2013 CAPSTONE CASE STUDY ACTIVITIES SPM 2810 The case study you will develop should address the causes of the current imbalances and formulate a successful financial plan that will do the following with a goal to increase EBTIDA (earnings before taxes, depreciation, and amortization) by 5% of gross revenue. This plan will address any opportunities the owner should consider to increase rounds, the ability to raise prices and trim excess expenses, etc. A. Create a strategic VISION for the course: Chpt: 1-6 Due: Monday: Second week ______________________ Complete Activity templates 1-3: Step 1: GLMA. Step 2: WEATHER Written analysis. Include a brief description of the course you have are studying. Identify the facility name, location, management structure, and service level it currently provides. Use the research the research compiled in Steps 1 and 2 to identify the current macroeconomics , market potentials, and demographics in your community. Is the market over or under supplied. In conclusion, discuss the impact of weather, rounds, and revenue influencing financial potentials at your club. Use the questions below to guide your critical thinking. 1. Should your course strive to be a “gold level” instead of a “silver” or visa? versa. Is there a demand for such decision? 2. If there is a change in this service level what will need to be done to do so in order to provide balanced service and course conditions that will offer the appropriate value at the entry level to the game? 3. What should the MISSION be for the facility? What is the purpose of the golf course? 4. Are there ideas that can set the facility apart from its competition? B. Develop TACTICAL plans that will provide for the integration of technology that will enhance the operational efficiency and marketing initiatives. [Chpt. 7 -11]: Case Study Activities Due Monday: Third week_______________ Complete Activity 4-6 templates for: Step: 3: Technology Step 4: Financials/Yield Mgmt. Write an analysis of the technology research conducted. Is the technology, as installed, producing the meaningful information to be able to proactively manage the golf course? What are the key reports this PGA Director of Golf needs to be able to properly manage the facility? What did your research reveal about golf industry benchmarks and yield management?. Compare your facility with industry benchmarks. Discuss any suggestions and strategies the owners should consider to enhance revenue potential. Use the questions below to guide your research and analysis. 1. Are they using the right software for the facility and is it integrated? Is a data-base and are customer profiles being collected and utilized? 2. How does the financial performance of the courses compare with comparable courses within this city and nationally? 3. Based on the performance of the course, what tier should management focus on: platinum, gold, silver, bronze or steel? 4. What do the five-year projections reflect as to the profitability of the golf course? 5. Is the staffing appropriate and are salary levels for management, pro shop staff, administration and maintenance in line with industry benchmarks? What are the appropriate financial benchmarks the facility should set as a target? C.Provide a comprehensive framework for OPERATIONAL execution: Chpt. 12-18 Due Monday Final Week_______________________ Complete templates: Step 5: Facilities/Maintenance Step 6: Management/Marketing 2 Case Study Activities Written analysis: Use the questions below to determine how your facility compares to similar facilities throughout the country. Assess current internal/operation processes of the facility. Document any recommendations to improve the internal/operational processes of the golf facility ( customer management, marketing management, people/learning, product management). Use the questions below to guide your critical and creative thinking. 1. What are the appropriate turf and maintenance practices? How many maintenance hours are required to operate the facility? 2. What recommended equipment levels are needed? 3. Is the maintenance crew properly staffed at appropriate salaries? 4. What resources are needed to maintain the playing conditions to fit within the courses vision and anticipated service level? 5. How much do they have in deferred capital expenditures? 6. What capital improvements are required? If capital is raised, what should be prioritized and what is likely to be the return on the investment from increased rounds or the ability to raise prices? 7. Should the clubhouse and amenities be expended or should some be eliminated? If built how big? If reduced, how small? 8. How many full time do they have or need? How many part- time do they have or need? 9. Are there roles volunteers should/ could assume? 10. Does staff need more extensive training? 11. Should there be an increase in membership? Should they allow more outside play? 12. What rates should be implemented? Weekday, weekend, 9 hole, twilight etc. 13. Do they have financial projections? What should the brand image for the golf course be? Should the logo be changed? 14. Is there a marketing plan and budget and how are they spending the dollars allotted for marketing? Step 7: Customer surveys Step 8: Customer Loyalty Due: Tuesday Final week___________________________ Written analysis: Explain why surveys are important to the success of operation? Define several reasons why golf course operators should identify loyal customers and create customer loyalty programs. D. Final Presentation, Budget, and Written Plan 3 Case Study Activities A. Final budget showing the comparison of previous year to proposed budget with increment. B. Final Written analysis summarizing four key strategic objectives the committee should consider to support the net growth proposed. E. GRADING Grading for project includes classroom work participation, written analysis, final powerpoint presentation, final budget and strategic plan as follows: . Completion of Steps 1-8 in class and written analysis Powerpoint presentation Final budget and plan 80 points 10 points 10 points 100 (Grading rubrics for written work, class work, and presentation have been distributed). **** ANYONE WHO CHOOSES “DISCOUNT”, LOWER RACK RATE OR TO SELL VALUE PRICED SEASON PASSES RECEIVE AN “F” ***** SUMMARY OF THE EIGHT STEPS OF THE GOLF CONVERGENCE WIN FORMULA GLMA Are the age, income, ethnicity, and population density near the university’s courses conducive to golf? Is the market over- or under-supplied? 