The War in Afghanistan: Counterinsurgency Operations in Kunar and Nuristan Situation • September 11th terrorist attack • OEF launched October 7, 2001 as a response • Find Osama Bin Laden and all high-ranking Al Qaeda officials, destroy Al Qaeda organization & the Taliban regime in Afghanistan who provides safe-haven for alQaeda. • OEF successful but since 2006 al-Qaeda and the Taliban have surged in northeast through insurgent/guerilla warfare • Coalition forces are struggling to implement COIN strategy in the isolated populations and mountainous regions of northeastern provinces • McChrystal calls for 40,000 troops. Waiting on Obama… Thesis • Examine the current war-fighting strategies implemented by US forces in the Northeastern provinces of Kunar and Nuristan. • Study the military history of Afghanistan (Soviet & British invasions) to conclude a greater modern counterinsurgency strategy in Kunar and Nuristan Population • Multiple ethnic groups: Pashtun, Tajiks, Hazaras, and Uzbeks • Language: Dari, Pashtu, Turkic • Religion: Islam • Est. Census of 2005: 29,928,987 - 84% Sunni Muslim - 15% Shiites Muslim Geography • Geographic location: links Central and South Asia with the Middle East • Terrain: steppes, desert, and mountain land • Capital City: Kabul • 34 administrative provinces British Invasion • Britain invades in 1838 to keep the Russians from controlling the country. • Unable to win the hearts and minds of the population • Unwilling to make long-term, large-scale, military commitments • Left Afghan’s bitter and hostile towards foreign influence and modernization The Soviet Invasion • Soviet Union invades Afghanistan December 1979 • Afghan government becomes pro-soviet and communist. • Radical Islamic fundamentals counter by forming an insurgent force called the Mujahideen • Soviet strategy: depopulate remote villages in the countryside • US finances and arms the Mujahideen’s fighting force • Soivet Regime begins leaving Afghanistan in 1985 • The Taliban is born! • US must be weary of the historic strength of Afghan insurgent groups. US Invasion of Afghanistan • September 11th attacks • Osama bin Laden identified • Bush: issues ultimatum but Afghan government refuses to cooperate • US initial attacks (ariel bombing and US Special Forces) are a success! • Battle of Tora Bora serves as major turning point • Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda officals retreat across Kunar border into Pakistan Kunar and Nuristan Overview • • • • • • History of violence and unconquerable thus far Extremely treacherous terrain: rocky and hilly Share a River Valley system 401, 000 Afghan locals live in the valleys Korengal Valley considered deadliest place on earth! River Valley people are strict conservatives and rural • US Forces must earn the trust and support of the locals Enemy Syndicate • Al-Qaeda is ring leader for multiple “syndicate” insurgent groups • Enemy insurgent force estimated between 7, 000 and 11,000 fighters • Must focus efforts on destroying alQaeda • “Taliban” has become a generic description for all insurgent forces Counterinsurgency Strategy • Major flaws in the current strategy “clear, hold, build” • We must… A. PROVIDE FOR THE POPULATION B. Limit the flow of insurgents in the region C. Reduce civilian casualties/destruction of property D. Expand Afghan Security Force in the region SOLUTION: Increase the number of US Troops in the region. Korengal Valley • Extremely hostile locals – deadliest region in Afghanistan • Taliban smuggle timber out of Korengal to fund the insurgency • Korengalis don’t support US presence or Afghan government • We must… A. Concentrate on insurgent forces and take the Korengalis out of the fight B. Eliminate large amounts of indirect fire in the Valley C. Decrease US casualties in the region SOLUTION: Remove US troops from the Korengal Valley and shift the focus of the fight to the origins of the trade routes Conclusion -Population is Paramount• • • • Protect the people of Kunar and Nuristan Stronger military presence in the region Train the population Remove troops in extremely hostile (untouchable) regions SOLUTION: Win the hearts and minds of the people in order to defeat the insurgency in Kunar and Nuristan QUESTIONS? By: Shane Stinemetz