Building Better Beverage Programs Through On-Premise Consumer Insights Presented By January, 2009 Session Overview • Building better beverage programs starts with on-premise specific consumer insights. • This session will feature the latest on-premise national accounts consumer research fielded exclusively for the Cheers Beverage Conference. • This year’s session will focus on the hot topics of the impact of the economy on beverage purchases, pricing service and drink menu effectiveness. • The session also includes a review of the latest consumer beverage trends from our Cheers Consumer Trend Monitor. Contents • Methodology • Impact Of The Economy Of Beverage • Pricing • Service • The Drink Menu • Cheers On-Premise Trend Tracker • Summary Methodology Methodology • Custom on-premise national chain consumer research conducted by Next Level Research and Nova Marketing. • This study was fielded exclusively for the 2009 Cheers Beverage Conference. • The study was conducted in December, 2008 using the on-line Zoomerang Database • Zoomerang is the leading on-line survey tool with a national data base of over 5 million consumers. • The study provides quantitative information on the onpremise consumer at a 95% confidence level. Consumer Screens • All consumers were at least 21 years old • Split 50% male / 50% female • Evenly spread throughout U.S. • Must have Visited an OnPremise National Chain within the last 30 days • Must have ordered an alcoholic beverage at an On-Premise National Chain within the past 30 days National Chain Focus Study includes consumers from the top Casual Dining, Fine Dining and Hotel chain consumers. Consumer Composition Study included 500 past 30-day national chain beverage alcohol consumers providing 95% confidence level. 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1,784 1,124 500 374 Consumers Entered Past 30-Day Chain 456 321 Past 30-Day Past 30-Day Past 30-Day Past 30-Day Chain TBA Chain Beer Chain Wine Chain Spirit Drill Down Topic #1 The Economy Full Service Restaurant Spending As a result of the economy, three-quarters of consumers say they are spending less at full-service bars and restaurants. 90% 80% 76% Females cutting back slightly more than males 70% 60% 50% 40% 24% 30% 20% 10% 0% Yes Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers No Reducing Full-Service Restaurant Spending Nearly 80% of consumers say that they are going out less often with 25% spending less when they do go out. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 380 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers that are cutting back Ways To Reduce Spending Per Visit Consumers looking to cut back on their spending per visit order less expensive entrees, take advantage of special promotions, cut back on side orders and cut back on cocktails. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 380 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers that are cutting back Ways To Increase Consumer Visits Consumers would respond to traffic driving promotions like buy one get one meals and ½ priced drinks. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 380 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers that are cutting back Drinking Behavior Changes When asked how their beverage alcohol purchases have changed over the past year, consumers are equally split between ordering the same and ordering less per occasion. More males are ordering the same while more females are ordering less/occasion. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Drill Down Topic #2 Pricing Bar & Restaurant Choice When deciding which full-service restaurant to visit, food, prices, service, location, atmosphere and alcoholic beverages are the most important factors. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Most Importance Beverage Alcohol Items Consumers rate “Everyday Drink Prices At A Good Value” as the most important beverage program element. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Importance Of Price When Ordering Drinks When ordering beer, wine and spirit drinks in full-service bars or restaurants, price is very important for only 28% of consumers but somewhat important for half the consumers. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Knowing The Exact Pricing In Advance Most consumers do not know the exact price of beer, wine and cocktails before they place their orders. 70% 60% 56% 50% 44% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% No Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Yes Drink Taste Expectations – Spirits Consumers strongly agree that cocktails made with premium brands taste better than those made with house brands. 100% 90% 83% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 17% 20% 10% 0% Agree Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Disagree Drink Taste Expectations – Wine Consumers strongly agree that premium branded wines taste better 100% than house wines. 90% 80% 75% 70% 60% 50% 40% 25% 30% 20% 10% 0% Agree Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Disagree Drink Taste Expectations – Beer Consumers strongly agree crafts and 100% imported beers taste better than mass domestic beers. 