2 Weather Impact Analysis How many playable days per year are there, and what, if any, financial impact has weather had on the golf course the past two years? 3 Technology Is the technology, as installed, producing the meaningful information to be able to proactively manage the golf course? What are the key reports this PGA Director of Golf needs to be able to properly manage the facility? 4 Financial Benchmarking How does the financial performance of the courses compare with comparable courses within this city and nationally? Based on the performance of the course, what tier should management focus on: platinum, gold, silver, bronze or steel? What do the five-year projections reflect as to the profitability of the golf 1 4 Case Study Activities course? Task Assignment Key Questions to ask during analysis 5 Architecture, Agronomy and Maintenance Do the architectural changes required on each course match the vision with the current course layout? If so, how much capital is required, and what is the likely ROI from that investment? What is the deferred capex? Is the maintenance crew sufficiently staffed at the appropriate salary ranges? What resources are required to maintain the playing conditions consistent with the golf course’s defined vision? 6 Operations What is the appropriate balance of time for the PGA Director of Golf between business manager and lesson instructor? What is the ideal compensation arrangement for that position? To what extent should volunteers be used, and if so, what should their remuneration be? Are labor expenditures in line? What should the ending inventory be for each course, and how many times should it turn annually? Can a golf course without a functional clubhouse and a prohibition on serving alcohol effectively compete? 7 Golfer Preferences Are the golfers’ playing habits consistent with other golf courses the university competes against? 8 Customer Loyalty Are the university’s golfers loyal to the golf course, and if so, if prices are increased, how much attrition is likely? Wk 4 Power Point Presentation What is the vision for the golf course, and what is required to make it profitable on a sustaining basis? Business/Strategic Plan “ Where is the likely source of the investment capital? If that capital is not available, should the course close? What actions need to be taken to assure success? 5 Case Study Activities Activity 1: Document Your Facility’s Organizational Setup Directions: Attach to this page a copy of the organization chart for your golf facility. It should include all levels of staff, including line employees, supervisors, department managers, general manager (if there is one), and owners or board of directors. If your organization chart does not go below the manager level, create a new chart and add these positions to the chart. Make sure that reporting relationships are clear. If not evident on the chart, indicate who is responsible for different golf functions, including tournaments, golf cars, teaching, and merchandise sales. Write At the top of your organization chart, write in: • The type of facility (private, daily fee, resort, municipal, etc.) • The number of rounds played per year • The total number of people employed by the facility (full-time and part-time) 6 Case Study Activities Activity 2: Write/Revise a Mission Statement This activity requires you to review or revise a mission statement for your facility. Follow the directions below and use the worksheet on the next page to complete the assignment. Note that only the mission statement itself needs to be on the transparency. Directions: Create a mission statement. Use the following points as a guideline. 1. Fill in the background information on the worksheet. 2. If your facility already has a mission statement, write it on the worksheet. 3. Check to see if the mission statement addresses the four key elements of a good mission statement described in this lesson: facility image, quality of customer service, profitability, and employee needs. 4. If any of these elements are missing, revise the mission statement to include them. 4. If your facility does not currently have a mission statement, write one from scratch according to the guidelines in this lesson, and based on what you know about your facility type and customers. 5. Enter final mission statements onto your template. . 7 Case Study Activities Activity 2 (Final decision) Background Information Name of Facility: Facility Type: Number of Holes and Average Rounds: Location: Current customer/member Profile: Existing Facility Mission Statement Revised Facility Mission Statement (or one you create from scratch) 8 Case Study Activities Activity 3: Steps 1 and 2 STEP 1: GLMA: GOLFER LOCAL MARKET ANALYSIS Helpful Websites: citymelt.com; census.gov; zipcode.com; golflinks.com; golf2020; golfdata.com SUPPLY (The number of courses in your market) 10min. 20 min. 30 min. State U.S. Private Public Premium $75 + for green fee plus cart Value $45 -$70 for green fee plus cart Price Less than $40 for green fee plus cart Supply Helpful websites: golflinks.com ; golfdata.com; golf20/20.com To analyze supply, answers are ascertained for the following questions: 1. 2. 3. 4. Competition: How many courses by type and price are in this market? What is the potential for annual rounds? How much are the courses being utilized? What is your market share? 