Hedge Funds Generally, a hedge fund is a lightly regulated private investment fund often characterized by unconventional investment strategies and often making use of legal structures (sometimes offshore) to mitigate the effects of local regulation and tax regimes. In contrast to regular investment funds, which are usually limited to only being able to "go long" (buy) instruments such as bonds, equities or money market instruments, hedge funds also have the ability to "short" (sell) instruments which they believe will fall in price. In this way, hedge funds are able to create more complex investment structures which can, for example, profit in times of market volatility, or even in a falling market. They are primarily organized as limited partnerships, and previously were often simply called "limited partnerships" and were grouped with other similar partnerships such as those that invested in oil development. Hedge funds are normally open to institutional or otherwise accredited investors. Critically appraise hedge funds? Understanding of? X2 For the most part, hedge funds (unlike mutual funds) are unregulated because they cater to sophisticated investors. In the U.S., laws require that the majority of investors in the fund be accredited. That is, they must earn a minimum amount of money annually and have a net worth of more than $1 million, along with a significant amount of investment knowledge. You can think of hedge funds as mutual funds for the super rich. They are similar to mutual funds in that investments are pooled and professionally managed, but differ in that the fund has far more flexibility in its investment strategies. It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but the goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment. The name is mostly historical, as the first hedge funds tried to hedge against the downside risk of a bear market by shorting the market (mutual funds generally can't enter into short positions as one of their primary goals). Nowadays, hedge funds use dozens of different strategies, so it isn't accurate to say that hedge funds just "hedge risk". In fact, because hedge fund managers make speculative investments, these funds can carry more risk than the overall market. Hedge funds embrace a wide variety of skills and strategies, generally grouped under the four following headings: Long/short equity - they aim to profit from superior research and stock picking skills by buying the best ideas and reducing the resulting stock market exposure by shorting (selling stocks they do not own) those they believe will perform less well. Relative value - typically they use computer systems to calculate the "fair" value of one asset relative to another and then shorting the more expensive asset and buying the cheaper one. Event-driven - they seek investment opportunities surrounding corporate events, for example, investing in bankrupt or merging companies. Trading strategies - for example, taking positions on the direction of markets, currencies and commodities. So, hedge fund managers are essentially a group of active investment managers who invest in a variety of asset classes, with the licence to invest in a very flexible way. Despite having a large concentration of investment expertise, hedge funds can still lose money for themselves and their clients, or provide just rather disappointing returns, so choosing the right ones is key. As noted earlier, the return from a given hedge fund manager is largely driven by the manager's ability or skill. Also, many hedge funds restrict how much money they will take on so they can sensibly manage the funds they already have, and it is not uncommon for the most skilled (and hence desirable) managers to be closed to new investors. They can charge very high fees, which can be high enough to erode any out-performance achieved by the manager, so due care is advised when selecting them. Most hedge funds are domiciled offshore for tax reasons. But if the managements who actually run the business are based in the UK then they should be subject to full regulation by the Financial Services Authority. Advantages Hedge Funds Reduce Your Risk Potential to reduce overall portfolio risk through an additional asset class Hedge funds represent a different way of managing money with generally low correlations to equity and debt investments. Adding them to a portfolio of stocks and bonds is likely to reduce overall portfolio risk. Potential to provide returns in both up and down markets Hedge funds are designed for the potential to achieve the positive returns in all market environments. Potential for superior risk-adjusted performance Specialized managers are focused on very precise areas of expertise Greater freedom and flexibility to take advanatage of investment opportunities than mutual fund managers Broader range of financial instruments at disposal Focused on absolute vs. relative performance Hedge fund managers are only concerned with generating positive returns, as opposed to benchmarking their performance against an equity index that could end up in a negative postion. Hedge fund managers are paid by performance Hedge fund managers' interests are aligned with those of the investor, often with the managers' own capital invested. Sophisticated solution Recognized by pension funds, banks, insurance companies and sophisticated investors as a way to reduce portfolio volatility and potentially enhance returns. o Many hedge fund strategies have the ability to generate positive returns in both rising and falling equity and bond markets. o Inclusion of hedge funds in a balanced portfolio reduces overall portfolio risk and volatility and increases returns. o Huge variety of hedge fund investment styles - many uncorrelated with each other provides investors with a wide choice of hedge fund strategies to meet their investment objectives. o Hedge funds provide an ideal long-term investment solution, eliminating the need to correctly time entry and exit from markets. o Adding hedge funds to an investment portfolio provides diversification not otherwise available in traditional investing. Or in other words… (1) reduce portfolio volatility risk, (2) enhance portfolio returns in economic environments in which traditional stock and bond investments offer limited opportunities, and (3) participate in a wide variety of new financial products and markets not available in traditional investor products. Disadvantages Only the wealthiest individuals can participate in hedge funds Hedge funds are extremely risky and millions of dollars can be lost in the blink of an eye The performance fee for the investment manager may encourage them to take bigger risks with your money There are very few government regulations overseeing hedge fund investments Investing via the internet • Internet has increased information flow and content. And thus boosted the level of private investors. • Reduction of trading costs (internet) and consolidation