost of the FCHEV using hydrogen refueling with the PFCHEV. The PFCHEV vehicles would use the versatility of the electrical power grid to tap into domestic energy sources. When wind and nuclear are used, petroleum imports are displaced with technology having near-zero carbon dioxide emissions and near-zero point source emissions in the cities. Other than the modified vehicle design, no additional infrastructure would be required for the PFCHEV to enter the market. Increased electrical power infrastructure would occur through private investment in well-established supply-demand economics in providing electrical power. The versatility to use off-peak electricity for recharging PFCHEV will allow baseline power generation to increase, and this can be used to great advantage to improve the electrical power grid infrastructure so that it is more efficient and reliable. At fuel cell costs less than about $1700 / kW, the combination of fuel cells, batteries, and capacitors would be less costly than batteries used in PHEV or BEV power systems. Consumers that currently use BEV and EPACTqualifying alternative fuel vehicle in today's market using mass production techniques to produce reversible fuel cells. The fuel cells should reduce PFCEV prices sufficiently to cause substantial growth in the traditional BEV market. The FCHEV vehicles will tend to evolve toward use of larger fuel cell stacks and smaller battery packs, eventually reaching fuel cell stack sizes that merge into the FCHEV classification with backup internal combustion engines no longer being necessary—a speculative timeframe for this is about 2020. Table 1. Comparison of PHEV, PFCHEV and FCHEV power system options for projected 2010 fuel cell stack costs of $500 / kW. A BEV power system without an engine and having a 90 mile range would cost about $18,874. All energy and power units are in delivered energy. For example, the hydrogen (H2) in kW-h must be divided by the fuel cell efficiency to estimate the amount of hydrogen in the tank. FCHEV FCHEV PFCHEV PFCHEV PHEV (oxygen) (air) Total Range (Miles) 30 30 30 30 30 Battery Pack Range (Miles) 0 0 7.5 15 30 Battery Pack (kW-h) 0 0 3.75 7.5 15 H2 Range (Miles) 30 30 22.5 15 0 H2 (kW-h) 20.76 20.76 15.57 10.38 0.00 Fuel Cell Power (kW) 50.00 50.00 1.95 1.30 0.00 Engine ($) $0 $0 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 Battery Cost ($) $0 $0 $1,500 $3,000 $6,000 Fuel Cell Cost ($) $25,000 $50,000 $973 $649 $0 Weight and Tank Costs ($) $114 $114 $158 $201 $288 Electrolyzer ($) $0 $0 $973 $649 $0 Total Power System Cost $25,114 $50,114 $4,604 $5,499 $7,288 Table 2. Values of parameters used in sensitivity analysis. Low Base High Case Plug-In Range 20 40 60 (80) Sizing Factors (h-1) 0.083 0.125 0.25 Battery Costs ($/kWh) 300 400 550 Fuel Economies (mile/kWh) 3.33 2 1.43 Battery Specific Energy (Wh/kg) 70 78 80 Hydrogen Tank Weights (kg/kWh) 1 2 3 Hydrogen Tank Cost ($/kWh hydrogen) 2 4 6 Cost of Weight ($/kg) 1 1.5 2 Battery Efficiency 0.80 0.85 0.90 1 2 Cost of Electrolysis ($ as % of Fuel Cell Cost) 0 Table 3. Projected performance of nickel metal hydride batteries. 2003* 2010 2020 Specific Energy (Wh/kg) 70 78 80 Specific Power (W/kg) 160 180 200 Charge/Discharge Cycles 1000 1000 1100 Cost $/kWh 550 400 300 * Estimates include numbers from survey with adjustments made based on other references. Table 4. Example cost estimation at a threshold fuel cell price ($/kWh) where the cost of combinations of batteries and stored hydrogen with a fuel cell stack yield the same cost for the energy system—at least 25% of the range must come from batteries to meet performance needs. When no batteries are needed, the fuel cell stack is sized to meet all power requirements. Weight Battery Battery Total Pack