Sales and Operations Planning at The Hershey Company Jason Reiman Director, Customer Service & Planning April 20, 2006 2 Why implement a Sales and Operations Planning Process? Product line complexity In & Out items – only available 4-12 weeks during the year – Seasons – Valentine’s Day, Easter, Halloween and Holiday – Limited Editions – 25 LE programs in 2005 – Merchandising Units – shippers, counter units, modules Everyday Items – Turn items – Promotions – New product introductions – 35 products launched in 2005 Plants – 17 sites Co-Manufacturers and Co-Packers – 35 sites Distribution Centers – 5 50.3% of purchases are impulse driven Source: Hershey sponsored Omnibus Study completed by Market Facts Telenation (1,000 adult consumers); 6/12/00 3 Ubiquitous Availability of Products Confectionery Channel Mix (%) Military 1% Mass Merchandisers Small Retailers 18% 7% Fundraising 1% Drug Stores 16% Supermarkets 35% Vend & Wholesale Concession Clubs 6% 3% Data Source: Confectioner Magazine, Hershey estimates 4 Convenience Stores 13% Setting the stage for Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) A monthly process for balancing supply and demand by: Ensuring cross--functional collaboration of the operating plan Aligning expectations across the organization Reconciling the operating plan with the financial plan Planning at the aggregate product family levels Creating ownership by measuring performance against the plan Evolving process 5 How will S&OP help Hershey’s evolve the supply chain? External Integration Effectiveness • CPFR/VMI enablers • Establish critical mass • Joint business planning • Customer centric Internal Integration • Internal collaboration via S&OP • Clear accountabilities; action plans required • Common goals & objectives • Single financial & operating plan • Measure quality Functional Plans • Functionally driven • Weak accountability • Multiple, disjointed plans • Measure accuracy Time 6 Sales and Operations Planning Strategic Business and Financial Planning 12 + months Sales and Operations Planning Tactical Operational 0-3 months Execution Collaboration 3-12 months Demand Plan Operations Plan Operational Forecast Master Production Schedule and Distribution Requirements Planning Deployment Forecast Finite Schedule and Deployment Plan 0-3 weeks Supply Planning Demand Planning 7 Why implement a S&OP Process? It ensures alignment and commitment throughout the organization Before S&OP After S&OP Multiple, disjointed plans Single financial & operating plan Reactive executive involvement based on issues Formal cycle for proactive executive review and commitment Weak accountability Ownership and accountability in all areas and levels of organization; action plans required Limited collaboration in planning Sales, inventory & production plans reviewed by all areas Goals focused on functional performance Goals focused on business performance Performance review in reaction to fires Formal proactive monthly review of performance and future plans 8 Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership 9 Executive Review Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership Executive Review Who: Demand Planning, Supply Planning, Marketing and Sales What: Update S&OP tools and reports with month-end information regarding sales, inventory and actual production Gather additional information and distribute to appropriate teams Explain variances, risks, opportunities and assumptions with plans 10 Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership Executive Review Who: Demand Planning, Sales, Marketing, Supply Planning and Customer Service & Planning What: Review performance against the previous month’s forecast Identify significant changes to forecast Identify risks and assumptions associated with the forecasts Establish forecast recommendations by family for the planning horizon 11 Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership Executive Review Who: Supply Planning, Manufacturing, Distribution and Demand Planning What: Review performance against previous production plan Identify significant changes to production or inventory plans Establish supply plan recommendations by family for the planning horizon which optimizes the revenue/income potential 12 Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership Executive Review Who: Leadership positions from Marketing, Sales, Logistics, Finance and Manufacturing What: Review of S&OP process metrics and key drivers Review areas where forecasts and supply plans are not balanced Operating plan reconciled with financial plan Review of key initiatives impacting the team Identify issues requiring executive team attention 13 Sales and Operations Planning Process - Monthly Meetings Gather Information Forecast Consensus Supply Planning Create Partnership Who: Senior leaders from Marketing, Sales, Operations and Finance What: Review status of action items from previous meeting Discuss impact of the operations plan on the financial plan Review significant product family issues Conduct a process check 14 Executive Review S&OP Results Achieved Improvements have been achieved in each of the following key metrics Forecast Performance (WMAPE) Forecast Bias Service Levels Average Inventory Material Losses Obsolete Packaging Donated, and Destroyed Revenue Drains Unsalables Distressed 15 Lessons Learned Executive involvement and sponsorship is critical to the success Align the forecast around the demand creation process (Marketing and Sales) Establishment of a forecasting/demand planning process is a critical first step New items tend to dominate the process Forecast variability and new manufacturing capability Create linkage to the financial plan Rolling 12 months vs. fiscal year focus The process is more than numbers Document risks, assumptions and decisions along the way Create a process that incorporates mid-cycle changes S&OP happens everyday … it’s not just a couple of meetings a month Focus on decisions, not just reporting the news 16 Next Steps Leverage customer level planning capabilities in the S&OP process Vendor Managed Inventory and Collaborative Planning & Forecasting Creates visibility into channel level inventory Forecasts incorporate POS (Point of Sale) consumption data 17 Customer insights will create a more productive S&OP process Gather Information Forecast Consensus Monthly Business Review * Customer 1 * Customer 2 * Customer 3 Supply Planning Create Partnership Pack Season Brand Executive Review Executive Forecast Review New Products * C-Store COT Club/Dollar COT Drug COT Key Food/Grocery Sales Review Marketing Review 18 Executive Review Next Steps Leverage customer level planning capabilities in the S&OP process Vendor Managed Inventory and Collaborative Planning and Forecasting Implement “What if” capabilities throughout the process Ability to analyze multiple demand and supply scenarios Reduce the overall cycle time of the S&OP process Create linkage to the company’s P&L statement Full financial integration Extend S&OP practices to customers and suppliers Use benchmarking to incorporate new ideas 19 20