9 Case Study Activities DEMAND: I.D.E.A. (INCOME, DENSITY, ETHNICITY,AGE) 10 - miles 20 miles Golfers in local market (Total pop. X .10 ) Round potential by Age 18-29 Avg. rd/year = 18.6 30-39 Avg. rd/year = 18.2 40-49 Avg rd/year = 20.3 50-59 Avg rd/year = 25.9 60-69 A vg rd/year = 40.2 70+ Avg. rd/year = 47.6 Round potential by income Upper class $75k+ (Tot. x .27) x 15rds Middle class $35-$74k (Tot. x .43)x 10rds Working class less $35k (Tot. x .30)x 3.45rds Round potential by ethnicity White (Total W. pop x.11) x 2.2rds Black (Total B. pop. x .05) x 0.7rds Asian (Total A.pop x .09) x 1.6rds Hispanic (Tota H.l pop. X .04) x 0.7rds Number of golfers per 18 holes (# golfers/# courses) Public Golf index (# of golfers/#public courses Demand: 1. Number of golfers: Total population x .10 2. IDEA a. Age b. Income c. Ethnicity (See chart on page 79: participation rate percentage) d. Population density 10 Case Study Activities Analysis: Supply/Demand Based on the information presented in this exercise, what are your conclusions regarding: Is the market over or undersupplied? If so, by how much? Are the age, income, ethnicity, and population density conducive to golf? Which of the characteristics reflects the greatest strength or weakness in the market? Based on the conclusion, what is your preliminary conclusion regarding the green fees charged versus the customer demographics? At a first glance, should the course be renovated, closed or carry on as is? Exercise 2: Weather Playable Days Websites: climate.com , There is a joke in the golf business: When rounds are up, it’s because of management. When rounds are down, it’s because of weather. It is important to calculate the number of playable days against gross revenue on an annual basis to determine if weather is the major contributing factor to a golf course’s revenue decline or whether management policies and procedures are the culprit. Weather Trends International was among the first in the golf industry to quantify weather impact on rounds demand, from the total U.S. market down to the individual facility level. Tying each of golf’s 16,000 facilities to more than 1,600 local weather stations, the WIA provides key facility measures on weather variance, including Season Days, Golf Playable Hours, Equivalent Golf Playable Days, and Park District Rounds in total, by month and by day of week. Average Number of Playable Days Average Playable Days Per Month Weekend Playable Days Weekday Playable Days Yearly Playable Rounds Days of Rain Heavy Days of Rain Step 2: Impact of Weather (Helpful websites: climate. com; weathersparks.com; weatherbill.com) 11 Case Study Activities Gross Revenue 2011 2010 Variance (2011 +/-2010) Playable Days (2011+/-2010) Rev/per playable day (Avg. 2011 +2010) Lost rev. attributable to weather (Playable Days x Rev/per playable day) Net decrease of rev. from attributable factors TOTAL (Repairs, renov., etc) Lost + decrease After calculating the impact of playable days, determine the course utilization. Based on the answer, do you think the rack rates can be raised? 12 Case Study Activities Activity 4: Steps 3- TECHNOLOGY AUDIT Conduct a Technology Audit of Your Facility Directions: Use the table below to help you research technology usage at your facility. Indicate which technology options are currently being used at your facility and which are being contemplated. Be sure to look at all areas of facility operation, not just the golf operation. Fill in any additional computer or high technology tools you are using that are not mentioned in the table. echnology/Computer Application Not used Currently used Contemplated Used by me In the Golf Shop Integrated point-of-sale system Interactive touch screen merchandise display unit Customer database with demographics, play patterns, and merchandise purchases Electronic data interchange for inventory ordering In-house video monitor for promotions Teaching, Tournaments, and Managing Plan Tournament software (pairings, scoring, etc.) Handicapping software Video/computer technology for teaching Computerized reservation system Satellite-based golf car system for distance measuring and course monitoring Weather tracking/lightning detection system Mobile radios, cellular phones, pagers Public address system Administration and Business Planning Spreadsheet software 13 Case Study Activities echnology/Computer Application Not used Currently used Contemplated Used by me Customer/member database software Accounting software Staff-management software (labor forecasting, payroll, etc.) Communications and Marketing Desktop publishing Facility email system Facility web site Course Maintenance Computerized irrigation system Equipment and supplies management software Software to manage maintenance and operation of golf car fleet Other Technology Tools Not Covered Above SOCIAL MEDIA? 14 Case Study Activities Activity 5: Step 4: Financial Metrics/Benchmarks Analyze Past Data at XYZ G.C.—Forecast Rounds and Revenues Directions: In preparation for planning a new financial forecast for XYZ Golf club look at data from the past 2-5 years and analyze the trends in rounds and revenues. Use the formulas and examples provided in this lesson to arrive at your answers. Write your answers onto the worksheet provided on the next page. As you can see, some of the computations have already been filled in. Calculate 1. Calculate the percent change for the last 2 years, 2010 through 2012, and fill in the blank boxes opposite the words “% change from year to year” for: a) Total rounds b) Tournament rounds c) Merchandise revenues d) Cost of goods sold e) Gross margin f) Greens fees As a reminder, the formula for calculating linear trend is: Later Year – Previous Year = % Change Previous Year 2. Calculate the average trend for the 2-5-year period for each of these line items. (You do this by adding together the percentage change for each year and dividing by 4.) Put these numbers in the boxes marked “Avg %.” 3. Calculate a forecast for the Year 2014 based on the average percentage change over the 2-5 years. (You do this by multiplying the average percent change by the previous year’s rounds or revenues and adding that result onto the previous year’s numbers.) Write these numbers into the forecast column. 