of execution only stockbrokers. With the advent of the internet, investors can now enter orders directly online, or even trade with other investors via electronic communication networks (ECN). Some orders entered online are still routed through the broker allowing agents to approve or monitor the trades. This step assists in the protection of both the client and brokerage firm from unlawful or incorrect trades which could affect the client’s portfolio or the broker’s license. Online brokers are most often referred to as discount brokers, due to their lower fees as opposed to full service brokers who also give advice to clients. Junior ISAs Advice on weather a good investment? Available for people under 18 who were born before 1.9.2002 or after 2.1.11 Cash or stocks and shares Maximum input £3,600 per annum Difference with Adult ISA is cannot leave an ISA with one issuer and open a new one with another provider in the next tax year. The account has to be fully transferred and the old account closed. Savers can move money between a junior cash ISA and junior investment ISA freely Index linked from 2018 Money can be taken out at 18 If close ISA cannot open another with another provider until next tax year. Can switch providers eg can move from cash to stocks and shares ISA but if leave cash in stocks and shares ISA it will be taxed. CAT Standards Introduced by government to regulate and attract investors to cash ISAs Charges – no one off charges Access – minimum transaction size < £10 Terms – Interest payable no more than 2% less than bank base rate Children cannot have a junior isa if they are eligible for child trust fund from government. Open to children born between 1.9.02 – 2.1.11 Government put in money when account opened ( either £250 or £500 ) and again when child reached 7. Children eligible for CTFs cannot have a Junior ISA. Annual savings limit now also £3,600 Money can be invested in cash or shares Index –linked from 2013 Money can be taken out at 18 Only the providers can switch money from one provider to another otherwise it counts as a withdrawal. The accounts offer parents a tax-free way to save for children who don't have a Child Trust Fund. Junior ISAs are long-term tax-free savings accounts for children. Your child can have a Junior ISA if they: are under 18 live in the UK do not already have a Child Trust Fund account Each child can have one cash and one ‘stocks and shares’ Junior ISA at any one time. Anybody can put money into a Junior ISA. The total limit for payments into Junior ISAs is £3,600 in each tax year. There will be no tax to pay on any interest or gains. The money in a Junior ISA belongs to the child, but they can’t take the money out until they are 18. They can then decide what they want to do with it. If the child chooses not to take the money out, the Junior ISA will automatically become an ISA. Tax-efficient - proceeds are free of income tax and capital gains tax. Of course, tax advantages depend on individual circumstances and the tax treatment of the Junior ISA may change in the future. Includes an Annual Management Charge of 1.5% Risks Because the money is invested in stocks and shares, its value can go down as well as up - There is a chance that the child may get back less than was invested - Over time, the cost of living will generally rise, reducing the real value of any investment growth. This means that the child may not be able to buy as much in the future with the proceeds of the investment as they could do today - If you decide to cancel and the value of the investment has fallen, the amount returned may be less than the amount invested - If the value of the account falls shortly before the child wants or needs to withdraw the money, it could mean that they do not have enough money to meet their needs - The tax advantages of the Junior ISA may change in the future. If this happens, the potential growth of the account will be reduced Main Market and AIM listings Appraise difference between main market and alternative market listing? The Main Market is London’s flagship market for larger, more established companies, and is home to some of the world’s largest and most well-known companies. AIM is London Stock Exchange’s (the ‘Exchange’s’) market for smaller and growing companies. Launched in 1995, it is now firmly established as a leading growth market with the critical mass to provide firms from a wide range of countries and sectors with access to a diverse set of investors, who genuinely understand the needs of entrepreneurial businesses. AIM serves as a mechanism for companies seeking access to capital to realise their growth and innovation potential and since launch has helped over 3,100 companies raise over £67 billion through new and further capital raisings. AIM plays a vital role in the funding environment for small and medium-sized enterprises as they develop their businesses AIM is a sub-market of the London Stock Exchange, allowing smaller companies to float shares with a more flexible regulatory system than is applicable to the main market. Some companies have since moved on to join the Main Market, although in the last few years, significantly more companies transferred from the Main Market to the AIM (The AIM has significant tax advantages for investors, as well as less regulatory burden for the companies themselves) . New Buy and right-to-buy discount schemes Options A LEGALLY BINDING CONTRACT WHICH IS A RIGHT BUT NOT AN OBLIGATION TO DELIVER / TAKE DELIVERY OF A FIXED QUALITY AND QUANTITY OF AN UNDERLYING ASSET AT A FIXED PRICE AT OR BEFORE A SPECIFIC DATE IN THE FUTURE CALL - RIGHT TO BUY PUT - RIGHT TO SELL if equity price rises then option price rises exercise price falls interest rate rises time to expire rises equity volatility rises For hedging or speculation Blacks scholes – call and put option? X4 BLACK & SCHOLES OPTION VALUATION MODEL Payment of dividend affects the share price and thus the value of the share option Buy a share at the current price are buying ‘cum div’ Share price should fall once dividend is paid and ex div price is cum div - dividend Need to use adjusted share price before using model Find present value of dividend due - use continuous discounting Adjust the share price NB This model is for European options and ignores dividends. The model can be adapted for American options ( such as those traded on LIFFE ) and to include prospective dividends Assumptions of the model 1. Asset price follows a lognormal distribution so that returns are normally distributed 2. Time value of returns is known and directly proportional to the passage of time 3. No transaction costs so that a riskless hedge may continuously be established between the option and the asset at no sunk cost 4. Interest rates are known and constant 5. No early exercise ( European ) 6. No dividends Passive Fund Management Passive management (also called passive investing) is a financial strategy in which an investor (or a fund manager) invests in accordance with a pre-determined strategy that doesn't entail any forecasting (e.g., any use of market timing or stock picking would not qualify as passive management). The idea is to minimize investing fees and to avoid the adverse consequences of failing to correctly anticipate the future. The most popular method is to mimic the performance of an externally specified index. Passive management is most common on the equity market, where index funds track a stock market index, but it is becoming more common in other investment types, including bonds, commodities and hedge funds.