Dr. Sudhakar Raju FN 6100 ANSWERS TO ASSIGNMENT 2 1.) βP = WQ βQ + WR βR + WS S + WT T = (.25) (.90) + (.20) (1.4) + (.15) (1.1) + (.40) (1.8) = .2250 + .28 + .1650 + .72 = 1.39 2.) Equally weighted portfolio of three assets implies that the weights are equal to 33%. P = WRF RF + WA WB B 1.0 = [.33] [0] + [.33] [ .80] + [.33] [ Total portfolio is as risky as the market implies that P = 1.0. Risk free asset has no risk implies that RF = 0. 1 = 0 + .2640 + .33 B .7360 = B .33 3A). ERP or = WRF RRF + WA ERA = (.50) (5) + (.50) (15) = 10 (%) 1 B). P .60 = WRF RF + WA A = WRF (0) + WA (1.10) .60 = WA 1.10 WA = .5455 WRF = .4545 C. Figure out the respective weights, then compute the portfolio beta. ERP = WRF RRF + WA ERA 9 = WRF (5) + WA (15) 9 = 5WRF + (1 – WRF) (15) WA + WRF = 1 9 = 5WRF + 15 – 15 WRF WA = (1 - WRF) -6 = -10 WRF WRF = .60 WA = .60 P = WRF RF + WA P = (.60) (0) + (.40) (1.10) P = .44 D.P = WRF RF + WA A 2.20 = (WRF) (0) + WA (1.10) WA = 2.20 = 2 (or 200%) 1.10 2 Since, WA + WRF = 1 2 + WRF = 1 2 + WRF = 1 WRF = 1-2 = -1 WRF = -1(-100%) A positive weight means that one buys (or is long) the asset. A negative weight means that one sells (or is short) the asset. 4.) Y = 1.45; ERY = 17(%); Z = .85; ERZ = 12(%); RF = 6 (%) ; Market Risk Premium (ERM – RF) = 7.50(%). If assets are priced correctly, the expected return on the asset is given by the SML equation. Therefore, use the SML equation to figure out if both the stocks are being priced correctly. ERY = RF + (ERM – RF) Y ERZ = RF + (ERM – RF) Z ERY = 6 + (7.5) (1.45) ERZ = 6 + (7.50) (.85) ERY = 16.875 (%) ERZ = 12.375 (%) With regard to Stock Y, the CAPM implied return of 16.875% is slightly lower than the expected return of 17%. Thus, the expected return on Stock Y over-compensates the investor. With regard to Stock Z, the CAPM implied return of 12.375% is slightly higher than the expected return of 12%. Thus, the expected return of Stock X under-compensates the investor. 3 5.) All stocks that are priced correctly will lie on the SML. Stocks that are not priced correctly will lie either above or below the SML. Since all correctly priced stocks lie on the SML, all these stocks will have exactly the same slope. The slope of Stock Y is then given by: (ERY - RF) / (βY). Similarly, the slope of Stock Z is given by: (ERZ - RF) / (βZ). Equating the slopes of stocks Y and Z gives: ERY RF = Y ERZ RF Z 17 RF 12 RF = .85 1.45 (17/1.45) - (1/1.45) RF = (12/.85) - (1/.85) RF = 14.12 – 1.1765 RF 11.72 - .6897 RF 14.12 – 11.72 1.1765 RF - .6897 RF = .4868 RF = RF = 2.40 2.40 .4868 RF = 4.93 (%) 6.) P = WA A + WB B + WC C + WRF RF Portfolio as risky as market implies that P = 1. Note that the beta of the risk free asset (RF) is by definition equal to zero. WA = $200,000 = .20; $1,000,000 WB = $250,000 = .25; $1,000,000 4 Wc = ? 1.0 = (.20) (.70) + (.25) (1.10) + (WC) (1.60) + (WRF) (0) 1.0= .14 + .2750 + 1.60 WC .5850 = 1.60 WC WC = .5850 Thus, 1.60 WC = .3656 WA + WB + WC = .20 +.25 + .3656 = .8156 Thus, WRF = 1-.8156 = .1844 WC = .3656 or .3656 x $1m = $ 365,600 WRF = .1844 or .1844 x $1m = $ 184,400 7.) ERP = 12.50; βP = .80; ERX = 28; ERY = 16; X = 1.60; Y = 1.20; RF = 7(%) P = WXX + WY Y + WRF RF .80 = WX (1.60) + WY (1.20) + (WRF) (0) Above implies that WY = .80 1.60W X or 1.20 WY = .67 – 1.33 WX ERP = WX ERX + WY ERY + WRF RRF 12.50 = WX (28) + WY (16) + (1- WX – WY) (7) Substitute WY = (.67 – 1.33Wx ) into the above equation. Note: WX +WY +WRF = 1 Thus, WRF = (1 – WX – WY) 5 Therefore: 12.50 = 28 WX + 16 [.67 - 1.33 WX] + [1 – WX – (.67 – 1.33 WX)] 7 12.50 = 28 WX+ 10.72 – 21.28 WX + [1-WX -.67 + 1.33 WX] 7 12.50 = 28 WX + 10.72 – 21.28 WX + 7 – 7 WX – 4.69 + 9.31 WX 12.50 = 9.03 WX + 13.03 -.53 = 9.03 WX OR WX = .53 9.03 WX = -.0587 = -5.87% WY = .67 – 