Climate archives, data, models (Ch. 2) • climate archives • dating of climate archives • timespan & time resolution • GCMs Climate archives -- a climate archive is a source of climate data types include: sediments glacial ice tree rings & corals historical records instrumental records sediments Sediments -- loose material produced by the disintegration of rocks -- transported by wind or water near Earth’s surface -- tend to accumulate in layers in low spots (sedimentary deposition in low areas) examples: sand or silt grains at beaches, or in streams mud / clay particles in lake & ocean bottoms shells of dead organisms in oceans pollen Sediments -- often trap biologic material -- can record temperatures (e.g., inferred from O-isotope data) -- sediments accumulate in low areas, most recent at top -- get time record by taking a core sample Sedimentary deposition in lakes, seas, ocean: Some lake core sample locations time records for as long as deposition in lake persists; can be ~1000 years Ocean core sample locations time records for as long as deposition in ocean persists; can be ~1 - 10 million years Glacial ice -- ice in glaciers or ice sheets -- deposited in annual layers -- ices trap gases in bubbles & record temperatures (O-isotope data) -- get time sequence by taking ice cores in areas that are experiencing ice accumulation Mountain glaciers time records up to ~1000 years _____________ Ice sheets (e.g., Antarctica, Greenland) time records up to ~100,000 years Tree rings -- annual growth of wood layers time records of ~ 100 - 10,000 years Corals -- organisms that live in shallow ocean water -- secrete annual carbonate layers time records of ~ 10 - 1,000 years Some tree ring, coral, and ice core sample locations Historical records -- info about climate that was recorded by people time records over ~ 1000 years Instrumental records -- info on climate (e.g. temperature) recorded by direct measurement time records over ~ few hundred years Dating of climate archives to understand how climate has varied over time, one needs to be able to determine relative or absolute (actual) ages use one or all of the following techniques: (1) radiometric dating (2) correlation (3) counting annual layers (1) Radiometric dating -- absolute dating technique -- depends on the decay of radioactive isotopes -- usually applied to rocks that solidified from magma (molten rock), but radiocarbon dates can be obtained for organic material in sedimentary materials What are isotopes? -- atoms that vary in mass but have the same chemical behavior (i.e., same element, different isotopes) Example: there are 3 stable oxygen isotopes 16O 17O 8 protons 8 neutrons 8 protons 9 neutrons 18O 8 protons 10 neutrons But not all isotopes that exist in nature are stable (some undergo radioactive decay) This changes the number of neutrons or protons in the nucleus of the atom (can get different element as result) Example: Carbon has 3 isotopes 12C - contains 6 protons, 6 neutrons - stable 13C - contains 6 protons, 7 neutrons - stable 14C - contains 6 protons, 8 neutrons - unstable (radioactive) Carbon-14 decays to Nitrogen-14 14C (6 protons, 8 neutrons) --> 14N (7 protons, 7 neutrons) Parent isotope 14C has decayed to daughter isotope 14N. So: how do we use radioactive decay to date something? So: how do we use radioactive decay to date something? Answer: If we know the rate of decay and can measure the amount of parent and daughter isotopes, we can calculate the time elapsed. Half-life = the amount of time needed to transform 1/2 of the parent into the daughter isotope Radioactive decay D/P = 0/24 = 0 12/12=1 18/6=3 21/3=7 the ratio of daughter to parent is unique at any given time, and gives us the number of half-lives that have passed Some half-lifes: (2) Correlation -- relative dating technique -- goal is to understand time sequence of events even if absolute age not known -- use in geologic outcrops where cross-cutting relationships or distinctive features are seen in sedimentary rock layers, the layer on top is the youngest, the layer at bottom is the oldest in order for a rock unit to cut across other rocks, it has to be younger than the other rocks Geologic principles Relative ages (oldest to youngest): igneous 1 sed layer A igneous 2? sed layer B igneous 3 sed layer C igneous 4? To get ages of rocks that cannot be radiometrically dated, use combination of correlation & radiometric dating The circle below represents a point of interest (say a fossil) found in an undatable rock unit that is bounded above and below by datable lava flows. How old is the green dot? <- lava flow dated at 3.6 my -> lava flow dated at 3.8my -> <- lava flow dated at 4.2 my -> 3.9 + 0.3 m.y. 3.7 + 0.1 m.y. The date on the right hand side is a more precise date. <- lava flow dated at 3.6 my -> lava flow dated at 3.8my -> <- lava flow dated at 4.2 my -> (3) Counting annual layers -- relative dating technique -- can be turned into an absolute age if additional info known (e.g., if one knows when layers started or stopped forming) Timespan & time resolution -- different climate archives give info on different timespans timespan: largest time unit we can measure -- vary also in time resolution time resolution: smallest time unit we can measure archive resolution related to the time span: longer time span archives tend to have worse (larger) time resolution ...and vice versa sediments give us our oldest record of climate: oldest sedimentary rocks are ~ 3.5 b.y. old oldest ice core layers from Antarctica: ~400,000 years old General circulation models (GCMs) • these are 3-d computer models that provide a complete numerical simulation of the climate system • they simulate response of climate to various forcings • useful for: -- understanding climate archives -- predicting future climate • can be tested by comparing simulated to real responses Steps in models: subdivide climate system into smaller pieces analyze how these interact Observed Model January surface temperature