*Heteroskedasticity * Serial correlation * Multicollinerity * Normality * Omitted variables * *What’s Heteroskedasticity? * Prototype * * Error learning misal: belajar mengetik * Sampel yang beragam rumahtangga dgn pendptn, perusahaan berbagai level * Adanya outlier * Omitting variables * Sebaran data tidak normal * incorrect data transformation (e.g., ratio or first difference transformations) and * incorrect functional form (e.g., linear versus log–linear models) * lebih sering terjadi pada data cross section * *BLUE? * Linear Unbiased but not efficient LU Which is the Homoscedastic? Homoscedastic? *KO * Bagaimana estimasi yg diperoleh terkait varians yg tidak konstan? * - Signifikansi ? * - CI ? * misleading … * * Nature of problem (functional form review ) * Periksa Grafik residual * Tes statistik * * Bahwa residual berkorelasi dengan varians *Park Test * 𝛽 signifikan residuals are heteroskedastic * weakness: may not satisfy the OLS assumptions and may itself be heteroscedastic *Glejser Test * weakness: the error term vi has some problems in that its expected value is nonzero, it is serially correlated and ironically it is heteroscedastic, some models are non linear. * H0: residuals are homoskedastic H1: residuals are heteroskedastic * Goldfeld-Quandt Test: the heteroscedastic variance, σ2i , is positively related to one of the explanatory variables in the regression model, ex: * σ2i would be larger, the larger the values of Xi * Weakness: * - depend on which c is arbitrary, * - for X > 1 Var, which X is correct to be ordered? * * Y = Income, * X = Consumption, * n = 30, *c = 4 * * Y = Income, X = Consumption, n = 30, c = 4 * Breusch–Pagan–Godfrey Test Ex: So, H0: residuals are Homoskedastic * Weakness: - large sample needed for small sample, depend much on normality assumption ESS = SSR * *𝜒2 1,5% = 3,8414 * White’s General Heteroscedasticity Test. H0: residuals are homoskedastic Or H0: , df = # parameter -1 * Weakness: more variables will consume more df. * Koenker–Bassett (KB) test. Obtain residual, then estimate * H0: residuals are homoskedastic * Or H0: 𝛼2 = 0 * Tes hipotesis using t-test * * Find other references… * Perhatikan 𝛽1 & 𝛽2 Reparameterize before analize ! Reparameterize before analize ! * Practically, run OLS first, then run: * consistent estimator large sample needed * 𝛽 measure the elasticity * * Run the following (weighted) regression: Apa perbedaan kedua model ini? * Compare with the unweighted * White suggests: * For RLB: * * * Pelajari Gujarati, Basic Econometrics, 14th edition, * Ch. 11, section 11.7