15 Case Study Activities Worksheet example for Activity 5 Format Category 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 Forecast 2014 Total rounds of golf 23,020 % change from year to year Tournament rounds 4,120 $84,010 $63,848 % change from year to year 4% 1,598 1,200 $86,530 Avg % 950 -25% $90,857 $94,491 Avg % $96,380 $67,493 $20,162 $19,037 $76,320 $82,207 $81,923 $660,020 6% $ Avg % $14,537 $12,284 $14,457 -6% $621,540 $ Avg % 6% % change from year to year Greens fees 3,050 26,250 3% % change from year to year Gross margin 26,763 -26% % change from year to year Cost of goods sold 25,734 5% % change from year to year Merchandise revenues 24,221 $ Avg % $707,595 $737,585 4% $722,610 $ Avg % THIS IS AN EXAMPLE IF YOU DON’T HAVE EXACT NUMBERS, USE PGA CONSOLIDATED NUMBERS TO ASSIT YOU TO COMPLETE THE TEMPLATE ON THE NEXT PAGE 16 Case Study Activities Format Category 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 Forecast 2014 Total rounds of golf % change from year to year Tournament rounds % change from year to year Merchandise revenues % change from year to year Cost of goods sold % change from year to year Gross margin % change from year to year Greens fees % change from year to year Expenses—The Burden of Labor Lifted Examining expenses in detail can be exhausting, but it can definitely be rewarding. Labor costs are one of the major operational expenses. Closely evaluating these expenses is a must. The second step in such an examination is to prepare an accurate labor forecast. How much labor is required by position for every day within the year is a viable benchmarking, budgeting, and financial modeling tool. The information gathered should simplify the need to juggle employees who work full-time or part-time, by day or by week or by season, based on rounds and daylight hours. 17 Case Study Activities The key to efficient utilization of labor, according to Stuart Hayden, a leading industry expert, is to ensure that work flow is properly designed and that clear task management is supported by effective labor scheduling, monitoring, and scheduling adjustments. Effective labor management includes the following: Assessment of golf operation in the aggregate Workflow analysis of each position Daily schedule development Consolidation of schedules to reconcile to budget Development of administrative reports to monitor and manage. Training specific to the duties of each staff person. The detailed labor schedules created in the work-flow design process are required to compensate for the loss of institutional knowledge when there is management turnover. With the work-flow process created and labor schedules prepared, a course manager needs to then consider the following: 1. Each department head should prepare the labor schedule seven days in advance. Adjustments should be made to reflect the demand from the previous week, any special events in the coming week, and the number of rounds on the tee sheet. Based upon this “task” outlook, staff should be scheduled to complete the projected tasks for that day. The general manager should review these schedules each week. 2. Employees should be assigned specific jobs for the day (from each employee’s specific job task list) and allocated enough time to complete the tasks. Opening duties for the outside services staff, such as washing golf carts and picking up the driving range, are examples of timed tasks. Jobs where specific timed service tasks are not as structured, such as answering phones in the shop, should be staffed based upon the current day’s demand. Presented below is an example of a labor schedule: 18 Case Study Activities Work flow Scheduling ©2009, Golf Convergence, Inc . This schedule is made with the help of a software program that takes into account opening times, sunrise and sunset, facility utilization, and minimum service requirements. It is prepared weekly for the major departments at a golf course: outside services, pro shop, restaurant/snack bar, and catering. This program is so dynamic that the schedules for the entire year can be printed in advance to develop annual labor budgets. 3. It is important to minimize the number of people on salary or guaranteed full-time 40-hour employment because the fixed costs of these employees makes it impossible to cut labor costs when the business is slow. 4. In seasonal markets demand is predictably slower in the off season, and this is when staffing should be at a minimum. 5. The challenge is managing labor as a variable cost when there are periods of low demand or when weather (rain, snow, heat, cold) reduce play. Fewer staff members are required for fewer rounds. 19 Case Study Activities The most important thing department heads and general managers can do is compare each department’s schedule (which was built based upon historical and forecasted demand, projected weather, and planned events) against the actual hours worked on a daily basis. Monitoring labor hours worked compared to those scheduled on a daily basis gives the manager the information needed to coach staff on the need to work according to the schedule. Below is a guideline for you to use for your analysis. 20 Case Study Activities 21 Case Study Activities Activity 6: Step 4 continued (Pricing) The Value Gap By examining all of the components of a golf experience, a golf course manager can calculate the value of the experience, compare that to the rate charged, build a marketing campaign based on its unique value, and stimulate revenue. Recall that value = experience – price. For purposes of stimulating creative thought on alternative methods, a potential model for establishing green fees would comprise six variables: slope rating (difficulty and shot values), strategy, conditioning, playing texture variety, ambience, and customer amenities. Each of these components and their effect on the proper price for the green fee is discussed next. 1. Slope Rating: The greater the slope rating, the greater the challenge, and the greater the diversity of golf shots provided, the higher the green fees should be. To play a flat municipal golf course short in length with nominal hazards is a completely different experience than a championship bunker-strewn, lake-filled, tree-lined golf course. While a debate on shot values is subjective, a quantitative way to measure shot values might be on the course’s slope. Hence the premium charged by difficult courses like the Stadium Course at TPC would be justified. 