[2] The concept of passive management is counterintuitive to many investors.[2] The rationale behind indexing stems from five concepts of financial economics[2]: 1. In the long term, the average investor will have an average before-costs performance equal to the market average. Therefore the average investor will benefit more from reducing investment costs than from trying to beat the average.[3][4] 2. The efficient-market hypothesis postulates that equilibrium market prices fully reflect all available information, or to the extent there is some information not reflected, there is nothing that can be done to exploit that fact. It is widely interpreted as suggesting that it is impossible to systematically "beat the market" through active management,[5] although this is not a correct interpretation of the hypothesis in its weak form. Stronger forms of the hypothesis are controversial, and there is some debatable evidence against it in its weak form too. For further information see behavioural finance. 3. The principal–agent problem: an investor (the principal) who allocates money to a portfolio manager (the agent) must properly give incentives to the manager to run the portfolio in accordance with the investor's risk/return appetite, and must monitor the manager's performance.[6] 4. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and related portfolio separation theorems, which imply that, in equilibrium, all investors will hold a mixture of the market portfolio and a riskless asset. That is, under suitable conditions, a fund indexed to "the market" is the only fund investors need.[2] Investment Selection - Passive Strategies Passive investing presents some obvious advantages that are often publicized by indexing supporters. Low cost - offers an incremental advantage that is both meaningful and certain. An active manager has to add enough value to overcome the cost disadvantage. Reduced uncertainty of decision errors – investors are exposed to market risk simply by being invested. Reaching for returns in excess of those provided by the market brings about the additional risk of selecting the wrong investments. Style consistency – If the appropriate indexes are selected, indexing, at least in theory, allows investors to control their overall allocation. Investors could only do this effectively through successful tactical allocation. There are no guarantees they will succeed. Tax efficiency - Indexing is generally regarded as more tax efficient, though it is mostly the case for larger-cap indexes that are fairly stable and involve less trading. In smaller-cap indexes, where successful stocks grow in size and leave the index, tax liabilities resulting from more frequent rebalancing’s quickly accumulate. • Understanding of the term? • Active - Attempt to achieve portfolio returns more than commensurate with risk, either by forecasting broad market trends or by identifying particular mis-priced sectors of a market or securities in a market. • Passive – Buying a well-diversified portfolio to represent a broad-based market index without attempting to search out mis-priced securities. Passive managers assume: Market does not misprice securities or assets or Market does misprice securities and assets but managers unable to take advantage of mispricing Pensions Difference between defined benefit and defined contribution pension scheme. Why shift away from defined benefit? X4 State pension Male 65 , Female 60 but 65 by 2018 December 2018 – April 2020 66 April 2034 – 36 67 April 2044 – 46 68 1. Basic April 2012/13 max £107.45 pw single person, 2. Additional, based on SERPS (1978) (max. just over £100 ) (State Earnings-Related Pension Scheme). Replaced from April 2002 by State Second Pension ( SP2 ). Earnings related scheme – higher benefits for lower paid Not available to the self-employed The Pensions Act 2007 and the Pensions Act (Northern Ireland) 2008 provide for the abolition of contracting out on a money-purchase (defined-contribution) basis. The aim is to introduce this change in April 2012. Once this takes effect, individuals will no longer be able to contract out of the State Second Pension through: a money-purchase (defined-contribution) occupational pension scheme; or a personal pension or a stakeholder pension. If you are already contracted out through either type of scheme, you will: be able to continue to make your own contributions to the scheme; be able to continue to benefit from any employer contributions to the scheme; but no longer be able to benefit from any rebate of National Insurance contributions Contracting out through an occupational salary-related (defined-benefit) scheme will continue to be allowed, but from 2012 cannot contract out through a money – purchase (defined contribution) occupational scheme, a personal pension or stakeholder pension. If previously contracted out via these will be brought back automatically in to additional State Pension 3. Can contract out of SP2 by personal pension or membership of occupational scheme. Pension can be enhanced by additional Personal Pension Plans (PPPs) or Additional Voluntary Contributions (AVCs), or Free Standing Additional Voluntary Contributions (FSAVCs). Occupational Pension schemes Can take tax free lump sum on retirement Death in service benefits Provision for widow(er) and dependants Defined benefit – benefits related to earnings at retirement and length of service. Maximum benefit 2/3 of final salary (most schemes 80ths . Risk on employer. Defined contribution – benefits linked to fund value, levels of contribution made, and retirement age and investment success. Risk on employee. Minimum funding requirement for defined benefit schemes (value of assets must not be less than value of liabilities ) Executive Pension Plans ( EPPs ) Small self - administered schemes ( SSASs) Self-Invested Personal Pensions ( SIPPS ) Over 100,000 SIPPS Available to employed and self-employed Wide range of investment opportunities Income drawdown ie income can be paid directly from SIPP rather than having to buy an annuity Sliding scale of contributions Eg 46 – 50 can pay 25% of earnings subject to max earnings . From April 10 max personal contribution £255,000 or 1 x salary (whichever is the lower ) Lifetime allowance £1.8m ( pay extra tax if exceeded ) Can invest in: Stocks and Shares Units Trusts ITCs and OEICS Insurance