GROUP :08 WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Agriculture & Dispute settlement Mechanism • • • • N-31: Mustakeem Khan N-10: Bajrang Bali Goel N-56: Sunil Kumar N-71: Manik Garg JBML - Gurgaon UIIC - Delhi C-DAC - New Delhi BHEL - New Delhi • • • • S-18: Dean Mendonca S-23: Hemant Rohilla S-40: Poonam Mann S-72: Anjali Monga Taneja Indian Navy - Delhi C.DOT. - New Delhi Teradata Corp - Gurgaon Self-Employed - Delhi WTO : CURRENT ISSUES AGENDA Section I Section II Section III Section IV : Introduction & Background : Agriculture Issues : Dispute Settlement : Current Issues & Future Path Case Studies • Case 1 : • Case 2 : Argentina- Chile US-Brazil Cotton WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Section-I Introduction & Background WTO : CURRENT ISSUES GLOBAL TRADE : BREAKING BORDERS… Need for International Trade Organizations To Reduce trade barriers after World War –II Raising standards of living Ensuring full employment A large and steadily growing volume of real income and effective demand Developing the full use of the resources of the world Expanding the production and exchange of goods. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES International Trade Organisations • 1948, Havana: ITO • 1955, GATT (Bretton Woods Conference) review session: OTC • 1963: UN EcoSoC ideas for a UN agency regulating international trade => GATT to become this agency’s Committee on Tariffs to implement decisions by UNCTAD and other relevant UN policy decisions • 1990: Canada’s proposal for an MTO came as a surprise (not envisaged in Punta del Este, 1986) • Motivated by a wish to create a single institutional framework for world trade • Subsequently supported by EU • Initially opposed by US, then agreed upon (including the name change) • 1994: Marrakesh Agreement • 1 January 1995, Geneva: WTO’s foundation • Established following decisions embodied in the Final Act of the Uruguay Round signed on 15 April 1994 in Marrakech WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : FACTS Location : Geneva, Switzerland Established : 1 January 1995 Created by : Uruguay Round negotiations (1986-94) Membership : 153 countries Budget : 154m Swiss francs, 2003 Secretariat staff: 629 Head Pascal Lamy(director-general) : Functions: • Administering WTO trade agreements • Forum for trade negotiations • Handling trade disputes • Monitoring national trade policies • Technical assistance and training for developing countries • Cooperation with other international organizations Source: wto.org WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : A Brief History WTO : CURRENT ISSUES What does WTO stand for? WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: The Structure WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Guiding Principles Most Favored Nation National treatment Single undertaking Dispute settlement WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Guiding Principles Most favoured nation: A commitment that a country will extend to another country the lowest tariff rates it applies to any other country. Also called non-discrimination. National treatment: commitment to treat foreign producers and sellers the same as domestic firms. Single undertaking: provision that requires countries to accept all the agreements reached during the Uruguay Round negotiations as a single package, rather than on a case by case basis. This same rule applies to the Doha Round. Disputes Settlement Body: The General Council of the WTO, composed of representatives of all member countries, convenes as the Dispute Settlement Body to administer rules and procedures established in various agreements. It has the authority to establish panels, oversee implementation of rulings and recommendations and authorise suspension of concessions or other obligations under various agreements. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Decision Making Decision-making in WTO follows GATT practices and is based on Negotiation bargaining, consultation and consensus Consensus is the modus operandi. Does not mean unanimity; is, in fact weaker than unanimity No fundamental objection on an issue by all parties present at negotiations Those not present or abstaining (from a vote) do not count Imposes conservative tendencies Proposals for change adopted only if not opposed WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Decision Making-Formal Consensus No Consensus • No Problem • Voting WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Decision Making-Formal • VOTING RULES • “one member – one vote” system (IMF, WB: weighted voting) • Unanimity • Amendments on general principles (i.e. Non Discrimination) • Three-quarters majority • Interpretations of WTO provisions • Waivers of WTO disciplines (for a member) • Two-thirds majority • Amendments related to issues other than general principles • Accession • Simple majority • no other rules specified and consensus cannot be reached WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Decision Making-Informal • The Green Room Informal decision making is the norm in the WTO. The so-called “green room process” is when a limited number of (often selfselected) countries work out an agreement amongst themselves. This process is named after the colour of the room of the GATT director where many such meetings took place during the Uruguay round. • In the WTO era the “green room process” continues, and is a key element during the negotiations leading up to and during WTO ministerials. The countries excluded from the exclusive meetings complain but nothing has been done to make the negotiating process more inclusive. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Subjects Agriculture Services Non-agriculture Intellectual Property Rights Trade investment, competition, policy, government procurement and trade facilities Trade rules Dispute settlements Trade and environment Trade, finance and debt Trade and technology transfer Electronic commerce WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : MAIN AGREEMENTS 1.General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) covering trade in goods such as agriculture, textiles, and industrial products 2. General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) covering services from finance to water 3.Trade Related aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) Establishing the WTO Dispute settlements Review of government trade policies WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: GATS : Four Modes of Supply Mode Criteria Supplier Presence Mode 1: Cross-border supply Service delivered within the territory of the Member, from the territory of another Member Service delivered outside the territory of the Member, in the territory of another Member, to a service consumer of the Member Service delivered within the territory of the Member, through the commercial presence of the supplier Service delivered within the territory of the Member, with supplier present as a natural person Service supplier not present within the territory of the member Mode 2: Consumption abroad Mode 3: Commercial presence Mode 4: Presence of a natural person Service supplier present within the territory of the Member WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Agriculture issues WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: AGRICULTURE AGREEMENT ‘The inadequacy of the rules legitimizes and institutionalizes dumping’ [of subsidized low-priced exports on to world markets] 3D/IATP report on human rights, agricultural trade and the WTO • The WTO did not invent subsidies • Governments came to GATT/WTO to try to change things Before the WTO: the sky’s the limit Under the WTO: limits and reductions agreed, first step, phased for adjustment After ‘Doha’ negotiations (2001 onwards): more cuts + export subsidies to be scrapped Issues WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Indian Agricultural Resources- a glance •India has 6 percent of the world’s human population, 2 percent of the world’s geographical area, •1 percent of world’s rainwater, 1 percent of forest, and 0.5 % of pastureland. •The country has over 7500 km of coastline and about 2.1 million sq km of exclusive economic zone in the oceans. •Around 60 percent of the geographical area suffers from soil erosion, water logging, and salinity. •15 percent of the world’s livestock, •Two-thirds of the total 450 million heads of livestock struggle for survival in crowded rain fed regions. •Nearly 70 percent of the population in India depends on agriculture. •Consequently, the stress on the population-supporting capacity of natural ecosystems is immense. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO and Indian Agriculture – In the Beginning •-Indian agriculture was perceived as badly hit •-In compliance with its obligations under WTO on April 1, 2000, the Government of India eliminated all import restrictions from more than 700 items, a large portion of which were agricultural commodities. •-The remaining 700 or so items were freed from import restrictions in 2001. •-The result of this liberalization is that many agricultural commodities and processed foods have entered the Indian market from different countries and are seen on supermarket shelves. •-The political economy of agriculture, as a result, is at a crossroads where liberalization, globalization and world trade have caused some concern in the Indian farming community. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Implications on Indian Agriculture • Agriculture in India has a long history dating back to ten thousand years. • Today, India ranks second worldwide in farm output. • Agriculture accounted for 16.6% of the GDP in 2007 employed 60% of the total workforce and despite a steady decline of its share in the GDP, is still the largest economic contributor WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :agreements relevant to agriculture •There are four sets of WTO agreements that are relevant to agriculture. •First, there is the agriculture text proper. •Second, there is the sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) agreement. •Third, the agreement on intellectual property rights, specifically on microorganisms and plant and seed varieties. (eg. Patent of basmati) •Fourth, the agreements on industrial tariffs, especially after the phase-out of the quantitative restrictions (QRs), which have implications for fertilizers and the fertilizers policy. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Challenge after Removal of Quantity Restrictions •Where the Government could fail - as it did in the case of edible oil imports - is by moving slowly on increasing tariffs whenever global or domestic prices fall (and results into dumping). •However, the fairly high levels of tariff protection that India can now invoke could be under threat when the next phase of multilateral negotiations on agriculture begins at the WTO. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Deal on Agriculture (Flawed functioning of 1994) The next issue is the functioning of the 1994 WTO deal on agriculture, It has been far from boosting trade, used by the rich countries to increase farm subsidies. -Experts in the country have demanded a review of this agreement. -India has officially already made proposals to address the “implementation problems” in the farm pact. -Going further may force concessions on imports. India to WTO : CURRENT ISSUES offer more WTO : Indian Govt. Approach In its first set of proposals, the Government appears to have chosen to place greater importance on protecting agriculture than on liberalizing farm exports. This is apparent from the demand for constituting a “Food Security Box” that will facilitate higher levels of protection and codify provisions that already exist in the WTO agreements. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA 1. AoA and the Agreement on Application on Sanitary & Phytosanitary Measures were negotiated in parallel 2. Decisions on measures concerning the possible negative effects of the reform programme on least developed and net food importing developing countries also part of the package. (32 least developed countries e.g. Bangladesh, Haiti) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA AoA :Three Elements 1. Market Access 2. Domestic Subsidies 3. Export Subsidies WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA 1. Market Access • Tariffication of Non Tariff Barriers (NTB’s) • Reduction of Tariffs • • • By a simple average of 36% over 6 years for developed countries By a simple average of 24% over 10 years for developing countries Minimum Access • Not less than 3%, rising to 5% by 2004 for developing countries WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA 2. Domestic Support • Aggregate Measurement of Support (AMS) • Product Specific • Non-Product Specific -De Minimis Provisions • Three Categories of Domestic Support • “Green Box” Measures • “Blue Box” Measures • “Amber Box” Measures WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA Domestic Support: Exemption Investment subsidies in the Agriculture sector, Input support to low income/resource poor farmers, Support for diversification from illicit narcotic crops Export Subsidy 1. Prohibited 1. 2. Otherwise subject to reduction commitments Value of Subsidy By 36% over 6 years for developed countries 2. By 24% over 10 years for developing countries 3. No reduction for least developed countries 1. 4. Quantity of Export By 21% over 6 years for developed countries by 14% over 10 years for developing countries 7. No reduction for least developed countries 5. 6. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Understanding AoA Domestic Support: Notification Obligations • Members bound to notify changes in Market Access, Export Subsidies and Domestic Support • India notifies • AMS (Aggregate Measurement of Support) • Product Specific for 19 crops • Non product specific: Fertilizer, Irrigation Electricity and seeds • Green Box • Special & differential , provisions for low income/ resource poor farmers WTO : CURRENT ISSUES AOA: Three categories of domestic support Agreement on Agriculture domestic support measures divided into Three Categories of Domestic Support • •“Green •“Blue Box” Measures Box” Measures •“Amber Box” Measures WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Green Box Measures “Green-box” measures were those having no major effect on production and trade and were considered completely non-violative of the AoA and not subjected to any reduction commitments. -They included a variety of “direct payments” to farmers, which were seen as augmenting their incomes without influencing production decisions. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Green Box Measures- examples Some of Green Box Measures were: • • • • Producer retirement programmes, Resource retirement programmes, Environmental protection programmes, Regional assistance programmes • Public stockholding for food security reasons, • Agricultural input subsidies for low-income, resource-poor families, • Domestic food aid, • Certain types of investment aid, • General services that provide among other things: WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Amber box measures “Amber box” measures, were seen as “those policies, which do have a substantial impact on the patterns and flow of trade”. All such domestic support measures were to be taken into account while computing the AMS level, and countries had to commit themselves to reduce in the aftermath of the agreement. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Blue Box Measures “Blue-box” measures, were additional exemptions arrived at through the Blair House accord and were introduced to allow the US and the EC to continue to support agriculture, while meeting AMS provisions. -They were exempt from inclusion in the AMS subject to reduction commitments, but were conditionally actionable. -These included notably compensatory payments and land programmes of the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy, aimed at compensating producers for limiting production, and the US government’s deficiency payments scheme, aimed at compensating producers facing market prices that are below a targeted level. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Export Subsidies Agreement on Agriculture, in its bid to make agricultural trade freer, required nations to reduce the subsidies they offered to exporters of agricultural products, as these were considered an unfair practice. Signatories to the AoA committed themselves to reduce the expenditure they incurred on such subsidies to levels that were 36 percent lower than their 1986-90 average values in the case of the developed countries and 24 percent lower relative to the same figure in the case of developing countries. In comparison to market access and domestic support, disciplines on export competition were considered the most binding of all AOA commitments. 25 percent of the members of WTO have maintained the right to subsidize exports. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Sanitary and Phytosanitary Agreement & Allied Measures Any discussion on the effects of the WTO agreements on Indian agriculture will be incomplete without a discussion on SPS and TBT agreements. Article 14 of the AOA clearly states: “Members agree to give effect to the Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures.” -The Agreement on SPS allows members to adopt and enforce measures necessary to protect human, animal or plant life or health, subject to the requirement that these measures are not applied in a manner which would constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) sets standards for labeling and packaging of agricultural products as recommended by CAC. -Unless India keeps itself abreast of the emerging guidelines of CAC, it may face non-tariff-barriers in future. -WTO does encourage developing countries to take active part in the CAC activities to decide on various SPS and TBTrelated standards. -Among developing countries, India has been active in its Participation. -This practice needs to be pursued on a continued basis to protect interests of Indian agriculture, without jeopardising the spirit of achieving uniform international standards. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: India’s Commitments 1.Market Access -No tariffication; ceiling bindings off -100% for primary commodities -150% for processed agricultural products -300% for edible oils 2.Domestic Support -Price Support for 19 products 3. Export subsidy -India does not have these. -No commitments WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : The Uruguay Round Because of differences among the 115 member countries, these negotiations could not be finished within 4 years. The main areas of dispute were agriculture, textiles and technology agreement. In the government procurement negotiations, India is an observer, but not a signatory. In the final Uruguay Round package, such GATT-plus, agreements are called Plurilateral trade agreements. This is in contrast to multilateral trade agreements, which are GATT/WTO agreements-proper and have universal application. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Uruguay round- afterward The Uruguay Round (1986-94) is considered by both its defenders and its critics as a major landmark in international trade negotiations. It has changed the terms of the world trade regime in many significant ways. In this round, besides negotiation areas of tariff and non-tariff measures, New areas 1. Trade in services, 2. Trade related investment measures (TRIMS), 3. Trade related intellectual property rights (TRIPS) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Intellectual Property Protection A next issue is intellectual property protection. -India was compelled in 1994 to agree to provide sui generis protection to plant varieties. However, it had the choice of drafting its own legislation. This could have contained innovative provisions to protect traditional rights. -Yet, years of procrastination and inter-Ministry squabbling have meant that no legislation has been enacted, opening the door to disputes at the WTO from other countries. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Benefits for Indian Agriculture • Reduction in export subsidies on farm products in developed countries will make Indian agricultural exports more competitive. • Fruits, oil seeds, cotton, and milk products will be benefited due to subsidy reductions. • There will be higher price realizations, which will help in improving the standard of living of farmers. • Countries will be forced to produce only what they are best at. This will mean increased efficiency and higher productivity throughout India. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Benefits for Indian Agriculture • Environmental programmes are exempt from cuts in subsidies so that the environment protection programmes continue unabated. • India does not have to cut subsidies or lower tariffs as much as developed countries and it has been given enough time to complete its obligations. • Distortions in the market place would reduce, which would benefit the end consumer. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Agriculture Proposals -As a S&D measure, developing countries to be allowed to maintain appropriate levels of tariffs. -Developing countries to retain flexibility for public stock holding and public distribution of food grains -Use of special safeguard in the event of a surge in imports or a decline in prices -Measures for poverty alleviation, rural development and employment to be exempt from AMS. -Primary agricultural commodities like jute, rubber, coir and primary forest produce which provide employment and livelihood to many to be covered by AOA. -Exemption to developing countries from any obligations to provide minimum market access. -Historical low tariff bindings to be rationalised commensurate with bindings on similar category of products under the Uruguay Round. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Agriculture Proposals Negative product specific support to be allowed to be adjusted against positive non-product specific support. To achieve meaningful market access it is proposed to seek: -Substantial reduction in tariffs, tariff peaks and tariff escalation by developed countries -Elimination of all forms of export subsidies including export credits, guarantees, insurance etc. by developed countries. -Flexibility available to developing countries under ASCM to be preserved in AOA -Peace clause not to be extended for developed countries -Down payment by way of 50% reduction in trade distortion and tariffs by developed countries by the end of 2001 -Retaining and strengthening the existing S&D provisions WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Agriculture Issues -Conclusion •Inadequate Infrastructure in relation to post-harvest technology, including rural communication, godowns, refrigerated storage, and transportation arrangements for perishable commodities. •The World Trade Agreement stringent requirements of sanitary and phytosanitary measures are yet to be understood. •There is an urgent need to improve yield per drop of water. •During the last few decades, farmers in various countries have shifted from flow irrigation to sprinkler, drip, and now membrane irrigation. •Indian farmers need adequate information. Computerized systems of information need to be developed and the benefits of cyberspace should be extended to poor farm families. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Agriculture -Future Strategy For Developing Countries •Ensure reduction of AMS and duties in letter and spirit... •The implementation issues •Forge a common platform to change the rules of the game: special and differential treatment, AMS, reduction of duties. •Proactive preparations for penetrating the markets when the duties and the subsidies come down. •Are we prepared? •Active participation in Codex meetings. •Forging common platform for SPS related barriers. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : Agriculture -Future Strategy For Developing Countries… Emphasis on quality within the country……… the “Quality” culture has to be developed Identify subsidies which are WTO compatible……… Agri Export Zones are a move in this direction. Take a fresh look at agricultural commodities which are being supported and move towards such commodities which are market driven rather than State driven Wheat Durum Wheat Rice Basmati Rice Sugar Potatoes Onion Eggs WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Case: DS207 Dispute Settlement Between Developing Countries Chilean Price Bands WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Argentina-Chile Relations Share the world's third-longest international border (5,300 km long) Disputes over Patagonia region Chile is the 3rd export trading partner for Argentina Chile imports products including cereals and meat from Argentina Chile has recently invested heavily in retail markets of Argentina Signed a Mining Integration Agreement in 1997 Gave go-ahead for the $3-billion Pascua Lama project (an open pit mining project) in 2009 WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Flagship sector: Argentina is one of the top vegetable oil producers in the world. Total production (2001)= ~ 5,283 thousand tons (includes soy, sunflower, peanut, olive, cotton, linseed, corn, turnip, edible mixes and tung oils) 80-90% domestic production is exported Low domestic consumption + high productivity Makes Argentina one of the leading world exporter of sunflower and soy oil (followed by Brazil and the United States) Exports of vegetable oil & fats represent ~ 28% of the value of total food exports ~ 10% of the value of total exports. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Issue: Erratic global demand & supply during 1997-2001 Low demand (economic turmoil- SE Asia/Russia etc) + High production (esp Argentina & Brazil) Result: Drop in prices – Affect on Chile’s PBS Collection of ad valorem customs duties of ~64.5% for oils & 60.25% on wheat flour (2000) A violation of ceiling set by Uruguay Round (31.5%) PBS (Price band System): Applicable to agricultural products When a product subject to the PBS arrives in Chile, the customs official will impose the ad valorem duty (8%) only when the reference price (RP) falls between the lower and upper thresholds of the PBS. RP- determined each Friday using the lowest free on board (FOB) price in so-called markets of interest PBS- determined annually on the basis of FOB prices observed on particular international markets over the preceding 5 yrs WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Dispute Settlement Process: After failure of regional level talks Argentina submitted dispute to Administration Commission of the Mercosur-Chile Agreement (ECA 35) After Chile’s reluctance to comply- submitted complaint to WTO – Oct’2000 Step 1: Consultation & Mediation Argentina’s Argument- PBS violated Article II (b) of GATT 1994 i.e by virtue of its structure, design and mode of application it potentially led to the application of specific duties in violation of the Chilean bound tariff. In practice the PBS resulted in the collection of ad valorem customs duties exceeding the bound ceiling tariff of 31.5%. Chile’s argument- PBS duties are ordinary customs duties and therefore not subject to tariffication WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO :Agriculture Dispute Dispute Settlement Process: (contd) Failure of Step 1 Step 2: Constitution of Panel Report: Step The Chilean PBS is inconsistent with Article 4.2 3: Appeal by Chile to Appellate Body The Appellate Body recommended that the DSB request Chile to bring its price band system, as found, in its and in the Panel Report as modified by its Report, to be inconsistent with the Agreement on Agriculture, into conformity with its obligations under that Agreement. Step 4: Award & Implementation On 17 March 2003, the arbitrator circulated its award the “reasonable period of time” that should be extended to Chile to implement the recommendations and rulings of the DSB in this dispute was 14 months (23 December 2003). Chile stated that a new price band system Law would come into force on 16 December 2003 WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Dispute Settlement WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT Dispute settlement is regarded by the World Trade Organization (WTO) as the central pillar of the multilateral trading system, and as the organization's "unique contribution to the stability of the global economy“. A DISPUTE arises when one member country adopts a trade policy measure or takes some action that one or more fellow members considers to a breach of WTO agreements or to be a failure to live up to obligations. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – Aims of the DSU (Article 3) To provide security and predictability to the multilateral trading system. That a prompt settlement of disputes is essential. To secure a positive solution to a dispute. (Negotiated solution is preferable to litigated decisions.) Once a violation is determined the aim is to secure the withdrawal of the offending measure. Compensation is to be resorted to only if the withdrawal of the measure is impracticable. As a last resort, have suspension of concessions or other obligations (“Retaliation”). WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – VIOLATION COMPLAINTS The Banana Case EU had long tradition of granting preferential access for bananas produced in African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries to the detriment of Central and South American countries 1993: As part of the Single Market, EU adopted a complex import licensing system, favouring ACP suppliers (‘dual tariff-quotas’) Latin American countries and U.S. repeatedly brought the matter to GATT/WTO and won each time 1994: Banana Framework Agreement with Costa Rica, Colombia, Nicaragua and Venezuela, allocation of quotas to these countries 1996: Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico and US contested EU banana regime as discriminating against their producers 1997: WTO panel report found EU regime in violation of WTO nondiscrimination rules 1998: EU revised the regime, but kept the dual tariff rate quotas 1999: US ($191 mill.), Ecuador ($200 mill.) authorised to retaliate 2001: Compromise, EU agrees to replace quotas by simple tariffs in the medium-run and to change quota allocation in the short-run WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – NON-VIOLATION COMPLAINTS : Kodak - Fuji U.S. had since long argued that presence of Japanese corporate groups (Keiretsu) undermines market access for U.S. firms 1996: U.S. brings Fuji-Kodak conflict to the WTO Fuji’s control of film wholesalers in Japan asserted to prevent Kodak sales in Japan No direct violation of GATT/WTO principles but effect similar to a violation of the national treatment principle Crucially, assertion that Japanese government (through its competition policy) was partly responsible for the situation 1998: Panel report does not support U.S. demands No evidence of impact of government measures on U.S. market access In addition, single-brand wholesale distribution common in national film markets WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT –DSU Articles Article 19 -- (Panel & AB Recommendations) Article 21 -- (Surveillance of Implementation) Article 22 -- (Suspension of Concessions) Article 19 --- Recommendation is to “bring the measure into conformity” with the WTO agreement. Article 21 --- Prompt compliance is essential. The panel reviews a disagreement over consistency of compliance measures taken and keeps under surveillance implementing actions. • Parties need to inform of intentions to comply with DSB. • Arbitration as to “reasonable period.” Art. 21(3). • “Consistency of compliance” – original panel. Art. 21(5). Article 22 --- Full implementation is preferred. Sanctions (withdrawal of concessions) may be authorized. • Authorization for sanctions to DSB. • Arbitration (by panel) for amount of sanctions. Art. 22(6). WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – STAGES Consultations Panel Appeal Adoption Implementation WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – Basic Procedures First stage is consultations. Upon failure of consultations panels are established by the Dispute Settlement Body (DSB) (General Council). Panels have detailed rules of procedures providing for “descriptive sections,” interim reports, and final reports. If appealed the Appellate Body (AB) reviews the panel report. Issues of law covered by the panel Legal interpretations developed by the panel. The DSB automatically adopts the reports of the panels and the Appellate Body unless there is a “consensus” (unanimity) against its adoption. (Concept of automaticity.) DSB keeps surveillance of implementation. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Sanctions & Compliance Authorization of Sanctions WTO authorizes winning party to impose sanctions when have noncompliance – WTO determines compliance Removal of Sanction Winning state to remove sanctions when it determines implementation is sufficient But if winning states fails to remove sanctions, losing state to return to WTO and ask for compliance determination WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Compensation & Retaliation If all else fails, two more possibilities are set out in the DSU: i.If a member fails within the "reasonable period" to carry out the recommendations and rulings, it may negotiate with the complaining state for a mutually acceptable compensation. Compensation is not defined, but may be expected to consist of the grant of a concession by the respondent state on a product or service of interest to the complainant state. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – Compensation & Retaliation ii. If no agreement on compensation is reached within twenty days of the expiry of the "reasonable period", the prevailing state may request authorization from the DSB to suspend application to the member concerned of concessions or other obligations under the covered agreements. The DSU makes clear that retaliation is not favored, and sets the criteria for retaliation. In contrast to prior GATT practice, authorization to suspend concessions in this context is semi-automatic, in that the DSB "shall grant the authorization [...] within thirty days of the expiry of the reasonable period", unless it decides by consensus to reject the request. Any suspension or concession or other obligation is to be temporary. If the respondent state objects to the level of suspension proposed or to the consistency of the proposed suspension with the DSU principles, still another arbitration is provided for, if possible by the original panel members or by an arbitrator or arbitrators appointed by the Director-General, to be completed within sixty days from expiration of the reasonable period. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Compensation & Retaliation While such "retaliatory measures" are a strong mechanism when applied by economically powerful countries like the United States or the European Union, when applied by economically weak countries against stronger ones, they can often be ignored. This has been the case, for example, with the March 2005 Appellate Body ruling in case DS 267, which declared US cotton subsidies illegal. Whether or not the complainant has taken a measure of retaliation, surveillance by the DSB is to continue, to see whether the recommendations of the panel or the Appellate Body have been implemented. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT - Duration Duration of a Dispute Settlement procedure 60 days Consultations, mediation, etc 45 days Panel set up and panellists appointed 6 months Final panel report to parties 3 weeks Final panel report to WTO members 60 days Dispute Settlement Body adopts report (if no appeal) Total = 1 year (without appeal) 60-90 days Appeals report 30 days Dispute Settlement Body adopts appeals report Total = 1 year 3 months (with appeal) ^ These approximate periods for each stage of a dispute settlement procedure are target figures. The agreement is flexible. In addition, the countries can settle their dispute themselves at any stage. Totals are also approximate. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies Case DS 267 US Cotton Subsidies WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies CASE FACTS Complainant: Brazil Defendant: United States Third Parties: Argentina; Australia; Benin; Canada; Chad; China; Chinese Taipei; European Communities; India; New Zealand; Pakistan; Paraguay; Venezuela; Japan; Thailand WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies MAIN ISSUES #1 ISSUE US Domestic and Export subsidies for Upland Cotton Producers specifically the: Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 Did US Farm Bills in 1999 and the subsequent farm bills that targeted funds to support US prices for domestic cotton production and exports break WTO agreements on Subsidies or did Article 13 of the GATT 1994 preclude rules on subsidies? #2 ISSUE Compliance Once WTO ruled US cotton subsidies broke WTO rules Brazil requested another panel to ensure that US had complied with the ruling. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies SPECIFIC US BILLS CONTESTED BY BRAZIL Step 2 payments - subsidies designed to enhance competitiveness of US cotton exports, by providing payments to buyers of US-grown cotton when its price exceeds a European benchmark price. Export credit guarantees - government guarantees for short-term export financing for cotton and other agricultural commodities. Marketing loan payments -a loan program that allows farmers to use cotton crops as collateral for a non-recourse government loan and to repay the loan at a lower rate when the world price for cotton falls below a certain threshold. Counter-cyclical payments - payments proportional to a farmer's cotton production on "base acres" during a past period, triggered when the market price for cotton falls below a target price. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies CONTEXT OF THE CASE : BRAZIL POSITION Brazil claims the United States Farm Bill of 1999-2000 and 2002 contravene WTO rules on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures and the Agreement on Agriculture. Brazil argued that the US was responsible for driving down world cotton prices, consequently causing harm to Brazilian farmers while increasing the US share of the global cotton market. “Brazil requests consultations with the Government of the United States regarding prohibited and actionable subsidies provided to US producers, users and/or exporters of upland cotton.” - From Brazil’s letter of consultation March 10, 2002 WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies CONTEXT OF THE CASE : US POSITION US argues that Brazil claims are warrantless because US subsidies are within their rights pursuant to Article 13 of the Agreement on Agriculture that exempts certain subsidies for nine years after GATT 1994. These exemptions in Article 13 insure against complaints and are known as “peace” provisions, also know as Green Box exemptions. Article 13 Agreement on Agriculture “Peace” provisions within the agreement include: an understanding that certain actions available under the Subsidies Agreement will not be applied with respect to green box policies and domestic support and export subsidies maintained in conformity with commitments; an understanding that “due restraint” will be used in the application of countervailing duty rights under the General Agreement; and setting out limits in terms of the applicability of nullification or impairment actions. These peace provisions will apply for a period of 9 years. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies CONTEXT OF THE CASE : US POSITION Initial Brief of the US on questions posed by the panel. June 5, 2003 “…Article 13 (the “peace clause”) precludes the Panel from considering Brazil’s claims under Article XVI of the GATT 1994 and the (ASCM) since the US support measures at issue conform with the Peace Clause.” Comments of the US on comments by Brazil on questions posed by the Panel. – June 13, 2003 …” the interpretation of Article 13 advanced by Brazil is deeply flawed…Brazil fails to read the Peace Clause according to the customary rules of interpretation of public international law….It’s interpretation… would lead to an absurd result…” WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies LEGAL BASIS FOR BRAZIL CASE: Brazil complained that United States Violated the following WTO Agreements: 1.Articles 4.1, 7.1 and 30, of ASCM 2.Article 19 of the AA 3.Article 22 of GATT 1994 4.Article 4 of DSU In short this is violation of subsidies agreements WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies WTO ARTICLES INVOLVING THE CASE AA 3.3- No subsidies above the scheduled level of specified goods (scheduled goods) in article 9 of AA Export Subsidy Commitments 1. The following export subsidies are subject to reduction commitments under this Agreement: “the sale or disposal for export by governments or their agencies of non-commercial stocks of agricultural products at a price lower than the comparable price charged for the like product to buyers in the domestic market”(AA9(b)) AA 8- No export subsidies for unscheduled products AA 9.1-supposed to reduce the level of direct subsidies payment. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies WTO ARTICLES INVOLVING THE CASE AA 10-Prevention of Circumvention of Export Subsidy Commitments ASCM Art. 3 - no subsidies based on export performance- In case of U.S export credit guarantees ASCM Arts 5(C)-Serious prejudice to the interests of another Member ASCM Arts 6.3 (C)- Subsidy which cause the market price to be suppressed causing serious prejudice to Brazil’s interest within meaning of article 5 (C) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies TIMELINE OF THE CASE Consultations Request: September 27, 2002 Consultations held: December 3, 2002 & January 17, 2003- Failed. Brazil requested Panel February 6, 2003 March 18, 2003 Established of a panel Panel Report : September 8, 2004 Circulation of the Panel Report- both countries appealed ruling AB report: March 3, 2005- Upheld panel ruling. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies TIMELINE COMPLIANCE August panel 21, 2006 Brazil requested WTO compliance December February June 18, 2007- Panel- U.S did not comply 2008- U.S appealed compliance panel ruling 2008- AB upheld the panel ruling WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies PANELS AND AB FINDINGS: IN FAVOR OF BRAZIL Two U.S programs were found to operate as prohibited The two step payment and export credit guarantees Further more the Panel found that the export-subsidies aspect does not just apply to cotton but also other commodities that benefit. Panel recommended the United states remove all subsidies. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies U.S. RESPONSE TO PANEL AND AB RULLING After losing, U.S announced it intended to fully comply with recommendation In July 2005 U.S instituted a risk based export credit guarantee WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies BRAZIL RESPONSE TO PANEL AND AB RULLING Brazil charged the United States had neither take nor announced any specific initiative for price-contingent programs deemed to cause prejudicial impact to brazil trade interest Brazil requested to impose $ 1 billion retaliation against the united states The United states requested WTO arbitration of the level of proposed sanction Brazil has not made a prima facie case that the effect of marketing loan and counter-cyclical payments provided to US upland cotton producers pursuant. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies BRAZIL REQUEST FOR COMPLIANCE TO PANEL On August 21, 2006 Brazil requested the establishment of WTO compliance panel to review weather the United States had not fully complied with panel and AB report December 18, 2007 the compliance panel released the final report ruling the united states had not fully complied WTO : CURRENT ISSUES DISPUTE SETTLEMENT – IMPLEMENTATION Case DS 267 : US Cotton Subsidies U.S. RESPONSE TO COMPLIANCE PANEL In February 2008 the United states appealed the compliance panel ruling In June 2008 the TWO Appellate Body upheld the compliance panel ruling. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM As the GATT, the WTO provides a forum for exchanging market access commitments Technically speaking, WTO sets rules for the non-cooperative game of international trade negotiations ‘Non-cooperative’: can gain at the expense of other countries (or at least interest groups within countries); overall outcome could make everyone worse of Actions can impose ‘externalities’ on other countries Externalities usually addressed through actions by central authority (e.g. pollution taxes) Not possible in international trade negotiations; alternative is to enable negotiations between countries Negotiations difficult since MTNs are a form of barter (no ‘money’ available) Two kinds of sources of inefficiencies arise Need ‘double coincidence of wants’: need to find good (= trade barrier concessions) I’m interested in and whose owner is interested in my counter-offer In addition, might be impossible to equate trader’s valuations of not easily divisible goods such as market access (would be no problem if money existed) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Negotiation Stages WTO negotiations (‘rounds’) can be divided into several stages Catalyst stage: a policy vision of a government or interest group Pre-negotiation stage: discussion of a possible negotiating agenda Negotiation stage: formal government-level bargaining Post-negotiation stage: implementation of agreements Important elements of negotiations Issue linkage Coalitions Lobbying Principal supplier approach WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Important Negotiation Elements Issue linkage Linking issues (e.g. IPR protection and agricultural market access during Uruguay round) often necessary to break negotiation deadlocks Allows to achieve reciprocity (details on some formulas later but generally quite subjective) Coalition formation, two purposes Achieve agreement between subgroups which couldn’t be achieved in fully multilateral negotiations (e.g. codes of practice on NTBs during Tokyo Round) Increase bargaining power (Cairns group during Uruguay Round, developing countries during Tokyo Round) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Important Negotiation Elements Lobbying by domestic groups Only governments or equivalent authorities in trade matters (e.g. EU Commission) can participate in the WTO negotiation process ‘Governments’ are not monolithic but represent multiple, often conflicting interests: member states (EU), industry associations, trade unions, NGOs … Lobbying generally seen as part of the democratic process and encouraged by most OECD countries. For example, in the EU: o Hundreds of international federations and multinational firms have representations in Brussels o All in all ca. 13,000 professional lobbyists (one per Commission staff member!) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Important Negotiation Elements Principal supplier approach MFN clause creates potential for free-riding, possible conflict between MFN and reciprocity principle One solution is that requests for market access concessions are only requested by the largest (principal) supplier who then offers something in exchange Easiest case: country A is principal supplier of good I and country B principal supplier of good II Many countries: A makes concessions to B, B to C and C again to A Often concessions made contingent on final-round concessions by smaller suppliers (sometimes leads to late breakdown of negotiations, ‘nothing is agreed upon until everything is agreed upon’) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Negotiation Formulas How are reciprocal concessions negotiated? Specific (item-by-item) Specify conditions for individual items (e.g. tariffs in particular sectors) Used for first five GATT rounds (before Kennedy round) Again used in Uruguay round General (across-the-board): apply same tariff-cutting formula to many sectors Linear cut in tariffs (e.g. Kennedy round): identical percentage reduction, i.e. tnew = told * r (r is b/w 0 and 1) Harmonization cuts: reduce higher tariffs by more, example: tnew = (r* told) /(r+ told) where r = 14 or 16 (‘Swiss formula’, used in Tokyo round) Usually many sectors exempted (which are then negotiated item-byitem) WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Negotiation Formulas How are market access offers evaluated? ‘Trade coverage’: tariff reduction multiplied with original volume of imports of a product (example) ‘50%-equivalent’ 50% tariff cut on US$1 million imports = equivalent to 25% tariff cut on US$2 million import good etc. Generally: E = (M * dT)/50 ‘Average cut’: (weighted) average reductions should match up. Example: 15% tariff cut on two US$1m-import goods = 10% cut on US$3mimport good plus 30% cut on US$1m-import good Average cut is 15% in both cases WTO : CURRENT ISSUES THE WTO AS A NEGOTIATION FORUM Negotiation Formulas Two (unused) superior measures would be Net welfare gains of trading partners Effective protection Calculation of net welfare gains generally not feasible Effective protection vs. nominal protection Nominal rate of protection: increase in price as compared to free trade (usually done as comparison domestic vs. world market price: NRP = (P- PW)/PW) Effective rate of protection: increase in value added as compared to free trade/world market conditions: ERP = (V-VW)/VW Differences arise if goods use imported inputs Generally ERP > NRP since governments protect high-value added sectors WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Present Agenda & The Road ahead… WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Cross-cutting and Current Issues Regional economic groupings Trade and the environment Trade and investment Competition policy Transparency in government procurement Trade facilitation Electronic commerce WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Regional Trading Arrangements RTAs allow groups of countries to negotiate rules and commitments that go beyond what is possible multilaterally. Seem contradictory, but often actually support the WTO’s multilateral trading system. GATT’s Article 24 allows RTAs to be set up as a special exception, provided certain strict criteria are met. Examples: The European Union, the North American Free Trade Agreement, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and so on. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES The Environment : A Specific Concern Though the WTO is not an environmental agency and its members do not want it to intervene in national or international environmental policies or to set environmental standards. However, the WTO agreements confirm governments’ right to protect the environment, provided certain conditions are met, and a number of them include provisions dealing with environmental concerns. Trade and Environment Committee : Created at the end of the Uruguay Round in 1994 WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Trade and Environment Committee Primary Duty To study the relationship between trade and the environment, and to make recommendations about any changes that might be needed in the trade agreements. Committee’s work is based on two important principles. The WTO is only competent to deal with trade. Other agencies that specialize in environmental issues are better qualified to undertake those tasks. If the committee does identify problems, its solutions must continue to uphold the principles of the WTO trading system. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Investment, Competition, Procurement, Simpler Procedures The “Singapore issues” : New working groups on Trade and investment, Competition policy, Transparency in government procurement, and Trade facilitation. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Investment and Competition : Role of WTO? Earlier work in the WTO on investment and competition policy issues originally took the form of specific responses to specific trade policy issues. At the 1996 Ministerial Conference in Singapore, two working groups were set-up to look more generally at how trade relates to investment and competition policies. The working groups’ tasks were analytical and exploratory. They would not negotiate new rules or commitments without a clear consensus decision. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Investment and Competition GATT and GATS contain rules on monopolies and exclusive service suppliers. The principles have been elaborated considerably in the rules and commitments on telecommunications. The agreements on intellectual property and services both recognize governments’ rights to act against anticompetitive practices, and their rights to work together to limit these practices. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Transparency in Government Purchases : Towards Multilateral Rules The agreement covers such issues as transparency and non-discrimination. Multilateral working group - including all WTO members – setup after the 1996 Singapore conference. 2 phases of the group’s work To study transparency in government procurement practices, taking into account national policies. To work on developments for inclusion in an agreement. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Trade Facilitation : A New High Profile Two ways of “facilitating” trade Cutting red-tape at the point where goods enter a country and Providing easier access to information The 1996 Singapore ministerial conference instructed the WTO Goods Council to start exploratory and analytical work “on the simplification of trade procedures in order to assess the scope for WTO rules in this area”. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Electronic Commerce The declaration on global electronic commerce adopted by the Second (Geneva) Ministerial Conference on 20 May 1998 urged the WTO General Council to establish a comprehensive work programme to examine all traderelated issues arising from global electronic commerce. Discussions initiated on issues of electronic commerce and trade by the Goods, Services and TRIPS (intellectual property) Councils and the Trade and Development Committee. WTO members also agreed to continue their current practice of not imposing customs duties on electronic transmissions. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Labour Standards : Consensus, Coherence and Controversy Labour standards are those that are applied to the way workers are treated. The term covers a wide range of things: From use of child labour and forced labour, to the right to organize trade unions and to strike, minimum wages, health and safety conditions, and working hours. Clear consensus: All WTO member governments are committed to a narrower set of internationally recognized “core” standards — freedom of association, no forced labour, no child labour, and no discrimination at work (including gender discrimination). WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Labour Standards : Consensus, Coherence and Controversy 1996 Singapore Ministerial Conference WTO’s role defined and the International Labour Organization (ILO) identified as the competent body to negotiate labour standards. There is no work on this subject in the WTO’s Councils and Committees. However the secretariats of the two organizations work together on technical issues under the banner of “coherence” in global economic policy-making. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Achievements Enhanced the value and quantity of trade. Emerged as a greater institution than GATT. Broadened the trade governance scope to trade in investment, services and intellectual property. Expanded the WTO agenda by including developmental policies. Eradicated trade and non trade barriers. Eased settlement of disputes by enforcing improved rules. Improved monitoring by introducing the Trade Policy Review and the World Trade Report Increased transparency by removing green room negotiations Encouraged sustainable trade development ! WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Criticism – Developing Countries Systematic bias toward rich countries and multinational corporations Rich countries are able to maintain high import duties and quotas in certain products, blocking imports from developing countries (e.g. clothing); The increase in non-tariff barriers such as anti-dumping measures allowed against developing countries; The maintenance of high protection of agriculture in developed countries while developing ones are pressed to open their markets; WTO wields little influence Failed to manage the global economy impartially ! WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Criticism… The TRIPs agreement limits developing countries from utilizing some technology that originates from abroad in their local systems (including medicines and agricultural products). According to Martin Khor, Director (Third World Network) Doha Round negotiations "have veered from their proclaimed direction oriented to a development-friendly outcome, towards a 'market access' direction in which developing countries are pressurized to open up their agricultural, industrial and services sectors.“ WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Criticism – Labour & Environment Steve Charnovitz, former Director of the Global Environment and Trade Study (GETS) says In the absence of proper environmental regulation and resource management, increased trade might cause so much adverse damage that the gains from trade would be less than the environmental costs. Labour Unions condemn the labor rights record of developing countries, arguing that to the extent the WTO succeeds at promoting globalization, then in equal measure do the environment and labor rights suffer. Rich-country lobbies seek on imposing their unrelated agendas on trade agreements – TRIPs. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Criticism – Decision Making Decision Making : complicated, ineffective, unrepresentative and non-inclusive Process of “consensus-building” has broken down The vast majority of developing countries have very little real say Problem of "informal meetings” De facto inequality between countries with regards to an effective and efficient participation to all activities within all WTO bodies Does not rectify the multiple violations of the general principles of law which affect the dispute settlement mechanism. Lack of transparency is often seen as a problem for democracy. Policy Laundering WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Changing and Difficult Times for WTO Trade in goods and services : Not the prime engine of growth. Technology, knowledge and information : New engines of growth and development. Trade protectionism is on the rise but the institutional foundations of international trade deals have been shaky for several years. Integration of the financial markets and liberalization of trade and services. Volatile capital flows, absence of discipline in the exchange rate behavior, lack of coordination in the macroeconomic policies of major players The Doha round of trade negotiations, commenced in 2001, has repeatedly stalled as states have failed to reach a consensus on key issues. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES Why have Multi-lateral Trade Deals been so difficult to conclude in the past years? Fundamental shift in the balance of economic power that underlies international trade negotiations : The age of “multipolarity” or “non-polarity”. At the end of the Uruguay Round in 1995, the United States and the European Union were in the position to dictate the negotiation agenda, facing few constraints from the other contracting parties. Now, in contrast, the talks are frequently brought to a halt by developing countries that vocally resist the imposition of US and EU’s trade preferences on them. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES IBSAC (India, Brazil, South Africa, China) : A Potential Developing Country Coalition in WTO Negotiations Primary reasons of coming into being Need for building sustainable alliances for multilateral trade negotiations in the WTO. Increasing convergence on issues like trade in services, agriculture, non-tariff barriers (NTBs) to trade and intellectual property rights (IPR). Need to develop alternative sources of technology and increase business-to-business contacts. Coming together as a pressure group to enhance energy security. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES IBSAC as Emerging Powers Global Trade Scenario of select countries (2003) GDP - Purchasing Power Parity Scenario WTO : CURRENT ISSUES IBSAC Countries : Primary Drivers of Global Growth High rates of economic growth especially in China and India as these countries mature into industrial economies Large investment into higher education (especially in China and India) in previous decades bear fruit to create a huge critical mass of highly developed human resources Demographic shift in IBSA (not China however) towards a relatively more ‘young’ society, while the opposite happens in the EU, US and Japan. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Challenges Ahead Integrated evolution of trading system and financial architecture. Reflections on the social impacts of trade decisions. Broadened scope to allow for trade-offs across sectors and issues : agriculture, labour intensive manufacturers and services. Clarify and strengthen trade rules, particularly in areas susceptible to capture by protectionist interests. Streamline reforms related to its dispute settlement system. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO: Challenges Ahead Implement development-oriented effective manner. policies Facilitate global trade liberalization in agriculture and textiles. Encourage Non Governmental Organizations or NGOs to become an important part of world trade governance. Devise ways to increase staff and resources to ensure effective regulation. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES in an WTO : The Way Forward The poorest countries, which lost ground under the last trade round, insist that they must do better this time. In the wealthy world deep unease has emerged over the impact of trade policy on employment. The common concern, cutting across all countries, is the question of employment and livelihoods. Opening an economy more deeply to trade will cause some sectors to expand and create jobs, while others contract and destroy jobs. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO : The Way Forward The Doha Round can lead to a new set of trade rules that more accurately reflects the new global distribution of economic power and interests. It can and should realign rules to tilt less in favor of wealthy countries and instead offer opportunities to countries at all levels of development. It should recognize and accommodate the economic anxiety that has arisen in response to the relocation of production across the world since the end of the Cold War. Finding an appropriate mix of policies to accomplish these objectives will take time, effort and good faith but in the end will produce a more robust and resilient global trading system based on reasonable rules that all countries can embrace. Artificial deadlines and self-created crises contribute nothing to this enterprise and should be abandoned by those who truly believe in the potential of trade. WTO : CURRENT ISSUES WTO THANKS!!! WTO : CURRENT ISSUES