22 Case Study Activities The green fees could be set based on the following: Slope from Middle Tee Under 113 Base Green Fee $ 20 114–120 35 121–130 50 131–140 75 Over 140 100 2. Strategy: What is better—the 120-yard par 3 strewn with bunkers, the island green, the dual fairway hole that provides both a safe and a hazardous route, or the well-designed dogleg left that places the hazards on the left? The answer is all of the above. Hit the precise shot, and you are rewarded. Take the first safe route, and the second shot becomes more of a challenge. Risk for reward—the essence of the game. You might consider adjusting your green fees for the following: 23 Case Study Activities Strategy Adjustment to Green Fee Vast majority of holes are straight; course is flat; few trees, bunkers, –10 dunes, and water hazards; and options to play hole are well-defined, providing few options. No requirement to position shots. No risk/reward options. A few doglegs with modest bunkering and trees, some rolling terrain, –5 green complexes are uniform throughout the course. One or two risk/reward options. Terrain, bunkers, water hazards, trees, and green complexes provide 0 typical golf experience. One-third of golf holes provide a unique golf experience requiring +5 thought to successfully navigate risk/reward. Up to two-thirds of golf holes provide a challenging experience where +10 placement of the drive and the second shot has a significant impact on the ability to score well. The par 3, 4, and 5 holes have varying length, i.e., par 3s of 120, 150, +20> 180, and 210 yards. Course may have dual fairways, bunkering that pinches the fairway, streams crossing the fairway and/or the green, narrow green openings, green side bunkers of varying depth, and heavily contoured putting surfaces. 3. Conditioning: Well-manicured golf courses should charge a premium. The investment made in maintaining a course ranges from $200,000 to over $2 million, and the conditioning is rated by golfers as one of the two most important criteria. The following chart suggests adjustments that could be made to the green fees based on the current course condition: 24 Case Study Activities Condition Adjustment to Green Fee Poor, requiring winter rules to be played –10 Greens aerated during past two weeks –10 Standard, greens stimped at 8 to 9 Good, one cut of rough, single mowing 0 +10 pairing on fairway and greens Excellent, two cuts of rough, cross cut +20 fairway, green stimped at 9 to 10 Tour quality, greens stimped at over 11 +30</TB> 4. Playing texture variety: For the golf devotee, nothing is prettier than a golf course that has well-manicured bentgrass tees, fairways and greens that have been cross cut, Kentucky blue grass rough with two cuts, and bunkers lined with rye for stability and fescue and Scottish broom for appearance. Conversely, a course that is poa annua or Bermuda grass looks less defined. Grasses One strain Two strains Adjustment to Green Fee –10 0 Three to four strains +10 Four or more strains in which bent, blue, +20 fescue, and Scottish broom are used 25 Case Study Activities 5. Ambience: In the mountains, along a river, by an ocean, spectacular vistas, a well-known architect, a fabulous clubhouse, an extensive practice facility—all would command a premium that should be added to the green fee. Ambience Adjustment to Green Fee Unique tee markers +5 Flower garden at entrance +5 Flower garden at three or multiple +10 locations on course Extensive practice facility with unlimited +20 practice privileges for registered golfer Top 10 architect +25 11th–50th ranked architect +10 River or ocean comes into play on holes. +10 For each such hole Theme to course: Tour 18, Cowboy’s Club, +10 etc. Conducted LPGA or Senior PGA event +10 Conducted PGA Tour event +20 Conducted USGA national championship +20 26 Case Study Activities 6. Customer Service Amenities. While every golfer is looking for “something free,” amenities provided could be packaged into the basic green fees. We have observed over 100 different amenities disbursed at golf courses, starting at the bag drop area, locker room, first tee, the cart, pro shop, on the course, and in the cart return area. These range from engraved bag tags, bottled water and suntan lotion, to certificates of accomplishment for besting par on a signature hole. The creativity of golf course managers in making the customer’s experience special has been noteworthy. We have even witnessed free food on the course, for example, fish tacos at Cabo del Sol or chocolate chip cookies at Hualai. For a complete list go to www.golfconvergence.com . The green fees could be increased based on the number of amenities provided the golfer based on the following chart: Amenities Provided Adjustment to Green Fee 0–2 0 3–5 2 6–10 5 11–20 10 21–40 20 Over 50 50 Note: 0–2 would likely represent tees and ball markers in the pro shop. The alternatives to merely setting green fees based on competitive rates focus on the concept that, all things being equal, golfers pay for the value of the product received, just as they pay for any other commodity. Thus, each facility should ask, “What would be the perfect round at our facility?” “How do we consistently deliver that experience?” “How can we exceed expectations?” 27 Case Study Activities Class Exercise – Green Fee Rates Exercise 1: Determine your green fee and compare to courses thirty miles around. Using data as a reference point in combination with the information in the case study and the potential model containing six steps described above, develop what you believe are the correct green fees for 2011. Please provide a brief justification for all rates suggested. Now we know our VALUE + EXPERIENCE -PRICE Based on the information presented within the case, create a list of revenue enhancements and expense adjustments you would recommend quantifying the financial impact. By adjusting rates and examining expenses closely, you should be able to identify $100,000 in operational recommendations. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ 28 Case Study Activities Activity 7: Assess Effects of Inside and Outside Factors on the XYZ Forecast Forecasts based on past trends assume that things will continue much the same as they have in the past. Conditions seldom remain the same, or management may not want them to remain the same. In this activity, you must describe how certain inside and outside factors would lead you, to revise the trend-forecasted numbers for the forecast you just created in Activity 5. On the next page, indicate how you would revise several key line items in the trend-forecasted numbers, and describe the factors or observations on which you based your revised numbers. Use the XYZ Golf Club examples below and our text to help your critical thinking and analysis For example from XYZ Golf Club on the number of rounds: Trend-forecasted number: 27,037 (up 3% over 2013) My revised forecast: 28,350 (up 8% over 2013) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: Our main competitor in the area does 45,000 rounds a year, and the industry average for daily fee facilities in our region is 52,500 rounds. In the last few years, XYZ Golf club hasn’t done much marketing or public relations. With more effort in that area, I think rounds could go up more than the historical trend. . Worksheet Example for Activity 7 Directions: Revise the following keyline items and write your observations. 1. Rounds Trend-forecasted number: 27,037 (up 3% over 2012) My revised forecast: (up _% over 2012) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 2. Tournament Rounds Trend-forecasted number: 665 (down 30% over 2012) My revised forecast: (up/down _% over 2012) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 3. Merchandise Revenues Trend-forecasted number: $99,753 (up 3.5% over 2012) 29 Case Study Activities My revised forecast: (up _% over 2012) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 4. Cost of Goods Sold Trend-forecasted number: $87,658 (up 7% over 2012) My revised forecast: (up/down _% over 2012) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 5. Greens Fee Revenues Trend-forecasted number: $755,127 (up 4.5% over 2012) My revised forecast: (up _% over 2012) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 30 Case Study Activities Worksheet for Activity 6 Directions: Revise the following key line items and write your observations. 1. Rounds Trend-forecasted number: ___________ (up 3% over_______ ) My revised forecast: (up _% over _______ ) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 2. Tournament Rounds Trend-forecasted number: __________(down 30% over ________) My revised forecast: (up/down _% over ________) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 3. Merchandise Revenues Trend-forecasted number: $_______________(up ______% over ________) My revised forecast: (up _% over _________) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 4. Cost of Goods Sold Trend-forecasted number: $______________ (up ___% over _________) My revised forecast: (up/down _% over _________) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 5. Greens Fee Revenues Trend-forecasted number: $________________(up ______% over _________) My revised forecast: (up _% over ________) Factors/observations on which my forecast is based: 31 Case Study Activities Activity 7: STEP 5: Golf Course/ Playing Field Architecture, Agronomy and Maintenance Maintaining the Playing Field A golf course can be divided into greens, tees and fairway, rough, water features, and sand bunkers, with an emphasis in these areas as follows: Putting Green, Tees, and Fairway Soil structure Turf types Water quality Fertilizer, fungicide, and insecticide program Topdressing methods and sand quality Mowing operations and machine adjustment Putting surface preparation Rolling Mowing Verticutting Aeration method and frequency Irrigation practices Tree maintenance Sand Bunkers Sand quality and depth Shape and Depth Grass edges Method of maintenance Drainage While hole locations are obviously an emphasis for the greens and marker locations for the tees, the list represents the critical areas of maintaining the playing field. 32 Case Study Activities Costs to maintain a course vary widely, with labor being a significant component. Capital improvements can cost a fortune, and maintaining an equipment fleet is expensive. Maintenance: A Wide Range of Costs An average 18-hole golf course covers 150 acres, of which only 100 acres are maintained Turf grass, and includes the following: Turf grass Acreage % Rough 51 34.0 Fairways 30 20.0 Driving Range/Practice Areas 7 4.7 Greens 3 1.3 Tees 3 1.3 Clubhouse House 3 1.3 Nurseries 1 .7 100 63.3 Non-Turf grass landscape 24 16.0 Water 11 7.3 Building 6 4.0 Bunkers 4.5 2.9 Parking Lots 4.5 2.9 50 33.1 Total Non-Turf grass Note: In published report, averages were utilized which don’t necessarily summarize to the total. 33 Case Study Activities The quality of the playing field can be reduced to four principal elements: (1) labor, the largest expense; (2) water, fertilizer, chemicals, and utilities; (3) capital improvements; and (4) equipment required to maintain the facility. The cost of maintaining an 18-hole golf course can range from $200,000 to more than $2.5 million. The National Golf Foundation reported the following total maintenance costs in a report titled, “Operating and Financial Performance Profiles of 18-hole Golf Facilities in the U.S. Description Public Mid-Range Frostbelt Annual Maintenance Costs $ 377,160 Public Mid-Range Sunbelt 540,660 Public Premium Frostbelt 555,460 Public Premium Sunbelt 825,640 Private Mid-Range U.S. 611,240 Private Premium U.S. 1,412,720 Are these annual maintenance numbers accurate? The GCSAA reports that the average annual maintenance costs for U.S. courses, including labor and water, are $690,206, $769,426, and $806,206, for public, municipal, and private courses, respectively. How accurate these averages are is unknown, because accumulating accurate data within the golf industry remains a challenge. Interestingly, 28% of private premium U.S. golf courses spend in excess of $1,500,000 per year for maintenance. The largest factor impacting the cost of maintenance is labor. 