FDR Modern Presidency • Pre-Modern 1789-1932 • Modern 1933-present • 2nd American republic? – Theodore Lowi, The Personal Presidency Real GDP (per working age person) • Timothy J. Kehoe Professor of Economics, University of Minnesota and Adviser, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, http://www.econ.umn.edu/~tkehoe/ GNP Per Capita (relative to 1889-1929 trend) J. Bradford DeLong, University of California at Berkeley and NBER http://econ161.berkeley.edu/TCEH/Slouch_Crash14.html Stock Market http://www.affordablehousinginstitute.org/blogs/us/Stock_market_crash_1929_small.jpg The Depression in the US “Hoovervilles” Herbert Hoover, 1929-1933 Governor Roosevelt of NY (with former Gov. Al Smith) John Maynard Keynes: Modern Liberalism Circulation Newmann gets paid!!!!! Newmann gets paid!!!!!!!!!!!! Employee enrolls at VCU Employee decides he/she can pay for college Newmann buys bagels, Chinese food, new Pat Metheny CD, sneakers Employees of businesses near VCU get paid Business Cycle Boom-Bust cycle Self-regulating But, what if…. Non-self-regulating Government job? FDR’s New Deal • FDR Inaugural Speech (text) (audio of oath of office and inaugural speech) • Fireside Chats 1. Government Role in the Economy The New Deal: Creating Jobs Works Progress Administration New Deal: Regulation National Recovery Administration but… Schechter v. US (1935) New Deal: Redistribution 2. President’s Role 3. Enlargement of the Federal Government “Presidential Branch” Executive Office of the President (Staff) Appointees (Line Officials; Legal offices approved by Senate) Career Bureaucracy Inside the EOP Executive Office of the Presidency (EOP) WHO NSC Staff OMB NEC Staff WHO-White House Office; OMB-Office of Management and Budget; USTR-Office of US Trade Representative; OSTP-Office of Science and Technology Policy; ONDC-Office of National Drug Control Policy USTR OGC OSTP ONDC NSC-National Security Council Staff; NEC –National Economic Council Staff; OGC-Office of Global Communications; Cabinet-level Committee Structure NSC or NEC NSC or NEC Staff Pres, VP, Secretary of… NSC/NEC Principals Committee Secretary of… (no P or VP) NSC/NEC Deputies Committee Deputy Secretary of… NSC/NEC Interagency Policy Comm. NSC/NEC Interagency Policy Comm. NSC/NEC Interagency Policy Comm NSC/NEC Interagency Policy Comm (Asst. Sec) (Asst. Sec) (Asst. Sec) (Asst. Sec) What often happens… Pres NSC/NEC… NSC or NEC Staff Pres, VP, Secretary of… NSC/NEC Principals Committee Secretary of…(no P or VP) NSC/NEC Deputies Committee Deputy Secretary of… NSC/NEC Asst. Sec level Interagency Comm. NSC/NEC Asst. Sec level Interagency Comm. NSC/NEC Asst. Sec level Interagency Comm. NSC/NEC Asst. Sec level Interagency Comm. 4. Precedents • 100 Days • New Deal as a new social contract • President as provider of services – Not Congress – Not federal government 5. Electoral Realignment • 1860-1932 (72 years) – 56 years Republican; – 16 years Democratic • 1932-1980 (48 years) – 32 years Democratic; – 16 years Republican Atlas of Presidential elections New Deal Coalition • • • • • • • Democratic South African-Americans Union members Urban North Immigrant/newer ethnic groups Farmers Socialist parties voters Effect of FDR on US Political Culture Left US Pre1933 Left-right defined as accepted level of government intervention in the economy: right = less intervention left = more intervention Right FDR Character FDR: Polio Eleanor Roosevelt