Company funds Commercial property Art, antiques Benefits taken between 50 and 75. Up to 25% cash sum, free of tax maximum benefits lump sum on retirement Employers can "contract-out" of SP2 and replace it with a Personal Pension Plan. (PPP) employee (contracted out) remain in scheme or PPP employee (contracted in) SP2 or PPP employee, no employer scheme SP2 or PPP Personal Pensions self-employed PPP Contribution levels limited to % of Net Relevant Earnings (depending on age) Can be drawn between 50 and 75 Max tax free cash 25% of accumulated fund AVCs and FSAVCs Pay up to % chosen of salary. Used not to be able to take lump sum out of AVC fund but now can take 25% as lump sum. Lifetime allowance 12/13 £1.8m. If exceeded as pension or lump sum extra charges Pensions crisis ‘Time Bomb’ Demographics Complicated and rigid structure of pensions regime Public indifference Equity collapse Greed of fund management Defined benefit schemes a rarity What is government doing ( see below on latest pensions bill ) Proposals from National Association of Pension Funds to replace state pensions with Citizens’ pension Pension fund collective deficits of private sector final salary schemes £175bn in July 2009 In 2007 the 7,800 schemes had surplus of £12bn In spring 2009 823 ( 11% ) in surplus – in March 2008 it was 3,000 End Feb 2012 £222bn in deficit 5,235 in deficit 1,197 in surplus Stock of assets needed to pay all pensions rose by 35% in 2011 to £1.264 trillion Reasons - International credit crunch - Worldwide economic slowdown - Slump in share prices - Poorer returns on bonds - Cost of paying out pensions exceeds assets Woolworths pension deficit before keeled over £147 million. Called on Pension Protection Fund Marks and Spencer closed final salary scheme to new joiners in 2002 Aviva scheme closed etc etc Hutton report Has recommended all public sector final salary schemes reduced to ‘ career average’ Pensions Act 1995 Changes with effect from 1.4.97 Pensions regulator replaced Occupational Pensions Board Compensation scheme ( fraud etc ) Final salary pensions schemes subject to MFR Pension rights considered in divorce settlements New contracting out test Phasing of pension age starts at 2010 Schemes to have third of trustees appointed by members Trustees to appoint an actuary and auditor All schemes to provide equal access and benefits Stakeholder Pensions Available from April 2001 Low charges Available to any UK resident under 75 Meant for people who do not have access to occupational pension or good value personal pension Available from financial services companies No need for employed earnings Low cost – max annual charge 1% Extra services and charges not provided for by law must be optional Contributions of as little as £20 (which can be paid weekly, monthly or at less regular intervals ) Maximum contribution greater of £3,600 and existing personal pension limits but no greater than £3600 Contributions made net of basic rate tax Benefits similar to current personal pensions Cannot draw on it until at least 50 or when retire Employers have to have scheme for 5 or more employees Pension Bill - published on 12.2.04 Part of wider programme of pension reform Better deal for people who choose to draw their state pension later Establishes Pension Protection Fund for members of private sector defined benefit schemes and final salary schemes New compensation scheme – Pension Protection Fund Run by board with chairman and directors Provides compensation if company with defines benefit pension scheme becomes insolvent and pension fund not sufficiently funded 100% for people of pension age 90% for people below that age subject to an overall benefit cap Indexation of pensions Survivor’s benefits PPF board took over responsibilities of Pensions Compensation Board Funded through a levy on private sector defined benefit schemes Three parts to levy: Pension protection Administration Fraud compensation Pensions regulator to be appointed with powers to tackle underfunding Pro-active approach focussing on fraud and mal-administration Given powers to gather, retain and share relevant administration + providing information education and assistance Power to collect, retain and disclose information Pensions simplification from 5.4.06 ( announced March 04 ) Single regime to replace current 8 ones Pension lifetime allowance and pension personal allowance introduced – pension savings of £1.5 million benefit from tax relief. Charge of 25% above that Minimum retirement age from 2010 55 ( is 50 ) Trivial pensions All schemes can take 25% of final value as cash including AVCs and FSAVCs 6.4.06 = A-Day Retirement age raised from 50 to 55 by April 2010 Contributions lower of annual salary or £255,000 Single lifetime allowance of £ 1.8m ( back down to £1.5m by 2012 ) – if pension fund value exceeds this will be taxed on excess at 55% Can take 1% of £1.5m in cash – 25% of which will be tax free ( aged 60 – 75) No need to take an annuity Option of Alternative Secured Income ( can pass any unused income on after death ) Limited period annuity ( lasts for five years then must take out another ) Value Protected Annuity ( lower income but pays unused amounts to heirs ) Annuity protection lump sum benefit Pensions Act 2007 Personal accounts – additional state pension system for employees who cannot join an employer scheme Duty on every employer to provide good quality pensions Automatic enrolment and compulsory employer contributions on existing company employer schemes from 2012. Employees pay 4%, employers 1% and government 1% Idea is to encourage savings from low to moderate earners Government want to reduce income tax relief on pensions to around £30-40,000 ( from £225,000 as now ) Coalition’s intention to repeal annuitisation legislation Auto- enrolment From October 2012 employers will enrol workers into a workplace pension if: Not already in a pension Aged 22 or over Under State Pension Age Earn more than £7,475 per annum Work in the UK Employers will contribute starting from 1% going up to 3% over next few years Minimum to be contributed by employee starts at 2% and will increase to 8% over next few years Percentages apply to ‘qualifying earnings ‘ between 5,035 and £33,540 Performance Measurement however simplistic and ignores timing. Profit and loss on the hedge and the hedge efficiency ratio? And its % and how successful it is? X3 Portfolio Theory By combining shares together can reduce business risk, but never market risk. Only diversify using shares with less than hugh positive positive correlation. Most desireable portfolios producing a higher level of return for a given level of risk are located along the efficient fountier. Sharpe, traynor, differential return and jenson ratios? CAPM vs APT & 3/4FACTOR M? REITS What benefits should derive from this? Outline its main features and evaluate wether should invest? Term Structure of Interest Rates • Implies that the expected rate of inflation determines expected