90% 80% 73% 70% 60% 50% 40% 27% 30% 20% 10% 0% Agree Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Disagree Drink Taste Expectations – Summary Across beer, wine and spirits consumers strongly agree that better brands taste better. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Drink Price Expectations Across beer, wine and spirits most consumers expect to pay more for premium brands. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers How Much More On average, consumers expect to pay $1.81 more for a premium beer, $2.44 more for a premium wine and $2.80 more for a premium cocktail. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Drill Down Topic #3 Service Key Elements Of Beverage Service Consumers rank prompt drink delivery, appropriate/clean glassware, prompt order taking and server greetings as the most important elements of good beverage service. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Speed Of Service Satisfaction Levels Consumers are generally satisfied with the speed of drink service that they currently experience in national chains. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Speed Of Service Expectations After placing their order, 85% of consumers expect to receive their drinks 2 – 5 minutes. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Preferred Server / Bartender Greetings Consumers clearly prefer server / bartender greetings that provide them with more information Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Responsiveness To Suggestive Selling If trade-up brands were suggested, 50% beer, wine and spirit consumers would order them. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Ways Servers Can Enhance The Experience On an open ended basis, the dining experience could be enhanced if servers were faster, offered more suggestive selling, were more knowledgeable and friendly. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Drill Down Topic #4 The Drink Menu Beverage Purchase Decision Timing Nearly 80% of consumers do not know what beer, wine and spirit drink they will order in advance. 90% 80% 79% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 21% 20% 10% 0% Influenced In Unit Decide In Advance Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Beverage Purchase Influencers Beverage menus and bartender/server suggestions are the most important order influencers. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers New Drink Trial Nearly 70% of on-premise national chain consumers try a new drink at least every 90 days. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Reading Drink Menus When visiting full-service bars and restaurants, nearly 90% of consumers read the drink menus. 100% 90% 80% 86% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 14% 20% 10% 0% Yes Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers No Reading Drink Menus Females read drink menus more than males and younger consumers read them more than older consumers. 100% 93% 90% 82% 77% 80% 60% 40% 20% Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers + 45 45 < al e Fe m M al e 0% Types Of Drink Menus Consumers clearly prefer stand alone drink menus over drink listings on food menus, table tents or insert cards. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Number Of Drinks On Drink Menus On average, consumers want to see 14 beer, 14 wine and 16 cocktail offerings on national chain drink menus. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers How To List Beer Menu Consumers prefer to have beer selection listed by domestics, imports and crafts on national chain menus. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Information On Drink Menus In addition to the drink name, consumers most want to see drink descriptions on national chain menus. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 500 past 30 day national chain beverage alcohol consumers Drink Menu Visual Tests • Five separate drink menu visual tests were conducted as part of this study. • The menu visuals were presented to consumers in a random order to prevent any order bias. • Patrick Henry Creative Promotions provided the menu visuals for this study and consulted on the menu questions. Drink Menu Visual Test #1 • Tested the consumer purchase intent of three different margaritas, presented on the menu in three different ways: 1. Functional descriptions 2. Romance copy descriptions 3. Romance copy descriptions with price Menu Visual Test #1A - Functional Based on functional descriptions, 47% of consumers would order House, 31% Top Shelf and 22% Ultra-Premium. 47% House Top Shelf 31% Ultra-premium 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers 40% 50% 60% Menu Visual Test #1B - Romance Adding romance copy, reduces House orders from 47% to 33% increasing trade-up from 53% to 67% 33% House Top Shelf 31% Ultra-premium 28% 36% 30% 32% 34% Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers 36% 38% Menu Visual Test #1C – Romance & Price Adding romance copy and price maintains trade-up at 67% with slight trade down from Ultra to Top Shelf. House 33% Top Shelf 36% Ultra-premium 28% 31% 30% 32% 34% Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers 36% 38% Menu Visual Test #1 – Results Summary Adding romance drink copy to menus drives significant drink trade-up and the addition of price is trade-up neutral. 