Utah’s Tourism: Challenges & Opportunities R. Thayne Robson, Director Bureau of Economic & Business Research David Eccles School of Business University of Utah February 7, 2001 Executive Summary Tourism, Conventions, and Travel are big and growing activities in the Utah, National and World economies. Tourism spending in 1999 was over $4 billion in Utah, $523 billion in the USA, and $456 billion in the International World travel. The Winter Olympic Games of 2002 provides a Aonce in our history@ opportunity for Utah to showcase our statewide tourism offerings. The Olympic Games alone will not adequately promote Utah=s Tourism potential. The Games do provide a platform on which Utah can showcase itself to the world. SLOC, USOC, and IOC along with the various sports federations are interested in staging the best games ever, and the sponsors have their own products and services to promote. Who will promote Utah=s Travel and Tourism potential? The Winter Olympic Games will provide state and local governments with $76 million more in tax revenues than the cost of the services governments will be required to provide during the games, according to the economic impact analysis completed in the Governor=s Office of Planning and Budget. Furthermore, reserves are to be built up to maintain and operate Olympic venues following the games. Where is the money being invested in promotion programs that will insure that the $4 billion investment in new facilities will actually be utilized after the games? There are at least two audiences for our promotion. The first group are those who actually come for the games and visit Utah. I believe this group will at least get some exposure to what Utah offers and I hope they will be encouraged to come back after the games. Many within the visiting group are people who make their living by traveling and whose travels are controlled by their employers and world events. The second group of more than 1 billion and possibly as many as 3 billion people will be exposed to Utah and the Games via TV, radio, magazines, newspapers and the world wide web. What will they know about what Utah has to offer after the games? Will they learn about Utah=s Spring, Fall and Summer seasons or about the incredible variety of things we can offer both in Utah and in surrounding states. We need to commit now to providing at least an additional $20 million above and beyond what is already committed to promote Utah=s tourism during this Aonce in our history@ opportunity. If we do not invest in promotion, our facilities will remain under utilized, i.e., low occupancy and poor earnings after the Games. If we make wise, well measured, and prudent investments in a promotion, we can expect great returns for the foreseeable future. Utah’s Magnificent Opportunity The World is at Utah’s door. Will we say: Please come in. You are welcome here. To Promote or Not to Promote The World is at Utah’s door. Will we turn on the lights? Or, will we let our guests sit in the dark? Utah’s Great Challenge Can we capitalize on $4 billion of Olympic investments? Are we willing to sell, promote, show, and tell the world what we have here? The Olympics Will this event occur once in a lifetime, or a century, or once in our history when Utah has a world wide market exposure? Many of the 6 billion people on earth will hear about or see electronic or printed information about the Winter Games of 2002. Will they want to come and experience Utah? They will if they know what we have to offer! Travel & Tourism Industry Includes many industries: Airlines, hotels, restaurants, gift shops, retail and service establishments, auto and bus transportation, automobile repair, health care, etc. The rule is: Tourists and travelers use some industries more than others But all industries are utilized. For example – look at the preparation for the Olympics. Utah Travel & Tourism Spending in