future interest rates • ( 1 + expected future spot interest rate ) = ( 1 + expected future interest rate ) x ( 1+ expected rate of inflation ) • A rising yield curve implies rising future inflation rates • A falling yield curve implies falling inflation • A flat yield curve implies stable inflation • Taxes and transaction costs, however, are practical problems for the theory The Greeks Demonstrate understanding of the Greeks? X2 Understanding of the following terms ;delta, gamma, theta, vega? Describe certain sensitivities of options with regard to movements in the underlying instruments Delta Rate of change in option price for a 1p change in the underlying share price. Measures the sensitivity of an option to share price movements. Useful for creating a portfolio which minimises exposure to share price movements and predicting how premiums will change for a given share price change. Range of 0 to +1/-1 Positive for calls Negative for puts Increases as option moves into-the-money : close to 1 Decreases as option moves out-of-the-money: close to 0 At-the- money: approx 0.5 Changes as time value declines In the money increases as option nears expiry Out of the money decreases as option nears expiry In terms of BSOPM = N(d1) for a call = N(d2) for a put Delta = Change in option price Change in share price Eg Share price falls 1p Put option price rises 0.625p Own 5000 shares Delta = -0.625 = -0.625 1.000 Hedge ratio = 1 = 1.6 0.625 Number of contracts required to hedge position thus 8 1p share price fall on 5,000 shares = -£50 Profit on 8 contracts = 8 x 6.25p = £50 Hedging a long position in stock requires the establishment of a negative delta. Can be done by buying puts or writing calls Gamma Rate of change of the delta in relation to a movement in the underlying share price. Shows how the time exposure of an options position insofar as it indicates how frequently a hedged position may have to be rehedged. Declines for in and out of the money options as expiry approaches Increases for at the money options as expiry approaches Theta Rate of change of an option premium with respect to time. The theta of an option increases as expiry approaches and is greates for at-the-money options Vega/Kappa Rate of change of the option price with respect to the volatility of the underlying share. Positive for calls and puts Greatest for at-the-money options Zero for deep in-or far out-of-the-money options Hedging option sensitivities Gamma and Vega can only be hedged by other option positions Each Greek that is hedged requires at least one additional hedging instrument Hedging positions for Gamma and Vega must be two options positions different from the one being hedged. Can use option positions to hedge Gamma and Vega and take a position in the underlying asset ( or future ) to hedge the Delta. Eg Option Z has a gamma of 0.7 and a Vega of 1.3. You write the option and thus the Gamma is -0.7 and the Vega - 1.3. You decide to hedge option Z with: Option X Gamma 0.8 Vega 1.2 Option Y Gamma 0.5 Vega 1.5 How much of each do you need? X + 0.5Y = 0.7 (1) 1.2X + 1.5Y = 1.3 (2) Solve the simultaneous equation Multiply (1 ) by 3 and subtract (2) Three and Four Factor models 3 factor model = Fama and French 1992 Published in Journal of Financial Economics Five common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds Three stock market factors: Overall market factor Firm size Book- to market equity Two bond factors: Maturity Default risks The five factors seem to explain average returns on stocks and bonds. In this model, as well as being influenced by the general risk premium for shares ( rm – rf ), the average small share is more risky than the average large stock and gives and additional premium SMB. In addition, a share with a high balance sheet ( book ) value per share relative to the market price of share is more risky than that with a low value and is more risky and also offers a further risk premium ( HML ). 4= Mark Cahart 1997 Journal of Finance Common factors in stock returns and investment expenses almost completely explain persistence in equity mutual funds’ mean and risk-adjusted returns. These results do not ‘support the existence of skilled or informed mutual fund managers ‘ ( Cahart ) The research was carried out using monthly returns from 1,892mutual funds between January 1962 and December 1993. His model was the same as Fama’s and French’s with the addition of PR1YRt. This is the equalweighted average of firms with the 30% eleven-month returns lagged one month or one year momentum in stock returns. He found that the returns on the top decile funds are strongly positively correlated with the oneyear momentum factor, while the returns on the bottom decile are strongly negatively correlated with the one year momentum factor. He found that buying last year’s top-decile mutual funds and selling last year’s bottom – decile funds yielded 8% per annum. Differences in the market value and momentum of stocks were 4.6%, expense ratios 0.7% and transaction costs 1% His conclusion for investors was: Avoid funds with persistently poor performance Funds with high returns last year have higher than average expected returns the following year but not thereafter Expense ratios, transaction costs and load fees all have a direct, negative impact on performance. Differences between This vs CAPM, APT? and also the assumption which underpin them Unit and investment trusts are for: • Instant diversification • Monthly savings • Pound cost averaging • Tax reporting eased • Fund handles admin • Many funds available • Liquid • Give it to an active manager to run a separate fund for you • Run by stockbroker • Charges are high Unit Trusts Unit Trusts lets you put your money together with other investors’ to buy a wider range of investments than you would be able to achieve on your own. Unit trusts are open-ended investments; therefore the underlying value of the assets is always directly represented by the total number of units issued multiplied by the unit price less the transaction or management fee charged and any other associated costs. Each fund has a specified investment objective to determine the management aims and limitations. The fund manager runs the trust for profit. The trustees ensure the fund manager keeps to the fund's investment objective and safeguards the trust assets. The unit holders have the rights to the trust assets. The distributors allow the unit holders to transact in the fund manager's unit trusts The registrars are usually engaged by the fund manager and generally act as a middleman between the fund manager and various other stakeholders. Types of Unit Trusts 1. Index-tracker unit trust which follows the performance of a particular stock market – in the UK or abroad – with low management fees. 2. Actively managed unit trust where investments are chosen by professional fund managers who constantly monitor companies, economic conditions and markets. 