FOR SALE Transactional sex in South African children predicted by familial HIV/AIDS, abuse and hunger Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes, M, Kganakga, M, Gardner, F, Makhazi, D, Sherr, L FOR SALE Transactional sex in South African children predicted by familial HIV/AIDS, abuse and hunger A SERIAL KILLER. Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes, M, Kganakga, M, Gardner, F, Makhazi, D, Sherr, L Collaborative research: Science to inform Policy Collaborative OVC research programme Universities: Oxford, Wits, UCT, UKZN NACCA, NGOs e.g. USAID, UNICEF, REPSSI, Save the Children Linked longitudinal studies, 2005-2012: n=7873 children Orphan resilience study (2005-2009) • 2005: N=1021 (aged 10-18), 71.5% follow-up • 3 provinces South Africa National Young Carers study (2009-2012) • Main study: N=6002 (age: 10-18), pilot: 850 children, • 6 randomly-selected sites >30% prevalence, 3 provinces • Urban/rural, 1 year follow-up • Stratified random sampling of census enumeration or tribal areas • 2500 matched child-caregiver pairs Measures and analysis • Standardised scales, national surveys (census, DHS etc.) • Verbal autopsy method (sensitivity 83%, specificity 75%) • Comparing AIDS-orphaned/other orphaned/non-orphaned/parental AIDSillnesss/other-illness/non-illness. • Multivariate logistic regression, log-linear models, structural equation models, all controlling for socio-demographics FOR SALE THE SCENE OF THE CRIME… Parental HIV/AIDS predicts child sexual risks % children reporting sexual risk 12 10 8 6 Transactional sex 4 Sex drunk or on drugs Pregnant (girls) 2 0 Healthy caregiver AIDS-orphaned or AIDSsick caregiver AIDS dual-affected Parental HIV/AIDS predicts child sexual risks % children reporting sexual risk 12 10 8 Transactional sex 6 Sex for: Food Shelter School fees Money Transport 4 2 0 Healthy caregiver AIDS-orphaned or AIDSsick caregiver AIDS dual-affected Parental HIV/AIDS predicts transactional sex % children aged 14-17 reporting transactional sex 12 11.5 10 girls 8 6.7 6 boys 4 3.3 2 0 healthy caregiver AIDS-orphaned/ AIDS-ill carer Dual AIDS-affected FOR SALE IDENTIFYING LIKELY SUSPECTS. Parental HIV/AIDS predicts food insecurity % children with insufficient food >2 days in past week 40 36.5 35 32 30 25 22.9 20 16 15 14.2 13.8 10 5 0 healthy caregiver other-orphan other-sick caregiver AIDS-orphan AIDS-sick caregiver AIDS-dual affected Parental HIV/AIDS predicts child stigmatization % children reporting stigmatization 60 57.6 55 50 45 42.2 41.1 40 35 28.8 30 25 22.7 21.8 20 15 10 healthy caregiver other orphan other-sick caregiver AIDS-orphan AIDS-sick caregiver AIDS dualaffected Parental HIV/AIDS predicts child maltreatment % children reporting child abuse 25 20 Physical abuse 15 Emotional abuse Domestic violence 10 Sexual abuse 5 0 Healthy carer AIDS-orphaned AIDS-sick carer Parental HIV/AIDS predicts child psychological disorder % children with 1+ psychological disorder (clinical-level depression, anxiety, post-traumatic stress) 55 49.3 50 45 39.4 40 35 40.5 32.6 30 25 22.8 22.4 20 15 10 healthy caregiver other orphan other-sick caregiver AIDS-orphan AIDS-sick caregiver AIDS dualaffected FOR SALE UNCOVERING COLLUSION... Cumulative impacts of parental HIV/AIDS, abuse and hunger on child transactional sex 30 % children 14-17 reporting transactional sex 25 20 20 15 boys girls 10.6 10 7.7 6.6 5 2.1 0 healthy carer AIDS-affected, abused AIDS-affected, hungry hungry, abused AIDS-affected, abused, hungry Increased risk factors, increased child risk of transactional sex % children (14-17) reporting transactional sex 30 26.3 25 20 Risks: Stigma Extreme poverty Abuse Psychological distress Family AIDS boys 15 girls 12 10 8.8 4.8 5 3.2 0.7 0 0 risks 1 risk 2 risks 3 risks 4 risks 5 risks 60% 50% Cumulative impacts 15-25 year olds 57% Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes et al, (2011) ‘Transactional Sex amongst AIDS-orphaned & AIDS-Affected Adolescents Predicted by Abuse and Extreme Poverty’. JAIDS % girls aged 15-24 reporting transactional sex 40% 30% 20% 13% 10% 7% 1% 0% Healthy family AIDS-sick parent Abused & hungry AIDS-sick parent, abused, hungry Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children (structural equation modeling) Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Pathways of risk for AIDS-affected children Education risks AIDSorphan .13 .06 .18 .10 Poverty .32 Stigma Psych. distress .12 .24 .43 .08 .22 .14 .72 .15 .15 Abuse .15 SEXUAL HEALTH RISKS AIDSsick parent mean χ2(679) Bollen-Stine 640.06 p=.001 mean χ2/df 1.57 RMSEA SRMR CFI TLI .032 .044 .939 .930 Implications for intervention • Children in AIDS-affected families at higher risk for sexual exploitation and HIV-infection. • Preventing transactional sex for AIDS-affected children needs social protection not behavioral interventions • Interactive model of risk shows modifiable pathways from familial AIDS to child sex risk. • Reducing extreme poverty, abuse, stigma and psychological distress could interrupt these risk pathways • Social protection programs must be HIV-sensitive: both to children in AIDS-affected families, and to HIV risk outcomes. • Cluver, L (2011)‘Children of the AIDS pandemic’. Nature, 474 27-29. • Boyes, M. E. & Cluver, L. (2012). Performance of the Revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale in a sample of children and adolescents from poor urban communities in Cape Town. European Journal of Psychological Assessment • Boyes, M, Mason, S, & Cluver, L (2012). Validation of a brief stigmaby-association scale for use with HIV/AIDS-affected youth in South Africa. AIDS Care. • Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes, M & Gardner, F (2012) Persisting mental health problems among AIDS-orphaned children in South Africa. Journal of Child Psychiatry and Psychology. • Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes, M, Gardner, F, & Meinck, (2011) ‘Transactional Sex amongst AIDS-orphaned and AIDS-Affected Adolescents Predicted by Abuse and Extreme Poverty’. JAIDS • Cluver, L, Orkin, M, Boyes, M & Gardner, F (2011) Persisting mental health problems among AIDS-orphaned children in South Africa. Journal of Child Psychiatry and Psychology. • Cluver, L, Operario, D, Lane, T, Kganakga, M (2011). Educational shortfalls among ‘Young Carers’ in the South African AIDS Epidemic. Journal of Adolescent Research. • Kuo, C, Operario, D & Cluver. L (in press) Depression amongst carers of AIDS-orphaned and other children in Umlazi Township, South Africa. Global Public Health. • Cluver, L, Bowes, L & Gardner, F (2010) Risk and protective factors for bullying victimisation amongst AIDS-affected and vulnerable children in South Africa. Child Abuse and Neglect • Cluver, L & Orkin, M (2009) Stigma, bullying, poverty and AIDSorphanhood: Interactions mediating psychological problems for children in South Africa. Social Science and Medicine. • Cluver, L, Finch, D & Seedat, S (2009) Predictors of post-traumatic stress symptomology amongst AIDS-orphaned children. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 22 (2) 106-113 • Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (2009). Effects of poverty on the psychological health of AIDS-orphaned children. AIDS Care 21 (6) 732-741 • Operario, D, Underhill, K, Chuong, C, Cluver, L. (2011) HIV infection and sexual risk behaviour among youth who have experienced orphanhood: systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of the International AIDS Society, 14, 25. • Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (2008) Effects of stigma on the mental health of adolescents orphaned by AIDS. Journal of Adolescent Health 42 (4) 410-418 • Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (2007). Psychological distress amongst AIDS-orphaned children in urban South Africa Journal of Child Psychiatry & Psychology & Allied Disciplines 48(8) 755-763 • Cluver, L & Operario (2008) Review: Intergenerational linkages of AIDS: Vulnerability of orphaned children for HIV infection. Institute of Development Studies Bulletin, 39(5) 28-35 • Cluver, L & Gardner, F (2007) The Mental Health of Children orphaned by AIDS: A review of International and South African Research. Journal of Child and Adolescent Mental Health 19(1) 1-17 • Cluver, L. & Gardner, F. (2007) Risk and protective factors for wellbeing of children orphaned by AIDS in Cape Town, South Africa: a qualitative study of children’s views AIDS Care 19(3) 318-325. • Cluver, L. & Gardner, F. (2006) Psychological well-being of children orphaned by AIDS in Cape Town, South Africa Annals of General Psychiatry. 5, 8. BioMed Press. • Cluver, L, Gardner, F & Operario, D (2009). Effects of caregiving on psychological distress amongst AIDS-orphaned children in South Africa. Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies • Richter, L, Stein, A and Cluver, L (2009) Infants and young children affected by AIDS. HIV/AIDS in South Africa 25 years on: Psychosocial perspectives. Eds Rohleder, P, Swartz, L, Kalichman, S, Simbayi, L. Springer Press. • Operario, D, Cluver, L, Pettifor, A, MacPhail, C and Rees, H (2008) Orphanhood and Completion of Compulsory School Education Among Young People in South Africa. Journal of Research on Adolescence 18(1), 173-186 • Operario, D, Pettifor, A, Cluver, L, MacPhail, C and Rees, H (2007), Prevalence of Parental Death among young people in South Africa and Risk for HIV Infection: Results from a National Representative Sample. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes (JAIDS) 44, 93-98. • Cluver, L, Orkin, M., Boyes, M. E., Madisha, L., and Baban, R. (in press). Child development in sub-Saharan Africa: Identifying challenges and planning solutions. In M. Tomlinson, C. Hanlon, L. Swartz, P. Cooper, and A. Sameroff (Eds). Infant and child development in Africa: Perspectives from the continent. City • Cluver, L, Kganakga, M, Boyes, M (in press) ‘Children affected by HIV/AIDS: Psychsocial Interventions for School-Aged Children’. Eds Sherr, L, Heyman, J, Kidman, R. Children Affected by AIDS: Moving from Research to Action. Oxford University Press. Thank you. www.youngcarers.org.za The Economic & Social Research Council The National Research Foundation HEARD, University of KwaZulu-Natal The Nuffield Foundation National Department of Social Development The Claude Leon Foundation The John Fell Fund