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 47% 33% 31% 36% 31% 33% 36% 31% 22% House Top Shelf Ultra-premium Functional Romance Romance & Price Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers Drink Menu Visual Test #2 • Tested the consumer purchase intent of three menus with varying degrees of drink photography: 1. Six drinks with no photos 2. Same six drinks with one photo 3. Same six drinks with a photo for each Margarita Menu With No Photos Margarita Menu With One Photo Margarita Menu With Photo Of Each Drink Menu Visual Test #2 - Results Consumers clearly prefer drink menus that feature a photo of each drink. 14% 17% 69% A. No Photos B. 1 Photo C. Photo Of Each Drink Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers Drink Menu Visual Test #3 • Tested the consumer purchase intent of three different wine menu layouts: 1. Progressive (all mixed in) 2. Progressive (by varietal) 3. By varietal and price Progressive Wine Menu – All Mixed In Progressive Wine Menu By Varietal Progressive Wine Menu By Varietal And Price Menu Visual Test #3 - Results Consumers prefer their progressive wine lists to be organized by varietal and price 13% 35% 52% Mixed By Varietal By Varietal And Price Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Drink Menu Visual Test #4 • Tested the consumer purchase intent of three different beer menu layouts: 1. List with text only 2. List of logos 3. List of bottle shots Beer Menu – Text List Only Beer Menu – Logos Beer Menu – Bottle Shots Menu Visual Test #4 - Results Consumers prefer the bottle shot beer menu layout most and the logo menu approach the least. 35% 20% 45% Text List Logo List Bottle Shot List Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Menu Visual Test #5 • Tested the consumer purchase intent when premium brands carried are communicated on the menu. Chili’s Drink Menu Example Menu Visual Test #5 - Results When beverage menus feature listings of the premium brands that are carried at the bar, most consumers say that it makes them more likely to order cocktails. 60 57% 50 43% 40 30 20 10 0 Yes No Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit cocktail consumers Top 10 Drill Down Findings Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 1. Consumers are going out less often and they are more promotionally minded than ever. 2. Drink prices that offer good value are important but price is not very important to consumers when they place their order. In fact, most consumers do not know the drink price they will pay in advance. 3. Consumers believe premium brands taste better than standard brands and they expect to pay more for them. 4. Two of the most important beverage service elements are taking orders quickly and delivery drinks promptly. Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 5. Consumers prefer server / bartender greetings that provide them with more information and they will respond to suggestive selling recommendations. 6. Most consumers do not know what they will order in advance and the drink menu is the key influencer. 7. Consumers prefer stand-alone drink menus with about 15 beers, 15 wines and 15 spirit drinks on them. 8. Adding romance copy to the drink descriptions on the menu drives significant drink trade-up. Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 9. Consumers clearly prefer drink menus that feature a photo of each drink. 10. On the beer menus, consumers prefer the beers arranged by domestic, import and craft and they prefer bottle shots over brand logos on the menu. 2009 On-Premise Beverage Alcohol Consumer Trend Report Beer Category Trends Beer Trends By Type Domestics continue to dominate on-premise consumption but crafts and imports gained ground in this year’s survey. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Light Vs. Full Flavored Beer Regular and light beer consumption is split almost equally with regular consumption increasing slightly this year. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Light Vs. Full Flavored Beer – By Type • Regular beer drinkers split their consumption equally across domestics, imports and crafts. • Light beer drinkers skew heavily to domestics. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Top Domestic Beer Brands • All of the top 3 brands are all lights with Bud Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Light all increasing in popularity. • Other growth brands include Michelob Ultra, Rolling Rock, and Miller Chill. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Beer Imports By Country • Mexican beer continues to be the most popular import. • Irish, German, Dutch and Belgians round out the top 5. • Rankings changed this year with clarification of the top brands by country. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Top Import Brands • Corona and Heineken continue to be the top 2 brands but both dipped slightly in popularity. • Rounding out the 5, Guinness, Corona Light and Dos Equis all posted strong popularity gains. • Other growth brands include Newcastle, Bass, and Stella. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Top Craft/Specialty Brands • Samuel Adams continues to dominate the segment and it grew significantly in popularity. • Blue Moon jumped over Killian’s and Smirnoff Ice into the #2 spot. • Other growth brands include Killian’s, Sam Adam’s Light, Yuengling, Sierra Nevada, Magic Hat and Shiner Bock. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 374 past 30 day national chain beer consumers Wine Category Trends Domestic & Import Wine Trends Domestics continue to dominate on-premise consumption with imports gaining ground and almost 20% don’t know. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Wine Trends By Type The top on-premise wine types are flavored reds, light-flavored blushes and medium flavored reds, which increased significantly. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Top Wine Varietals • White Zinfandel and Merlot are tied for the top varietal spot. • Pinot Noir, Zinfandel, and Rieslings posted strong gains this year. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Top 15 Domestic Wines • Sutter Home and Beringer tied for the top domestic brand spot. • Beringer, Kendall Jackson, Mondavi, Clos du Bois, Chateau St. Michelle, Corbett Canyon and Sterling showed gains vs. last year. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Wine Imports By Country • Italian wines continue to dominate the imports. • Wines from Germany are showing the most growth. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Top 15 Imported Wines • Yellow Tail dominates imported wine brand rankings. • Black Swan, Santa Margherita, Bella Sera, Ecco Domani made significant gains this year. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 321 past 30 day national chain wine consumers Spirit Category Trends Spirit Category Trends • Vodka, Rum and Tequila continue to be the key on-premise spirit segments. • Most segments showed increases vs. last year indicating consumers drink repertoire includes multiple segment. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Top 15 Cocktail Flavors • Strawberry continues to be the #1 drink flavor. • There is a 4 way tie for 2nd most popular flavor with Apple, Lime, Cranberry and Mango. • The growth flavors are Strawberry, Cranberry, Mango, Pomegranate and Sour Apple. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Emerging Cocktail Flavors • This year’s study included a new question on emerging flavors. • Consumer are most interested in the Passion Fruit, Mango, Blood Orange Acia Berry, Blueberry and Pear flavors. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Top 15 Spirit Drinks • Margarita continues to be #1 but it slipped back while Rum & Coke grew to a close second. • Mojito and Screwdriver increased significantly while Flavored Martini decreased in popularity. • Sex On The Beach was added to this year’s survey. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Next 15 Spirit Drinks • Red Bull & Vodka, Jaeger Bomb and Mai Tai increased significantly. • Fuzzy Navel, Vodka & 7-Up and Kamikaze were added to this year’s survey. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Top 15 Call Brands • Bacardi continues to be #1 but Grey Goose has grown into a very close 2nd position. • Smirnoff dropped in popularity while Patron jumped significantly into the top 15 brands. Source: NLR/NOVA: Dec 2008 with 456 past 30 day national chain spirit consumers Top 10 Cheers On-Premise Consumer Trend Report Findings Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 1. Domestic beer continues to dominate consumption but craft beers are growing the fastest. 2. Total beer consumption is equally split between regular and light beer with light beer skewing most heavily to the domestics and least to the crafts. 3. Mexican beer continues to be the most popular import type with Irish, German, Dutch and Belgian round out the top 5 imports. 4. Domestic wines continue to dominate consumption but imports are driving the growth and almost 20% don’t know whether they drink imports or domestics. Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 5. White Zinfandel and Merlot are the most popular varietals with Pinot Noir, Zinfandel, and Rieslings each showing strong popularity gains this year. 6. Italian wines continue to be the most popular import type with wines from Germany showing the most growth. 7. Within spirits, Vodka, Rum and Tequila continue to be the key on-premise spirit segments. 8. Strawberry is the most popular spirit drink flavor with growth coming from Mango, Pomegranate, Sour Apple and Cranberry flavors. Summary Of Top 10 Takeaways 9. Margarita continues to be the #1 drink but its popularity slipped a bit while Rum & Coke pulled into a close second. 10. The Mojito is the growth story and it seems to have grown at the expense of Flavored Martinis. Closing • We have been conducting custom on-premise consumer research for over five years. • The research has ranged from macro beer, wine and spirits studies to micro studies on specific drinks. • Our studies have been conducted for both suppliers and directly for chain operators. • It is very exciting to see the research helping to guide more informed beverage decisions that help drive growth. • Over the next few weeks, we will be following up with you to get your feedback on future research topics. Thank You! Questions Mike Ginley, Partner Jeff Grindrod, Partner Next Level Marketing 1330 Post Road East Westport, CT 06880 203-292-6295 Nova Marketing 1 Darling Dr. Avon, CT 06001 860-676-7900 mginley@nextlevel-co.com Jeffgrindrod@comcast.net