Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire change Dr. Ralph Nunez Presents Mayor Tom Barrett A poverty symposium dedicated to the proposition that our leaders and our citizens have the strength and ability to work together to turn despair into hope and hope into action. “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” Tim Smeeding Pat Mc Manus Conor Williams 1 Welcome! Presents “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 2 Homelessness: Much More Than a Housing Issue Dr. Ralph Nunez President, Institute for Children, Poverty and Homelessness “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 3 Break “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 4 How the Safety Net Protected Wisconsin Families from Poverty in 2010 Tim Smeeding Director, Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wisconsin “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 5 How the Safety Net Protected Wisconsin Families from Poverty in 2010 4th Annual Wisconsin Poverty Report Tim Smeeding IRP Director and Distinguished Professor of Public Affairs UW Madison for the Community Advocates Symposium on Poverty Milwaukee, WI October 11, 2012 Research | Training | Policy | Practice Overview The Wisconsin Poverty Measure ( WPM) and the Wisconsin Idea in action Findings from 2012 4th Wisconsin Poverty Report ( Released April 25th, 2012) - What did we find ? - Why did it happen (WI economy vs. benefits) ? - So what does it mean? Conclusion: the safety net is working in Wisconsin –and likely elsewhere About the Wisconsin Poverty Measure: 2009-2012 and Its Goals Develop a more comprehensive measure of poverty that reflects federal and state programs aimed at the poor during the recession, especially noncash programs and refundable tax credits (next slide) Inform the Wisconsin public and its policy makers about the effects of federal and state policies, including the ARRA, on poverty and economic well-being Tailor this measure to the policies & priorities of Wisconsin citizens, nonprofits and policy makers Provide a transparent, straightforward model for other states and localities to emulate How Programs to Help Poor in the US (and Wisconsin) Have Changed, 1970-2010 Annual Expenditures, Means-Tested Programs (Billions of 2010 Dollars) A Look Forward : What Do We Find? • Poverty rates in Wisconsin under the Wisconsin Poverty Measure were lower than the official measure rates, and fell by a significant amount from 2009-2010 • The recession-plagued economy drove own Market Income poverty rates higher in Wisconsin in 2009 and 2010 • But the safety net worked very well to protect Wisconsin's low income people from poverty in 2009,and even better in 2010 Two Methods of Poverty Measurement: An Overview Official Measure Wisconsin Poverty Measure Official poverty line Threshold (Economic need) Resources NAS-like Poverty Line Basic expenses food, clothing, Developed in 1960s, based shelter, utilities averaged over on food costs and expected three years ( next slide) share for food budget, since that time adjusted for prices Adjusted for Wisconsin cost of only living, housing tenure, & medical expenses More Family Resources Cash income (pre-tax) Cash income as in left panel: but including cash government benefits +/- Taxes & tax credits + Non-cash benefits (inc. Food like social security , Stamps) workers comp., and - Work expenses (inc. childcare) unemployment ins. Family considered Census “family” unit Expanded Poverty Unit Census family + unmarried partner & foster children; minus college students who do not work The 2009 and 2010 WPM Poverty Lines vs. the Official Poverty Line • The official poverty line( for four person family) was $22,113 in 2010 • The WPM line was $25,919, $3800 higher in 2010,reflecting 3 year avg. expenditures on food, clothing, shelter and utilities • The 2009 WPM was $26,235 –a bit higher than the WPM in 2010 • The WPM fell from 2009-2010 due to lower ( national) avg.expenditures on necessities by low income units in the recession Three Resource Concepts for Three Sets of Poverty Rates • Market Income (MI) based poverty rates – including only own earnings and private investment and retirement incomes • Official Measure (OM) poverty rates- which are based only on cash income only • Wisconsin Poverty Measure (WPM)-which includes the effects of housing costs, child care costs, medical costs as well as taxes, refundable tax credits and noncash benefits like SNAP and public housing Figure 1. Wisconsin Poverty Rates Under Three Measures, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Notes: Market income includes earnings, investment income, private retirement income, child support, and other forms of private income. Both the market-income measure and the WPM are based on the WPM thresholds, definition of family unit, and treatment of work and medical expenses, which differ from the thresholds and methodologies of the official measure, as described in the methods section below. *Means that the difference between 2009 and 2010 was statistically significant. The Trend in Wisconsin Poverty • MI poverty rises as the economy worsens and job losses from the recession begin to cut market incomes , especially earnings • OM poverty rises, counting cash incomes alone ( even when including cash benefits like unemployment insurance, for example) • But WPM poverty falls as refundable tax credits and noncash benefits like SNAP( FoodShare) increase to offset declining earnings amongst the poor Why ? : The Wisconsin Economy, ‘FoodShare’ (SNAP) and tax credits(EITC) The data we use here ( 2010 American Community Survey or ACS ) covers the period January 2009November 2010 as shown below During this period the number of jobs in Wisconsin