Review of Expenditure Aggregates Derek Blades World Bank Consultant Contents Expenditure aggregates Valuation Two measures of consumption Main expenditure aggregates Expenditure Aggregates of 1993 SNA Final Consumption Expenditure Households Non-profit Institutions Serving Households Government: • Individual • Collective Gross capital formation Gross fixed capital formation Changes in inventories Acquisitions, less disposals, of valuables Balance of Exports and Imports Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Gross Domestic Product Expenditure Aggregates of 1993 SNA Final Consumption Expenditure Households Non-profit Institutions Serving Households Government: • Individual • Collective Gross capital formation Gross fixed capital formation Changes in inventories Acquisitions, less disposals, of valuables Balance of Exports and Imports Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Gross Domestic Product Categories Groups Classes Basic Headings Consumption expenditure by households 13 43 90 110 Consumption expenditure by NPISHs 1 1 1 1 Consumption expenditure by government: Individual Collective 5 1 7 1 16 5 21 5 Gross fixed capital formation 3 6 11 12 1 1 1 2 Acquisitions less disposals of valuables 1 1 1 2 Balance of exports and imports 1 1 1 2 GDP 26 61 126 155 Main Aggregates Change in inventories Household consumption expenditure “Real” expenditures • food, clothing, transport, rent, services…. Imputed expenditures: • rents of owner-occupiers • food and other goods for own consumption • goods and services provided as income in kind Consumption expenditure by NPISHs Examples: • • • • religious organisations (mosques, temples, churches, schools, clinics, hospitals) trade unions political parties in multi-party states UNICEF, OXFAM, Red Crescent Consumption expenditure is the total of: • • • • • compensation of employees, intermediate consumption, consumption of fixed capital, taxes less subsidies on production minus any payments received from households for services provided. Only one basic heading – no breakdown by type Consumption Expenditure by Government All levels of government are covered-central, federal, provincial, local, townships … Consumption expenditure is the total of: • • • • • compensation of employees, intermediate consumption, consumption of fixed capital, taxes less subsidies on production minus any payments received from households for services provided. Divided between “individual” and “collective” Individual versus Collective Most expenditures on housing, health, recreation and culture, education and social protection are individual. (21 basic headings) Expenditures on general public services, defence, public order and safety, economic affairs and environment protection are collective. (5 basic headings) Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) Goods that are expected to be used in production for several years GFCF is always measured net of sales: • sales for scrap, sales to other domestic producers, exports of second-hand assets 1993 SNA includes expenditures on software and on mineral exploration in GFCF Three basic headings: • • • Machinery and equipment Construction Other products Change in inventories Work in progress - construction, ships… Stocks of raw materials, finished goods, goods for resale, goods stored by government as strategic reserves, such as food and fuel. Estimates may not be comprehensive but should cover important items such as food and fuel stocks, stocks of mining companies, large retailers... Acquisitions Valuables Valuables are goods acquired as a store of value: • • • less Precious metals Paintings and antiques Jewellery Not used in production disposal of Valuation Valuation - general rule General rule is to use the prices at which sales of goods and services are transacted - “purchasers” (or “market”) prices. These prices may be reduced by discounts or rebates: • bargaining, sales, bulk purchases… Note that price data for ICP must also reflect discounts or rebates. Valuation - imputed rents Use rents actually paid for similar kinds of dwellings, in similar locations and with similar facilities If not possible, rents are valued at cost consumption of fixed capital, return on capital, regular maintenance, and insurance Valuation – goods produced for own consumption Prices in local markets for livestock, vegetables, fruit… Estimated basic prices for furniture, textiles, hand-tools (retail prices less sales taxes and retail margins) Valuation – Government and NPISH Compensation of employees – not only wages and salaries Intermediate consumption – valued at purchasers prices Consumption of fixed capital – in current prices (not historical) Taxes less subsidies on production minus any payments received from households for services provided. Valuation - GFCF GFCF is valued at purchasers’ prices Prices should include: • • • cost of transport cost of installation and any fees or taxes for transfer of ownership. Own-account production of fixed capital assets is valued at basic prices or, if not available, at the costs of production. Valuation - Change in Inventories The change in inventories must reflect only the physical change - not holding gains or losses due to changes in prices during the year. The physical quantities of inventories at the beginning and end of the year are usually valued using the average prices over the year or, failing that, mid-year prices. Valuation - Exports and Imports Exports of goods and services • Free-on-board (f.o.b.) prices Imports of goods and services • Cost, insurance, freight (c.i.f.) prices Two Measures of Consumption Two ways of looking at consumption Who buys? Who consumes? Consumption Expenditure Actual Consumption Consumption expenditure Actual consumption • Households: • Households • • Non-profit institutions • • • Government: • • Individual Collective versus • Household expenditures Non-profit institutions Government individual expenditures Government: • Government collective expenditures To summarise: Actual consumption of households consists of: • • • Actual consumption expenditure of government consists of: • All consumption expenditure of households All consumption expenditures of non-profit institutions serving households Individual consumption expenditures of government Collective consumption expenditures of government ICP compares actual consumption, not consumption expenditures