STATISTICS Probability concerns the possible outcomes (results) of experiments Sample space is the group of all possible outcomes Statistics are the basis of an analysis of a sample of information gathered about an operation. A Sample is information gathered on a part of the operation Decisions are made based on that analysis. 2 If a coin is tossed, the sample space contains two possible outcomes, heads (H) or tails (T). ◦ Written {H,T} If a die is rolled, the sample space of the number of dots on the upper face ◦ Written {1,2,3,4,5,6} If two coins are tossed, the sample space has four possible outcomes ◦ Written {HH, HT, TH, TT} 3 Probability P of an event E occurring is: P E n s Where n = number of occurrences and s = all possible outcomes Probability P of an event E not occurring E’ is: sn P E ' s If the probability P that something will happen then 1-P is the probability it will not happen. P(E′) = 1 – P 4 Find the probability that a 4 will result when one die is rolled. n = 1 and s = 6 1 P 4 6 Ans Find the probability P of at least one tail when two coins are tossed n = 3 {HT, TH, TT} ways to get a T s = 4 {HT, TH, TT, HH} 3 P at least one tail Ans 4 5 Events are independent if the probability that the second event will occur is not affected by what happens to the first event. If A and B are independent events then the probability that both A and B will occur is P(A and P A and B P AB) P=BP(A)×P(B) 6 A bag contains 3 yellow marbles and 4 blue marbles. A marble is drawn, replaced and another drawn. .Find the probability that first one is yellow and the second one is blue. P yellow then blue P yellow Pblue 3 4 12 P yellow then blue Ans 7 7 49 7 sum of numbers Mean (average) = number of numbers Median is the middle number of a group that is arranged in order of size. Mode is the value that has the greatest frequency. Bimodal means there are two greatest values of equal frequency 8 Find the mean, median and mode: 40 37 37 65 22 80 72 40 37 37 65 22 80 72 Mean 7 316 45.14 Ans 7 Median = 22 37 37 40 65 72 80 = 40 the middle number Mode is 37, number with the greatest frequency 9 Quartiles (Q1, Q2 (median), Q3) divide the items in a set of numbers into four equally sized parts. Arrange numbers in order from lowest to highest. ◦ Q1 is the median of the lower half. ◦ Q2 is the median. ◦ Q3 is the median of the upper half. Percentiles are numbers that divide the data into 100 equal parts 10 Given: 1 2 2 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 11 13 13 14 15 15 16 18 20 20 21 25 25 Find the 60th percentile. There are 25 numbers, so the 60th percentile or P60 0.6 25 15th number P60 13 Ans 11 A frequency distribution is an arrangement of a large group of numbers where most values are repeated ◦ One line contains a list of possible values and a second line contains the number of times each value was observed in a particular time ◦ The values in the first line are divided into intervals and the data arranged in lists. Hours 211-215 216-220 221-225 226-230 231-235 Frequency 4 9 15 22 16 12 A histogram is a bar graph whose bars touch each other A frequency distribution can be graphed as a histogram ◦ Use the intervals on the horizontal axis ◦ Use the frequencies on the vertical axis Draw a histogram of the frequency distribution below Hours 211-215 216-220 221-225 226-230 231-235 Frequency 4 9 15 22 16 13 Draw a histogram of the frequency distribution below Hours 211-215 216-220 221-225 226-230 231-235 Frequency 4 9 15 22 16 25 20 15 10 5 211-215 216-220 221-225 226-230 231-235 Hours 14 Range is the distance between the lowest and highest number in in a sample. Variance is used mainly to find the standard deviation because it is not in the same unit of measure as the original data. Standard Deviation gives a measure of how much the numbers are spread out from the mean. 15 n sum of x sum of x Variance nn 1 2 2 Where x is a measurement and n is the total number of measurements. Standard deviation variance 16 Find the variance and standard deviation for the following set of numbers: 2.5, 4.6, 3.2, 5.1, 2.1, 7.3, 4.9 Variance = 7145.37 882.09 77 1 Standard deviation = 3.226 = 3.226 Ans =1.796 Ans 17 Find the probability in the following problems. 1. Getting a “head” when a coin is tossed. 2. Drawing a blue marble from a bag containing 3 blue and 5 yellow. 3. Rolling a sum of 5 or less on a pair of die. 4. Not drawing a queen from a deck of cards. 18 5. Determine the mean, median and mode of the following set of numbers: 12,15,42,37,14,9,25,32,32,30 6. Determine the variance and the standard deviation of the following set of numbers: 76,55,77,72,39,46,47,61,59,74,43 19 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1/2 3/8 11/36 12/13 mean = 24.7 median = 27.5 mode = 32 variance = 199.6 standard deviation = 14.13 20