fell by about 5 percent and stayed there . Benefits from SNAP(‘FoodShare’) rose quickly in Wisconsin in part due to the ( former) Governor Doyle’s poverty task force and active efforts to inform the public of their eligibility FoodShare beneficiaries increased faster in Wisconsin than in the nation as a whole and especially outside of Milwaukee Figure 2. Number of Individuals Employed and Monthly Job Gains/Losses in Wisconsin, 2007–2011 Source: Seasonally adjusted Bureau of Labor Statistics data on total non-farm employment. Notes: The 2010 poverty rate is based on economic conditions from January 2009 through November 2010, because the American Community Survey (ACS) data for each year are collected throughout the calendar year, and include references to income over the previous 12 months, hence, spanning a total of 23 months, as shown in the chart. For reference, the official recession began in December 2007 and ended in June 2009. Figure 3. Changes in SNAP Benefit Caseloads in Wisconsin and the United States, 2007–2010 Source: Data on SNAP participation are from the FoodShare data website of the Wisconsin Department of Health Services. Notes: The number of cases in Wisconsin is shown on the left-hand scale of the y-axis, while that for the United States is on the right-hand scale of the y-axis. “Food Share” Benefits in Wisconsin , and May 2012 Legislative Audit Bureau Report In our simulations, we added about $.76 billion in SNAP to the 2010 ACS, close to LAB 2010 totals. • These totals reflect both the growing WI caseload and the ARRA’s 14 percent increase in benefits effective April, 2009 • The 2012 LAB report says: In FY 2011, 1.1 million persons received $1.1 billion in ‘FoodShare’ benefits in WI, with error rates for benefit denial of eligibles and for benefit overpayments both falling to 2.6 percent and 2.0 percent respectively • http://legis.wisconsin.gov/lab/reports/12-8highlights.htm Refundable Tax credits in Wisconsin with state EITC –an example •• Benefits for workers, subsidy rate as high as 40% up to $20,000 (marrieds), then phased out; expanded in 1980s/1990s • Distributionally, helps those most in the $10K-$30K range • Research: positive effects on LFP of single mothers, zero on men, small negative on hours of married women • Generally taken as a refund and single mothers use to draw down debt EITC and other refundable tax credits in Wisconsin : A summary • The 2009 ARRA increased federal income tax credits by expanding the EITC (new tier for three children) and the refundable Child Tax Credit and by creating the Making Work Pay tax credit. • WI’s state credit was an additional 14 percent of the federal credit in 2009 and 2010. • There was a 21 percent increase in the total amount of EITC credits alone in Wisconsin alone (from $643 million in 2008 to $780 million in 2009 ). • According to our tax calculations using ACS and state administrative data, the total amount of all tax refunds in Wisconsin, both federal and state, increased by 39 percent from $.92 billion to $1.28 billion ( between 2008 and 2009), and remained at about $1.26 in 2010. • • • • More Results: Level and Trend (2008-2010) in Poverty for Vulnerable Groups Poverty in Wisconsin was lower for children and a bit higher for elders than the OM Child poverty in Wisconsin is still above average but very close to the overall poverty rate in this state The trends show that child poverty fell in Wisconsin despite decreases in parents market incomes, especially earnings Elderly poverty rates were flat and stayed at just under 10 percent Figure 4. Poverty in Wisconsin in 2010 Overall and for Two Vulnerable Groups Source: IRP tabulations using 2010 American Community Survey data. Note: Market income includes earnings, investment income, private retirement income, child support, and other forms of private income. Both the market-income measure and the WPM are based on the WPM thresholds, definition of family unit, and treatment of work and medical expenses, which differ from the thresholds and methodologies of the official measure, as described in the methods section above. Figure 5. Child Poverty Rates in Wisconsin under Different Poverty Measures, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Notes: * = The difference between 2009 and 2010 was statistically significant. Figure 6. Elderly Poverty Rates in Wisconsin under Different Poverty Measures, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Notes: The change between 2009 and 2010 was not statistically significant under either measure. What Drove Overall and Child Poverty Rates Down ? Four policy levers that affected WI poverty: 1. Refundable tax credits like the EITC (federal and state) and child tax credits 2. Noncash benefits like SNAP (FoodShare) public housing, LIHEAP 3. Work related expenses like child care, affected by CARES, and commuting costs 4. Out of pocket health care costs , affected by BadgerCare Figure 7. Effects of Taxes, Public Benefits, and Expenses on Overall Poverty in Wisconsin, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Note: SNAP = Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Figure 8. Effects of Taxes, Public Benefits, and Expenses on Child Poverty in Wisconsin, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Note: SNAP = Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Figure 9. Effects of Taxes, Public Benefits, and Expenses on Elderly Poverty in Wisconsin, 2008–2010 Source: IRP tabulations using 2008–2010 American Community Survey data. Note: SNAP = Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Poverty Within Wisconsin's Borders ACS big enough to accurately show poverty in areas of 100,00o persons within the state Poverty varied across counties within the state with two areas having significantly higher poverty rates (Chippewa/Eau Claire and Milwaukee) and many areas having significantly below state average rates (for instance, the northern Milwaukee suburbs Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington) But still within Milwaukee county, poverty rates varied from 5 to 36 percent! Map 1. Wisconsin Counties and Multicounty Areas with 2010 WPM Poverty Rates Above or Below the State Rate of 10.3 Percent Source: IRP tabulations using 2010 American Community Survey data. Notes: WPM = Wisconsin Poverty Measure. Map 2. 