34 Case Study Activities Following are the median labor and staffing costs for the operation of the various types of golf courses: Description Annual Labor Full-Time Part- Costs Staff Time Staff All Facility Types $306,446 8 6 Private 409,043 11 6 Daily Fee/Semi-Private 227,819 6 6 Municipal/Military/University 270,000 5 6 Resort 391,000 14 5 How many hours are required to maintain a golf course? Four hundred hours per week. The tasks involved administration, bunkers, cart paths, the course (irrigation, trimming, overseeding and topdressing, fungicides, herbicides, and insecticides), cutting (greens, 30” collars, tees, fairway, first-cut, roughs, native areas, aprons, driving range) greens (pins, ball marks, topdressing, rolling, brushing), maintenance (soil testing aerification, fertilization), ponds, the maintenance facility (cleaning, maintenance gardens), tees (markers, overseeding, topdressing), and trees (trimming). With 12,796 man hours estimated to maintain a golf course for 32 weeks, the allocation of full- versus part-time workers is an art that can save significant capital, especially considering the differing benefits required for full-time rather than parttime employees. However, full-time workers, who cost more, often have a better understanding of the course’s agronomic tendencies and take greater pride in ensuring optimum playing conditions. The Natural Replacement Cycle Since a golf course is a living organism, creating a capital budget and providing an annual reserve to replace the vital components is prudent. 35 Case Study Activities Unfortunately, as golf courses begin losing money in a competitive market, the first cuts are always made by deferring capital expenditures. While understandable because of the large investment, these cuts are often made without the continuing recognition that the condition of the golf course remains the number 1 requirement of golfers. The Golf Course Superintendents Association of America estimates that the amount of capital improvements required as part of a golf course’s natural replacement cycle is $2,200,086, and that a prudent golf course should create an annual capital improvements allowance of $97,335. Following are the estimated life spans of the various components of a golf course, as estimated by the GCSAA and Golf Course Builders Association of America: Description Greens Minimum Maximum Estimated Annual Cost to Capital Replace Reserve 30 657,761 21,925 5 7 44,800 6,400 Irrigation Heads 10 30 114,000 3,800 Irrigation Control 10 15 121,000 8,067 PVC Pipe 10 30 309,600 10,320 Pump Station 15 20 97,790 4,890 5 10 93,350 9,335 15 30 146,685 4,890 5 10 37,680 3,768 Cart Paths Asphalt Cart Paths Concrete Practice Range Tees Years 15 Bunker Sand Irrigation System Years 36 Case Study Activities Tees 15 20 150,720 7,536 Corrugated Pipe 15 30 398,180 13,273 Bunker Drainage Pipes 5 10 65,000 6,500 Mulch 1 3 1,200 400 Grass Varies Varies 2,237,766 101,104 Total Deferred Capital Note: The Description and Years Minimum/Maximum provided by Golf Course Builders. Estimated cost to replace and annual capital reserve prepared by Golf Convergence. Very few golf courses budget for capital improvements. Most courses incorrectly wait until the capital project is mandated and then often borrow to fund the costs. The Equipment Most golf courses operate with a potpourri of equipment. Surprisingly, heretofore, there has been no standardization of the ideal equipment standards and the investment mandated by a golf course. Looking for a standard equipment list for your 18-hole golf course? Keep in mind that a “standard” equipment list is as challenging to define as a “standard” golf course. With these considerations taken into account, the following list may be used as a minimum guideline, or starting point, for reviewing equipment inventory. 37 Case Study Activities Pieces of Equipment Department Total Cost 17 Greens 87,500 2 Tees 24,000 4 Fairways 70,000 6 Rough 6 Transportation Vehicles 5 Tractors and Trucks 12 Sprayers and Spreaders 50,800 9 Utility Equipment 56,000 14 Tools and Small Equipment Total 112,000 25,000 117,000 850 543,150 Note: A detailed list of each piece of equipment suggested by the CGSAA can be downloaded at www.golfconvergence.com. 38 Case Study Activities Class Exercise Exercise 1 Calculate the maintenance labor hours to maintain each golf course. Compare the labor hours required vs. maintenance labor hours actually expended to determine if there is a favorable/unfavorable labor variance and if so, how much. Exercise 2 Calculate the recommended list of equipment required for the Earth Golf Course against what is desirable, and determine how much should be in the sinking fund for equipment replacement. Exercise 3 Calculate the cost of any capital improvements you would suggest for your course? 39 Case Study Activities Become Familiar with the Budget Process What line items are included on a budget? The monitoring and reporting intervals are important. What particular performance measurements are tracked? Even if the facility is not willing to share the actual numbers with you. Ask them to help you provide answers to the questions below. Answer 1. How many revenue and expense items are tracked in the budget 2. Who is involved in formulating the budget projections? List 3. What are two key performance ratios or indicators that the facility tracks? Answer 4. How often is the budget reviewed? By whom? 5. Are any numbers tracked more frequently than monthly? Which ones? How often are they tracked? 6. Is there a cash flow budget as well as an operating budget? Yes No 7. Is there a capital budget? Yes No 8. If possible, ask to see a copy (past or current) of an operating budget, cash flow budget, and capital budget. 