Pack kW- Miles Miles h H2 Miles kW-h kW ($) (kg) 40 0 0 40 27.7 50 $0 40 10 5 30 20.7 2.59 40 20 10 20 13.8 40 30 15 10 40 40 20 0 H2 Fuel Cell Engine Battery Weight Weight Weight Battery Fuel Cell Tank Cost Electrolyzer Tank (kg) Battery ($) Tank ($) Cost ($) Cost ($) ($) ($) Total 0.0 27.7 $0 $42 $0 $59,479 $111 $0 $59,631 $1,000 64.1 20.7 $96 $31 $2,000 $3,087 $83 $3,087 $9,385 1.73 $1,000 128.2 13.8 $192 $21 $4,000 $2,058 $55 $2,058 $9,385 6.92 0.86 $1,000 192.3 6.9 $288 $10 $6,000 $1,029 $28 $1,029 $9,385 0 0 $1,000 256.4 0 $385 $0 $8,000 $0 $0 $0 $9,385 Table 5. Fuel cell costs ($/kW) below which the combination of a fuel cell charger and battery pack is less expensive than use of the battery pack alone to meet energy demands. Calculations are based on 40 miles of plug-in range for a PFCHEV. The fuel cell kW ratings are based on 10 miles range from the batteries and 30 miles range from the fuel cell stack. All energy and power units are in delivered energy. For example the hydrogen (H2) in kW-h must be divided by the fuel cell efficiency to estimate the amount of hydrogen in the tank. Sizing Spec. Cost FC Factor Economy Energy Eff. Bat Cost Bat Cost Tank Electrol. Cost Wt FC /PFC Total Cost FC kW 1/hr kWh/m Wh/kg % $/kWh $/kWh % FC $/kg $/$ $ $/kW 2.60 0.125 0.5 78 0.85 400 4 100% 1.5 6.3 $9,385 $1,184 1.72 0.083 9.5 $9,385 $1,782 5.19 0.25 3.2 $9,385 $592 0.3 9.8 $6,031 $1,184 0.7 4.7 $12,738 $1,184 70 6.3 $9,429 $1,190 80 6.3 $9,375 $1,182 0.8 5.6 $9,385 $1,051 0.9 7.1 $9,385 $1,336 550 6.5 $12,385 $1,617 300 6.1 $7,385 $895 2 6.4 $9,385 $1,198 6 6.3 $9,385 $1,182 0 12.7 $9,385 $2,379 2 4.2 $9,385 $793 1 6.4 $9,256 $1,173 2 6.4 $9,513 $1,206 Table 6. Impact of vehicle Plug-In range on threshold fuel cell prices and fuel cell power rating. Total Battery FC FC /PFC Total Cost FC Miles miles kW $/$ $ $/kW 20 5 1.30 11.5 $5,192 $1,190 30 7.5 1.95 8.2 $7,288 $1,190 40 10 2.60 6.4 $9,385 $1,190 40 20 1.73 6.4 $9,385 $1,190 60 15 3.89 4.4 $13,577 $1,190 80 20 5.19 3.4 $17,769 $1,190 Table 7. Example entry level PFCHEV specifications and costs. Total Miles 30 Battery Pack Miles 10 Battery Pack (kW-h) 3 H2 (Miles) 20 H2 (kW-h) 8.30 Fuel Cell (kW) 0.69 Engine ($) $1,000 Battery Cost ($) $1,200 Fuel Cell Cost ($) $1,235 Electrolyzer ($) $1,235 Total $4,773 FC ($/kW) $1,792 Table8. Typical operating costs for vehicle. Ranges include low end cost of mid-sized car and upper end costs for luxury car and SUV15. Vehicle Operating Cost Average Cost Range ($/mile) Depreciation 22.5-31.8 49.2% Insurance 6.9-10.5 14.3% Financing 4.8-8.3 12.3% Fuel 4.5-6.9 10.9% Maintenance, Oil, Tires 4.7-5.3 9.1% License & registration 1.4-3.2 4.2% Table 9. Qualitative comparison of PFCHEV approach to FCHEV relying on hydrogen refueling. Hydrogen Plug-In Refueling Reformer Fuel Cell Cost Breakthroughs $$$ $$ Improved Fuel Cell Durability $$ $ Improved Hydrogen Production $$ $ Hydrogen Storage Breakthroughs $$$ N/A Hydrogen Refueling Breakthroughs $$ N/A Hydrogen Infrastructure Cost $$$$$ N/A H2 Refueling Time/Anxiety/Risk $$$ N/A & REFERENCES 1 Keith, D. W. and A. E. Farrell. Rethinking Hydrogen Cars. Science, Vol 301, July, 18, 2003. 2 Suppes, G. J., S. Lopes, and C. W. Chiu. Plug-in Fuel Cell Hybrids as Transition Technology to Hydrogen Infrastructure. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Accepted for Publication, June 2003. 3 Plug-In Hybrids: The Cars We Need for the Next Ten Years, Published by California Cars Initiative, an activity of the International Humanities Center, 2003 (see http://calcars.org). 4 Mullen, R. Proposed Car of Near-Future: Plug-In Hybrid. New Technology Week, King Communications Group, Inc, Washington, D.D. Ocotober 20, 2003. 5 Graham, Bob. 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