12-1 Chapter 12 Mutual Fund and Pension Fund Management Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-2 Statistics By the end of 1997, 37.4% of U.S. households owned shares in mutual funds, up from 5.7% in 1980 and 25% in 1990. The share of financial assets controlled by mutual funds increased from 3.68% in 1980 to 21.74% in 1997, making mutual funds the second largest financial institution in the U.S. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Structure of Mutual Fund Management 12-3 Shareholders Board of Directors Oversees the fund’s activities, including approval of the contract with the management company and certain other service providers. Mutual Fund Investment Advisory/ Management Company Manages the fund’s portfolio according to the objectives and policies described by the fund’s prospectus. Independent Public Accountant Certify the fund’s financial statements. Distributor Sells fund shares, either directly to the public or through other firms. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. Custodian Holds the fund’s assets, maintaining them separately to protect shareholders Transfer Agent Processes order to buy and redeem fund shares. All rights reserved. 12-4 Companies that manage the funds are often owned by other companies or privately owned. Almost all mutual funds are externally managed, with operations conducted by investment companies and other affiliated organizations and independent contractors. By law, at least 40% of the board of directors must be independent of the fund’s investment advisors. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-5 Recent Diversification and Consolidation Trends of Mutual Funds Investment companies have diversified their products to include a wide range of financial services, including: • discount brokerage; • automated bill paying; • insurance and annuities; • debit cards; and • internet-based investing and home-banking services. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-6 Consolidation has occurred for several reasons including: • product line expansion; • expansion of customer segments; and • elimination of unprofitable mutual funds. Investment companies have expanded into new markets in Asia and Europe where investors do not commonly invest in mutual funds. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-7 Types of Investment Companies Open-end investment companies Closed-end investment companies Unit investment trusts Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-8 Open-end Mutual funds Continuously sell shares to the public. Are obligated to buy or sell their shares at a fund’s net asset value (NAV) or share price. NAV is equal to: Market Value in Dollars of Fund Securities - Its Liabilities Number of Investor Shares Outstanding Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-9 Funds usually value exchange-traded securities using the most recent closing price from the exchange in which the securities are primarily traded. Open-end funds have liquidity needs because cash receipts from security sales are often delayed while redemption requests are typically honored at the end of the day’s NAV with checks cut the next day. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-10 Closed-end Mutual Funds Funds issue a fixed number of shares and do not redeem shares. Once issued, shares are traded on exchanges or over the counter, with supply and demand determining the share price which can be below or above NAV. Often, closed-end fund shares trade at a discount, i.e, below NAV. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-11 Unit Investment Companies They often issue unit investment trust (UITs) that offer interests in a fixed portfolio of securities that are held passively for an agreed period of time. Assets are then distributed among shareholders. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) similarly offer shares in real estate investments. Unit trusts may redeem shares at NAV, but may only redeem shares in large blocks. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-12 Percentage Allocation of Mutual Fund Assets Type 1975 1991 Equity Fund 81.7% 27.3% Bond-Income Fund 10.2% 32.6% Money Market Fund 8.1% 40.1% Beg 1998 53% 23% 24% Between 1975 and 1998, total investments in mutual funds grew from $45 billion to $4.9 trillion. Mutual funds, within each class, have a wide variety of investment objectives. At the end of 1997, mutual funds owned 19% of U.S corporate securities, 8% of U.S Treasury and agency securities, 10% of corporate and foreign bonds, and 32% of municipal securities. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-13 Cost of Mutual Fund Ownership No-load funds • No sale charges or Rule 12b-1 fees. • Rule 12b-1 fees are annual charges to cover the cost of sales commissions and other marketing expenses and cannot exceed 1% of the fund’s average net assets per year. Low-load funds • Include Rule 12b-1 fees but no sale charges. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-14 Load funds • Front-load - upfront sales charge not to exceed 8.5% of the investment. • Back-end load - charged at time of redemption. Other costs include fees and commissions paid to agents responsible for mutual fund services such as management fees paid to advisors. • Management fees are typically .5% to 1% of fund assets annually. • Fees vary widely according to type of securities held and fund turnover. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-15 Regulation of Mutual Funds Investment Act of 1940 • Requires all mutual funds to register with the SEC and to meet certain operating standards. • Limits the ability of a mutual fund to take on financial leverage. – Can’t issue senior securities – Can only borrow from banks and limits fund loans to 33.3% of funds assets. – With the SEC’s recent interpretation of the act, mutual funds have access to other sources of short-term borrowing provided that stockholders and directors approve of such sources. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-16 The National Securities Market Improvement Act of 1996: • eliminates state regulation of mutual funds; • allows mutual funds to buy shares in other mutual funds; and • allows shares of unregistered private pools, such as hedge funds and venture capital funds, to be offered in an unlimited amount to “qualified shareholders.” Subchapter M of the Internal Revenue Code • Investment companies pay no tax on investment dividends, capital gains, or income if 90% of these payments are distributed to shareholders. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-17 Regulatory Concerns Complexity of mutual fund prospectuses Oversight of mutual fund boards on fund management Exaggerated fund performance claims in advertisements Concerns over fund mergers Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-18 Risk-adjusted Performance Measures Standard Deviation of Returns (STD) Value at Risk (VAR) Sharp Ratio Modigliani or M-Square Measure Morningstar Ratings Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-19 Standard Deviation of Returns STD = [1/N × Sum (Ri - mean R) Use monthly returns. Fund managers are interested in excess returns over the risk-free rate or some appropriate benchmark index based on the fund’s objective. The excess return is referred to as a fund’s tracking error. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-20 Sharpe Ratio Average Monthly Excess Return Standard Deviation of Monthly Excess Returns To annualize ratio, multiply the monthly ratio by the square root of 12. The higher the ratio, the higher the fund’s return for any level of risk. Ratio can serve as a basis for comparing funds with different risk levels. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-21 Modigliani or M-Square Measure Fund’s Average Excess Return × STD of Index Excess Return STD of the Funds’ Excess Return Provides a measure equivalent to the return the fund would earn if its risk was the same as the market index. The higher the ratio, the higher the fund’s return for any level of risk. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-22 Morningstar Ratings Morningstar Return = Load-Adjusted Fund Excess Return Ave. Excess Return for Asset Class Load-adjusted excess return subtracts the sales loads and the 90 day T-bill rate from the monthly fund returns. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-23 Morningstar Risk = Fund’s Average Underperformance Ave. Underperformance of Its Asset Class Underperformance is measured by counting the number of months that a fund’s excess return was negative, summing all negative returns, and dividing this sum by the total number of months over the measurement period. To rate funds, Morningstar subtracts the risk score from the return score and ranks funds by this raw score within their asset class. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-24 Pension Plan Private pension plans • Types of plans: – defined benefits (DB); and – defined contribution (DC). • Meet obligations through the accumulation of assets. Federal pension plans • Social Security is the largest federal plan. • Social Security is a “pay-as-you-go” system. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-25 State and local government plans • Accumulate assets to pay for retirement benefits. • Are not regulated by the same federal laws that govern private pension plans. • Management differs from state to state depending on regulation and objectives. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-26 DB Plans Promise a specified benefit or income stream at retirement. The employer bears all the investment risk. • Employer makes contributions based on the age of the plan participant, the level of benefits promised, and the plan’s expected investment return. ERISA of 1974 mandates that plans be fully funded. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-27 A plan is fully funded if the present value of its assets equals the present value of the future pension obligations minus the present value of future contributions. Fund liabilities are estimated using actuarial methods. ERISA established the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) to assure, within limits, the payment of up to 85% of the vested benefits if a defined benefits pension fund fails. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-28 DC Plans Per-employee contributions are specified but the amount of retirement income is not specified. Retirement income depends on: • the plan’s investment returns; and • the age and life expectancy of the plan’s owner at retirement. 401(k) plans are employer-sponsored DC plans. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-29 ERISA allowed IRAs for individuals with no access to private pension plans at work. • Currently, people covered by private pension plans may also have IRAs. Roth IRAs allow anyone to make a contribution regardless of whether they actively participate in a retirement plan. • Contributions are limited to $2,000 and are not taxdeductible. Keogh or H.R. 10 plans allow self-employed individuals and proprietors with small businesses to set up individual DC plans for themselves and their employees. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-30 Management Issues in DB Plans What is the pension contract between all plan stakeholders? How good is pension fund performance adjusted for risk and management costs? What is the optimal allocation for pension assets? Who owns pension surplus assets? Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-31 Should an active or passive asset allocation management policy be pursued? Decision depends on: • performance return of the passive policy; • management cost entailed in following an active policy; and • the additional risk entailed in following an active strategy. • Other active management considerations include: – fund managers investment style; – management fees; – the use of managed futures; and – the timing and frequency of asset rebalancing. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-32 Should pension fund smoothing be used? • Smoothing is used to achieve a return equal to the assumed discount rate used to project pension benefit obligations. • The trade-off is a reduction in a plan’s risk at the expense of higher potential returns. • Techniques employed include: – guaranteed investment contracts (GIC); – dedicated bond portfolios; and – portfolio insurance or insured asset allocation. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-33 Cash Balance Plans (CBP) They are like DB plans in that: • the defined benefit is an agreement to a minimum rate of interest on employees’ accounts; • they are insured by PBGC and are subject to ERISA regulations; and • benefits are generally paid out in lump sums. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-34 CBPs are similar to DC plans in that: • the employer contributes a minimum percentage of pay to the employees’ retirement accounts; • employees receive regular account statements of benefits; and • employees can take the accrued benefits with them if they leave the employer. The advantages of CBPs to an employer are: • lower administration costs; • lower legal exposure; and • lower cost of educating employees. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-35 The disadvantage for the employer is that it continues to bear the investment risk. Employees carry the risk of inflation and the risk of outliving the accrued benefits of their plans like in the DC plan. Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-36 Information for Risk/Return Measures for XYZ Fund Month XYX Return (%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -1.66 3.37 3.26 4.61 4.40 -1.45 -6.23 4.82 3.86 1.56 4.36 3.51 Benchmark Risk-Free Benchmark XYZ Excess Excess Rate (%) Return (%) Return(%) Return (%) .46 .41 .43 .41 .43 .42 .44 .44 .43 .44 .42 .44 Arithmetic Mean Monthly 2.03 Annualized 24.41 Standard Deviation Monthly 3.27 Annualized 11.34 Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. XYZ Excess Return Over Benchmark (%) .16 3.43 1.87 5.59 3.93 -3.79 -8.45 5.94 3.76 -1.45 4.36 2.41 -2.12 2.96 2.83 4.20 3.97 -1.87 -6.67 4.38 3.43 1.12 3.94 3.07 -.30 3.20 1.44 5.18 3.51 -4.21 -8.89 5.50 3.33 -1.89 3.94 1.97 -1.82 -.06 1.39 -.98 .47 2.34 2.22 -1.12 .10 3.01 .00 1.10 1.48 17.77 1.60 19.25 1.05 12.60 .55 6.64 4.06 14.06 3.28 11.36 4.06 14.08 1.43 4.97 All rights reserved. 12-37 Value at Risk (VAR) for XYZ Fund Mean Monthly Return = 2.03 STD of Monthly Return =3.27% At the 95% confidence interval based on a normal distribution, the VAR is 2.03% - (1.96)(3.27) = - 4.38% There is 2.5% probability of losing no more than $43.80 a month for a $1,000 investment Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-38 Sharpe Ratio for XYZ Fund Monthly Mean Excess Return = 1.60% Monthly Standard Deviation of Excess Return = 3.28% 1.60% Sharpe Ratio = = .49 monthly 3.28% Sharpe Ratio Annually = .49 × the square root of 12 = 1.69 Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-39 M-Squared Measure For XYZ Fund Annualized Mean Excess Return for the Fund = 19.25% Annualized Standard Deviation of Excess Return for the Fund = 11.36% Standard Deviation of Excess Returns for the S&P 500 index = 15% M-squared = 19.25% 11.36% Copyright © 2000 by Harcourt, Inc. × 15% = 25.42% All rights reserved.