1.33 WX =.67 – 1.33 [-.0587] = .7481 or 74.81% WRF = 1 – WX – WY =1- (-.0587) - .7481 WRF = .3106 or 31.06% Notice that WX + WY + WRF = 1 Amount invested in Stock X = -5.87 % x $1,000,000 =-$58,700 [Sell $58,700 of Stock X] 8.) ERA = 20 (%); A = 1.30; ERB = 14 (%); B = .80. If securities are priced correctly the expected return on the securities will be given the SML/CAPM equations. Apply the CAPM equations to stocks A and B. Thus: 6 ER = RF + (ERM – RF) CAPM Equation 20 = RF + (ERM – RF) 1.30 (STOCK A).................Equation 1 14 = RF + (ERM – RF) .80 (STOCK B)...................Equation 2 Subtract equation 2 from equation 1. Thus: 6 = (ERM – RF) (.50) 6 = ERM – RF .50 Thus, ERM – RF = 12 (%) ERA = RF + (ERM – RF) A 20= RF + (12) (1.30) 20 = RF + 15.60 RF = 20 – 15.60. Thus, Thus, RF = 4.40 (%) ERM – RF = 12 ERM – 4.40 = 12 ERM = 16.40 (%) 9.) Briefly discuss the following: The Efficient Frontier The Efficient frontier represents all return-risk (ER–SD) combinations corresponding to different portfolio allocations. The upper arc of the portfolio frontier that lies above the minimum risk portfolio is called the “efficient frontier”. The Efficient frontier represents the highest return for given levels of risk. On the efficient frontier higher levels of return are associated with higher levels of risk. 7 b.) Draw a variance-covariance matrix for a 50 stock portfolio. How many variance terms are there? How many covariance terms are there? The variance-covariance matrix will look thus: 1,1 1,2…………. 1,50 50,1 50,2 50,50 The term 1,1; 2,2; 3,3; etc. represent the covariance of the first stock with itself; 2,2, represents the covariance of the second stock with itself; and so on. The covariance of a stock with itself is simply the variance. Thus, the diagonal terms [1,1; 2,2; 3,3;……..50,50] are the variance terms. The off-diagonal terms are the covariance terms. There are thus 50 variance terms. The total number of covariance terms are equal to [50 x 50] minus the 50 Variance Terms or [2500] – [50] = 2450 covariance terms. Note that since the covariance term 1,2 is the same as 2,1 etc., the number of distinct covariance terms are [2450/2] = 1225 distinct covariance terms. c.) Is there a shortcut to quickly estimate the risk of a 50 stock portfolio? Portfolio Variance = (1/N) (Average Value of all the Variance Terms) + [1 – (1/N)] (Average Value of all the Covariance Terms) N = Number of stocks in the portfolio d.) What is beta? What factors affect beta? Can beta be negative? While standard deviation measures the total risk of a stock, beta measures the systematic risk of a stock. In essence, beta measures the linkage between a stock and the market. A beta of 2 means that a stock is twice as volatile as the market whereas a beta of .50 means that a stock is only half as volatile as the market. For large well diversified portfolios, unsystematic risk is essentially zero. For such well diversified portfolios, the only relevant risk is beta. Beta is affected by factors that affect the market as a whole such 8 as interest rate changes, devaluation, etc. Beta measures the interaction of a stock with the market and is given by; BETA = [CORRMSFT, MARKET SDMSFT SDMARKET] / [SDMARKET,SDMARKET] Note that if correlation is negative, beta can be negative. A negative beta means that a stock is negatively correlated with the marker. e.) What are the 3 factors that affect the return on an asset? The CAPM implies that Expected Return is affected by: RF = The Risk Free Rate. This component measures the pure time value of money (ERM- RF) = Market Risk Premium. This component measures the average reward by the market for bearing risk Beta = This component measures the quantity of systematic risk. Higher the beta, greater the return 9