THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENT STATE AND OUTLOOK 2015 A ‘Land’ focus –assessments & information UK-Land cover event, July 1, 2015, Leicester Ronan Uhel Head of Programme ‘Natural Systems and Vulnerability’ Vision of the 7th EU Environment Action Programme SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS ‘In 2050, we live well, within the planet's ecological limits. Our prosperity and healthy environment stem from an innovative, circular economy where nothing is wasted and where natural resources are managed sustainably, and biodiversity is protected, valued and restored in ways that enhance our society's resilience. Our low-carbon growth has long been decoupled from resource use, setting the pace for a global safe and sustainable society.’ Source: 7th EU Environment Action Programme The EU policy context: no ‘Land’ explicit objectives SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS Source: EEA Multiannual Work Programme 2014–2018 EU policy context: Land and Soil ‘soft’ measures, large financing support? • Soil Thematic Strategy [COM(2006) 231] • Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) – provisions for soil • EU Biodiversity Strategy to 2020 [COM(2011) 244] • Europe 2020 - ‘Roadmap to a Resource Efficient Europe’ [COM(2011) 571] • EU Territorial Agenda and Action Plan • UN Rio+20 Summit outcome [A/RES/66/288] ‘The future we want’ • EU 7EAP ‘Living well, within the limits of our planet’ [Decision 1386/2013/EU]’ • Planned EC Communication on land as a resource • Regional & Cohesion funds • Agriculture and Rural funds • LIFE projects • URBACT III SOER 2015 – looking into a transition agenda SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS A comprehensive assessment of past trends and future outlooks and of opportunities to recalibrate policies, knowledge, investments and innovations in line with the long-term vision of the 7th EAP. SOER 2015 Synthesis report SOER 2015 Assessment of global megatrends Global megatrends European briefings Cross-country comparisons Countries and regions 11 briefings 25 briefings 9 briefings 39+3 briefings COUNTRIES & REGIONS Thematic priority objective 1: Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital SYNTHESIS REPORT Past (5–10 year) trends 20+ years outlook Progress to policy targets Terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity Land use and soil functions No target Ecological status of freshwater bodies Water quality and nutrient loading Air pollution and its ecosystem impacts Marine and coastal biodiversity Climate change impacts on ecosystems No target Improving trends dominate Largely on track Trends show mixed picture Partially on track Deteriorating trends dominate Largely not on track Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report. Thematic priority objective 2: Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy SYNTHESIS REPORT Past (5–10 year) trends 20+ years outlook Material resource efficiency and material use Progress to policy targets No target Waste management / Greenhouse gas emissions and climate change mitigation Energy consumption and fossil fuel use Transport demand and related environmental impacts Industrial pollution to air, soil and water Water use and water quantity stress Improving trends dominate Largely on track Trends show mixed picture Partially on track Deteriorating trends dominate Largely not on track Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report. Thematic priority objective 3: Safeguarding from environmental risks to health SYNTHESIS REPORT Past (5–10 year) trends 20+ years outlook Progress to policy targets / Water pollution and related environmental health risks Air pollution and related environmental health risks Noise pollution (especially in urban areas) / Urban systems and grey infrastructure No target Climate change and related environmental health risks No target Chemicals and related environmental health risks / Improving trends dominate Largely on track Trends show mixed picture Partially on track Deteriorating trends dominate Largely not on track Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report. The overall picture: Efficiency improvements have not secured long-term resilience SYNTHESIS REPORT Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy Safeguarding from environmental risks to health Past (5–10) year trends 20+ years outlook / Improving trends dominate Trends show mixed picture Deteriorating trends dominate Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report. Land system Components and interactions © Victor Hristina Hristova,/EEA Troyanov, Environment & Me /EEA EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Source: EEA, 2015, The European Environment: State & Outlook 2015 (SOER 2015), European briefing ‘Land systems’. The ‘land’ services provide benefits to people…. EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Local climate regulation Flood regulation Timber production Carbon sequestratio n Recreation Aestetic values Habitat services Production of food Place / Ecosystem-based management… …Landscape ecology EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Food supply systems…. 12 ‘Land take’ Pressure on soil and ecosystem functioning © Victor Langohr Environment & Me /EEA RogerTroyanov, EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Source: EEA, 2015, The European Environment: State & Outlook 2015 (SOER 2015), European briefing ‘Soil’. EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS ...this together with increased urbanisation leads to higher fragmentation EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS The more brown the areas are the more intense the artificial developments – especially in central and western Europe… Conflicting growing demand for space – new dominant landscapes? EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS 16 Conflicting growing demand for space – new dominant landscapes? EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS 17 Green Infrastructure? It enhances Europe's natural capital …it provides ecological, economic and social benefits through natural solutions – and is a key tool to sustainable spatial planning and development So, mostly a question of how we use the natural capital EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Source: Foley et al., 2005 Science Vol. 309 19 What is meant by Natural capital EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS …using the green economy as an integrating framework SYNTHESIS REPORT Source: EEA. GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS Improve the Knowledge base European ecosystem assessment Concept, data, and