Chapter 4 Supply and Demand – An Initial Look The free enterprise system is absolutely too important to be left to the voluntary action of the marketplace. RICHARD KELLY The Invisible Hand • Invisible hand – Adam Smith – People pursue own self-interests – “Led by an invisible hand” – Promote wellbeing of community 2 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Quantity demanded – Number of units – Consumers • Willing • Can afford to buy – Specified period of time 3 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Quantity demanded – Depends on price – Also depends on • Population size • Consumer incomes • Tastes • Prices of other products 4 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Demand schedule - Table – Period of time – Quantity demanded changes • As price changes • All other determinants – constant • All other determinants constant – As price rises • Quantity demanded falls – As price falls • Quantity demanded rises 5 Table 1 Demand schedule for beef Price per pound Quantity demanded Label in Figure 1 $7.50 45 A 7.40 50 B 7.30 55 C 7.20 60 E 7.10 65 F 7.00 70 G 6.90 75 H 6 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Demand curve – Graphical depiction of demand schedule – Quantity demanded – changes • Price – changes – Period of time – All other determinants – constant 7 Figure 1 Demand curve for beef D $7.50 A B Price per Pound 7.40 C 7.30 E 7.20 F 7.10 G 7.00 H 6.90 D 0 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 Quantity Demanded in Millions of Pounds per Year 8 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Change in price – Movement along demand curve • Change in other determinants – Shifts entire demand curve – Consumers - buy more (any & all prices) • Demand curve – shifts right/outward – Consumers – buy less (any & all prices) • Demand curve – shifts left/inward 9 Figure 2 Movement along versus shift of a demand curve D1 Price per Pound D0 C $7.30 F 7.10 D0 0 D1 Quantity Demanded in Millions of Pounds per Year 10 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Consumer income - increase – Demand – increase • Outward shift • Population – increase – Demand – increase • Outward shift • Consumer preferences – in favor – Demand – increase • Outward shift 11 Figure 3 Shifts of the demand curve D0 D1 S D2 E Price Price D0 M D0 D0 Quantity demanded (a) D1 S D2 Quantity (b) 12 Demand and Quantity Demanded • Prices & availability of related goods – Price of substitutes – increase • Demand – increase – Shift right – Price of complements – increase • Demand – decrease – Shift left 13 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Quantity supplied – Number of units – Sellers - want to sell – Specified period of time • All other determinants constant – As price rises • Quantity supplied rises – As price falls • Quantity supplied falls 14 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Supply schedule - Table – Period of time – Quantity supplied changes • As price changes • All other determinants – constant 15 Table 2 Supply schedule for beef Price per pound Quantity supplied Label in Figure 4 $7.50 90 a 7.40 80 b 7.30 70 c 7.20 60 e 7.10 50 f 7.00 40 g 6.90 30 h 16 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Supply curve – Graphical depiction of supply schedule – Quantity supplied – changes • Price – changes – Period of time – All other determinants – constant 17 Figure 4 Supply curve for beef S $7.50 a b Price per Pound 7.40 7.30 c 7.20 e 7.10 f 7.00 g 6.90 h S 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Quantity Supplied in Millions of Pounds per Year 18 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Change in price – Movement along supply curve • Change in other determinants – Shifts entire supply curve • Size of industry • Technological progress • Prices of inputs • Prices of related outputs 19 Figure 5 Movement along versus shift of a supply curve Price per Pound S0 S1 c $7.30 7.10 f S0 0 S1 Quantity Supplied in Millions of Pounds per Year 20 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Size of industry – Increase • New firms - enter • Existing firms - expand – Supply – increase • Outward shift • Technological progress – Reduces costs – Supply – increase • Outward shift 21 Figure 6 Shifts of the supply curve D S1 Price S0 Price S2 S0 V U E S2 S0 S0 S1 D Quantity Quantity (a) (b) 22 Supply and Quantity Supplied • Prices of inputs – increase – Supply – decrease • Inward shift • Prices of related outputs - change – Supply – shift 23 Supply and Demand Equilibrium • Supply-demand diagram – Graph: Supply & Demand curves – Determines • Equilibrium price • Equilibrium quantity • Shortage – Excess quantity demanded • Over quantity supplied 24 Supply and Demand Equilibrium • Surplus – Excess quantity supplied • Over quantity demanded • Equilibrium – No inherent forces that produce change • Equilibrium change – “Outside events” 25 Table 3 Determination of equilibrium price & quantity of beef Price per pound Quantity Demanded Quantity Supplied Surplus or Shortage Price Direction $7.50 45 90 Surplus Fall 7.40 50 80 Surplus Fall 7.30 55 70 Surplus Fall 7.20 60 60 Neither Unchanged 7.10 65 50 Shortage Rise 7.00 70 40 Shortage Rise 6.90 75 30 Shortage Rise 26 Figure 7 Demand curve for beef D $7.50 S A a Price per Pound 7.40 7.30 E 7.20 7.10 g 7.00 G 6.90 D S 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Quantity in Millions of Pounds per Year 27 Supply and Demand Equilibrium • Law of Supply and Demand – Free market – Forces: supply & demand • Push the price - equilibrium level – Quantity supplied = quantity demanded – May be disobeyed • Long term – Shortages – Surpluses – Prices - fail to move toward equilibrium 28 Demand shifts & supply-demand equilibrium • Demand curve - shift outward / right – Supply curve – no change – Equilibrium price – rise – Equilibrium quantity – rise • Demand curve - shift inward / left – Supply curve – no change – Equilibrium price – fall – Equilibrium quantity – fall 29 Figure 8 D1 D0 S T $7.30 E Price per pound Price per pound The effects of shifts of the demand curve D0 S D2 E L R $7.20 7.20 D1 S D0 60 70 75 Quantity (a) 7.10 M S D2 D0 45 50 60 Quantity (b) 30 Supply shifts & supply-demand equilibrium • Supply curve - shift outward / right – Demand curve – no change – Equilibrium price – fall – Equilibrium quantity – rise • Supply curve - shift inward / left – Demand curve – no change – Equilibrium price – rise – Equilibrium quantity – fall 31 Figure 9 D S2 D S0 S0 V S1 E $7.20 I J 7.10 Price per pound Price per pound The effects of shifts of the supply curve $7.40 E U 7.20 S2 S0 D S1 D S0 60 65 Quantity (a) 78 50 37.5 Quantity (b) 60 32 Application: Who really pays that tax? • New tax on product: 10 cents gasoline tax per gallon – Firms • Decrease supply • Pay part of tax – Consumers • Pay part of tax • What if consumers have an inelastic demand for gasoline? 33 Figure 10 Price per gallon Who pays for a new tax on products? S1 D M $2.64 E1 2.60 2.54 S0 S1 E0 S0 D Q2 Q1 30 50 Millions of gallons per year 34 The Market Fights Back • Battling the invisible hand • Legally imposed constraints on prices – Price ceilings • Legal maximum • Equilibrium price – above it – Price floors • Legal minimum • Equilibrium price – below it 35 Price Ceilings • Keep price – below free-market level • Consequences – Shortage – persistent • Quantity demanded > quantity supplied – Illegal or “black” market – Black market prices – higher – Portion of revenues – illicit supplier – Investment – dries up 36 Case study: Rent controls in New-York city • Rent control – To protect consumers – Long run - worse off – Shortage – long waiting list, high search cost – Poor maintenance – Black market – bribes – Only some benefit, and they defend the rent control 37 Figure 11 Supply-demand diagram for rental housing Rent per month D $2,000 1,200 S E Market rent B Rent ceiling C D S 2.5 3 3.5 Millions of dwellings rented per month 38 Price Floors • Keep price – above free-market level • Symptoms – Surplus – Problem of disposal for regulated goods – Motivate sellers provide disguised and unwanted discounts – Overinvestment in industry 39 Case study: Farm price supports; Sugar prices • Farm price supports – Introduced 1933 - “temporary” – Prices – inflated – Surplus – unsellable • Purchases by government • Taxpayer pays – Higher prices – Taxes 40 Case study: Farm price supports; Sugar prices • Sugar industry – Producers • Low-interest loans • Enforced price floor – Limit domestic production – Limit foreign imports – Supply curve – left shift • Industry – benefits • Consumers – pay 41 Figure 12 Supporting the price of sugar S1 S0 Price D 50¢ 25¢ S1 D S0 Quantity 42 Summary • Movement along the D or S curve vs. shift of the whole curve • Supply meets demand → equilibrium • Price control is a bad idea 43