3. Income unit trust which aims for regular income rather than growth. 4. Multi Manager unit trust where you can aim for growth, income or a balance of both by investing in several funds at the same time through one simple fund-of-funds investment. 5. Our Ethical unit trust which only invests in socially responsible companies. 6. Our Cash unit trust. The cash investment fund is available as a unit trust investment, but not as an ISA. Our Cash fund isn’t a deposit account and your capital isn’t guaranteed. Risk Unit Trusts and Open-Ended Investment Companies (OEICs) are a good way for smaller investors to enjoy the power of big institutional investors, putting their money into a variety of assets that could offset some of the risk. Your money is put into a fund, along with money from other investors. This pooled fund is then invested across many different investments by a fund manager Please remember though that the value of an investment may fluctuate and is therefore not guaranteed. You may not get back the full amount of your original investment. Tax With a Unit Trust or OEIC your money is pooled with other investors' money and can be invested in a range of sectors and assets such as stocks and shares, bonds or property. Dividend income from OEICS and unit trusts invested in shares If your fund is invested in shares then any dividend income that is paid to you (or accumulated within the fund if it is reinvested) carries a 10% tax credit. If you are a basic rate or non taxpayer, there is no further income tax liability. Higher rate taxpayers have a total liability of 32.5% on dividend income and the tax credit reduces this to 22.5%, while the additional rate taxpayers have a total liability of 42.5% reduced to 32.5% after tax credit is applied. Higher rate taxpayer example This is how the tax works for a higher rate taxpayer. o o o o Net dividend is £90. Gross dividend is £100 (includes the 10% tax credit). Less 32.5% (£32.50) higher rate tax on the gross amount of £100 equals a net dividend of £67.50. Tax due is £32.50, less 10% tax credit (£10) equals £22.50. Interest from fixed interest funds Any interest paid out from fixed interest funds (these are funds that invest for example in corporate bonds and gilts, or cash) is treated differently to income from funds invested in shares. Income is paid net of 20% tax. So for example if interest of £100 had been generated, you would receive a net payment of £80. Capital gains tax No capital gains tax is paid on the growth in your money from the investments held within the fund, but when you sell, you may have to pay capital gains tax. Bear in mind that you have a personal capital gains tax allowance that can help you limit any potential tax liability. After 23 June 2010 the rate of tax that applies on any gain over your allowance is either 18% or 28% depending on your taxable income. Accumulated income Accumulated income is interest or dividend payments which are not taken but instead reinvested into your fund. Even though they are reinvested they still count as income and are subject to the same tax rules as for dividend income and interest. Access to Funds You can withdraw your money from a unit trust with us at any time because there’s no minimum holding period. Charges for investment trusts are typically lower than for unit trusts and Oeics, primarily because there is no commission to salesmen. But when it comes to buying a unit trust or Oeic it usually means the investor has to pay an upfront charge of anything up to 5%. Around 3% of that is likely to go to the adviser. Annual charges for unit trusts are typically 1.5% to 2%, of which half a percentage point usually goes as an annual 'trail' commission to the salesmen for ongoing advice - even in cases where the ongoing advice never materialises. However, if you pay your adviser by fees instead of commission this is not an issue. Potential for growth You can invest an unlimited amount in a unit trust, but you won’t get the tax advantages of an ISA. You can invest up to £50,000 online, today. Minimum investment - £500 lump sum or £50 monthly. What's the difference between a unit trust and an OEIC? Although fundamentally they offer the same benefits, there are a few key differences between Unit Trusts and OEICs: Unit Trusts issue units, while OEICs issue shares. Unit Trusts generally have two prices: a bid price at which you sell and an offer price at which you buy. OEICs have one price, called the single price at which you buy and sell. Note: Prudential Unit Trusts have only one unit price. Both Unit Trusts and OEICs are overseen by an independent body. For Unit Trusts this is called the Trustee and for OEICs it is the Depositary. Investment Trusts The easiest way to understand investment trusts is to think of them as a company. This is because that is exactly what they are. Just like any other company, they issue shares to raise money from shareholders and then invest that money. The difference between investment trusts and normal 'trading' companies is that they invest their money in the shares of other companies, rather than in physical assets such as factories or mobile phone networks. Since they are like a company, they are also able to borrow money to invest (which is not allowed for unit trusts or OEICs Investment trusts are often referred to as 'closed-end funds'. Like ordinary companies, they have a set number of shares in existence (although they do occasionally issue more or buy some back). So if you want to buy shares in an investment trust you usually have to buy them from someone who's already got some. You can either buy them through a stockbroker, or through one of the many savings schemes set up by the investment trust companies themselves. In contrast, unit trusts and OEICs are 'open-ended funds' so, as we saw in the previous article, if you want to buy into one they simply create new units with the money you've provided. Split Capital Investment Trusts (Splits) Splits issue different classes of share to give the investor a choice of shares to match their needs. Most Splits have a limited life determined at launch known as the wind-up date. Typically the life of a Split Capital Trust is five to ten years. Every Split Capital Trust will have at least two classes of share: In order of (typical) priority and increasing risk Zero Dividend Preference shares: no dividends, only capital growth at a pre-established redemption price (assuming sufficient assets) Income shares: entitled to most (or all) of the income generated from the assets of a trust until the wind-up date, with some capital protection Annuity Income shares: very high and rising yield, but virtually no capital protection Ordinary Income shares (AKA Income & Residual Capital shares): a high income and a share of the remaining assets of the trust after prior ranking shares Capital shares: entitled most (or all) of the remaining assets after prior ranking share classes have been paid; very high risk The type of share invested in is ranked in a predetermined order of priority, which becomes important when the trust reaches its wind-up date. If the Split has acquired any debt, debentures or loan stock, then this is paid out first, before any shareholders. Next in line to be repaid are Zero Dividend Preference shares, followed by any Income shares and then Capital. Although this order of priority is the most common way shares are paid out at the wind-up date, it may alter slightly from trust to trust. Splits may also issue Packaged Units combining certain classes of share, usually reflecting the share classes in the trust usually in the same ratio. This makes them essentially the same investment as an ordinary share in a conventional Investment Trust.