Utah: $4.20 billion in 1999 $4.25 billion in 2000 Employment in 1999: Direct: 67,000 Indirect: 52,500 Total: 119,500 Employment in 2000: 121,000 Utah Travel & Tourism (Cont.) Generates about 11% of total non-agricultural employment Taxes generated: Total: $340 million State: $252 million Local: $88 million Utah Tourism Indicators: Direct and Indirect Travel-Related Employment in Utah 122 2000(e) 117 120 120 1999 140 113 107 100 100 96 91 79 80 82 1982 1988 52 1987 50 1986 58 60 61 63 65 67 1985 71 1981 54 40 20 Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, adapted by the Utah Travel Council 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1984 0 1983 Thousands 86 Utah Tourism Indicators - Hotel Room Rents Millions of Current Dollars $700 $600 $558 $581 $582 $600 $513 $460 $405 $400 $365 $295 $300 $200 $113 $125 $141 $161 $165 $176 $197 $221 $241 $313 $261 $100 Source: Utah State Tax Commission 2000(e) 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 $0 1981 Milions $ $500 Utah Tourism Indicators - Traveler Spending $5.0 $4.5 $4.0 $3.0 $2.5 $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 Traveler Spending (Billions $) Sources: Utah Travel Council 2000(e) 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 $0.0 1981 Billions $3.5 Utah Tourism Indicators - Total Number of Visits 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.5 15.3 16.1 16.7 17.2 17.5 17.1 0.72 0.76 0.88 0.72 0.64 0.7 0.75 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000(e) 12.0 1994 Millions 14.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Foreign Source: Utah Travel Council US Utah Tourism Indicators - Taxes Generated by Travel Spending 400.0 350.0 $83 $85 $87 $88 $237 $243 $249 $252 300.0 $70 $74 $79 200.0 150.0 100.0 $198 $210 $225 50.0 State Government Sources: Utah Tax Commission and Utah Travel Council Local Government 2000(e) 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 0.0 1994 Millions 250.0 Utah Tourism Indicators - Hotel/Motel Occupancy Rates 0.8 0.7 0.6 74% 73% 68% 0.3 63% 62% 61% 2000(e) 74% 1999 0.4 1998 0.5 0.2 0.1 1997 1996 1995 1994 0.0 Hotel/Motel Occupancy Rates Sources: Utah Tax Commission and Utah Travel Council Source: Utah Governor’s Office of Planning & Budget, Nov. 2000 Public and Private Investment Beneficial to the 2002 Olympic Winter Games (Millions $) Participation Project Total Cost Federal Venues $321.9 $0.0 $151.5 $170.4 Housing $143.8 $14.7 $32.1 $97.0 $2,253.3 $891.9 $0.0 $1,361.4 Hotels $297.0 $0.0 $0.0 $297.0 Resort* $756.8 $0.0 $57.8 $699.0 Miscellaneous $256.7 $18.7 $6.0 $232.0 $4,029.5 $925.3 $247.4 $2,856.8 Transportation Total Source: Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget *Resort Additions, Expansions, or Lease Fees SLOC Other Some Questions Will Utah capitalize on this opportunity? What do Utahns need to do A) to keep up with other states and B) to improve profitability of our tourism sector? Will our investment stream come to an end when the Olympics are over? Trends Travel and tourism world-wide is growing as it is in the USA and Utah. USA Tourism Trends Travel and tourism expenditures (including domestic and international) were $522.9 billion in 1999. This is an increase of 5.1% from 1998. Including international airfare payments, the total was $544 billion. U.S. Travel & Tourism Industry (1999 Data) The industry as a whole is the third largest private employer. Only health and business services are larger. Total jobs: over 7.7 million. This employment is 24% greater than it was in 1990. U.S. Travel & Tourism Industry (1999 Data) Total payroll: $159 billion. An increase of 5.4% over 1998. Travel spending generated $92.5 billion in tax revenue for federal, state, and local governments. An increase of 4.9% over 1998. Economic Contribution of the Travel Industry in the US (1999p) Direct Impact Indirect Impact Total Travel expenditures in the U.S. (billions) $522.9 $1,229.1 $159.0 $360.9 7.7 18.0 Federal $55.9 N/A State $22.6 N/A Local $14.0 N/A $92.5 N/A Contributions to indivuduals Wages and salaries (billions) Employment (millions) Contributions to governments (billions) Total tax contribution Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Excludes international airfare payments to the U.S. U.S. Travel Volume, 1995-99 (in millions) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 965.7 967.3 998.5 1,004.1 1,009.1 Business 208.9 202.3 203.4 210.1 212.3 Pleasure 624.4 628.7 655.4 655.5 654.5 43.3 46.5 47.8 46.4 48.5 From Overseas 20.6 22.7 24.2 23.7 24.5 From Canada 14.7 15.3 15.1 13.4 14.1 From Mexico 8.0 8.5 8.4 9.3 9.9 U.S. Resident Domestic Travelers-Total International Travelers to the U.S.-Total Total Travelers in the U.S. 1,009.0 1,013.8 1,046.3 1,050.5 1,057.6 Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Total domestic travelers include individuals who traveled in the U.S. for pleasure, business, personal and other purposes. Travel Expenditures in U.S. Compared to Gross Domestic Product: 1990-2000 Total Travel Nominal Gross Real Gross Spending in the U.S. Domestic Product Domestic Product Year ($Billions) ($Billions) ($Billions) 2000f $561.3 $9,968.7 $9,337.3 1999 $522.9 $9,299.2 $8,875.8 1998 $497.4 $8,790.2 $8,515.7 1997 $480.0 $8,318.4 $8,159.5 1996 $455.9 $7,813.2 $7,813.2 1995 $423.8 $7,400.5 $7,543.8 1994 $398.5 $7,054.3 $7,347.7 1993 $381.3 $6,642.3 $7,062.6 1992 $360.7 $6,318.9 $6,880.0 1991 $344.5 $5,986.2 $6,676.4 1990 $333.3 $5,803.2 $6,707.9 Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Total travel spending excludes international airfare payments to the U.S. Travel Expenditures in U.S. Compared to GDP: Percent Change from Previous Year Total Travel Nominal Gross Real Gross Spending in the U.S. Domestic Product Domestic Product 2000f 7.3% 7.2% 5.2% 1999 5.1% 5.8% 4.2% 1998 3.6% 5.7% 4.4% 1997 5.3% 6.5% 4.4% 1996 7.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1995 6.3% 4.9% 2.7% 1994 4.5% 6.2% 4.0% 1993 5.7% 5.1% 2.7% 1992 4.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1991 3.4% 3.2% -0.5% Year Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Total travel spending excludes international airfare payments to the U.S. Travel Generated Payroll in U.S. Compared to Personal Income: 1990-99 Travel-Generated Nominal Nominal Disposable Payroll Personal Income Personal Income Year ($Billions) ($Billions) ($Billions) 1999 $159.0 $7,789.6 $6,637.7 1998 $150.8 $7,391.0 $6,320.0 1997 $141.9 $6,937.0 $5,968.2 1996 $132.3 $6,547.4 $5,677.7 1995 $125.7 $6,200.9 $5,422.6 1994 $119.3 $5,888.0 $5,165.4 1993 $116.9 $5,610.0 $4,935.3 1992 $106.6 $5,390.4 $4,754.6 1991 $102.7 $5,085.4 $4,474.8 1990 $98.3 $4,903.2 $4,293.6 Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Travel-generated payroll excludes wages and salaries generated by international airfare payments made outside the U.S. Travel Generated Employment in U.S. Compared to Non-Agricultural Employment:1990-99 Travel-Generated Total Non-Ag Total Manufacturing Employment Employment Industry Employment Year (Thousands) (Thousands) (Thousands) 1999 7,716 128,786 18,543 1998 7,455 125,865 18,805 1997 7,344 122,690 18,675 1996 7,138 119,608 18,495 1995 6,939 117,191 18,524 1994 6,649 114,163 18,321 1993 6,529 110,713 18,075 1992 6,142 108,601 18,104 1991 6,179 108,249 18,406 1990 6,217 109,403 19,076 Source: TIA, TI/ITA Note: Travel-generated employment excludes jobs generated by international airfare payments made outside the U.S. Travel Generated Tax Revenue vs. Total U.S. Tax Revenue, 1999 Travel-Generated Total U.S. Travel % in Tax Revenue Tax Revenue Total U.S. ($ billions) ($ billions) Tax Collections Federal $56.4 $1,949.5 2.9% State & Local $36.1 $816.2 4.4% Total $92.5 $2,765.7 3.3% Percent % Change 1999 In Total 99/98 ($ billions) (Percent) (Percent) Federal 56.4% 61.0% 5.0% State 22.6% 