2010 WPM Poverty Rates within Milwaukee County by PUMA* Source: IRP tabulations using 2010 American Community Survey data. Note: The state poverty rate calculated with the WPM in 2010 was 10.3%. All differences between the regional estimates and the state average as examined here were statistically significant. *Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs) are predefined areas designated by the U.S. Census Bureau that have 100,000 or more residents. Our Conclusion: the Safety Net is Working in Wisconsin • In times of need, a safety net that enhances low earnings for families with children, puts food on the table, and encourages self-reliance can make a big difference in combating poverty • All Wisconsinites should be proud of this outcome • The recession surely had substantial negative effects on housing, jobs, debt and incomes of the “middle class”, but the poor were protected • Next year, with some sponsorship, we hope to show that poverty fell because of increased market incomes, as good jobs paying decent wages are the real solution to poverty Anti-Poverty Program Summary and Outlook • The WI economy worsened in 2009-2010 and has stayed in bad shape though 2011 • SNAP(FoodShare) benefits and refundable tax credits rose to met the challenge • In 2011 benefits increased again (SNAP) or remained very high( refundable tax credits) • 2011 numbers will reflect a decrease in the WI state EITC from 14 to 11 percent, the elimination of the making work pay credit, and also the 2011 and 2012 payroll tax reduction of 2.0 percent for all workers Other Avenues to Explore • Racial and ethnic dimensions of poverty in Wisconsin (and within/around Milwaukee) • Effects of the recession on the near poor and the lower middle class, those between 1.0 and 2.0 times the poverty line where 39 percent of children are located nationwide (http://www.census.gov/hhes/povmeas/methodology/supplem ental/research/SEHSD2012-18.pdf ) • Simulate the effects of budget cuts likely to take place for SNAP and refundable tax credits in 2013 An Important Note on Poverty Thresholds: Timing Matters • Semi-relative poverty thresholds like the NAS Wisconsin line can actually fall in bad times • Longer time periods (e.g. a 5 year threshold such as with the national SPM ) would mean higher semi-relative thresholds over the 2008-2010 period, but may fall when the bad time years (2009-2011) are added on and the good times years (2006-2008) are dropped in the coming years • Using an ‘anchored’ poverty line - taking the WPM WI line for 2008, and increasing it by prices only to 2010 - means a higher WI poverty threshold (rising by 1.3 %) and a fall of only .2 percent in the 2010 WI poverty rate • But even with the anchored line, WI child poverty fell by 2.0 percentage points in 2010 Where to find the report? Online at: http://www.irp.wisc.edu/research/WisconsinPoverty /pdfs/WIPovSafetyNet_Apr2012.pdf With additional information and longer methodological and technical reports on WPR at: http://www.irp.wisc.edu/research/wipoverty.htm Also of interest, an IRP Fast Focus ‘consumers guide’ to poverty measures: http://www.irp.wisc.edu/publications/fastfocus/pd fs/FF14-2012.pdf Acknowledgements • The Wisconsin Poverty Measure Team: Yiyoon Chung, Julia Isaacs, Timothy Smeeding, and Katherine Thornton • Funding from U.S. HHS (ASPE) and Census Bureau , but now expired/extinguished/done • Invaluable assistance from others: -Input from stakeholders in Wisconsin -National, state and local experts on poverty -Use of state administrative data housed at IRP to allocate full noncash benefits and tax credits Lunch “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 39 Poverty In Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett City of Milwaukee “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 40 Break “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 41 Poverty in the African American Community in Milwaukee: Time, Place and Race Does Matter Pat McManus President/CEO, Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 42 Community Advocates Poverty Symposium Poverty in the African American Community In Milwaukee: Time, Place and Race Matter Patricia McManus, PhD, RN, GCNPM October 11, 2012 Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Life Course Theory • The study of people's lives, structural contexts, and social change. In particular, it directs attention to the powerful connection between individual lives and the historical and socioeconomic context in which these lives unfold. • The life course perspective elaborates the importance of time, context, process, and meaning on human development and family life • The family is perceived as a micro social group within a macro social context—a "collection of individuals with shared history who interact within ever-changing social contexts across ever increasing time and space" (Bengston and Allen 1993, p. 470). Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Life Course Theory • Life course theory, more commonly termed the life course perspective, refers to a multidisciplinary paradigm for the study of people's lives, structural contexts, and social change. • This approach encompasses ideas and observations from an array of disciplines, notably history, sociology, demography, developmental psychology, biology, and economics. • In particular, it directs attention to the powerful connection between individual lives and the historical and socioeconomic context in which these lives unfold. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Life Course Theory • As a concept, a life course is defined as "a sequence of socially defined events and roles that the individual enacts over time" (Giele and Elder 1998, p. 22). • These events and roles do not necessarily proceed in a given sequence, but rather constitute the sum total of the person's actual experience. • Thus the concept of life course implies age-differentiated social phenomena distinct from uniform life-cycle stages and the life span. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Life Course Theory • Life span refers to duration of life and characteristics that are closely related to age but that vary little across time and place. • In contrast, the life course perspective elaborates the importance of time, context, process, and meaning on human development and family life (Bengtson and Allen 1993). The family is perceived as a micro social group within a macro social context—a "collection of individuals with shared history who interact within ever-changing social contexts across ever increasing time and space" (Bengston and Allen 1993, p. 470). Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Life Course Principles • • • • • • Social historical and geographical location Timing of lives Heterogeneity or variability Linked lives and social ties to others Human agency and personal control and How the past shapes the future. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Human Agency and Personal Control • According to life course perspective, individuals are active agents who not only mediate the effect of social structure, but also make decisions and set goals that shape social structure. • Individuals are assumed to have the capacity to engage in planful competence, which refers to thoughtful, proactive, and self-controlled processes that underlie one’s choices about institutional involvements and social relationships. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Human Agency and Personal Control • However, it should be recognized that the ability to make specific choices depends on opportunities and constraints. • The concept of control cycles suggest that families and individuals modify their expectations and behavior in response to changes in either needs or resources. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. How the Past Shapes the Future • Early life course decisions, opportunities, and conditions affect later outcomes. • The past has the potential to shape the present, and the future. This can occur at various levels. Ie cohort, or individual/family. (depression, civil rights, feminist, etc) • The timing and conditions of events ,ie dropping out of school, witnessing domestic abuse, job loss, can set up a chain reaction of experiences, reproduction of poverty, cycle of family violence, etc. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. How the Past Shapes the Future • The past, therefore, can significantly affect later life outcomes such as SES, mental health, physical functioning, and marital patterns. • This long term view, with its recognition of cumulative advantage or disadvantage, is particularly valuable for understanding social inequality in later life and creating social policy and programs Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. What is Race? Is not a biological construct that reflects innate differences, But a social construct that precisely captures the impacts of racism. Statements From Race: the power of an illusion • Race has no genetic basis. Not one characteristic, trait or even gene distinguishes all the member of one so –called race from all the members of another so-called race. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Statements From Race: the power of an illusion • Race and freedom evolved together in the United States. The idea of race helped rationalize why some people could be denied the rights and freedom that others took for granted. • Race justified social inequalities as natural. As the race idea evolved, white superiority became “common sense” in the US. • It helped justify slavery, Indian conquest, the exclusion of Asian immigrants, and the taking of Mexican lands in spite of our belief in democracy and freedom. • Racial practices were institutionalized within US government, laws, and society. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. AFRICAN AMERICAN CITIZENSHIP STATUS & WEALTH ACCUMULATION FROM 1619 TO 2011 TIME SPAN 16191865 18651965 19652011 TOTAL CITIZENSHIP STATUS -YRS 246 years 100 years 46 years 392 years Experience accounts for this proportion of time in US 63% 26% 12% 100% STATUS Chattel slavery Virtually no citizenship rights De jure-South De facto-North Most citizenship rights: USA struggles to transition from segregation & discrimination to integration of AA “Struggle” WEALTH & ECONOMIC SYSTEM EXPERIENCE Served as part of the economic system, not able to participate as someone who could accumulate wealth. Dred Scott Decision, Black Laws. “Must be careful not to give rights to the Blacks that will impede the progress of whites”. Development of small businesses in segregated communities Plessy v Ferguson Separate but (equal) Jim Crow Laws Integration of many Black communities resulted in the loss of many black businesses. Loss of middle class manufacturing jobs. Left out of high tech/ high information environment WEALTH DISPARITIES/ INEQUITIES Source: Adapted from Byrd, WM, Clayton, LA. An American Health Dilemma, Volume 1, A Medical History of African Americans and the Problem of Race: Beginnings to 1900, New York, NY: Routledge. 