Canada- China Trade 1 Canada and China Trade Relations Present, Issues, Future Brittany Sands and Kaitlin Clarkson Global Trades: BICG9102 02 Siddiqui, Anjum Novemeber 8, 2012 Canada- China Trade 2 Introduction With China becoming Canada’s second largest trading partner of imported merchandise in 2003, their relationship is now being increased since the U.S. economy is stalled, also with the Eurozone trapped in sovereign debt crisis. Canada imports manufactured goods (consumer goods, mechanical appliances and electrical equipment) from China, while China imports Canada’s natural resources (timber, metals, oil and gas). In 2011, Canada exported 16.3 billion to China, and they imported $48 billion. The uncanny relationship between Canada and China is usually unexpected, as the trade pattern between the two would usually be between a rich and well-developed country, and a much poorer country, but their successful trade pattern is completely flipped. In comparison to Canada’s trade with the rest of world, recently, China has had the highest improvement of trade. Currently, Canada has just signed a foreign Investment Promotion and Protection, also known as FIPA, agreement with China. Which could benefit both nations in a positive way, when it is put into act in the near future. This deal raises issues with Canada and China in hopes that the Chinese will completely follow through with the concerns raised. “This is a pie chart of the Canadian imports from China 2011. In terms of merchandise trade, China is the third-largest importer of Canadian products, with imports of US$21.6 billion in 2011.China’s demand for resource-related goods remains the primary driver of trade even as Canada looks to broaden its product offerings to an increasingly diversified Chinese economy”. Canada- China Trade 3 “This is a pie chart of the China imports from Canada 2011. Canada’s merchandise imports from China have grown very rapidly over the past decade to reach US$48.6 billion (as mentioned above) in 2011. China has become the second-largest supplier of merchandise to Canada, after the United States”. Canada- China Trade 4 Current Trade relations Current relations with Canada and China is still successful, the people-to-people ties have never been stronger, with a great growth in the amount of visitors and students in both countries. Today, China is Canada’s second largest trading partner and Canada is China’s 13th trading partner. Both are very strong trading nations, external trade is essential for both to past and future economic growth. Not only is the people-to-people strong, but the government-to-government cooperation is also being reflected across a wide-range of priority areas. The Canada and China trade relations just currently got stronger with the FIPA agreement1, which was being kept a big secret until recently. Stephen Harper, the prime minister of Canada, met with the Chinese president, Hu Jinato, and Canada signed the FIPA agreement. This enormous investment treaty is known to what could be the biggest agreement since NAFTA2. The FIPA agreement should be enforced as soon as December 2012. Some, Canadian opposition, argue that the prime minister should’ve properly debated this big decision on the agreement without going ahead and making it happen. Many others are happy with the deal and say that trade relations between Canada and China are moving all too slowly. The agreement is designed to help Canadian businesses operate in China and giving the Canadian businesses confidence that their legal rights in China will be respected. Also, it is designed to attract more Chinese investment in Canada. This deal will protect Canadians investing in China, as well as Chinese investors in Canada, from "discriminatory and arbitrary practices." Once in place, investors can have more confidence that rules will be enforced and valuable business deals will be subject to predictable legal practices. This agreement is also assumed to deepen the relations between both Canada and China, in hopes that it will present major opportunities for the Canadian companies. Chinese consumers are seeking higher end protein sources such as beef, pork, and seafood products from the agricultural sector which the Canadians can well supply. In the technology area, Canada has commercially ready answers to China with the problems that they are experiencing, in attempts to lessen the environmental impact of economic growth. The aerospace industry was one sector that was found to be where the Chinese have limited foreign involvement, particularly in high technology areas such as flight control systems. 1 Ottowa is expected to ratify this new trade deal with China, 18 years of talk and negation on this FIPA agreement. 2 NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)- It broadens the ability to trade between and amongst the Americas to lighten the burden of tariffs on imports and exports. Canada- China Trade 5 Canada exported US$12.9 billion worth of regional and business planes, helicopters and parts globally in 2011, making Canada the world’s fifth-largest exporter in this subsector. China’s imports of aerospace goods from Canada in 2011 totaled US$661 million and varied highly during the last decade—a reflection of the cyclical nature of the industry—averaging US$217 million annually during that period. In 2011, China imported US$438.2 million in aircraft, US$96 million in flight simulation equipment and US$104.7 million in engines from Canada, the latter representing more than an 11-fold increase over the last decade. (Canada.gc.ca) Canada- China Trade 6 Imports from each country are used to characterize Canada-China bilateral trade in both tables. Two-way trade. Table 2: Canada-China Merchandise Trade (US$ Billions) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Canada Exports 2.7 (China Imports) 2.6 Canada Imports 8.2 (China Exports) 10.2 13.3 18.6 24.4 30.5 35.9 39.9 35.0 43.2 48.6 3.4 5.2 6.0 6.9 8.9 9.9 9.7 12.9 17.0 11.0 12.8 16.7 23.8 30.4 37.3 44.8 49.8 44.7 56.1 65.6 Total Source: Global Trade Atlas (Canadian statistics) Table 3: Canada-China Merchandise Trade (US$ Billions) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 China Exports 3.3 (Canada Imports) 4.3 5.6 8.2 11.7 15.5 19.4 21.8 17.7 22.2 25.2 China Imports 4.0 (Canada Exports) 3.6 4.4 7.3 7.5 7.4 7.9 10.0 15.5 19.2 23.2 30.3 34.6 29.6 37.0 46.8 Total Trade 7.7 11.0 12.8 11.9 14.8 21.6 Source: Global Trade Atlas (Chinese statistics) “Despite recent growth trends, bilateral trade currently still represents a relatively small percentage of each country’s