40 Case Study Activities Activity 8: Step 6: Marketing/Management Create a Marketing Plan to target your Core Customers 5% of gross revenues should be total marketing budget $________________________ 50-60%: $________________ Advertising: Awareness and recall 10%: $ $ ________________ Public Relations: Focus on disinterested third parties 30% - 40%: $ ________________ Promotion: Used to stimulate play on a specific day! 41 Case Study Activities Step 6 (continued): A. Home TEAM: Using the charts in Chpt: 14 (Page 222) Assess how your facility stands against industry average. Write your analysis here: Bag Drop Starter Ranger Pro shop Staff Director of Golf Asst. Professionals Tournament Director Director of Instruction Teaching staff Food and Beverage: Clubhouse Food and Beverage: On course Reservations Merchandiser Superintendent Grounds Crew Mechanic TOTAL STAFF 42 Case Study Activities B. 13 Steps of the Operation Use the grids in Chapter 14 to assess each area STEP SUGGESTION What Motivated one to play Reservation process Directions Club Entrance Clubhouse Proshop Carts Range Starter Course Bathrooms Finish Line Dining/Chow time 43 Case Study Activities Activity 9: Step 7: Customer Survey (Chpt. 15) Please create a customer survey. Example questions include: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) What is your gender? What is your age group? What is your household income range? What is your race/ethnicity How many times do you play golf each year? How many holes do you usually play? What are the primary barriers that prevent you from playing golf more often? (Choose up to two answers.) 8) How many different golf courses did you play in 2012? 9) What factors are important to you in selecting one course over another (Select only one response per line.) 10) What is a good value for a golf experience (18 holes of golf, excluding cart)? 11) Do you make tee time reservations on the Internet? 12) To get special prices, do you… 44 Case Study Activities Activity 10: Step 8: Customer Loyalty Create ten original customer loyalty ideas /programs for your facility. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 45 Case Study Activities Activity: Conduct a SWOT Analysis Directions: Fill the worksheets using the following as a guideline. Part 1: XYZ Golf Club Case Study 1. Look at each area of the golf operation. Identify the strengths and weaknesses you see within the facility and the opportunities and threats from outside. 2. Use the worksheet on the next page to record your comments. When doing your analysis, you might think about staffing, job responsibilities, total number of rounds, breakdown of rounds, revenues in each area, the facility’s market, customers, and competition, the operational procedures, or any other topic covered in the lessons. Note if the facility has many more weaknesses than strengths or visa versa. This should be reflected in your SWOT analysis. 3. Record as many strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats as you can identify. 4. Asterisk priorities. When you have completed your list of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, put an asterisk by the items you consider the most important—issues you would be likely to focus on when improving xyz golf club’s performance. 46 Case Study Activities SWOT Analysis for xyz club Strengths Weaknesses 47 Case Study Activities SWOT Analysis for xyz c.c Opportunities Threats 48 Case Study Activities Directions: Fill out the worksheet using the following as a guideline. As a companion piece to this activity, look at the strengths and weaknesses of your own facility. Part 2: Comparison with Your Own Facility 1. Record what you consider your own facility’s four biggest strengths 2. Identify two areas where further improvements could be made to strengthen your facility’s position in the market or improve revenues, profits, or customer service 3. In looking at weaknesses, describe one weakness that was previously identified. What did the facility do to improve the situation? Did it work? 49 Case Study Activities Your Facility's Strengths and Weaknesses Biggest Strengths Potential Weaknesses or Threats One Past Weakness/Threat and its Remedy Past Weaknesses/Threats Remedy/Results 50 Case Study Activities Activity: Identify Strategic Objectives [Financial/Customer/Operational/People] Directions: Fill out the worksheets using the following as a guideline. Part1 : XYY Golf Club Case Study In this activity, you will identify at least three potential business objectives for the facility (things you would like to see the facility accomplish ), and some strategies (objectives, goals, and actions) for accomplishing them (how you would do it). Objectives [Financial, Customer, Internal/Operational/ and People/Learning] Long term broad statements. The objectives you decide on might relate to financial , customers service, increased rounds, staff development, technology acquisition, course design improvement, or any other issue you think might improve success of the course. After defining your key objectives. Write goals required to support those objectives. Goals are • Specific, in terms of what you intend to accomplish by a certain date • Measurable, with specific numbers, percentages, dollar figures, or service goals attached • Attainable • Realistic and achievable based on your SWOT analysis and your assessment of the potential market • Time specific [Goals to achieve your objectives might include higher prices, more targeted promotion, expansion of the golf shop, additional staff or additional staff training, community outreach, etc.] 51 Case Study Activities XYZ Golf Club Strategic Objectives and Goals Objective 1: Goals to accomplish this: Objective 2: Goals to accomplish this: Objective 3: Goals to accomplish this: 52 Case Study Activities XYZ Golf Club Strategic Objectives and Goals Objective 4: Goals to accomplishing this: Objective 5: Goals to accomplishing this: Objective 6: Goals to accomplishing this: FINAL BUDGET (Handout) POWERPOINT PRESENTATION References PGAlinks (2012). Business and Planning Operations. Retrieved from www.pgalinks.com Keegan, J. (2011). Business of Golf: What are we thinking? Colorado Springs, CO; Golf Convergence 53