2000. Research Study Identifying Resiliency Characteristics in African American Families designed to Prevent Youth Violence Ronald Edari, PhD. Associate Professor UWM, School of Sociology And Patricia McManus, PhD., RN President/CEO Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. April, 1995 Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Resiliency An asset-based approach which explore factors associated with positive outcomes Does not ignore risk factors. Includes values, beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors Results in health maintenance, well-being, and thriving despite life’s difficulties and stresses. Analysis of the context and relationships among individuals, families, communities. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Resiliency in African American Families • There has been a great deal of time, energy and resources utilized in looking at “distressed families and neighborhoods”, usually from a deficit perspective. Resiliency in African American Families • Recommendations for improvement has hinged on the belief that these families had nothing to offer internally, and required external intervention in order to mitigate the impact of negative factors in their neighborhoods or households. Resiliency in African American Families Research Design • This study employed an inductive approach to uncover factors that are associated with resiliency in African American families residing in high risk inner city communities. • In terms of the logic of scientific investigation, the study falls in the context of discovery, rather than hypothesis testing. • The main objective was to find out how families coped with the many adversities that placed members at a significant risk of experiencing negative life events such as interpersonal violence. Resiliency in African American Families Family Resiliency Defined • Those values, beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors of inner city families which support their children in promoting healthy lifestyles. Resiliency in African American Families Research Question • What resiliency characteristics of inner city families protect and/or support youth from engaging in violent behaviors Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Resiliency In African American Families • • • • Unit of analysis- families not individuals 37 African American families were interviewed Mean yearly income was $7,600/household 75% single parent households Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. RESILIENCY IN AFRICAN AMERICAN FAMILIES Research Definitions of resiliency: 1. The ability to resist the pressures of negative forces. (Primary Prevention) 2. The ability to cope positively with adversity (Secondary Prevention) Resiliency In African American Families Findings • Male spouses/partners seem to add a positive dimension to the family’s ability to cope with adversity. However, lack of a male in the home did not automatically produce a negative dimension Recommendations • Policy directives should be aimed at supporting positive male presence in homes with children. • Instead of concentrating on jobs for youth, there should be more emphasis on findings jobs for their parents, especially the males. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • Education, employment and income are factors that add to the family’s resiliency. (Resources were used beyond the walls of a single household) Recommendations • Adult basic education should be available to parents and other adults who interact with children. • Job training and placement should include an internship period for those parents who have been out of the workforce for an extended period of time. • Family sustainable income should be established to complement wages which fall below a certain minimum. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • The social support network of both resilient and non-resilient families consisted mostly of their relatives. • In terms of locus of control, the non-resilient families were more likely to feel powerless, helpless, inept, and interact less with persons outside of their kin. • Non resilient families tended to go to social service agencies first rather than their families for support. Recommendation Social service and health agencies need to incorporate information concerning the assets of their relatives and who role can they play in enhancing the resilient of this family for long term outcomes. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • Both groups identified themselves as spiritual, but the resilient families tended to attend church with a greater frequency. Recommendations Encourage neighborhood churches to participate in outreach and support of families in the immediate areas, whether they attend their church or not. Encourage religious organizations to develop adult educational and job training programs in their facilities. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • In terms of residential mobility, the resilient families had much greater frequencies of mobility than the non-resilient families. Recommendations Local governments must recognize the needs of neighborhoods in which the population density high and provide better sanitation and safety in order to stabilize families and, thereby, the neighborhood itself. Since non-resilient families tend to stay longer in neighborhoods, establishing resources that focus on their children would provide the vital linkages that would reduce loneliness and social isolation. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • An overwhelming number of the resilient families owned a automobile, and this would seem to have enhanced the wellbeing of their family members. Recommendations Advocate for increasing transit access to jobs in surrounding suburbs where the jobs exist and will be increasing in the next decade. Advocate for safety in the transit system. Support more jobs in the inner city that residents can walk to. Support neighborhood schools to allow parents to interact more readily in their children’s learning environment. Resiliency in African American Families Findings • Both groups associated being a good parent with being firm with children. Recommendation Work with families to understand the role of stress ( both personal and systemic) affects how they parent, including discipline. Resources should be allocated to provide Afrocentric parenting classes for families in need. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. African American Resiliency Assumptions • The African American community has problems. The community is not the problem. • There are African American families living in distressed communities that are not only able to “survive”, but to “thrive” and provide “Nurturing environments” for their families. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. RESILIENCY IN AFRICAN AMERICAN FAMILIES Summary • A continuum of Resiliency - If family resiliency is defined in terms of the ability to cope positively with adversity or to resist the pressures of negative forces. It is evident that it is not an “all-or-none” attribute. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. RESILIENCY IN AFRICAN AMERICAN FAMILIES Summary • Rather, resiliency should be viewed as a continuum along which families can be ordered, depending on the extent to which they need help. Black Health Coalition of Wisconsin, Inc. Break “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 76 Pathways to Ending Poverty Conor Williams, Economic Policy Analyst, Community Advocates Public Policy Institute “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 77 Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin David Riemer, Senior Fellow Conor Williams, Economic Policy Analyst Michael Bare, Research and Program Coordinator Community Advocates Public Policy Institute Poverty reduction analysis provided by The Urban Institute Funded by: Greater Milwaukee Foundation, Charles R. O’Malley Trust, Lynn and Elizabeth Adelman, Richard and Barbara Weiss, Annie E. Casey Foundation, Ford Foundation David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Pathways to Ending Poverty Government’s Current Role Poverty BEFORE v. AFTER Government Economic Security Programs: All Poor Persons: Wisconsin in 2008 60.0% 50.3% 50.0% Poverty Rate 40.0% 30.0% 21.5% 21.3% 20.0% 13.6% 11.2% 15.4% 10.5% 10.4% 10.0% 0.0% All Persons Children (<18) Adults (18-64) Seniors (65+) BEFORE Government Programs: IRP Market-Income-Only Poverty Rate AFTER Government Programs: IRP Disposable Income Poverty Rate David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Source: Institute for Research on Poverty (IRP), University of WisconsinMadison 79 Poverty Measure: Official v. SPM Official Poverty Definition Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) Resources Resources Cash Income, composed of: Wages, salaries, and self-employment income Interest, dividends, rent, trusts Social Security & Railroad Retirement Pensions Disability benefits Unemployment compensation Child support received Veterans benefits Educational assistance (grants) Supplemental Security Income Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Other cash public assistance Cash Income—Same as components shown for “official” measure + Food Stamps/SNAP + WIC + Housing subsidies + LIHEAP + Federal EITC + State EITC + State tax credits (Homestead Credit, etc.) - Payroll taxes - Federal income taxes - State income taxes - Child care expenses - Other work expenses Note: School lunch and child support payments are omitted. David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 80 Poverty Measure: Official v. SPM Official Poverty Definition Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) Thresholds Thresholds National thresholds vary by age (less than 65 and 65+) and number of children and adults. The original thresholds were based on the share of income spent on food under an “Economy Food Plan” developed from a 1955 expenditure survey, multiplied by three since food in 1955 accounted for one-third of total household spending. The thresholds are adjusted annually for price changes using the Consumer Price Index. Thresholds vary by number of children and adults and by housing status (rents, owns with mortgage, or owns without mortgage), and reflect the 33rd percentile of expenditures by families with two children on a basic set of goods (food, clothing, shelter, utilities), plus 20% more, based on five years of Consumer Expenditure Survey data. Geographic adjustments are applied to the housing portion of the threshold. We also adjust the threshold to include medical out-of-pocket expenses (MOOP), which vary by type of health insurance, health status, and elderly/nonelderly status. David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 81 Sample Poverty Thresholds: WI: 2008 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 82 2008 Poverty Measure: Official v. SPM Number Poor % Poor Official 528,000 9.7% David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Number Poor % Poor SPM 438,000 8.0% 83 Poverty Measure: Official v. SPM Children Under 18 Number Poor % Poor Adults 18-64 Official 166,000 12.7% SPM 101,000 7.8% Number Poor % Poor Official 314,000 9.1% SPM 273,000 7.9% Number Poor % Poor Official 48,000 6.8% SPM 64,000 9.1% Seniors Over 65 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 84 Wisconsin Poverty and Current Policies FoodShare Age and Retirement (65 + older) NOT in Labor Market SSI Disability Adults Social Security SSDI Approx. 