Minnesota Economic Association Hamline University, October 2013 Is commercial sport a wise use of taxpayer money? “Without professional sports the Twin Cities are just a cold Omaha” – H.H. Humphrey, 1976 “Stadiums should be like libraries. If the taxpayers build it, they should be able to use it for free.” – Jesse Ventura, 1999 “This should be the ‘people’s stadium’.” – Mark Dayton, 2013 Stadium construction since 1990 League Stadium Projects Cost (Nominal) NFL 28 (out of 31) $ 10,537 $ 6,380 61% MLB 26 (out of 30) $ 9,393 $ 5,511 59% MLS 17 (out of 18) $ 2,340 $ 1,249 53% NBA 26 (out of 30) $ 6,115 $ 3,126 51% NHL 26 (out of 30) $ 5,451 $ 1,974 36% Total 111 out of 127 $ 31,201 $ 17,612 56% Public Cost Public Percent Stadiums Opened 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Number of Stadiums Cost of Stadiums * 2007 dollars. Percentage Financed by Public A closer look at the NFL Team New Orleans Giants/Jets Kansas City Dallas Indianapolis Arizona Philadelphia Green Bay Chicago New England Houston Detroit Seattle Pittsburgh Denver Cincinnati Cleveland Tennessee Buffalo Baltimore Tampa Bay San Diego Washington Oakland Carolina Jacksonville Stadium Superdome (repair and rehab) New Meadowlands Stadium Arrowhead Stadium (rehab) Cowboys Stadium Lukas Oil Stadium University of Phoenix Stadium Lincoln Financial Field Lambeau Field Soldier Field Gillette Stadium Reliant Stadium Ford Field Qwest Field Heinz Field Invesco Field Paul Brown Stadium Browns Stadium LP Field Ralph Wilson Stadium (rehab) M&T Bank Stadium Raymond James Stadium Qualcomm Stadium FedEx Field Oakland Coliseum (rehab) Bank of America Stadium Everbank Field Built 2011 2010 2010 2009 2008 2006 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 2000 1999 1999 1999 1998 1998 1997 1997 1996 1996 1995 St. Louis Atlanta Edward Jones Dome Georgia Dome 1995 1992 Total Cost (Nominal) $ 505 $ 1,600 $ 375 $ 1,150 $ 720 $ 371 $ 285 $ 295 $ 600 $ 325 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 230 $ 365 $ 400 $ 283 $ 290 $ 63 $ 220 $ 169 $ 78 $ 250 $ 200 $ 248 $ 121 Public Cost $ 490 $ $ 250 $ 325 $ 720 $ 267 $ 228 $ 251 $ 450 $ 33 $ 225 $ 219 $ 201 $ 150 $ 274 $ 400 $ 255 $ 220 $ 63 $ 176 $ 169 $ 78 $ 70 $ 200 $ 52 $ 121 Public Percent 97% 0% 67% 28% 100% 72% 80% 85% 75% 10% 75% 73% 67% 65% 75% 100% 90% 76% 100% 80% 100% 100% 28% 100% 21% 100% $ $ 280 214 $ $ 280 214 100% 100% $ 10,537 $ 6,380 61% MN Vikings - Bucking the Trend Total stadium cost: Public cost: State contribution (gambling) City contribution (downtown) Private cost: NFL subsidy Naming rights ($6-8/year) Personal seat licenses Vikings/Zygi Wilf $975 million $498 million $348 million $150 million $477 million $200 million $125 million $ 80 million $ 72 million Who benefits from stadium subsidies? Owners? Players? Fans? Cities? “Economic Impact” Studies Often commissioned by groups with a vested interest in the outcome of the study. Used to justify public subsidies. Typically measure gross economic impact not net economic impact. Generally ignore substitution effects, crowding out, and large leakages from sports. Exaggerate opportunities for outside events. Independent Economists Look back after new stadiums, new/relocated franchises, work stoppages, or mega-events. Measure income, GDP, employment/unemployment, taxable sales, tourist arrivals, or hotel occupancy. Remarkable agreement among economists, finding that spectator sports result in little or no measurable economic benefits on host cities. Expensive methods to promote local development. As a rule of thumb, take whatever the boosters say and move the decimal point one place to the left. The sales job – Wrigley Field The reality – U.S. Cellular Park The reality – HHH Metrodome Policy implications The sum total of the independent evidence does not suggest that sport subsidies standing alone produce social value in excess of their social costs. As part of a larger redevelopment plan, expenditures on teams, facilities, and sports mega-events may induce an increase in economic activity in the urban core, but that may come at the expense of other parts of the metropolitan or regional economies. Why do teams get subsidies? Classic special interest problem in political economy. A small number of people stand to make huge profits – owners, players, construction firms, media, etc. A large number of people stand to lose a small amount over a long period of time. Jerry Jones – spent over $1 million lobbying for new stadium in Arlington. Opponents spent $20,000. Conclusions and policy implications Professional leagues are extremely effective at exerting their monopoly power to pit city against city and neighborhood against neighborhood. Cities can and should take steps to prevent sports from “playing” cities rather than the other way around. A final comparison Marathons vs. professional sports Boston Marathon is worlds oldest, most prestigious (and fastest) marathon in the world. Attracts roughly as many live spectators each year as the Patriots, the Bruins, or the Celtics. Among the most “non-local” races in the world. The Boston Marathon The Boston Marathon receives no public subsidy. Honolulu Marathon, which generates as many new net arrivals as the Pro-Bowl, receives no subsidy while the Pro-Bowl receives a direct payment in excess of $5 million from the HTA. Why? No one has a monopoly on the distance 26.2 miles. Substitution Effects Most fans at sporting events are local residents. Their spending at sporting events displaces spending elsewhere in the economy. Evidence? During 2002 Winter Olympics, retail sales at hotels and restaurants rose by $80 million, but… sales and general merchandise stores fell by $152 million. More evidence? Attendance at cultural institutions and theaters during sporting events. Crowding out Crowds and congestion associated with sporting events deter other visitors. “Nobody goes there anymore. It’s too crowded.” – Yogi Berra Evidence? NFL Pro-Bowl in Honolulu. Attracts 28,000 out of state attendees. Visitor arrivals in Hawaii are only 6,000 above normal during Pro-Bowl week. More evidence? Ski resorts in Utah 2002. More evidence? Broadway and London shows. More evidence? Great America vs. SF 49ers. Leakages Nationwide, roughly 95% of the labor force lives full- time in the metropolitan area in which they work. Most workers are also local hires. In the NBA, 20% of players live during the offseason in the city for which they play. Almost none live locally prior to hiring. Mega-events have additional issues. Prices increase but wages don’t. Also, specialized labor may be imported for the event. (Back) What does $660 million buy these days?