[7][8] Taxation Provided that it is approved by HM Revenue & Customs,[9] an investment trust is taxed in the normal way on its investment income, but its capital gains are not taxed. This avoids the double taxation which would otherwise arise when shareholders sell their shares in the investment trust and are taxed on their gains. An approved investment trust must be resident in the United Kingdom derive most of its income from investments distribute at least 85% of its investment income as dividends (unless prohibited by company law) The company must not hold more than 15% of its investments in any single company (except another investment trust); must not be empowered to distribute capital gains as dividends to shareholders, and must not be a close company. Risk Exposure to the stock market They invest in a number of different companies – diversified risk Investment trusts are riskier than unit trusts because their shares can trade at a premium or discount to the value of the assets they hold, known as the net asset value Access to funds Unlike unit trusts or OEICs, you don’t have to pay commission Instant access to funds Summary Unit Trusts – Authorised by the FSA, managed by the Manager, and the under the supervision of the trustee who holds the assets. Regulated by Trust Deed. Many U/T’s have been converted to OEICs. OEICs – Authorised by the FSA, managed by the Authorised Corporate Director, and under the supervision of the Depositary who holds the assets. The Depositary ensures the Authorised Corporate Director (ACD) acts in accordance with the prospectus and the relevant regulations from the FSA. Investment Trusts – Governed by the Companies Act and the listing rules of the Stock Exchange, as well as subject to Inland Revenue approval. Under the supervision of the directors. pricing Unit trusts – Usually dual priced daily at underlying NAV by the Manager, reflecting the cost including Stamp Duty of buying securities in the cancellation price. May be initial charges – Bid/Offer spread including commissions and charges 5%. OEIC – Single (mid) priced daily by the ACD at underlying NAV. May be subject to a dilution levy to protect the interests of existing investors. Similar charging structure to U/T’s Bid/Offer 5%. Investment Trusts – Daily stock exchange prices available at bid and offer (spread typically1%-2%) through a broker: broker commission and 0.5% stamp duty may be added expense. The price depends on supply and demand for shares and is thus not defined as equal to the underlying NAV. Structure Unit trusts Borrowing restricted to 10% of the value of the fund on a temporary basis. Units are all equal, accumulation and income units are possible. OEIC Borrowing restricted to 10% of the value of the fund on a temporary basis. Different share classes are possible, generally reflecting different lower fee levels for large investments. Accumulation and income shares are possible. Investment Trusts Borrowing governed by the Memorandum and Articles of Association but unlimited in theory and are often long term. Ordinary shares are most common. Split capital trusts have more than one type of share which have different rights set out in the articles of association. Pros and cons Unit trusts & OEICs Asset value The size of the fund will grow or diminish depending on the demand for its shares. The NAV will always reflect the value of the underlying assets. Open-ended funds have to be managed so as to enable assets to be realised as required to meet selling pressure. Charging Structure Generally, OEIC’s and U/T’s AMC’s are +1.25% and front end charges of 5%. Reflect the fact that the manager pays more in advertising, marketing, printing and price publication costs. Higher charges impact on performance returns. Investment Trusts As there are only a fixed number of shares, the market price is usually different from the value of the underlying assets. Market price > NAV = Premium Market Price < NAV = Discount The premium or discount can widen or narrow depending on market sentiment. Therefore, the value of an investor’s share is not solely dependent on the skill of the investment trust’s manager! Gearing Enable trusts to create added value when equity markets are rising by comparison to U/Ts & OEICs, which cannot borrow freely. If equity markets rise, IT’s with higher gearing will offer the prospect of higher gains. Vice-versa in falling markets – Higher risk. Charging/fees Lower fees reflect the efficiency of managing large, stable funds Collective investment scheme regulation - What are they? Portfolio of risky assets Offer stock market exposure Designed to facilitate pooled investment Able to be purchased at low quantities Benefit to the Investor Investors are able to diversify risk Avoid paying Capital Gains Tax Improve investment timing ISA Tax You pay no personal income tax or capital gains tax on any growth in an ISA, or when you take your money out. You can save up to £11,280 per person in the 2012/13 tax year in an ISA. Find out more about ISAs. If you invest in a stocks and shares ISA, any dividends you receive are paid net, with a 10% tax credit. There is no further tax liability. Please be aware that the impact of taxation (and any tax reliefs) depends on individual circumstances. Information about tax rules is based upon our current understanding, and is liable to change in the future. How many contracts are needed for a risk free hedge? What is the % return on their investment given … x3 and value the market value of the plc? X2 how much money will need to be moved into the company from other investment ? xx2 (contract for difference?) Analyse farmas discomposition. X2 and use it to calculate client risk, market timing, diversable risk, pure selectivity. Basis risk and how it can be managed. X3 Return on portfolio and move some from treasury bills into company how many should be moved? Knowledge of farmas deconomposition? X2 What if the value of a stock future to be settled in 10 days.. (duration) Capital markets pricing market behaviour x2.threory. What benefits should drvive from SEPA Understanding of the term collective investments? Understanding of the term private equity and issues which can arise when used to buy firms? Undertsnading