implementation Mapping and Assessing Ecosystems and their Services (EU MAES initiative) - Analytical Framework Source: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/knowledge/ecosystem_assessment/pdf/MAESWorkingPaper2013.pdf European ecosystem map EUNIS habitat – Land cover – Reference data Ecosystem type EUNIS Level 1 EUNIS Level 2 J1 Buildings of cities, towns and villages J2 Low density buildings J3 Extractive industrial sites Urban J Constructed, industrial and other artificial habitats J4 Transport networks and other constructed hard-surface areas J5 Highly artificial man-made waters and associated structures J6 Waste deposits Cropland I Regularly or recently cultivated agricultural, horticultural and domestic habitats I1 Arable land and market gardens I2 Cultivated areas of gardens and parks E1 Dry grasslands Grassland 42.47 6453 2.91 16100 7.26 1828 0.82 998 0.45 1243168 99.18 10292 0.82 9330 1.35 8.04 E4 alpine and subalpine grasslands 21128 3.05 0 0.00 3043 0.44 E5 Woodland fringes, clearings and tall forbs stands 32195 4.64 487970 28.29 49248 2.86 G3 Coniferous woodland 695907 40.35 G4 Mixed woodland 291687 16.91 G5 Lines of trees, small woodlands, recently felled woodlands, early stage woodland, coppice 199784 11.58 G2 Broadleaved evergreen woodland 0 0.00 F2 Arctic, alpine and subalpine scrub 34524 14.88 F3 Temperate and mediteraneo-montane scrub 52824 22.76 691 0.30 F1 Tundra F Heathland, scrub and tundra 46.08 94150 82.48 G1 Broadleaved deciduous woodland Heathland and shrub 102151 55771 E7 sparsely wooded grasslands G Woodland, forest and other wooded land % area EUNIS level 2 per level 1 571931 E6 Inland salt steppes Woodland and forest Area (km2) E3 Seasonally wet and wet grasslands E2 Mesic grasslands E Grasslands and land dominated by forbs, mosses or lichens Total ecosystem coverage F4 Temperate shrub heathland Source: http://projects.eionet.europa.eu/eea-ecosystem-assessments/library/draft-ecosystem-map-europe, ETC/SIA 2014 European ecosystem map - Ecosystem distribution Source: http://projects.eionet.europa.eu/eea-ecosystem-assessments/library/draft-ecosystem-map-europe, ETC/SIA 2014 Protection status of ecosystems under Natura 2000 Source: ETC/ULS 2015 Consequences on biodiversity in Europe • 50% of wetlands and high-nature-value farmland gone • 40% of all European bird species have unfavourable conservation status Conservation status of habitat types EU Health Check 2009 « 50% of species and up to 80% of habitats have unfavourable conservation status » State of Nature 2015 – EU Habitats and Birds Directives SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS © Dare Ferjan, Environment & Me /EEA Over 17,000 datasets on individual species and habitats used to assess the status of around: • 450 wild bird species • 230 habitat types • more than 1,200 other species of European importance. EEA technical analysis supporting the European Commission Composite Report EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS EU conservation status (Habitats Directive) - 2007-2012 SYNTHESIS REPORT © Dare Ferjan, Environment & Me /EEA Habitats GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS Species Source: EEA. State of Nature report, 2015. Selection of EU habitats and species – e.g. 50% of wetlands and high-nature-value farmland gone Distance to Target 1 of the EU Biodiversity Strategy (2020) SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS Need of more effective management of the Natura 2000 network. So far only 50% of the sites were reported as having comprehensive management plans. © Dare Ferjan, Environment & Me /EEA Investment insufficient in some Member States. Opportunities offered by, for example, the Common Agricultural Policy, the Common Fisheries Policy and the EU Regional Policy have not been fully realised. Conservation status of habitats of European interest SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS Data sources: EEA. Conservation status of habitat types and species (Article 17, Habitats Directive 92/43/EEC) COUNTRIES & REGIONS The influence of Natura 2000 on conservation objectives – some indications SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS Source: EU Habitats Directive reporting, EC Policy report, 2015 EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS COUNTRIES & REGIONS Main problems reported by Member States - pressures SYNTHESIS REPORT GLOBAL MEGATRENDS EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS COUNTRY COMPARISONS Agriculture • Intensification: pesticides, nutrients, overgrazing, fragmentation • Abandonment: lack of management, undergrazing Changes in hydraulic conditions • Dams, dykes, canalisation • Water abstraction and deviation © Dare Ferjan, Environment & Me /EEA Forestry • intensive management • Afforestation Urbanisation, grey infrastructure Aquaculture, hunting, trapping, poisoning COUNTRIES & REGIONS Trends in drivers and impacts on ecosystems © Dare Ferjan, Environment & Me /EEA According MAES classification Getting to integrated & spatially-explicit analysis: the causality chain… Drivers agriculture, forestry, watermanagement, settlement, transport, industry, tourism,etc Response maintaining ecosystem functioning andbiodiversity, management change, prevention measures, protection, nutrient & pollution reduction Impacts change/lossof ecosystem function, change/lossof biodiversity Pressures habitat change,climate change,invasive species, land use / exploitation, nutrient & pollution load State / Condition ecosystem state and quality / structure and functioning nutrientcondition, habitat diversity, species abundance and diversity …developing ecosystem assessments Source: Maes et al. (2014) Towards accounting Spatially-explicit bio-physical accounting LAND WATER Land cover change Land use change Water in soil/runoff Water quantity Water use Fast track accounts DB CARBON BIODIVERSITY Organic carbon Land use Organic carbon flows Trends in populations Landscape ecological potential Better data -Copernicus land service pan-European & local components Sealed soil Forest type Corine Land Cover 2012 Tree cover density Urban Atlas LC Biodiversity Grassland Wetlands Image mosaics Water bodies Land as a resource – Linking across scales & governance structures © Alex Hristina Hristova,/EEA Environment & Me /EEA Dumitrescu, EUROPEAN BRIEFINGS Source: EEA, 2015, The European Environment: State & Outlook 2015 (SOER 2015), European briefing ‘Land systems’. Explore SOER 2015 online: eea.europa.eu/soer BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS Stay informed about SOER 2015 and receive our products sign up at: http://eea-subscriptions.eu/subscribe Thank you!