120,000 335,000 Unemployed Full-Time Wisconsin’s Poor 435,000 IN Labor Market Unemployed Part-Time and Working Part-Time Approx. 215,000 Working Full-Time Unemployment Insurance Minimum Wage Earned Income Supplements BadgerCare Children 100,000 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Early Childhood Education K12 Education 85 The Job Shortage: WI David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 86 New Policies to Reduce Poverty FoodShare Age and Retirement (65 + older) NOT in Labor Market SSI Disability Adults Social Security SSDI Approx. 120,000 Transitional Jobs 335,000 Unemployed Full-Time IN Labor Market Wisconsin’s Poor 435,000 Senior and Disability Income Tax Credit Approx. 215,000 Unemployed Part-Time and Working Part-Time Working Full-Time Unemployment Insurance Minimum Wage Earned Income Supplements Increase & Index Earnings Supplement Reform BadgerCare Children 100,000 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Early Childhood Education K12 Education 87 “Policy Package” Four Components: 1. 2. 3. 4. Senior and Disability Income Tax Credit Transitional Jobs Program Minimum Wage Increase Earning Supplement Reform David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 88 “Policy Package” Part 1 Senior and Disability Income Tax Credit: Eligibility Criteria: • Age 18 or older, and not a dependent of another taxpayer • Income from Social Security, SSDI, or SSI Credit: At least $0 Equals = SPM poverty line for Waukesha residents who are elderly, own home, have a mortgage, in fair/poor health, with public insurance + $1 - Sum of Social Security + SSDI + SSI + SNAP + Federal AGI (if positive) David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 89 Results: Senior/Disability Credit 10% 9.13% 9% 8% SPM Poverty Rate 7% 7.96% 7.83% 7.67% 6.91% 6.55% 6.99% 6% 5% 3.71% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% All Persons Under 18 Baseline David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 18-64 65 and Over Senior and Disability Tax Credit 90 “Policy Package” Part 2 Transitional Jobs (TJ) Program: Eligibility Criteria: • Age 18-64 and not incarcerated • Not receiving Social Security, SSDI, or SSI • Unemployed or employed no more than 32 hours per week for at least 4 consecutive weeks Program: • Offer opportunity to work in a TJ for up to 30 weeks: - At least 8 hours of TJ work per week; but - Total work hours (TJ + non-TJ) <= 40 hours/week • After initial 30 weeks of TJ work and a 4 week hiatus to seek a regular job, the worker may be eligible for an additional TJ slot. David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 91 Wisconsin’s Transitional Jobs Program David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 92 Support for a Robust Transitional Jobs Program: David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 93 Results: Transitional Jobs 10% 9.13% 9% 8% 7% 7.96% 8.84% 7.83% 7.67% 6.95% 6.88% SPM Poverty Rate 6.14% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% All Persons Under 18 Baseline David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 18-64 65 and Over Transitional Jobs (Low Take-up) 94 “Policy Package” Part 3 Minimum Wage Increase: Raise the minimum wage to $8 per hour, indexed for inflation: $8.00 $6.50 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 95 Results: Higher Minimum Wage 10% 9.13% 9.13% 8.99% 9% 8% 7.96% 7.83% 7.80% 7.67% 7.60% 7.44% 7.83% 7.66% 7.69% SPM Poverty Rate 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% All Persons Baseline Under 18 Minimum Wage Increase David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 18-64 65 and Over Minimum Wage Increase with Employment Effects 96 “Policy Package” Part 4 Earnings Supplement Reform: 3 new federal tax credits to replace the federal EITC, federal Additional Child Tax Credit, and the federal Child Tax Credit: 1. Working Americans Tax Credit 2. Working Parents Tax Credit 3. Child Tax Credit David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 97 “Policy Package” Part 4: Earnings Supplement Reform 1. Working Americans Tax Credit: Eligibility Criteria: • Age >=18, non-dependent, has earnings (both head and spouse may claim) Credit: = 50% of individual earnings • Capped at $3,500 per individual • 13% phase out starting at $7,000 • Additional 5% phase out if tax unit’s AGI > $25,000 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 98 “Policy Package” Part 4: Earnings Supplement Reform Each Worker: Working Americans Tax Credit $4,000 $3,500 Credit Amount $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $$1 $6 $11 $16 $21 $26 $31 $36 $41 $46 $51 $56 Annual Earnings (thousands of dollars) 2008 EITC David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Working Americans Tax Credit 99 “Policy Package” Part 4: Earnings Supplement Reform 2. Working Parents Tax Credit: Eligibility Criteria: • Age >=18, non-dependent, has earnings, and has dependent children Credit: = 40% of earnings for 1 child, 50% for >1 child • Capped at $4,000 (1 child) or $5,000 (>1 child) per family • 10% phase out starting at $10,000 Switches to higher 23% phase out at $34,000 in household earnings (approximately when Working American Tax Credit has phased out) David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 100 “Policy Package” Part 4: Earnings Supplement Reform Worker with One Dependent Child: Working Americans Tax Credit + Working Parents Tax Credit: $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 