of the term asset allocation? Saving = returns are secondary to capital and safety growth. Investment = lump some or monthy amount for income or capital growth long term. Income tax= 20% from 8,105-35,000, 40% from 35,001+ Dividends tax = 10% from 10600 higher =32.5% Capital gain = from 10,600 18% Inheritance = 40% over £325,000 Benefits of cash = liquidity – immediate redemption and no loss of interest in normal savings a/c. Essential part of any portofolio, non- marketable, almost zero risk. Negative of cash = no interest, high interest accounts may have 90 days notice, interest is subject to income tax. (only protected up to 85,000 per provider eg sanandeer not Bradford and bingley and alliance and lecter) 4% half-yearly= (1 + 0.04)2 - 1 = 0.0816 or 8.16% per annum 2% quarterly= (1 + 0.02)4 - 1 = 0.0824 or 8.24% per annum • gilt Ex div ( 7 days before coupon date and thus interest paid ) interest belongs to seller and thus price paid = gilt price - accrued interest otherwise Price paid = gilt price + accrued interest flat yield = Measures the return from income as a % of the price • Market price will vary according to level of interest paid and length of time to redemption/ • Flat yield ( also known as interest yield/running yield ) • = ( coupon yield /clean price ) * 100 • Example • Calculate the flat yield of 5 ¾% Treasury 2011 price 106.04 • £5.75 per annum is paid for every £100 nominal bought • but paid £106.04 per £100 so flat yield = ( 5.75/106.04 ) x 100 = 5.42% Redemption yield • Example • Calculate the approximate redemption yield on Tr 8pc 2018 125.73 • Assume gilt redeemed end of September 2020 and today 1st October 2011. • Find flat yield first ( 8/125.73) * 100 = 6.36% • RY = 6.36 + { 100 – 125.73 x 100 } 9 x 125.73 = 4.066% • Calculation assumes all income is re-invested at the redemption yield • As coupon paid twice a year: • Effective annual yield • = ( 1 + bond equivalent yield )2 – 1 • 2 • Which measure should investors use? • If holding till maturity......redemption yield For short-term.......................flat yield QE, interest rate swaps, eurobonds. Private equity - Just equity – income tax and dividend 10/32.5% • Why buy ordinary shares? • To obtain income from dividends ( normally 2 per annum - interim and final ) • To obtain capital gains from rises in the share price between buying and selling • Very liquid market but transaction costs. Stamp duty 0.5% on purchases • Dividend paid twice yearly • The higher the dividend the higher the share price • Investors needing a regular income will pay more for high yielding shares • The value of a dividend this year is worth more than those in the future as there is more certainty of receiving it • Dividends are easier to predict than capital gains Private equity • PE managers invest their own money • Favourable tax legislation • Were paying 10% on part of their earnings, interest 40% and dividends 25% • CGT now 18% • Leverage from banks but credit squeeze forcing a rethink of strategy • Attracts high-calibre individuals because of possibility of enormous rewards • Focus on three to five year horizons • Buys to sell later • Need for more transparency about deals • Unaccountable • Unregulated • Threaten stability of financial markets • Can add no value and carry excessive charges • Need for more disclosure • Industry has threatened to move offshore Tick value basis point – Basis point is 1/100 of one percent as is smallest permissable movement in interest rates Traded in £500,000 size contracts Contract covers 3 months Minimum price movement Tick = 0.01% Tick value = £500,000 x 0.0001 x ¼ Contract traded on LIFFE CONNECT Contract profits or losses Buy 5 contracts at 151.04 Sell 5 contracts at 155.04 Price movements 400 Profit 5 x 400 x £12.50 =£25,000 = £12.50 Basis risk Basis gives the ever-changing relationship between spot and futures prices. At maturity, the futures and spot price converges on spot If future closed out early, changes in spot price will not match change in futures price Simple and precise hedge ratios Hedge ratio = (simple) nominal value of contract Hedge ratio nominal value of exposure = (precise) nominal value of exposure nominal value of contract x relative volatility Relative volatility = how much movement there is in prices Calculated by Buying contracts to hedge = eg Mr Pizza owns the shares listed below and is worried that the stock index is going to fall. He decides to hedge against this a stock index futures contract. How should he proceed? Share Value of shares£ Share Beta Market exposure£ ABC plc 531,250 1.1 584,375 EFG plc 600,000 1.2 720,000 HIJ plc 432,500 1.0 432,500 KLM plc 451,250 0.8 361,000 2,097,875 The FTSE 100 stands at 4000. Futures index is 4040. Each contract thus worth £10 x 4000 = £40,000 worth of stock Contracts required = £2,097,875/£40,000 = 52.45 contracts = 52 contracts He would sell 52 contracts and close by buying out later The above used the spot index – this is used when the futures contracts are to be held to their maturity date. If futures contracts are likely to be closed out quickly, use futures index. Assume ‘quickly’ means in less than three weeks time. Investment in non listed goods (chattels) eg art Advantages pleasure use tax Disadvantages storage insurance valuation forgeries SEPA What is it? Single Euro Payments Area Covers 27EU countries + Iceland, Liechtenstien, Norway and Switzerland Electronic euro payments made across the euro area ( bank transfer/debit/credit card/direct debit ) become as easy as domestic payments. Adoption of common processes and systems Eg UK citizen with home in Spain can pay for groceries using UK bank account, using debit card. Companies will not need to set up accounts in each country of business Benefits to business and consumers Should iron out local market distortions So far 4,000 banks signed up ( 50% of total in region but 80% of transactions) 28.1.08 credit transactions covered, but direct debit since 2009 Consumers can use domestic banks or internet providers anywhere in Eurozone. Should force down prices. Liqidity preference on desiion on bond or gilt • Lack of uncertainty about the future and thus investors prefer liquidity to retain flexibility • Investors will prefer bonds with a shorter maturity and will take a lower yield • Borrowers will prefer bonds with a longer maturity and will pay a higher yield • Liquidity preference theory states that the liquidity preferences of investors and borrowers will tend to bias longer - term bond yields upwards • Segmented markets Redemption yields of bonds of differing maturities vary not because of future interest/ inflation rate expectations or liquidity premiums but because some investors only want to invest short-term and others long-terms. The same goes for borrowers. Specific interest rates are required and therefore the yield curve is a function of supply and demand in the market place. This will enable some investors to make arbitrage profits