total international trade. It is clear that there is huge untapped potential to increase trade between China and Canada”. Canada- China Trade 7 Trade Issues The issues that are rising with Canada and China trade were all based around how to deepen their relation. Canada wants to completely ensure that China knows that has to be a two way street. “China needs to be aware that within Canada, there is growing public interest in the need for greater reciprocity in our relationship,” (Jim Prentice) announced at a meeting with both Canadian and Chinese executives. In an interview later, he added: “If it’s going to be a strategic partnership, it has to be a partnership that works both ways”. China not only wants Canadian oil but also their oilfield technology and the information needed to know how to do certain techniques such as horizontal drilling. “China expects Canada to give it some expertise, technology in the resource exploiting sectors,” (Ding). China also seeks the manufacturing sector of Canada, civil aviation, and railways. China pressed for Canada to move their research in China, without the Canadian companies being so reluctant about doing so. “They should understand that China, the Chinese market, would be a good one for Canadian firms to develop their technologies and become global companies,” Ding said. “There are a lot of rumors about China that China is not respecting [intellectual] property rights or something like that. But, over time, these obstacles can be overcome.” (Ding) This all was to be solved for the FIPA agreement to come into play. Now that the FIPA agreement revisions have been reviewed, there are now issues that Canadian oppositions are arguing. With the Canadian oil, China wants to buy Nexen for 15.1 billion dollars. There are seventy percent of Canadians against this deal. Gus Van Harten fears that, “[Canada is] giving up an awful lot for the promise of future access to the Chinese market”. He also goes on to say how the agreement signed, was very one- sided, since it only protects the investors that are now operating in the country. With Canada welcoming Chinese investment, the Canadian businesses have become frustrates and turning the other way. Critics also argue that they are taking a ginormous leap of faith in hopes that Bejing will ever open their markets to Canadian goods, services, and capital. Canada- China Trade 8 Future trade relations What is expected to happen with future relations between Canada and China, is to improve the links with growing Asian economies, with the FIPA agreement. Improving these connections, will lead to Canada diversifying away from traditional trading partners (United States), this economic strategy has become the centerpiece of the conservative government. The current trade deal, FIPA, is assumed to benefit both nations specifically in seven key factors, which are agriculture, machinery, clean technology, natural resources, services, textiles, and aerospace. In the future when agreement is put into act, the Prime Minister, Harper, wants to see a “clear two-way flow and clear benefits for both sides” given that dealing with the Chinese is usually never quick or easy. “The Chinese have very different views of investment policy, competition policy and the way state trading companies operate”, Mr. Hart says. Other assumed benefits for future relations with Canada and China is the oil sector. Trade with China is expected to rise even faster in the years to come as the oil and gas exports that were headed south to the US are now redirected westward across the Pacific ocean. “China relies on Alberta to supply the energy that they need to continue to grow, and we’re very pleased about that. Market access is among Alberta’s most pressing priorities … one that will help define the future of our energy industry, and how China can benefit from it,” (Alberta Redford). With the Northern Gateway pipeline reviewed, Alberta’s oil sands and the Cheese market will be “connected closer than ever before”. Canada- China Trade 9 Conclusion In conclusion, Canada and China’s trade relations have been very successful over the past decades, and are assumed to only get better. Currently, with the FIPA agreement soon to start, it raises issues that Canada is very much trusting China to pull through and open up to them. The issues rising within Canada and China trade is the rush of the FIPA agreement as well as most Canadians being against the selling of Nexen for 15.1 billion dollars. Harper, is trying to deepen the relations with one of the steps being the FIPA agreement in hopes that the trade between Canada and China will become even more successful in the years to come. The future trade looks successful thus far, but worrisome for Canadian business, in their lack of trust. Canada and China trade is hoping to expand further with Canada being economically strategic and moving trade away from the US to China. Canada- China Trade 10 Works Cited Tiagi, Raaj and Lu Zhou (2009). “Canada’s Economic Relations with China”, Fraser Institute Studies in Chinese. Economic Policy, October 18. See, http://www.fraserinstitute.org/research-news/display.aspx?id=12861 MacKinnon, Mark. (June 28th, 2012). Canada and China remain far apart on trade issues. Business without Borders. Retrieved, October 19, 2012, from http://www.bwob.ca/topics/global-issues/canada-and-china-remain-farapart-on-trade-issues/ Carbonated. Canada China Relationship. Canada China Business Council. Retrieved, October 17, 2012. From http://www.ccbc.com/research-reports/sectorresearch/canada-china-relationship/ CBC News. (July 12, 2012). What does Canada trade with China? CBC News. Retrieved, October 20, 2012. From http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2012/06/19/fcanada-china-trade.html (May 18, 2012). Economic relations between Canada and China. Transport Canada. Retrieved, October 21, 2012. From http://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/mediaroom/backgrounders-canada-china-6710.htm Mccarthy, S. (2012, October 03). Free trade with china still a decade away, mulroney says. . Retrieved from http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/free-tradewith-china-still-a-decade-away-mulroney-says/article4587718/ Canada’s harper raises trade issues with china’s hu. (2012, September 10). Retrieved from http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2012/09/10/2003542379 Mackinnon, Marc. Canada and China Remain Far Apart on Trade Issues. (2012 June 28). Retrieved from http://www.bwob.ca/topics/global-issues/canada-and-chinaremain-far-apart-on-trade-issues/