Credit Amount $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $$1 $6 $11 $16 $21 $26 $31 $36 $41 $46 $51 $56 Annual Earnings (thousands of dollars) 2008 EITC 2011 EITC 2011 EITC Married Working Americans Tax Credit Working Parents Tax Credit David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 101 “Policy Package” Part 4: Earnings Supplement Reform 3. Child Tax Credit Eligibility Criteria: • Have qualifying children (as for current child tax credit) Credit: = 15% of earnings above $3,000 Capped at $1,000 per child David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 102 Results: Earnings Supplement Reform 10% 9.13% 9% 8% SPM Poverty Rate 7% 7.96% 6.04% 6% 8.56% 7.83% 7.67% 6.37% 8.84% 6.13% 5.68% 5.87% 5.14% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% All Persons Baseline Under 18 Earnings Supplement Reform David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 18-64 65 and Over Earnings Supplement Reform with Employment Effects 103 What’s the big picture for Wisconsin? David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 104 Results: Combined Package: Poverty Rate for All Persons 8.0% 8% 7% SPM Poverty Rate 6% 5% 4% 3.4% 3% 2% 1.5% 1% 0% Baseline Combined Package: Low TJ Take-Up David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Full Participation 105 Results: Combined Package: Children, Adults and Seniors 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% SPM Poverty Rate 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 3.6% 4.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 1.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0% Children Under 18 Baseline Adults 18 to 64 Combined Package: Low TJ Take-Up David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Adults 65 and Over Full Participation 106 Results: Combined Package: Poverty Rate By Race 20.0% 18.5% 18.0% 15.7% 15.3% 16.0% SPM Poverty Rate 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 7.3% 8.0% 6.5% 4.0% 2.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.0% White, non-Hispanic Baseline Black, non-Hispanic Low TJ Take-Up David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Hispanic Other, non-Hispanic Full Participation in Anti-poverty Programs 107 Results: Combined Package: Number in Poverty 866,000 900,000 800,000 750,000 705,000 SPM Number of Persons 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 304,000 300,000 200,000 131,000 100,000 129,000 53,000 66,000 19,000 0 Deep Poverty (Below 50%) Baseline 50% to 100% of Poverty Combined Package: Low TJ Take-Up David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 100% to 150% of Poverty Full Participation 108 Results: Combined Package: Impact on Employment 116,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 79,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Combined Package--Low TJ Take-Up Rate David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” Combined Package--Full TJ Take-Up Rate 109 Net Cost of Policy Package Net Cost of Implementing Policy Package in WI: Low* TJ take-up rate = $3.3 Billion Full** TJ take-up rate = $5.0 Billion * Assumes 50% of persons below poverty line who are fully unemployed take up a TJ *** Assumes almost all persons below poverty line who are fully unemployed take up a TJ and assumes full take-up of other programs for low-income individuals/families, e.g., Food Stamps David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 110 Cost in Perspective (Percent of Other Spending) 9.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.8% 4.0% 3.1% 3.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% % of WI Gross Domestic Product % of WI Personal Income 4.3% 3.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0% Low TJ Take-Up David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” % of Social Security % of All Government % of Federal Earnings Spending Spending (incl. Direct Payments) High TJ Take-Up Full Participation 111 Conclusion 1. Government plays an essential role in reducing U.S. poverty. 2. Without existing government programs, poverty would be nearly twice as bad, and five times worse for seniors. 3. Due to government policies, poverty is “only” 10%-15%. 4. Our goal should be to reduce poverty by half… to below 5%. 5. Only new government action—primarily at the federal level— can dramatically lower poverty in the future. David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 112 Conclusion 6. The four-part “policy package” demonstrates how poverty can be reduced by more than 50% to a level well under 5%. 7. No other proposal exists that is supported by evidence. 8. We should proceed to: • Communicate what will work to dramatically reduce poverty; • Organize state and national movements to achieve this goal; and • Translate the elements of the “policy package” into specific state and federal legislative action. David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 113 Thank You! Please feel free to contact us: Community Advocates Public Policy Institute 728 North James Lovell Street, Milwaukee, WI 53233 David Riemer, Senior Fellow driemermil@yahoo.com, 414.270.2943 Conor Williams, Economic Policy Analyst Conor.Williams@stonedimensions.com, 414.270.2954 Michael Bare, Research and Program Coordinator mbare@communityadvocates.net, 414.270.2976 David Riemer, Conor Williams and Michael Bare “Reducing Poverty in Wisconsin” 114 Wrap-Up Joe Volk CEO, Community Advocates, Inc. “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 115 Thank you for attending! Please feel free to contact us: Community Advocates Public Policy Institute 728 North James Lovell Street, Milwaukee, WI 53233 Email: ppi@communityadvocates.net Phone: 414.270.2970 “Bringing Leaders Together to Inspire Change” 116