Research Design Part 2 Variability, Validity, Reliability Objectives Refine research purpose & questions Variability Validity External, internal, criterion, content, construct Reliability Test-retest, inter-rater, internal consistency, instrument Variability Different values of the independent variable 3 sources… systematic, error, extraneous Variability 1. Systematic Variability within the Ind. variables Design study to maximize systematic variability Rewards vs. management styles Select the right sample & methods Variability 2. Error Sampling & measurement error Eliminate as many conditions as possible Similar leagues, ages, abilities Increase reliability of the instrument Variability 3. Extraneous Control as much as possible Not a planned part of the research Influence outcome that we don’t want Examples… Variability 3. Extraneous Examples Measure teaching techniques of V & R between 2 sections of 497 to see level of comprehension. Measure differences between a week of TRX & Crossfit using the same fitness assessment at the end Main Function of Research… Maximize systematic variability, control extraneous variability, & minimize error variability Validity & Reliability Validity Degree to which something measures what it is supposed to measure Reliability Consistency or repeatability of results Validity & Reliability You are hitting the target consistently, but missing the center. Consistently and systematically measuring the wrong value for all respondents Random hits spread across the target but seldom hit the center Get a good group average, but not a consistent one Hits are spread across the target but consistently missing the center. consistently hit the center of the target Validity & Reliability Can a measurement/instrument be reliable, but not valid? Weighing on a broken scale Can a measurement/instrument be valid, but not reliable? To be useful, a test/measurement must be both valid and reliable Validity External validity Internal validity Test/criterion validity Content validity Construct validity External Validity Generalizability of the results Population external validity Characteristics & results can only be generalized to those with similar characteristics Does sample represent the entire population Demographics Psych experiments with college students Use multiple PE classes, intramural leagues, sports, teams, conferences Control through sampling External Validity Ecological external validity Conditions of the research are generalizable to similar characteristics Physical surroundings Time of day AM vs. PM More common in testing … GRE Internal Validity Confidence in the cause and effect relationship in a study. Strongest when the study’s design (subjects, instruments/measurements, and procedures) effectively controls possible sources of error so that those sources are not reasonably related to the study’s results. The key question that you should ask in any experiment is: “Could there be an alternative cause, or causes, that explain my observations and results?” Internal Validity History Extraneous incidents/events that occur during the research to effect results Only impacts studies across time Attendance at football games/coaching change Survey at IHSA @ parent behavior & parent fight breaks out in middle of survey across the gym Internal Validity Selection If there are systematic differences in groups of subjects Gender – boys more active than girls Higher motivation level More positive attitude toward study Compare GRE scores & grad school performance between sequences Occurs when random sampling isn’t used Internal Validity Statistical regression If doing pre-test/post-test those scoring extremely high or low on first test will often “regress to the mean” on the second test Scoring based more on luck than actual performance The regression effect causes the change & not the treatment Don’t group the high/low scores for the post-test Note: The less reliable the instrument the greater the regression. Internal Validity Pre-testing Pre-test can increase/decrease motivation Gives subjects opportunities to practice Practice can be a positive so they get a true score Pedometers (A. McGee thesis) Instrument can make people think after the pre-test Motivation instruments Internal Validity Instrumentation Changes in calibration of the exam, instrument – Experimental research Changes in observer scoring Fatigue/ boredom Reality judging shows Maturation Experimental research Internal Validity Diffusion of intervention Experimental research Attrition/Mortality Subjects drop out/lost Low scorers on GRE drop out of grad school Coaching techniques & loss of players Internal Validity Experimenter effect Presence, demeanor of researcher impacts +/ Course instructor is PI Course evals Coach or teacher conducting the study Teacher staying in the room when they complete PAQ-C Subject effect Subjects’ behaviors change because they are subjects Subjects want to present themselves in the best light Hawthorn effect Test/Criterion Validity Degree to which a measure/test is related to some recognized standard or criterion Increase test validity Create an intelligence test and then compare subjects scores on our test with their scores on the IQ test Use 2 motivation instruments Giving subjects our intelligence test and the IQ test at the same time Use abbreviated Myers Briggs – 126 vs. 72 items at the same time Content Validity Also called face validity Degree to which a test adequately samples what is covered in a course Usually used in education Does a measurement appear to measure what it purports to measure? No statistical measure/systematic procedure to test this Content Validity Often, experts (panel) are used to verify the content validity of measurements in research studies Content validity is useful, but not the strongest/most credible way of evaluating a measurement Examples Rewards listing Competency categories Construct Validity Degree to which a test/ measurement measures a hypothetical construct Overall quality of measurement Construct Variables… recruitment, motivation, mental preparation Examples Do the selected variables completely measure recruitment? How well does the instrument measure mental preparation? Do the questions adequately test motivation? Construct Validity Threats to construct validity Using one method to measure the construct Inadequate explanation of a construct Ex. Depression = lethargy, loss of appetite, difficulty in concentration, etc… Measuring just one construct & making inferences Using 1 item to measure personality Ex. Myers Briggs = 4 dichotomies Validity Overview Content Test content Test Standards Construct How well constructs describe relationship Reliability Degree to which a test/measurement yields consistent and repeatable results Often reported as a correlation coefficient… Cronbach Alpha Cronbach's alpha α ≥ 0.9 0.8 ≤ α < 0.9 0.7 ≤ α < 0.8 0.6 ≤ α < 0.7 0.5 ≤ α < 0.6 α < 0.5 Internal consistency Excellent Good Acceptable Questionable Poor Unacceptable Look at articles. 4 Sources of Measurement Error 1. The participants Health Motivation Mood Fatigue Anxiety 4 Sources of Measurement Error 2. The testing Changes in time limits Changes in directions How rigidly the instructions were followed Atmosphere of the test/conditions Sources of Measurement Error 3. The instrumentation Sampling of items Calibration of (mechanical) instruments Poor questions 4. The scoring Different scoring procedures Competence, experience, dedication of scorers GRE… Methods to Establish Reliability Test-Retest Reliability (stability) Alternate forms Internal consistency Agreement/ Inter-rater Reliability Test-Retest Reliability (1) Repeat test on same subjects at a later time Usually retest on a different day Use correlation coefficients between subjects’ two scores Used extensively in fitness & motor skills tests Used less for pencil and paper tests Alternate Forms Reliability (2) Alternate forms reliability Construct 2 tests that measure the same thing Give the 2 tests to the same individuals at about the same time. Highly used on standardized tests CPRP/CPRE exam (125 questions) Rarely used on physical tests because of the difficulty to develop 2 equivalent tests Internal Consistency Reliability (3) Split half reliability Similar to alternate form except 1 form is used Divide form into comparable halves (even ?’s/odd ?’s) Do not use first half vs. second half because of testing fatigue Correlate # of odds & evens correct Internal Consistency Reliability (3) Average inter-item correlation Identify question numbers that measure a construct. Correlate the responses to these questions Psychological tests Inter-Rater Reliability (4) Two or more persons rate or observe Common in observational research & performance based assessments involving judgments GRE writing exam scoring Will be expressed as a correlation coefficient or a percentage of agreement Does not indicate anything about consistency of performances In Summary Pick variables that have a chance of varying (systematic variability) Pick a reliable instrument (error variability, statistical regression, reliability) Use random sampling whenever possible (extraneous variability, internal validity) Control external validity thru sampling process at multiple sites (population external validity) In Summary Control external validity thru similar environmental processes (ecological external validity) Make sure survey measures what it is supposed to (content & construct validity) Fully plan data collection process (reliability)