24.4% 4.6% Local 13.5% 14.6% 4.7% Total 92.5% 100.0% 4.9% Level of Government Travel Generated Tax Revenue Level of Government Source: TIA, Bureau of Labor Statistics Worldwide Tourism in 1999 664 million travelers and tourists $456 billion in worldwide spending (Excludes air fare) International travelers spent $74.4 billion in the U.S. U.S. travelers spent $60.1 billion traveling abroad (Excludes air fare) International Tourist Arrivals and Receipts Worldwide, 1990-99 Arrivals Year % Increase Cumulative from % Increase Receipts % Increase Cumulative from % Increase (Millions) previous year from 1990 ($ Billions) previous year from 1990 1999 664 4.5% 45.3% $456 3.1% 72.8% 1998 636 2.9% 39.1% $442 0.5% 67.6% 1997 618 3.5% 35.2% $440 0.7% 66.8% 1996 597 5.7% 30.7% $437 7.6% 65.6% 1995 565 2.7% 23.7% $406 14.4% 53.9% 1994 550 6.7% 20.4% $355 10.3% 34.6% 1993 516 3.0% 12.8% $322 2.1% 22.1% 1992 501 8.3% 9.6% $315 13.9% 19.6% 1991 463 1.2% 1.2% $277 5.0% 5.0% 1990 457 7.3% 0.0% $264 19.4% 0.0% Source: World Tourism Organization (WTO) Note: Total arrivals exclude same-day visitors. Total receipts exclude international transport. Utah’s Magnificent Opportunity: A Few Modest Suggestions We who promote tourism in Utah must recognize that it is our job to promote all of Utah. The focus of SLOC, USOC and the IOC committees and the various sports federations is to conduct the Olympic Games. The Olympic sponsors will promote their products and services -- not Utah. No one will promote Utah if we neglect this great opportunity. Suggestion: A Concerted Effort Are we satisfied that we have organized a statewide effort to promote all of Utah’s attractions given the attention focused on Utah during the Games? Are our efforts being carefully coordinated, and do we have full and complete cooperation from all who should be involved? Perhaps the Governor might find time to provide leadership in this effort along with the leadership from our State Legislature. Leadership must provide a statewide, unified effort. Successful Tourism Promotion Requires a Larger Budget The budget for promoting Utah before, during, and after the Olympic Winter Games should be increased by at least $20 million in addition to everything already proposed. This sum will still be less than 5 percent of the advertising spent on the 2001 Super Bowl. Capitalize on Olympic Investments Should Utah’s Olympic tourism promotion effort be unsuccessful, Utah can expect its $4 billion investment in the 2002 Olympic Winter Games will be under-utilized following the Games. Success would multiply returns on investment many times over for years to come. Corporate Sponsors Corporate sponsors will spend millions of dollars entertaining their clients and corporate CEO’s in Utah at the Olympic Games. Their cooperation can be obtained in promoting Utah by providing available information about our state. Who will ask for their cooperation? Media Utah must place TV, radio, and print ads highlighting Utah’s many attractions to be run during the prime time Olympic broadcasts. The world must be told that they are welcome in Utah. Special Guests Our most prestigious visitors should be identified. They should receive greetings before they come, again while they are here, should be given mementos of their visit to Utah, and should receive an invitation to return after they go home. Who will do this? Accountability Our promotion efforts and our advertising must be tracked carefully, the results measured, and our efforts must be accountable for results. Our Future Success or failure in Utah’s tourism promotion efforts during the Olympic Games will mark Utah for good or ill for generations to come. Olympic Games cannot be held in the United States again until 2012 and possibly for years beyond that date. The reputation of Utah’s tourism future rests squarely on our shoulders. Utah’s Magnificent Opportunity Will we deliver?